Gold Weekly Update 12-16 Feb 24The market appears to be moving sideways from 2021 to 2030, with minimal fluctuations expected in the next one or two days. However, a breach below the 2020 level on Monday could lead to a downward trend, potentially reaching 2010-2005, marked as Target 01. If the downtrend persists, further decline to 1990-1980 is anticipated, labeled as Target 02. Conversely, breaking above 2036 may propel the market upwards, with a potential target of 2055. Stay tuned for updates and follow for more information.
Tradingstrategy
Are we in LAZY FEBRUARY traders? Q. "I heard that there is a phenomena called “Lazy February”. Could you explain why it’s called that and what I should watch out for as a trader?”
A. I have not heard that term in eons! Here’s my 10 cents on how Lazy February got this name.
Short month effect
February is the shortest month of the year.
And because so much happens in February, many investors like to play it safe and observe.
Most investors tend to wait for March when the markets have chosen a direction, earnings are out, taxes are paid and they are ready to invest again.
Year-end position squaring
Traders often close out their positions at the end of the year right through to January.
And this is for accounting, performance evaluation and tax purposes.
This process is known as "position squaring”.
But the big influencer is tax.
Closing off the tax year
In many countries, February is a time when individuals and corporations start preparing for tax filings.
And this can influence investment decisions which can lead to either selling their positions or adjusting their portfolios for tax efficiency.
After February and going into March, we should see a higher volume of buying and investing in the markets.
Earnings season
February is also known for major earnings releases – Especially in the U.S.
Investors during this period prefer to watch and observe. This way they’ll be able to see the forecasts versus the actual results.
Once the numbers are released, that’s where they’ll have more of an idea of what they want to invest in and what to buy or sell in March and the coming year.
Q. WILL A 125BPS CUT IN INTEREST RATES DRIVE UP GOLD?
A. Remember when it comes to interest rate cuts it means the following:
Stimulates economic growth
This makes borrowing cheaper as interest rates are lower.
And it encourages more spending and investments by individuals and businesses.
Boosts buying from consumers
Also, with low interest rates it entices people to buy more.
And this is because the cost of loans drops.
This leads to them buying more homes, cars, and other goods.
There are other elements, but you get the idea.
Now, lets consider why lower interest rates could mean the gold price will rally
Reason #1: Lower interest rates and a weaker US dollar helps the gold price
When interest rates drop, the yield on bonds and savings accounts typically declines.
And a weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for people with other currencies.
It's like gold goes on a global sale, and everyone wants a piece!
So, this will drive up its demand and the price.
Reason #2: Investors get out of low yielding markets and into gold
Remember that when interest rates are high, investors move to high yielding markets.
They like to keep their money in the banks, bonds, money market or any other high interest savings accounts.
But when interest rates drop, investors don’t make much of their money from these assets.
And so, they will look to invest in markets like gold, which will drive the price up.
Reason #3: The golden safe-haven will prevail!
With interest rate cuts, it normally signals signs of economic uncertainty or weakness.
And during these times, investors will often seek out safe-haven assets.
Gold is a classic example of a safe haven that investors will look to buy.
And this golden attraction will help push the price up.
XVS: Expecting Further Sideways Movement and Long Position AccumI anticipate XVS to continue trading within its current sideways range, as the price is currently near the lower boundary of this range. Therefore, I've taken a long position with the strategy of trading from the range boundaries. Over the course of several days, market makers are likely to accumulate positions within this range. This accumulation may lead to an upward move towards the upper boundary of the range, or at the very least, towards the midpoint.
ETH: Anticipating Multiple ScenariosFor Ethereum (ETH), there are currently several scenarios in play. The first involves breaking out of the current range, followed by a retest, and a potential move towards the 2352 level. The second scenario envisions a correction to a key trading area, followed by a push towards the 2352 level. Let's take a closer look at these possibilities.
Important section : 42141.24-43823.59Hello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new candle has been created.
The 42283.58 point is an important point and forms the volume profile section.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42283.58 and rise above 43823.59.
If that happens, the next resistance area is expected to be the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886-1.0.
If it falls below 42283.58, it is expected to maintain an upward trend only if it receives support around 37253.81.
(1W chart)
What is important to look at in the 1W chart is whether the price can be maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
The HA-High indicator is currently at 42141.24.
Accordingly, it can be seen that the section 42141.24-42283.58 corresponds to an important point.
As the price moves, trend lines are created, and you can see that it is moving within the rising channel of the rising trend lines (2)-(3).
Channeling doesn't actually have any special meaning, so it's best not to worry about it too much.
I think it just applies to the display method in chart analysis.
By combining this rising channel with the points mentioned above, we can calculate a period of volatility to some extent.
In that sense, the period of volatility on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of March 11th.
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the psychological resistance zone of 43160.043823.59.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the downward trend line (1) and (1-1) can be broken upward.
An upward trend line (2) is formed near the important point of 42141.24-42283.58, so it is important not to fall below this trend line.
If it falls below 41732.35, you need to check whether it can rise with support in the 39845.44-42053.66 range.
In any case, what is important is which direction it deviates from the 42141.24-43823.59 range, which is the range located during the period of unusual volatility (until February 8).
Even if it rises beyond the psychological range, there is a possibility of resistance in the 44200.0-47600.0 range, but if it rises this time, it is expected that it will succeed in breaking upward.
The reason is that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market.
If altcoins rise along with the price of BTC, it means that they have risen above a critical point.
In that case, if BTC dominance shows a decline, altcoins are expected to continue their upward trend.
On the other hand, if BTC dominance shows an upward trend, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
Therefore, if you buy wrongly when an altcoin is rising, you may suffer, so it is better to buy before it rises or wait until BTC dominance shows a decline.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
💹 KUJI Trading Strategy 🌐📊 Current Market Status:
KUJI at $2.70 - $3.00 area of support.
📈 Chart Analysis:
Identified support zone.
🔄 Longing Strategy:
30% Allocation: Spot long position with 30% of intended funds in the $2.70 - $3.00 support area.
30% at Breakout: Allocate another 30% once the price breaks through the resistance line.
Remaining 40% on Retest: Deploy the remaining 40% on a retest of the break of the resistance line.
⚖️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Around $2.47.
Take Profit 1: $4.00 - $4.20.
Take Profit 2: $5.00 - $5.20.
📣 Market Caution:
Note the current volatility, especially as BTC undergoes correction after a massive run.
Trade wisely! 📈💡 #KUJI #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket 🌐📊
⚖️💹 NAKA Trading Strategy 🌐📊📊 Current Market Status:
NAKA trading in the $1.15 - $1.30 area of major support.
📈 Chart Analysis:
Major support zone identified.
🔄 Longing Strategy:
30% Allocation: Long position with 30% of trade funds in the $1.15 - $1.30 support area.
30% at Breakout: Allocate another 30% after the price breaks the descending resistance line from early December.
Remaining 40% on Retest: Deploy the remaining 40% on a positive retest of the resistance line.
⚖️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Set at $1.12.
Take Profit Areas: $1.59 and $2.
📣 Conclusion:
Strategic longing plan with gradual fund allocation based on key chart patterns.
Risk management in place with specified stop loss and take profit levels.
Trade wisely! 📈💡 #NAKA #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket 🌐📊
⚙️💹 BONK Trading Strategy 🌐📊📊 Current Market Status:
BONK consolidating in a support area at around $0.00001.
📈 Chart Analysis:
Tight range between current support and descending resistance line from mid-December.
🔄 Accumulation Strategy:
30% Allocation: Accumulate a long position in the support area.
30% at Breakout: Deploy another 30% at the break of the resistance line.
40% at Retest: Deploy the remaining 40% at a retest of the breakout.
⚖️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Set at around $0.0000088.
Take Profit: Targeted at the next area of resistance, around $0.0000168.
📣 Conclusion:
Trading strategy involves strategic accumulation and deployment based on chart patterns.
Risk management in place with specified stop loss and take profit levels.
Trade wisely! 📈💡
#BONK #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket 🌐📊
WOO: Preparing for Long Entry at Key 1H LevelThe WOO token is currently at a pivotal juncture, showing signs of a potential correction as it approaches a significant level on the 1-hour (1H) chart. This level has elicited a notable reaction, indicating its importance in the market's dynamics. My approach is to closely monitor for a solid entry point, which will be based on the price behavior at this level, along with the general market structure, especially in leading cryptocurrencies. If these factors align positively, I'm considering taking a long position. It's a critical time for traders to watch WOO, as the setup suggests a promising opportunity for a long trade.
EXPLAINED: Odd Lot Offer EasilyWHAT IS AN ODD LOT OFFER?
An odd-lot offer is a financial transaction.
It is where a company offers to buy back small quantities of its shares from shareholders who hold fewer shares than the typical trading unit.
Usually it’s under 100 shares.
In the context of stock markets, an “odd lot” refers to a number of shares that is less than the standard trading lot.
Here are the key points about an odd-lot offer:
Target Audience:
Aimed at shareholders who own fewer shares than the standard trading unit (commonly 100 shares).
Purpose:
Typically initiated by a company to reduce the number of small shareholders and simplify its shareholder structure.
Offer Terms:
The company specifies an offer price at which it is willing to buy back the odd lots of shares. This price may be at a premium to the current market price.
Voluntary Participation:
Shareholders are not obligated to participate; it’s a voluntary decision on their part.
Cost Reduction:
Companies may implement odd-lot offers to reduce administrative costs associated with managing a large number of small shareholders.
Shareholder Choice:
Odd-lot shareholders can decide whether to sell their shares to the company at the offered price or to retain their shares.
Tax Implications:
Companies may structure odd-lot offers in a way that has specific tax implications for shareholders. It’s common for the offer to be treated as a return of capital rather than a dividend.
Approval Process:
In many cases, such offers require approval from the company’s shareholders, often obtained at a general meeting.
Let’s use an example with City Lodge in 2023.
1. What’s Going On:
As of October 16, 2023, there were a bunch of small-scale shareholders in City Lodge, each holding fewer than 100 shares.
These investrs are referred to as “Odd-lot Holders,” which make up 58.22% of all City Lodge shareholders.
However, when you look at the total shares they own, it’s just a tiny 0.06% of the market.
Now, managing these tiny portions costs a lot, creating a headache for everyone.
2. The solution
To solve this issue, at City Lodge’s board of directors are suggesting an Odd-lot Offer.
This means they want to buy back the small amounts of shares from these Odd-lot Holders, making life simpler for everyone involved.
3. So what do these Odd-lot holders get?
If you’re one of these Odd-lot Holders, you get a chance to cash at a price that’s 5% more than the average value of City Lodge shares over the past 30 days.
It’s like a special deal, and you won’t have to pay any fees to make the transaction.
4. How it works
To make this happen, City Lodge needs approval from its shareholders.
They discussed it at the Annual General Meeting on November 23, 2023.
If the plan gets a green light, Odd-lot Holders can decide to sell their shares at the offered price or keep them.
5. The tax story
They considered the Odd-lot Offer isn’t a dividend but more like a return of capital.
This decision has some tax implications, so they suggest you chat with your tax expert for the details.
City Lodge wants to simplify its shareholder list, and if you’re an Odd-lot Holder, you have a choice to make – take the deal or keep riding the City Lodge wave.
Does that help and did it help you?
Examples of how to draw and use trend linesHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(1W chart)
Usually, the way to draw a trend line is to connect the high point and the high point where the trend changes, or to connect the low point and the low point to display the trend line.
Then, a channel is formed to express movement within that channel.
It is a relatively simple analysis tool that anyone with a good understanding of charts can draw trend lines.
However, I think whether you can use it in actual trading depends on how much you trust the trend line.
However, due to the nature of the trend line, it is expressed as a diagonal line, so it has a fundamental problem that it is not easy to respond even if it deviates from the trend line.
So, in order to trade with information obtained from chart analysis, you must draw support and resistance points close to the horizontal line.
Therefore, in chart analysis, you must have a basic understanding of the candle arrangement.
In my chart, the StochRSI indicator is
1. Use the waves of the StochRSI indicator to check support and resistance at support and resistance points.
2. Used to draw trend lines.
When drawing a trend line with the StochRSI indicator, the oversold section is below 20, the overbought section is above 80, and the trend line is drawn by connecting the points where the vertices are created.
However, the trend line drawn between high points is drawn based on the opening price of the falling candle.
Therefore, draw a trend line by selecting the peak of the StochRSI indicator or the opening price of the nearest bearish candle.
You can draw a trend line by connecting the low points of candles corresponding to the vertices of the trend line, which is drawn by connecting the low points.
For detailed instructions, please refer to the trend line displayed on the chart.
Among the trend lines drawn on the chart, I think that the trend line drawn almost horizontally is actually important.
Otherwise, I think it is a trend line drawn for chart analysis because it is difficult to use diagonal trend lines for trading.
In order to utilize a trend line expressed as a diagonal line, support and resistance points must be displayed together to be considered a trend line that can be used for trading.
When using various chart tools that are used by specifying a selection point, how the selection point is specified is very important.
Therefore, if the criteria are not clear when specifying the selection point, what is drawn using various chart tools cannot be trusted.
To solve this problem to some extent, we used the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line.
(1D chart)
If you look at the trend lines drawn on the 1D chart, you can see that the two trend lines at the current price position are drawn close to the horizon.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained by breaking above the trend line of 1.
If this is not the case and it falls below trend line 2, it can be seen that there is a high possibility that it will lead to a further decline.
In that sense, the key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator, that is, above 43K.
If it falls, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator, so it is important to check for support near the HA-Low indicator when it is generated.
When drawing a trend line using the StochRSI indicator, vertices formed outside of oversold or overbought areas are excluded.
The reason is that the upward or downward intensity is weak.
This is to prevent confusion because if the rising or falling strength is weak, it is likely to be a fake or whipsaw.
It is important to draw in a way that has a solid basis so that you can trust the tools you draw on the chart.
StochRSI settings : 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT : Breaking away from the downtrend by increasing the gapHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
It appears that the gap decline that started on January 19th has stopped and a larger gap rise has occurred.
Due to this gap increase, the reported price (ATH) was renewed again.
-------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
It is still on the rise.
The key is whether USDC can continue its gap upward trend above 26.525B.
I believe that the gap between USDT and USDC shows the inflow and outflow of funds into the coin market.
Therefore, the gap rise can be interpreted as funds flowing into the coin market.
Since the movements of USDT or USDC through transactions are expressed as candles, I think the occurrence of gaps should be distinguished.
---------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
You need to check in which direction it deviates from the 51.17-51.98 section.
----------------------------------------
(USDT.D chart)
(1D chart)
USDT dominance is entering a period of volatility from January 22-27.
Accordingly, after the volatility period has passed, you need to check which direction it deviates based on the 5.89-6.39 range.
