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Examples of criteria for creating a trading strategyHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- We analyze charts in a variety of ways to determine trends. I think the important thing is how to create a trading strategy using these analysis methods, not whether you can match the trend or not. Therefore, even if you know the trend, if you do not create a trading strategy properly, you may end up with small profits or even losses. Therefore, I think it is extremely important to find support and resistance points that can ultimately create a trading strategy and how to create a trading strategy based on those points. (Heikin Ashi 1D chart) (Renko 1D chart) I think the Heikin Ashi chart and Renko chart supported by TradingView charts are good charts for identifying trends. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators created using the Heikin Ashi chart are implemented, we will not talk about the Heikin Ashi chart. The advantage of Heikin Ashi charts and Renko charts is that they reduce fakes and whipsaws. However, it is not easy to actually trade with only two charts. That's because it's so difficult to see. In particular, Renko charts can be more esoteric than Heikin Ashi charts. The reason is that the price is expressed in certain blocks. However, if you look at the way the chart is drawn, you can see that fakes and whipsaws have been reduced more than the Heikin Ashi chart. So, just as I created the HA-Low and HA-High indicators using the Heikin Ashi chart, I am trying to create a standardized trading strategy using the Renko chart. We added the TS-BW auxiliary indicator used in the existing chart to verify the basic direction. The overall direction can be verified by whether the BW indicator is in an upward or downward trend. Additionally, you can verify more detailed direction through the movements of the StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator. We added the MS-Signal indicator to the price chart section to help you see the chart trend more intuitively. With the addition of the MS-Signal indicator, I don't think there is a need to add the superTrend indicator. Since the MS-Signal indicator is a curve, we wanted to help create a trading strategy by adding the superTrend indicator, which is expressed as a line. Next, in order to create a more confident trading strategy, various indicators are displayed on the price chart so that you can intuitively check support and resistance points. By doing this, I believe that the Renko chart, which was used as a trend chart, was expressed as a tradable chart. No matter how good an analysis technique you know, if you cannot create a trading strategy that suits you, your trading is likely to ultimately fail. Therefore, once you have found an analysis technique that suits you, you should focus on reducing your psychological burden by investing more time in creating a trading strategy rather than trying to develop the analysis technique. The trading strategy is 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method I think it consists of the three things above. Steps 1 and 2 are steps to begin with a broader observation of the coin (token, item) you want to trade rather than the chart. Therefore, in the coin market, it is necessary to check whether the coin ecosystem is expanding and which themes it is included in. If you decide to trade a coin (token, item) that has been confirmed in this way, you must look at the chart of the coin (token, item) and create a trading strategy. The decisions made in steps 1 and 2 of the trading strategy are classified into intraday and medium-term investment, short-term and day trading, etc., and the appropriate investment size is determined. Accordingly, actual purchases, sales, stop losses, etc. are made in step 3. You decide. When purchasing, it is important to try to estimate the average purchase price as much as possible. To do this, it is recommended to proceed with split purchases at the support and resistance points expressed in the chart above. Selling for profit is also recommended through split sales. However, you should try to sell when the price is rising. This is because if you sell while the price is rising and falling, it can be quite difficult to create a follow-up trading strategy. Therefore, when selling, it is recommended to conduct split sales using auxiliary indicators such as the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator. I think stop-loss is something that should be done when there is a possibility that the price will fall further and cause larger losses. Therefore, how to sell at the stop loss point is very important. I believe that you can quickly learn a clear way to practice stop loss by conducting futures trading. I believe that the overall rate of return is ultimately determined by how well you do your stop loss. However, if possible, it is important to confirm your profit in advance before taking a stop loss. Therefore, I think that when deciding buy, sell, or stop-loss points, you should not rely on price issues other than the chart. This is because issues other than charts add subjective thoughts and can interfere with creating a proper trading strategy. Therefore, when deciding on step 3 of your trading strategy, it is best to look at the charts first and then read various articles afterwards. Whatever the method, if you have a trading strategy standard that suits you, that standard is the best trading strategy standard. No matter how good the trading strategy standard is, if it does not fit your investment style, there is a high possibility that the transaction will ultimately fail. When studying charts, it is best not to try to memorize the names of patterns or various indicators. Those names are not helpful at all in creating a trading strategy. Therefore, when studying charts or analysis techniques, you should try to find out what the key is. Once you understand the core content, you need to think deeply about how you can use it to create a trading strategy. You may have difficulty understanding this article because it contains a description of what you learned while conducting the transaction. Also, it may sound abstract. However, since it is information obtained through actual trading, I think it can be a way for those studying charts to learn more quickly. Have a good time. thank you --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
6 Top Trading Time WastersYou need to stop wasting precious time. I have had members who’ve been with me for 15 years and haven’t even taken a trade. I have written this article in a way that you can relate to the problems with traders wasting time. Ready? #1. Wait for Inspiration Trader A: “I just can’t trade today. I’m waiting for that magical moment when inspiration strikes!” SOLUTION: Waiting for inspiration in trading is like waiting for money to rock up at your doorstop. It doesn’t happen! Successful traders create their own inspiration, discipline and integration by TAKING ACTION. You want a sign. Here’s a sign. Start today, do not delay and don’t wait for another sign. #2. Complaining Trader A: “The market is so unpredictable and complicated! I can’t catch a break.” SOLUTION: Stop complaining and start acting, adapting, growing and evolving. Markets change, that’s the only constant about it. And they move up, down and sideways. So, instead of moaning about it, embrace the volatility. Complaining won’t make you a better trader, but adapting to change will. #3. Doubting Trader A: “I’m not sure if I can make this trade. It’s going to be a loser.” SOLUTION: Doubt is the enemy of success. Trust your analysis, track record and your stats. Stick to your strategy just keep at it. This is a long term game to success. When you doubt yourself, you manifest a deeper element of self-failure. You need to stop wasting precious time and opportunities. Confidence, certainty and trust is key! #4. Comparing Trader A: “Look at their profits! I wish I could trade like them.” SOLUTION: Comparison is the thief of joy and the delayer of self success. You should only focus on your own journey. You are running your own marathon. It doesn’t matter how much money you have. It doesn’t matter how long you’ve been trading., It doesn’t matter if others are doing better. You need to focus on your trading time line. #5. Excuse Giving Trader A: “I didn’t trade well because the market was too volatile.” SOLUTION: Excuses won’t make you a better trader. I don’t have enough time. I don’t have enough money. I don’t have enough experience I don’t have enough patience. I don’t have enough anything. I repeat – Excuses won’t make you a better trader. Take responsibility and take accountability for your decisions, good or bad. Learn from your mistakes and use them to refine your trading strategy, stats and track record. Excuses only waste time; accountability fuels improvement. #6. Fear of Failure Trader A: “What if I lose all my money? I can’t handle the risk.” SOLUTION: As I always like to say. You ONLY fail when you quit. Fear is natural, but letting it control your actions is a mistake. You need to manage your trading and risks better. You need stay laser focused with tunnel vision. With trading you should not AVOID losses – as they are inevitable. You should embrace both winners and losses to come with the trading venture. You can’t win them all. But you also can’t lose them all. Keep that in mind when you trade. FINAL WORDS So, by now you should have one thing in your mind. Stop wasting time with your trading. Every day you delay is another profit opportunity you’re letting go of. Let’s sum up the 6 Time Wasters with trading. #1. Wait for Inspiration #2. Complaining #3. Doubting #4. Comparing #5. Excuse Giving #6. Fear of Failure
