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XAUUSD 17/4/2023 Outlook. Bullish?Good evening gold gang! hope you are well rested and ready to destroy the yellow metal with me. Ok price dropped as expected last week and landed in a very major price level. If you zoom out to the weekly and monthly, you will see that price is on the end of an upward channel .. and any breaks below could mean we are moving down. In the mean time though with a lot of FUD around the dollar .. xauusd is still high and i believe people want to see the all time high broken. We will need a major "news" catalyst to get back up there though. When i put inverted commas around news, i meant corruption lol The zone where we are at currently is messy .. very messy. There is a clear imbalance there but id rather see the zone flush out first .. so buys for me are above 2022. The level below could be prime for a fakeout .. so ill be watching for that too .. candle close below and we are down down down. Sells below 1993 should be nice and straight forward there not much to get in the way. Im just hoping for volume. A few red folders but nothing major this week. Have a good session guys please like and follow along for more gold trading analysis. tommy
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tommyXAU
7
The Process of Creating StrategyHello traders, In this post i am going to show that how we can create and develop the trading strategy that works. Now the first step we need to do is just search and find the any trading method that suitable for us for example that would be like elliott wave, ict concept, VSA, just using indicators and maybe you can also create your own method and backtest it. when you learned the method now its time to create your trading rules every strategy has own different rules like what is your risk to reward ratio? what is your trade management plan? either you manage your trade or just take the trade and come back after its hit TP or SL, how much is your daily limit means how much trades you will be taking in a day or in a week if you want to become a swing trader depends on you, what is your risk per trade? can you will be cutting the risk to half or just use fixed risk after lose trade? what is your daily limit of losing? can you hold trade overnight or over weekend? what is your trading timeframe? what is your trading sessions? etc... These all kind of rules you will be require to create for yourself they might be different rules depends on your strategy method now we learned the method and created the rule move forward to the next step is open the live demo trading account and trade with your strategy and apply the rules don't break the rules that you created trade at least 30 days and journal your data your taking trades after 30 days check the journal you will see your data for example in your rules you set 1/2 risk reward ratio so you need to have around 40% winning ratio check the journal check the results did you have a 40% winning ratio if the answer is yes then good to go i am sure that you know what to do next but if you failed and your winning ratio is below 40% now analyze your journal data the trades you taken you will see some of bad trades that you don't wanted to trade again just avoid those trades next time and try again the process for the next 30 days. repeat the process one day you will be profitable and consistent but if you not then try again again learn from your mistakes and don't do that mistakes again. When yo have been profitable this is the time you wanna enter in the market open the real live trading account and start trading with your strategy and follow the rules that you created for yourself run the process and always remember trading is not quick rish scheme you need to have a lot of patience, trading is a long run game like marathon race and its required patience. some of my advice is don't try to break the rules, don't depend on one trade, some times market will give you some results that you don't want from it but be patient and be consistent with your strategy with your rules, you will be facing drawdowns but that is the learning process you will learn a lot from the drawdown so with the time you will be better consistent and be profitable just don't leave the process too soon and believe in yourself and try again again and again, trading is a very beautiful and also the easiest thing to live life but firstly in the starting it required from us to pass the test. trading is a very easiest thing but also a very hardest thing. i hope you find this post useful, i wish you good luck and good trading. If you like the post, boost my work with like comments and share thanks!
