Sell Setup Confirmation with 1:5 Risk-Reward Target1. The candle closes at the all-time high,
2. and the next candle breaks that high,
3. closing as the first red candle.
4. The second red candle also confirms that selling pressure is increasing.
5. The third candle’s high does not break the low of the first red candle.
6. Now our resistance is confirmed.
7. According to the trade setup, we will take a trade here.
8. We will book a 1:5 target
Tradingstrategy
The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections.
Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture.
Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear.
The same goes for other studies related to charts.
-
As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered.
These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points.
However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this.
Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them.
Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart.
-
The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart.
The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps.
(Heikin Ashi chart)
(Renko chart)
Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points.
-
You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points.
Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points.
If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections.
However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point.
Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade.
-
To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time.
The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point.
And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle.
-
The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart.
However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
-
When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed.
You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading.
----------------------------------------------------------------
The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books.
Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points.
-
Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade.
This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading.
In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators.
However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning.
So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart.
In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
The above three things must be determined.
No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style.
Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading.
3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined.
In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period.
The profit realization method is:
1. How to get cash profit
2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit
There are methods 1 and 2 above.
-
In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction.
If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases.
To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator.
The reason is because it is objective information.
You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Basic example of starting a trade
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
This is an example of starting a trade, explaining that you should objectively define the basics that are right for you.
Therefore, I hope that this will be an opportunity to reexamine your trading judgment criteria rather than judging it as right or wrong.
-----------------------------------------
It is showing a downward trend without breaking through the sell line of the superTrend indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator (approximately 59953.52) on the 1W chart and rise above 60672.0-61099.25.
If not, you should check whether it is supported near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart).
Therefore,
1st: 59053.55
2nd: 57889.10
You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Usually, there are many cases where you trade impulsively based on your psychological state.
To prevent this, it is good to have an objective trading method according to your investment style.
This objectification is best done at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, it is good to trade based on whether it is supported near 59053.55 or 60720.0-61099.25.
However, judging whether it is supported only by sight can lead to an incorrect judgment depending on psychological factors that occur during trading, so it is good to have objective information as the basis for judgment.
It refers to indicators added to the chart as objective information.
The MS-Signal indicator is used as a trend-related indicator, which is the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
As a trading-related indicator, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and their corresponding box sections, superTend, and volume profile are used.
As a trading-related reference auxiliary indicator, the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator are used.
-
If we explain the current movement by referring to these indicators,
- The superTrend indicator, which is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, has failed to rise above the sell line,
- It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart,
- The StochRSI indicator is showing a trend of changing from an upward to a downward slope in the overbought section. However, since the StochRSI indicator has not yet fallen from the overbought zone and is not in a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is difficult to see it as a downward turn.
Therefore, an aggressive sell (SHORT) is possible between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the 60672.0-61099.25 range.
Afterwards, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, if it shows resistance near 59053.55 or the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, you can sell (SHORT).
If it is supported at the point mentioned above, you can buy (LONG).
However, it is recommended to check whether the state has been changed to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
If not, it can pretend to rise and fall right away.
-
Have a good time. Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TRADING STRETEGYAnalysis of AUDUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bullish trend started and first HH formed
2. Bullish Divergence on end of Bearish trend
3. No continuation pattern
4. Bullish Double Bottom reversal pattern formed
5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop on first HH and stop loss at HL
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TRADING STRETEGYAnalysis of NZDUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bearish trend
2. Bullish Divergence
3. No continuation pattern
4. Inverse Head & Shoulder reversal pattern formed
5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop ON break out of inverse H & S neckline and stop loss at HL
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TRADING STRETEGYAnalysis of USDCAD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bullish trend
2. Bearish Divergence
3. No continuation pattern
4. Double Top reversal pattern formed
5. Bearish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making LHs & LLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking sell stop on break out of LL and stop loss at HH as still no LH is formed
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TRADING STRETEGYAnalysis of GBPUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:-
1. Bearish trend
2. Bullish Divergence
3. No continuation pattern
4. Double Bottom reversal pattern formed
5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ
6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs
7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop on break out of LH and stop loss at LL as no HL is still formed
HFCL Ltd. Resistance Rejection Sell Setup - 5:1 Risk-Reward Rati
Description:
This setup on HFCL Ltd. demonstrates a resistance rejection pattern with a focus on high-probability sell trades. The steps in this trade idea are as follows:
Candle Identification: We start by identifying a candle that has closed above the all-time high.
