What is a REIT and how do they work?A. Let’s start with the basics:
REITs stands for 'Real Estate Investment Trusts'.
These are essentially property companies that are listed on the stock market which you'll find pretty much most of them on TradingView.
So how do they work?
Step 1: An individual decides to invest in a REIT company.
Step 2: The money is then collected into a large pool (like all trusts).
Step 3: The pooled money is then invested into the property that the company either owns, operates or finances.
Step 4: Over time the company starts to make revenue and profit.
Step 5: The profits are then accounted and collected.
Step 6: The profits are then distributed in parts to the initial investors who
helped finance the company through a REIT.
Sounds great in theory…
But in reality, there is always a catch…
And that catch is timing.
The Big five SA Reits have lost over R100bn in value since 2018.
The BIG five REITs are:
1. Growthpoint
2. Redefine
3. Resilient
4. Vukile and
5. Hyprop.
Of course, this could be seen as an opportunity but there are several other factors we need to consider before deciding the best time to trade this type of asset.
A trick will be to overlay the five companies on a chart. See how they move and operate in conjunction to each other.
And then we can decide which are buys or sells.
Apples with apples.
Tradingstrategy
Why It Pays to be a Patient Trader – 10 PointsPatience, passion and persistence.
The three Ps of what it takes to make it as a trader.
We like to say 5% is action and 95% is waiting.
And that’s why I’ve written a complete guide to being a patient trader.
Let’s start…
No Impulsive Decisions
Impulsive decisions are the bane of any trader.
The market is known to be volatile, jumpy, fickle and are prone to make sudden swings.
These swings can cause panic, fear and can lead to really poor trading choices.
If you have the patience to wait for your setup, the right market environment and for your trade to play out – you’ll stop the impulsive and emotional decisions.
Wait for the right and conducive market conditions
Many trading systems are designed to work optimally under certain market conditions.
For trend, momentum, and breakout traders – we need to let the market move and continue to move in the directions.
Patient traders will need to continue taking their trades, when the system lines up.
And only when the environment is right, will they make money.
That’s why you need to learn to risk little with the losses.
And when the winners kick in, they’ll make up for the dips and will help your portfolio flourish eventually.
Spot only the high and medium probability trades
Don’t be a rash trader.
When you jump with every opportunity you can.
There are low, medium and high probability setups.
Wait for only the high and medium probability trades.
Skip the low probability trades that align or risk very little (0.5%).
Only trade those that align with your system’s strength and exhibit strong, favourable signals.
This will help boost your win rate and drop the chances of loss.
Hold onto winners
To grow your portfolio, you need to let your winners run.
Let the great trades, run their course.
Many traders, especially beginners, often exit winning trades too soon due to fear of a reversal.
They also exit quickly as they don’t want to take the trade to turn into a loss.
And as a result, they bank a measly gain.
A patient trader understands that great profits are made when you ride the big trends.
This will require you to resist the urge to close a winning position prematurely.
Wait it out
A trader must sometimes wait:
Wait for a setup to come to fruition.
Wait for the trade to play out.
Wait for unfavourable trading periods to end.
Emotional stability
While you’re being patient.
Cut out the emotions.
That feeling of ants in your pants. Rather learn to maintain emotional stability, and avoid the emotional highs and lows.
Your trading should not feel like an emotional rollercoaster. Just do your job and treat it as a job.
Not as the lottery. Not as a gamble. Not as a be all and end all situation.
Don’t let anything cloud your judgement that can lead you to trading bad.
Master your trading strategy
Just because you have a trading strategy and gameplan.
Does not mean, you know how it works over the long haul.
A patient trader takes time to master their trading strategy.
Back, forward and real test the strategy carefully.
Trade them on different markets. See how they work taking into account the costs (brokerages, daily interest charges and even spreads).
Know how the game-plan works in all different situations and environments until you are consistent and have a proven and tested methodical execution.
Avoid overtrading
Patience helps traders avoid overtrading.
This is a common pitfall where too many positions are taken.
You have to stop revenge trading (to make up for losses).
You have to stop over trading (to try make more gains in a day).
Stick to high probability trades, a careful selection of markets and the best times to trade.
Learn from mistakes
The main time you’ll actually learn, adapt and grow as a trader – is through your mistakes.
When you make a mistake, do not sweep it under the rug.
Take the time to write them down, screenshot them and jot down a memo to yourself about these mistakes.
When you learn from them, it will prevent you from making them again and you’ll even be able to refine your strategy to avoid them.
Develop discipline into integration
Patience cultivates discipline.
That is trading well every single day or week.
Once you adapt into a routine and you have the discipline to act accordingly.
Then you will enter into a lifestyle integration.
You won’t think twice. You won’t need anything to motivate you to trade.
You will just trade well like you brush your teeth, sleep or eat everyday.
Once you have integration, there’ll be no need for motivation.
Summary
Patience in trading is a trader’s virtue.
It is an essential strategy for you, if you wish to attain long-term success in the financial markets.
Here are the key points we mentioned in this complete patience guide.
No Impulsive Decisions
Wait for the right and conducive market conditions
Spot only the high and medium probability trades
Hold onto winners
Wait it out
Emotional stability
Master your trading strategy
Avoid overtrading
Learn from mistakes
Develop discipline into integration
Become a Trading Machine – 11 Ways!If you want to trade well and consistently.
You have to be more mechanically orientated.
I’ll be literally quick and brief.
Saying “literally” was unnecessary and made it longer.
Sorry.
Here are the pointers:
1. Stay committed
2. Cultivate patience
3. Avoid herd mentality
4. Be long-term oriented
5. Stop crying over losers
6. Review your performance
7. Stop celebrating winners
8. Adapt to market conditions
9. Keep your emotions in check
10. Don’t think of quick success
11. Adapt and advance with technology
Are there any ways you take to be a trading machine?
Let me know!
PUT TO BED: Trading VS GamblingIt’s a big debate that runs the financial market.
Is trading gambling?
Well I’m going to try put it to bed in just a few sentences.
There are two types of gambling.
Gambling by chance and total randomness like slot machines, lotteries, Bingo, Wheel of Fortune and flipping coins.
And strategic gambling which allows you elements of control of coming out with a probabilistic chance of winning.
I believe trading is a form of strategic gambling.
Let’s talk about the similarities between certain strategic gambling games and see how we can learn from them with trading.
Game #1: Trading and Poker: Skill, Strategy, and a Bit of Luck
In poker, each player gets a unique hand of cards.
To win, players must devise a strategy based on their understanding of the game, their observation of their opponents, and their willingness to take risks.
Players can choose to play, bet or fold.
The same principles apply to trading.
Traders have their ‘hand’ in the form of markets to choose to trade.
To yield profit, they must understand market trends, observe competitors’ behaviours, and manage risks.
In poker, one needs to know when to fold and when to bet aggressively.
In trading we have stop losses to get us out of the trade.
We have take profits to bank our wins.
We have volume choices of how much to buy or sell.
And we have the choice to stay out completely.
Poker also teaches the importance of emotional control and patience, which are crucial in trading, where emotional decisions can lead to significant losses.
Game #2: Trading and Roulette: Understanding Probabilities
Roulette is largely a game of chance where players bet on numbers, colours, or sets of numbers.
You choose whether you want to bet on red, black, even, odd, specific numbers and so on…
Although the outcomes are random, players can use probability to guide their decisions.