When a gap rises in USDT, a gap rise in USDT dominance also occurs.
Accordingly, USDT or USDT dominance is likely to show an upward trend.
However, USDT dominance can be seen decreasing through trading.
A decline in USDT dominance means that buying power has increased through many transactions in the USDT market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
Even though USDT is renewing its new high (ATH), USDT dominance overall is showing a downward trend.
In order for this downward trend to turn into an upward trend, it is expected that it will have to rise above 7.14.
The most important question is whether the coin market becomes more active and more transactions occur, leading to a continued downward trend in USDT dominance.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
39845.44 The importance of branchesHello traders!
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Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The trend shifted from USDT to an upward gap faster than expected.
Accordingly, I think the coin market has gained the strength to rise again.
However, it is necessary to check whether the HA-Low indicator can be newly created and rise while moving sideways in the current section.
In order for the HA-Low indicator to be created, the price must be maintained below 39845.44 to cause the HA RSI indicator to enter the oversold zone.
If that is not the case and it rises, I think there is a high possibility that it will meet resistance by touching the MS-Signal indicator.
Currently, the MS-Signal indicator is located around 42141.24.
The key is whether the HA-Low indicator can be generated and rise before the next volatility period around January 30th.
If BTC rises above the 42141.24-43823.59 range, altcoins are expected to rise in unison.
This is because I believe that the 42141.24-43823.59 range corresponds to the psychological resistance range.
However, for altcoins to continue their upward trend, BTC dominance must fall below 50.
If this is not the case and BTC dominance rises, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
The BW indicator is recording a strong downward trend.
Additionally, the StochRSI indicator is also located in the oversold zone.
Therefore, if you wait, you will see that the StochRSI indicator is trying to break out of the oversold zone.
At that time, you can proceed with the installment purchase.
However, as mentioned above, there is a possibility that resistance will be encountered when touching the MS-Signal indicator, so that is the first selling period.
It is time to buy when the BW indicator shows an upward trend and rises above the MS-Signal indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Comprehensive analysis : short-term decline in fundsHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
The most recent decline was on August 8, 2023.
Before that, a precursor to a downward trend occurred starting on June 18th.
Currently, the gap has begun to decline since January 19th and has fallen below the HA-High indicator.
If the gap decreases due to this movement and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it is expected to record a downward trend for a while.
(1M charts)
However, this decline is likely to be a short-term adjustment of about a month, such as in August 2023.
In order to record the downward trend that started in May 2022, large gap declines must occur in succession, so we still need to monitor the situation.
Therefore, I don't think there is any need to have much fear just yet.
---------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
While USDT has begun to gap down, USDC continues to gap up.
If the gap continues to rise above 26.525B, it is expected that USDC will likely continue its upward trend.
I believe that this gap increase is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, it is expected that a new market will begin to change hands.
This is because USDC is viewed as a leading funding channel for American investment institutions and investors.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
(1W chart)
The main question from this week will be whether there is support or resistance near the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart was created at 42141.24.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above the 42141.24-43823.59 range, you can be considered to be at the starting line of the major upward trend.
Therefore, it corresponds to a major bull market, that is, a buying period for a full-fledged uptrend.
It is the movement of altcoins that allows us to piecemeal know whether these movements are correct.
All you have to do is check whether the altcoins show signs of rising in unison when they rise above the 42141.24-43823.59 range.
(BTC.D chart)
As mentioned in the USDT explanation above, this decline is expected to last about a month in the short term, so we need to check whether the BTC dominance rises by more than 61% or falls below 50%.
In order for a major bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise by more than 61% and then begin to decline.
This is because it is expected that an altcoin bull market will begin when BTC dominance falls below 50%.
Therefore, if the BTC price maintains the price above the 42141.24-43823.59 range and the BTC dominance rises by more than 61% and then begins to fall, the coin market is expected to begin a major bull market.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) are likely to renew their all-time highs (ATH).
An altcoin bull market refers to a bull market in which you can make a profit no matter which altcoin you buy.
--------------------------------------
It is said that price and volume are important when trading in the stock market, and in fact they are important.
However, trading volume in the coin market has less meaning than in the stock market.
This is because trading volume is spread across multiple exchanges.
Therefore, I believe that transaction volume in the coin market should be judged by the flow of funds.
Therefore, I believe that the gap between USDT and USDC has important implications.
Changes in USDT or USDC due to transactions are expressed as candles.
Therefore, the inflow and outflow of funds is expressed as the occurrence of a gap.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Traders Don’t Fail – They QuitIt’s been a very tough year for swing traders.
Go long the market drops. Go short the market rallies.
Don’t do anything and you save from the burn.
But in the bigger scheme of things, it looks like we are in an accumulation phase.
The accumulation phase is a period in which smart money (informed and experienced traders or institutional investors) is believed to be accumulating a particular asset while it is still relatively undervalued.
This phase occurs before a notable uptrend or bullish move in the market.
Key characteristics of the accumulation phase include:
Sideways Movement:
Prices move within a trading range, often forming a base or a consolidation pattern.
The range represents a period of equilibrium between buying and selling forces.
You can see the JSE ALSI has been in a tight range this entire year.
Decreasing Volume:
Volume tends to decline during the accumulation phase, indicating a decrease in overall market activity.
Lower volume signals that the asset is not attracting significant attention from the broader market.
There have not been huge orders on the JSE ALSI like other years. It could be because there are LESS investors buying shares and more going into derivatives and margin trading.
Or because they are worried about the state of the economy with load shedding, foreign direct investments pulling out, the country being rated down or people fleeing the country.
Smart Money Accumulation:
Informed traders or institutional investors quietly accumulate the asset during this phase.
Their accumulation is not typically evident in the overall market activity due to the relatively low volume.
Now with December, we could see investors piling into trades from their bonuses, offsetting taxes, preparing for the next year or with optimism with the festive season.
Transition to Markup Phase:
After a sufficient accumulation, there is an expectation that the asset’s price will break out of the trading range.
This breakout marks the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the markup phase, characterized by a sustained uptrend.
So, my hopes and bets are UP.
I think once we break out above the range, we could see the JSE ALSI rally a good 10 -20%.
But geez, we need strong catalysts to kick in.
Even if it’s international markets helping us run up with Dual LIsted companies or America’s leading influence.
What are your thoughts? You think we’ll get our long waited for rally?
Traders and investors who stay in the game will reap the rewards.
Patience is a trader's virtue.
Impatience is the reason why traders quit. They don’t FAIL – THEY QUIT.
Next volatility period: around January 30thHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 42141.24 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42141.24 and rise above 43823.59.
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support around 41350.0 and rise above 42141.24.
If not, and it falls below 39845.44,
1st: 37253.81-38531.90
2nd: 32917.17-34110.32
You need to check if you receive support near the first and second levels above.
The M-Signal indicator and important trend line on the 1W chart are passing near the first section, so it is important to receive support in this section.
It fell below the psychological resistance range of 43160.0-43823.59, falling below the MS-Signal indicator.
And, the MS-Signal indicator has switched to a downward sign.
Accordingly, it has transitioned into a short-term downward trend, but if it receives support around 41350.0 and rises, it is expected that there will be a rebound to convert to an upward trend.
In order for the rebound to turn into an upward trend, the price must be maintained by rising above the MS-Signal indicator.
If it is not supported by the HA-High indicator and falls, there is a high possibility that it will basically touch the HA-Low indicator.
Currently, the RSI indicator has fallen below 50, so if the price falls further, there is a high possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created.
It appears that the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is about to be created at the 42141.24 point, which is a higher point than near the first section where it was expected to be created.
Accordingly, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is also expected to be generated at a higher price than expected.
If the HA-Low indicator appears to be about to be newly created, an important issue is whether support can be obtained in the vicinity.
The next period of volatility is around January 30th.
(4h chart)
However, it is necessary to check which section receives support or resistance after the time indicated on the chart.
The point that forms an important point from a mid- to long-term perspective is the 42283.58 point.
Therefore, the 42283.58 point corresponds to an important volume profile section.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Forex Fundamentals: Building Winning StrategiesForex trading success hinges on a well-defined strategy, as it sets a clear direction and methodology, whether it be scalping, day trading, or another approach. Key to this is understanding the market conditions under which your strategy thrives, as different strategies perform variably across market environments. Employing technical indicators is crucial in providing insights and aiding in decision-making, but they must align with your overall strategy for coherence and effectiveness.
The core of any trading strategy lies in its entry and exit criteria. These criteria ensure disciplined and non-impulsive trading decisions, allowing for entry and exit from the market at the most opportune times. Equally vital is stringent risk management, which protects your capital by defining the risk per trade and setting maximum drawdown limits. In tandem with this, appropriate position sizing mitigates the risk of substantial losses and maintains the health of your trading account.
Backtesting the strategy against historical data is indispensable for understanding its potential effectiveness and challenges. This, followed by forward testing in real-time conditions, often in a demo environment, allows for fine-tuning and adaptation to current market dynamics. Constant adjustments and optimization of your strategy are necessary as financial markets are ever-evolving, and a static strategy is often a recipe for failure.
However, the strategy itself is only part of the equation. The psychological aspect of trading – maintaining discipline and managing emotional responses – is equally critical. Regular performance evaluations and reviews provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness and areas that require improvement, fostering a cycle of continuous learning and adaptation.
In the realm of Forex trading, patience and consistency are not just virtues but necessities. The development, implementation, and refinement of a trading strategy is a meticulous and ongoing process. Success in trading emerges from a disciplined approach, a willingness to learn continuously, and an adaptability to evolving market conditions. It's a journey where each step, from understanding market conditions to psychological resilience, plays a pivotal role in shaping a trader's path to achievement.
Introduction to one of the basic trading methodsHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
Basic trading method
(How to purchase)
1. Aggressive buying when falling by more than -10%
2-1. Buy when there is an upward trend on the 1D chart (when the price is maintained above the MS-Signal indicator) and when the candle is a downward candle.
2-2. Buy when there is a downward trend on the 1D chart (when the price is maintained below the MS-Signal indicator) and when the candle breaks upward through important support and resistance points.
Therefore, buy when there is a rising candle.
(Selling method)
1. Split sale when it rises by more than +10%
2. Split selling when the high point cannot be renewed
-------------------------------------------------
The basic trading methods introduced above are methods that can be traded even if you are not familiar with chart analysis.
Among these, I will take the time to explain the trading method corresponding to 2-2 of the purchasing method.
You can know the trend based on the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Currently, it has fallen below the MS-Signal indicator, and the MS-Signal indicator has been converted to a downward indication.
Therefore, it should be interpreted that there is a high possibility that the current downward trend will continue.
Therefore, in the basic trading method, you should buy when the candle is below the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, when it is in a downtrend.
Therefore, you should buy after confirming that the price breaks above the support and resistance points.
Basically, you can trade using HA-High, HA-Low indicators and box sections.
If you purchased when it fell more than -10% on January 12, you can proceed with a second purchase if it rises above the HA-High indicator.
You can proceed with aggressive buying when the HA-High indicator breaks above the 43450.03 point.
In that case, you will have to sell it in installments when it appears to be rising and then falling.
If you don't like it, you should check for support at 43450.03.
In order to confirm support, it is necessary to check for at least 1-3 days after rising above 43450.03.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Charts believed to influence the coin marketHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(IXIC chart)
Among the charts that are considered to have an impact on the coin market, the most referenced chart is the NASDAQ index chart.
(NAS100USD chart)
However, since the coin market operates 24 hours a day, you usually see the NAS100USD chart, or futures chart, rather than the IXIC chart.
Since NAS100USD has just renewed its new high (ATH), it is not easy to predict its future movements.
(1M charts)
Accordingly, future movements should be predicted through the Fibonacci retracement ratio.
If you think it has an impact on the coin market, the NASDAQ index chart must maintain an upward trend in order to maintain the upward trend of the coin market anyway.
--------------------------------------------
(DXY chart)
Among the charts that are believed to have an impact on the coin market, there is also the DXY chart.
If DXY maintains an upward trend, it can be interpreted that the investment market is slowly slowing down and is likely to enter a recession.
Accordingly, if it rises above 105.873, it is highly likely that the investment market will enter a recession.
I think it should be maintained below 102.089 for the investment market to become active.
Therefore, if DXY rises, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to decline.
Conversely, if DXY falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
----------------------------------------------
(XAUUSD chart)
I think there are many people who see the XAUUSD chart as having an impact on the coin market.
If XAUUSD maintains an upward trend, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that the coin market will also maintain an upward trend.
Conversely, if XAUUSD shows a downward trend, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that the coin market will also show a downward trend.
(1M charts)
Since XAUUSD is also updating the new high (ATH), it is necessary to make predictions using the Fibonacci ratio.
------------------------------------------------
I don't think it's a good idea to predict the trend of BTC through the charts above, but it's better to check them only as a reference because they are likely to have an impact if many people refer to them.
In order to know BTC price changes, that is, trends in the coin market, you must ultimately understand the flow of funds.
This is because it is highly likely that the trend will ultimately be determined by whether funds are flowing into or out of the coin market.
Therefore, the charts that should be considered more important than the charts above (IXIC, NAS100USD, DXY, XAUUSD) are the USDT and USDC charts.
Stablecoins such as USDT and USDC will play the main role in moving funds.
Among them, USDT can be seen as having a great influence on the coin market because it has the largest number of trading pairs supported by exchanges around the world.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that if USDT continues to maintain its upward gap, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
When you trade in the coin market, a candle is created on the USDT or USDC chart.
I believe that when funds flow into or out of the coin market, a gap occurs.
It's a good idea to understand these points and look at the charts.
No matter what you refer to, the trend will ultimately be determined by whether you receive support or resistance at the support and resistance points on the chart of the item, coin, or token you are trading.
Therefore, before looking at the charts above, you must have marked support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts of the chart you wish to trade.
Since we are traders, not analysts, we only need to create a trading strategy and trade using the support and resistance obtained through chart analysis.
Anything more than that will only end up influencing your subjective thoughts and creating trading strategies in the wrong direction.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
5 Non Trading Activities to Success…While charts, trends, risk and reward are our daily companions.
Let’s not forget that life’s full of exciting opportunities beyond the trading desk.
We are human at the end of the day.
And you also need to consider extra elements that will help you propel towards success.
Let’s get into the 5 Non trading activities you need to act on.
Healthy Lifestyle: Trading, Eat, Rest, Gym, Repeat!
Who said trading is all about staring at screens and analyzing numbers?
It’s time to inject some energy into your life!
A healthy lifestyle isn’t just about balance sheets; it’s about balance in everything.
You need to take your vitamins, eat healthy, feel great, hit the gym, go for a run, or channel your inner yogi.
The adrenaline rush from trading pairs perfectly with the endorphin high from a good workout.
The healthier you are, the more sharp your mind will be.
And this will get you to think straight and control your emotions better.
Besides, you are what you eat and what you do.
Mindful Meditation: Zen and the Art of Trading
Mindful meditation isn’t just sitting and going OOOHHM….
It’s for all successful entrepreneurs that deal with daily stresses and risks.
Sometimes you just need to take a breather, clear your mind, and get your mind and thoughts in order.
Whether you meditate, do self-hypnosis or just do deep breathing exercises – this will help you to be a more calmer and clearer thinker as a trader.
When you find your inner peace in your mind, it will reflect on your trading and results.
Continuous Learning
Trading is an ever-evolving game, and the most successful players never stop learning.
I’ve read maybe 200 books on trading in my life and I don’t even think that’s nearly enough to learn everything about the markets.
It’s always crucial for you to dive into new strategies, explore market trends, and devour financial news like it’s the hottest gossip in town.
You need to find yourself in the trading journey. This is a self introspection adventure that is forever going.
Stay curious, stay hungry for knowledge, and watch your trading game reach new heights.
Strong Networking: Bulls, Bears, and Bros
Trading might be a solitary endeavor,.
But success is a team sport.
It’s important to build a network that’s as strong as your risk management skills.
Sign up to trading events, courses, books and programmes.
Connect with fellow traders, and remember, it’s not just about what you know; it’s about who you know.
Your next big opportunity might come from a conversation over coffee rather than a chart analysis session.
Time Management: Trade Like a Pro, Live Like a Boss
In the world of trading, time is money.
But beyond the trading hours, master the art of time management in your personal life.
Schedule downtime, enjoy hobbies, and spend quality time with loved ones.
A well-balanced life isn’t just about maximizing profits; it’s about maximizing joy.
Efficient time management is the key to becoming a trading rockstar without burning out.
So, trade smart, live well, and let success be your favorite trend!
FINAL WORDS:
I trust this has given some food for thought.
That trading isn’t just about technical work. It’s also about inner work.
Work on yourself and become the true trader you aspire to.
Let’s sum up the 5 Non Trading Activities to achieve better success.
Healthy Lifestyle: Trading, Eat, Rest, Gym, Repeat!
Mindful Meditation: Zen and the Art of Trading
Continuous Learning
Strong Networking: Bulls, Bears, and Bros
Time Management: Trade Like a Pro, Live Like a Boss
Why Markets Will Always Change – 9 ReasonsThe only thing constant about financial markets is that they change.
And since 2007 or so, with the higher availability of trading different instruments and markets world-wide.
And not to mention, the ability to go long (buy) and go short (sell).
Yes, these everyday possibilities were difficult to find and trade back then.
Now I’m speaking my age in the markets. But it’s important to know, the algorithms are changing the game every single year.
As long as you’re a trader you need to be able to learn, grow, adapt and evolve with every changing markets.
Let’s go into details about WHY the markets are changing…
New and Old Traders (Volume and liquidity)
Traders are the lifeblood of financial markets.
They come in all shades of experience, net worth, strategies and diversity.
Each new trader and investor, brings fresh perspectives, risk appetites, and systems.
And when they execute, it causes a ripple into the market ecosystem.
Similar to the ‘Butter-fly effect’ where one tiny flutter of the wing can cause weather disturbances which could result in a hurricane.
This blend of old and new creates a constant state of flux, volume, liquidity and adds their unique touch to the market canvas.
New Market Information (Local or international)
Information is the bedrock of trading decisions.
In today’s hyperconnected world, news, data releases, and geopolitical events can instantaneously ripple through markets.
Whether it’s an unexpected earnings report, a geopolitical crisis, FOMC or Central Banks decisions, or a technological breakthrough (like AI).
This new information triggers a financial market reaction.
New Micro, Macro, and Fundamentals (Unrelated to charts and price)
Microeconomic factors include things like: individual company performance.
Also think of corporate actions such as mergers and acquisitions. These will also reshape industry landscapes and impact stock prices.
Fundamentals include any internal news related or announcement event that is NOT related to price and volume action on a chart.
While macroeconomic indicators include: GDP growth with money tightening and injection controls.
While Central banks’ decisions on interest rates, inflation rates and monetary policies influence borrowing costs, investment decisions, and market valuations.
These also play a pivotal role in market dynamics.
As these factors evolve over time, they influence market sentiment (how investors feel on what to buy and sell)
And this obviously drives price movements.
World Economic Info (Major changes happening)
Globalization has interconnected economies in ways unimaginable just a few decades ago.
On the one hand we have 6 more countries joining BRICs. Which is showing the political war and dynamic change between the East and the West.
Economic trends in one part of the world can have far-reaching effects elsewhere.
Trade agreements, currency fluctuations and Forex wars, and shifts in supply chains impact various sectors and industries.
And this can also lead to a change in market price, volume and conditions.
Also, when one event kicks in there is a domino effect.
And this can trigger a cascade of events that reverberate across financial markets worldwide.
Sentiment (How the overall feeling is)
Psychological factors like fear, greed, and uncertainty can drive sudden market movements.
Market sentiment is often reflected in buying and selling volumes.
When investors and traders are feeling optimistic and positive – they buy and hold.
When they are feeling down and negative (about positions) – they sell and short.
High volume with buying or selling can indicate strong conviction – for other investors.
While low volume might signify uncertainty.
This ebb and flow of market participation led to constant changes in market trends and patterns.
Then there are other reasons that financial markets are constantly changing including:
Technological Advancements (At an accelerating rate)
As the world evolves and technology compounds at unprecedented levels, we will see innovations in:
Trading platforms
Algorithms
new instruments & markets
high-frequency trading
New AI related trading bots
Better chart pattern recognition plugins
Improved automatic trading developments.
And emerging technologies can change existing business models in a way they can make them obsolete to totally transform them.
These will all influence market behaviour of demand and supply with investors and traders.
Which will cause a shift and change in price and volume.
Regulatory Changes (Boring but inevitable)
Also, rules.
Rules, regs and legs are always updating and changing.
This will also alter trading practices, liquidity, price movement and market structure.
Political Uncertainty (Fun times ahead for the world)
The rate the world is separating and joining forces in all different ways, there is change coming to the financial markets.
With the EU having control over 27 countries economies.
With BRICs adding another 6 countries to theirs.
With other countries breaking away from the US dollar.
While other companies and countries are switching and adopting more to crypto and AI.
The very foundation of politics and control is changing under our very eyes.
And this will definitely have a major shift in economic directions as well as on the markets.
Natural Disasters and health disasters (Brace yourself and keep your masks)
From Global Warming, to less resources available to mind.
From catastrophic events, floods and droughts.
These can all disrupt supply chains, impact production, and affect the prices of commodities and goods.
And then financial markets and prices, will all be affected.
And what about pandemics?
If we have another COVID-19 type event, this will once again create rapid shifts in consumer behaviour.
And this will have a major impact and ripple throughout companies, industries, countries and essentially the world markets.
FINAL WORDS:
You can clearly see, why financial markets will always change.
And as markets continue to shift and adapt, the only constant is change itself.
So it’s our job to adapt or die.
Embrace it, learn from it, love it and enjoy the process along the way.
It means, this journey and income generating source will NEVER get boring.
It can ONLY get better (well we can be optimistic to think that).
Let’s sum up why the financial markets landscape will always change…
New and Old Traders (Volume and liquidity)
New Market Information (Local or international)
New Micro, Macro, and Fundamentals (Unrelated to charts and price)
World Economic Info (Major changes happening)
Sentiment (How the overall feeling is)
Technological Advancements (At an accelerating rate)
Regulatory Changes (Boring but inevitable)
Political Uncertainty (Fun times ahead for the world)
Natural Disasters and health disasters (Brace yourself and keep your masks)
The key is whether the four-year cycle pattern can be continuedHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
A new 1-year candle will now be created.
Accordingly, we will take the time to talk about next year's movements with the 12M chart.
--------------------------------------
We continually say that you cannot create a trading strategy based solely on the information gained from chart analysis.
Therefore, you must use the information obtained from chart analysis to suit your trading strategy.
Currently suitable coins for long-term investment are BTC and ETH.
The next coins that are seen as expanding the coin ecosystem are BNB,
Among these, the coins that must be traded by increasing the number of coins held for profit are BNB, XRP, ADA, TRX, KLAY, OP, and WEMIX coins.
The coins mentioned above are representative coins that form the coin ecosystem.
By checking the coins (tokens) included in this coin ecosystem, you can select additional coins in addition to BTC and ETH to continue investing in the mid- to long-term.
It does not matter if the number of items (coins, tokens) that increase the number of coins (tokens) held for profit is large, so you need to think about this.
Increasing the number of coins (tokens) held corresponding to profit means selling the coins (tokens) corresponding to the purchase amount and leaving the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit, so if you sell the amount equal to the purchase amount, the average purchase price is 0.
Trading in this way is possible because the coin market allows trading in decimals.
Therefore, if you trade in the coin market the same way you traded in the stock market, you may feel confused and need to rewrite your trading strategy for the coin market.
-----------------------------------------
#BTCUSD 12M
The key question is whether the four-year cycle pattern that started in 2014 can continue this time.
It displays the Fibonacci ratio formed in the upward trend that started in 2015.
The Fibonacci ratio formed in the upward trend that started in 2019 is displayed.
If the 3.618 point of the Fibonacci ratio in the uptrend that started in 2015 is applied to the Fibonacci ratio in the uptrend that started in 2019, the 3.618 point is the 178910.15 point.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can rise above 1.618 percentage points, or 89126.41 points, next year.
Since there is no guarantee that movement will continue according to the past pattern cycle, we must respond according to the situation.
Since it has currently touched the 44234.5 point, which is the 0.618 percentage point, if there is a price adjustment before it rises, it is necessary to check if it is supported around 38937.30, which is the 0.5 percentage point.
Next, we need to see if it can rise above the 2.618 percentage point, which is 134018.28.
End 2023 well, and have a happy new year in 2024.
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------