HOW to SPARK New Trading IdeasToday I want you to use your imagination.
I want you to ignite new, profitable and powerful trading ideas.
Let’s embark on a journey to ignite your trading creativity, transforming the mundane into the extraordinary.
Speak to Traders – The Power of Conversation
Nothing beats the raw, unfiltered insights you can gain from chatting with fellow traders.
It’s like opening a portal to a universe brimming with unique strategies and perspectives.
Whether it’s a casual coffee meet-up or a spirited discussion on trading forums, the exchange of ideas can light up that creative spark within you.
As you know I’ll be doing a lot more videos and live events, you’ll have the opportunity to share your ideas, analyses and ask questions!
Remember, every trader has a story, a battle scar, or a victory dance.
These are not just tales; they are potential blueprints for your next big trade.
Let Your Mind Wander – The Art of Creative Thinking
In the hustle of tick charts, Bitcoin rallies, and economic news, your best trading idea could be waiting in the quiet.
It’s time to get your creative juices flowing.
Take a walk, meditate, have more showers or simply gaze out the window.
It’s in these moments of apparent idleness that your brain connects the dots, craft strategies that you wouldn’t have thought of while staring at screens.
Give yourself permission to dream, and watch as those dreams morph into actionable trading ideas.
Explore Online – The Digital Goldmine
The internet is a goldmine for traders seeking inspiration.
With endless resources at your fingertips, from real-time market analysis to historical data, the possibilities are limitless.
Take the opportunity to dive into financial news websites, scrutinize market trends on social platforms, or get lost in the vast ocean of trading blogs.
Each click can unravel patterns and opportunities. And it will help propel you towards your next trading venture.
Remember, the digital world is your trading oyster, and every piece of information is a potential pearl of wisdom.
Trading Podcasts – Voices That Inspire
In today’s fast-paced world, trading podcasts are the lighthouses guiding traders through the fog of information overload.
They provide not just market insights but also foster a sense of community.
Whether you’re on your daily commute or taking a break, tune into a trading podcast.
Let the voices of experienced traders be the wind beneath your wings, propelling you towards new horizons.
Write Down Ideas – The Might of the Pen
An idea, until it’s written down, is like a spark that risks being extinguished by the slightest breeze.
The simple act of writing can turn this spark into a flame.
Keep a journal of your trading thoughts, no matter how fleeting or outlandish they may seem.
Over time, this journal becomes a repository of your trading evolution, a place where ideas can be nurtured and refined.
This practice not only sharpens your trading acumen but also serves as a beacon during times of doubt.
FINAL WORDS:
Remember, every great trader was once a beginner, armed with nothing but a passion for the markets and a willingness to learn.
So, let your ideas flow, for in the world of trading, today’s whimsy could be tomorrow’s windfall.
Let’s some up ways for you to ignite and spark new profitable and powerful trading ideas.
Speak to Traders – The Power of Conversation
Let Your Mind Wander – The Art of Creative Thinking
Explore Online – The Digital Goldmine
Trading Podcasts – Voices That Inspire
Write Down Ideas – The Might of the Pen
Tradingstrategies
Options Blueprint Series: All-Time High Christmas Tree SpreadIntroduction
As Nasdaq futures continue to show bullish momentum, traders are eyeing the potential for a new all-time high. With market conditions favoring upward movements, leveraging options strategies that maximize upside potential becomes crucial. One such strategy is the Christmas Tree Spread, traditionally used to limit risk while maintaining profit potential. However, in this article, we will explore a modified version where all strikes are Out-Of-The-Money (OTM), creating a setup that profit to the upside no matter how high Nasdaq goes. This approach aligns perfectly with the optimistic outlook for Nasdaq futures and sets the stage for potential gains.
Strategy Overview
The Christmas Tree Spread is a versatile options strategy that can be tailored to suit various market conditions. Traditionally, when using calls, it involves buying one call at a lower strike price and selling three calls at higher strike prices and buying two more calls at even higher strike prices, creating a balanced risk-reward profile. In this modified version, we adjust the strikes to all be Out-Of-The-Money (OTM), enhancing the bullish nature of the strategy.
