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STRKUSDT | Change in Trend?Is this the bottom? STRKUSDT is showing a potentially game-changing head and shoulders pattern, and we've just seen an impressive 8H candle bounce off the resistance level! Trade Setup This setup looks incredibly promising, with the target price of 1.8 aligning perfectly with the head and shoulders pattern target. With a solid 3:1 risk-reward ratio, this trade is shaping up to be a fantastic opportunity. Could this be the trend reversal we've been waiting for? Let's see how it plays out!
Long
by minno91
BEERUSDT | Another Bullish Scenario 🍻 Market Context Another bullish setup brewing today before the NY session kicks in! Yesterday, I missed the trend with TAIKO, but today I'm feeling much more confident with BEERUSDT—after all, who doesn’t like beer? 😜 Trade Setup Similar to yesterday's scenario, but today we have more confirmation on higher timeframes, making this setup even more enticing. Strategy The target price (TP) will be set later, depending on the price action’s push up or down. Stay tuned for updates! Let’s raise a glass and see how this trade plays out!
1Long
by minno91
Options Blueprint Series: Cost Efficient Skip Strike ButterflyUnderstanding Skip Strike Butterfly The Skip Strike Butterfly strategy is a unique and cost-effective options trading strategy that builds upon the traditional butterfly spread. This strategy involves buying and selling options at different strike prices to create a position with limited risk and potential for profit. Unlike the traditional butterfly spread, the Skip Strike Butterfly "skips" a strike price, which reduces the overall cost of the trade while maintaining a similar payoff profile. Benefits: Cost Efficiency: Lower upfront cost compared to traditional butterfly spreads. Limited Risk: The maximum risk is limited to the net premium paid for the strategy. Profit Potential: Potential for significant returns if the underlying asset moves within the expected range. Understanding the mechanics of the Skip Strike Butterfly strategy can provide traders with a versatile tool for navigating market conditions when trading Corn Futures. This strategy allows traders to participate in market movements with a well-defined risk and reward profile, making it an attractive option for those looking to optimize their trading costs. Strategy Setup Setting up the Skip Strike Butterfly strategy for Corn Futures involves selecting the appropriate strike prices and expiration dates. Here, we detail the steps to configure this strategy effectively. Steps to Set Up the Skip Strike Butterfly: 1. Select the Expiration Date: Choose an expiration date that aligns with your market outlook and trading plan. Ensure you select an expiration that provides enough time for the expected price movement to occur. 2. Determine the Strike Prices: Identify the current price of Corn Futures. Typically, use calls for bullish setups and puts for bearish setups. Buy one in-the-money (ITM) option. Sell two at-the-money (OTM) options using a strike located near to where the trade target price is. Skip one or multiple strikes and buy one further out-of-the-money (OTM) option. 3. Calculate the Cost: Calculate the net premium paid for the strategy by considering the premiums of each option involved. The net cost is generally lower due to the skipped strike price. 4. Establish the Payoff Structure: The maximum profit is realized if the price of Corn Futures closes at the middle strike at expiration. The maximum loss is limited to the net premium paid for the strategy. Application to Corn Futures Analyzing the current market conditions for Corn Futures is crucial before implementing the Skip Strike Butterfly strategy. Let's examine the market and set up a trade based on recent data and trends. Market Analysis: Current Price: Corn Futures are trading at 456'6 per contract. Market Trend: The market has shown moderate volatility with a tendency to hover around the 450 level. Technicals: Recently, buy UnFilled Orders (UFOs) have formed around the 450 level, indicating strong buying interest and potential support at this price. On the other hand, sell UFOs are positioned much higher, around the 490 level, suggesting limited selling pressure in the immediate range and opening the door for a directional move with a potentially strong reward-to-risk ratio. Setting Up the Trade: Based on our analysis, we will implement the Skip Strike Butterfly strategy as follows: Current Price of Corn Futures: 456'6 Expiration Date: 74 days from today. Strike Prices and Premiums: Buy 1 ITM Call: Strike Price 450, Premium 27.25 Sell 2 ATM Calls: Strike Price 480, Premium 16 each Buy 1 OTM Call: Strike Price 540, Premium 6 Net Premium Paid: 27.25 (buy) - 32 (sell) + 6 (buy) = 1.25 points = $62.5 (Point Value is $50/point) Source: Options chain available at www.tradingview.com Trade Execution: Entry Price: The trade is entered at 1.25 points, making it highly cost-efficient. Target Price: The optimal scenario is for Corn Futures to close at 480 at expiration, where the maximum profit is realized. Break-Even Points: Calculate the break-even points to ensure clarity on potential losses or gains. For this setup, the break-even points are 451.25 and 508.75. Risk: In the worst-case scenario, this trade could incur a loss of 31.25 points if Corn Futures surpasses the upper break-even point. Conversely, a minor loss of 1.25 points would occur if Corn Futures falls below the lower break-even point. Source: Risk profile graph available at www.tradingview.com Risk Management Risk management is a critical aspect of any trading strategy, and it is especially important when trading options like the Skip Strike Butterfly. Effective risk management helps protect against unexpected market movements and ensures that losses are minimized while maximizing potential gains. Importance of Risk Management: Limit Losses: By setting clear stop-loss levels, traders can limit the amount of capital at risk and prevent large losses. Preserve Capital: Protecting trading capital is essential for long-term success. Effective risk management allows traders to stay in the game even after a series of losing trades. Emotional Control: Having a risk management plan helps traders stick to their strategy and avoid emotional decisions driven by market volatility. Maximize Gains: Proper risk management enables traders to capitalize on profitable opportunities while keeping losses in check. Techniques for Managing Risk with Skip Strike Butterfly: 1. Stop-Loss Orders: Set stop-loss orders at predetermined price levels to automatically exit the trade if the market moves against you. 2. Position Sizing: Only allocate a small percentage of your trading capital to any single trade. This helps to mitigate the impact of any one trade on your overall portfolio. 3. Diversification: Diversify your trading strategies and instruments to spread risk across different markets and reduce the impact of adverse movements in any one asset. 4. Hedging: Use other options strategies to hedge your positions. For example, buying protective puts can limit downside risk if the market moves significantly against your position. 5. Regular Monitoring: Continuously monitor the market and your positions. Be prepared to adjust your strategy or exit the trade if market conditions change. Conclusion The Skip Strike Butterfly strategy offers a cost-efficient and flexible approach for trading Corn Futures. By strategically setting up options at different strike prices while skipping an intermediate strike, traders can reduce the cost of the trade while maintaining a similar payoff structure to a traditional butterfly spread. This strategy is particularly useful in markets exhibiting limited price movements, making it ideal for the current conditions in Corn Futures. Key Takeaways: Cost Efficiency: The Skip Strike Butterfly reduces the upfront cost of entering a trade, providing a significant advantage over traditional butterfly spreads. Limited Risk: With a well-defined risk profile, this strategy ensures that losses are capped at the net premium paid. Profit Potential: Although the maximum profit is achieved if the underlying asset closes at the middle strike price, the strategy still offers substantial profit opportunities within a specific price range. Risk Management: Implementing robust risk management techniques is essential for success. Utilizing stop-loss orders, managing position sizes, diversifying strategies, and regular market monitoring can help protect trading capital and maximize gains. When trading options and employing strategies like the Skip Strike Butterfly, it is crucial to stay disciplined and adhere to your trading plan. Always ensure that your risk management measures are in place to navigate market uncertainties effectively. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC2!Education
by traddictiv
ILVUSDT | False Breakout🚀 ILVUSDT is presenting a fascinating setup! We just witnessed another false breakout on the 4H timeframe, backed by some solid volume. Daily Chart On the daily chart, we’re still in a downtrend. This suggests a potential move down before any significant upward shift. Weekly Chart The weekly chart shows a top wick followed by a bearish candle, signaling a likely move down in the near term. Trade Setup I'm setting my order at the previous 4H high and waiting for the action. This trade could play out dramatically, so stay tuned for what promises to be an exciting journey!
