How to Trade the Pin Bar Pattern on Forex and Gold 🕯
The pin bar is a powerful price action setup that tells a fascinating story concerning price momentum and the possibility of an imminent reversal in price direction.
A pin bar is a Japanese candlestick that has a long wick on one side and a small body.
Understanding the story behind the pin bar is essential.
📚What does the pin bar candlestick pattern tell us about market psychology?
📉This pin bar followed a strong downward trend, and the presence of a long tail below the body tells us that the market rejected any attempt by overly exuberant sellers to move the price lower. The length of the tail speaks to the strength of the rejection.
📈The pin bar followed by a strong uptrend, and the presence of a long tail above the body tells us that the market rejected any attempt by overly exuberant buyers to move the price higher. The length of the tail speaks to the strength of the rejection.
⭐️The best pin bars are bearish pin bars that form at the top of an extended move up, and bullish pin bars that form at the bottom of an extended move down.
✅Entry and exit is very simple. If you are going short on a bearish pin bar, enter short when the next candle opens and ticks below the low of the bearish pin bar. If you are going long at your fx broker, enter long when the next candle opens and ticks above the high of the bullish pin bar.
❗️Keep in mind that these are general trading concepts that build on the collective experience of traders. Even though a lot of traders believe that these chart patterns have a bearing on the future direction of the price there are no guarantees in trading. Forex & gold trading is risky and you should never speculate with funds you cannot afford to lose.
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Tradingstrategies
USDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHi Traders,
USDCHF rallied last week into a daily bearish order block and I expect it cause a retracement in the bullish rally.
As you can see on my chart, I have marked out the buy-side liquidity that I expect the price to go and hunt before the sell-off begins.
Also, the dollar index is showing that there is likely to be a short-term bearish move in the dollar which is meant to impact USDJPY.
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Dollar Index analysis
USDJPY analysis
XAGUSD analysis
Cheers,
David
USDCHF ____ INCOMING BULLISH EXPANSIONHello guys,
If you follow me already, you will know that I get my directional bias from the dollar index. In my previous post on the dollar (inserted below) I stated that I am bullish on the dollar which would mean I am bearish on USDCHF.
As you may see on my chart, I expect the price to run into my POI after inducing early buyers as marked on the chart before the continuation of the bearish move from last week.
You will also notice that we have sell-side liquidity just inside the POI and also a daily FVG which will draw price to it.
If you like this, check out my profile for more.
DXY ANALYSIS
EURUSD ANALYSIS
GBPUSD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
David
CADJPY ____ LIQUIDITY SWEEP INCOMINGHello Traders,
Have approached a monthly supply zone (marked with red). Price is meant to reach this level. Due to the fact that this is obvious to everyone, price manipulation will have to happen to ensure people are liquidated before the sell-off.
One way the market does this price manipulation is to induce people and form a liquidity pool that it will sweep before the bearish expansion.
As marked on my chart, you will notice that there is buy-side liquidity just below the monthly supply zone. Once the price sweeps this liquidity, I would have liquidated enough people before the selling begins.
I will advise you to wait and see how the price reacts to this zone before you decide to look for a bearish setup to trade.
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Cheers,
David
NZDJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
NZDJPY is currently trading in a strong supply zone, hence my bearish bias.
This pair has just swept buy-side liquidity, however, there might still be more manipulation underway so tread with caution.
I also did an analysis on GBPJPY (see below)
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GBPJPY ANALYSIS
Cheers,
David
XAGUSD ____ SELECTING THE BEST PAIRS TO TRADEHello Traders,
Using XAGUSD (Silver) as a case study, I will explain why you need to select the best possible pair to trade. The reason why this is so is because almost all the FX pairs are correlated one way or the other, hence you must always choose the one with the best narrative and the best setup.
When I say narrative, I mean the reason why you expect a particular move in the price i.e. a rally or drop in price.
