The key is whether it can be supported around 57889.10Hello, traders.
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I think funds are still flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, as long as funds flow into the coin market, the coin market is expected to continue its upward trend.
However, I think that it is necessary to adjust the investment ratio because the trading volume is not the same as before (box section).
-----------------------------------------------
(1D chart)
The horizontal line drawn on the chart indicates the volume profile section.
Therefore, the strongest volume profile section at the current price position is around 58697.01.
In addition, the volume profile section currently being formed is 56843.36, 64179.08.
The PVT indicator is a component of the BW indicator.
Since the PVT is currently in a downward trend, we can see that the downward strength is strong.
Therefore, when it rises above 58697.01, it is important to see whether the PVT turns into an upward trend.
-
(1D chart)
If it receives support near 57889.10, it is highly likely that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator will turn upward.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near 57889.10 and rise above 59053.55.
However, since the current StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone and has a change in slope, there is a possibility that it will make a short-term high near 57889.10.
If the StochRSI indicator turns downward this time, whether it will receive support near 56150.01-56950.56 is an important key.
-
(1W chart)
If PVT falls below the dotted line on the 1W chart, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend.
Therefore, you should check whether it can be supported near 57122.77, which is the lower point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1W chart.
--------------------------------------------
Since the trading period is mostly different, the chart analysis will differ depending on which point you start trading from.
Therefore, the points or sections I mentioned are points or sections that can affect the trend.
I think the point that has the greatest influence on the trend change from the current price position is the 57889.10 point.
In order for the trend change to expand, it must break out of the 56150.01-59053.55 section.
-
From a short-term perspective, it seems that it is currently forming a short-term high.
So, to break above this short term high, it needs to be supported above 59053.55.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Tradingstrategy
POL (MATIC) ecosystem is expanding...
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MATIC to POL upgrade was done on the Ethereum mainnet.
(POLUSD 1D chart)
There are many coins and tokens in the MATIC ecosystem.
Therefore, I think MATIC has a high potential for development.
When choosing an altcoin, it is a good idea to check how the ecosystem it belongs to is formed.
That way, it will not be delisted.
To check the coin ecosystem, you can check it on a site that shows the coin market cap ranking.
-
(MATICUSD 1M chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the psychological volume profile range of 0.6221-1.0839.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 0.4965 and receive support.
If not, we need to check whether it can receive support near 0.2950.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support in the HA-Low (0.4166) indicator of the 1D chart and the HA-HIgh (0.5142) indicator range of the 1D chart and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, so support around 0.3837 is important.
If it is not supported, it is likely to lead to further decline.
Therefore, the time when we can trade is when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator point.
-
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low point zone has been formed.
Therefore, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and if it falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that a high point zone has been formed.
Therefore, if it is resisted by the HA-High indicator, it is a selling period, and if it rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 2.28
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Because the chart has not been created for long, the role of support and resistance points may be weak, so be careful when trading.
(Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust 1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was created at the 2.28 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near the gap (2.09-2.18) section on the 1D chart and rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
If it is supported near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, we need to see if it can break through the gap (2.59-2.83) on the 1W chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D Renko chart)
-
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can support near 2.359.35 and maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Based on the current price position, the most important thing is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Because I think that is the most likely way to turn into an uptrend.
-----------------
To turn into a short-term uptrendHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(1D chart)
As I mentioned in the idea yesterday, the key is whether it can be supported around 56150.01-56950.56 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that, we need to check whether it can rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and maintain the price by rising above 57889.10.
If it fails to rise above the MS-Signal indicator, it is likely to fall to around 52137.67.
-
The IBIT BTC ETF chart looks a little different in that there is a gap between the MS-Signal indicator and the IBIT indicator.
The location of the StochRSI indicator is also different.
On the BTCUSDT chart, it is just before entering the overbought zone, but on the IBIT chart, it is located near the 50 point.
Therefore, we need to check at what point the StochRSI indicator of the two charts enters the overbought zone and receives support.
-
It is expected that a full-scale volatility period will begin.