Short
by minno91
2
CHRUSDT | Bull Flag Analysis🚀 Exciting trade opportunity forming on CHRUSDT—you don’t want to miss this one! Market Context BTC is rising, and altcoin season is just around the corner! Daily Chart We saw an amazing breakout on the daily chart with a strong green candle. This signals robust bullish momentum. 2-Hour Timeframe We're currently in a small retest phase. On the 2-hour chart, we've broken the previous high and are retesting it immediately. This is a classic sign of an upcoming move upwards. Trade Setup With a risk-reward ratio of nearly 8:1, this trade is too good to pass up! I'm targeting the next daily high, which aligns perfectly with our bull flag target. This setup looks incredibly promising—let's see how it plays out!
Long
by minno91
Nvidia - Still a correction?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Over the course of the past seven years, Nvidia stock has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. As we are speaking, Nvidia stock is approaching once again the upper resisance trendline. However this does not mean that we will see an immediate correction of -50%; it is rather important to monitor price action and wait for the right opportunity. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
26
LUNA2USDT | Continuation?We’re looking at an intriguing breakout opportunity! Multiple timeframes are showing potential, though it’s not crystal clear, making it even more exciting. Daily Timeframe On the daily chart, we saw an initial pushdown post-breakout, but the 20 EMA is providing solid support. 8-Hour Timeframe The 8-hour break looks more promising. We’re holding above the previous high, a positive sign. 4-Hour Timeframe On the 4-hour chart, a double bottom has formed, hinting at a bullish trend. We’re still within the 20 and 50 EMAs, adding to the potential upside. Trade Setup Given the market’s optimistic sentiment, I’m expecting a strong upward move. It’s a risky trade, but I’m targeting the next 4H high with an impressive RR of 4:1. The breakout should be powerful, so I’m entering the trade now. Long-Term View Adding to the bullish case, the 3-month timeframe shows a bullish wick on the previous three months. With the candle closing in 26 days, there’s limited time for continuation, making this a timely trade. Stay tuned as this setup unfolds—it’s bound to be an exciting ride! #CryptoTrading #Breakout #BullishTrend #BTC #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #StayTuned
Long
by minno91
1
ZRXUSDT | Continuation?ZRXUSDT Trade Analysis My previous ZRXUSDT trade didn't pan out as expected, but I'm still bullish on this one. I've just opened a new position that could unfold over the next few months. Weekly Chart Despite a recent breakdown, we're holding steady at the previous weekly high and have bounced back nicely. This resilience suggests potential for an upward continuation. Trade Setup I'm targeting an easy continuation with an impressive 5:1 risk-reward ratio. This setup offers a fantastic opportunity for a strong comeback, and I'm excited to see how it plays out. Stay tuned for updates—this could be the trade that turns things around! #CryptoTrading #ZRXUSDT #Bullish #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #HighRiskHighReward #StayTuned
Long
by minno91
Is trading really gambling? Yes and no!I know why you’re NOT trading. You think trading is nothing more than gambling. I get emails every day from members saying things like. “Timon trading seems like going to the casino”. “Timon I don’t want to put money into something that’s gambling” “Timon thanks but I don’t gamble” So you’re not trading because you think it’s like gambling. Well, before you send me another email like this – Please make sure you read this carefully. Let’s dive into the heated debate and let’s see if I agree whether trading is just gambling. Does Timon think trading is just gambling? YES! I do believe trading is a form of gambling. BUT – hold on… Gambling exists in two realms. Chance vs. Strategy There is chance gambling and strategic gambling. Chance gambling is similar to playing slot machines, lotteries, and coin tosses. It’s 50/50. And it’s all up to chance. Have you ever heard of a professional slots player or coin flipper? I don’t think so. Then in the other realm of gambling is known as strategic gambling. The strategic domain is where skill, knowledge, risk management, methodology, probabilities and decision-making play crucial roles. And that my friend, is why I believe trading is a form of strategic gambling. You do get professional and successful poker and black jack players, sports bettors and of course traders. Right? And that’s because you need skill, strategies and the right techniques to WIN as oppose to mere luck. So before you quit trading because you think it’s nothing more than gambling, allow me to go one step further. Let’s talk about the similarities between certain strategic gambling games and see how we can learn from them with trading. Strategic Game #1: Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management Poker and trading share a few similarities. They both emphasize