Candle Confirmation: The next two candles should close below each other, confirming a resistance level.
Resistance Confirmation: The continued closing of candles below resistance indicates strength in the rejection of this level.
Sell Execution: A sell trade is initiated as per the strategy, with a stop-loss placed at 160.00 and a risk-reward ratio of 5:1.
The target for this trade is set at ₹139, and the stop-loss is placed at ₹160. This setup provides a clear framework for executing trades with proper risk management.
The key is whether the MS-Signal indicator can rise above it
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The Chuseok holiday in Korea is until September 18th.
Therefore, it is difficult to publish ideas.
I hope you have a healthy and happy holiday.
------------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT Renko 1D chart)
We need to check whether the price can be maintained above 2400.0 and whether it can rise above 2600.0 to create an upward block.
-----------------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator can rise above and maintain the price.
Unlike BTC, ETHUSDT is not yet above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, the price must rise above 2531.05-2621.99 and maintain the price.
If not, we need to check for support near 2359.35.
-
I think the StochRSI indicator is currently forming a high point because the slope has changed in the overbought zone.
Therefore, the 2531.05-2621.99 zone is an important support and resistance zone.
--------------------------------------------------
Once you start studying charts and become familiar with them, trend lines are virtually unnecessary.
However, since understanding the HA-MS indicator is necessary, I drew trend lines to help you understand the chart.
This can actually be a hindrance to looking at the chart.
If you are looking at my charts for the first time, the most important thing is the MS-Signal indicator, which is the arrangement of the M-Signal line, which is the main line of the MS-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
This is how you can predict the trend.
The next important thing is related to the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
That is, you will trade based on the movement in the box section of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
The other lines are lines that represent the support and resistance lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and the volume profile section.
Therefore, if you want to know the trend through chart analysis, you can check the location of the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts corresponding to the MS-Signal indicator.
If you want to trade, you can create a trading strategy by referring to the points made up of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators or the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If you only display the support and resistance points by key indicators, it is like the chart above.
You can trade with this alone, but I think it is likely that you will have difficulty trading because you cannot create a response strategy according to price fluctuations.
What you want to inform through chart analysis is that only the person who analyzed it can properly understand the content.
Therefore, how you accept the content analyzed by others will vary depending on each person's investment style.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important Support and Resistance Areas: 60672.0-61099.25
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The Chuseok holiday in Korea is until September 18th.
As a result, it is difficult to publish ideas.
I hope you have a healthy and happy holiday.
------------------------------------------
It seems that funds are flowing into the coin market through USDT or USDC.
We need to check if the USDT dominance can fall below 5.55.
If not, the key is whether it can meet resistance near 5.89.
-
Looking at the NAS100USD chart, it rose to the important point of 19582.6.
The key is whether it can rise above 19582.6 and receive support.
If not, we need to check whether it can receive support near 19143.2 in the first round.
-------------------------------
** Information on support and resistance zones is explained in the previous idea.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I think this volatility period has just begun because it was set on the 1W chart.
This volatility period is expected to continue until September 29, so caution is required when trading.
-
It is rising near 60672.0-61099.25.
The important thing now is whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
To do so, the key is whether it can rise above 61099.25 and receive support.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has changed its slope in the overbought zone, it appears to be currently forming a high point.
Therefore, even if the price rises, a pullback pattern may occur, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, whether there is support around 60672.0-61099.25 has become important.
Since the sell line of the superTrend indicator is formed around 60672.0, it highlights the importance of the 60672.0-61099.25 range.
-
If a pullback pattern is shown, the key is whether it can receive support around the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and rise.
Accordingly, we need to check whether the price can be maintained above 57889.10.
-
If it rises above 61099.25, it is important to see whether it can break through the 63118.62-64000.0 range.
If it fails to break through, it will form a high point and fall like after July 15.
At this time, if the price is maintained above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, there is a high possibility that it will turn into an upward trend.
-
I am talking about analyzing the BTCUSDT chart with several charts.
This is because I think that the fund flow in the coin market can be briefly judged by the movement of USDT, USDC and the flow of the stock market according to the launch of the ETF.
I think that it can be used to check whether the current support and resistance zone of BTC is supported based on the identified fund flow.
I think the Renko chart that I sometimes show you is excellent for checking support and resistance zones and trends.