Since this volatility period was set on the 1W chart, it is likely to continue until September 29, so caution is required when trading.
If USDT or USDC continues to gap up, it is expected to continue to rise after the volatility period.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
To turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 34.18
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Let's check out the chart with the highest trading volume among the released BTC ETF products.
(IBIT 1M chart)
However, since the chart has just been created, the role of the indicated support and resistance points may be weak, so caution is required.
-
(1W chart)
The point where the volume profile section is formed on the current chart is 38.14.
Therefore, it is expected that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above the volume profile section.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by receiving support and resistance formed at the 32.70 point and rising above 34.18 (if possible, Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (34.68)).
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can break through the psychological volume profile section of the first gate, 32.85-33.41 section.
-
From a trend perspective, it is necessary to break away from the downtrend line (1) in order to turn into an uptrend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it can lead to a movement to change the state from M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart.
If it fails to turn, you should check for support around 23.99-26.03.
-
Based on the current price position, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above the HA-High indicator (39.87) on the 1D chart.
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has not been created yet on the current chart, if it starts to fall below 32.67, it seems likely that the HA-Low indicator will be created.
If the HA-Low indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support around that area.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
XAGUSD / TRADING IN THE DOWNWARD ZONE - 4H TIME FRAMEXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
The market is trading below the turning level of 29.07 , and below the channel trend line at 29.38.This means the price action is currently bearish , with a downward bias , The immediate expectation is that unless the price breaks above these levels, the market could continue to decline.
Downward Conditions:
If the price remains below 29.38, it suggests that the market will continue to trend downward, Initial target for the decline: 28.10 , If 28.10 is broken, the next target would be 27.63.
The downward trend remains valid as long as the price doesn't break and stabilize above 29.38.
Upward Conditions:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above 29.38, this would indicate the beginning of a bullish reversal , The first upward target is 29.82 , If 29.82 is broken, the market could aim for the next target at 30.51 , This upward movement would only be valid if the price successfully breaches the channel trend resistance and holds above it.
UPWARD TARGET :
29.82 , 30.51.
DOWNWARD TARGET :
28.10 , 27.63.
Just before this volatility period begins in earnestHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
Although it is a short rise, the StochRSI indicator is already showing signs of entering the overbought zone.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price above the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on the 1D chart) while receiving support near 56150.01-56950.56 and rising above 57889.10.
If not,
1st: 54730.0
2nd: 52137.67
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Currently, since the M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, we need to check if it can lead to a movement to change the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart.
Therefore, if it rises above 57889.10,
1st: 59053.55
2nd: 60672.0-61099.25
You can trade depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The volatility period will begin soon.
As we pass around September 13 (September 12-14), we need to check in which direction it deviates from the 52137.617-61099.25 range and respond accordingly.
We are always at a crossroads.
I think we need to observe the flow of funds in the coin market to make a clearer choice at this crossroads.
It is not easy for individual investors to know the flow of funds.
We can only briefly understand the flow of funds due to stable coins such as USDT and USDC.
Currently, USDT is sideways, and USDC is gapping up, which is the driving force behind the coin market.
However, I think that USDT needs to gap up for the market to start a real uptrend.
Therefore, we need to think about how to increase the number of coins and tokens corresponding to profits while trading from a short-term perspective for the current uptrend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important Support and Resistance Zones: 18788.2-18898.9
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The StochRSI indicator has not escaped the oversold zone.
And, since StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, I think it is not a trading period.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the left Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (18788.2) ~ the right Fibonacci ratio 0.786 (18898.9) and receive support.
If not,
1st: 17854.8-18250.3
2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (17141.4)
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
In the worst case, I think the final range is around 16123.5-16322.6.
-
If it rises above the left Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (18788.2) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 0.786 (18898.9) and receives support,
1st: 19582.6
2nd: 20313.8
You can trade depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Expected flow during this volatility period
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USDT, USDC seem to have gapped up as the weekend approaches.
I think the gapped up is a sign of funds flowing into the coin market.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a decline in the coin market.
