5 Hidden Dangers of Trading with FOMOIn the previous TradingView article we spoke about FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
And why it is really not necessary to deal with.
There is always the next trade coming.
There is always another opportunity coming your way.
There is always time to take the next one.
No we are going to unpack the five hidden dangers of trading with FOMO and how to sidestep them like a pro.
The Emotional Rollercoaster: Stress & Anxiety
Remember when I said.
“Trading is not just a financial challenge, but an emotional marathon”?
That’s never more true than when FOMO kicks in.
When you miss a trade, I know that you could feel stress and anxiety creeping in.
You feel like you’ve missed the most important trade of the year.
Well guess what, you might have missed one trade – but that’s it.
Success is based on 1,000s of trades not just one.
So the key is to remember this, so you eradicate the feelings of stress and anxiety next time you miss a trade.
The Short-Term Mirage: Losing Sight of Long-Term Goals
FOMO pushes you to focus on short-term gains.
Yes it’s important to try and spot high probability trades on a daily basis.
But, if you miss the trade – just go on and look for another.
There is bound to be more ready for you to execute or at least prepare for.
And while you’re at it, remember these are lessons to help you to be more punctual and vivid with your trades.
Following the Herd: The Danger of Sheep Behaviour
Ever heard the saying, “If your friend jumps off a bridge, would you do it too?”
That’s FOMO in a nutshell.
YOUR job is NOT to take a trade based on what your friend, foe, analyst or stranger tells you to buy or sell.
Your job is to either follow your own trading plan and strategy or your mentor’s.
Resist the urge to follow the flock and rather, trust your own research, strategy and instincts.
You’ll form Bad Habits
Each time you give in to FOMO and you take a trade for the sake of it, you’re not just making a bad trade.
You’re also cultivating bad habits for the future.
And once the bad habit forms, it then cultivates and becomes harder to escape from it.
Break the cycle by sticking to your disciplined trading routine. You’re better than that!
Ignored analysis
When you have that FOMO you want to then take impulse trades.
And all your hard work and analyses and discipline is thrown out of the window.
It’s like trying to navigate yourself without a map or GPS.
And you’re depending on your instincts or your “memory”.
It’s a very risky gamble and it could take a LOT longer to find your way.
Don’t go against the strategy. Don’t take trades for the sake of it. Don’t have FOMO because you missed one or two trades.
Just keep to your strategy and move on. It’s your trading compass for a reason.
FINAL WORDS 🚀🌟:
Trading with FOMO is like sailing in stormy seas – it’s risky, stressful, and often leads to nowhere good.
Let’s go other the 5 danger of trading FOMO
Stress & Anxiety: Keep emotions in check and stick to your trading plan.
Short-Term Focus: Remember your long-term goals and don’t get distracted by short-lived trends.
Sheep Behaviour: Be an independent thinker, not a follower.
Bad Habits: Avoid developing harmful trading habits by maintaining discipline.
Ignored Analysis: Trust in your research and analysis; they are your best tools for successful trading.
Tradingstrategy
XAUUSD How to Scalp Trade on the 5 and 15min TimeframeTaking a look at Gold metals, we had quite the correction in the past 24 hours so I'm now looking to bottoming action to scalp trade on the small timesframes.
This video explains a quick in and out strategy that I use when bottoming or topping action has been detected. Little by little with small scalps actually yeilds greater profit in a shorter period of time than just looking for an entry, holding and then hoping to exit at the right time.
Send me a DM if you have any questions about this technique.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
🟢📈 Market Update: BTC Breakout Potential! 📈🟢📊 Analysis:
Market Movement: The market opened with a bullish tone, with BTC attempting to break through the top of the range support area at $66,000.
Key Levels: Watch the 0.618 – 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level closely, spanning $68,000 - $70,000.
Potential Scenario: A successful break above this level could lead BTC to retest the all-time high at $73,800.
Risk Awareness: If BTC faces rejection, it may signal further downside, necessitating cautious risk management.
📈 Trading Strategy:
Observation: Monitor BTC's price action around the key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Entry: Consider long positions if BTC breaks convincingly above $70,000.
Targets: Target potential retest of the all-time high at $73,800.
Risk Management: Implement appropriate stop-loss measures to manage downside risk in case of rejection.
🚦 Stay Alert: Market trends may shift rapidly, so stay vigilant for changes in price dynamics! 📊📉 #BTC #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy 🌟📈
The key to interpreting indicators is support and resistanceHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BNBUSDT 1M chart)
If the price holds above 0.618 (528.6), the upward trend is expected to continue.
When the candle closes around 0.618 (528.6), you should check whether a new HA-High indicator is created.
Also, you should check if the StochRSI indicator switches to a bearish indicator.
If it falls below 0.618 (528.6) and shows resistance, it is likely to fall to around 427.2.
Accordingly, if it falls below 511.4, it is recommended to sell part of it to prepare funds to respond to the decline.
(1W chart)
The box section of the HA-HIgh indicator covers a fairly large range (211.7-669.3).