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
Leveraging Pivot Points for Intraday Trading StrategiesIntroduction to Pivot Points: A pivot point serves as a pivotal indicator in technical analysis, aiding in discerning market trends across various time frames. Essentially, it's an average of the intraday high, low, and closing prices from the previous trading day. Traders interpret trading above the pivot point as indicative of bullish sentiment and below as bearish. Key Features: Pivot points form the foundation of this indicator, from which support and resistance levels are projected. These levels offer insights into potential price reversals or continuations. It's widely utilized in equities, commodities, and forex markets to identify trend shifts and reversals. Traders leverage pivot points to determine entry and exit levels, aiding in strategic decision- making for intraday trades. Formulas for Calculation: The formulas for pivot points involve simple calculations based on the previous day's high, low, and close prices. These calculations yield pivotal support and resistance levels crucial for trade planning. The Formulas for Pivot Points: P= High+Low+Close / 3 ​ R1=(P×2)−Low R2=P+(High−Low) S1=(P×2)−High S2=P−(High−Low) where: P=Pivot point R1=Resistance 1 R2=Resistance 2 S1=Support 1 S2=Support 2 ​ Calculation Method: Pivot points can be manually calculated using the prior day's data, which includes the high, low, and close prices. These levels are essential for traders, especially for intraday strategies. High indicates the highest price from the prior trading day, Low indicates the lowest price from the prior trading day, and Close indicates the closing price from the prior trading day. Interpreting Pivot Points: Pivot points provide traders with static support and resistance levels throughout the trading day. This enables traders to pre-plan their trades based on potential price movements. Traders utilize pivot points in conjunction with other indicators to enhance their trading strategies, aiming for more accurate predictions and better risk management. Comparison with Fibonacci Retracements: Pivot points and Fibonacci retracements share the common goal of identifying support and resistance levels. However, pivot points rely on fixed numbers derived from the previous day's prices, while Fibonacci retracements are based on percentage levels drawn between significant price points. Limitations and Considerations: While pivot points offer valuable insights, they are not foolproof indicators and may not work for all traders. It's crucial to integrate them within a comprehensive trading plan and acknowledge their limitations. Price movements may not always adhere strictly to pivot point levels, requiring traders to exercise caution and employ additional analysis techniques. Conclusion: Pivot points remain a fundamental tool in the arsenal of intraday traders, aiding in trend identification and trade planning. By understanding their calculations, interpreting their implications, and integrating them with other indicators, traders can harness the power of pivot points to make informed trading decisions. Disclaimer: This trading idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Traders are encouraged to conduct thorough research and exercise caution when implementing any trading strategies.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by khushaljain023
I'm done with this!We’ve all had this moment. Where we stare at our screens, scratching our heads, wondering a bunch of stuff. Why is this so slow? Why can’t I press the button Where am I going wrong? We’ve chased trends, hesitated when we should have acted, and let our emotions play puppeteer with our portfolios. Today is the turning point. For you! It’s time to say… “I’m done!” This read could be what you need to win this year. #1: I’M DONE: Making Excuses Enough is enough! No excuses this time. Open your trading account Deposit more money Adopt strong trading strategies Have the right calculators and journals to follow Keep at it. No more blaming external factors; it’s time to own your trading career and learn from them. #2: I’M DONE: Feeling Emotional Trading with emotions is like juggling dynamite. Sooner or later, something’s going to explode. Whether you have been on this rollercoaster of euphoria and despair for far too long. If you celebrate winners or get angry over losers – The emotions will only enhance and will develop into emotional turmoil. It’s time you take a more rational approach. Risk less – If the amount is too emotional to handle. No more “I know better trades” than my trading strategy. No more fear, greed and definitely NO MORE EGO! It’s time to trade with a clear head and a steady hand. #3: I’M DONE: Rushing the Process Patience is not just a virtue; it’s a survival skill. Have you been guilty rushing into trades without proper research, hoping for quick wins. Have you been irritated how slow the progress is to build an account. Have you felt the need to quit during drawdowns. Guess what? No body fails with trading. They quit. The market doesn’t care about your impatience. From now on, adopt the mantra: “Slow and steady wins the trading race.” #4: I’M DONE: Doubting Myself Self-doubt is the silent assassin of trading success. It creeps into your mind, sows seeds of uncertainty. Before you know it, you’re second-guessing every move. Stop! Remember, you are the BOSS of your trading account, strategy and results. So act like a boss. Get rid of self-doubt and embrace more confidence. You have got the skills, the knowledge, and the experience. It’s time to trust yourself and let your trades reflect that trust. #5: I’M DONE: Missing Great Opportunities Regret is a bitter pill to swallow. Especially when it comes to missed trading opportunities. I’m sure you’ve kicked yourself one too many times for hesitating when you should have pounced. I still kick myself when I miss trades! We are human. We can’t see everything all the time. But remember this. The next trade is always on its way. You don’t need to feel FOMO (Fear of Missing Out). Always try improve on spotting and taking advantage of better trading opportunities. And know that taking trades (no matter how good they look) are always difficult. But they need to be taken. They need to be followed. From now on, be bold, seize the moment, and make the most of every chance the market throws your way. FINAL WORDS: It’s all on you! Every financial decision you make, is your responsibility. So remember to say out loud what we are DONE THIS YEAR. #1: I’M DONE: Making Excuses #2: I’M DONE: Feeling Emotional #3: I’M DONE: Rushing the Process #4: I’M DONE: Doubting Myself #5: I’M DONE: Missing Great Opportunities
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
1
weekly outlookHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) It appears to be breaking upward through the 0.886 (56227.18) to 1 (61338.93) range, which was considered a resistance range. Accordingly, it has become important to be able to maintain the price above 1 (61338.93). The next target is around 1.618 (89050.0). The key is whether it will rise like this and touch, or whether it will create a pull back pattern and rise. To date, the maximum period for which the StochRSI indicator remained at the top of the overbought zone was two months. (1W chart) Looking at the 1W chart, the maximum resistance area is around 66401.82. Therefore, it is judged that the upward trend will continue only when it breaks above 66401.82. If it fails to break above 66401.82 and falls below 59035.55, it is likely to turn into a downtrend. However, there is a possibility that the downtrend will continue only if it falls further below 53256.64, so you should think about a response plan for the 53256.64-59035.55 range. If the downtrend that started like this is truly a downtrend, it is expected to fall below 44200-47600 and show resistance. Otherwise, if it receives support around 44200-47600 and rises, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and continue the upward trend. -------------------------------------------- (BTC.D 1M chart) In order to achieve a big bull market, BTC dominance must show a decline. Otherwise, if it becomes a bull market in which only BTC and ETH rise, or if BTC appears to be about to fall slightly, altcoins will see a large decline. Therefore, it is believed that BTC dominance must fall below 50 and be maintained to create a stable bull market. (USDT.D 1M chart) USDT dominance is expected to remain below 4.97 for the coin market to remain bullish. However, if it falls below 4.16 and then rises above 4.16 to