ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TADING STRETEGYAnalysis of EURUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bearish trend
2. Bullish Divergence
3. No continuation pattern
4. Double Bottom reversal pattern formed
5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop on first HH and stop loss at LL as no HL is still formed
Tradingstrategies
10:1 Risk-to-Reward Setup - Bull Flag Breakout with Multi-TimeThis trade setup shows a confluence of multiple factors, aligning with a high-probability approach. Here's the breakdown:
Bull Flag Breakout:
The trade initiates after identifying a bull flag, which is a common continuation pattern following an impulsive upward move. This flag signals consolidation before a further upward push. The breakout from the bull flag gives a strong entry point.
Entry Criteria:
The entry was placed at 2560.404, slightly above the breakout area, ensuring momentum confirmation.
A Stop-Loss (SL) of 30 pips was positioned below the structure, protecting the trade while allowing enough room for price fluctuations. This is crucial to avoid tight stops that may trigger prematurely.
Key Support/Resistance Levels:
5M Lower Time Frame (LTF) S/R: This level acts as a lower frame confirmation zone, ensuring support below the bull flag breakout.
15M Support/Resistance (S/R): The larger structure aligns with the 5-minute support, adding strength to the trade by recognizing that price is supported by multiple timeframes.
Target (TP) and Higher Time Frame (HTF) Confluence:
300 Pips TP is based on the HTF Trendline, offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1. This suggests the trade is aligned with a broader market trend, increasing the probability of success.
Zone of Liquidity (LQZ):
5M LQZ represents a liquidity grab, further confirming that the market might push upwards after grabbing liquidity near support.
Key Confluences:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Price action supports the move on both lower and higher timeframes.
Risk Management: A well-defined stop-loss ensures minimal risk with a substantial reward target.
Pattern Identification: The bull flag within the trend adds reliability, as flags in impulsive moves offer strong continuation signals.
This trade follows the "Rule of Three," where at least three confirmations (bull flag, multiple timeframe support, and risk/reward alignment) give the highest probability of success.
XAGUSD / BREAKING DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , under downward pressure as long as trading below supply zone .
as long as remain below supply zone between 31.01 and 31.41 , it suggest decline to reach 30.57 , then breaking and stabilizing below it by open 4h candle expected further decline to 30.09 .
however , stabilizing above 31.41 , it indicates still continues rising to reach 31.74 and 31.96 , then stabilizing above it reach a ATH at 32.50 .
Turning Level : 31.01 and 31.41
XAUUSD / TRADING BELOW 2,572$ (ATH) - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
gold under bearish pressure if stabilizing below 2,570$ but breaking this level reach a new resistance zone between 2,580$ and 2,592$.
As long as the price remains and stabilizes below $2,570, it suggests a potential decline, with the first target being $2,551. If the price falls below this level, further downside movement could lead to a drop toward $2,531.
However, if the price breaks above the $2,570 resistance, it may initiate an upward movement, aiming for a new resistance zone between $2,580 and $2,592. This zone will act as a potential barrier to further upward momentum.
Turning Level : 2,570$
EURUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
EURUSD is currently trading above the turning level of 1.099 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario , Since the price is trading above the turning level 1.099, it suggests an initial bullish sentiment , If the price rises and reaches the resistance level at 1.107, it indicates that the upward momentum is strong. A price movement above this level suggests further bullish potential , If the price stabilizes above 1.107 and continues rising, reaching 1.110 would confirm a sustained uptrend, as the market would have shown resilience and strength above previous resistance.
The Second Scenario , If the price falls below 1.099 and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this indicates a bearish shift as the price has broken through a support level , A decline to the support level at 1.094 would be a further bearish signal, For a confirmed downtrend, the price needs to break through the established channel and stabilize below it. This would indicate that the bearish trend is likely to continue, as the price has not only broken support but also failed to recover.
UPWARD LEVEL : 1.107 , 1.110 .
DOWNWARD LEVEL : 1.094 .
USDJPY / BREAKING THE CHANNEL - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After breaking the channel, prices are attempting to reach the support level at 138.810.
As long as they stabilize below 142.231, a decline is expected to reach 138.810, and further below that, 137.306. This downward momentum is contingent on maintaining resistance below 142.231.
However, if 142.231 is breached, it could signal a potential rise toward the next resistance level at 144.401. Breaking this level would suggest bullish momentum, and for a stronger confirmation of an upward trend, prices need to sustain themselves above 144.401, eventually targeting the 147.401 level.
TURNING LEVEL : 142.231
XAUUSD / REACHED NEW HISTORICAL PEAKS - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
as mentioned in the last chart stabilizing above 2,526$ rising and reach historical peak , reached + 240 pip profit .