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in the 533.9-645.2 section, which is the upper section of the box of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
However, since a psychological volume profile section is formed over the 573.0-649.5 section, the upward trend is expected to continue only when it rises above this section.
Therefore, if it falls below the 511.4-533.9 range,
1st: 427.2
2nd: 320.9-332.4
You need to check if you receive support around the 1st and 2nd levels above.
However, since the M-Signal (MS-Signal) indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 0.5 (466.3), it is important whether it can be supported and rise around 427.3-466.3.
The StochRSI indicator shows a decline below the midpoint.
We need to see if the StochRSI indicator can turn upward.
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above 588.9.
If the price remains above the M-Signal (MS-Signal) indicator on the 1D chart, it is time to buy.
Therefore, the current section corresponds to the buying period.
If it falls below 555.8, it may lead to a further decline, so you need to think about a response plan.
-------------------------------------------------- --
What I wanted to talk about in the BNBUSDT chart is the flow of the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator.
The BW indicator is
- 1M chart: Located at the highest point of the overbought zone
- 1W chart: Located in overbought zone
- 1D chart: Located in oversold area
The StochRSI indicator is
- 1M chart: Located in overbought zone
- 1W chart: falling below the midpoint
- 1D chart: About to rise into the overbought zone
As shown above, the positions where they are formed are different.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that the shaking will continue to show the flow in the same location and direction.
In this case, what is important is how long you have been trading this coin.
Depending on the period during which the transaction was carried out
- Short-term perspective: Respond to the trend on the 1D chart
- Mid- to long-term perspective: Respond to the trend of the 1W chart
- Long-term perspective: Respond to the trend of the 1M chart
As shown above, you need to look at which chart to create a trading strategy.
However, I think the 1W chart is usually the chart that expresses the overall trend well.
Therefore, I think the 1W chart is most appropriate when analyzing trends.
The movements of the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart are quite slow.
Therefore, it is difficult to refer to the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart when trading.
However, when a new candle is created, it is possible to roughly know what it will look like in the future based on changes in the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator.
The fact that the BW indicator is located at the highest point of the overbought range also means that the likelihood of a future decline increases.
Therefore, from a long-term perspective, it is necessary to respond to declines.
The BW indicator on the 1W chart is located in the overbought section, and the StochRSI indicator shows a decline below the mid-price point.
Accordingly, you need to check for support and resistance points near the current price and think about how to respond.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart appears to be newly created at the 555.8 point.
If the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is created at the 555.8 point, you need to check whether it can be supported and rise around that area.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high point has been formed.
Therefore, it means that the 555.8 point corresponds to the high point.
Since the previous HA-High indicator point was 522.0, it is highly likely that the high point will be renewed only if it is supported and rises around 522.0-555.8.
If it fails to do so and falls, it will basically fall near the HA-Low indicator.
However, it is not easy to meet the HA-Low indicator because it is highly likely that support and resistance points have been formed until the HA-Low indicator is met.
A representative indicator is the MS-Signal indicator.
The BW indicator on the 1D chart is located in the oversold zone, and the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone.
If the BW indicator shows an upward trend when a new candle is created, it is likely to lead to a further rise.
Otherwise, if a horizontal line is created in an overbought area, you must respond depending on whether there is support at that horizontal line point.
When the StochRSI indicator rises into the overbought zone, it means that the strength of the rise is strong.
Therefore, it is likely to rise.
Therefore, if the BW indicator also shows an upward trend when the StochRSI indicator shows a strong upward trend, it means that there is a high possibility that the price will rise from the support and resistance points of the current price.
At the current price position, the support zone is the MS-Signal indicator and the resistance zone is the HA-High indicator.
If this is expressed numerically, it falls within the range 555.8-588.9.
Indicators depicted on charts are likely to be lagging.
Therefore, in order to check these lagging indicators, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Otherwise, you need to be careful as there is a possibility of big losses due to a slow response.
When using an indicator, it must be interpreted in accordance with the core interpretation method of the indicator.
If you try to interpret it by including additional transaction methods, you should avoid it as it may lead to transactions taking place in the wrong direction.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 136.92Hello traders!
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(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
The 136.92 point is the HA-High indicator point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 136.92.
(1W chart)
Since the MS-Signal indicator is formed over the range of 0.618 (119.71) to 0.707 (135.56), the key is whether it can be supported and rise in this range.
If this fails and it falls, it is expected to fall to around 0.5 (98.71).
In other words, you need to check if it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Since the HA-High indicator was formed at the 168.41 point, it is likely that an uptrend will begin if it rises above this point.
(1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend in the oversold range, but considering the current setting value of the StochRSI indicator, it must rise above 30 during trading to be considered to be out of the oversold range.
Therefore, it cannot be said that it is out of the oversold zone yet.
However, if StochRSI > StochRSI EMA remains, the possibility of an upward rise increases, so the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 136.92.
Currently, the horizontal point of the BW indicator is formed at 153.16.
Therefore, it is time to buy only when the price rises above 153.16 until a new horizontal point of the BW indicator is created.
Therefore, if support is confirmed around 136.92, proceed with aggressive buying.
If you encounter the horizontal point of the newly created BW indicator or the MS-Signal indicator around 153.16, you should sell it in installments.