around 4.97, the coin market as a whole is expected to see a large decline. At this time, you need to check whether BTC dominance has risen to the 55.01-62.47 range or higher, or is maintained around 50. This is because it is thought that if BTC rises in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and is supported around 44200-47600 and rises, there is a high possibility that a major bull market will begin. If BTC dominance remains around 50 and then declines, the coin market will also see a large increase. Unlike previous BTC halvings, this time BTC and ETH are maintaining an upward trend alternately. Accordingly, it is believed that BTC dominance shows no direction and shows sideways movements. However, it is thought that it is unlikely that the bull market will continue while maintaining the current level of BTC dominance, so it is necessary to check the direction of BTC dominance. ---------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) We talked about the mid- to long-term perspective with the 1M chart and 1W chart, but the immediate movement, that is, the short-term perspective, may be more important. The reason is that it rose near the new high (ATH). It is currently supported around 1 (61338.93) and is showing an upward trend. However, since StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, I think we need to hold the price above 63660.11 to break out of this situation. If it shows resistance around 63660.11, it will fall back to around 1 (61338.93). Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the key is which direction it deviates from the 1 (61338.93) to 63660.11 range and maintains it. If it breaks above 63660.11, it can be purchased through day trading and the target is around 66401.82. If it falls below 1 (61338.93), you should check for support around 59053.55. The next period of volatility will be around March 10 (March 9-11). Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
2
📈Atom's Weekly Breakout Watch: Chart Signals Bullish Momentum⚛️🔍In the weekly timeframe, Atom's price action has remained within consolidation since May 2022, without a breakout for over 660 days. However, recent developments show a significant breakout of the trend line, supported by confirmation signals based on Dow Theory principles in the preceding candlestick. 💎The Fixed Range Volume Profile indicator complements the Dow Theory trigger, confirming the uptrend with increasing volume. 💥Furthermore, the RSI oscillator has breached the 65.11 level and reached the overbought zone around 70, indicating potential heightened volatility. ✨Despite these bullish signals, Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) and High Wave Cycle (HWC) ranges continue to exert influence, with a robust supply zone observed between 14.6 to 16.2, posing resistance even against all-time highs. 🛒For traders seeking aggressive positions, entering a long position upon the close of the current candle or in the spot market may be viable. Alternatively, conservative traders may opt to await price reaction within the supply zone and confirm the trend in subsequent candles. 📉In the event of a reversal from the supply zone, potential buying opportunities may emerge within the range of 9.5 to 11, pending confirmation of candlestick patterns.
Long
by itsparham96
ETHUSDT: Emerging Triangles Suggesting Volatility AheadThe BINANCE:ETHUSDT chart on a 6-hour scale presents a compelling scenario with two notable triangle formations. The first, a smaller black triangle , seemed poised for a bullish breakout, but the pattern has failed to materialize as expected, indicating potential weakness or consolidation. In contrast, the larger white triangle , encompassing a broader range of price action, suggests significant market indecision. Triangle patterns often precede periods of high volatility, and the size of this pattern implies a substantial move could be on the horizon. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this larger triangle, as it could set the tone for the next substantial trend in KUCOIN:ETHUSDT . The apex of the triangle coincides with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to the potential breakout/breakdown points. A downward breakout targets the 0.618 Fibonacci level near 2083.91 USDT, while an upward move could test the 1.861 extension level, aligning with the previous analysis' target point D . Remember, triangle patterns require confirmation via breakout volume; hence, traders should look for an increase in volume accompanying the breakout to validate the move.
by laoowai
1
ETHUSDT: Head and Shoulders Breakdown Targets for Short and LongAfter a thorough analysis of the BINANCE:ETHUSDT chart on a 6-hour timeframe, I've observed a complete Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline breached near point B. The pattern indicates a potential SHORT trade, with a target of point C at approximately the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the prior uptrend, corresponding to a price of 2083.91 USDT . Upon reaching point C , if the price action suggests a reversal with strong bullish signals, such as a Double Bottom formation, there could be an opportunity for a LONG position. The LONG trade could target point D , which is near the 1.861 Fibonacci extension level of the downtrend, projecting a target around 5104.17 USDT. Please keep in mind this analysis is based on current technical patterns and Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, which are subject to change with market dynamics. This is not financial advice but rather a sharing of my strategy based on my interpretation of the data. Ensure to conduct your own research and apply proper risk management. Trade safe and best wishes to all!
Short
by laoowai
1
What Makes a Trade – Unveil the pillars of profitable tradingTo trade well is nothing more than a calculated dance on the trading floor. You need to navigate the volatile seas of markets and understand the essential elements of a trade. And whether you’re a newbie or the MOST experienced trader out there, you need to adopt the same quintessential factors with your trading. And that is, the elements that make a trade. Let’s get into them… Position Size Imagine building a mansion without a blueprint. That’s what trading without considering position size feels like—chaotic and prone to collapse. The cornerstone of any robust trading strategy is for you to figure out the right amount of exposure to each position. It’s not just about the quantity of trades but the quality of each. You need to be precise in the position sizing with each trade. That is to maintain your risk and money management. That is to make sure you will only deposit a certain amount into your trade. And it is to ensure you have enough money to take on new and even higher probabilities of trades. Precision in position sizing is the silent architect behind the towering fortresses of successful traders. Entry: The art of timing of execution Whenever you enter into a market, 98% of the work is done. You have everything lined up according to the criteria, strategy and plan. You already have your idea on whether a market is likely to rally on up or fall off its horse. It’s not just about being in the market; it’s about being in the market at the right moment. Risk Level: Taming the market beast In the wilderness of financial markets, risk is the untamed beast that can either devour or be tamed. You need to be able to recognize the risk levels you’ll set to contain the beast. Where to place your stop loss The calculations of where you are NOT most likely to be hit Your risk per level and what you can stand to lose. Your risk level is your shield to protect from unexpected peril. You have to have all your calculations to lose a battle but NOT the war. Reward Level: Harvest your fruits Yes a MAJOR element to trading is RISK. But it’s also about reward, or else why would we be doing it? You need to meticulously set realistic reward levels that mirror the potential gains of a successful trade. Your reward must ALWAYS be more than your risk. You need to see the potential and likely future for the price to hit the take profit. Profit and Time Protection Levels: Safe-guard your winners and cut your losses Trading unfortunately is NOT always 100% mechanical. You need to safeguard your positions at times. What if the position becomes a non performing investment?’ And you’re losing daily interest? Well you need some type of time stop loss. This will get you out of your trade at a certain period so you can look for better positions. Worst case scenario you lose less than expected. Or you even bank a bit of profits as the trade remains in the money. FINAL WORDS: Trading is a game of calculated strategy and skill. But there are pillars of trading, you can’t avoid including: Position size, entry Risk level Reward level and Profit and time protection levels. These will help you form the bedrock upon which the palaces of prosperous trading are built. As you embark on your own trading odyssey, remember: mastery of these elements is not just a choice; it’s the key that unlocks the doors to financial triumph. So make sure you have these elements ready to execute to make a trade happen.
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
Entering the sphere of influence of BTC halvingHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (USDT chart) (USDC chart) The stablecoin that has a great influence on the coin market is USDT. USDC is believed to have a short-term impact on the coin market. Currently, as funds begin to flow into USDC, BTC is moving to renew its all-time high (ATH). Therefore, we need to create a trading strategy based on the belief that the coin market will continue its upward trend until USDT or USDC continues to show a decrease in the gap and shows an outflow of funds. (USDT.D chart) As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market. However, we will have to look at the movement of BTC dominance to determine what kind of bull market this will be. (BTC.D chart) For a major bull market to begin, it is likely to begin with a rise in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and then a decline below 50. A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) renew their new highs (ATH). Accordingly, there is a possibility that altcoins will rise significantly from the time they begin to decline around 55.01-62.47. If that happens, BTC's movement will slow down and naturally move sideways. -------------------------------------------------- - (BTCUSDT 1M chart) BTC is located near Fibonacci 1 (61338.93). If it does not fall below 59053.55, I think there is a good chance that the upward trend will continue. However, since the StochRSI indicator is located at the highest point of the overbought range, its rise may be limited. (BTCUSD 1M chart) Accordingly, looking at the BTCUSD INDEX chart provided by TradingView, it is expected that there will be difficulty breaking through the range between the left Fibonacci ratio 1 (61383.23) and the right Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (65056.39). Similar to the BTCUSDT chart, a drop below 59103.77 is likely to lead to further declines. 1st: Left Fibonacci Ratio 3 (54512.93) 2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) ~ Left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (47995.77) You need to check if you receive support near the 1st and 2nd levels above. Judging from previous movements, the longest time the StochRSI indicator has stayed at the peak of the overbought zone is about 2 months, so it is possible that the StochRSI indicator will remain at the peak of the overbought zone until up to March. If not, and the StochRSI indicator shows a downward turn, you should look for ways to counter the decline. (1W chart) I believe that the 59053.55 point, which is the point explained in the 1M chart, corresponds to psychological support and resistance points. Therefore, if resistance is seen at the 59053.55 point, there is a high possibility that selling pressure will increase and lead to a further decline. However, the area where the current upward trend is broken is 0.786 (51743.19) ~ 53256.64. If it falls below this range and enters the rising channel, it is expected to eventually touch around 44200-47600, near the bottom of the rising channel. At this time, if it is supported and rises around 44200-47600, a rally toward around 1.618 (89050.0) is expected to begin. If the StochRSI indicator touches the highest point of the overbought range, there is a possibility that the indicator will show a large decline even with a small decline. Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator shows such a decline, it is important to know where support or resistance is found. (1D chart) This period of volatility runs until March 2nd. However, since the next volatility period is around March 10th, this volatility period may be extended until March 11th, so we need to set support and resistance points in the big picture and respond accordingly. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
NVIDIA: Large MovesOverview My first two publications on this idea were removed and I was banned for a day so let's try this out again: ... I finally gave in and started looking into NASDAQ:NVDA and I'm glad I did. If I was going to comfortably invest in derivatives or shares of the tech company, I needed to perform a full evaluation and determine pragmatic price targets. Price Projections I have two macro projections and one micro projection that I would like to share with you. On the 1D chart I've established two Fibonacci retracements: one representing uptrend (green) and the other representing a downtrend (red). At the current moment of this publication, an ascending triangle is beginning to form on the hourly and daily charts. This leads me to believe that the markets haven't had their fill yet and that NVDA is most likely gearing up for another rally. If this breakout does occur, I believe that a price target of $750 is reasonable as this value rests around the 161.8% Fib level. For my second macro projection: a correction to the low $300s, or even mid $200s, is a reality as both of these values rest around or near a 50% or 61.8% Fib retracement level. The market does not appear to feel bearish on NVIDIA and a correction like this would require the current ascending triangle to become invalid which is unlikely without an external catalyst -- which is most definitely in existence. I explain this concept in more detail later in this article; you can find it under "NVIDIA Outsourcing." And finally, for those of us that want to make all the short and medium-term trades in-between, I've attached a copy of my projections within the ascending triangle and attempted to match them to the market's sentiments. This led me to project a double bottom within the current pattern. There is a possible second ascending triangle forming at the moment so I am remaining cognizant of significant support around the $470-480 range in the chance that this causes an invalid double-top (M pattern) and a potentially earlier breakout. About the CEO Jensen Huang is the CEO and President of NVIDIA and has held his title since 1993 when he first co-founded the company. He has a Master of Science in Engineering from Stanford University and, from what I've seen in a couple of his interviews, is very intelligent and self-aware. I'd like to regard him as a more stable version of Elon Musk or Steve Jobs. NVIDIA Outsourcing The impression I received during my research is that a lot of the semiconductor chips used in NVIDIA's A.I. projects are sourced from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). As you probably already guessed, TSMC is located in Taiwan. The reason I believe that this can be problematic for the company is because, as of late, China has become more outspokenly aggressive towards Taiwan whom it believes it holds sovereignty over. Should China choose to invade the nation I believe this will result in a choke on NVIDIA's production which -- on top of market reactivity -- will drive the share prices downward. To touch on another geopolitical issue very briefly, Huang has made it clear that they supply China with limited-capacity chips to uphold National Security concerns in regards to artificial intelligence. This could very well serve as a motivator for China to want to gain control of TSMC as it would then obtain an advantage over NVIDIA: "give us fully capable chips or else." This is just my opinion and I came to this conclusion from my own research and from my limited knowledge on human psychology. Second red flag for outsourcing, TSMC requires the use of a specific technology that is only delivered by a Dutch company called Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography (ASML). I won't dive into the full details but their technology has yet to be reverse-engineered or produced at the same efficiency. ASML provides TSMC the ability to create an end product for NVIDIA. I think it goes without saying, that if NVIDIA does not figure out how to create an equally efficient manufacturing technology, or at least close to, then if ASML one day decides to stop providing said technology -- a market crash will occur for NVIDIA. Fundamental Analysis Time for the dry stuff. According to NVIDIA's Q3 Earnings Call, the following data is assumed to be true: Current Ratio (current assets/current liabilities) = 3.59 --> a 2% increase since January 29, 2023. Cash On-Hand has increased by 62.85% since January 29, 2023. Total Assets outpaced Total Liabilities with assets increasing by 31.49% while liabilities increased by 9.44% since January 2023. Retained Earnings increased by 100.18% since January 29, 2023. Long-Term Debt decreased by 12.84% since January 29, 2023. Other notes: NVIDIA is presently undergoing several class action lawsuits filed in the United States District Court for Northern District of California, for the District of Delaware, and in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware. The lawsuits claim that certain NVIDIA executives made misleading statements related to channel inventory (product in between the manufacturing and reseller inventory stages) and impact of cryptocurrency mining on GPU demand between May 2017 and Nov 2018. There has been significant insider liquidation in 2023. In total, executives from NVIDIA – including Huang – have liquidated upwards of $786.8M in company shares within the calendar year. I would typically consider this a red flag but not a sign for impending declines; securing profits may be the only motivation. NVIDIA’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program up to $25.24B. Approximately 800K shares ($366M) were repurchased by the company from October 30 - November 17, 2023. This coincides with a relatively large rally followed by a 10% dip immediately after the Q3 Earnings Call.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Shepherd_Investor
2
After BTC HalvingHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSD 1W chart) It seems that there is a tendency for it to rise a little more than expected and to fall a little less than expected. It seems that there are more people who want the coin market to rise. The Fibonacci ratios on the left correspond to the Fibonacci ratios of the first big upward wave. Therefore, the left Fibonacci ratio point at 3.618 (65056.39) is an important point. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the second major upward wave. This second upward wave is currently underway. If the price rises above 1 (61383.23) of the second wave and holds, a new wave is likely to occur. However, I think it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue only if it rises above 3.618 (65056.39) of the first rising wave. Therefore, I believe that the area between 3.618 (65056.39) and 1.13 (67219.17) is likely to form a strong resistance area. Therefore, I believe that a resistance zone has been formed between 1 (61383.23) and 1.13 (67219.17). If the resistance area is broken upward, the next target is expected to be around 1.618 (89126.41), the right Fibonacci ratio point. If it fails to break through the resistance area, it is expected to create a pullback pattern. This pull back pattern is expected to be the last ride in an upward trend that will continue until 2025. The most important support range for a pullback pattern is 0.618 (44234.54) ~ 0.707 (48229.91). If support is received near the above section, the large upward trend is expected to be maintained. (1M charts) Currently, the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart has reached the highest point of the overbought zone. The StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart has not yet reached its peak, but is very close to it. These highs are likely to remain for up to two months. All of these reasons showed a downward trend. Therefore, I think there is a high possibility that the same movement will occur this time as well. Therefore, if the StochRSI indicator reverses and shows a downward trend, you need a trading strategy to counter the decline. If a pull back pattern appears, there is a high possibility that you will think that the trend has turned downward and sell everything. It applies to altcoins that need to be sold entirely. However, unlike previous halvings, this BTC halving is expected to be a new starting point. So, I hope you endure this movement well and have a good final ride. Ultimately, if a pull back pattern occurs, the time to buy again will be when the price breaks upward from the current section where the pull back pattern began. This move comes at a time when retail investors are buying. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by readCrypto
3
Weekly trends and outlookHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (USDT chart) (USDC chart) The flow of funds appears to be flowing into the coin market. In particular, the rise of USDC is expected to bring great vitality to the coin market. However, USDC can still be seen as having a weaker influence on the coin market than USDT, so it is necessary to check whether USDT continues to maintain the gap upward trend. (BTC.D chart) (USDT.D chart) In order to utilize fund flow information in trading, I think it is a good idea to check the movements of BTC dominance and USDT dominance. When USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to begin a bull market. In order for this bull market to lead to an altcoin bull market, it is expected that BTC dominance will begin when it falls below 50.0. An altcoin bull market means a bull market in which you can make a profit no matter what altcoin you buy. In order for a major bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise in the 56.78-62.47 range or higher and then begin to fall. A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) renew their new highs (ATH). -------------------------------------------------- --- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising to the 53256.64-66401.82 range, which is the box range of the previous HA-High indicator. In particular, the previous HA-High indicator point, 56150.01-59370.07, is expected to be an important resistance area. Accordingly, if it rises above 53256.64 and then falls below 53256.64, it is expected to form a pull back pattern. The reason why it is not said to have turned into a downward trend is because the flow of USDT or USDC mentioned earlier is maintaining a gap upward trend. The most important zone when the decline began is 42141.24-43823.59. This is because this section is where the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart were formed. Therefore, if it shows support around 44200.0-47600.0, it is expected to form the bottom of a pull back pattern. In order to continue the upward trend, the StochRSI indicator must be moved out of the overbought zone. If that happens, it is expected to see a bigger rise. (1D chart) If it shows support around 51686.94, it is expected to rise. Accordingly, buying is possible when it breaks upward through the 51686.94-52137.67 range. To do this, we need to make sure that the StochRSI indicator is out of the oversold range and arranged as StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. For purchases made around 51686.94-52137.67, the stop loss point is 50585.0, which is the bottom point of the HA-High indicator box. If it falls below 50585.0, it is expected to touch around 49686.20, so you need to think about how to respond. The next period of volatility is around March 1st. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
1
How to trade the Fibonacci indicator in 2024Today, we’ll start with what Fibonacci is and how to use it to spot significant market turning points. Let’s start with... A short story about Fibonacci In 13th century Italy, lived a man named Leonardo Pisano – one of the greatest mathematicians of all time. Leonardo (also known as Fibonacci), learnt all about Arabic and Indian mathematics during his travels in North Africa and around the Mediterranean regions. Each time he travelled to a new place, he kept noticing a consistent pattern that repeated itself throughout nature. The sequence he defined was as follows. 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144… Basically, all you do is take the last two numbers and add them up to get the next number. 0 + 1 = 1 1 + 1 = 2 1 + 2 = 3 2 + 3 = 5 3 + 5 = 8 8 + 5 = 13 And so on… Fibonacci first contrived this pattern through a pair of breeding rabbits but he then saw this pattern throughout nature - in the breeding of honeybees , the shape of seashells as well as plants. This sequence also applies to trading and investing charts and is called the Fibonacci Retracement indicator. The Fibonacci Retracement indicator is used to help identify possible support and resistance levels for any market. The idea is all high liquid markets tend to move, to and retrace back, to certain levels after a big price move. The indicator is used to calculate the ratios and percentages using the Fibonacci sequence. Let’s look at an example with the South African JSE ALSI 40. Fibonacci on the JSE ALSI 40 Looking at the above daily chart of the JSE ALSI 40, you can see the index has fallen from a Swing High point of (100%) at 70,522 down to a Swing Low point (0%) to 65,386. On your platform, when you add the Fibonacci Retracement tool onto your chart, you'll drag it from the swing high to the swing low price of the uptrend to see six main horizontal fib lines present themselves: Fib line #1: 100% (Swing high) Fib line #2: 61.8% Fib line #3: 50% Fib line #4: 38.2% Fib line #5: 23.6% Fib line #6: 0% (Swing low) Traders use these lines to establish and identify supports (floor) and resistances (ceiling) levels. And with these levels you’ll be able to spot good entry, stop loss and take profit price levels. Once you draw the Swing High and Swing Low on the JSE ALSI 40, the Fibonacci lines will be plotted on the chart. You would also have seen the market then went to one of the high points at 61.80% at 68,560. The price then retraced back to the 23.6% level at 66,598. So you can see where we are going with this. As a reversal trader, you could have sold (gone short) the index around 68,560 and held it until it hit the 66,598 line at 23/6%. That’s where you would have banked a gain just by waiting for the market to bounce off a fib line. That’s a good introduction and a different way for you to trade and use the Fibonacci Retracement tool with your trading in 2024. Let me know if this was helpful!