In trading, while certain market movements can’t be predicted with absolute certainty, we rely heavily on technical, fundamental, statistical analysis and probabilities to make trading decisions.
Trading, much like roulette, is where you need to diversify your positions and bets.
But instead of placing chips on certain numbers, we place deposits (margins) in the hopes of a probable outcome.
Game #3: Trading and Blackjack: Playing Against the Market (House)
Blackjack involves strategic decisions, where players decide to ‘hit’ or ‘stand’ based on their current hand and the dealer’s visible card.
The main goal is to try and get the cards we’re dealt to hit 21, be close to 21 or be closer to 21 than our opponent’s hand.
Bet too high past 21 and you burn.
In trading, technical analysis serves a similar purpose by predicting future market movements based on past data.
Bet too high with trading and you stand to lose a lot more.
And if you can’t count with Black Jack, then you have a much bigger disadvantage to the game.
If you don’t have strong and stringent money management principles, then good luck trying to maintain, preserve and protect your portfolio.
Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing: Know your horse!
Horse racing involves choosing the right horse based on its:
Form
Characteristics
Conditions of the race
Weather on the day
and other factors.
This is like trading. You need to understand each market you trade.
It has its own personality, form, movements, and style.
You also need to know which market is conducive for your trading portfolio.
And you need to choose the right stock or asset to trade based on its performance history, current market conditions, and other factors.
In horse racing, experienced bettors also diversify their bets across multiple races and horses to spread risk.
With trading we diversify our portfolios over different accounts, markets, sectors, instruments and types.
Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting: Predictive Analysis and Risk
Sports betting also works similar to trading.
You need to know how to analyse a team’s or player’s form, weather conditions, home and away records, and more to predict an outcome.
Whether it’s football, rugby or cricket – you need to know your team players, strategy and likelihood of who is to win what game.
Traders also conduct similar analyses, studying companies’ financial health, market trends, and technical indicators to predict market movements.
And as always, there are both risks that need to be calculated and managed for high probability successful outcomes.
So next time when someone tells you trading is just gambling. You tell them, they are right but it’s strategic gambling rather than gambling by chance.
The Mind of an Ego Trader – 10 ActionsWe always hear of the two most dangerous states of trading.
Fear and greed.
But I think there is one more state, that really drives a trader to financial collapse.
EGO.
Ego is thinking you’re always right where you ignore risk and caution.
It’s the voice in your head that tells you to make risky choices because you believe you know better.
To overcome being an ego trader, we need to go inside the mind of one.
Let’s start…
Ego traders overtrade
One of the most common pitfalls of ego trading is overtrading.
This is the act of buying and selling markets way more than you should.
They believe that the more they trade, the more profits they will make.
Solution:
Adopt a well-defined trading strategy and stick to it. You need to know how and where to enter your trades with strict risk management.
Remember, quality should always be prioritized over quantity.
Ego traders like to revenge Trade
Ego traders refuse to be wrong.
They’ll take a trade in one direction, bank a loss.
And then immediately get in again, but in the opposite direction – to make up for losses.
Their goal is not to trade well but to recoup any losses ASAP.
This behaviour is often driven by the ego’s inability to accept a loss. And this will drive them crazy until they blow a big portion of their account.
Solution:
Acceptance is key.
Every trader is going to take losses.
You need to take the loss (see it as the cost of trading), and come back the next day.
Take a step back, analyse the situation objectively, and stick to your trading plan.
Ego traders ignore risk management
Egotistical traders think like this.
“I want to grow rich quickly and refuse to only bank 3% to 4% of my portfolio per trade”.
They instead risk 5%, 10% and sometimes go full port.
They have this invincibility complex, that the more money they risk the more likely they’ll build their account quickly.
But this is reckless and your portfolio won’t last long. This will often lead to disproportionate losses.
Solution:
I sound like a parrot by now.
Always adhere to your risk management rules.
Determine your risk tolerance, set risk-reward ratios for your trades, and never risk more than you’re willing to lose on a single trade. You know this!
Dismiss Market Analysis
Ego traders are emotional.
They mainly trust their feelings, their jiminy cricket voices and their instincts over solid and proven market analysis.
This will obviously lead to discretionary trading decisions, which will eventually lead them with no strategy, no discipline, no rules, and no portfolio.
Solution:
Become a trading machine.
Think like a robot and always base your decisions on thorough market analysis.
This includes both technical analysis (price trends, indicators, etc.) and fundamental analysis (economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors).
Ego traders blame everything
Ego traders often blame the market, their broker, their children, the media, or unexpected news for their losses.
You need to grow up and take on the mature approach. Every financial decision and action you make, is solely your responsibility.
Solution:
Take responsibility for your actions.
Understand that the market is unpredictable and losses are a part of trading.
Don’t trade if you’re feeling distracted,
Don’t trade if you’re feeling you’ll blame something or someone.
Learn from your mistakes and learn to humble yourself before the market does.
Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers
These are the guys that literally try to ‘predict’ bottoms or tops.
They go against the current trend, and instead guess that the price will turn from here.
They give you every reason why the market will turn.
They know privy info that no one else does (even though all info is in the public domain).
They know strategies and indicators that make these predictions (even though all indicators are based on past data).
They see and feel out of their asses about change in trends.
And when they’re wrong (which most times they are), they find every reason, news event and indicator to guess when the market will turn.
This usually results in entering at a bad price and subsequently facing a huge loss.
Solution:
Leave the tops and bottoms.
Seriously, ignore the first 10% of the bottom. Leave 10% of the top.
Claim the 80% market move when the trend has confirmed and is showing strong momentum.
Enjoy going with the trend not against it.
Ego traders over leverage
It confounds me that traders want more leverage.
They show off about 20 times, 50 times up to 500 times.
You know what that means right?
You can lose 20, 50 or 500 times the money you put in.
Leverage is a double-edged sword.
You desire the big wins and only think of the big wins.
When then you are wrong (and you will be), you end up losing a colossal amount.
Solution:
Use leverage responsibly.
Lower the leverage, the better you can manage your risk and reward management.
Ego traders disregard stop losses
Stop losses are designed to limit a trader’s loss on a position.
However, there are two types of ego traders.
The ones that trade naked (without a stop loss) and the trade goes heavily against them where they lose their hat.
Then there are the ones that put in their stop loss. But then they move their stop loss FURTHER away where they can risk more.
Once this happens, they marry into their trade.
And they’ll keep moving the stop loss away again and again and again and then BOOK.
Gone.
Solution:
First rule – Always set a stop loss.
Second rule – NEVER move your stop loss where you can risk more.
Super important.
Ego traders dismiss discipline
They have major commitment issues.
They choose their days and times.
They trade now and then when they feel like it.
And this dismisses the discipline of taking every trade, one needs to take to build a consistent portfolio.
Solution:
See trading as a business. See trading as a job.
See your trading strategy as your boss.
Work accordingly like your life and livelihood depends on it.
Discipline is key in trading.
Maintain your discipline and eventually it’ll turn into integration.
Then you’re sorted.
Ego traders fail to adapt
The market is constantly changing.
There are always new markets.
There are always new platforms.
There are always new brokers.
There are always new innovations and features.
And yet ego traders, stay put.
You need to learn to adapt to market changes.
You need to constantly update yourself as a trader, your strategy, your watchlist and stay with the times.
With discipline, a clear plan, and a bit of humility, traders can better navigate the markets and improve their chances of success.
Let’s sum up the Mind of an Ego trader so you know how to overcome it.
Ego traders overtrade
Ego traders like to revenge Trade
Ego traders ignore risk management
Dismiss Market Analysis
Ego traders blame everything
Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers
Ego traders over leverage
Ego traders disregard stop losses
Ego traders dismiss discipline
Ego traders fail to adapt
20 Trading Checklist in 2024In just two months, we are coming to the end of 2023.
If it's been a year of learning to trade and getting to grips with everything.
Then I have a 20 Trading Checklist for you to kickstart 2024.
Print it, save it and repeat this whenever you need a Jimney Cricket by your trading side.
You go this!
Love what you do
Trust the process
Never miss a trade
Don't fall for scams
Ask trading questions
Don't allow distractions
RE-evaluate your watchlist
YOU CAN ONLY GET BETTER
Celebrate taking each trade
Never extend your stop loss
Stop overthinking everything
Save 15 minutes a day to trade
Boost your trading knowledge
Screenshot every trading setup
Find the best time that suits you
Only follow your trading signals
Journal and jot down every trade
Follow your own trading time-line
Accept when market trends change
Deposit money to trade every month
Let me know if this helps.
T
Trading Commandments: The Decalogue for Success 📈🔟💼
In the world of trading, there are timeless principles that serve as guiding beacons for traders, both novice and seasoned. These commandments are the keys to unlocking success, managing risk, and navigating the financial markets. In this comprehensive guide, we unveil the "10 Trading Commandments," each accompanied by real-world examples to reinforce their importance. Join us on this journey to master the art of trading, enriched with practical insights and wisdom.
The 10 Trading Commandments
1. Thou Shalt Know Thy Risk Tolerance 📊
Understanding your risk tolerance is fundamental. Your trading decisions should always align with your comfort level for potential losses.
Risk-Averse Trader
2. Thou Shalt Have a Plan and Follow It 📝
A trading plan is your roadmap to success. It should encompass your goals, strategies, and risk management rules.
The Disciplined Trader
The Power of the Decalogue
3. Thou Shalt Diversify Thy Portfolio 🌐
4. Thou Shalt Continuously Educate Thyself 📚
5. Thou Shalt Embrace Risk Management 🛡
6. Thou Shalt Keep Emotions in Check 🧘
7. Thou Shalt Adapt to Changing Markets 🔄
8. Thou Shalt Not Chase Losses 🚫
9. Thou Shalt Master Patience 🕰
10. Thou Shalt Keep Records of Thy Trades 📖
The "10 Trading Commandments" are not mere guidelines; they are the foundation upon which successful traders build their careers. These principles, when consistently followed, enable traders to navigate the markets with confidence, wisdom, and resilience. Whether you're just starting your trading journey or are a seasoned pro, embracing these commandments can lead to a more prosperous and rewarding trading experience. 📈🔟💼
What do you want to learn in the next post?
When You Should NOT Trade! 11 Reasons to Take a Step BackYou have two choices each day you open your trading platform.
To trade or not to trade.
There are circumstances that will rise where you won’t trade for that day. Then there are times where you should NOT trade at all. And then there are situations where you need to avoid trading.
You know when to trade. Now here are a couple of 11 reasons to take a step back with trading.
After a bunch of knocks
After you take a couple of losses, it might feel natural to want to jump right back in.
You don’t want to lose.
You want to recoup your losses.
You want to ride the prominent trend.
You have to learn to resist this temptation. Whether you buy or sell, if the market is in a bad state or environment – you’re likely to lose your positions.
So take a step back and come back tomorrow.
The peril of revenge and impulse trading tendencies
I’ve told you many times.
Any occurrence where you are NOT following your proven strategy is deadly.
Revenge and impulse trading (to try and make up for any losses) is a dangerous path.
Not only for the day.
But it scars and sets a precedent for you to do it in the future.
In the medium term, it’s a surefire way to harm your portfolio.
Learn to recognize and control these tendencies.
Rather take a step back and come back, the next day, with a more rational and logical approach.
The absence of clear setups
If you don’t have any high probability trades that have lined up, forget trying to take a trade.
This is like sailing with a destination in mind without a compass.
Trades will come. The markets will always be there for you tomorrow.
So wait them out…
Emotional instability
Emotions when trading are a dangerous trait to have.
Anxiety, excitement, ego, fear, greed or distress can cloud your judgment.
If you’re emotionally unstable, you need to take a step back and learn to control your emotions.
Drop your risk, ‘till you no longer feel a loser or winner.
Continue backtesting until you regain your confidence.
Refrain from trading until you learn to balance your emotions.
Can’t afford it – forget it!
If the funds you’re using for trading are essential for your survival or well-being, this is a red flag.
You are going to be highly dependent and emotionally attached to your funds.
I say it over and over…
Do not trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
It creates an unhealthy pressure that can influence your trading decisions.
Don’t know it – Don’t trade it.
If you lack a solid understanding of markets, methods or money management – you’re not ready to trade.
You need to understand the above along with the market dynamics, the costs and process of instruments and how your trading and charting platform works.
Education is key here. Learn, learn, learn.
When you have less questions and more answers, then it might be a better time to take the trade.
Low probability setups
When the market is moving nowhere slowly.
Or the markets are moving wildly with high volatility – this might be a time to not trade.
The risk and uncertainty of the market is high.
And this will result in only low probability trade setups lining up.
If you really want to trade them, because you have nothing better to do – fine.
But at least risk LESS.
Risk between 0.5% to 1% of your portfolio instead of the full 2%.
When exhausted, ill or mentally unstable
Physical well-being also plays an important role.
Your mental state affects your trading performance.
If you’re not in the right mindset, consider taking a break.
Avoid trading if you’re not feeling well, exhausted, angry, or you’re feeling unstable.
Get your mind right, recover and see the markets with healthier and happier eyes.
That made sense to me :/
No clear setup
Sometimes, you might analyse the markets.
And you’ll see nothing.
Then, you’ll re-analyse and look EXTRA carefully.
You’ll look and look and look until, somehow a trade presents itself.
I’m telling you now, this is a dangerous time to take the trade.
A trade should stick out like a sore thumb (according to your strategy).
If it doesn’t, then you’re trying to see something that most likely is NOT There.
Trade based on sound, proven and strong analyses, not via imagination and hope.
During major economic announcements
This point is more related and significant to Forex traders.
If you see a high impact economic announcement, report, meeting etc…
It might be a good idea to take a step back, and skip trading for the day.
I’m talking about NFP, Unemployment, GDP, FOMC, Interest and Inflation rates etc…
Without a trading plan
A well-crafted trading plan is your roadmap.
It’s your game-plan to make a probability prediction on a potential outcome.
You need to eat, breath, shower and sleep with your trading strategy.
If you don’t have one, don’t trade until you develop a plan and are ready to stick to it.
Right so, now you now when to take a step back and NOT trade.
I’ll sum them up here for you…
After a bunch of knocks
The peril of revenge and impulse trading tendencies
The absence of clear setups
Emotional instability
Can’t afford it – forget it!
Don’t know it – Don’t trade it.
Low probability setups
When exhausted, ill or mentally unstable
No clear setup
During major economic announcements
Without a trading plan
The World is your Trading Oyster! Trade it!The world is your trading oyster
Any market with a ton of volume, is going to move in one of three ways.
Up, down or sideways.
Stocks, indices, Forex, commodities or crypto currencies,
They all move the same, they all act the same.
We need to remember to diversify different markets into our trading.
When some are in bad market envrionments, others will be in good trading conditions to help balance and hedge the portfolios...
Be open to the markets available and do your research to see which will comply and will be compatible with your strategies.
Navigating Market Turbulence: Unveiling the Bearish Flag Pattern
In the world of technical analysis, patterns often provide valuable insights into potential market movements. One such pattern, the bearish flag, is a vital tool for traders seeking to identify and capitalize on bearish trends. In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore the bearish flag pattern, uncovering its characteristics, formation, and implications. With real-world examples, you'll gain the knowledge to spot this pattern and make informed trading decisions in bearish market conditions.
Demystifying the Bearish Flag Pattern
What is a Bearish Flag Pattern? 🚩
The bearish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that occurs during a downtrend. It resembles a flag on a flagpole, hence its name. This pattern suggests a brief consolidation or pause in the downtrend before the price resumes its downward trajectory.
Key Characteristics of a Bearish Flag
1. Prior Downtrend: The bearish flag pattern forms after a notable downtrend, indicating bearish sentiment in the market.
2. Flagpole: The flagpole is the initial sharp decline in price that precedes the flag's formation. It represents the strong selling pressure.
3. Flag Formation: Following the flagpole, there is a period of consolidation where the price moves in a horizontal or slightly upward range. This forms the flag itself and indicates a temporary pause in the downtrend.
4. Volume: Ideally, the volume should decline during the flag formation, reflecting a decrease in trading activity.
5. Breakout: The bearish flag is confirmed when the price breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, resuming the downtrend.
Bearish Flag in a Stock
Bearish Flag in a Forex Pair
The bearish flag pattern is a valuable tool for traders seeking to navigate bearish market conditions. By understanding its characteristics and monitoring its formation, traders can identify potential opportunities to profit from the resumption of a downtrend. However, like all technical patterns, it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis to make well-informed trading decisions. The bearish flag pattern is a powerful addition to any trader's toolkit for analyzing and interpreting market dynamics. 📉🚩
Please, support my work with like and comment!
Love you, my dear followers!👩💻🌸
3 Dangerous States of a Trader“To err is human”
It comes from Alexander Pope’s poem, “An Essay on Criticism.”
This popular saying reminds us that making mistakes and feeling emotions are a common part of the human experience.
In the high-stakes arena of financial trading, most people run their trading through three main emotional states.
You might not be able to eradicate them completely but we can learn to keep them in check for superior trading performance.
Let’s go through these three powerful states.
State #1: Fear in Trading
Fear is the emotional state that:
Stops traders from actioning trades.
Letting losses run (as they refuse to take a loss)
Cutting winners too short (as they don’t want to lose their profits)
When fear dominates, traders may freeze, act too soon, act too late or not act at all.
How to Overcome Fear in Trading
A well-structured trading plan is a trader’s best defense against fear.
You need to think like the market.
You need to trade like the market.
You need to remove fear from your actions.
That’s why you need to limit your risks per trade, where the loss does not affect you emotionally.
You need to be strict with your trading plan, to avoid any discretionary and impulse trading decisions.
And it’s important to start thinking with a more mechanical and rational approach rather than fear-driven ones.
Practice mindfulness and stress management techniques can also keep your fear under control.
State #2: Greed in Trading
Greed drives traders to chase profits.
This often compels them to take on excessive risk for the chance at bigger returns.
They either increase their risk per trade, knowing that the reward will be bigger.
Or because they want more, they will hold onto positions for too long.
Having greed overtake the mind, will also result in overtrading and using up too much of their portfolios per position.
How to Keep Greed at Bay in Trading
Understand that trading is a long-term game.
Consistency with small gains will build up a portfolio.
Be content with 3% – 4% winners. Keep to this and greed will fall away and you’ll have a better chance of longevity when trading.
State #3: Ego in Trading
Ego is one state I never see anyone talk about.
All you hear is fear and greed and greed and fear.
But EGO.
Ego is probably the most stubborn enemy.
“Ego gets you inches but it doesn’t get you impact.” – Cameron Sinclair
It convinces traders that they’re right, even when the market says otherwise.
An inflated ego can lead to overconfidence, over trading, revenge trading and it can cause traders to disregard their strategy, risk and they’ll end up making irrational and dangerous trading decisions.
How to Check Ego in Trading
Even the most successful traders suffer losses.
So you need to humble yourself and adopt amore mindful approach to realistic trading.
Each small loss is a contribution and a trading cost to one step to success.
You’ll also learn more from your losses than your gains. Which will give you an opportunity to learn and improve.
So go back to your trading journal and review, monitor and analyse the true essence of what it takes to build your portfolio.
This will help keep your ego in check.
Conclusion
Fear, greed, and ego are integral parts of the human experience.
But there is NO need and use for it to succeed as a trader.
When you learn to recognise these states and, you’ll be able to manage them better.
And this will drastically improve your trading performance.
Remember, successful trading is less about conquering the market and more about mastering your emotions.
(Part 3) About periods of great volatility...Hello?
Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
I think we need to check further to see if it starts to come out at the previous candle size.
If it has been converted to the previous candle size, you need to check whether there is movement when the gap occurs.
When that happens, the period of profit realization and day trading is expected to end.
I think what we expect to see next is a period of great volatility.
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
A period of great volatility is expected to begin with an upward movement below the 21258.0-23174.39 range or above the 29241.72-30767.38 range.
Since this period of volatility is a time when trends appear, I believe that movement in one direction will shake the market.
1. Period of great volatility rising above 29241.72-30767.38
This move is expected to mark the last bull run of the year.
Accordingly, there is a possibility of shaking the market by saying that there will be a huge rise, so caution is needed when trading.
Currently, the maximum expected rise is around 45K.
At this time, the important thing is that the trend may change depending on whether it is supported or resisted around 38.5K.
2. Period of great volatility falling below 21258.0-23174.39
This move is expected to further freeze the market as the coin market is said to be over.
Currently, the maximum expected decline range is 16K-17K.
After a period of great volatility, a full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin.
This full-fledged upward trend can be said to be an upward trend for next year's BTC Halving.
Therefore, if a trend like number 1 above occurs, the increase in a full-fledged upward trend may be smaller than expected.
In any case, the final stage of a period of high volatility is expected to create a pull back pattern.
In cases like number 1 above, it is easy to recognize the pull back pattern, but in cases like number 2, it will not be easy to recognize.
Because, in a downtrend, it leads to a bigger downturn.
This is because this pattern is not actually a pull back pattern, but a move equivalent to a fake.
Therefore, a pattern will emerge that will cause individual traders to liquidate most of their holdings.
Therefore, we need a trading strategy to survive these patterns.
The trading strategy requires a trading method that increases the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while lowering the proportion of your holdings.
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
10 Black Swan Events that Shook the marketsBlack Swans are highly unpredictable events that go beyond what is usually expected of a situation.
One definition I like is this.
A Black Swan is where an event can cause the market to move 10 standard deviations away from the norm.
When this happens they could potentially have severe and wide-reaching consequences.
You’ll see the market will jump erratically and even cause a halt in trading activity completely.
So when you spot a Black Swan. Just take it easy from trading the markets that can be affected.
Here are 10 Black Swan Events that I can think of that had an impact on the markets.