Now using XAGUSD, the dollar index just entered a weekly order block (you can look at it on your chart) which could likely mean a short-term bearish move. With this knowledge, you now know that the dollar is likely to be the weaker currency among all dollar pairs. The next thing you want to do is scan all dollar pairs, looking for the one that is well positioned to show strength against the dollar to take a trade.
The reason why I picked XAGUSD, is because price entered a weekly demand-side FVG which should cause a rally in price. We also have another weekly FVG above the current price that is likely to be filled. Next, you can notice we have buy-side liquidity just below the weekly FVG. This gives price more reasons to rally.
Asides XAGUSD, other well-structured pairs are GBPUSD, USDCHF & EURUSD.
Always put your best foot forward.
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Below is my previous analysis on XAGUSD at the start of the week. I expected price to go into the FVG first before the dump to my target, however, price went to my target first so I'm guessing it's time to mitigate the buy=side weekly FVG.
Cheers,
David
NASDAQ 6H ANALYSISNASDAQ 6H ANALYSIS - According to the price chart, Nasdaq reached recent highs of 13900 levels before experiencing a pause in demand, with prices trading as low as 13530 levels. According to the law of elliot wave, the Nasdaq has been quite bullish for some time now, and the bullish run will continue all the way back up to 15000. We are now in a wave phase, with wave 4 having just finished. Wave 5 is projected to raise prices.
AUDCAD _____ PLAN YOUR TRADESHello traders,
AUDCAD is a pair that I have been watching for some time now. Right now, it is trading in a very interesting demand zone. This chart is on the daily timeframe. I want you to go into your weekly timeframe and notice the candlestick on which the demand zone (yellow box) is based. You will notice a strong buying in that candle.
I have noticed this candlestick and how it affects price movement. Most traders focus on just candlesticks but I want you to also focus on a narrative of why the candlestick and the incoming move make sense.
Let's build a narrative,
1. The monthly chart is showing a retracement of bullish price action. In essence, we expect to continue the bullish move soon
2. The weekly chart also has the same bullish narrative as the monthly chart and is inside a strong bullish candlestick
3. The daily chart is showing that sell-side liquidity has been swept on its way to the weekly demand zone. We also have buy-side liquidity to go after.
Now that's how you build a narrative before you start looking for a buy setup.
Remember, because your narrative makes a lot of sense, does not mean the market must obey. That is why you must NEVER ignore risk management.
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Cheers,
David
GBPCAD ____ BE PATIENT WITH THE MARKETHello Traders,
So I had taken a long on this pair but I was stopped out at breakeven. However, my bullish bias has not changed because the price is trading in a weekly and daily demand zone and we still have the obvious buy-side liquidity to sweep.
If you look at my chart you will notice that price just created a sell-side liquidity pool (relative equal lows) and as usual, one can expect the price to go ahead to sweep this liquidity.
One piece of advice I will give you guys is: whenever you want to take a trade, always look for where the liquidity pool/trap. This would help you escape being liquidated.
Right now, I am waiting for the price to sweep the sell-side liquidity and form a bullish setup so I can take a trade.
I will insert below my analysis on the trade that stopped me at breakeven
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PREVIOUS GBPCAD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
David
EURGBP ____ BULLISH MOVE ANALYSISHello traders,
We can see that price has formed relatively equal lows and highs which is famously known as sell-side and buy-side liquidity. What price is likely to do is hunt both liquidity pools because there would be buy/sell orders, stop-losses etc.
The market is more often than not going to go after the buy/sell side liquidity, thereby stopping so many traders out.
Whenever you want to take a trade, and you see this kind of setting, it is best you wait for the sweeping of these liquidity pools before looking for a trade setup that way, you will not be stopped out only for price to go your way.
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Cheers,
David
GBPJPY ____ INCOMING MASSIVE SHORTHello Traders,
This pair is on the verge of a dump... we have a strong supply zone (red box), and we just swept daily buy-side liquidity.