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
1
need to find the criteria that fits your trading strategyHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The criteria on which you proceed with trading will depend on your trading strategy. Therefore, it is most important to set standards that suit your trading strategy. 1. Trend line: Drawn using the StochRSI indicator 2. HA 5EMA: (opening price of Heikin Ashi candle + closing price of Heikin Ashi candle) / 2 5EMA line drawn as one value 3. MS-Signal: Indicator using MACD indicator formula 4. HA-High: An indicator created using the characteristics of Heikin Ashi candles and the RSI indicator You can respond by creating a trading strategy based on the above. When the StochRSI indicator of the TS-BW secondary indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator intersect and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying time. Accordingly, you can create a trading strategy based on one of numbers 1-4 above. Currently, we need to confirm support based on the HA-High indicator and then respond. Therefore, the key is whether it receives support or resistance based on the 51686.94 point. A trend is expected to be formed depending on which direction it deviates from the 49676.20-53256.64 range. (1W chart) (1M charts) However, since both the StochRSI indicators on the 1W and 1M charts have entered the overbought zone, there is a high possibility of a price adjustment, that is, a pull back pattern. The resistance area at this time is expected to be around 56150.01-59370.07. If the price fails to maintain its upward trend after rising above 53256.64 and shows resistance around 53256.64, there is a possibility of creating a pullback pattern, so a response is needed. Therefore, I believe that securing adequate cash will allow us to seize good opportunities during price adjustments. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Next volatility period: around March 1stHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) BTC is located near the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.786 (51743.19). Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 0.786 (51743.19). If not, 1st: 0.707 (48200.83) 2nd: 0.618 (44210.08) It is expected to fall to around the 1st and 2nd levels above. Since the StochRSI indicator is located at the highest point of the overbought range, support around 0.786 (51743.19) is expected to be an important issue. (1W chart) Since it is above the rising channel, it falls into a period of volatility around the week of February 26th. Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise and receive support around 0.786 (51743.19) ~ 53256.64. Otherwise, if it enters the rising channel, there is a possibility of touching the bottom line of the rising channel, so a countermeasure is needed. Therefore, we need to check whether this week's candlestick maintains the price in the 0.786 (51743.19) ~ 53256.64 range or higher. (1D chart) If the closing price falls below HA 5EMA, caution is needed as it may lead to a further decline. The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 51686.94 point. Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 51686.94. If it receives support this time and rises, it is important whether it can be supported around 53256.64. If not, there is a possibility that it will lead to a further decline and fall to around 49676.20. The MS-Signal indicator is passing around 49676.20, so if support is confirmed around 49676.20, it is time to purchase additional. Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is necessary to check whether it is showing signs of turning upward. The next period of volatility is expected to be around March 1st. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
3
7 Monopoly Lessons for TradersYou can learn a lot from the classic board game we all know and love: Monopoly. And as a trader, if you decide to play it again with your spouse or children – you’ll find the game to be very different. That’s because you have a better sense of risk, reward, probabilities and money management. You have the patience to grow a sizeable portfolio and eventually WIN! But before you do delve into your past, I want to share 7 important lessons I learned about trading from Monopoly. Hold Cash: The higher earner has the upper hand In Monopoly, the richer always has a stack of cash at the ready. Just like the Casino (where the house holds most of the money). And where the money is, is where the advantage lies. Similarly, in the trading arena, the money you have on hand is your golden ticket to seize profit opportunities. You know when they say, we are still counting our money? It’s because you have cash in hand rather than tied up in different assets. So with trading and with Monopoly, cash is king. You always need money to: Have funds to buy or sell more markets Be able to control your risk and money management Work on your Drawdown control methods Peace of mind you’re in it for the long haul No matter how many trades or positions I take, I always make sure to have at least 90% of cash in the portfolio at any one time. Be Patient: Not every roll is a winner Impatience is the enemy of traders. In Monopoly, you don’t win by making reckless moves at every turn. It’s about waiting for the right moment to strike. It’s about being patient to wait for the right property to buy and take advantage of. It’s about waiting for your opponent to land on your property for you to get paid. All in good time my friend., Apply the same philosophy to trading. The market will throw its share of doubles and snake eyes your way, but success lies in patience and strategic precision. You need to be patient for: The high probability trade to line up The markets to play out The drawdowns to end eventually Your portfolio to grow at a slow but steady rate Patience is EVERYTHING. Monopoly teaches us the value of holding onto our hard-earned cash. Similarly, in trading, preserving your capital is the name of the game. Avoid risky moves that could bankrupt your portfolio, and remember, sometimes the best move is not the flashiest one. Don’t blow on the most expensive stuff Just because Boardwalk has an expensive hotel doesn’t mean it’s the winning move. Similarly, the most expensive stocks or markets like Brent Crude or Indices like JSE ALSI 40 aren’t always the path to success. First, you might not have enough funds to accommodate the positions. Second, the markets might not have aligned perfectly to your strategy. Third, a high price market might be in a BUBBLE which is ready to pop. Fourth, it might be stressful putting in a large margin of funds to hold a more expensive stock i.e. Facebook, Berkshire Hathaway, Apple etc… Astute traders know that value can be found in unexpected places. You might find even better profit opportunities in other Blue Chip stocks that don’t even cost 1/10th of the price. Diversification and Opportunism: Building houses on every colour Monopoly teaches us the power of diversification. There are different properties with a variety of prices and conditions. You need to learn how to spread your investments wisely, and be opportunistic. Just as building houses on every color can secure your Monopoly victory, diversifying your portfolio across sectors, markets and positions can mitigate your risk and boost your chances of success. Strategic planning trumps luck I have to admit that, luck does play a role in both Monopoly and trading. It is luck to not roll the dice and land on “Go to Jail”. It is luck to not pick up a Chance card saying “You have to pay rates and taxes”. Same with trading. It is luck getting into a high probability trade and then the market actually playing out. It is luck being in a strong and favourable market environment for your trading system. It is luck having the market price shoot up past your take profit due to some external event. But trading and Monopoly are both very much strategic planning processes. You need to plan your moves carefully. You need to act on your moves, based on probabilities. You need to risk accordingly to not go bankrupt. You need a strong and well-thought-out trading plans. Conduct thorough analyses, and stick to disciplined strategies. And this is how strategy and luck will help you increase the chance of success. Negotiation mastery Monopoly is not just about rolling the dice; it’s about negotiation. You are playing against opponents of different advantages and styles. You need to learn how to negotiate, aid and help each other – before you beat them! I don’t know how else to