This is the basic trading strategy of aggressive buying.
However, depending on the situation, you can either sell 100% or sell the purchase principal amount.
As mentioned earlier, full-scale purchase is
- horizontal point of the BW indicator,
- MS-Signal indicator,
- HA-High, HA-Low indicators,
- Support and resistance points drawn on 1M, 1W, 1D charts
This is possible when it is confirmed that you are supported in the above areas.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The Anti: A Super Powerful 1:1 SetupIn this video, I discuss The Anti a trade first mentioned by Linda Raschke in her 1996 book Street Smarts. Her version used a Stoch indicator but, I prefer a modified MACD indicator. To take this setup, you first need an indication of market reversal. In our case that will be climatic activity.
So this trade has 4 parts:
Climatic activity or other indication of possible market reversal
First leg
MACD or Stoch slow line change of trend
MACD or Stoch fast line hooking back into the slow line (against the trend)
About BW indicators...Hello traders!
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-------------------------------------
We have not disclosed the detailed settings and formulas of the indicators below, but we will disclose them in the future when we deem it is time to do so.
Please understand this.
There are quite a few indicators that are displayed on the chart but are difficult to understand because they do not have explanations.
Among them, this time I will take the time to explain the BW indicator.
The BW indicator comprehensively evaluates MACD, StochRSI, CCI, supertrend, and PVT indicators to distinguish between uptrends and downtrends based on the 0 point.
(MACD indicator)
MACD = (fast + slow) / 2
Signal = EMA of MACD
MACD > Signal: +1 point
MACD = Signal: 0 points
MACD < Signal: -1 point
(StochRSI indicator)
StochRSI = (K + D) / 2
StochRSI > 50: +1 point
StochRSI = 50: 0 points
StochRSI < 50: -1 point
(CCI indicator)
CCI > 0: +1 point
CCI = 0: 0 points
CCI < 0: -1 point
(supertrend indicator)
direction < 10: +1 point
direction = 0 : 0 points
direction > 10 : -1 point
(PVT indicator)
PVT > Signal: +1 point
PVT = Signal: 0 points
PVT < Signal: -1 point
It is displayed in the secondary indicator using the same calculation method as above.
To make it easier to view, we made it appear on the price chart.
Therefore, we have made it possible to check more intuitively by referring to the BW indicator point displayed on the price chart when trading.
To use this indicator, simply share this idea and then paste it into your own chart.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Check whether HA-Low indicator is createdHello traders!
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Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1M chart)
The price is located near 0.5 (3097.94), falling below 3321.30.
If it fails to rise above 0.5 (3097.94), it is expected to fall to around 0.382 (2647.80).
If the price remains above the MS-Signal indicator, it is expected to eventually continue its upward trend.
(1W chart)
We need to check whether it can be supported and rise in the psychological volume profile area, that is, around 2621.99-3025.27.
The 3025.27 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart, so if it is supported and rises, I think there is a high possibility of renewing the high point.
In addition, if the price is maintained above the MS-Signal indicator, the upward trend is expected to continue, so the current price position can be said to fall into an important support and resistance zone.
(1D chart)
When the BW indicator is horizontal, you need to check whether it is supported near that point.
At this time, if the StochRSi indicator rises from the oversold range or becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, then it is time to buy.
Since the 3025.27 and 3321.30 points correspond to the HA-High indicator points on the 1W and 1M charts, the important question is whether the price can be supported and rise in the 3025.27-3321.30 section.
The next period of volatility will be around April 26-29.
Accordingly, we will have to wait and see whether the price can be maintained above 3025.27.
If a new HA-Low indicator is created, it is important whether the HA-Low indicator can be supported and rise.
This is because the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point has been formed.
Therefore, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise decline.
Conversely, if it is supported and rises by the HA-Low indicator, it will be a good buying zone.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
No FOMO when you trade - 5 ReasonsSo you missed a trade.
Or you are you often gripped by the fear of missing out (FOMO) in the trading world?
It’s a common feeling.
But let me tell you.
You might miss a train, but the next one is always on the way.
And the stock market will always be there for you to pump out more profit opportunities for you.
Today, I want you to not worry to much about FOMO. And I don’t want you to kick yourself and here’s why…
Impulsive Decisions: The Enemy of Rational Trading
Ever jumped into a trade just because it ‘felt right’?
It’s like grabbing a chocolate bar at the checkout – it’s tempting, but not always a good idea.
You need to get rid of the idea of wanting to impulse trade (trade for the sake of it).
Rather have your trading plan and stick to it by all means.
If you miss a trade – LOOK for the next one.
Not a low probability trade. Wait for the next high chance of success trade and you’ll be happy you did so.
Research: Your Secret Weapon
Trading without research is like driving with your eyes closed. You might get lucky and not crash, but it’s a risky gamble.
You need to put in the time to research and analyse the markets accordingly.
Understand the why behind your trades. Research is your crystal ball in the trading world.
Chasing the Market: A Fool’s Errand
Ever seen a stock skyrocket and felt like you’re missing the party?