For this setup, while Nasdaq Futures are trading at 19,982.75, we select the following strike prices for Nasdaq futures options with an expiration date of September 2024:
Buy one 20000 call
Sell three 21500 calls
Buy two 21750 calls
By choosing these strikes, we position ourselves to benefit from any substantial upward movement in Nasdaq futures. All strikes being OTM ensures that the breakeven point is set above the current price, effectively betting on a new all-time high for Nasdaq. This configuration guarantees profit to the upside, regardless of how high Nasdaq futures rise.
Strategy Rationale
The rationale behind selecting an all OTM strike setup for the Christmas Tree Spread lies in the current bullish outlook for Nasdaq futures. As markets exhibit strong upward trends, the potential for Nasdaq to achieve new all-time highs becomes increasingly plausible. This strategy aims to capitalize on such a possible bullish scenario.
Why OTM Strikes?
Lower Cost: OTM options are generally cheaper, reducing the initial cost of setting up the spread.
Increased Profit Potential: Since all strikes are set above the current market price, the profit potential is maximized for any substantial upward movement.
Risk Mitigation: The structure of the spread inherently limits risk, as losses are capped while allowing for upside gains.
Breakeven Point: The breakeven point for this modified Christmas Tree Spread is calculated based on the premiums paid and received for the options. Given the strikes selected (20000, 21500, and 21750), the breakeven point is above the current E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures price (20,465.62), aligning with the expectation of a new all-time high.
Detailed Setup and Example Trade
Setup Details:
Buy one 20000: This is the lower strike option, purchased to gain exposure to significant upside potential.
Sell three 21500 calls: These are the middle strike options, sold to offset the cost of the purchased call and to create a spread.
Buy two 21750 calls: These are the higher strike options, purchased to cap the potential loss from the sold calls and complete the spread.
Premiums Involved: Assuming the following hypothetical premiums:
20000 call: 683.38 points
21500 calls: 145.42 each (436.26 total for three)
21750 calls: 109.25 each (218.5 total for two)
Net Cost:
Total cost of buying calls: 683.38 (20000 call) + 218.5 (21750 calls) = 901.88
Total premium received from selling calls: 436.26 (21500 calls)
Net cost: 901.88 – 436.26 = 465.62
Risk Profile and Reward-to-Risk Ratio:
Maximum Risk: The maximum risk is limited to the net cost of the trade, which is 465.62 points.
Maximum Reward: The maximum reward would take place at 21500 on expiration and is 1034.39 points. The structure ensures 534.39 points of profit as the index potentially climbs higher.
Breakeven Point: The breakeven point is the initial cost added to the lower strike price, which is 20000 + 465.62= 20,465.62.
Trade Scenario: To illustrate, let's consider the potential outcomes at expiration in September 2024:
If Nasdaq is below 20000: All options expire worthless, and the net loss is the initial cost: 465.61 points.
If Nasdaq is at 21500: The 20000 call gains 1500, the 21500 calls expire worthless, and the 21750 calls expire worthless. Net gain = 1500 - initial cost = 1034.39 points.
If Nasdaq is at or above 21750: The 20000 call gains 1500, two of the 21500 calls each lose 250, and the 21750 calls expire worthless. Net gain = $1500 - 750 (total loss from sold calls) – 465.61 (initial cost) = 534.39 points.
Risk Management
Risk management is a crucial aspect of any trading strategy, especially when dealing with options. For the modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures options, several risk management techniques can be employed to ensure that potential losses are minimized and profits are protected.
Use of Stop-Loss Orders:
Stop-Loss: Implementing stop-loss orders can help limit losses if the market does not move as expected. Setting a stop-loss at a certain percentage below the purchase price can automatically exit the position, reducing the risk of holding losing trades.
Hedging Techniques:
Protective Puts: Purchasing protective puts can provide additional downside protection if the market moves significantly against the position. This can be considered if there are signs of a strong bearish reversal.
Spreading Risk: Diversifying the strike prices or expiration dates can spread the risk and reduce the impact of a single adverse market movement. However, this needs to be balanced with the strategy's intent and market conditions.
Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure:
Capped Risk: The strategy inherently caps risk by buying the 21750 calls, which limits the maximum loss from the sold 21500 calls. Ensuring that all components of the strategy are correctly implemented and monitored helps avoid unexpected risks.
Regular Monitoring: Regularly reviewing the position and market conditions ensures that the strategy remains aligned with the trader’s expectations and risk tolerance. Adjustments can be made as necessary to manage exposure.
By incorporating these risk management techniques, traders can enhance the robustness of the modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy, ensuring that potential losses are minimized while maximizing the chances of achieving the desired profit.
Application with Micro E-mini Nasdaq Options
The modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy can also be effectively applied to Micro E-mini Nasdaq futures options. Micro E-mini options offer the same strategic benefits but with smaller contract sizes (10 times less), making them more accessible for traders with smaller accounts or those looking to manage risk more precisely.
Advantages of Using Micro E-mini Options:
Lower Capital Requirement: The smaller contract size of Micro E-mini options means a lower initial cost, making it easier for more traders to participate.
Fine-Tuned Risk Management: Smaller positions allow for more precise control over risk, as traders can scale in and out of positions more easily.
Similar Profit Potential: While the absolute profit may be smaller compared to standard E-mini options, the percentage returns can be similar, providing an effective way to capture upside movements in E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures.
Comparison of Standard E-mini vs. Micro E-mini Options: Standard E-mini options have larger contract sizes and are typically used by traders with more significant capital to invest. In contrast, Micro E-mini options offer smaller contract sizes, making them ideal for traders with smaller accounts or those who prefer to manage risk more precisely. Both options provide the same strategic advantages but cater to different levels of investment and risk management needs.
Using Micro E-mini Nasdaq futures options provides traders with the same strategic advantage of capturing significant upside potential while managing risk effectively, aligning well with the bullish market outlook for E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures.
Conclusion
The modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy offers a robust and flexible approach to capitalizing on the bullish momentum of E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. By strategically placing all strikes Out-Of-The-Money and targeting a new all-time high, this setup ensures profit potential to the upside, no matter how high Nasdaq climbs. With proper risk management and precise execution, traders can maximize their gains while minimizing risks. Whether using standard E-mini options or Micro E-mini options, this strategy provides a powerful tool for navigating the current market conditions and positioning for future growth.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
BTC LEVELS FOR LONG Currently, we received a reaction from the daily level, which was at 65k, and the price is holding for now. If at some point we see that the correction continues, the FVG located from 63k-64.5 is an excellent longa zone. Of course, we always have to be ready for both cases, below there are strong levels of 60-61k. Only below that is the possibility for 50k. Better to go step by step and follow the changes
FVG BTC-a se takodje poklapa sa daily fvg na total marketu.
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted the lower support level to hold up the price to give us the opportunity to long into the order region above, which gave us a fantastic start to the week. We then said we wanted to short from the order region back down, but due to FOMC and CPI we would be looking for extreme levels above. Once price re-entered our order region we did continue with the plan but the range and accumulation meant we couldn’t complete the move down that we wanted, however, still getting a decent trade down.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week!
We have potential to start the week with short movement within the range we have plotted on the chart. The resistance level above sits at 2345-50 which needs to hold the price down for us to see a further move downside into the lower support region below, and potentially complete our plan from last week’s KOG Report.
Support 2320 is the hurdle this week and needs to be broken forcefully for us to then have more confidence in the move. The problem we have this week again is this sideways range, and for that reason we’re going to throw a curveball into the mix, which we need traders to be extremely careful of. IF that resistance level above breaks, and we bounce aggressively from below, there is a huge chance we’re going to see this attempt to take liquidity from the higher regions 2370-5 which is a key level for this week and also the extension of the move. So please, traders make sure to stick with your risk model, we’ll trade it the KOG way, level to level, stay the right side of it and expect some extreme movement.
KOG's Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2345 with targets below 2320 and below that 2295
Bullish on break of 2345 with targets above 2355 and above that 2370
As above, it’s a short one this week, we’ll update it as we usually do during the course of the week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Binance Coin - The $70.000 price target is real!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Binance Coin .
