BTCUSD Curve Breakout & MMC Structure | Targeting $111KIn this idea, we apply Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method of analyzing symmetrical price behavior to forecast key market moves. This BTC/USD 15-minute chart showcases a beautiful execution of MMC principles, blending curved structure analysis, SR interchange, and trendline dynamics to capture a compelling bullish opportunity.
🧩 Chart Structure Analysis (Detailed Breakdown):
🔸 1. Curve Line Formation & Mirror Market Concepts (MMC):
The centerpiece of this analysis is the curved market structure, which resembles a cup-like formation. Using MMC, the market is seen as reacting in mirrored patterns — left side = right side. In this context, the curve mimics the balance of supply and demand over time, providing a visual roadmap of potential price behavior.
Curve Line Resistance: The upper black arc served as dynamic resistance.
Curve Line Support: The lower arc acted as dynamic support.
Once price broke above the curved resistance, it confirmed a bullish market structure shift, triggering a key breakout signal.
🔸 2. Breakout & Retest Pattern:
Following the curve line resistance breakout, price pulled back for a retest, validating the structure. This is a high-probability continuation setup where:
The breakout confirms bullish interest.
The retest confirms that former resistance is now support.
This retest occurred exactly near the intersection of:
Curve Line Support
SR Interchange Zone (gray shaded area)
Trendline Support
This confluence adds strength to the bullish outlook.
🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip):
The horizontal SR Interchange area is a key pivot zone, where price previously faced resistance. After the breakout, price came back to this level and found strong buying interest, flipping it into support.
This acts as a reaccumulation zone.
Price rejected from this zone with a clean bullish impulse.
🔸 4. Trendline Support Validation:
After the retest, price formed a new ascending trendline, respected multiple times by price. This ascending trendline acts as a guide for trailing stop placements or re-entry zones. Price remained above this trendline, reinforcing bullish structure integrity.
🔸 5. Central Zone & Liquidity Sweep:
The Central Zone marked a midpoint in the curve, which:
Acts as a balance point between the mirrored halves.
Is often used as a liquidity grab area before direction continuation.
Price dipped into this zone, likely collecting stop orders or liquidity before reversing higher — a classic MMC behavior.
🔸 6. 50% Retracement Level:
A horizontal marker near the 50% retracement level serves as a psychological and technical barrier. As of the last candle:
Price is hovering around this midpoint.
A breakout above this level would trigger further bullish movement toward the target zone.
Traders often look for volume expansion at this point to confirm conviction.
🔸 7. Target Zone (Projected via Curve Symmetry & Range Extension):
The target zone is marked near $111,600, based on:
Mirror projection of the curve's depth (height symmetry).
Range extension from the curve’s breakout.
Potential measured move based on pre- and post-breakout range.
This level represents a logical exit or partial TP zone for long positions.
📈 Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Zone: After breakout and retest around the SR Interchange/Curve Support/Trendline Confluence.
Support Confirmation: Trendline holding and bullish structure above central zone.
Mid-Target: 50% retracement breakout ($110,400).
Main Target: $111,600+ target zone based on curve projection.
Invalidation: Clear break below trendline and loss of SR flip zone.
🔍 Educational Takeaways:
Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are highly effective in anticipating symmetrical price behavior.
Confluence of curved breakout, SR flip, and trendline validation provides high confidence in trade setups.
Market symmetry helps define logical targets, entries, and risk zones.
Always look for a pullback to structure — the best trades often come after the breakout and confirmation.
🚨 Risk Management Reminder:
As always, proper risk management is crucial. Wait for confirmation before entering, and use stop-losses below structural levels (such as the trendline or SR Interchange zone) to limit downside risk.
Tradingstrategy
The key is whether it can find support near 0.846 and rise
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(FETUSDT 1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is abnormal, so the key is whether it can hold the price.
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term.
Accordingly, we should check whether it can be supported and rise around 0.846.
If it fails to rise, the support range is expected to be around 0.424-0.534.
-
When the rise begins,
1st: 1.194
2nd: 1.556
Responses are required depending on whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd above.
The 1.194 point corresponds to the support and resistance range in the candle arrangement.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Volatility Period: Up to May 29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
-
If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
-
The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
See if it can find support near 2521.05 and go up
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The two charts above are charts that use the HA-MS indicator to mark support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The chart below is just a chart with the HA-MS indicator hidden.
If you look closely at the drawn support and resistance points, you can see that the points drawn with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are important support and resistance points.
The HA-Low indicator is marked in orange (#ff9800), and the HA-High indicator is marked in blue (#0000ff).
It is impossible to explain all the thoughts of a chart analyst in writing.
That is why it is necessary to provide objective information to the readers.
Then, it will be very helpful for you to look at the chart.
If you think that my idea has too many indicators, you can disable the indicators by clicking "Grab this chart" in the idea article.
If you look at the chart with the indicators disabled, you may think that something looks better, but since you don't know why these support and resistance points were drawn, you may not be able to properly utilize the support and resistance points drawn on the chart when actually trading.
Even the support and resistance points you drew yourself often become unreliable due to the movement of the chart over time, and you will be even less reliable when it comes to support and resistance points drawn by others.
In order to reduce this phenomenon, objective information is necessary.
For that objective information, I use the HA-MS indicator.
For the trend perspective, there is the M-Signal indicator, and for the trading perspective, there are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
To understand the detailed movement, we use the DOM(60), DOM(-60), StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20 indicators.
Therefore, you can basically interpret the chart by activating only the HA-Low, HA-High, and M-Signal indicators.
-
Therefore, if we interpret the chart, if it rises from the current price position, the resistance zone is around 3265.0-3321.30, and if it falls, the support zone is around 1647.06-1861.57.
You can see that the HA-High indicator is newly created at the current price position, and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is passing, so we can see that it is at an important turning point.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can be maintained above 2609.74 or whether it will fall below 2359.35.
However, since the HA-High indicator is newly created, it is more likely to fall.
Since the OBV indicator showed that the OBV fell below the High Line, we need to check whether it can touch the OBV EMA again and rise above the High Line.
If the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, we need to focus on finding a time to buy, and if it rises above 50, we need to focus on finding a time to sell.
Since the OBV is currently on an upward trend, if this trend continues, the price is expected to eventually rise.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 3.211
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(TIAUSDT 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, and if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, when the HA-Low indicator is first created, the probability of rising is higher than the probability of falling, and when the HA-High indicator is first created, the probability of falling is higher than the probability of rising.
If the HA-Low indicator rises and then meets the previously formed HA-Low indicator again, the probability of falling is higher.
On the contrary, the HA-High indicator has a higher probability of rising.
You should check the movement of the chart with these characteristics in mind.
However, you should comprehensively judge the correlation between the OBV indicator and the StochRSI indicator.
-
From a trend perspective, since the M-Signal of the current 1D chart is < M-Signal of the 1W chart, you can see that it is in a reverse arrangement.
Therefore, when trading in a reverse arrangement, it is recommended to trade for a short period of time using day trading.
Therefore, if it shows a price that rises above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and maintains the price, it is highly likely that a trend will be formed that can be traded.
In other words, when looking at the current price position, it can be seen that it can be traded for a short period of time or longer only when it rises above 3.211 and shows support.
-
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 2.490 point, the price must be maintained above this point.
If not, there is a possibility of an additional stepwise downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
If the average purchase price is significantly higher than the current price, you should not buy too much and increase your investment ratio.
In this case, it is better to trade with a relaxed mind and faithfully follow the basic trading strategy.
However, it is better to trade by increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit realization method and increasing the number of coins (tokens).
In other words, trade by purchase price.
If you bought 100 USDT at the current price of 2.840, you should sell 100 USDT when the price rises and shows resistance at 3.211.
In this case, only the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit will remain.
At this time, you should be careful about the transaction fee.
Since you have to sell the purchase amount including the transaction fee, the actual selling amount when you place an order is not 100 USDT.
The transaction fee rate varies depending on the exchange.
For example, if the trading fee is 0.1%, you can trade 100USDT - (100USDT x 0.2%) = 99.8USDT.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can find support at 24.59 and rise
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(AVAXUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to see whether the price can be maintained by rising above 27.47.
-
(1W chart)
The important support and resistance range is the 38.93-51.54 range.
Therefore, even if the price is maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, the uptrend can begin only if it rises above the 38.93-51.54 range.
If it falls, we need to see whether it can be supported near the volume profile range of 6.54-13.47.
-
(1D chart)
When it breaks upward around 28.67, it is expected that a breakout trade will be possible.
However, since an important support and resistance section is formed over the 38.93-51.54 section, a response is needed depending on whether there is support in this section.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 24.59.
If not, it is necessary to check whether it is supported around 17.54-19.79.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy when supported by the HA-Low indicator and sell when it meets the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
On the other hand, if it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, since it is currently located near the HA-High indicator, it can be seen that trading is possible depending on whether there is support.
However, since the probability of falling is higher than the probability of rising in the HA-High indicator, you should be careful about the investment ratio.
Otherwise, you may end up buying at the high point.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Breakout Trading Zone: 0.26850
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(DOGEUSDT 1D chart)
It is expected that a breakout trade will be possible when the B zone breaks upward.
Conditions for a breakout trade:
1. OBV must show an upward trend. If possible, it is good to see an upward breakout of the High Line.
2. It should show that the StochRSI indicator maintains the K > D status. If possible, it is good if K does not enter the overbought zone.
If it rises above 0.24651, you should check if the OBV and StochRSI indicators meet the breakout trading conditions.
If it fails to rise, you should check if it is supported around 0.21409-0.22958.
If the price maintains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is likely to continue the upward trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Target: Right Fibonacci Ratio 2.24 (116940.43)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" me, you will always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It was supported near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and rose to renew the new high (ATH).
If this upward trend continues, it is expected to rise near the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
-
If it falls,
1st: 102302.08
2nd: 97226.92
3rd: 89294.25
You need to check which of the 1st and 3rd areas above is supported.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near the 1st area, if it falls below this, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is still rising around 94K, but since the 97226.92 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart, I think it is likely to continue the upward trend if it receives support around this area.
The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, so if it receives support around this area, it is a good time to buy.
-
(30M chart)
If the price continues to rise by renewing the ATH, it is difficult to set support and resistance points.
Therefore, you need to be careful when trading coins (tokens) that are renewing the ATH.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade in a short-term trading (day trading) method, but to leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit for the profit realization method.
In other words, when the price rises and then falls by the purchase price, the method is to sell only the purchase amount (+ transaction fee) to leave the coin (token) corresponding to the profit.
When selling, you should not sell the number of coins (tokens), but you should sell only the purchase amount.
You do not necessarily have to sell all of the purchase amount, but if possible, it is better to sell close to the purchase amount.
The reason is that when the price plummets or turns downward, there is a possibility of psychological pressure.
In my chart, the trading strategy is when the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are touched.
If it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy, and when it meets the HA-High indicator, it is the time to sell.
However, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a stepwise upward trend will continue, so a split selling strategy is necessary.
On the other hand, if it falls after receiving resistance from the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, so a split buying strategy is needed.
-
When you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, if you check the movement of the OBV indicator, it can help you create a trading strategy.
That is, when the OBV indicator breaks upwards through the Low Line, High Line, and OBV EMA, the price is likely to rise, and if the opposite happens, the price is likely to fall.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
FILUSDT — the formation is repeating, the structure is familiar.Filecoin(FIL) - is a decentralized storage system with the goal of "storing humanity's most important information." During its initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017, the project raised $205 million. The launch was initially planned for mid-2019, but the mainnet launch date was postponed until block 148,888, which occurred on October 15, 2020.
📍 CoinMarketCap : #50
📍 Twitter(X) : 667.3K
🔍 What I observe:
I’ve added the full trading history to the chart for better understanding (the chart on exchanges is cut off). The coin is liquid. I also added the prices for the public and private offerings.
There’s a large horizontal channel, or more specifically, a channel within a channel, which has been active for about 1111 days.
After another drop, a descending wedge formed, and now we are witnessing a breakout of its resistance (a retest is possible).
These patterns are ones I regularly track and trade, based on personal experience accumulated over the years and my strategy.
📊 I’ve plotted the nearest resistances and target prices with movement percentage calculations.
💭 It’s quite possible that this formation in the lower part of the wedge, coinciding with the area of lows on the support of the outer channel, was used to gather liquidity and shake out weak hands.
I also want to point out the large wicks in this zone - a characteristic pattern for accumulation points and subsequent reversals.
______
📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases.
Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.
Check if the price can hold above 2627.18
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has risen above.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can find support near 2677.18 and rise.
If OBV rises above the A line, the price is expected to rise significantly once more.
Then, it is expected to rise to around 3265.0-3321.30.
-
If it falls without being supported near 2627.18, it is necessary to check whether it is supported near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (2295.84).
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1D charts is passing near that point, it is expected to play an important role.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone, it will eventually show a downward trend.
It is not known how much this decline will occur, but since the StochRSI 50 indicator is currently formed near 2359.35, it is important to check whether there is support near that area.
Therefore, in order to proceed with a new transaction, I think it is better to check the support point when the StochRSI indicator shows a downward and then upward trend in the overbought zone.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Check support near 104984.57
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
OBV indicator is showing signs of rising above High Line.
Therefore, the candle body color has changed to dark green (#00332a).
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near StochRSI 80 (104984.57) and rise above 10613.74.
If it falls,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 102302.08
You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
If it is supported near 104984.57, it is likely to rise, but since the volatility period continues until May 20 (up to May 28), it is recommended to check whether it is supported.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether the price can be maintained above 102302.08 even after the volatility period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The point to watch is whether it can rise above 106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
In order to distinguish which time frame chart the line was drawn on, it is divided into 3 types of lines.
You can create a trading strategy by responding to the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the chart depending on whether there is support or not.
-
The left is an example of when the support and resistance points were first created, and the right is an example of what it looked like after that.
To draw support and resistance points, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
By checking how the candles are arranged, you can draw support and resistance points or sections like the example chart.
To draw support and resistance points or sections on a time frame chart like this, you need to check the arrangement of candles while minimizing the chart as much as possible.
-
Indicators are used to draw this work using more objective information.
That is, lines are drawn at the DOM(60), DOM(-60), HA-High, and HA-Low indicator points.
In this way, you will be able to reduce your subjective thoughts as much as possible.
Reducing your subjective thoughts will ensure the reliability of the drawn support and resistance points or sections.
-
Going back and drawing support and resistance points or sections with the arrangement of candles means that there must have been movement of candles in the past.
Therefore, if the candle moves to a point where there is no trace of the past, you can no longer draw support and resistance points or sections.
In terms of compensating for this shortcoming, it may be more useful to use indicators to display support and resistance points or sections.
-
The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators.
If the DOM indicator is 60 or higher, it means that all indicators have risen above their highest value.
If the DOM indicator is -60 or lower, it means that all indicators have fallen below their lowest value.
The fact that the DOM(60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the high point range.
The fact that the DOM(-60) indicator was created means that it is likely to enter the low point range.
Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to correspond to the resistance point, and the DOM(-60) indicator is likely to correspond to the support point.
Since the DOM indicator is displayed on the Close value, it has the disadvantage of being difficult to respond immediately when the actual DOM indicator is created.
However, once it is created, it will faithfully perform the role of support and resistance.
-
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created to determine the trading point from the Heikin-Ashi candle.
Accordingly, the plotted point corresponds to the average value.
Therefore, the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points have the disadvantage of being expressed differently from the candle's value.
As you can see from the formulas of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the RSI value is included in the conditions of the formula.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that the price rose from the low point range.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the support point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that the price fell from the high point range.
Therefore, the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance point.
Therefore, we basically have a trading strategy of buying when the HA-Low indicator is created and selling when the HA-High indicator is created.
-
It is not clear whether the actual support and resistance points or sections are supported or resisted.
However, as time passes, we can see whether it is supported or resisted.
To help determine whether it is supported or resisted, we use the StochRSI indicator and OBV indicator as auxiliary indicators.
-----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing an upward trend above the DOM (60) indicator displayed at the current candle position.
And, if StochRSI rises above 80 and maintains the price, the possibility of an upward trend will increase.
If the auxiliary indicator StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and OBV rises above the High Line, the upward trend will be guaranteed.
The previous DOM (60) indicator is formed near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can rise above that.
If it rises and maintains the price, it is expected to renew the ATH.
If not, and it falls below the HA-High indicator or the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
This volatility period is expected to continue until May 20.
However, volatility may also occur around May 23 (May 22-24) and around May 27 (May 26-28), so you should be careful of volatility until May 28.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it shows up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Why Traders Chase — and Always LoseHard truth:
You don’t miss opportunities. You chase noise.
Let’s break down the real reason you keep “missing moves”:
1. FOMO is not urgency — it’s confusion.
When you enter because “everyone’s talking about it,” you’re not trading a setup. You’re reacting to social proof.
2. Volatility ≠ opportunity.
Big moves look attractive, but if they’re not in your plan — they’re distractions, not trades.
3. The market rewards patience, not activity.
Every click, every chart, every refresh feeds your dopamine — not your edge.
🚫 Solution?
Stop scanning. Start filtering.
Use tools that prioritize structure over noise. That’s why we built TrendGo — to give clarity in chaos and help you avoid traps masked as opportunity.
📌 Don’t chase. Build your edge.
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Important section: 101947.24-106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It has touched the Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) and is rising.
The key is whether it can receive support near the StochRSI 50 indicator (102971.99) and rise.
If not, it can fall to the 94915.18-97226.92 area.
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, it is important whether the price can be maintained above that point.
If the StochRSI indicator falls below the overbought range and then rises while moving sideways around the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85), it is expected to renew the ATH.
Even if it falls more than expected, if it rises along the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely to renew the ATH.
----------------------------------------------------------
I will explain the newly added indicators, StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20.
The disadvantage of interpreting the StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is that it cannot determine the price movement.
Because of this, when interpreting the StochRSI indicator so far,
- Whether it is in the overbought or oversold zone,
- Whether StochRSI is above or below the 50 point,
we interpreted it as above.
Therefore, we added the price movement to the StochRSI indicator to check the movement more accurately.
-
The StochRSI 50 indicator is literally created when the StochRSI indicator passes the 50 point.
Therefore, we need to think about a response plan based on the price StochRSI 50 indicator.
-
The fact that StochRSI 80 is created means that the StochRSI indicator has risen above 80.
Therefore, in order to continue the upward trend, StochRSI must rise above 80.
If StochRSI 80 is not created and only StochRSI 20 is created, the upward trend will occur when the price is maintained above the StochRSI 50 indicator.
-
The fact that StochRSI 20 was created means that the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 20.
Therefore, in order to continue the downtrend, it must fall below StochRSI 20.
If StochRSI 20 is not created and only StochRSI 80 is created, the downtrend will occur when the price is maintained below the StochRSI 50 indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTCUSD Smart Money Play: Order Block Trap Before the Dump?🚨 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is flashing a textbook Smart Money setup — are you positioned before the move unfolds?
This chart reveals a juicy opportunity for traders who understand how to follow Smart Money footprints. Let’s break it down:
📊 Chart Context (30m Timeframe):
BTCUSD recently tapped into a significant Order Block (highlighted in purple) — this is where Smart Money typically loads up.
Notice how price showed a fake push into the premium zone, but failed to break higher — signaling potential distribution.
📉 Bearish Reaction + Fib Confluence:
Price kissed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, then sharply rejected — classic sign of mitigation before continuation.
The red zone (above 103,700) served as a perfect liquidity trap, where late buyers got baited.
📍 Order Block Zone (OB):
Price is stalling just beneath the OB at 103,577, showing signs of rejection.
Smart Money often uses this pattern to “tap and trap” — tapping into resting orders before driving price down.
🧠 What’s Really Happening?
Retail longs are trapped inside the red box, expecting a breakout.
Meanwhile, Smart Money is distributing into that demand before driving price toward the discount zone (marked in green).
🎯 Target Objectives:
Immediate target: 103,200 (50% Fib level)
Extended target: 102,616 — which aligns with the liquidity void below.
⚡ Risk-Reward Setup:
Entry near 103,577 with SL above 103,749
Targeting 102,616 gives an excellent R:R profile
You don’t chase Smart Money — you follow their traps, and react with precision.
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for clear rejection or bearish engulfing on lower timeframes at OB
Manage risk wisely — even clean setups can be invalidated.
Don’t guess. React. Let the market show you intent.
💡 Final Take:
This BTCUSD setup is textbook Smart Money Concept in motion:
Order Block ➡️ Trap ➡️ Liquidity Grab ➡️ Expansion
Whether you short this retracement or wait for confirmation, this is a move you’ll want on your radar. Weekly close could reveal major direction.
✅ Comment “OB READY” if you’re watching this setup!
✅ Save this post for future reference. Smart Money always leaves clues.
The Yen’s Comeback Starts Here—and it Seems the COT Knew First1. Introduction: A Market Everyone Gave Up On
For a while, the Japanese Yen looked like a lost cause. After topping out in early 2021, Yen futures (6J1!) began an unrelenting slide, shedding value week after week like an old coat in spring. Traders stopped asking, “Where’s support?” and started asking, “How low can it go?”
The macro backdrop didn’t help. The Bank of Japan clung to ultra-loose monetary policy, even as the Fed hiked aggressively. Speculators piled on shorts. The Yen was a one-way ticket down, and no one seemed interested in punching the brakes.
But beneath that apathy, a quieter shift was underway. While price kept bleeding, trader positioning began to hint at something different—something the chart didn’t show yet. And if you were watching the Commitments of Traders (COT) report closely enough, you might’ve seen it.
2. The COT Trend That No One Was Watching
The COT report isn’t glamorous. It’s slow, lagging by a few days, and rarely makes headlines. But for those who track what the big players are doing—those large enough to be required to report their positions—it’s a treasure trove of subtle clues.
One of those clues is Total Reportable Positions. This metric tells us how active large market participants really are—regardless of whether they’re long or short. When that number is dropping, it suggests the “big dogs” are losing interest. When it starts climbing again? Someone’s gearing up to play.
From 2021 through most of 2024, Total Reportable Positions in 6J were in a steady decline—mirroring the slow death of the Yen's bullish case. But in late 2024, something changed. Using a simple linear regression channel on this COT data, a clear breakout emerged. Positioning was picking up again—for the first time in nearly three years.
And it wasn’t just a bounce. It was a structural shift.
3. Did Price Listen?
Yes—and no. Price didn't immediately explode higher. But the structure began to change. The market stopped making new lows. Weekly closes began to cluster above support. And importantly, a Zig Zag analysis started marking a pattern of higher lows—the first signs of accumulation.
Here’s where the chart really gets interesting: the timing of the COT breakout coincided almost perfectly with a key UFO support at 0.0065425—a price level that also marked the bottom in COT Traders Total Reportable Longs. This adds a powerful layer of confirmation: institutional orders weren’t just showing up in the data—they were leaving footprints on the chart.
And above? There’s a UFO resistance level at 0.0075395. If the Yen continues to climb, that could be a significant price level where early longs may choose to lighten up.
4. The Contract Behind the Story
Before we go deeper, let’s talk about what you’re actually trading when you pull the trigger on Yen Futures.
The CME Japanese Yen futures (6J) contract represents 12.5 million Japanese Yen, and each tick move—just 0.0000005 per JPY—is worth $6.25. It’s precise, it’s liquid, and for traders who like to build macro positions or take advantage of carry flows, it’s a staple.
As of May 2025, margin requirements hover around ~$3,800 (Always double-check with your broker or clearing firm—these numbers shift from time to time.)
But maybe you’re not managing seven-figure accounts. Maybe you just want to test this setup with more flexibility. That’s where the Micro JPY/USD Futures (MJY) come in.
Contract size: 1/10th the size of 6J
Tick move: 0.000001 per JPY increment = $1.25
Same market structure, tighter margin requirement around ~$380 per contract
Important note: The COT report aggregates positioning across the whole futures market—it doesn’t separate out micro traders from full-size. So yes, the data still applies. And yes, it still matters.
5. Lessons from the Shift
This isn’t about hindsight bias. The value in this setup isn’t that the Yen happened to bounce—it’s how Total Reportable Positions broke trend before price did.
Here are the real takeaways:
COT data may or may not be predictive—but it is insightful. When positioning starts expanding after a long contraction, it often signals renewed interest or risk-taking. That’s tradable information.
Technical support and resistance as well as highs and lows give context. Without them, COT breakouts can feel theoretical. With them, you have real, observable UFO levels where institutions may act—and where you can plan.
6. Watchlist Insights: Where This Might Work Again
You don’t have to wait for another yen setup to apply this framework. The same structure can help you scout for early positioning shifts across the CME product universe.
Here’s a simple filter to start building your own COT watchlist:
✅ Look for markets where:
Price has been in a long, clean downtrend (or uptrend)
Total Reportable Positions are falling—but starting to reverse
A breakout occurs in positioning trend (draw a regression channel and watch for a clean violation)
A key support or resistance lines up with recent extremes in COT positioning
Whether it's crude oil, corn, or euro FX, this template gives you a framework for exploration.
🎯 Want to See More Setups Like This?
We’re just getting started. If this breakdown opened your eyes to new ways of using COT reports, UFO levels, and multi-dimensional trade setups, keep watching this space.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Two Shots at NQ: Because One's Never EnoughAlright, here’s the game plan – because let’s be honest, the market loves nothing more than pretending to break out, then snapping back just to mess with us.
🔥 The Setup:
I’m eyeing the Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (June 2025), and I’m giving myself two shots at this breakout. Yeah, I know – ambitious. But the market’s been playing hard to get lately, so I’m hedging my enthusiasm.
💡 Why Two Long Entries?
Because, let’s face it, the first entry will probably get stopped out. I like to think of it as a “testing the waters” trade. If it works, great – I’m a genius. If not, well, it was just practice.
First Entry (The Optimist):
I’m jumping in if it breaks out, keeping the stop tight – because nothing says confidence like a cautious stop loss.
Second Entry (The Realist):
If the first entry faceplants, I’ll wait for the market to freak out and then calm down. Then, I’ll slide back in when it looks like it’s actually serious this time.
🧠 Managing the Chaos:
Short-Term Target: The last high – because if it doesn’t clear that, what’s the point?
Long-Term Target: The equal move – assuming the market doesn’t chicken out halfway.
Stop-Loss: Snug and sensible, because I’d rather not watch my account do a disappearing act.
Take profit targets are set where the equal move would complete – assuming the market cooperates for once.
💭 The Thought Process:
I’m not here to pretend I can predict the future – if I could, I’d be on a yacht, not posting on TradingView. But this setup gives me two chances to be right, which is at least one more than usual.
🔥 Your Thoughts?
If you’re also giving your trades a second (or third) chance, drop a comment. Or just let me know how your latest breakout fake-out went – because misery loves company. 😅
NOTUSDT – broken faith and potential for a reversalNotcoin(NOT) - is a Web3 gaming project launched on January 1 within the TON ecosystem. Technically, Notcoin is an application inside the Telegram messenger. The project attracted users' attention through an announced token airdrop. The developers invited users to mine tokens simply by tapping on their smartphone screens. Within a few months, the game's audience exceeded 35 million people.
📍CoinMarketCap: #170
📍Twitter(X): 2.4M
________________
The NOT token dropped by -94.5% following its listing and a wave of hype. Such a decline is typically accompanied by a loss of faith in its growth and potential.
🔍 What I observe:
The price is moving within a descending channel.
A reversal pattern, the "inverse head and shoulders," is forming in the current zone, with a potential upside of around ~75%.
The key point is a breakout above the outer resistance of the channel.
The token has high liquidity.
NOT is traded on all major exchanges, including the top-tier ones.
It has excellent access to marketing and PR, which is important for pump scenarios.
💭 All key levels, possible scenarios, and targets are marked on the chart. Take them into account when building your own strategy.
________
📌 Not financial advice. Personal view and experience.
Breakout trading possible range: 0.4140-0.4424
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ENAUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can break through the 0.4140-0.4424 range and rise.
It is expected that breakout trading will be possible if the 0.4140-0.4424 range breaks through.
However, it is judged that it is possible to lead to additional rise only if it rises above 0.5082 at once and maintains the price.
Therefore, if breakout trading was not possible, trading is possible if support is confirmed near 0.4140-0.4424.
-
If it rises above 0.5082 and is supported, there is a possibility that it will rise significantly as there is no special resistance zone.
In other words, it seems possible that it will break through 0.7907 and 1.0382.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if it can break through 0.03779-0.04757 at once
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(VETUSDT 1W chart)
Support zone: 0.00440-0.101741
Resistance zone: 0.03779-0.04757
If it breaks through the resistance zone upward and maintains the price, it is expected that a step-by-step uptrend will begin.
Therefore, it is important to check whether there is support around 0.03779-0.04757.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by receiving support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and rising to around 0.03779.
If it fails to rise, you should check for support near 0.02778.
If it falls below the 0.01741-0.2135 range, you should stop trading and watch the situation.
Therefore, the 0.01741-0.2135 range is an important support range from a short-term perspective.
-
The 0.03779, 0.04757, and 0.06603 points are important points as HA-High indicator points on the 1W, 1M, and 1D charts.
It is expected that a breakout trade will be possible when it breaks through the 0.03779 point, but since an important point is located before it rises much, the point to watch is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 0.04757 at once.
Therefore, when making a breakout trade, check if it rises above 0.04757, and if not, respond.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Support and resistance zone: 0.016987-0.017858
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1000SHIBUSDT.P 1W chart)
The key is whether the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart can rise above and maintain the price.
If the price rises above the important zone of 0.021175-0.026744 and maintains, the uptrend is likely to begin.
If it fails to rise, you should check for support near 0.008763.
-
(1D chart)
In order to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is important to see if it can rise to the vicinity of 0.016987-0.017858 and receive support.
Since the volume profile section is formed at the point of 0.021175, it is important to see if it can receive support in this section.
If it fails to rise, it is necessary to check for support in the vicinity of 0.012618-0.013489.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section, it is expected that the rise will be limited even if it continues to rise further.
Therefore, it is recommended to first check for support in the vicinity of 0.016987-0.017858.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Support and Resistance Zone: 2273.58-2359.35
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1M chart)
In order to turn upward on the 1M chart, the price must rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.382 (2674.80) ~ 0.382 (2723.46) and maintain it.
Before that, the key is whether it can rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
To do so, we need to check whether the price is maintained by rising near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (2295.84).
In order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart when the price is maintained by rising near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (2295.84).
Therefore, it is expected that a breakout trade will be possible when the right Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (2295.84) is broken upward.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, the increase may be limited.
-
(1D chart)
It showed a big rise as it broke through the A section, that is, the 1861.57 point.
In any case, since it is currently below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, we can see that there is still time to buy.
Therefore, as I mentioned earlier, we should focus on finding a buying point when the price rises above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and maintains the price, or when it rises to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.382 (2674.80) ~ 0.382 (2723.46) and maintains the price.
ETH is in a typical reverse arrangement (M-Signal of the 1M chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart).
Therefore, we should focus on finding a buying point while watching the situation with a relaxed mind.
If it continues to rise like this,
1st: 2273.58-2359.35
2nd: 2627.18
3rd: 2921.73
We need to check if it can rise with support near the 1st-3rd above.
If not, if it falls, we need to check if it can support near 1861.57.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902(101875.70) ~ 2(106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------