However, since funds flow into the coin market through USDT, I think that USDT dominance will show an upward trend in the medium to long term when considering it from a medium to long term perspective.
When funds flowing into the coin market purchase coins and tokens, USDT or USDC flow back into the exchange, which is expressed as a decline in USDT dominance.
Therefore, I think that in order for a large bull market in the coin market to begin, USDT dominance will start to decline after a large rise.
In that sense, the 4.97 point of USDT dominance is expected to be an important turning point.
If USDT dominance rises above 6.39, the coin market is likely to show a large decline.
I think that if it rises above 6.39 and then falls to the 4.97-6.39 range, the coin market is likely to form a bottom range.
My personal hope is that it will fall after receiving resistance near 6.39 ~ Fibonacci ratio 0.75.
If that happens, I think the coin market will already be on an uptrend before it is recognized as a bottom.
We need to see whether individual investors will recognize it as a bottom and give them a buying opportunity, or whether they will not give them a buying opportunity.
In that sense, I expect the volatility period around September 13 to be a meaningful period.
In fact, this volatility period is the period set on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the actual volatility period is the week before and after September 16.
In other words, if expressed as a 1-day period, it corresponds to September 9-29.
The strong support zone is expected to be around 42K-43K.
I think this is the zone that most people are expecting.
Therefore, if we give individual investors a buying opportunity as I mentioned earlier, I think it will touch around 42K-43K.
If we do not give individual investors a buying opportunity, it is expected to turn upward near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, it is expected to touch around the Fibonacci ratio of 0.707 (48064.07) ~ 0.786 (51606.42) and turn upward.
-
When looking at the NAS100USD chart, we need to check if the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone again when a new candle is created.
The important zone is the 17854.8 point.
If it falls below this point, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (17141.4) on the right.
Therefore, I expect the trend to form after the volatility period of BTC that I mentioned earlier.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after it rises above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important support and resistance zones touched
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ETH has touched an important support zone.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near 2159.0.
If it falls below 2159.0, you should check whether there is support near 1605.23-1783.0.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The BEST Shortcut to Consistent Trades: Multi-Timeframe Magic!Here’s a **top-down analysis** of the **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** based on the charts and liquidity zones (LQZ) , starting from the **higher timeframes** to the **lower timeframes**. This approach helps to align trade decisions with the broader market context.
1. Weekly Timeframe:
- Weekly Flag Trendline: The price is testing the upper boundary of a long-term flag pattern. This flag could be seen as a **continuation pattern** in a larger bullish market structure.
- Scenario: A breakout above this weekly flag would suggest the resumption of the broader **uptrend**, targeting significant levels around **$2,600 and higher**.
- Bearish Risk: A strong rejection from this trendline could signal a larger pullback, potentially targeting support around **$2,470** (Daily LQZ) or lower.
2. Daily Timeframe:
- Trend: The daily structure shows price building towards testing resistance at the **4-hour LQZ** of **$2,532.144**. If momentum continues, a breakout could confirm a larger bullish push.
- Daily LQZ: Located at **$2,470.804**, this is a critical support level. A break below it would signal a change in the market structure towards more bearish conditions.
3. 4-Hour Timeframe:
- **4-Hour LQZ**: Key resistance at **$2,532.144**. If this is breached, it confirms a breakout of the flag on higher timeframes, leading to a stronger bullish move. A failure to break this level could trigger a reversal back to lower support zones.
- Pattern: The current price action is consolidating near the top of the wedge, indicating indecision but with potential to resolve upwards if the breakout sustains.
4. 1-Hour Timeframe:
- Support: **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704** acts as immediate support. It’s vital to monitor how price reacts around this area. A hold above this level suggests bulls remain in control.
- Entry Considerations: Watch for a clean breakout above the **weekly flag trendline** with price closing above the **4-hour LQZ** and respecting the **1-hour LQZ** during pullbacks. A break of this support may invalidate the bullish scenario, leading to downside risks.