You might feel the same with Bitcoin or a stock that has underperformed in a while.
The worse you can do, is try to chase the market.
If you missed the trade. Move on and find the next perfect trade that is linin up.
Patience is your ally.
Precision analysis is also the key.
Remember, markets move in cycles. Wait for your moment.
Big Risks: Big Rewards or Big Regrets?
It’s like betting all your chips on red.
It can pay off, but it’s a rollercoaster ride.
So you need to remember that risk and money management is key.
Balance optimism with realism.
Use stop-loss orders, adjust with trailing stop losses – get out with time stop losses.
And most importantly – Protect your capital – it’s your trading lifeline.
High Emotions: The Trader’s Kryptonite
The infamous emotional rollercoaster might make you take the wrong trades.
It will result in you making rash, quick and irresponsible decisions.
So try to keep emotions at bay, stay calm to trade.
Develop a mindset that is calm and collected. Remember, the market doesn’t care about your feelings.
Final words:
So you know that FOMO is another dangerous habit to develop as a trader.
Rather, say to yourself this mantra.
There is always another and better trade on the way, and I don’t have to catch every single trade that presents itself.
Let’s sum up the reasons why FOMO is dangerous.
Impulsive Decisions: The Enemy of Rational Trading
Research: Your Secret Weapon
Chasing the Market: A Fool’s Errand
Big Risks: Big Rewards or Big Regrets?
High Emotions: The Trader’s Kryptonite
Support zone: 3025.27-3321.30Hello traders!
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Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
No matter what the trend of the 1M and 1W charts is, I believe that the movement in the short term is dominated by the trend on the 1D chart.
It appears that the current BW indicator has touched the lowest point of the oversold range.
However, since it has not yet reached the horizon, we need to watch the movement of today's candles.
This volatility period runs until April 13th, so you need to check where the candle closes today.
The 3025.27 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart, and the 3321.30 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 3025.27-3321.30.
If it falls to around 3025.27, you should check whether a new HA-Low indicator is created.
If a new HA-Low indicator is created, an important factor is whether it receives support around it.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
(Weekly expected flow) Volatility period: Around April 12Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
I believe that the rise in the gap between USDT and USDC is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I believe that candles express the increase or decrease of USDT or USDC through trading.
Accordingly, the continuation of the gap upward trend means that the upward trend in the coin market is likely to continue.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise in the first section, 1.13 (67031.36) ~ 69K.
The most important section in the current flow is the secondary section, 56K-61K.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue if the price is maintained beyond the second range.
However, if it falls below 64K, you may feel psychologically anxious and the selling price may increase, so you need to think about a countermeasure.
(1W chart)
As the StochRSI indicator fell from the overbought range, the StochRSI < StochRSI EMA condition became.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is located in the sideways or no change zone, volatility may occur, so caution is required when trading.
Accordingly, the key is which direction to deviate from the 64K-69K range.
If the price rises above 69K and maintains, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH) again.
If not, and the StochRSI indicator falls into the oversold range, you should check whether it is supported around 56K-61K.
Considering the financial situation in the coin market, I think there is a high possibility that the finger will point and the upward trend will continue.
However, we need to look at how much the price will fluctuate and whether it will form a sideways section and then rise.
(1D chart)
The next period of volatility will be around April 12 (April 11-13).
Accordingly, we need to look at whether a trend is forming after a period of volatility.
Since a new trend line has been created as a downward trend line, there is a possibility that the decline may continue further.
At this time, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 64K.
Currently, the price appears to be maintaining near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, the StochRSI indicator is rising from the oversold zone and entering the sideways and no change zone.
If the current trend is maintained and the price rises above 69K, the StochRSI indicator is expected to begin to strengthen its strength.
However, in order to continue the short-term upward trend, it is expected that it will start to rise above the 69K-70231.38 range.
Therefore, it is time to buy when support is confirmed around 69K-70231.38.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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AGIX: Why trading the long option is a better strategySingularityNET price action (AGIX) is generating an interesting technical pattern. A potential double-top has formed which strengthens strong bearish divergence on the daily chart. However, a recent bit of strengthening suggests a bullish continuation triangle is in the make at the same time.
I'm not trading this pattern, but if I were, I'd choose to go long. If I'm right then my entry point should not be threatened by a little reversal on an intraday timeframe. If I'm wrong, then I'd expect a confirmation move to touch the bottom of the triangle, allowing me to get out close to my entry point for a relatively small loss.
It's all about risk-reward. A long target: US$2.33 - that's a 100% gain IF... oh that bloody IF... :)
Volatility Period: Around April 4 (April 3-April 5)Hello traders!
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The BW indicator is showing signs of rising as it shows support near the MS-Signal indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise in the 3503-68-3675.23 section.
The volatility period for ETH is around April 4 (April 3-5).
(1M charts)
The important sections are around 3321.30 and 3900.73.
(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is falling from the overbought zone and is at the midpoint.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that volatility may occur, so transactions should be carried out cautiously.
I think the key will be which direction it deviates from the 3503.68-3962.19 section, which is an important section on the 1W chart.
Since the BW indicator is located in the overbought zone, it is maintaining a strong upward trend.
Accordingly, if the StochRSI indicator turns upward when the price is maintained in the current range, it is expected to form an upward trend again.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Monthly Expected Trading StrategyHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
What we need to keep an eye on is the movement in April 2021.
This is because at this time, the StochRSI indicator began to decline from the peak of the overbought range.
We need to check whether the upcoming month of April looks the same as April 2021 and seek ways to respond.
If not, there is a possibility that you will be embarrassed by the volatility and not be able to do anything.
(USDT 1M chart)
It appears that more funds have flowed into the coin market since April 2021.
And, the period when funds began to leak out of the coin market in earnest began in May 2022.
This phenomenon is different from what I have said so far, which is that in order for the coin market to show a downward trend, USDT must show a gap decline.
What I wanted to say was that a full-blown downtrend would eventually occur when funds began to flow out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think you understand how a full-fledged decline progresses.
----------------------------------------
When you look at the BTCUSDT chart, you can see that the full-fledged decline began in May 2022, and it continued to fall below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, it can be inferred that even if the decline continues in the coming April, the full-fledged decline will eventually proceed only when the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, you need to think about what trading strategy can maximize your profits until the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
(1M charts)
Accordingly, let us explain an example trading strategy as follows.
It is essential to have a trading strategy on how to respond when the price falls below the 59K (56K-61K) range where the movement occurred in April 2021.
This is because the most important section is the second section.
Before that, we need to select a section where we can respond in advance and buy time to maximize profits as much as possible.
To do this, you need to create a trading strategy to respond depending on whether you receive support or resistance in the first section (67K-69K).
Therefore, I think it is necessary to proceed with a split sale if the price rises above 1.27 (73308.95).
The expected target this time is around 1.618 (88913.24), but there is a possibility that it will fall around 1.414 (79765.89).
The reason is that the M-shaped pattern was created from April to November 2021.
If it rises to around 1.414 (79765.89) this April, the bottom section of the M-shaped pattern is expected to be the second section.
If there is no support in the second section and a further decline occurs, there is a possibility that it will touch around 42K-43K.
The reason is that an important volume profile section is formed around 42283.58.
However, there is one variable.
That is, when the price starts to fall, there is a high possibility that a new HA-High will be created.
Accordingly, I think there is a high possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created when the price falls below the first range and shows a downward trend.
I think the approximate location will be around the second section.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that the created point is the boundary point of the high point.
In other words, anything above the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point, and anything below it means that there is a high possibility of a sharp drop.
Therefore, if you first touch the HA-High indicator, you should check whether it is supported or resisted before any interpretation and create a trading strategy.
Therefore, you need to think ahead and create a trading strategy beyond what I mentioned above.
The HA-Low indicator has not yet been created on the BTCUSDT 1M chart.
What this means is that BTCUSDT has not yet made a bottom.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created and supported on the 1M chart, it is a very important buying time from a long-term perspective.
Let me say this again, if a full-fledged decline begins, no one knows how far it will fall.
However, you don't need to worry too much.
This is because BTC has already been launched as an investment product in the stock market.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Ethereum - First -40% and then +150%!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After the beautiful bullish break and retest on Ethereum back in 2022, we saw sufficient bullish confirmation on the smaller timeframes leading to the +250% rally which we have been seeing lately. Considering that Ethereum is now retesting the previous all-time-high, we might see a correction to retest the next support towards the downside before Ethereum will continue its overall bullish trend.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The key is whether it can receive support around 0.5682 and riseHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1M chart)
If the price remains above 0.47, it is expected to continue its upward trend.
Since the volume profile section is formed around 1.0409, it is expected that a new wave will be created only if it rises above 1.0409.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is formed at 0.5682.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 0.5682 and rise.
If not,
1st: 0.5236
2nd: 0.47
You need to check if you receive support near the first and second levels above.
Since a psychological volume profile section is formed around 0.618 (0.8121), in order to continue the upward trend, the price must rise above the psychological volume profile section formed around 0.618 (0.8121).
(1D chart)
As prices fall, the likelihood of a new HA-Low indicator being created increases.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point is formed.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is touched, support is an important issue.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at 0.5145.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator plummets to around 0.5145 before a new indicator is created, you should check to see if it shows support.
If support is confirmed, it is time to buy.
Falling below the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of renewing the low point, so a stepwise decline may occur, so you need to think about how to respond.
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 0.6405 point, it must rise above 0.6405 to continue the upward trend.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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What LOSER Traders Say – 6 PhrasesI like to say…
Go where winners thrive and excuse givers die!
If you’ve ever uttered the following phrases below – I urge you to stop saying them from today.
And when you do utter these below phrases, you’re going to manifest losing, despair and hopelessness.
But it’s not your fault. It’s the conditions and echo of amateur traders – that other traders listen to.
I don’t believe for one second you want the loser mentality.
I believe you want to embrace the mindset of a true trading champion.
So let’s stop saying the below:
The Market is Wrong: A Blame Game for the Weak
Newsflash: the market isn’t out to get you.
Another newsflash, the market is NEVER wrong.
It goes up, down and sideways.
What you’re seeing in the charts is HISTORICAL.
So, what comes out in the future is untold but the truth.
There should be NO ego for ever saying – The market is wrong.
Take control of what the market is currently doing and what it has done and analyze your approach.
I Suck at Trading: The Pity Party Pitfall
Negative self-talk is the fastest route to trading mediocrity.
We are ALL bad at something when we start.
We continue to be bad at something if we don’t practice hard, work at it and have persistence.
If you’re convinced you suck at trading, it’s time to silence that inner critic.
Trading is no different from picking up another skill, vocation, endeavour and hobby.
Maybe I Should Just Give Up: The Quitters’ Anthem
Throwing in the towel is the easy way out.
In fact, I don’t believe traders lose.
They simply quit.
But winners persevere.
If thoughts of giving up dance in your mind, consider this:
Success often comes to those who refuse to quit.
Risk less.
Tweak your strategy.
Have your game plan with a solid back tested journal.
Reassess your goals.
Take a deep breath and remember that every setback is a setup for a comeback.
Damn, This is a Slow Process: Impatience, the Silent Killer
Trading success is not a sprint; it’s a marathon.
Complaining about the slow process won’t expedite your journey to financial triumph.
Whether you’re holding gold and waiting for the market to rally to new highs – It will come – you just need patience.
Winners understand that patience is a trader’s virtue.
So either you run the marathon, or give up trying knowing it’s going to be a long road.
I Can’t Do It
Your mind is a powerful tool.
And when there are challenges and doubts, you’ll find that you’ll keep telling yourself – you can’t do it.
Think of thoughts as tiny branches of a tree.
The more you think a certain way, the bigger the tree becomes.
And this will set yourself up for failure.
Random thought: This is why when a woman says I’m fat 1,000 times. No matter how thin she is, you can’t convince her that she is thin. Because of the tree she has build in her mind about her self-image.
Same with trading.
Stop saying negative thoughts.
Be kinder to yourself and who you are.
Winners replace “I can’t” with “I will.”
Winners replace Should, Would, Could with DO!
Cultivate a positive trading mindset, believe in your abilities, and watch how your confidence transforms your trading outcomes.
I’ll Start Tomorrow
Procrastination is the biggest thief of success.
Tomorrow is the favorite day of the loser.
If you constantly push your trading plans to the next day, you’re delaying your success.
You’re delaying profit opportunities.
You’re delaying your learning process.
Winners take action today.
Start now, stick to your plan, and relish the progress you’ll make.
Tomorrow’s victories are earned through today’s actions.
FINAL WORDS:
So from today, say and manifest a more optimistic and positive mindset.
Don’t say any more loser phrases.
And let’s cultivate a winning mentality and tree of positive branches to your mind.
Let’s sum up the phrases you must NOT say:
The Market is Wrong: A Blame Game for the Weak
I Suck at Trading: The Pity Party Pitfall
Maybe I Should Just Give Up: The Quitters’ Anthem
Damn, This is a Slow Process: Impatience, the Silent Killer
I Can’t Do It
I’ll Start Tomorrow
Touching the HA-Low indicator means...Hello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(TRXUSDT 1M chart)
It appears that a new HA-High indicator is about to be created.
Accordingly, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is generated at the 0.10447 point.
If the HA-High indicator is created at the 0.10447 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around that area.
(1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by receiving support in the current section and rising above 0.13052.
If not, and it falls below 0.786 (0.11732), it is likely to fall to around 0.618 (0.10288).
If it falls like that, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downward trend, so you need to think about ways to respond to the decline.
(1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator was first touched on August 20, 2023, and then again on March 21, 2024.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 0.12002, which is the point where the HA-Low indicator is currently formed.
The HA-Low indicator is an indicator that indicates the boundary of the low point section.
Accordingly, support from the HA-Low indicator can be said to mean that a bottom section is forming.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it means that the low point is renewed, and a cascading decline is likely to continue.
Therefore, a trading strategy should be created depending on whether support or resistance is found around 0.12002, which is the currently formed HA-Low indicator point.
Since the MS-Signal indicator is formed around 0.12296, the key is whether it can rise above 0.12296.
If that happens, there is a high possibility that it will rise near the HA-High indicator, so there is a possibility that it will rise to around 0.13997, which is the point where the HA-High indicator is currently formed.
However, as the price rises, there is a possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created, so if a new HA-High indicator is created, support must be received near it to continue the upward trend.
TRX is one of the coins that is expanding the coin ecosystem.
I think it will be a good textbook for expanding the coin ecosystem I selected and understanding the trend as the first coin to touch the HA-Low indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The key is whether it can receive support at 70231.38 and riseHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
We need to see if we can break the new high (ATH) by rising above the previous high.
It has been two months since the StochRSI indicator hit the highest point in the overbought range.
Looking at the historical charts, the time when it was maintained at the highest point of the overbought range was February-March 2021.
Therefore, it is necessary to confirm whether the same movement will be seen this time as before.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Accordingly, when the price falls below 67K-69K and shows resistance, a first installment sale is required.