However, since it is difficult to trade through the Renko chart, I think it is good to use it for checking trends or support and resistance zones.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section that is expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Chart Analysis: Establishing Trading Strategies
---------------------------------
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
When you start studying charts, the first thing you learn is about candles.
However, you start studying about the Open, Close, High, and Low of candles.
When you start studying about the Moving Average, you start to think that you understand the charts.
However, when you actually start trading with the Moving Average, you realize that nothing works properly.
So, you start studying other indicators.
-
The above is based on my experience. When you study various charts, you may think you know them, but when you actually start trading, you realize that they don't apply at all.
Where on earth did I go wrong?... What I learned after a long time is that I was wrong from the very beginning.
-
In other words, I realized that my subsequent chart studies were not done properly because I lacked understanding of candles.
When you start studying candles, you study candles of various shapes and patterns.
At this time, you should not be too obsessed with the names of candle shapes or patterns or the conditions that occur and try to memorize them.
It is important to read it repeatedly several times until you can grasp the concept of the arrangements formed by the combination of candle shapes or patterns, that is, the support and resistance points.
Eventually, when the candle shapes or patterns are combined, you can find the volume profile section formed around it, that is, the section where trading volume occurs.
By drawing and marking the support and resistance points you find in this way on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can create a trading strategy on the charts you mainly trade.
That's all the experts in chart analysis say.
In the end, everything is about looking at the combination of candles that make up the chart, finding the corresponding support and resistance points, and trading according to your trading strategy.
A trading strategy is to create a response strategy at the corresponding support and resistance points based on the three things above:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
However, since most books do not include trading strategies, you will only learn about the timing of trading and closing of trading using various indicators.
Because of this, there are many cases where you cannot respond to the volatility that occurs after starting trading and end up losing money.
Even so, it is difficult to specifically define the contents of trading strategies.
This is because the investment period, investment size, and trading method are different depending on the individual's investment style.
Therefore, what I can tell you is that you need to set the buy, sell, and stop loss points according to the support and resistance points obtained through chart analysis and wait for a while.
Due to price volatility, you may not touch the buy, sell, and stop loss points or may move past them.
You should learn how to create a trading strategy by modifying the way you respond to these things according to your investment style.
-
One important thing here is that you should mark the support and resistance points in advance through chart analysis before starting trading.
Otherwise, if you start trading and then mark support and resistance points, psychological factors will come into play, which will likely lead to an unexpected transaction.
Don't forget this, and you should practice marking support and resistance points in advance before starting a transaction.
Also, you should avoid analyzing charts after listening to various articles, news, or community content.
The reason is that psychological factors can come into play.
-
I think trading is a response to the movement of prices that fluctuate in real time.
Therefore, waiting and determination are necessary.
If you wait too long or do not make a decision and pass it by, there is a high possibility that you will suffer losses or make little profit, so you need something to refer to when waiting or making a decision.
That is the support and resistance points I mentioned above.
-
However, support and resistance points alone do not solve everything.
Therefore, you should add trend lines and various indicators to ask for a method of responding to price fluctuations.
However, since the trend line is formed by a diagonal line, there is a lack of countermeasure strategies using the trend line.
Therefore, the trend line is used to literally find out what the current trend is.
-
Therefore, when it deviates from the trend line, the movement at the support and resistance points is checked and the corresponding response is made.
When trading with a chart consisting of the above two support and resistance points or only the trend line, there are often cases where the transaction cannot be properly conducted due to fakes or sweeps.
Therefore, in order to counter these fakes or sweeps, various indicators are added to the chart.
The most commonly used of these is the price moving average.
Even if you add the price moving average, you realize that it is a curve, just like the trend line, and is therefore not suitable for countermeasure strategies.
So, the price moving average is also used to check the trend, just like the trend line.
-
In that regard, the indicator I recommend is the StochRSI indicator.
The default settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The value of the Signal line (EMA) of the StochRSI indicator is 7.
If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying period.
On the other hand, if the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a selling period.
However, you should trade depending on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points formed at that location.
Even if there is movement in the StochRSI indicator, it is recommended not to trade if you do not have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The reason is that you may feel psychologically anxious, so there is a possibility that the trade will proceed incorrectly.
-
If you can trade with only what I mentioned above and make an average profit, it is because you have established a trading strategy according to your investment style.