skill, strategy, and a sprinkle of luck. But you need a deep understanding of the rules. You need keen observation of the competitors. You need adeptness at risk, reward and money management. Poker players and traders alike must know when to hold their ground and when to fold. Poker players put their cards down when the probability is low. Traders either don’t take the trade, risk little in medium probability trades and use tools like stop losses to risk little. Poker also teaches the importance of emotional control and patience. And these as I have written many times before, are crucial in trading. Because emotional decisions can lead to significant losses with both poker and with trading. Next game… Game #2: Trading and Roulette Playing the probabilities It may seem at first that roulette leans more towards chance. Red or black, odd or even etc… But the fact that you have a choice, means that it offers you some form of probability. A fundamental concept in trading are probabilities. Traders, like professional roulette players, use statistical analysis to help make informed and better decisions. It is unpredictable what the ball will land on. Just like it is unpredictable which way the market will go. But if you have a sound system, proven track record and winning strategy – you will be able to base the probabilities and tilt the odds in your favour – over time. In trading, while certain market movements can’t be predicted with absolute certainty, we rely heavily on technical, fundamental, statistical analysis and probabilities to make trading decisions. Trading, much like roulette, is where you need to diversify your positions and bets. And you can WIN in the long run if you follow your high probability strategy. Game #3: Trading and Blackjack How a maths boffon can win overtime In blackjack, players make strategic decisions to outmaneuver the dealer. The main goal is to try and get the cards we’re dealt to hit 21, be close to 21 or be closer to 21 than our opponent’s hand. Bet too high past 21 and you burn (lose). This is similar to trading. You need to be able to analyse the marker conditions. You need to be able to calculate your position sizes and risk management according to your trade line up. Both games need you to have a balance of risk, strategy, and knowledge to succeed. Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing Know your horse! Now this is a game that has turned many statisticians into multi millionaires. Horse racing is where you need to know and choose the right horse that will win based on its: Form Characteristics Conditions of the race Weather on the day and other factors. They study the characteristics, and race conditions to a T. They calculate based on past performance on which horse has the higher probability of winning. Traders need to know their horses (markets) too. Every market you choose to trade, has its own personality, form, movements, and style. You need to check to see if the chosen market has worked for your trading system and portfolio over time. And you need to choose the right time, market environment and other factors – before you take on the trade. In horse racing, experienced bettors also diversify their bets across multiple races and horses to spread risk. With trading we diversify our portfolios over different accounts, markets, sectors, instruments and types. Finally let’s talk about the last game: Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting The power of predictive analysis Sports betting, much like trading, relies on predictive analysis to almost see potential outcomes. If you understand a team’s performance, strategy, and conditions – You will be able to make better betting decisions for the next game. As a sports bettor you definitely need to know how to analyse a team’s or player’s form, weather conditions, past scores and more to predict an outcome. Whether it’s football, rugby or cricket – you need to have your winning game plan to increase your chances of winning the bet. Traders do the same. They have different markets like sports bettors have different games. Traders also conduct similar technical, fundamental, sentimental, volume analyses to help predict potential market movements. Both activities involve calculated risk-taking, aiming for high-probability successes based on thorough research and analysis. Final words: So, as you can see trading is MORE than just gambling. Unlike games of pure chance, trading is a disciplined, analytical pursuit that shares more in common with skill-based gambling. It does require you however to have the right knowledge, strategy, and strong risk, reward and money management. Let’s sum up the games and sports vs trading so you can remember what we’ve covered today: Game #1: Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management Game #2: Trading and Roulette – Playing the probabilities Game #3: Trading and Blackjack – How a maths boffon can win overtime Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing – Know your horse! Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting – The power of predictive analysis DO YOU THINK TRADING IS LIKE GAMBLING?