The second split sale occurs when the price falls below 64K.
I think it is best to proceed with the last sale when the price falls below 59K (56K-61K).
(1W chart)
The MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1W chart) indicator is showing an increase above 53256.64.
Accordingly, if it falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator, it is expected to fall sharply.
However, as the decline progresses, there is a possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created, so if the HA-High indicator is created, whether or not there is support around it will be an important issue.
Therefore, since there is a possibility that the HA-High indicator may be created in the selling section described in the BTCUSDT 1M chart, we need to consider how to set the split selling proportion.
Considering the current position of the HA RSI indicator, the section where the HA-High indicator is likely to be generated is expected to be around 64K.
Accordingly, it is recommended that the selling proportion in the first split sale range, 67K-69K, as explained above, be sold at a level that can reduce psychological anxiety that may occur when the price falls.
Although it is a difficult problem, I think it is usually a good idea to sell in installments of 10% to 20%.
So, I don't think you will be too disappointed if the split sale leads to an increase.
When the decline progresses and shows support near the next selling section or HA-High indicator, the average purchase price will not increase significantly even if you buy it again with the sold amount.
If you sell and then buy again when the price has not fallen much, you may think that it is a loss because the quantity you hold decreases, but I don't think it is a big loss because it has reduced your psychological anxiety to some extent.
The reason is that if you continue to trade while feeling psychologically anxious, you will be unable to do anything when important transactions need to be made, and you are likely to suffer greater losses.
Therefore, the most important thing to consider in trading is knowing what your psychological state is.
Next, you need to create a trading strategy using the information (support and resistance points) obtained through chart analysis.
Only then will you be able to suppress changes in chart analysis and interpretation based on your psychological state.
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the HA-High indicator and rise above 1.27 (73308.95).
This is because if it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, there is a high possibility of renewing the previous high point.
Expected target is 1.618 (88913.24).
However, since there may be resistance and decline around 1.414 (49468.89), you should also think about countermeasures against this.
In the end, when the reported price (ATH) is updated, you will need to sell in installments.
Since BTC and ETH are coins that allow for long-term investment, from a long-term investment perspective, it is recommended to increase the number of coins held for the long term by selling them for the amount of principal purchased and leaving the number of coins equivalent to the profit.
Since the average purchase price for the number of coins corresponding to profit is 0, if these coins are continuously increased, long-term investment in any coin (token) will be possible.
Purchase principal
If you sell it in installments equal to the selling amount calculated as above, you can get the principal and some cash profit.
Secondary indicators are based on 1D charts.
Therefore, it may not fit well on charts other than 1D charts.
Therefore, the explanation of the StochRSI indicator in the BTCUSD 1M chart may be incorrect.
Therefore, it is recommended to use it to check at which support and resistance points the movement of secondary indicators is inflected.
When the new high (ATH) is being updated, it is not easy to identify important support and resistance points, so I think the key is how well the split selling is carried out.
The next volatility period for BTC will be on March 31 (March 30-April 1).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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🟢 INJ Trade Plan: Recovery Entry Strategy 📈🚀🎯 Entry Point:
Consider entering the trade between $37.80 and $38.80, ensuring confirmation of support turnaround.
🎯 Take Profit:
Target profit at $44.50 or $52.00, aiming for significant resistance levels.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Implement a stop loss at $34.00 to mitigate potential losses in case of a reversal.
📉📈 Note: Monitor price action closely for confirmation and adjust the strategy according to market dynamics. #INJ #TradingStrategy #RecoveryEntry 🟢📊
🟢 DOT Trade Plan: Breakout and Retest Strategy 📈🚀🎯 Entry Point:
Long spot trade at the break and retest of $10.00 resistance on a 4HR candle.
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
First target: $11.30 - $12.00
Second target: $16.00 - $17.00
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $9.50 to manage downside risk.
📊 Strategy Rationale:
Taking advantage of breakout momentum with a confirmation retest strategy.
Targets set at key resistance levels for potential profit-taking.
Tight stop loss to manage risk in case of a reversal.
📉📈 Note: Monitor price action closely for confirmation and adjust strategy accordingly. #DOT #TradingStrategy #Breakout 🟢📊
6 More Trading Time WastersWith trading, time is money.
And every wasted moment is a missed opportunity.
Every day you skip. Every high probability trade you miss on whatever market you’re trading.
Even every loss you take according to your strategy, is one step closer you’re missing to success.
I wrote about time wasting in the previous article.
And I can’t stress enough how important it is to get yourself into gear.
It’s time to take control of your time and trading actions.
Here are 6 more trading time wasters.
#1. Chasing the News
Turn on Bloomberg, CNN or BBC.
Flicking lights.
Loud sounds.
Entertaining drama, drama, drama.
It’s like watching Netflix.
And if you become obsessed, it’s easy to fall into the trap of chasing the latest news headlines.
Breaking news is inevitable. And staying informed is great.
But it’s NOT necessary to adapt the news into your trading strategy.
In fact, the hyped up news will lead to impulsive and emotional decisions.
Don’t fall for the news mania. Save that for AFTER your trading. And watch it for entertainment and education.
Nothing else.
#2. Checking the Portfolio Often
Ahhh! The Perils of perpetual monitoring.
Listen… Your portfolio is not a ticking time bomb that requires constant supervision.
As a young trader I get that it’s tempting to check your gains and losses every few minutes.
But this is a long term game.
So if you adopt this checking bad habit, you’ll see it can breed anxiety and cloud your judgment.
Maybe check your portfolios once a day.
Or even every few days.
But lose the obsession please. You’re wasting precious time and energy on unnecessary stuff.
#3. Analysis Paralysis
Another mistake is drowning yourself in data.
Too much analysis can lead to paralysis.
Endless charts, intricate patterns, and an abundance of indicators might make you feel like a trading virtuoso.
But you’ll quickly learn that, it won’t necessarily translate to profits.
Rather stick to the K.I.S.S – Keep It Simple Stupid.
Simplify your approach, focus on key factors.
And please make decisions based on a clear understanding rather than drowning in a sea of data.
#4. Procrastination
Procrastination is the silent killer of trading success.
To leave it to tomorrow.
As they say. Tomorrow never comes.
All you have is NOW.
So, if you want to trade – Get a coffee and sit down and take action.
Delaying decisions can mean missing out on lucrative opportunities.
Set clear goals, establish a solid plan, and execute it without succumbing to the siren call of procrastination.
Time wasted is money lost in the dynamic world of trading.
#5. Overcomplicating – Don’t be a trading jack of all trades!
Trading doesn’t need to be a convoluted puzzle.
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to trade well.
You don’t need a degree or even a complicated strategy.
In fact, if you overcomplicate your trading, it will lead to more confusion and poor decision-making.
Be a master of a few effective markets, time frames, strategies, money management and techniques.
#6. Fear of Taking Action
This my friend is the stagnation trap.
Inaction out of fear is a formidable enemy for traders.
You need to remember that fortune favors the bold in the world of trading.
Those who:
Deposit money.
Learn all about trading well.
Practice with a demo account.
Adapt a winning trading strategy.
Keep persistent with their trading.
Are the ones that will win…’
FINAL WORDS:
So stop wasting time and start doing more to achieve your trading dreams.
Let’s sum up the 6 trading time wasters.
#1. Chasing the News
#2. Checking the Portfolio Often
#3. Analysis Paralysis
#4. Procrastination
#5. Overcomplicating – Don’t be a trading jack of all trades!
#6. Fear of Taking Action
Powerful Fibonacci Trading Strategy For Beginners
I am going to reveal a powerful fibonacci trading strategy that I learned many years ago. It combines structure analysis, fibonacci retracement and extension levels and candlestick analysis.
Step 1
Find a trending market - the market that is trading in a bullish or in a bearish trend on a daily time frame.
AUDUSD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily.
Step 2
Execute structure analysis - identify key horizontal and vertical structures on a daily time frame.
Take a look at key structures that I spotted on AUDUSD.
Step 3
Draw fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the important ratios you should look for: 382, 50, 618, 786.
In a bearish trend,
draw fibonacci retracement levels from the high of the trend to current low based on wicks.
In a bullish trend,
You should apply fibonacci retracement from the low of the trend to a current high based on wicks.
Take a look how I draw the retracement levels,
I took the low of the trend and the high of the trend.
Step 4
Find confluence.
Look for fibonacci numbers that match - lie within key structures that you identified.
Support 1 matches with 382 retracement.
Support 2 matches with 786 retracement.
Remove other ratios from the chart.
Step 5
Wait for a test of one of the fibonacci levels that match with key structure
The price perfectly tested 382 retracement level.
Step 6
Wait for a confirmation on a 4h time frame.
Our confirmation will be a formation of an engulfing candle - a strong candle that completely engulfs the entire range of a previous candle with its body.
In a bearish trend, we will look for a formation of a bearish engulfing candle. Bearish engulfing candle indicates a strong selling pressure and the strength of the sellers.
In a bullish trend, we will look for a bullish engulfing candle. It indicates a strong buying reaction and imbalance.
Have a look at a bullish engulfing candle that was formed on AUDUSD on a 4H time frame after a test of 382 retracement.
Step 7
Open a trading position, set stop loss and choose the target.
After you spotted an engulfing candle, open a trading position.
Open short after a formation of a bearish engulfing candle and open long after a formation of a bullish engulfing candle.
If you sell, your safest stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bullish impulse on a 4H.
If you buy, your stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bearish impulse on a 4H.
In our example, our stop loss will be 1.272 extension of a bearish impulse leg on a 4H time frame. The extension is based on high and low of the impulse.
If you short, your take profit will be the closest key structure support on a daily.
If you buy, your take profit will be the closes key structure resistance on a daily.
Here is our take profit level.
Being applied properly, the strategy should generate 60%+ winning rate.
Always remember to check your reward to risk ratio before you open the trade. It should be at least 1.1/1.
Also, before you place a trade, always make sure that you trade WITH the trend and take only trend-following trades.
The strategy works perfectly on Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Indexes.
Good luck in your trading.
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