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
Back in 2020 Binance Coin created a decent bullish break and retest of a horizontal structure which was followed by a rally of 10.000% towards the upside. After this rally, which ended in April of 2021, Binance Coin has been trading sideways ever since. Currently it seems like Binance Coin is preparing another bullish breakout, which could lead us all the way up to $70.000 in the future!
--------
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
THE KOG REPORT - CPI/FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – CPI/FOMC
This is our view for CPI/FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
In all honesty, we would prefer to let them move the markets today into the level they want, then look for a set up to get in on the retracement tomorrow. At the moment, due to CPI and FOMC being on the same day, it’s likely to be an extremely aggressive move. We’re going to put the KOG Report plan to one side for now, as the whipsaw can cause spikes and key levels turn to extreme levels and we’ve taken what we needed on gold for now.
We have the range formed now and accumulation under way with sentiment standing at neutral. We have key level support below at the 2303-5 region, which if tapped could give a bounce upside, unless broken into the first key level 2335 which was on the KOG Report and then the extension of the move into the 2347-55 region. This is where there may be an opportunity to long into, or, on the flip capture the move downside into the immediate support levels, potentially even lower!
If you look at the illustration on the chart with path, we have highlighted the extreme level above sitting at 2385-90, this for us is on the break and would be ideal. If they take it there, this is the level we want to watch and is sticking out to us as a potential curveball, so please be careful!
On the flip, they take this down, we’ll sit back and wait, shorting with volume is a bad idea as the intermediate swings can go against you. So, we’ve highlighted the key levels below that have potential for a reaction in price.
We’ve put this report together this time to show you what the market can be capable of if they really want to move it. The circles are our hotspots, together with our targets they will help us navigate the move. They will want to slip new traders up and get them trading with the candles, this is a recipe for disaster, on days like this quick money trades are not an option. It’s either above or below for us on this occasion, otherwise we’ll come back to gold tomorrow and make our move.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD / GOLD www.tradingview.com
GOLD is challenging a robust resistance area at 2304, as well as a pullback level at 2314.7, establishing a new key resistance within the correction phase. Both technical and fundamental indicators for gold are negative; thus, a medium-term decline is anticipated. However, tomorrow's announcements, including CPI, FOMC, and the FED meeting, will likely address the overall inflation scenario and U.S. interest rates.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today, the market may fluctuate within the 2291 - 2325 range. The prospective direction will be clearer tomorrow (before the news), but intraday, a retest of resistance followed by a potential retreat to support levels is expected.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
I last week’s KOG report we said we would be watching that 2340 extension level for a move upside in the early part of the week, and if achieved we would be looking to short the market back down initially into the 2310 level which is where we felt the RIP will come from. We had a little stretch into 2355 but got the move we wanted for the trade and then the bounce. On the way up we also took the long in Camelot giving us a fantastic start to the week.
During the week we updated traders with the plan to go long into that higher regions and gave them a target level of 2370 which was achieved, in Camelot we had 2385, which was hit on the nose, gave us a TAP AND BOUNCE short trade, and the rest is history, what a move and trades on Gold last week giving us another record breaking capture.
Well done to our team for their hard work not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse, with Oil also giving us a lovely upside trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll start by saying we have FOMC and Cpi this week on the same day, so please trade carefully and expect there to be more aggressive price action across the markets. We have some key levels here on gold sitting below at 2380-75 which we feel are reasonable for attack and as shown on the chart, if held we feel there is an opportunity to long the market back up into 2310 and above that 2325 regions with extension of the move into 2330. That would be the ideal move for us, and if we see resistance with a clean set up in that resistance level, we’ll be hunting a short again to take this a lower.
PLEASE NOTE – If they break below that level early session, the long trade will come from lower down in the 2250-55 region, which is a level to watch for this week!
KOG's bias for the week:
Bearish below 2335 with targets below 2385 and below that 2373
Bullish on break of 2335 with targets above 2355 and above that 2389
In summary:
Price goes up, we’ll trade it level to level, expecting ranging and choppy market conditions, looking for the higher resistance levels. Higher resistance levels, we’ll be looking for the short trade if it presents itself. Price goes down, we’ll look for support to hold, a clean reversal and we’ll look to long. Nice and simple, we’re looking for a few decent trades on Gold this week due to FOMC and Cpi.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
3 key points in Performance ReviewIn this live trading session video,we look at our current open position on AUDUSD trade and a review of our trade history on our traders challenge account. We then take a deep dive analysis on the 3 key points in performance review like a professional. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week's KOG Report, we gave the support levels below, and suggested that if the market opened and those levels held price, we felt an opportunity to long the market would be available into the 2350-55 region and above that 2375, we achieved just short. Due to the ranging price, we stuck with the plan to then look for the short trade from above which also presented itself after we completed going long. It was a decent but frustrating week for traders, however, we completed near all the Excalibur targets, managing to trade it up into our given levels, bar a few pips, and then down again for the end of the week exactly from the level we had given to expect the minor selloff from. We then gave an end of week report with the target level below which was also completed and gave late session traders an opportunity to capture the long on the RIP with a tap and bounce.
A fantastic week in Camelot, not only on gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade analyse and apply the algo to. Excalibur, the hot spots and the red-boxes together with KOG's bias of the day working well again.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have the order region above 2330-35 with extension of the move into the 2345 region. It’s that 2340 region which is important to look for if we get a move to the upside from opening, price below that level looks weak and we could then see further opportunities to short the market lower into the 2310 and below that 2285-95 region, which is where we feel the RIP will come from for any longs into the immediate levels of resistance.
Below we have the 2320-15 price point, which again is a level of importance, a dip into that price point with rejection could again give the opportunity to long back up into that order region above before then resuming the move to the downside.
Please note, the above is based on the price staying below the order region resistance, if we break above that level we will update our plans through the week. We have to remember, there is no significant breakout here as yet, we’re still in the range 2320-2365-70 which price has been gathering orders within.
We have a lot of news this week as well as NFP on Friday, the market will be very choppy and ranging so please be careful. We always tell our traders, the last few days of the month and the first few days of the month need to be played with caution and your risk management needs to be up to scratch if you’re going to trade these markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Live Trading Session 262: Open trade on ETH,EUR and moreIn this live trading session video,we look at our open positions on Etherum,EURUSD,closed positions on BRTUSD for nice decent profit, potential trades coming on Bitcoin,S&P, etc and the thinking behind them. The concepts you learn from this video are cross transferrable principles onto any strategy.
Bitcoin: How to Forecast the End of a Trend.The advance from Dec 2018 seems to be tracing an impulse pattern. Wave 1 is an impulse, wave 2 is a zigzag which neatly predicts flat wave 4 by guideline of alternation.
The fifth wave appears to be tracing an impulse as well; an extension. It's probable that two minute degrees have reached completion at this stage and the market appears to be tracing out the third wave.
So how do you forecast the target for wave 5?
One way is to use an Elliott wave channel. Connect the end of wave 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to end upon reaching the upper boundary line of the channel
In some cases, when wave 3 is uncommonly strong, almost vertical. Draw a parallel line using the top of wave 1 instead of wave 3.
From experience, it's quite advantageous to draw the two upper boundary lines.
GOLD IS BEARISH !!!!www.tradingview.com
GOLD maintains a bearish stance. The price appears to be exiting the corrective phase that ensued following an unconfirmed breach of support. The market seems poised for a further decline.
On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD has broken below the trendline and is positioned beneath the 50 and 100 Moving Averages. The Momentum oscillator has crossed below the 100 level from above, providing an additional bearish signal for Gold.
Initiate a sell position on XAUUSD if it breaches below $2340;
🎯 Target $2328.
USD/JPY: Ride this Third wave Decline.The decline from 160.24 high subdivides into five waves. This move is significant as it identifies the dominant trend as down. The technical name for this pattern is a leading diagonal.