As you will also notice on my chart, on the lower timeframe such as 1 hour, you will see that price has created both buy-side and sell-side liquidity. As of now, the buy-side liquidity has been swept. This could mean that the dump may start... but be wary as more manipulations could still happen.
As you will see on my chart, there is massive sell-side liquidity to draw the price which is just above my TP.
I think we should keep tabs on this pair for a bearish move.
I will be posting the NZDJPY analysis also.
Follow for more updates.
Cheers,
David
23052023 - #USDJPYI said we could see another down move (based on equities Friday down) on break of daily BZ. Instead, the daily BZ is the lows; thus it is either no trade or go long. Market went up to near the highs.
PZ and BZ below are still acting as support; thus be long bias, and scalp longs with 139.25 as target for the day.
Also, look for longs with 138.09 and 137.45 as levels to go long if market give a pullback.
XAGUSD (SILVER) ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders,
If you follow me already, you will know that I get my directional bias from the dollar index. In my previous post on the dollar (inserted below) I stated that I am bullish on the dollar which would mean I am bearish on XAGUSD.
As you may see on my chart, I expect the price to be bullish at the start of the week. This will make the price enter into both a daily and weekly FVG, which will lead to a more bearish move in XAGUSD.
You will also notice that we have buy-side liquidity just inside the FVGs - more reasons for the bearish move.
If you like this, check out my profile for more.
DXY
EURUSD
GBPUSD
Cheers,
David
GBPUSD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello guys,
If you follow me already, you will know that I get my directional bias from the dollar index. In my previous post on the dollar (inserted below) I stated that I am bullish on the dollar which would mean I am bearish on GBPUSD.
As you may see on my chart, I expect the price to run into my POI after inducing early short selling as marked on the chart before the continuation of the bearish move from last week.
You will also notice that we have multiple sell-side liquidity just above my profit target zone which price loves to sweep.
If you like this, check out my profile for more.
DXY ANALYSIS
EURUSD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
David
EURUSD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello guys,
If you follow me already, you will know that I get my directional bias from the dollar index. In my previous post on the dollar (inserted below) I stated that I am bullish on the dollar which would mean I am bearish on EURUSD.
As you may see on my chart, I expect the price to run into the daily FVG as marked on the chart before the continuation of the bearish move from last week.
You will also notice that we have buy-side liquidity just below the daily FVG which will draw price to it.
If you like this, check out my profile for more.
DXY ANALYSIS
Cheers,
David
EURGBP ____ INCOMING BULLISH EXPANSIONHello Traders,
EURGBP is in an interesting zone, which is a weekly FVG (yellow box), and has reacted. I expect price manipulation in the blue box which is my area of interest to look for a long setup.
Another thing I would like you guys to look at is the weekly equal lows (you can use the daily timeframe to see it clearly) that have been swept with this week's price movement and to price into the weekly FVG.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Follow me if you are struggling with technical analysis.
Cheers,
David
US DOLLAR INDEX ____ BULLISH CONTINUATIONHello Traders,
We saw last week how the dollar index rallied heading toward a monthly supply zone (red box). However, we have a weekly supply zone (yellow box) just below the monthly supply zone.
I expect the dollar to run into the weekly zone but before that, it should take more orders from the daily demand zone (grey box) before the bullish expansion.
Let me know your view on the dollar in the comments.
I will be publishing more analyses so follow me not to miss out, especially if you are struggling to read price action.
Have a profitable week.
Cheers,
David
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 22/05Major indexes in the US were weaker as Debt ceiling concern weighs on bulls. European markets ended the week in the green while Asian markets were mixed. Traders will be closely watching news for some sort of agreement on the US debt ceiling once Congress finishes playing politics. For now, I expect a tentative Asian market open and for major risk to remain on the sidelines.
Expecting tentative open on Asian markets with the ASX200 and Hang Seng expected to open flat while the Nikkei to open slightly lower.
Debt ceiling talks and coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I expect that the debt ceiling will be raised once again as if they do not, volatility will spike hard and investors will drive Indexes lower.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper