TAIKOUSDT | Trending Alert Get ready—TAIKO is on the move and could easily hit 3.5 today!
Pre-NY Session Buzz
TAIKO is trending strong ahead of the NY session open. With the influx of NY volume, we might see a dramatic price action—either a sell-off or a price boost.
Trade Setup
With an impressive 7:1 risk-reward ratio, I’m jumping in on this opportunity. This could be a game-changer!
Let’s enjoy the ride and see where TAIKO takes us!
Tradingstrategy
MEWUSDT | Meme Coin Boost?Are we entering the golden days of meme coins? MEWUSDT is looking incredibly promising!
Bull Flag Ready to Explode
MEWUSDT has formed a textbook bull flag, and it’s poised for a breakout. The chart is screaming for a move upwards, and the hype is real!
Could this be the next big meme coin explosion? Stay tuned and let’s ride this wave together!
Nvidia - Still a correction?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Over the course of the past seven years, Nvidia stock has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. As we are speaking, Nvidia stock is approaching once again the upper resisance trendline. However this does not mean that we will see an immediate correction of -50%; it is rather important to monitor price action and wait for the right opportunity.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
LUNA2USDT | Continuation?We’re looking at an intriguing breakout opportunity! Multiple timeframes are showing potential, though it’s not crystal clear, making it even more exciting.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, we saw an initial pushdown post-breakout, but the 20 EMA is providing solid support.
8-Hour Timeframe
The 8-hour break looks more promising. We’re holding above the previous high, a positive sign.
4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, a double bottom has formed, hinting at a bullish trend. We’re still within the 20 and 50 EMAs, adding to the potential upside.
Trade Setup
Given the market’s optimistic sentiment, I’m expecting a strong upward move. It’s a risky trade, but I’m targeting the next 4H high with an impressive RR of 4:1. The breakout should be powerful, so I’m entering the trade now.
Long-Term View
Adding to the bullish case, the 3-month timeframe shows a bullish wick on the previous three months. With the candle closing in 26 days, there’s limited time for continuation, making this a timely trade.
Stay tuned as this setup unfolds—it’s bound to be an exciting ride!
#CryptoTrading #Breakout #BullishTrend #BTC #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #StayTuned
ZRXUSDT | Continuation?ZRXUSDT Trade Analysis
My previous ZRXUSDT trade didn't pan out as expected, but I'm still bullish on this one. I've just opened a new position that could unfold over the next few months.
Weekly Chart
Despite a recent breakdown, we're holding steady at the previous weekly high and have bounced back nicely. This resilience suggests potential for an upward continuation.
Trade Setup
I'm targeting an easy continuation with an impressive 5:1 risk-reward ratio. This setup offers a fantastic opportunity for a strong comeback, and I'm excited to see how it plays out.
Stay tuned for updates—this could be the trade that turns things around!
#CryptoTrading #ZRXUSDT #Bullish #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #HighRiskHighReward #StayTuned
Is trading really gambling? Yes and no!I know why you’re NOT trading.
You think trading is nothing more than gambling.
I get emails every day from members saying things like.
“Timon trading seems like going to the casino”.
“Timon I don’t want to put money into something that’s gambling”
“Timon thanks but I don’t gamble”
So you’re not trading because you think it’s like gambling.
Well, before you send me another email like this – Please make sure you read this carefully.
Let’s dive into the heated debate and let’s see if I agree whether trading is just gambling.
Does Timon think trading is just gambling?
YES! I do believe trading is a form of gambling.
BUT – hold on…
Gambling exists in two realms. Chance vs. Strategy
There is chance gambling and strategic gambling.
Chance gambling is similar to playing slot machines, lotteries, and coin tosses.
It’s 50/50. And it’s all up to chance.
Have you ever heard of a professional slots player or coin flipper?
I don’t think so.
Then in the other realm of gambling is known as strategic gambling.
The strategic domain is where skill, knowledge, risk management, methodology, probabilities and decision-making play crucial roles.
And that my friend, is why I believe trading is a form of strategic gambling.
You do get professional and successful poker and black jack players, sports bettors and of course traders.
Right?
And that’s because you need skill, strategies and the right techniques to WIN as oppose to mere luck.
So before you quit trading because you think it’s nothing more than gambling, allow me to go one step further.
Let’s talk about the similarities between certain strategic gambling games and see how we can learn from them with trading.
Strategic Game #1:
Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management
Poker and trading share a few similarities.
They both emphasize skill, strategy, and a sprinkle of luck.
But you need a deep understanding of the rules.
You need keen observation of the competitors.
You need adeptness at risk, reward and money management.
Poker players and traders alike must know when to hold their ground and when to fold.
Poker players put their cards down when the probability is low.
Traders either don’t take the trade, risk little in medium probability trades and use tools like stop losses to risk little.
Poker also teaches the importance of emotional control and patience.
And these as I have written many times before, are crucial in trading.
Because emotional decisions can lead to significant losses with both poker and with trading.
Next game…
Game #2: Trading and Roulette
Playing the probabilities
It may seem at first that roulette leans more towards chance.
Red or black, odd or even etc…
But the fact that you have a choice, means that it offers you some form of probability.
A fundamental concept in trading are probabilities.
Traders, like professional roulette players, use statistical analysis to help make informed and better decisions.
It is unpredictable what the ball will land on.
Just like it is unpredictable which way the market will go.
But if you have a sound system, proven track record and winning strategy – you will be able to base the probabilities and tilt the odds in your favour – over time.
In trading, while certain market movements can’t be predicted with absolute certainty, we rely heavily on technical, fundamental, statistical analysis and probabilities to make trading decisions.
Trading, much like roulette, is where you need to diversify your positions and bets.
And you can WIN in the long run if you follow your high probability strategy.
Game #3: Trading and Blackjack
How a maths boffon can win overtime
In blackjack, players make strategic decisions to outmaneuver the dealer.
The main goal is to try and get the cards we’re dealt to hit 21, be close to 21 or be closer to 21 than our opponent’s hand.
Bet too high past 21 and you burn (lose).
This is similar to trading.
You need to be able to analyse the marker conditions.
You need to be able to calculate your position sizes and risk management according to your trade line up.
Both games need you to have a balance of risk, strategy, and knowledge to succeed.
Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing
Know your horse!
Now this is a game that has turned many statisticians into multi millionaires.
Horse racing is where you need to know and choose the right horse that will win based on its:
Form
Characteristics
Conditions of the race
Weather on the day
and other factors.
They study the characteristics, and race conditions to a T.
They calculate based on past performance on which horse has the higher probability of winning.
Traders need to know their horses (markets) too.
Every market you choose to trade, has its own personality, form, movements, and style.
You need to check to see if the chosen market has worked for your trading system and portfolio over time.
And you need to choose the right time, market environment and other factors – before you take on the trade.
In horse racing, experienced bettors also diversify their bets across multiple races and horses to spread risk.
With trading we diversify our portfolios over different accounts, markets, sectors, instruments and types.
Finally let’s talk about the last game:
Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting
The power of predictive analysis
Sports betting, much like trading, relies on predictive analysis to almost see potential outcomes.
If you understand a team’s performance, strategy, and conditions – You will be able to make better betting decisions for the next game.
As a sports bettor you definitely need to know how to analyse a team’s or player’s form, weather conditions, past scores and more to predict an outcome.
Whether it’s football, rugby or cricket – you need to have your winning game plan to increase your chances of winning the bet.
Traders do the same. They have different markets like sports bettors have different games.
Traders also conduct similar technical, fundamental, sentimental, volume analyses to help predict potential market movements.
Both activities involve calculated risk-taking, aiming for high-probability successes based on thorough research and analysis.
Final words:
So, as you can see trading is MORE than just gambling.
Unlike games of pure chance, trading is a disciplined, analytical pursuit that shares more in common with skill-based gambling.
It does require you however to have the right knowledge, strategy, and strong risk, reward and money management.
Let’s sum up the games and sports vs trading so you can remember what we’ve covered today:
Game #1: Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management
Game #2: Trading and Roulette – Playing the probabilities
Game #3: Trading and Blackjack – How a maths boffon can win overtime
Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing – Know your horse!
Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting – The power of predictive analysis
DO YOU THINK TRADING IS LIKE GAMBLING?
Check if a trend is formed after June 5thHello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is expected to last from June 3rd to 5th.
Accordingly, we need to check if a trend is formed after the volatility period.
Currently, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing near the HA-High indicator (67614.25) on the 1D chart and is showing support near that area.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise along the rising trend line (1) after the volatility period.
If it does not, and falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and shows resistance,
1st: 65233.64 (64K-66401.82)
2nd: 62791.03
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
In particular, the 2nd section, 62791.03 point, is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, and an important trend line passes near this point, so it is a section that must be supported in order to maintain an upward trend.
If it falls from the 62791.03 point or an important trend line, there is a high possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
However, since it falls after the HA-Low indicator is generated, there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed.
(1W chart)
As seen in the 1W chart, the volatility period is expected to continue until the week including July 29th.
Therefore, the real trend is expected to form after this volatility period.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Important section: 1071.36-1130.53Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (1135.97), which is the peak of the major uptrend.
If not, it is expected to form a downtrend and form a new trend.
(1W chart)
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is shown in the major uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is shown in the recent uptrend on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, if the price is maintained above the right Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (1135.97), it is expected to rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 1 (1339.36).
The important section on the 1W chart is around 848.46.
Accordingly, if it fails to rise above 1130.53, it should check for support near 848.46.
The rising channel indicated by the circle is a trend line connected between lows.
Therefore, if it cannot rise within the current rising channel, the key is whether it rises along the rising channel between lows indicated by the circle.
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is showing signs of being created at the 1071.36 point.
Accordingly, the important section on the 1D chart is around 1071.36.
Therefore, the section 1071.36-1130.53 is the important section.
This volatility period is around June 4th (June 3rd-5th).
Therefore, it is necessary to check in which direction it deviates from the section 1071.36-1130.53 after the volatility period.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start after it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Support zone: Around 189.84Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M chart)
You need to check if it is rising along the rising channel.
The important zone on the 1M chart is around 175.45.
(1W chart)
The important zone on the 1W chart is around 189.42.
Therefore, the support zone is the 175.45-189.42 zone.
You need to check if it is forming a trend while passing through the week including July 22nd and the week including August 19th.
If it falls below 157.65, we need to check for support near 136.72.
(1D chart)
The important sections on the 1D chart are around 189.84 and 172.16.
Therefore, the key is whether it can find support near 189.84 and rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.5 (197.89).
If it falls near 189.84 and shows resistance,
1st: 181.99
2nd: 172.16-175.45
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting section, it is necessary to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Support zone: Around 67300-70700Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Samsung Electronics 1M chart)
The area around 70700 is likely to complete the 'M' pattern and turn into a downtrend.
Therefore, whether there is support around 70700 is an important issue.
(1W chart)
The important zones on the 1W chart are around 77500 and 57400.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 77500 when it rises with support near 70700 as mentioned on the 1M chart.
If not, and it falls near 70700, there is a possibility that it will fall to around 57400.
Since the 57400 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will be newly created as the price falls.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created, whether there is support near that area will be an important issue.
(1D chart)
The important sections on the 1W chart are around 84300 and 67300.
Accordingly, we can see that the area around 67300-70700 is the support area.
If it is supported near the support zone and rises,
1st: 77500-79400
2nd: 84300
The 1st and 2nd zones above are short-term resistance zones.
However, if it is confirmed that it is supported in this resistance zone, there is a possibility that it will update the previous latest high.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a high point zone has been formed.
Therefore, since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was created at the 84300 point, it is a high point zone.
Therefore, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator.
If the HA-Low indicator is created, it means that a low point zone has been formed.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Trend lines are also lagging(?)Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I think trend lines are drawn to find out the trend that appears when candles are formed.
Therefore, since they are drawn after candles are formed, they can be called lagging.
However, since there is a characteristic of moving along a trend that has been formed unless there is a special issue, chart analysis is done by referring to trend lines.
To draw trend lines, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
If not, there is a high possibility that it will be a meaningless line, so you need to study candles in advance to draw trend lines.
The point to use as a reference when drawing trend lines may vary depending on your investment style.
When drawing a trend line, I draw it according to the following rules.
1. Connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles corresponding to the high point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the blue line)
2. Connect the low point of the price candles corresponding to the low point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the light green (#00FF00) line)
The setting values of the StochRSI indicator are 3, 3, 14, 7 (K, D, RSI, Stoch).
However, the source value is the value of the Heikin-Ashi candle (Open + Close) / 2.
The difference can be confirmed by the StochRSI indicator and the Stoch RSI indicator of the TS - BW indicator on the chart.
1. Use the high point formed when the StochRSI indicator rises above 80,
2. Use the low point formed when the StochRSI indicator falls below 20.
Exclude any low or high points formed other than these.
The trend line connecting the low points can be connected by connecting the low points of the price candles.
However, the trend line connecting the high points must connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles, so when the price candle where the high point of the StochRSI indicator is formed is an upward candle, the opening price of the first falling candle among the right candles is specified and used.
Therefore, since there is a difference between the StochRSI indicator of the TS -BW indicator and the general StochRSI indicator, it is recommended to use the StochRSI indicator formula of the TS - BW indicator if possible.
When the StochRSI indicator entered the oversold zone and formed two low points, the trend line was not drawn by connecting the two low points.
Therefore, the trend line is drawn as shown on the chart.
Both the most recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2) are down, so it seems likely that a change in trend will occur.
However, since it is virtually impossible to know with just the trend line, it is recommended to comprehensively evaluate by adding auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, it is recommended to refer to the BW indicator, which displays MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and SuperTrend indicators.
If the BW indicator is rising from the 0 point, it means that the trend is rising.
On the contrary, if it is falling from the 0 point, it means that the trend is falling.
Since the BW indicator is currently above the 0 point, we can see that the trend is rising.
Therefore, when looking at the trend line and the BW indicator comprehensively, we can respond by selling when it falls from the recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2).
However, since the BW indicator is in an upward trend, it is recommended to respond with a split sell rather than a 100% sell.
It is still difficult to determine the timing of trading with the trend line alone.
Therefore, it is recommended to select the timing of trading by indicating the support and resistance points.
In that sense, it is a good idea to add HA-Low, HA-High indicators and use them to select the trading period.
Even if you do not use HA-Low, HA-High indicators, you should draw support and resistance lines according to the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and mark them on the chart to select the trading period.
The good thing about using indicators that indicate support and resistance points is that the support and resistance points do not change depending on your psychological state.
When you start trading, your psychological state may become unstable due to price volatility, and if you are in an unstable psychological state, you may draw a line incorrectly, which may result in an unreliable line.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important section: 67614.25-70231.38Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It began to rise in the buy zone and reached its first decline around the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.27 (73.308.95).
This first decline continued towards the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.886 (56000.42).
It then moves higher and is rising above the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.13 (67031.36).
Therefore, it appears that there is a high possibility that the Fibonacci ratio will show volatility through a three-stage movement.
If volatility occurs in three stages like this,
In case of decline, it is expected to fall around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.707 (48064.07) to 0.786 (51606.42).
When rising, it is expected to rise around the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.618 (88913.24) to 2 (106042.09).
Therefore, I think the key is which direction it deviates from the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.13 (67031.36) to 1.24 (73308.95).
(1W chart)
If it rises along the important upward channel, it is expected to continue the upward trend purchased around 16K-28K.
However, since it has created a new rising channel (rising trend line (4) ~ (5)) and is showing an upward trend, if it deviates from this rising channel, volatility is expected to occur to change the trend.
Therefore, it is necessary to keep a close eye on the movement between the high trend line of the important rising channel and the rising trend line (4).
Therefore, this period of volatility on the 1W chart is expected to last until around the week of July 29th.
(1D chart)
A short-term rising channel has been formed and the price is showing an upward trend along the short-term rising channel.
However, since the rising channel narrows as the price rises, the possibility that the Fibonacci ratio point falls below the short-term rising channel around 1.27 (73308.95) cannot be ruled out.
Therefore, the trend line we should consider important is the upward trend line (1).
This rising trend line (1) is the corresponding trend line to the rising trend line (4) mentioned in the 1W chart.
Therefore, since a short-term uptrend can lead to a movement to continue the mid- to long-term uptrend, we need to think about countermeasures against this.
Currently, the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 67614.25, and the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at 65233.64.
Therefore, you should consider a response strategy depending on whether there is support around 65233.64-67614.25.
The next period of volatility will be around June 4 (June 3-5).
However, there is a possibility that proactive volatility may occur from around May 27th to 29th (maximum May 26th to 30th).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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EUR/USD Intra Day/Week Play 28/05/2025On the monthly we are currently witnessing the formation of a descending trangle in preparation for a breakout to the upside if we cross 1.13093 or to the downside if we cross 1.04898. This level has been mitigated back in July 2022 taking all buy side liquidity in the process beofre returning to create the new support level to begin a new wyckoff accumilation pattern.
On the weekly we can see that price has been ranging btween 1.10082 (highs) and 1.07237 (lows)
When we head down to the 4 hour we can see that price has mitigated the previous 4hr bearish order block to then form a break out to the downside, it then returned to the break out levels further claiming all the sell side liquidity in the zone and is preparing for a move downward to fill the imbalance @ 1.07953 and tap into either the bullish order block at 1.07876 or 1.07459
This upward movement is also supported by the bearish candle crossing the 20ema to test 100ema with a pisitive reaction to the upside on the 4hr indicating strong buying interest.
In this scenario, we would look for an entry at 1.07856 with a stop loss at 1.07117 and take profits at 1.10107 securing a nice 1:3 Risk to Reward.
Let me know what you guys think.
Hope you have a great week ahead.
Happy Trading.
Stacks (STXUSD): Balanced Strategy for a Solid UpsideFor Stacks (STXUSD), we see a Fair-Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart, along with similar gaps on the three-day and daily charts, plus a demand zone below. Our plan is to use these weekly FVGs and the demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry points if the price drops to those levels. We see $1.31 as the maximum downside. On the upside, we aim to reclaim the recent high, with resistance around the three-day gap at $2.64. We're pretty confident that with a well-placed stop-loss, this setup offers a solid chance to build a long swing position.
This strategy provides a balanced risk-reward scenario, allowing us to take advantage of potential upward movements while effectively managing the risks.
Looking at the annual VWAP for STX, it's crucial because this year's VAL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) could act as support, which aligns with our planned entry in the orange zone. This point could be pivotal for holding and supporting STX's price action. On the upside, the annual VAH (Volume-Weighted Average Price High) will serve as resistance. If we flip this level, it could then become support, opening up significant upward potential. While the timing is uncertain, we're ready to see how the price action unfolds, barring any unexpected news.
On the quarterly chart, we see a clear picture. Our worst-case scenario is the 2024 Q1 VHL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) at $1.56, which is our downside limit. We expect this level to serve as resistance, and currently, we're struggling to surpass it. However, we're focusing on the 2024 Q1 VAL as our critical support, marking it as our worst-case scenario.
Overall, breaking through the 2024 Q1 VHL is challenging, but our strategy considers this level, ensuring we're prepared for potential downside movements while aiming for upward targets.
Lastly, the monthly chart for STX is more complex. We have the February VAL and January VAH below us, which have acted as support multiple times. If we lose these support levels, they might turn into resistance, possibly causing a reversal before or at the January VWAP. Our first resistance on the way up will be the April VAL of $2.42. There are several resistances to navigate, making it crucial to move carefully. Despite this, we expect a trend reversal soon, but the key question is whether the market will shake out a few more participants before turning upwards.
Important points: 6.684, 8.144, 10.611Hello traders!
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(DOTUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 9.262 and receive support.
(1W chart)
It is expected to rise above 10.373 to escape the bottom section.
To do so, the key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator (8.144) on the 1W chart.
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 19.370, which is the volume profile section.
(1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is passing through the 7.319-8.144 section.
Therefore, it is highly likely that an upward trend will begin if the price is maintained above 8.144.
If not, and it falls, you should check for support around the HA-Low indicator (6.684) on the 1D chart.
From the current price position, the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 10.611 point, so it is expected that the full-fledged upward trend will begin only when it rises above this point.
Therefore, the critical points are 6.684, 8.144, and 10.611.
You can proceed with your trade depending on whether there is support at these three important points.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Fantom (FTM): Bullish Setup with Strong Support Levels!Looking at Fantom on the daily timeframe, we see a promising setup following the completion of Waves 3 and 4. Wave 4 ended around $0.567, and since then, we have observed a consistent formation of higher lows. This pattern suggests a continuation of the upward trend.
The recent rise has left behind a breakout gap. Our plan is to see this gap touched or closed, and subsequently, we aim to use the underlying demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) if further pullbacks occur. Within this area, we have two significant supports: the Point of Control (POC) and the High-Volume Node Edge. These levels should provide enough support to prevent the price from falling below this range.
Our target is set at a minimum of $1.22, though it could go higher, considering this is likely Wave 5. This target aligns with the expected continuation of the bullish trend as indicated by the Elliott Wave theory.
It is relatively easy to see that there are many liquidation levels above the current price for FTM. Significant liquidations have already been taken out, particularly just shortly after the ETF approval when many overleveraged positions were liquidated. Currently, there aren't many liquidation levels below the current price.
Therefore, we believe this might be a good time to dip again to clear out any remaining liquidation levels. After that, we expect to absorb the remaining short positions and push upwards. There is significant room to move higher, reaching our first target and potentially taking out more liquidations along the way.
Focusing on Fantom (FTM) on the quarterly VWAP chart, the 2024 Q1 VWAP has acted as a significant resistance level, respected four times. This consistent resistance often becomes a powerful support once broken, marking the start of a bullish phase. We anticipate the 2024 Q1 VWAP will transition from resistance to support, signaling strength and potential upward momentum. Additionally, the 2024 Q2 VWAP is providing strong support, reinforcing our bullish outlook and underpinning the price action.
With the combined support from the 2024 Q2 VWAP and the potential flip of the 2024 Q1 VWAP, Fantom is poised to gain momentum. We expect this to drive the price upward, leading to a retest of the 2024 Q1 VWAP soon. In summary, the interaction between these VWAP levels is pivotal. The 2024 Q1 VWAP is likely to become new support, bolstered by the 2024 Q2 VWAP. This setup suggests Fantom could move higher in the near future, retesting and possibly surpassing previous resistance levels.
We also need to consider the monthly VWAP chart for Fantom (FTM). Resistance was encountered between $0.915 and $0.925, defined by the Previous Monthly VAH and the March VWAP.
Currently, the May VWAP is holding, along with the Previous Monthly VWAP. However, we might fall below this level, where the Previous Monthly VAHL and May VAL should provide support. This alignment offers solid support and aligns with market structure and Elliott Wave principles.
Maintaining these levels is crucial for sustaining the bullish outlook and allowing the market to stabilize before moving higher. Holding the May VWAP and the Previous Monthly VWAP shows Fantom's resilience, potentially facilitating upward movement. If a dip occurs, support at the Previous Monthly VAL and May VAL should stabilize the price and provide a foundation for the next bullish phase.
Whether a full-fledged upward trend has begun: 69K-70231.38Hello traders!
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(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
If USDT and USDC show a rising gap, I think it is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to continue its upward trend, it must meet resistance and fall in the 55.01-62.47 range.