Key Scenarios:
1. Bullish (Preferred):
- A breakout above the weekly flag pattern, supported by a breakout of the **4-hour LQZ** at **$2,532.144**, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
- Target higher levels around **$2,560** initially, with potential further upside towards **$2,600** if momentum remains strong.
2. Bearish (Risk Scenario):
- A failure to break the **4-hour LQZ** or a rejection at the weekly flag trendline, coupled with a break below the **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704**, could lead to a move lower.
- Targets for shorts would include the **Daily LQZ** at **$2,470.804**, with further downside to **$2,420** and **$2,402** if bearish momentum builds.
Confluence Factors:
- The alignment between the **weekly flag breakout** and price respecting **lower timeframe LQZ** levels will be crucial for confirming a sustained trend.
- Conversely, any rejection and failure to hold these levels could shift bias towards downside risks.
Conclusion:
This **top-down analysis** favors a **bullish breakout**, but careful monitoring is required at critical resistance levels. Risk should be managed tightly around the **1-hour and 4-hour LQZs** to confirm trend direction.
Next Volatility Period: Around September 13
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The key is whether it can rise after receiving support around 56150.01-56950.56.
Even if it doesn't rise, if it doesn't fall below the short-term downtrend line, I think it has a chance of rising.
If it falls below 56150.01,
1st: 52137.67
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart
You should check for support around the 1st and 2nd above.
Due to the rise of USDC, the trend of the coin market is moving in line with the stock market.
I think the launch of ETF products is affecting the coin market.
Looking at the Nasdaq 100 futures chart, the key is whether it can be supported near the important section of 1.902 (18788.2) ~ 0.786 (18898.9).
If it is not supported in this section,
1st: 18250.3
2nd: 17854.8
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
If the decline continues, it is expected to ultimately fall to around 16000-17000.
I think the launch of ETF products has laid the foundation for the coin market to transform into a sound investment market.
However, I think that this has led to irregular effects on the coin market, which had been reflecting the flow of indicators well.
The BW indicator touched the 0 point on the BTCUSDT chart.
And, with this decline, it was about to change to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, but it has changed back to the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Because of this, there is a possibility of movement after June 18, so caution is required when trading.
The next volatility period is around September 13, so if it moves sideways around 56K before that, it is judged that there is a possibility of a trend reversal.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Golden Hunt with ICT Strategy: Perfect XAU/USD Analysis in the 1Hey everyone! Today, I’m excited to share a fascinating analysis of the XAU/USD pair in the 1-hour timeframe using the ICT strategy. I’ve added a free indicator to the chart that not only identifies swing points but also beautifully connects them with lines. This indicator even marks the days of the week, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and includes a 20-period EMA. It’s truly an amazing tool!
What’s more, it has features for displaying Kill Zones, sessions, and Silver Bullet, but I’ve turned those off for now to keep the focus on the essentials.
As you can see, Break of Structure (BOS) points are clearly marked, and I’ve highlighted the areas where the market structure has shifted. Notice how sometimes strong swing highs or lows are "hunted" by a shadow that pierces through, leading to a sharp bearish move afterward. The indicator highlights most of these hunts in red, helping us better anticipate market movements.
For entering trades, I used a simple tool to highlight green zones on the chart. I employed Fibonacci retracement levels of 61.8%, 70.5%, 79%, and 50% to pinpoint key entry areas. Additionally, using a custom method based on standard deviation, I marked potential future price zones with dotted lines.
In summary, this analysis combines advanced ICT techniques with practical tools to give you a clearer view of gold’s movements. I hope these insights help you achieve more successful trades! ✨
Bitcoin LevelsBitcoin looks to test the bottom of our channel once again at around 54k and declining. Below that we have our 50 week moving average at 53.3k. It is possible that the bears make one more attempt to provide a solid kiss to our neckline at 48.4k. These are your levels of support.
As such I have removed all stops from my current positions. This is probably simply another long liquidation event and it is more than annoying. I don’t want to play that game and will sit the sidelines here until the MMs are done.