-
We need objective information to establish a trading strategy according to your investment style.
We think that this is the only way to minimize the psychological factors that arise when starting a trade.
If you can add various indicators to the chart to obtain objective information and receive support and resistance point information according to them, you can create a trading strategy according to them at any time.
To do this, we used the StochRSI, OBV, CCI, and RSI indicators to display support and resistance points on the price candle part.
And, we added the StochRSI and BW indicators as auxiliary indicators.
The StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is not the StochRSI indicator provided by default, but an indicator with a modified formula, so you can share the chart and use it or copy and paste the TS-BW UP indicator to your own chart and use it.
There is no problem using the basic StochRSI indicator.
However, there is a slight difference from what I said, so there may be a slight problem in understanding.
-
As above, since the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are drawn on the chart to create a trading strategy, my chart is very confusing and not easy to understand when you first look at it.
And, since there are many indicators that I have not explained, it may be even more difficult to see the chart.
Therefore, to resolve the difficult parts, share the chart, hide the indicators added to the chart, and activate them one by one while looking at them, and you will be able to understand the chart.
If you share the chart, you can use it normally, so you can check the chart from various angles.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Strategic Sell Setup for Lupin: Precision Trading with Defined RIn this Lupin sell trade setup , we are employing a systematic approach that ensures we trade based on a clear structure:
Identifying Key Levels:
The first step is to recognize a candle that has closed above the all-time high. This candle is crucial as it marks a potential exhaustion point or a possible reversal zone.
Confirmation with Consecutive Candles:
After spotting the all-time high candle, we need to confirm the market's bearish movement. The next two consecutive candles should close below each other, signaling that resistance is strong and the stock price is likely to move down.
Establishing Resistance:
The third key point is the confirmation of resistance. The downward pattern in candle closings suggests that selling pressure is increasing and resistance is solidifying. This signals a good opportunity to plan the trade.
Executing the Trade:
Finally, execute the sell trade based on the rules set in the strategy. This includes placing a stop-loss (27.65) and targeting a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 5:1. In this case, the target is 138.50 with an impressive reward-to-risk ratio of 5.01, ensuring the trade offers substantial profit potential compared to the risk.
This setup not only provides a clear structure for entry but also incorporates a solid risk management plan, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to capitalize on short opportunities in Lupin.
The key is whether it can be supported near 2359.35
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M chart)
As you can see from the 1M chart, the trading volume occurred in the box section.
-
(1W chart)
As you can see from the 1W chart, the point where the volume profile section is formed is 1021.49, 2354.39.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near 2354.39.
---------------------------------------------
(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart was formed at 2359.35, it is important to see if it can be supported around here and rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Therefore, it is important to see if it can rise to around 2531.05-2621.99 and maintain the price.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of a change in slope in the overbought zone, if it falls without being supported around 2359.35, it is necessary to check if it is supported around 2196.52.
Since ETH has fallen below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it can be seen as turning into a downtrend from a long-term perspective.
So, we need to see which way it deviates from the 2196.52-2621.99 range.
The next volatility period for ETH is around September 26th.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported around 57889.10Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I think funds are still flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, as long as funds flow into the coin market, the coin market is expected to continue its upward trend.
However, I think that it is necessary to adjust the investment ratio because the trading volume is not the same as before (box section).
-----------------------------------------------
(1D chart)
The horizontal line drawn on the chart indicates the volume profile section.
Therefore, the strongest volume profile section at the current price position is around 58697.01.
In addition, the volume profile section currently being formed is 56843.36, 64179.08.
The PVT indicator is a component of the BW indicator.
Since the PVT is currently in a downward trend, we can see that the downward strength is strong.
Therefore, when it rises above 58697.01, it is important to see whether the PVT turns into an upward trend.
-
(1D chart)
If it receives support near 57889.10, it is highly likely that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator will turn upward.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near 57889.10 and rise above 59053.55.
However, since the current StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone and has a change in slope, there is a possibility that it will make a short-term high near 57889.10.
If the StochRSI indicator turns downward this time, whether it will receive support near 56150.01-56950.56 is an important key.
-
(1W chart)
If PVT falls below the dotted line on the 1W chart, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend.
Therefore, you should check whether it can be supported near 57122.77, which is the lower point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1W chart.
--------------------------------------------
Since the trading period is mostly different, the chart analysis will differ depending on which point you start trading from.
Therefore, the points or sections I mentioned are points or sections that can affect the trend.
I think the point that has the greatest influence on the trend change from the current price position is the 57889.10 point.
In order for the trend change to expand, it must break out of the 56150.01-59053.55 section.
-
From a short-term perspective, it seems that it is currently forming a short-term high.
So, to break above this short term high, it needs to be supported above 59053.55.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
POL (MATIC) ecosystem is expanding...
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
MATIC to POL upgrade was done on the Ethereum mainnet.
(POLUSD 1D chart)
There are many coins and tokens in the MATIC ecosystem.
Therefore, I think MATIC has a high potential for development.
When choosing an altcoin, it is a good idea to check how the ecosystem it belongs to is formed.
That way, it will not be delisted.
To check the coin ecosystem, you can check it on a site that shows the coin market cap ranking.
-
(MATICUSD 1M chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the psychological volume profile range of 0.6221-1.0839.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 0.4965 and receive support.
If not, we need to check whether it can receive support near 0.2950.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support in the HA-Low (0.4166) indicator of the 1D chart and the HA-HIgh (0.5142) indicator range of the 1D chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, so support around 0.3837 is important.
If it is not supported, it is likely to lead to further decline.
Therefore, the time when we can trade is when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator point.
-
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low point zone has been formed.
Therefore, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and if it falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that a high point zone has been formed.
Therefore, if it is resisted by the HA-High indicator, it is a selling period, and if it rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 2.28
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
Because the chart has not been created for long, the role of support and resistance points may be weak, so be careful when trading.
(Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust 1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was created at the 2.28 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the gap (2.09-2.18) section on the 1D chart and rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
If it is supported near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, we need to see if it can break through the gap (2.59-2.83) on the 1W chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D Renko chart)
-
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can support near 2.359.35 and maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Based on the current price position, the most important thing is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Because I think that is the most likely way to turn into an uptrend.
-----------------
To turn into a short-term uptrendHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1D chart)
As I mentioned in the idea yesterday, the key is whether it can be supported around 56150.01-56950.56 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that, we need to check whether it can rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and maintain the price by rising above 57889.10.
If it fails to rise above the MS-Signal indicator, it is likely to fall to around 52137.67.
-
The IBIT BTC ETF chart looks a little different in that there is a gap between the MS-Signal indicator and the IBIT indicator.
The location of the StochRSI indicator is also different.
On the BTCUSDT chart, it is just before entering the overbought zone, but on the IBIT chart, it is located near the 50 point.
Therefore, we need to check at what point the StochRSI indicator of the two charts enters the overbought zone and receives support.
-
It is expected that a full-scale volatility period will begin.
Since this volatility period was set on the 1W chart, it is likely to continue until September 29, so caution is required when trading.
If USDT or USDC continues to gap up, it is expected to continue to rise after the volatility period.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
To turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 34.18
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
Let's check out the chart with the highest trading volume among the released BTC ETF products.
(IBIT 1M chart)
However, since the chart has just been created, the role of the indicated support and resistance points may be weak, so caution is required.
-
(1W chart)
The point where the volume profile section is formed on the current chart is 38.14.
Therefore, it is expected that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above the volume profile section.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by receiving support and resistance formed at the 32.70 point and rising above 34.18 (if possible, Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (34.68)).
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can break through the psychological volume profile section of the first gate, 32.85-33.41 section.
-
From a trend perspective, it is necessary to break away from the downtrend line (1) in order to turn into an uptrend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it can lead to a movement to change the state from M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart.
If it fails to turn, you should check for support around 23.99-26.03.
-
Based on the current price position, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above the HA-High indicator (39.87) on the 1D chart.
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has not been created yet on the current chart, if it starts to fall below 32.67, it seems likely that the HA-Low indicator will be created.
If the HA-Low indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support around that area.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
XAGUSD / TRADING IN THE DOWNWARD ZONE - 4H TIME FRAMEXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
The market is trading below the turning level of 29.07 , and below the channel trend line at 29.38.This means the price action is currently bearish , with a downward bias , The immediate expectation is that unless the price breaks above these levels, the market could continue to decline.
Downward Conditions:
If the price remains below 29.38, it suggests that the market will continue to trend downward, Initial target for the decline: 28.10 , If 28.10 is broken, the next target would be 27.63.