Currently, prices are trading above $2,531. As long as they remain above this level, an upward movement is expected towards $2,560 and $2,570. This rise is likely to continue as long as prices trade above $2,526 and $2,519.
However, if the price breaks below $2,519, a decline is anticipated, with the first target being $2,507, followed by $2,491.
TURNING LEVEL : 2,519$
NOTUSD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HNOTUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Downward Condition:
The fact that the price is trading below the 0.008 level indicates a bearish sentiment in the market. When prices remain below this level, it suggests that sellers are in control, applying downward pressure on the , If the price continues to decline, it will likely test the 0.007 level as the next support. If that level is broken, the next target would be 0.006, reinforcing the bearish outlook. These support levels are key indicators of how low the price might drop.
Upward Condition:
If the price manages to break above 0.008 with a strong close, it would signal a shift in market momentum. A 4-hour close above this level indicates that buyers are gaining strength, potentially reversing the downward , Once 0.008 is broken, the next resistance would be at 0.009. This level needs to be breached to confirm a sustained upward move , For a full reversal of the downward trend and confirmation of an uptrend, the price would need to break above 0.009, with the next target being 0.010. This would signify buyer dominance and a stronger upward momentum.
Current Market Analysis:
The market is currently under pressure, with sellers driving prices below 0.008. However, should buyers step in and push the price back above 0.008, the market could shift upward, targeting 0.009. Until the 0.009 level is broken, the market remains in a cautious state, and sellers may still hold influence.
TURNING LEVEL : 0.008
BTCUSDT: IDEA THAT MIGHT RESONATE SOONHello All,
Welcome to the quick update of BTCUSDT . We have seen BTC touch the levels of $ 52500 and retrace a bit until $ 58000 but couldn't hold it.
We can see it dumping and is currently trading around $56100.
The next levels to watch out for are $54700 and $53800 . If this holds, we can see BTC pump again and might make a new high in a few months.
Support levels: $54700. $53900, $49600 in the long run.
Resistance levels: $58027, $61100, $64000, and $72000 in the long run.
Let's wait and see how this pans out. Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES !!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
ScramblerG is always there to help and trade with caution but DYOR.
USDJPY / TRADING BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USDJPY , is currently trading below the turning level of 145.446 and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The first scenario, Current price is trading below the resistance trend line at 145.446, If the price remains below this level, it is expected to decline , Target levels for this decline are 142.226 and, potentially, 140.745.
The second scenario , If the price breaks above the resistance trend line at 145.446 and stabilizes above it , It suggests a potential increase , Target levels for the increase are 147.516 and, potentially, 149.310.
UPWARD LEVEL : 147.516 , 149.310.
DOWNWARD LEVEL : 142.226 , 140 .745.
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The First Scenario , The support level at 65.35 acts as a critical threshold; as long as prices remain above it, buyers dominate, pushing the price towards 68.74 and then 69.98. This rise reflects increased confidence in an uptrend. For the trend to be fully confirmed, prices must stabilize above 69.98, signaling sustained momentum, which could lead to a further increase to 71.59.
The Second Scenario , if the price breaks below 65.35 and stabilizes, it indicates a shift in market sentiment, with sellers gaining control and potentially driving the price down to 63.35, followed by 62.65 This technical analysis underscores the importance of price levels in predicting future market movements and investor behavior.
UPWARD TARGET :
68.74 , 69.98 , 71.59 .
DOWNWARD TARGET :
63.35 , 62.65 .
Why Most Traders Fail—and How You Can Succeed!The charts you provided showcase potential scenarios based on different liquidity zones (LQZ) on multiple timeframes, such as 15M, 1H, and 4H. Let's break down the key insights from the images:
Key Levels:
Weekly Flag Trendline: This yellow trendline represents the long-term trend and acts as a major resistance or support. It’s crucial to monitor price action around this level for significant moves.
4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zone) at 2,532.077: This level signifies an important area of liquidity on the 4-hour chart. It’s a potential reversal point or continuation area depending on how the price interacts with it.
1HR LQZ and 15M LQZ: These shorter timeframe liquidity zones are at 2,482.129 and 2,470.544 respectively. They act as interim targets or bounce zones based on the smaller trend movements.
Price Action Context:
Wedge Formation: The rising wedge pattern visible in all the charts, combined with slowing momentum near the top, suggests possible bearish pressure. Wedges often lead to sharp breakouts, so a breakout to the downside would align with the wedge structure.
Multi-Touch Confirmation: The multiple touches on trendlines, both support and resistance, increase the probability of significant movements. This concept is supported by multi-touch confirmation techniques.
Scenario Planning:
Upside Potential: A breakout above the 4HR LQZ suggests further bullish momentum, likely toward higher liquidity zones. This can result in a continuation to the upside, as shown with the green line projection on some charts.
Downside Risks: A breakdown below the wedge support and failing to hold the 15M or 1HR LQZ may lead to a bearish move toward the lower liquidity targets. The yellow line projections suggest a pullback to 2,485.055 and potentially lower.
The Trinity Rule Approach:
Confluence Setup: If price interacts with three major zones (like the 4HR LQZ, wedge support, and Weekly Flag Trendline), we can assess whether these align with other signals. This rule adds extra confirmation for higher-probability setups, as discussed in your document.
Overall, price action shows a decision point around the wedge and liquidity zones, with strong reactions expected in either direction.
XAUUSD / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The overall trend is downward , until trading around 2,526$ and 2,531$
The expectation of prices rising to $2,526 and $2,531 before dropping can be explained by resistance levels at these points, which often cause a pullback in prices. If gold remains below $2,531, the downtrend is likely to continue, supported by technical indicators showing declining momentum. The forecast of a drop to $2,507 is based on previous support levels where the price tends to stabilize.
However, if gold closes above $2,531 on a 4-hour chart, it suggests a breakout, signaling a shift in sentiment and potentially leading to higher prices, supported by market momentum. The projection of reaching $2,540 and $2,551 aligns with historical price peaks and psychological levels that traders often target in a rally.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 2,507 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,526$ , 2,531$ .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,507$ , 2,475$ .
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE IN THE DAILY CHART - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELO TRADERS
The overall trend is uptrend , until trading above demand zone in the daily chart .
Current Position Prices are above the demand zone, which is a strong support area. This indicates that the current support level is holding and may lead to a price increase , For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices need to break and stabilize above turning level at 71.82 . Successfully doing so suggests that the bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices towards the next resistance levels at 74.24 and then 76.21.
If prices fall below 71.82 and stabilize, it indicates that the support level is no longer effective, potentially leading to a decline , If prices reach 69.18 and a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below this level, it suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A further break and stabilization below 68.28 would confirm a sustained bearish trend, indicating further price decreases.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 71.82 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.18 , 68.28 .
USOIL / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 71.85 .
The significant decline in USOIL prices yesterday suggests a bearish momentum, which aligns with the observed price action falling below the critical level of 71.85. This indicates a continuation of the downward trend, making the next support level at 69.81 a logical target. If prices break this support, it would likely trigger further selling pressure, leading to declines toward 68.46 and 66.85, which are key levels of interest based on previous market behavior.
On the other hand, for a reversal to the upside, the price needs to break back above 71.85, which currently serves as a turning point. Breaching this level would signal a potential shift in market sentiment, opening the way to test the resistance at 74.24. If the price stabilizes above this resistance, it would reinforce the bullish case, paving the way for further gains toward 76.21 and eventually 77.51.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 71.85 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 , 77.51 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.81 , 68.46 , 66.85 .
What I'll be looking for USOIL on next few days.The price is at a crossroads and tomorrow's data will be, as always, decisive for the decision-making that will direct the market in the coming days. I will be waiting for this most likely downward movement, but always paying attention to what the price shows at any given moment. Be careful, trade safely and stay calm. I wish you all an excellent trading week!
USOIL / TRADING BELOW FVG AREA - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below FVG .
As long as prices stay below the turning level of 74.78, a decline is expected, potentially reaching the support level (1) at 73.03, and then 71.51.
However, if prices break above the turning level and close a 4-hour candle above it, the trend may shift upward, with potential to reach the resistance level at 76.18. Breaking this resistance could lead to further gains, targeting 77.52.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 74.78
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 76.18 , 77.52
SUPPORT LEVELS :73.03 , 71.51
XAGUSD / TRADING BELOW FVG - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
The market trend is largely bearish, with the price staying below the turning level of 29.98, indicating a potential drop to the support level (1) at 28.11, and possibly further to the next target at 27.18. However, if the price breaks through the bounce level, it may shift upward toward the resistance level (1) at 29.51. To confirm a bullish trend, the price must break through this resistance and stabilize above it, aiming for 30.48 .
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 29.98
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 29.51 , 30.48
SUPPORT LEVELS : 28.11 , 27.18
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated.
Chart Analysis
1. Weekly Flag Trendline:
- The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up.
2. Price Action Inside the Flag:
- Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout.
3. Potential Breakout Zones:
- Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback.
4. Smaller Patterns:
- On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels.
5. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above.
6. Current Market Context:
- The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news.
Trading Strategy and Considerations
- Entry Points:
- If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend.
- For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias.
- Monitoring Price Action:
- Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown.
By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
GBP/USD Strategic Insights: Q3 Breakouts and Q4 ProjectionsAnalyzing GBP/USD: A Journey Through Accumulation, Breakouts, and Forecasting
Q2 2024: The Accumulation Phase
During the second quarter of 2024, the British Pound entered a pronounced accumulation phase. Institutional buyers were actively engaged, positioning their trades to capitalize on future movements. This period set the stage for subsequent price actions and was crucial in understanding the currency's resilience.
Q3 2024: Strategic Movements and False Breakouts
As the third quarter commenced, the GBP/USD experienced a deceptive breakout to the downside, aligning perfectly with the Camarilla pivot support levels at S3 and S4. This false move highlighted the strength of these levels as key support zones, underscoring why initiating short trades—common among retail traders—was strategically questionable at this juncture.
By June 2024, the GBP/USD climbed towards $1.2800, briefly entering a distribution/accumulation phase, which prepped the market for an anticipated bullish continuation.
Mid-Q3 Breakout and Profit Realization
By mid-August 2024, propelled by institutional trading, GBP/USD convincingly broke past the R4 Camarilla level at $1.2950. This breakout targeted the R5 level at $1.3200, identified as the optimal take-profit point. This movement marked a significant transition from the previous range-bound market conditions, showcasing the effectiveness of strategic pivot level monitoring.
Anticipating Q4 2024: Calm Before the Next Move
Looking ahead to September 2024, expectations are set for subdued trading activity, with the GBP/USD likely oscillating between $1.3000 and $1.3200. This forecasted lull suggests another accumulation/distribution phase that could serve as a precursor to more definitive movements in the fourth quarter.
Conclusion and Forward Outlook
The trajectory of GBP/USD points towards stability in the near term, with potential gearing up for another significant movement as we approach the end of 2024. Traders should monitor these pivotal levels closely, as they offer valuable insights and strategic entry points. Given the currency’s recent history and the robust support demonstrated at key Camarilla levels, a bullish bias may be advisable heading into the next quarter, with careful attention to any shifts that might suggest a different course.
Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to navigate through these dynamic market phases and extract actionable insights to enhance our trading strategies.
BNBUSD ( BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL ) ( 4H )BNBUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , after breakout the channel .
Turning Level: The price is currently trading above this level around 512.2 . As long as it remains stable and stays above this level, a rising toward the resistance level (1) is likely . However, if the price breaks under this level and a 4-hour candle closes below it, an downward move toward the support level (1) can be expected.
support Level (1) : around 488.2 , The price is currently above turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle below the turning level at 512.2 . If the price reaches 488.2 , and stabilizes below it, it will likely attempt to reach support level (2) .
support Level (2): When the price breaks through support Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 468.1 . To confirm an downward , the price needs to reach this level before moving on to support Level (3) at 431.1 .
Resistance Level (1): As long as the price remains above the turning level of 512.2 , it suggests a rising towards 556.2 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance Level (2).
Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through resistance level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 582.9 . To confirm an uptrend , the price needs to reach this level before climb on to resistance Level (3) at 605.8 .
Channel Trend: the trading rate within the descending channel .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 556.2 , 582.9 , 605.8 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 488.2 , 468.1 , 431.1 .
DOGECOIN / CONTINUES RANGE MOVEMENT - 4H DOGECOIN / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under upward pressure , until trading above turning level at 0.09 .
Upward Condition : The price is currently experiencing bullish momentum. As long as it remains above the 0.09 turning level , it is likely to move upward toward the resistance levels of 0.10 and then 0.11 .
Downward Condition : To reach the 0.08 support level (1) , the price needs to first break the turning level by closing a 4-hour candle below 0.09. If it stabilizes below support level (1) , a further decline toward the support level (2) at 0.07 can be anticipated .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 0.11 .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 0.10 .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 0.08 .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 0.07 .
TURNING LEVEL : 0.09 .
GBPUSD / TRADING ABOVE TURNING LEVEL - 4HGBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level at 1.292 .
Turning Level: The price is currently trading above this level around 1.292. As long as it remains stable and stays above this level, a rising toward the resistance level (1) is likely . However, if the price breaks under this level and a 4-hour candle closes below it, an downward move toward the support level (1) can be expected.
support Level (1) : around 1.283 , The price is currently above turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle below the turning level at 1.292. If the price reaches 1.283 , and stabilizes below it, it will likely attempt to reach support level (2)
support Level (2): When the price breaks through support Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 1.275 . To confirm an downward , the price needs to reach this level before moving on to support Level (3) at 1.266 .
Resistance Level (1): As long as the price remains above the turning level of 1.292 , it suggests a rising towards 1.303 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance Level (2).
Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through resistance level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 1.310 . To confirm an uptrend , the price needs to reach this level before climb on to resistance Level (3) at 1.316 .
Channel Trend: the prices trading inside the channel .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.303 , 1.310 , 1.316 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.283 ,1.275 , 1.266 .