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
Check if a trend is formed after June 5thHello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This volatility period is expected to last from June 3rd to 5th. Accordingly, we need to check if a trend is formed after the volatility period. Currently, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing near the HA-High indicator (67614.25) on the 1D chart and is showing support near that area. Therefore, the key is whether it can rise along the rising trend line (1) after the volatility period. If it does not, and falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and shows resistance, 1st: 65233.64 (64K-66401.82) 2nd: 62791.03 You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above. In particular, the 2nd section, 62791.03 point, is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, and an important trend line passes near this point, so it is a section that must be supported in order to maintain an upward trend. If it falls from the 62791.03 point or an important trend line, there is a high possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. However, since it falls after the HA-Low indicator is generated, there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed. (1W chart) As seen in the 1W chart, the volatility period is expected to continue until the week including July 29th. Therefore, the real trend is expected to form after this volatility period. Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K. The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
1
Important section: 1071.36-1130.53Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (1M chart) The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (1135.97), which is the peak of the major uptrend. If not, it is expected to form a downtrend and form a new trend. (1W chart) The Fibonacci ratio on the right is shown in the major uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the left is shown in the recent uptrend on the 1W chart. Accordingly, if the price is maintained above the right Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (1135.97), it is expected to rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 1 (1339.36). The important section on the 1W chart is around 848.46. Accordingly, if it fails to rise above 1130.53, it should check for support near 848.46. The rising channel indicated by the circle is a trend line connected between lows. Therefore, if it cannot rise within the current rising channel, the key is whether it rises along the rising channel between lows indicated by the circle. (1D chart) The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is showing signs of being created at the 1071.36 point. Accordingly, the important section on the 1D chart is around 1071.36. Therefore, the section 1071.36-1130.53 is the important section. This volatility period is around June 4th (June 3rd-5th). Therefore, it is necessary to check in which direction it deviates from the section 1071.36-1130.53 after the volatility period. Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start after it rises above 29K. The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
NASDAQ:NVDA
by readCrypto
Support zone: Around 189.84Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (1M chart) You need to check if it is rising along the rising channel. The important zone on the 1M chart is around 175.45. (1W chart) The important zone on the 1W chart is around 189.42. Therefore, the support zone is the 175.45-189.42 zone. You need to check if it is forming a trend while passing through the week including July 22nd and the week including August 19th. If it falls below 157.65, we need to check for support near 136.72. (1D chart) The important sections on the 1D chart are around 189.84 and 172.16. Therefore, the key is whether it can find support near 189.84 and rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.5 (197.89). If it falls near 189.84 and shows resistance, 1st: 181.99 2nd: 172.16-175.45 We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above. Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting section, it is necessary to check the movement when this section is touched. #BTCUSD 1M If the major upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
NASDAQ:AAPL
by readCrypto
Support zone: Around 67300-70700Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (Samsung Electronics 1M chart) The area around 70700 is likely to complete the 'M' pattern and turn into a downtrend. Therefore, whether there is support around 70700 is an important issue. (1W chart) The important zones on the 1W chart are around 77500 and 57400. Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 77500 when it rises with support near 70700 as mentioned on the 1M chart. If not, and it falls near 70700, there is a possibility that it will fall to around 57400. Since the 57400 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will be newly created as the price falls. Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created, whether there is support near that area will be an important issue. (1D chart) The important sections on the 1W chart are around 84300 and 67300. Accordingly, we can see that the area around 67300-70700 is the support area. If it is supported near the support zone and rises, 1st: 77500-79400 2nd: 84300 The 1st and 2nd zones above are short-term resistance zones. However, if it is confirmed that it is supported in this resistance zone, there is a possibility that it will update the previous latest high. The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a high point zone has been formed. Therefore, since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was created at the 84300 point, it is a high point zone. Therefore, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator. If the HA-Low indicator is created, it means that a low point zone has been formed. Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K. The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