2008 Global Financial Crisis
Triggered by the collapse of the US housing market, it led to a worldwide banking crisis and severe global economic downturn.
COVID-19 Pandemic
An unprecedented global health crisis that had significant repercussions on global economies and markets in 2020.
Dotcom Bubble Burst (2000)
The dramatic rise (due to greed and optimism) and fall (due to fear and panic) of internet companies in the late 1990s led to a severe market correction.
Brexit (2016)
Britain’s unexpected decision to leave the EU had immediate impacts on global markets.
Japanese Asset Price Bubble Burst (1992)
This led to a lost decade of economic stagnation in Japan.
(Have you seen the Nikkei! And can you imagine holding stocks from 1992?)
Swiss Franc Unpegging (2015)
The Swiss National Bank’s sudden decision to remove the cap on the Franc’s value against the Euro led to extreme currency volatility.
(Forex trading was a nightmare seeing some prices drop hundreds of pips).
September 11 Attacks (2001)
The terrorist attacks had immediate and long-term effects on global economies and markets.
(I was too young to worry so I missed this one.)
Fukushima Nuclear Disaster (2011)
Triggered by a massive earthquake and tsunami, it had significant impacts on global energy markets.
(I remember holding oil stocks while driving. And I came home to R120,000 loss).
Flash Crash (2010)
The US stock market crash, triggered by a high-frequency trading algorithm, sent a financial shockwave around the world.
(Fat fingers caused by unknown factors).
Oil Price Negative (2020)
For the first time in history, the price of US oil turned negative due to low demand during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Which Black Swan event affected you the most?
Candlestick Patterns Unveiled: Your Guide to 6 Key Signals🕯📈📉
Candlestick patterns are a trader's secret language, revealing potential market movements and trends. Among the multitude of candlestick formations, six key patterns stand out for their significance in technical analysis. In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore these patterns, providing real-world examples to help you decipher their bullish and bearish implications. With this knowledge, you'll be better equipped to make informed trading decisions in the dynamic world of finance.
Exploring 6 Key Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick Pattern 1: Bullish Engulfing 🐂🕯
The Bullish Engulfing pattern is a potent bullish signal that appears after a downtrend. It involves a small bearish candle followed by a larger bullish candle that completely engulfs the previous one.
Candlestick Pattern 2: Bearish Engulfing 🐻🕯
The Bearish Engulfing pattern is its bearish counterpart, signaling a potential reversal at the end of an uptrend. It consists of a small bullish candle followed by a larger bearish candle that engulfs the previous one.
Candlestick Pattern 3: Bull Flag 🐂🚩
The Bull Flag is a continuation pattern that often appears in uptrends. It consists of a sharp upward price movement (flagpole) followed by a period of consolidation (flag).
Candlestick Pattern 4: Bear Flag 🐻🚩
The Bear Flag is the bearish counterpart of the Bull Flag. It appears in downtrends and consists of a sharp downward price movement (flagpole) followed by consolidation (flag).
Candlestick Pattern 5: Morning Star 🌄🕯
The Morning Star is a bullish reversal pattern that appears after a downtrend. It comprises three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle (often a Doji), and a large bullish candle.
Candlestick Pattern 6: Evening Star 🌇🕯
The Evening Star is the bearish counterpart of the Morning Star and signals a potential reversal at the end of an uptrend. It also consists of three candles: a large bullish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a large bearish candle.
These six key candlestick patterns are essential tools in a trader's arsenal, providing insights into potential reversals and continuations. However, remember that successful trading requires considering other factors like trend analysis, volume, and market context. By mastering these patterns and applying them judiciously, you can enhance your trading skills and make more informed decisions in the dynamic world of finance. 🕯📈📉
Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Mastering the Forex Success Pyramid 📝💼🧠
Achieving success in forex trading is akin to ascending a pyramid, where each step represents a crucial element of your journey. The Forex Success Pyramid comprises three vital blocks: a robust trading plan, effective risk management, and a resilient trading psychology. In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore each level of this pyramid, offering valuable insights and real-world examples to help you reach the pinnacle of trading success.
The Forex Success Pyramid: Building Blocks to Prosperity
Level 1: Trading Plan 📝
Your trading plan is the foundation upon which your forex success rests. It's a meticulously crafted roadmap that outlines your trading goals, strategies, and tactics.
Level 2: Risk Management 💼
Effective risk management is the second tier of the pyramid. It ensures that your trading endeavors are shielded from excessive losses and allows you to preserve your capital.
Level 3: Trading Psychology 🧠
At the pyramid's peak is trading psychology—the mental fortitude to withstand the emotional rollercoaster of trading. It includes discipline, patience, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
The Forex Success Pyramid encapsulates the key elements necessary for triumph in the forex market. A well-crafted trading plan provides direction, risk management safeguards your capital, and a resilient trading psychology keeps you steady during turbulent times. It's the synergy of these elements that propels you to the apex of forex success. By understanding and diligently applying each tier of the pyramid, you can navigate the intricate world of forex trading with confidence and competence. 📝💼🧠
Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
How to Time Manage your Trading – 6 WaysWhen it comes to the world of trading, time isn’t just money – it’s everything.
A minute delay, can miss a profit opportunity.
A minute delay, can make you question the trade.
A minute delay, can affect your emotions.
This is something I am constantly working on (even 20 years later).
I truly want to wake up earlier, spot trades quicker (as they come) and have a better time management system.
I might not be an expert in time management yet, but I will share some crucial tips I have learnt over the years.
This will help you to not miss the trade.
#1: Why you need to be punctual
Being punctual isn’t just a good trait – it’s a survival skill.
The markets move so quickly. They move with or without you.
And they present opportunities on the daily.
You need to be on time and when you see an opportunity that is about to present itself.
Write it down. Stick note it. Set a reminder or something.
But for Flying Spaghetti monster sake, don’t miss it!
#2: Easy to miss a profit – when you don’t time analyses
Every trader has stories about the “one that got away”.
So what can we do to avoid this?
You need to have your watchlists spread out according to what you trade. With TradingView, I have all my watchlists in different categories.
Stocks, Forex, Commodities, Indices, International stocks. Etc…
Then you’ll need to go over each watchlist every day.
Write down the potential trades lining up. Then revisit the markets the next day.
You need to be more punctual and disciplined to monitor, analyse and prepare for execution.
Those golden opportunities missed due to hesitation or distractions.
By maintaining punctuality in monitoring and execution, you can minimize these missed chances and keep your trading performance on the upbeat.
#3: Set Reminders: The Power of Alerts
Luckily, we have the technology to harness.
You can set reminders for price levels to hit, on your own trading and charting platforms.
Use these alerts to remind you when to act, or at least prepare for execution.
#4: Sticky Note It
Old school?
Maybe.
Effective?
Absolutely!
It doesn’t hurt to pick up a pen and a sticky note once in a while.
Keep these visual reminders, to prioritise what you may be trading today.
You’ll be surprised how useful this little pieces of paper are.
#5: Develop a Routine
Trading is a lifestyle.
So you need to establish your routine with it.
If you’re an early Hadeda you need to do a full pre-market review and write down the trades lining up for the day.
If you prefer to look at the markets in the afternoon, choose a time where you will not be distracted by work, social media, kids or the Rugby!
If you are an after the markets kind of trader, then do your research, analyses and even set your trading levels for the next day.
I like to plot and draw all the levels and setups in the charts, and then write down which ones are almost ripe for the picking.