The downward trend remains valid as long as the price doesn't break and stabilize above 29.38.
Upward Conditions:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above 29.38, this would indicate the beginning of a bullish reversal , The first upward target is 29.82 , If 29.82 is broken, the market could aim for the next target at 30.51 , This upward movement would only be valid if the price successfully breaches the channel trend resistance and holds above it.
UPWARD TARGET :
29.82 , 30.51.
DOWNWARD TARGET :
28.10 , 27.63.
Just before this volatility period begins in earnestHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
Although it is a short rise, the StochRSI indicator is already showing signs of entering the overbought zone.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price above the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on the 1D chart) while receiving support near 56150.01-56950.56 and rising above 57889.10.
If not,
1st: 54730.0
2nd: 52137.67
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Currently, since the M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, we need to check if it can lead to a movement to change the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart.
Therefore, if it rises above 57889.10,
1st: 59053.55
2nd: 60672.0-61099.25
You can trade depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The volatility period will begin soon.
As we pass around September 13 (September 12-14), we need to check in which direction it deviates from the 52137.617-61099.25 range and respond accordingly.
We are always at a crossroads.
I think we need to observe the flow of funds in the coin market to make a clearer choice at this crossroads.
It is not easy for individual investors to know the flow of funds.
We can only briefly understand the flow of funds due to stable coins such as USDT and USDC.
Currently, USDT is sideways, and USDC is gapping up, which is the driving force behind the coin market.
However, I think that USDT needs to gap up for the market to start a real uptrend.
Therefore, we need to think about how to increase the number of coins and tokens corresponding to profits while trading from a short-term perspective for the current uptrend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important Support and Resistance Zones: 18788.2-18898.9
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The StochRSI indicator has not escaped the oversold zone.
And, since StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, I think it is not a trading period.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the left Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (18788.2) ~ the right Fibonacci ratio 0.786 (18898.9) and receive support.
If not,
1st: 17854.8-18250.3
2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (17141.4)
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
In the worst case, I think the final range is around 16123.5-16322.6.
-
If it rises above the left Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (18788.2) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 0.786 (18898.9) and receives support,
1st: 19582.6
2nd: 20313.8
You can trade depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Expected flow during this volatility period
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
USDT, USDC seem to have gapped up as the weekend approaches.
I think the gapped up is a sign of funds flowing into the coin market.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a decline in the coin market.
However, since funds flow into the coin market through USDT, I think that USDT dominance will show an upward trend in the medium to long term when considering it from a medium to long term perspective.
When funds flowing into the coin market purchase coins and tokens, USDT or USDC flow back into the exchange, which is expressed as a decline in USDT dominance.
Therefore, I think that in order for a large bull market in the coin market to begin, USDT dominance will start to decline after a large rise.
In that sense, the 4.97 point of USDT dominance is expected to be an important turning point.
If USDT dominance rises above 6.39, the coin market is likely to show a large decline.
I think that if it rises above 6.39 and then falls to the 4.97-6.39 range, the coin market is likely to form a bottom range.
My personal hope is that it will fall after receiving resistance near 6.39 ~ Fibonacci ratio 0.75.
If that happens, I think the coin market will already be on an uptrend before it is recognized as a bottom.
We need to see whether individual investors will recognize it as a bottom and give them a buying opportunity, or whether they will not give them a buying opportunity.
In that sense, I expect the volatility period around September 13 to be a meaningful period.
In fact, this volatility period is the period set on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the actual volatility period is the week before and after September 16.
In other words, if expressed as a 1-day period, it corresponds to September 9-29.
The strong support zone is expected to be around 42K-43K.
I think this is the zone that most people are expecting.
Therefore, if we give individual investors a buying opportunity as I mentioned earlier, I think it will touch around 42K-43K.
If we do not give individual investors a buying opportunity, it is expected to turn upward near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, it is expected to touch around the Fibonacci ratio of 0.707 (48064.07) ~ 0.786 (51606.42) and turn upward.
-
When looking at the NAS100USD chart, we need to check if the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone again when a new candle is created.
The important zone is the 17854.8 point.
If it falls below this point, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (17141.4) on the right.
Therefore, I expect the trend to form after the volatility period of BTC that I mentioned earlier.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after it rises above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important support and resistance zones touched
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
ETH has touched an important support zone.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near 2159.0.
If it falls below 2159.0, you should check whether there is support near 1605.23-1783.0.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------