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 IntroGreetings Traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be introducing Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery, a model grounded in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore candle anatomy and learn how to predict candle behavior on lower timeframes to capitalize on intraday trading opportunities. This model will also help us identify the optimal trading sessions and execute trades with high probability, all while effectively acting on market bias.
This video will focus primarily on the foundational content, with practical examples to follow in the next video. In the meantime, I encourage you to practice these concepts on your own to deepen your understanding.
This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven’t watched the previous videos in the series, I highly recommend checking them out. They provide crucial insights into identifying market bias, which Quarter Theory will help you act on effectively.
I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below.
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery:
Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements:
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All Assets:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
The key is whether it can be supported around the 56K-61K rangeHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
Although funds are flowing into the coin market, it seems that there are not many people willing to buy at high prices.
This movement can be seen as a period of buying by large capital forces.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As a new month begins, a bearish candle is being created.
However, we need to check whether it can rise after receiving support near the 56K-61K section, which is the second section.
The StochRSI indicator appears to have entered the oversold section.
And, the StochRSI EMA indicator is located near the midpoint.
Therefore, it is thought that it will take time for StochRSI > StochRSI EMA to change to a state.
Since there is a possibility that the arrows shown on the TS - BW indicator will appear, even if it leads to an additional decline, the second section is expected to eventually become an important support and resistance section.
If the price is located near the second section, it is difficult to see it as a downward trend from a long-term perspective.
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The strong support zone is the 3rd zone, i.e., around 42K-43K.
However, if USDT and USDC maintain a gap uptrend, it is not expected to fall to the 42K-43K zone.
It seems possible that it will touch the 0.707 (48064.07) area once again.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
It is expected that the trend will be newly formed as volatility occurs around the week including September 16th.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 56K and rise above 61K.
If it falls below 56K after a period of volatility and shows resistance,
1st: M-Signal on 1M chart
2nd: 48K
3rd: 42K-43K
You need to check for support near the 1st-3rd above.
The key is whether you can continue the upward trend along the important rising channel.
-
You need to check whether the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone as a new candle is created.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The section formed by the upper line of the short-term falling channel and the lower line of the medium- to long-term rising channel can be seen as the trend reversal zone.
Therefore, the area around 56K is an important section.
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The StochRSI indicator is showing a change in slope in the oversold zone.
Accordingly, if the StochRSI indicator breaks out of the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to enter a period where a buy can be made.
The important thing in this movement is which support and resistance points are supported.
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The 57937.19 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart.
Therefore, unless a new HA-Low indicator is created, the buy period is the 57937.19 section.
Therefore, when a new candle is created, I will update it again.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Check support near 59053.55Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The StochRSI indicator is showing a shaky appearance as it falls below the midpoint.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator when a new candle is created.
If the StochRSI indicator does not rise above the midpoint, the next volatility zone of the StochRSI indicator will be near the oversold zone.
-
With this decline, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was touched again.
Therefore, if it is not supported near 59053.55, it is likely to touch near 56150.01-56950.56.
-
What is important in the current flow is whether it can rise along the medium- to long-term upward channel.
And if it does not re-enter the short-term downward channel, it is expected to eventually rise to near 61099.25.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Located in an important trend reversal zoneHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(1D chart)
USDT dominance is located in an important reversal zone.
It is an important point to watch whether it can meet resistance near the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and fall below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, creating a state where the M-Signal of the 1D chart < M-Signal of the 1W chart < M-Signal of the 1M chart.
Since the decline in USDT dominance is likely to show an upward trend in the overall coin market, if the M-Signal indicator reverses this time, a trend reversal is expected.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Accordingly, the 61099.25 point is an important support and resistance zone.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Bearing trend turning point: 19250.0Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the left Fibonacci ratio 2 (19441.0) and rise above 20313.8.
If not, and it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has turned downward, it is important to see whether there is support at the current price position.
Since it has turned downward, it is likely to lead to further decline.
Therefore, if it does not receive support, it is likely to lead to further decline.
At this time, the important thing is whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
The final downtrend point is the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and the current HA-Low indicator point is 18250.3.
-
(Renko 1D chart)
As you can see from the Renko chart, the downtrend turning point is at 19250.
Therefore, in the general chart above, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator part of the 1D chart and bounce.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether M-Signal can maintain its alignmentHello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Renko 1D chart)
Among altcoins, the number of coins showing upward movement as above is increasing.
In order for a block to be completed, it must rise by more than a block unit.
In the chart above, the rising block is completed only if it rises by more than 5.2.
Otherwise, if it falls below 4.8, the rising block disappears.
In this way, the Renko chart can be said to be a suitable chart for checking trends.
-
(SOLUSDT Renko 1D chart)
-------------------------------------------
(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
(1W chart)
(1D chart)
If you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts above, you can see that the 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89 points are important.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 168.41, it is important to find support near 147.74.
-
Due to this rise, it seems that the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart has changed.
Therefore, this time, it is important to see whether it can be supported near 147.74 and rise above 179.89.
-
Accordingly, it is a buying period depending on whether it is supported near 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89.
The stop loss point is the HA-Low indicator.
The current HA-Low indicator points are
1M: Not yet created
1W: 13.81
1D: 148.28
as above.
Since the HA-High and HA-Low indicators are created according to price fluctuations, it is recommended to check the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts together.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 0.6013Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
XRP is moving sideways, but I think it is rising along a long-term rising channel.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 0.6013 and rise above the long-term rising trend line -1.
-
If it falls below 0.6013, it is important whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If not, you should check whether it is supported near 0.5682.
If that happens, when the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that a full-scale uptrend will begin as it breaks through the long-term rising channel upward.
-
If it fails to rise and falls below the M-Signal indicators of the 1W and 1M charts, it is expected to fall near the HA-Low indicator (currently 0.5083) of the 1D chart.
-
If it rises above the long-term rising trend line-1,
1st: 0.5 (0.7144)
2nd: 0.618 (0.8121)
The 1st and 2nd areas above correspond to the support and resistance areas.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Point to break out of short-term downtrend channel (2851.75)
Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above 2851.75 to break out of the short-term downtrend channel.
-
Currently, it has risen above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, from a long-term perspective, it is possible that the uptrend will continue.
However, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart must be in that state.
Therefore, we need to see if it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart after the volatility period around September 8th.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, it is important at what point it finds support when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 2851.75 and falls, it is important to see if it can find support around 2621.99-2700.43.
If it finds support around 2621.99-2700.43 and switches to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above 2851.75.
-
If the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises above, the HA-High indicator (3265.00) of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator (3321.30) of the 1M chart are likely to be the first resistance zones.
-
The volatility period on the BTCUSDT chart is around September 13.
However, the volatility period on the ETHUSDT chart is expected to start around September 8.
Therefore, the key is whether it can escape the short-term downtrend channel after September 8.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
First support and resistance zone: 63118.62-64000.0Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
It is showing an upward trend along an important rising channel.
However, since the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart is 65920.71, it is possible that the upward trend will start if it receives support near this point.
Therefore, the area around 63118.62-64000.0 corresponds to the first support and resistance zone in this rise.
-
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The 61099.25 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1M chart.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 61099.25, it can be interpreted that a full-scale uptrend has begun in the long term.
A full-scale uptrend is because the HA-High indicator makes a stepwise rise.
However, since the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart for an actual full-scale uptrend to occur, it must eventually rise above 67614.25 and maintain the price.
-
The important volatility period is around September 13.
It is expected that a mid- to long-term trend will be formed after passing this volatility period.
Therefore, it is important to see in which direction it deviates from the 61099.25-70195.94 section after passing the volatility period.
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I think that as long as USDT continues to rise, the coin market is likely to continue to rise.
However, short-term fluctuations may occur depending on the flow of USDC.
If USDT and USDC gapped up, I think it means that funds have flowed into the coin market.
On the other hand, if they gapped down, it means that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Therefore, the most important thing to look at is the movement of USDT.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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