#6: Prioritize Your Trades
Not all trades are ready to action.
Some might take a few days or months.
What you can do is, flag them or colour them.
GREEN – Act soon.
ORANGE – Check over the next few days
YELLOW – Trade could line up in the next few weeks
RED – Potential setup but not likely in a few weeks.
This approach will help you allocate your time better.
So let’s sum up the time-management methods you can apply.
#1: Why you need to be punctual
#2: Easy to miss a profit – when you don’t time analyses
#3: Set Reminders: The Power of Alerts
#4: Sticky Note It
#5: Develop a Routine
#6: Prioritize Your Trades
Gold for the next week 18-Sep-2023 Till Closed ManuallyI initially planned to share this on Sunday evening, but given that I'm including my personal trading strategy, I've decided to release it on Saturday instead. This way, someone might find value in my approach and have ample time to understand and implement it in their trading for the upcoming week
Bullish Scenario
Institutional Bias: If institutions remain aggressively bullish on Monday, expect minimal retracement to demand zones.
Daily Supply Zone: A retracement to the demand zone may occur to trap sellers before resuming the bullish trend.
Bull Run Extension: The market may stall within the daily supply zone before continuing its upward trajectory.
Break Above 1953: A break above this level could signal a long-term bullish run, potentially setting new lifetime highs.
Bearish Scenario
Institutional Shift: If institutions shift from buying to selling, they may push the market to the daily supply zone to trap buyers before a sharp decline.
Liquidity Trap: The market may oscillate between supply and demand zones to generate liquidity before crashing.
Short-Term Outlook: Given Friday's bullish narrative, a bearish run seems less likely in the immediate term.
High Time Frame (HTF) Bias: The market could revert to a bearish trend as the HTF bias remains bearish.
My personal Trading Strategy for Gold
Preparation: Be at your trading station one hour before the London Open.
Daily Time Frame (TF): Mark trendlines to determine overall market bias.
4hr TF: Identify any break of structures.
1hr TF: Mark unmitigated supply and demand zones.
15min TF: Wait for the price to reach your marked zones or Points of Interest (POI).
Entry Criteria: Look for a clean Break of Structure (BOS) on a lower time frame (preferably 5 minutes).
Momentum and Volume: Ensure the BOS has sufficient momentum and volume.
Entry Point: Enter after the BOS candle closes.
Stop Loss (SL): Use a fixed pip SL or place it above the previous swing high.
Take Profit (TP): Subjective to your trading style.
Risk Management: Limit SL to 1% of your equity.
Pip and Lot Calculation: Understand pip values for different trading instruments.
Profit Targets: Maintain realistic daily, weekly, and monthly targets.
Weekly Target: Aim for a 5% increase in equity.
Daily Target: Once reached, reduce your market exposure.
Loss Management: If a trade goes south, take a step back and analyze.
Important Notes
These are personal insights and subject to market conditions.
Market moves may take from one day to several weeks to materialize.
Global economic uncertainty could increase gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Personal Insights
Emotional detachment and mechanical trading have improved my performance.
Always align your trades with the market's overall direction.
Counter-trend strategies are generally riskier unless supported by divergences.
Trend-Following vs Counter-TrendTrading in the cryptocurrency market can be an exciting and potentially profitable venture. However, it is essential to approach trading with a clear understanding of the risks involved and the potential rewards. One important concept that traders must grasp is the risk reward ratio. This ratio compares the potential profit from a trade to the potential loss, providing a measure of the risk associated with a particular trading strategy.
The risk reward ratio is calculated by dividing the potential profit by the potential loss. For example, if a trade has the potential to yield a profit of $200 and a potential loss of $50, the risk reward ratio would be 4:1. This means that for every $1 at risk, there is the potential to gain $4. Traders often use the risk reward ratio as a tool to evaluate the viability of a trading strategy and to make informed decisions about which trades to enter.
Understanding trend-following trading strategies
Trend-following trading strategies are based on the idea that the price of an asset tends to move in a specific direction for an extended period of time. Traders who employ trend-following strategies aim to identify and capitalize on these trends by buying when the price is rising and selling when the price is falling. This strategy assumes that the trend will continue and that profits can be made by riding the trend until it reverses.
One of the key advantages of trend-following strategies is that they can be relatively simple to implement. Traders can use technical indicators, such as moving averages or trend lines, to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. This simplicity can make trend-following strategies appealing to both novice and experienced traders.
However, trend-following strategies also have their drawbacks. One of the main challenges is identifying the start and end of a trend. Trends can be volatile and subject to sudden reversals, leading to potential losses if the trader enters or exits a trade at the wrong time. Additionally, trend-following strategies may result in missed opportunities if the trader is unable to quickly react to changing market conditions.
Pros and cons of trend-following strategies
Trend-following strategies have several advantages that make them attractive to traders. One of the key benefits is the potential for significant profits. By riding a trend, traders can capture a substantial portion of the price movement and generate substantial returns. Additionally, trend-following strategies can be relatively easy to implement, requiring only basic technical analysis skills.
However, trend-following strategies also come with their fair share of disadvantages. One major drawback is the potential for missed opportunities. Trends can be unpredictable, and a trader may enter a trade too late or exit too early, resulting in missed profits or unnecessary losses. Another challenge is the increased risk of drawdowns during periods of market consolidation or when trends reverse. Traders must be prepared to manage these risks and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Analyzing the risk reward ratio in trend-following strategies
When analyzing the risk reward ratio in trend-following strategies, it is essential to consider several factors. First, traders must determine the potential profit from a trade by identifying the target price or the expected price movement based on the trend. This can be done by using technical analysis tools or by setting specific profit targets.
Next, traders must assess the potential loss by setting a stop-loss order. This order automatically closes the trade if the price moves against the trader's position, limiting the potential loss. The stop-loss order should be placed at a level that reflects the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility of the market.
By comparing the potential profit and the potential loss, traders can calculate the risk reward ratio. A higher risk reward ratio indicates a potentially more profitable trade, as the potential gain outweighs the potential loss. However, it is important to note that a higher risk reward ratio also implies a higher level of risk, as the potential loss is larger.
Understanding counter-trend trading strategies
In contrast to trend-following strategies, counter-trend trading strategies aim to capitalize on price reversals. Traders who employ counter-trend strategies look for opportunities to buy when the price is falling and sell when the price is rising. This approach assumes that the price will reverse direction and that profits can be made by entering trades against the prevailing trend.
Counter-trend strategies can be more challenging to implement compared to trend-following strategies. Traders must be able to identify potential reversals and accurately time their entries and exits. This requires a deep understanding of market dynamics and the ability to interpret price action and technical indicators effectively.
Pros and cons of counter-trend strategies
Counter-trend strategies offer several advantages that may appeal to traders. One of the main benefits is the potential for high-profit opportunities. By entering trades against the prevailing trend, traders can capture significant price movements and generate substantial returns. Additionally, counter-trend strategies can be particularly effective in choppy or sideways markets, where trends may be less pronounced.
However, counter-trend strategies also come with their own set of challenges. One major drawback is the potential for false signals and whipsaws. Price reversals can be short-lived and quickly revert back to the prevailing trend, resulting in potential losses if the trader enters trades prematurely. Another challenge is the increased level of complexity involved in implementing counter-trend strategies. Traders must have a deep understanding of market dynamics and the ability to interpret price action accurately.
Analyzing the risk reward ratio in counter-trend strategies
Analyzing the risk reward ratio in counter-trend strategies requires careful consideration of the potential profit and potential loss. Traders must identify potential reversal points and determine the target price or expected price movement based on the counter-trend. This can be done using technical analysis tools or by identifying key support and resistance levels.
Similarly, traders must set a stop-loss order to limit potential losses if the price continues to move against their position. The stop-loss order should be placed at a level that reflects the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility of the market.
By comparing the potential profit and the potential loss, traders can calculate the risk reward ratio. A higher risk reward ratio suggests a potentially more profitable trade, as the potential gain outweighs the potential loss. However, traders must also consider the higher level of risk associated with counter-trend strategies, as the potential loss is larger.
Comparing risk reward ratios in trend-following and counter-trend strategies
When comparing the risk reward ratios in trend-following and counter-trend strategies, it is important to consider the strengths and weaknesses of each approach. Trend-following strategies typically have a higher success rate, as they align with the prevailing market direction. This can result in a higher number of winning trades and a more favorable risk reward ratio.
On the other hand, counter-trend strategies may have a lower success rate but offer the potential for larger profits. By entering trades against the prevailing trend, traders can capture significant price movements and generate substantial returns. However, the risk reward ratio may be less favorable due to the potential for larger losses if the price continues to move against the trader's position.
Ultimately, the choice between trend-following and counter-trend strategies depends on the trader's risk tolerance, trading style, and market conditions. It is important to carefully evaluate the risk reward ratio of each strategy and consider other factors such as market volatility, timeframes, and personal preferences.
Factors to consider when choosing a trading strategy
When choosing a trading strategy, it is important to consider several factors beyond the risk reward ratio. Here are some key factors to keep in mind:
Market conditions: Different strategies may perform better in different market conditions. Consider the current market trend, volatility, and liquidity when selecting a strategy.
Risk tolerance: Assess your risk tolerance and choose a strategy that aligns with your comfort level. Some strategies may involve higher levels of risk and potential drawdowns.
Time commitment: Different strategies may require varying levels of time commitment. Consider your availability and lifestyle when choosing a strategy.
Trading style: Determine whether you prefer short-term or long-term trading, as this will influence your choice of strategy.
By carefully evaluating these factors and considering the risk reward ratio, traders can select a strategy that aligns with their individual goals and preferences.
Analyzing the risk reward ratio is a crucial step in evaluating the viability of a trading strategy. Both trend-following and counter-trend strategies have their own set of pros and cons, and traders must carefully consider the risk reward ratio associated with each approach. By understanding the potential profit and potential loss, traders can make informed decisions and manage their risk effectively. Additionally, it is important to consider other factors such as market conditions, risk tolerance, and personal preferences when choosing a trading strategy. By taking a comprehensive approach, traders can increase their chances of success in the dynamic and ever-evolving cryptocurrency market.
Follow and Boost for your financial success !
Write your thoughts in the comment section.
Why Daily Time Frame Analysis 📅🔍 Matters
In the dynamic world of forex trading, one key decision traders face is choosing the right time frame for their analysis. While there are various options available, the daily time frame holds a special place for traders seeking consistency and reliability. In this comprehensive guide, we will explore the compelling reasons why traders should prioritize daily time frame analysis in their forex endeavors. With real-world examples and insights, you'll discover how this approach can lead to trading success.
The Significance of Daily Time Frame Analysis
Daily time frame analysis offers several essential advantages that can significantly benefit forex traders:
1. Clarity Amidst Market Noise
One of the primary benefits of daily time frame analysis is the reduction of market noise. Shorter time frames, such as the 1-hour or 15-minute charts, often exhibit erratic price movements that can confuse traders. By focusing on the daily time frame, traders gain a clearer and more stable perspective of the market's overall direction.
2. Work-Life Balance and Trading Flexibility
Daily time frame analysis doesn't demand constant monitoring of the markets. This characteristic is particularly appealing to traders who wish to balance their trading activities with other commitments, such as work, family, or personal life. It enables traders to engage in forex trading without feeling overwhelmed or tethered to their screens.
3. Enhanced Risk Management and Strategic Planning
The daily time frame provides traders with ample time to conduct thorough analysis and craft well-thought-out trading strategies. This extra time empowers traders to implement effective risk management practices, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and plan their trades with precision.
Daily time frame analysis is a valuable tool that empowers forex traders with clarity, flexibility, and enhanced risk management capabilities. By prioritizing the daily time frame, traders can navigate the forex market with confidence and a broader perspective. This approach not only leads to more informed trading decisions but also allows traders to strike a balance between their trading activities and other aspects of their lives. In the end, focusing on the daily time frame can be a crucial step towards achieving trading success in the world of forex. 📅🔍💹
Please, support my work with like and comment!
Love you, my dear followers!👩💻🌸
Big-picture trading strategy revisitedhello?
Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
If it does not fall below the downtrend line, it is likely to rise.
An increase in trading volume is needed to break above the current price position, that is, near the M-Signal indicators on the 1W chart and 1M chart, but there is a possibility that it is holding it back from rising.
The reason may be to achieve a large increase at once.
The point that must be penetrated at once is above the 30495.92 section and above the point where the trend line of the 1W chart intersects.
Only then can you have the opportunity to break upward through the section your finger points to.
Any rise outside the current box is likely to lead to BTC's dominance.
Therefore, those who mainly trade altcoins need to be careful.
This is because once BTC's dominance begins, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
The reason for this is that funds will be concentrated towards BTC for next year's BTC Halving.
This phenomenon is expected to gradually unravel once BTC dominance rises above 61.
Therefore, it is expected that that will be the time to purchase altcoins in earnest for the BTC halving.
If it touches the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart on the BTC chart and shows support, we expect that that will be the point where the coin market's full-fledged upward trend begins.
The next period of volatility for BTC will be around October 3rd.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that the day trading period may come to an end.
Therefore, we must prepare for the period of great volatility that will follow.
Periods of high volatility are likely to be the last decline before a full-fledged uptrend, that is, the section that forms a pullback.
However, this movement cannot necessarily be viewed as being expressed as a decline.
This is because it can show a big uptrend and then fall again, creating a pullback pattern.
Therefore, now is the time to focus on buying BTC or ETH.
I think that BTC 29K or lower is possible at this time.
If BTC rises above 29K, there is a high possibility that you will not buy BTC or ETH because you will think that it is more profitable to buy altcoins than to buy BTC or ETH.
For altcoins, the first purchase is completed when BTC is below 29K, and the second purchase is carried out when BTC is in the range of 32K-43K.
After that, full-scale purchases can be started after confirming support from the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart mentioned above.
This is the big picture, trading strategy in preparation for the BTC Halving next year.
Changing the big-picture trading strategy like this means that all trading strategies have been designed incorrectly, so an unprecedented situation will arise where all trading must be stopped.
Therefore, the big picture trading strategy should not be modified.
If you cannot create a big-picture trading strategy, you need to be careful because you cannot start trading from a long-term perspective, that is, farming.
Long-term trading, i.e. farming, is a mental battle.
That's why being able to stabilize one's psychological state is an important factor.
Therefore, if you cannot plan a big-picture trading strategy, you will not be able to trade from a long-term perspective because you will not be able to withstand changes in psychological state caused by price volatility.
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
How to be a Trading WARRIOR!To trade well you need to think like a warrior.
You need to harness your inner strength and go through the battles of trading.
There are spectators, there are participants, and then there are warriors.
These warriors stand apart.
And you need to blend your skills and traits to equip you with everything you need to WIN.
In this article, we’ll delve into the core qualities that can transform you into a genuine trading warrior.
Mastering the Sword of Time
Trading, like a warrior’s battle, is not won in haste.
You need the three Ps as I often write – patience, persistence, and passion.
Markets are fluid entities that are always shifting and changing.
So, you need to take the time to learn how to adapt or die trying.
The Shield of Dedication
Your shield is dedication.
You need to commit to the journey, embrace the learning curve, take the losses and drawdowns in your stride.
You need to continuously seek to improve with every trade, every trend analysis, and every market lineup that comes your way.
Embrace it with dedication.
Discipline: The Unyielding Armour
Discipline is what will make you win.
You need to follow your trading plan and stick to your risk management strategy.
You need to make decisions based on logic, not emotions.
Discipline keeps you grounded, even in the face of market chaos.
The Quest for Self-Understanding
This is a self-journey too.
It’s a lonely but essential quest you need to undergo.
I always say you need to understand your trading personality and risk profile.
Know and identify your strengths, weaknesses, and biases.
This will help you to develop a stronger understanding of who you are as a trading warrior.
Resilience: The Warrior’s Tenacity
Resilience is about bouncing back from losses and setbacks.
They are going to come.
Some are going to be short.
Some are going to be extending.
Rome was not built in a day.
Strategic Thinking: The Battle Plan
Trading warriors are not impulsive.
They develop a strategic plan and evaluate all possible outcomes.
We make sure we calculate risks before we think of getting into a trade.
So have your strategic game-plan with you all times.
Adaptability: The Shape-Shifter’s Gift
The financial market is volatile and unpredictable.
It’s forever changing. New markets, new volume, new algorithms, new economic cycles, and new breakthroughs.
A trading warrior is adaptable and can adjust their strategies to align with the changing markets.
Continuous Learning: Sharpen the Sword
A warrior never stops to hone their skills.
You need to continue to learn, stay ahead of the market trends. And always refine your strategy when need be.
Keep that sword sharp and ready for anything.
Emotional Intelligence: Harness the Stallion
Successful trading requires emotional control.
Learn to adapt to your emotions and feelings.
Become the market and think like them, so you don’t get clouded by your irrational and illogical judgement.
Confidence: The Warrior’s Roar
Confidence is NOT about being right. That’s ego.
Confidence is embracing your losses to come.
Confidence is when you trust your abilities, strategies and decisions.
Confidence is being comfortable with your trading, no matter what.
Independence: The Lone Wolf’s Path
Trading warriors are self-reliant.
They make their own decisions.
They might follow a leader, but they take responsibility with their own trading and risk profile.
You need to learn to take responsibility for them, and don’t blame others for their losses.
Focus: The Eagle’s Gaze
Trading warriors have tunnel vision.
They are looking straight at their goals and responsibilities.
The only thing you can do is to concentrate on your tasks, block out distractions, and don’t allow fear, greed or ego to shift your focus.
Perseverance: The Mountain’s Steadfastness
A trading warrior keeps going.
No matter what obstacles or setbacks approach.
They understand that perseverance is the key to long-term success in trading.
Balance: The Zen Master’s Touch
You don’t want to be glued to your trading screen.
This alone will defeat you.
You need to learn to balance trading, business, work and life.
Don’t put so much energy in things you cannot control.
Balance your life and your lifestyle.
Integrity: The Knight’s Virtue
In every trade, a warrior upholds honesty and fairness.
They stay true to their principles, even when nobody’s watching.
Integrity is what gives you the confidence, respect and laser focus you need to achieve.
Courage: The Lion’s Heart
This is not a faint-hearted game.
You need a lot of courage and calculated risks to trade.
Face losses and stand up against market pressure.
Developing these qualities will not guarantee instant success.
But with time, patience, and perseverance, you’ll find yourself becoming a true trading warrior!
Let’s sum up the trading warrior traits…
Mastering the Sword of Time
The Shield of Dedication
Discipline: The Unyielding Armour
The Quest for Self-Understanding
Resilience: The Warrior’s Tenacity
Strategic Thinking: The Battle Plan
Adaptability: The Shape-Shifter’s Gift
Continuous Learning: Sharpen the Sword
Emotional Intelligence: Harness the Stallion
Confidence: The Warrior’s Roar
Independence: The Lone Wolf’s Path
Focus: The Eagle’s Gaze
Perseverance: The Mountain’s Steadfastness
Balance: The Zen Master’s Touch
Integrity: The Knight’s Virtue
Courage: The Lion’s Heart
The BEST trade to TAKE!Do you know what the BEST trade is?
The best trade is not a winner.
The best trade is not a lucky streak.
The best trade is not what you think…
If you’ve followed your rules, strategy, criteria, risk management and taken the trade.
That is the BEST you can do.
Whether it wins or not, you have taken the BEST trade.
Let’s dig in…
Follow Your Rules
Every successful trader has a set of rules that act as the bedrock of their strategy.
These rules are based on highly researched analyses on back and forward testing.
In the medium to long term, you’ll reap the rewards.
Therefore, your BEST trade is following your rules.
Wait for the criteria
To find the BEST trade, you must establish specific criteria that a trade must meet before you pull the trigger.
Maybe you’re waiting for syzygy between price action, candlesticks, volume, indicators, chart patterns or a combination of them.
Once the criteria has been met, then you’re ready to take the BEST trade….
Keep to your risk management
Protecting and preserving your capital is paramount in trading.
The BEST trade is when you have assessed the risks and put your safeguards for your trades.
What are you willing to risk per trade?
What is your margin requirements in the trade?
Is it affordable?
Will you have enough capital to play it through
Will you have enough capital to take on many other BEST trades?
Can you emotionally handle the risk per trade?
Once you’ve got the right answers, you’re ready to take the BEST trade.
Own your mindset – The Ultimate Act of Courage
You know the trade might be a winner or loser.
And it’s not about the outcome.
IThe BEST trade is about having the courage to execute when all your criteria are met.
It’s about trusting your process and embracing the uncertainty that comes with every trade.
J.T.T.B.T – Just Take The BEST trade
Once you’ve done the planning, analyses, risk assessment, then you’re ready to Just Take The BEST Trade!
You’ve done your job.
If it wins great – it’s once step closer to portfolio growth.
If it loses – it’s the cost of the trading business.
Remember this…
The BEST trade is not a destination but a journey filled with learning, discipline, and resilience.
It’s not solely about profit or loss.
It’s about the process of becoming a better trader and evolving as a trader yourself.
Let’s sum up with the steps to you taking the BEST Trade.
Follow Your Rules
Wait for the criteria
Keep to your risk management
Own your mindset – The Ultimate Act of Courage
J.T.T.B.T – Just Take The BEST trade
Price Action and Trade Review for the DOW Jones IndexPrice action is key for understanding the major market bias and also for managing risk.
On top of that, understanding Price Action will give a better understanding of where other traders may be trapped and will help structure your trades.
In the video, I talk through the DOW Index and price action from the previous session. I look at where we were looking for trades and the price action that led to trapped traders getting squeezed out of the action.
*** Feel free to take a look at our profile page and Please Follow for more content ***
*** Please Leave a Like and Comment if you enjoyed this video ***