The subsequent three-wave price action unfolding in USD/JPY supports this bearish conviction. Countertrend price action commonly subdivides into a three. It is often slow, choppy and typically contained within a parallel channel. The technical name for this rally is a Zigzag pullback.
As illustrated earlier in my education ideas, in zigzag formations, the upper boundary of a parallel channel often projects the end of wave C with dramatic precision.
Moreover at 158.52, wave C would equal the length of wave A which is a common Fibonacci relationship in zigzag formations.
It is also the case that when a leading diagonal occurs in wave (1) position of an impulse, it is sharply retraced by a zigzag correction with 61.8% and 78.6% levels common targets. Although not shown,the 78.6% retracement level corresponds to the upper boundary of the trend channel and wave C equality target.
So in anticipation of wave (3) decline; a trader's bread and butter, the recommendation is to short at or near the 61.8% retracement level. The Protective Stop will be placed at 160.24; the origin of this decline. Why? Wave (2) of an impulse can NOT retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
The target for this trade is a drop of at least 13.58 as in (160.24 - 151.83) X 1.618. Why? As a guideline, wave (3) of an impulse often extends and commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the (1). A Risk: Reward of 1:3
Working with 153.60 as our key level. A break below this level would hint that wave (2) is over and wave (3) to the downside is underway.
Have a profitable trading week!
XAUUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead.
Last week is HERE or in the related ideas at the bottom of the post.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
----------------------------------------------
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don’t forget to like Rocket, Comments and Subscribe!!!
Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024 Trade Plan NQ Futures: week starting May 5th, 2024
Based on the provided levels for the NQH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets:
Weekly Pivot: 17847 Current Price: 18000
Upside Targets:
First Target: 18090
Second Target: 18348
Third Target: 18605
Downside Targets:
First Target: 17731
Second Target: 17560
Third Target: 17378
Trade Plan:
Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (17847).
Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (17847) or if the price breaks above the current price (18000).
Targets: Target the upside levels of 18090, 18348, and potentially 18605.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week.
Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (18847) or the current price (18000).
Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (17731) or the current price (18000).
Targets: Aim for downside targets of 17731, 17560, and potentially 17378.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels.
Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade.
Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report, we said we would only be looking for one move and that was to short the market into the levels illustrated on the chart. We had the initial opportunity from the intra-day resistance level giving the move breaking through the order region temporarily giving us the bounce to long back up into resistance where we said we wanted to monitor price to establish another short opportunity. Both these worked well although not as straight forward as we had hoped.
During the week, we gave the FOMC Report highlighting the levels to long up into the resistance level and then short the market from higher up, this move however, was a point to point, level to level move continuing the fantastic week we had on Gold, completing over 8 targets activated. Well done to the team again, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade giving us over 800pips combined captures.
So, What can we expect in the week ahead?
After NFP and FOMC last week, this week we have a bank holiday in the UK which may give us some thin volume to start the week. NFP caused a lot of confusion amongst traders and only managed to whipsaw them back into where the price started. Support now stands at the 2295-7 region, which in our opinion, If held in the early session could give us a push upside towards the order region above, targeting the resistance levels of 2310 initially and above that 2320. Now, what we want to see here is if market can hold this order region again and give us the opportunity to get that short again. If we get the short from above we’ll be looking for the lower levels to be targeted and hopefully we can complete the move.
There are a couple of curveballs here this week, 1) this could open and continue the move downside, if so, we’ll look for the retracements to get in and we’ll target our Excalibur targets upon activation. 2) staying below that 2330-40 order region is important for us to carry out this plan and continue with the move downside. In our opinion, the decent long trades will come from lower down for the ideal swing.
That’s all for this week’s report, simple plan again, not going to over complicate it with numerous what’s and if’s. As usual, we’ll update traders through the week with the daily report, KOG’s bias of the day and the daily levels.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Brent stopped out and Drawdown increasingIn this live trading session video,we look at the BRTUSD trade that got recently stopped out for a small loss on the 100k traders challenge account. We also look closely at the drawdown and why this is happening according to the strategy characteristics on both 50% OE and 20% OE strategy. Finally, we explore on what we should do about this by looking at 3 different options. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.