If this is not the case and BTC dominance continues to rise, it is highly likely that funds in the coin market will be concentrated towards BTC, making it quite difficult to trade altcoins.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to continue its upward trend, it must remain below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
Summarizing the explanations of BTC dominance and USDT dominance, in order for a bull market in the coin market, that is, a bull market in which most coins (tokens) rise, to begin, BTC dominance and USDT dominance must show a downward trend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period lasts until May 20th.
If the price rises above 69K-70231.38 and maintains the price, a full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin.
The key to this full-fledged uptrend is whether it can break above the upper point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1D chart.
If not, and it goes down,
Support should be checked around 65233.64 (64K-66401.82).
Currently, the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on 1D chart) is passing around 65233.64, so it is important to see whether the price can be maintained above this point.
(1M charts)
If the price holds above the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.27 (73308.95), the next target would be around 1.618 (88913.24).
If it declines in the first section, you need to check for support in the second section.
The HA 5EMA line is rising near 0.886 (56090.42), so if it falls below 0.886, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Therefore, caution is required as sharp drops may occur.
The next period of volatility is around June 4th.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The indicators used to find a position to start a trade are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
And, the indicator used to verify this is the BW indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA): Bullish Divergence SignalsMarathon Digital Holdings is heavily influenced by developments in the cryptocurrency market. Despite this dependency, significant indicators on the RSI chart show repeated divergences. These divergences have previously resulted in substantial price movements and could potentially do so again. Currently, we have identified a bullish divergence on the daily chart, with the stock holding above the High-Volume-Node (HVN) Edge within a trend channel. These correlations suggest there could be enough momentum for the stock to retest the $34 level, which we consider a minimum target.
Marathon's stock is known for its rapid movements, meaning it can quickly move up or down. Should the stock move upwards, it could swiftly surpass the $34 mark. However, we must also consider the presence of equal lows on the chart. These equal lows are often a point of concern as they indicate significant liquidity below them, which the market tends to target. Therefore, it is possible that we might see a dip to collect this liquidity in the coming days, weeks, or even months, potentially bringing the price back to the trendline.
In the worst-case scenario, the stock might drop to the High-Volume-Node Point of Control at $9.67 before resuming its upward trajectory. Despite this risk, we believe that Marathon has substantial upside potential in the coming weeks. The confluence of bullish signals and strong support levels suggests that the stock could see significant gains if the bullish divergence plays out as expected.
Trading may begin depending on support around 0.1160Hello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(CHZUSDT 1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is passing around 0.11610-0.12080.
Accordingly, you can start trading around 0.11610-0.12080, depending on whether there is support or not.
If supported and rises,
1st: 0.13773-0.15581
2nd: 0.20790
You need to check for support around the first and second rounds above.
If the price rises above 0.20790 and holds, it is expected to break out of the bottom range in the long term.
Therefore, if it rises above 0.20790, it is expected to surge.
If it falls due to resistance near 0.11610, you should check for support around 0.08631 or the HA-Low indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Check for support around 0.5236-0.5384Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
The most important point on the XRP chart is the 0.47 point.
This is because if it falls below 0.47, it is expected to enter the bottom range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, the price should be maintained above 0.47.
Since the M-Signal of the 1M chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart, it shows a downward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 0.5236-0.5384.
If it fails to rise, caution is needed as it is likely to touch around 0.47 again.
If the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, it is likely to renew the previous best high.
Therefore, it is time to buy whenever it rises above the HA-High indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts and shows support.
If it is not supported by the HA-High indicator and falls, it will be time for a split sale, so caution is needed in response.
One thing you must think about before you start trading is your investment horizon.
If you do not decide how long you will invest for, you may not be able to respond properly when prices fluctuate, so you must decide on the investment period.
Next, you must decide how much to invest and how to trade or realize profits.
No matter how long-term you invest, you must sell when the price rises to a certain level.
There are three ways to sell: selling 100%, selling a portion, or selling an amount equivalent to the purchase principal to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
The method of increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit by selling an amount corresponding to the purchase principal ultimately ends up holding only the number of coins (tokens) whose average purchase price is 0.
Therefore, there is absolutely no risk associated with holding it.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BLOCK (SQ): Major Buy Zones Identified Amid Potential Upswing!BLOCK (formerly Square) has experienced a significant sell-off since its all-time high of $290 in July 2021, dropping to a low of $37. This marked the completion of Wave 2 in its price cycle. Currently, we are observing two critical zones:
Must-Buy Zone : Between $33 and $51. Historically, the price has spent minimal but crucial time in this range, indicating strong market movement always follows a dip into this zone.
Okay-Buy Zone : Between $51 and $87. This broader range also saw significant accumulation periods, specifically from May 2018 to March 2020, and again from May 2022 to the present.
BLOCK's price dipped to the Must-Buy Zone recently but quickly reclaimed higher levels, suggesting a potential upswing. Additionally, a clear bullish divergence on the RSI (3-day chart) indicates a possible new momentum phase.
Potential Scenarios:
Retest and Reclaim : On the 12-hour chart, a retest of the high-volume nodes and Points of Control (POC) on the daily and 3-day charts might occur. If BLOCK retests these levels successfully, it could signify a sustained upward movement.
Dip and Buy Opportunity : Should the price fall below these POCs, another dip into the Must-Buy Zone could present an excellent long-term buying opportunity, especially if the RSI indicates oversold conditions aligning with these price points.
Given the bullish divergence on the RSI and historical support levels, there is a strong case for a potential upward movement. However, the risk of a further dip remains, making it crucial to monitor these levels closely for a strategic entry point.
Zoom (ZM): Zoom Bottoming Out? Major Accumulation Signs!A stock we previously considered "dead" and seemingly on its last legs is Zoom. Despite its current low standing, it warrants another look.
Zoom is currently trading around its lowest level ever, approximately $58 to $59. This is a stark contrast to its all-time high of $588, marking a significant sell-off following the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. Stocks like Zoom are challenging to evaluate due to the massive fluctuations in value.
Historically, Zoom has tested and held the $250 level seven times, but now, for the first time, it’s been in a prolonged sideways movement. This could indicate an accumulation phase, often seen when stocks are at their lowest, suggesting that Zoom might be finding a bottom.
Moreover, there's a trendline within this accumulation phase that has been touched three times, reinforcing the possibility that Zoom is stabilizing. This trendline might act as a support level, potentially leading to a period of growth or at least stability.
Zooming in further, we notice that during this accumulation phase, there are four notable touchpoints on the trendline. While two points dip slightly lower, this is not overly concerning given the overall price action. The trading volume within this phase is visible and consistent, with price movements often oscillating around the Point of Control (POC) at $67. Prices fluctuate above and below this level but tend to return to the POC, indicating strong trading interest at this price point.
Currently, Zoom has the potential to rise towards $72, which corresponds to the High Volume Node Edge. This movement could involve a retest of both the trendline and the POC. A successful retest and subsequent breakout from these levels could provide the necessary momentum to break out of the accumulation phase, potentially opening the door for significant upward movement.
In summary, while Zoom has faced a dramatic decline, the current price movement and trendline support could indicate a phase of accumulation, suggesting that it might not be entirely out of the game yet. While this scenario is intriguing, it is also fraught with risk. Therefore, we are opting to remain on the sidelines for now, monitoring the situation closely.
NIFTY 300+ Points Gain Target 3 ReachedSo, far this has been my safest strategy to trade Nifty:
Apply the indicator 'Risological Astra'
Set Nifty to 15 min time frame
BUY CE side if the price closed above the Astra dotted line.
I buy the monthly contract ONLY, with this strategy.
Sell 50% when the price reaches TP4.
Hold remaining 50% till the price crosses under the Astra dotted line.
This trade gave me 315+ points (unrealized PnL)
Ofcourse I will be selling 50% at TP4 and hold the remaining till the price crosses under the astra line.
I wish you all, good luck and happy trading.