KRX:005930
by readCrypto
Trend lines are also lagging(?)Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I think trend lines are drawn to find out the trend that appears when candles are formed. Therefore, since they are drawn after candles are formed, they can be called lagging. However, since there is a characteristic of moving along a trend that has been formed unless there is a special issue, chart analysis is done by referring to trend lines. To draw trend lines, you need to understand the arrangement of candles. If not, there is a high possibility that it will be a meaningless line, so you need to study candles in advance to draw trend lines. The point to use as a reference when drawing trend lines may vary depending on your investment style. When drawing a trend line, I draw it according to the following rules. 1. Connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles corresponding to the high point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the blue line) 2. Connect the low point of the price candles corresponding to the low point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the light green (#00FF00) line) The setting values ​​of the StochRSI indicator are 3, 3, 14, 7 (K, D, RSI, Stoch). However, the source value is the value of the Heikin-Ashi candle (Open + Close) / 2. The difference can be confirmed by the StochRSI indicator and the Stoch RSI indicator of the TS - BW indicator on the chart. 1. Use the high point formed when the StochRSI indicator rises above 80, 2. Use the low point formed when the StochRSI indicator falls below 20. Exclude any low or high points formed other than these. The trend line connecting the low points can be connected by connecting the low points of the price candles. However, the trend line connecting the high points must connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles, so when the price candle where the high point of the StochRSI indicator is formed is an upward candle, the opening price of the first falling candle among the right candles is specified and used. Therefore, since there is a difference between the StochRSI indicator of the TS -BW indicator and the general StochRSI indicator, it is recommended to use the StochRSI indicator formula of the TS - BW indicator if possible. When the StochRSI indicator entered the oversold zone and formed two low points, the trend line was not drawn by connecting the two low points. Therefore, the trend line is drawn as shown on the chart. Both the most recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2) are down, so it seems likely that a change in trend will occur. However, since it is virtually impossible to know with just the trend line, it is recommended to comprehensively evaluate by adding auxiliary indicators. Therefore, it is recommended to refer to the BW indicator, which displays MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and SuperTrend indicators. If the BW indicator is rising from the 0 point, it means that the trend is rising. On the contrary, if it is falling from the 0 point, it means that the trend is falling. Since the BW indicator is currently above the 0 point, we can see that the trend is rising. Therefore, when looking at the trend line and the BW indicator comprehensively, we can respond by selling when it falls from the recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2). However, since the BW indicator is in an upward trend, it is recommended to respond with a split sell rather than a 100% sell. It is still difficult to determine the timing of trading with the trend line alone. Therefore, it is recommended to select the timing of trading by indicating the support and resistance points. In that sense, it is a good idea to add HA-Low, HA-High indicators and use them to select the trading period. Even if you do not use HA-Low, HA-High indicators, you should draw support and resistance lines according to the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and mark them on the chart to select the trading period. The good thing about using indicators that indicate support and resistance points is that the support and resistance points do not change depending on your psychological state. When you start trading, your psychological state may become unstable due to price volatility, and if you are in an unstable psychological state, you may draw a line incorrectly, which may result in an unreliable line. Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K. The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Important section: 67614.25-70231.38Hello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) It began to rise in the buy zone and reached its first decline around the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.27 (73.308.95). This first decline continued towards the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.886 (56000.42). It then moves higher and is rising above the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.13 (67031.36). Therefore, it appears that there is a high possibility that the Fibonacci ratio will show volatility through a three-stage movement. If volatility occurs in three stages like this, In case of decline, it is expected to fall around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.707 (48064.07) to 0.786 (51606.42). When rising, it is expected to rise around the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.618 (88913.24) to 2 (106042.09). Therefore, I think the key is which direction it deviates from the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.13 (67031.36) to 1.24 (73308.95). (1W chart) If it rises along the important upward channel, it is expected to continue the upward trend purchased around 16K-28K. However, since it has created a new rising channel (rising trend line (4) ~ (5)) and is showing an upward trend, if it deviates from this rising channel, volatility is expected to occur to change the trend. Therefore, it is necessary to keep a close eye on the movement between the high trend line of the important rising channel and the rising trend line (4). Therefore, this period of volatility on the 1W chart is expected to last until around the week of July 29th. (1D chart) A short-term rising channel has been formed and the price is showing an upward trend along the short-term rising channel. However, since the rising channel narrows as the price rises, the possibility that the Fibonacci ratio point falls below the short-term rising channel around 1.27 (73308.95) cannot be ruled out. Therefore, the trend line we should consider important is the upward trend line (1). This rising trend line (1) is the corresponding trend line to the rising trend line (4) mentioned in the 1W chart. Therefore, since a short-term uptrend can lead to a movement to continue the mid- to long-term uptrend, we need to think about countermeasures against this. Currently, the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 67614.25, and the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at 65233.64. Therefore, you should consider a response strategy depending on whether there is support around 65233.64-67614.25. The next period of volatility will be around June 4 (June 3-5). However, there is a possibility that proactive volatility may occur from around May 27th to 29th (maximum May 26th to 30th). Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched. #BTCUSD 1M If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
2
EUR/USD Intra Day/Week Play 28/05/2025On the monthly we are currently witnessing the formation of a descending trangle in preparation for a breakout to the upside if we cross 1.13093 or to the downside if we cross 1.04898. This level has been mitigated back in July 2022 taking all buy side liquidity in the process beofre returning to create the new support level to begin a new wyckoff accumilation pattern. On the weekly we can see that price has been ranging btween 1.10082 (highs) and 1.07237 (lows) When we head down to the 4 hour we can see that price has mitigated the previous 4hr bearish order block to then form a break out to the downside, it then returned to the break out levels further claiming all the sell side liquidity in the zone and is preparing for a move downward to fill the imbalance @ 1.07953 and tap into either the bullish order block at 1.07876 or 1.07459 This upward movement is also supported by the bearish candle crossing the 20ema to test 100ema with a pisitive reaction to the upside on the 4hr indicating strong buying interest. In this scenario, we would look for an entry at 1.07856 with a stop loss at 1.07117 and take profits at 1.10107 securing a nice 1:3 Risk to Reward. Let me know what you guys think. Hope you have a great week ahead. Happy Trading.
Long
by FXCapitalClub
Stacks (STXUSD): Balanced Strategy for a Solid UpsideFor Stacks (STXUSD), we see a Fair-Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart, along with similar gaps on the three-day and daily charts, plus a demand zone below. Our plan is to use these weekly FVGs and the demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry points if the price drops to those levels. We see $1.31 as the maximum downside. On the upside, we aim to reclaim the recent high, with resistance around the three-day gap at $2.64. We're pretty confident that with a well-placed stop-loss, this setup offers a solid chance to build a long swing position. This strategy provides a balanced risk-reward scenario, allowing us to take advantage of potential upward movements while effectively managing the risks. Looking at the annual VWAP for STX, it's crucial because this year's VAL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) could act as support, which aligns with our planned entry in the orange zone. This point could be pivotal for holding and supporting STX's price action. On the upside, the annual VAH (Volume-Weighted Average Price High) will serve as resistance. If we flip this level, it could then become support, opening up significant upward potential. While the timing is uncertain, we're ready to see how the price action unfolds, barring any unexpected news. On the quarterly chart, we see a clear picture. Our worst-case scenario is the 2024 Q1 VHL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) at $1.56, which is our downside limit. We expect this level to serve as resistance, and currently, we're struggling to surpass it. However, we're focusing on the 2024 Q1 VAL as our critical support, marking it as our worst-case scenario. Overall, breaking through the 2024 Q1 VHL is challenging, but our strategy considers this level, ensuring we're prepared for potential downside movements while aiming for upward targets. Lastly, the monthly chart for STX is more complex. We have the February VAL and January VAH below us, which have acted as support multiple times. If we lose these support levels, they might turn into resistance, possibly causing a reversal before or at the January VWAP. Our first resistance on the way up will be the April VAL of $2.42. There are several resistances to navigate, making it crucial to move carefully. Despite this, we expect a trend reversal soon, but the key question is whether the market will shake out a few more participants before turning upwards.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc