#Head&Shoulder chart pattern in action
Head and shoulder definition: A simple head and shoulders top formation is characterized by a peak representing
the left shoulder, followed by a higher peak which is referred to as the head of the formation. A lower peak representing the right shoulder is found on the right‐hand side of the head. The head should be the highest peak in the formation. The neckline is a trendline that connects the troughs that lie on either side of the head. Necklines may be horizontal or inclined which in our case is inclined. In an inverted head and shoulders formation (also referred to as a head and shoulders bottom), the head is the lowest
trough within the formation.
Head and shoulder pattern completion: The head and shoulders formation is completed with a valid breakout of the neckline Until a valid penetration has occurred, the formation is regarded as merely tentative. But as you can see in our case the pattern is completed since we can see upside breakout of the chart pattern neckline.
Head and shoulder pattern target: The minimum one‐to‐one price objective or target for a head and shoulders top formation is simply the vertical distance between the head and the neckline projected downward from the neckline breakout level. For an inverted head and shoulders formation, the vertical distance is projected upward from the neckline breakout level. You can see this vertical line in the chart.
Head and shoulder pattern entry:
■■ Short at a break of the right shoulder’s uptrend line with a stop placed above the right shoulder or head (see Point 1 in Figure 13.9)
■■ Short at the peak of the right shoulder with a stop placed above the right shoulder or head, especially when there is a significant resistive confluence comprising of significant Fibonacci retracement levels, Floor Trader’s Pivot Point levels, and
psychologically important price levels associated with double and triple zeros
■■ Short at the right shoulder when it is testing the left shoulder’s resistance level, with a stop placed above the resistance level or head
■■ Short on a valid penetration of the neckline with a stop placed above the neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 2 in Figure 13.9)
■■ Short on a retest of the neckline after a valid penetration with a stop placed above the neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 3 in Figure 13.9)
■■ Short on the penetration of the price associated with the trough created by the retest action, with a stop placed above the trough, neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 4 in Figure 13.9)
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Source: the handbook of technical analysis by Mark Andrew Lim
Tradingstrategies
#USDCAD looking good for a sell4H bearish market structure as it can be seen in the chart, price just below an important structural point where price bounces up and down several times and shows that the area is important for traders.
there are 2 areas that price can tap into and reject from, one of them is a local top in recent price bullish corrective move, price can take out liquidity from above it and then resume moving lower in impulsive move. or price can come all the way up to test 1H timeframe high.
important notice for taking the position in area level 1 and 2 is:
* price cannot close above the arrow, it is possible that price goes above the arrow but it should return immediately and close below it.
* if price some how can manage to close above the 1H timeframe high then price short term bearish structure has shifted and therefor we can no longer looking for sell opportunities.
1 Rule to STOP a portfolio CRASH I guess my number one rule to prevent a portfolio going bust is my 20% Rule…
The rule is simple.
If my portfolio ever drops below 20%, due to a losing streak, I halt trading…
Notice the word halt instead of STOP.
When a portfolio is down 20%, this is where you’ll halt your trading but you’ll
KEEP following your trading strategy.
So, you’ll simply demo trade your system and continue journaling your entries and exits…
And only once the equity curve (your portfolio) goes back to all-time highs (on paper of course) then you can resume trading live…
Do you have a trading question? Ask in the comments and I'll fully answer it in one of these posts on TradingView...
Trade well, live free
Timon
MATI Trader
FTM/USDT4H Timeframe shows us a classic bearish divergence => For taking a short position I wanna see an extended bearish divergence, it's because we can see it more often while spotting the trend reverse ( wave 3 and wave 4 make classic bearish divergence, BUT then the wave 5 making a higher high and taking the stop loss liquidity of the waves 3 and 4, after that we can see an extended divergence)
! In between the waves 3,4 and the wave 5 usually there is a hidden bullish divergence!
On our FTM USDT chart we could notice a bearish divergence but it didn't go well, because MACD histogram did lower low while the chart was making higher high in the up trend, so it's a very nice bullish signal for taking a BUY position. If you missed it, no worries, just wait for the extended bearish divergence and go short!
ETHUSD ❕ BULLISH PATTERN FORMINGThe aftermath from FTX collapse fiasco causing panic selling and FUDs on DAX, investors are cautious of their crypto and even transferring out to cold wallets. However, ETH as well BTC is holding strong on chart pattern support and based on chart trends and technical analysis ETH has found bottom and will be seen consolidating sideways in the 1200-1500 region. I anticipate a rally in coming months if it able to hold on this region, the 1st target resistance is at 1800-2000 and following 2400-2600. If the pattern follows, we could anticipate a long bull run to 7000 region.
As Warren Buffett put it: “The stock market is a device which transfers money from the impatient to the patient.”
Disclaimer:
Non-financial advice, only for educational purposes.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURGBP Short following UK CPIfrom Caxton Daily Market View
GBP- High UK CPI Data Causes GBP Rally
Figures for UK YoY CPI released early this morning showed inflation increasing at a higher rate than the 10.7% markets had expected. In the aftermath of the news GBP snapped a four day rally against USD, likely as the market begins to cool after last weeks extended bull run. The figures put BoE Governor Bailey under heavy pressure to hike the rate by another 75bps in December. However, Bailey has recently voiced his concerns about the decline in the UK housing market and weak GDP growth. His speech at 13:30 today will hopefully clarify what the BoE plans to do in response to the figures.
from ING
GBP: BoE speakers in focus
Bank of England speakers will be in focus today after the release of the October CPI
data. This is expected to be peaking around the 11%year-on-year level around
now. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey and colleagues testify to the Treasury Select
Committee at 1515CET today. We suspect the message will be very much the same
as that given at the policy meeting earlier this month - i.e. do not expect 75bp hikes
to become common and that the market pricing of the tightening cycle is too
aggressive.
GBP/USD briefly peaked over 1.20 yesterday. We think 1.20 is a good level to hedge
GBP receivables. Equally, we have a slight preference for EUR/GBP staying over
0.8700. Tomorrow is the big event risk of the autumn budget - which on paper
should be sterling negative.
So all eyes are on the UK and GBP when the Bank of England governor speaks from now on. As if they weren't already. The GBP has declined every time the BoE has raised rates.
CPI y/y came in above expectations at 11.1% v's 10.7%
Core CPI y/y stays at 6.5%
PPI Input m/m is down to 0.6% from 0.9%
Double-digit inflation will not make the BoE MPC pivot from their current monetary policy
#USDSGD long#midterm trading idea
as you can see price recently test a very important static support area which has been tested 3 times before from above.
price took out liquidity from the lowest low of 3 bounces and failed to close below an arrow that we have on the chart. also if you check weekly timeframe you can see also price tested a 200 EMA as well and didn't close below EMA neither.
for taking this position:
1- we need a bullish engulfing candle which shows that bulls are back.
2- a bearish corrective to test supporting area
3- taking a position in direction of the primary trend which base on DOW theory is still intact and we still dealing with bullish market.
it is important also to have a look at DXY chart to make sure it holds above 104.620
trading idea is invalid if:
1- price close below 104.620 on DXY on Daily timeframe
2- price close below 1.3659 on USDSGD on Daily timeframe
#EURCHFanother similar selling opportunity like what we have on #EURJPY.
again we have bearish impulsive which is followed by a corrective bullish move, showing that price have an intention of more downside move, but in order to do that price needs to take out liquidity from somewhere.
so in order to short this pair following things need to happen:
1- price comes up to reach the arrow which also is a static resistance area
2- price fails to close above the arrow
3- lower timeframe price structure shift to bearish. ( in lower timeframe price fail to create HH or HL and turn downside)
How to Blow Your Account | Step-By-Step Guide 💰 to 🪙
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss the set of actions, habits and beliefs that will blow your account.
1. Trades are based on emotional decisions
Behind each trading position must be a reason.
The entry reason of a professional trader is based on a very strict and objective conditions, while an unprofitable trader follows emotions and intuition.
2. Stop loss placement is for losers
A lot of traders consistently neglect placing a stop loss. Remember, just one single trade without that may blow your entire account.
3. Set unrealistic goals
There is a common misconception concerning trading: that the equity size is not proportional to potential gains. Such a reasoning leads to various false conclusions.
One who is trading with 100$ account and expecting to buy lambo, will inevitably blow the account.
4. No time for trade journaling
Why to even bother yourself with trade journaling?! It is just waste of time.
Remember, that trading journal is one of that best tools for learning. Constantly assessing your past decisions, you identify the flaws of your strategy and fix that, increasing your future gains.
5. Trading plan is for fools
I know a lot of traders who trade without a plan.
Remember, that the trading plan is your roadmap. Without that, it is impossible to become a consistently profitable trader.
6. Blindly following other's view
While you are learning how to trade, your task is to learn the reasoning behind the trades of the pro's in the industry. Following them without reflections, you are not learning and, moreover, you are becoming dependent. Losing, you put the responsibility on their shoulders instead of yours.
Such an approach will lead you to failure.
Learn to become responsible in your trading decisions and execute your own analysis before you follow any other trader.
7. Who needs economic data
As we discussed many times, fundamentals are the driver of the market. Neglecting the trends and global situation, not studying the news, you will unavoidably be fooled by the market.
8. Indicators are the magic pill
I know a lot of traders, who spend thousands of dollars looking for a magic indicator - the instrument that will make tons of money.
The fact is that indicators are just a tool in your toolbox. Its goal is to provide some minor additional clues to your analysis.
Overestimating the importance of indicators, you will most likely blow your account.
9. Not investing in education
Many traders are spending their money not on education but on fancy tools, signal services, robots and indicators.
However, the fact is that only knowledge gives freedom, only skills can make you independent.
10. Back testing is pointless
Trying different strategies, many traders intentionally skip the back testing part.
Remember, that back testing is the most proven way to verify the efficiency of a strategy, allowing you to save time and money simultaneously.
11. Paper trading does not make any sense
Same thing with paper trading. For some reason, the majority of the traders skip demo trading, quickly opening a real account.
However, the fact is that demo trading is the best, risk-free tool for learning how the market works.
Unfortunately, these 11 fallacies and misconceptions are very common. Analyze your trading and make sure that you are not making these classic mistakes.
What would you add in that list?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
RVNL - POSITIONAL CALLThe stock has created strong support in the zone of 27.80 - 30.
Sustaining the same, it is most probably moving towards 42 to 52 levels in the coming months.
Type of Trade: Positional Long Call
Verdict
27.80 - 30 is a region of support.
Trades?
Buying on the dip, depending on how price action is.
USDJPY DOWNTREND TO TEST SUPPORTUSDJPY is downtrend can be seen based on price action and volume, looking like consolidation making reversal at 144 level before moving up again. VP ALGO signal given the confirmation.
Disclaimer
This information only serves as reference information and does not constitute a buy or sell call. Conduct your own research and assessment before deciding to buy or sell.
ETHUSD Breaking Trendline To Test ResistanceETH has made a bullish price action movement with good volume over the past few days and importantly breaking a 3-month period trendline.
However, ETH finding resistance at 1630 level, if it fails to break will reverse to find support at 1480 level for continuation of bullish movement upward next resistance level 2000.
Please support if you like my idea and do not forget to press the ✅BOOST BUTTON✅ 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends. Have a good trade.
DISCLAIMER:
This idea is for information and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any of the stocks mentioned herein. The speakers or his staff may have positions in some of those stocks
Trading involve risks, including possible loss of principle and other losses
If investment and other professional advice are required, the services of a licensed professional personal should be sought.
GBPUSDGBPUSD:
According to monthly timeframe, market is oversold. Market has been at its lowest dated back to 85'. September candle closed with wick rejection bullish (doji candle). market has potential retest of monthly support becoming resistance. Due to the above I therefore believe the market may need a correction before a potential run bearish again.
Daily timeframe shows strong bearish trend. Support at bottom blue level, and resistance at top blue level. We are still within a daily ABCD Fibonacci sequence bearish. A break below daily trendline support in September thereafter the market made a huge pullback to 61.8% retracement level. Potential Gartley sequence forming should the market find support at bottom blue level where we can expect the market to begin a rally towards the top blue level for resistance and then continuation bearish for future daily low and future daily fibonacci target. If dollar strength continues one can expect the continuation to play out, if dollar losses strength we can expect a new bullish trend for the longer term. If the market breaks above resistance trendline and does not form the "D" gartley at this level I'll step back and not expect the bearish continuation until further analysis.
Of course this is a long term setup, so this could take weeks/ months/ years. But the important thing is getting direction right which will give a trader an edge on the market and to deploy their selling or buying strategy.
#Successformula
2400+ PIPS INTO THE FUTUREThis pair firstly respect round number,A range that started since 08 June till 22 Sept 2022 that the market gave a clear direction.
A repeat of 22 June 2015 price level is likely to play out bring an overall price target to $195.00.
A very massive BULLISH is eminent based on the confluence with over 3 technical indicators especially the third bounce on the trendline.i am rooting for a long while i take out 50% of my profit at $175.00
GOOD LUCK SWING TRADERS
MTF Wave Stochastic RSI full wave example JASMY/USDTA good example for a full MTF Wave Stoch RSI full wave on the 12h time frame with clear entry and exit on the MTF. Although it is an old PA for JASMY, I find this one of the best case studies on how to read the Stoch waves on the MTF for precision entries, from which we can learn from. Don't hesitate to ask if you have any questions!
2 TradingView Strategies for trading GoldTradingView offers a great deal of built-in and community-led features, including Indicators and Strategies. It is the latter feature that I will discuss in this trading guide in relation to trading one of our clients' favourite instruments to trade, gold.
Strategies are programmes, written in the Pine Script language, which can execute, modify, and close buy and sell orders. The Strategies are programmed to perform these actions automatically when certain conditions are met as it relates to a tradeable asset. You can think of Strategies as automated trading robots.
TradingView has thousands of Strategies that you can run on your charts. Strategies are typically created to work best with certain instruments and certain time frames. But bear in mind, that not all Strategies are created equal, and you should be very careful with what Strategies you select and ensure that you back tested them before deciding to implement them in a live trading environment.
With the cautions out of the way, lets now dive into two TradingView Strategies that are popular with gold traders.
Buy - Take Profit OR Stop Loss % Based (BTP/SLB)
The BTP/SLB Strategy will enter sell trades when the price of gold closes above the look-back period’s 200 SMA. Once the script enters a trade, the BTP/SLB will hold the trade until it hits its percentage-based stop loss or take profit level.
Using TradingView’s Beta ‘Deep Backtesting’ feature, we can see that the 30-minute time frame appears to be one of the most successful periods to apply this Strategy on. It might pay to alter the Stop loss percentage from the default 2% in order to maximise the Strategies win rate.
A note caution: the Strategy appears to disregard the trend direction of the SMA. We can see that the Strategy frequently enter losing trades when the market is in a longer-term upwards trend (see the candles around late-July to early-August). To overcome this limitation, it might be wise to simply apply the Strategy to your chart without activating it, so that you can manually enter a trade after the Strategies conditions are met, but you can also eye a general downtrend over a longer-term timeframe.
XAU/USD RSI EMA 1hour strategy
The XAU/USD RSI EMA 1hour Strategy follows some simple rules using data from an RSI and an EMA. When the price of gold is above the EMA and the RSI indicates high oversold conditions, then the Strategy enters a long trade. Conversely, when the price of gold is below the EMA and the RSI indicates low oversold conditions, then the Strategy enters a short trade.
I would suggest that you ignore the name of this Strategy and explore the use of this Strategy on lower, especially if you are interested in entering and exiting trades frequently. However, the accuracy of the Strategy may change on these different time frames, but an exploration could prove fruitful under the right conditions.
NASDAQ US100 Long IdeaLooks like the last day or so has produced a bullish triangle in the Nasdaq.
We're just waiting for confirmation of a breakout