explain this :D. Trading also involves striking deals. You’re hitting bids (when selling) and offers (when buying). You’re betting against your counterparty (investor, trader or market maker). You’re negotiating prices and moves. The choices you make will give you the significant edge and help streamline your profitable journey. Passive Income Key: Collect $200 as You Pass Go The exciting and genius of Monopoly lies in the sweet reward of $200 every time you pass Go. You know that feeling of waiting and playing your turns. Going through the good Chance cards and the Bad (going to jail). But when you are out and you pass Go, you can to collect your wage of $200. This is your special passive income secret weapon. You don’t just stick to what you have, you build on it and use what you newly have to grow your portfolio. The same works with trading. Each month, you receive a salary. And you spend, save and invest. So if you want to grow your trading portfolio using the compounding strategy, you might as well build on it. You might as well accelerate your trading journey. You might as well let your money work for you! Embrace the power of compounding, re-investing and depositing, and you might find yourself collecting much more than $200 as you navigate the trading board. Let’s sum up the Monopoly Lessons Traders Can learn: Hold Cash: The higher earner has the upper hand Be Patient: Not every roll is a winner Don’t blow on the most expensive stuff Diversification and Opportunism: Building houses on every colour Strategic planning trumps luck Negotiation mastery Passive Income Key: Collect $200 as You Pass Go FINAL WORDS: The trading board is yours – now go bankrupt the market, one strategic move at a time!
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
KOG - Simple Trading Strategy Simple Trading Strategy - Generate your own take profit targets. Today we're going to share with you a simple yet effective trading strategy that can be used on any instrument. Like any other trading strategy its not 100%, but, you can see from that illustration how effective it can be in keeping you in the right direction on a pair. You can add Moving averages to this as well as which ever indicators you prefer to use and fine tune the strategy to make it work for you. We must stress, with this strategy you have to have a confident ability in charting and have an understanding of support and resistance levels as well as key zones and regions of liquidity. The bonus with the strategy is it can be applied to all time frames, it can be used to swing trade on longer time frames and to scalp on short time frames. So when we publish our daily morning reviews with our levels and say "LEVEL TO LEVEL" trading, this strategy gives you an idea of what we're suggesting. Also, when we share our 15M levels and zones you can apply this strategy to trade your way up or down to the target. So lets begin: 1) Start with the 4H chart 2) Look for price action where the price was previously in the same range 3) Use the highs and the lows of swings to plot your support and resistance lines 4) Switch to the 1hr chart 5) You are looking for candle body closes above or below the support or resistance lines. The bigger the candle body close the more accurate the target above is. We can use this strategy to take numerous trades in up and down until the target level is reached. This strategy also helps you with your entries and exits. Once you plot the lines and see the price is in between two lines of support and resistance, you will know not to enter a trade. Wait for the pull back on the smaller timeframe or for your chosen indicator to give you the signal!! NOTE: • Lines can never be accurate but try to get them as precise as possible • You must update your lines daily as support and resistance levels change • You must have a risk strategy in place. On most occasions there will be a pullback or retracement on price which can put you in drawdown. • Money and risk management are priority when using this strategy. • Nothing is 100% but once you add the Excalibur target to the chart you have clearer idea of direction. ALWAYS REMEMBER: MAs and indicators are lagging, when using this strategy try to keep it simple and clean. Basic support and resistance levels along with a decent candle body close. Try it, backtest it, apply it. Let us know your findings. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by KnightsofGold
30
If a short-term price adjustment occurs...Hello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The upper line of the Price Channel indicator was created on February 17th, confirming the high point. Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term price adjustment is increasing. As the decline progresses, a new HA-High indicator appears to be being created. Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is generated around 50862.10, I think it is important to see whether it receives support or resistance around this area. The difference between the 5EMA line and the HA 5EMA line is the source value. 5EMA: Closing price HA 5EMA: (Heikin Ashi’s closing price + Heikin Ashi’s opening price) / 2 Therefore, from a short-term trading perspective, it is highly likely that the upward trend will be maintained if 5EMA > HA 5EMA is maintained. There is a possibility that the section consisting of the 5EMA, HA 5EMA, and HA-High indicators may become a support section. If there is no support in this area, it is expected to touch the MA-Signal indicator, that is, near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. Ultimately, in order to continue the upward trend, the upper point of the Price Channel indicator must be broken upward, so the final support point can be said to be near the upper point of the Price Channel indicator. (1W chart) Since the upper line of the Price Channel indicator on the 1W chart is not currently visible on the candle, you can see that the high point has not yet been confirmed. Accordingly, even if there is a short-term price adjustment in the 1D chart, the decline is expected to be small. However, you should check whether the upper line of the Price Channel indicator is displayed when next week's candle is created. The area expected to be a resistance area is around 53256.64-59370.07. (1M charts) This flow is expected to proceed in the direction of the arrow. The support zone is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618 (44234.54). Therefore, the maximum range of short-term price adjustment is expected to be around 44200.0-47600.0 as the support range. --------------------------------- Since I will be traveling from February 19-21, my next publish will be on February 22nd. Please check the movement until this volatility period (February 21st) and find a purchase point for the coin (token) to proceed with the transaction. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
Next volatility period: around February 15-20Hello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- If you can't predict the direction of BTC, if you don't know whether it will rise further or fall in the future, why are you analyzing charts? Through chart analysis, we are traders trying to make a profit by trading. In order to trade, you need to create a trading strategy and react to price movements. At this time, the important thing is that you need a trading strategy to reduce losses, not a trading strategy to gain greater profits. A trading strategy created to gain greater profits will act as a disadvantage in psychological warfare, and if these psychological instability factors accumulate, you will eventually end the transaction with a loss. --------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT chart) I think what you need to pay close attention to in the charts above is the movement of the StochRSI indicator. Currently, only the 1W chart has failed to enter the overbought section. When next week's candle is created, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart enters the overbought zone. When the StochRSI indicator falls from an overbought zone, you need to check at which point or zone it is supported or resisted. --------------------------------------- (USDT chart) (USDC chart) USDT and USDC are still on the rise. Although USDC has been showing a gap decline since February 11, it is expected to eventually maintain an upward trend if it remains above 26.525B, which was an important point. A rise in the gap between USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market. Conversely, a falling gap means that funds are flowing out of the coin market. Therefore, this rise shows that funds are flowing out through USDC. Since I believe that the increase or decrease of USDT or USDC through trading is expressed as a candle, I believe that the meaning of the gap is the inflow and outflow of funds. I think that if you know the fund flow in the coin market, you can ultimately know the movement of the coin market. Accordingly, the movement of the USDT or USDC chart can be said to be an important chart for individual traders to view the fund flow in the coin market. Among them, I think it is especially important to check the movement of USDT because USDT has the greatest influence on the coin market. ------------------------------------------------- Once you have confirmed the flow of funds in the coin market, that is, the inflow and outflow of funds, you need to check how the funds flowing into the coin market are moving. (BTC.D chart) (USDT.D chart) Such movements should be confirmed by movements in BTC dominance and USDT dominance. BTC dominance lets you know whether funds are concentrated towards BTC or altcoins. Accordingly, a rise in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC. To know the overall trend of the coin market, you can find out to some extent by checking the dominance of USDT, which has a great influence on the coin market. What is important in USDT or USDC charts is that the gap rise continues to occur. This is because funds will flow into the coin market. If funds continue to flow in this way, the corresponding dominance will inevitably rise. Therefore, when looking at the BTC dominance or USDT dominance chart, you should look at whether the current candle is a falling candle or a rising candle rather than the trend. Otherwise, if you judge the dominance chart as a trend, there is a high possibility of getting incorrect forecasts, so be careful. The coin market is showing an upward trend as USDT dominance falls below 5.89. If it falls below 4.97, I think there is a high possibility that the coin market will show a major upward trend. However, in order for the mainstream upward trend to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise in the 56.78-62.47 range or higher and then begin to decline. If not, it is expected that an altcoin bull market will begin rather than a mainstream bull market. An altcoin bull market means a bull market in which you can ultimately make a profit no matter what altcoin you buy. A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins are likely to hit new highs (ATH). Therefore, it is necessary to see what BTC dominance looks like in the future. For an altcoin bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must fall below 50. -------------------------------------------------- ------ (BTCUSDT 1M chart) It is showing a significant rise, rising above the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618 (44210.08). The resistance area of this rise, that is, the area that will determine the trend again, is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886-1.0. (1W chart) If you check this in more detail, it is expected to be in the range 53256.64 -66401.82. However, if it enters the 53256.64 -66401.82 section, the 59370.07 point is expected to be the critical point. Caution is needed because there is a possibility that the price will rise around 53256.64 and then shake up to break above it. (1D chart) What is important to look at in this shakeup is whether there is support around 49676.20. If it rises around 53256.64 and then falls below 49676.20 and shows resistance, caution is needed as it could lead to a further decline. The most important indicator to look at in my charts is the MS-Signal indicator, that is, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. If the price stays above this indicator, it will eventually continue its upward trend, otherwise it will show a downward trend. The M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart shows short-term trends, The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts indicates mid- to long-term trends. Therefore, you need to identify trends and create a response strategy that matches your trading strategy, that is, your investment period. Since the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, the M-Signal indicator, passes through the 45135.66-46431.50 range, if it falls to around 46431.50, you should check for support and respond in the short term. The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 41253.4, so an appropriate response is needed. Both the StochRSI indicator and the BW indicator hit their highest points. Accordingly, if the price shows a slight decline, it will show a reversal. However, if the StochRSI indicator does not fall below the overbought range, it means that the strength of the rise is strong, so you must check and respond to support and resistance at the support and resistance points or sections. In other words, how well you find support and resistance on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is the most important factor required for trading in chart analysis. No matter how much you can tell the trend through chart analysis, if you ultimately fail to find support and resistance points, trading may proceed in the wrong direction. Therefore, support and resistance points should be points that anyone can understand and predict. If you do not explain the interpretation of support and resistance points, it will be difficult to utilize the support and resistance points, so although it may be a good article for chart analysis, it will be an analysis that cannot be used for trading purposes. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA. How to display (in order from darkest to darkest) More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA ** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own. ** This chart was created using my know-how. ---------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
5 Important Trading Protection LevelsREMEMBER No matter what stock, index, Forex or other markets you’re trading, every trader needs 5 protection levels. Stop loss to stop yourself from furthering losses Time stop loss to get you out of non-performing trades Adjusted stop loss to lock in profits when the market moves in your favour. Risk % per trade to only lose a certain amount of your portfolio % of Drawdown before you HALT trading – when the market is not in a favourable environment to your strategy. Short and sweet but VERY powerful to apply to your trading. Do you have any other protection levels?
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
1
Rise above 42151.24-43823.59 is importantHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) An important selling zone is formed around 42283.58. Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42283.58 and rise above 43823.59. (1W chart) The important section containing the psychological resistance zone is the 42151.24-43823.59 section. Therefore, I think it is highly likely that a trend will form based on this important section. However, when viewed from the overall flow of the chart, the 37253.82-46431.5 section can be considered to be the starting boundary section of the high point section. Therefore, if it rises above 46431.5, it can be said that it has entered the high point in the overall trend of the chart. Based on the current price and trend, if it falls below 37253.82, the trend is expected to turn to the downside. The 32917.17-35045.0 section is a strong support zone, and if it falls below this zone, it is expected to enter the bottom zone. (1D chart) This period of volatility will last until around February 7th (February 8th). Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA. How to display (in order from darkest to darkest) More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA ** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own. ** This chart was created using my know-how. --------------------------------- ​
by readCrypto
1
Gold Weekly Update 12-16 Feb 24The market appears to be moving sideways from 2021 to 2030, with minimal fluctuations expected in the next one or two days. However, a breach below the 2020 level on Monday could lead to a downward trend, potentially reaching 2010-2005, marked as Target 01. If the downtrend persists, further decline to 1990-1980 is anticipated, labeled as Target 02. Conversely, breaking above 2036 may propel the market upwards, with a potential target of 2055. Stay tuned for updates and follow for more information.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by sheikhhamza306