Education
by TheLoserMan
1
One Trade Does Not Define Your Trading Performance... Hey traders, 👨🏻‍💻I am trading forex for more than 8 years. During the last 5 years, I am actively posting my analysis & trades on TradingView. Growing my audience, it was very peculiar for me to contemplate the reaction of my followers to my trading performance. (by the way, we must say thanks to tradingview where the posting system does not allow to delete the posted trades so that each and every author is easily backtestable). 👩‍👩‍👧‍👧👨‍👨‍👧‍👧Those who follow me at least a half a year know that occasionally I have winning streaks when 9 out of 10 of my forecasts play out nicely. Sometimes, however, I face the drawdowns and catch a sequence of losing trades. And sometimes the performance is mixed with the probabilities being on my side slightly. 🥇While the reaction to winning streaks is quite predictable: I am praised by the members and get nice tips. The reaction to losing streaks is worth discussing in detail. It turned out that quite a huge portion of a trading community has a completely wrong understanding of a trading nature. 🤬The single loss is considered by them to be a failure, a mistake. Facing the sequence of losses, they quickly become negatively biased to the person that they have just recently praised. With the continuation of a drawdown, they blame the analyst and launch a barrage of criticism towards him. 🔍Then they are in a search again. They are looking for a trader that will be constantly right. Catching the new one during a winning streak, the cycle repeats. At some moment such people become disappointed in trading and drop this business... ❗️Losses, losing streaks and negative days/weeks/months are inevitable. If you want to become a full-time trader, you must be prepared for the fact that trading won't give you a stable income. Your equity curve will be in constant fluctuation. Your goal in this game is simply to lose less than you make. You must become disciplined enough to keep following the rules of your trading strategy no matter what. You must learn to be consistent in your actions. You should learn to perceive losing trades not as a failure but simply as the moment when the market takes its share. Feeding you, giving you the opportunity to make money out of thin air, the market definitely has a right to claim its dividends from you. ⭐️Change your mindset, learn to lose and the magic thing will happen. Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Education
by VasilyTrader
13
A Trader's Guide to Market ConditionsThere are six main types of market conditions that every trader needs to know: bull quiet, bear quiet, bull volatile, bear volatile, bear sideways, and bull sideways. In this blog post, we'll dive into each of these conditions in detail, so you can understand what they mean for your investments and trading. Bull quiet conditions may be ideal for long-term investors, with steady upward trends and low volatility. On the other hand, bear quiet conditions can make finding profitable trades a challenge. But don't despair! Short-term traders may still be able to make profits by taking advantage of small price fluctuations. If you're looking for short-term gains, bull volatile conditions may be the way to go. These periods of economic growth and prosperity can lead to larger price swings than in bull quiet conditions. But beware, the opposite is true for bear volatile conditions. Prices are steadily declining, but with high levels of volatility. Still, traders can profit by taking advantage of large price swings. Bear and bull sideways conditions are characterized by a lack of clear direction in price movements. While traders may find it challenging to make profits in bear sideways conditions, they can take advantage of small price fluctuations in bull sideways conditions. Understanding these market conditions is crucial for making informed trading decisions. By being aware of each of these six conditions, you can increase your chances of making profitable trades and maximizing your returns. So if you want to elevate your trading game, backtest these market conditions and see what your trading results you'd get trading each condition.
by ShaquanLopez
2
USDCAD Long EOD strat© BNPP Global FX Positioning Tracker: CAD shorts extend • In G10, FX USD shorts reduce slightly to -17 from -18 last week (+/-50 scale), as our proxy for real money investors reduces shorts. • CAD shorts extend to -23 from -15 last week, as our proxy for electronic trading venues extends shorts and our proxy for real money investors unwinds longs. Technically the US dollar index is pushing higher and making a go at a bullish trend. We are seeing the US10 year yields at elevated levels and uncertainty in the equities. Oil is below the average price level of around $80 and supporting fiscal flows in the US economy are high.
Long
by Macrobriefing
Bullish on BTC: Analysis and Strategy for Long Trade at $27kBTC has seen a significant pullback from its recent all-time high of around $69,000 in November 2021, and it is currently trading around $27,000. However, there are still reasons to be bullish on BTC over the long term. First, BTC has been through several market cycles before, and historically, it has always recovered and gone on to new all-time highs. Second, there is increasing adoption and acceptance of BTC as a store of value and a medium of exchange, with several major corporations and institutions investing in BTC and integrating it into their operations. From a technical analysis perspective, BTC is currently trading in a range between around $28,000 and $32,000, with a strong support level around $26,000. If BTC can hold this support level and break above the upper end of the range, it could signal a potential bullish reversal. To go long on BTC, one potential strategy could be to wait for confirmation of a breakout above the range and enter a long position with a stop loss below the support level. It is important to remember that trading BTC, like any investment, carries risks, and it is crucial to conduct your own research and risk management before making any trades. #BTC #cryptocurrency #tradingstrategy #longtrade #technicalanalysis #storeofvalue #investing #financialmarkets
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ss7trader
ZEUS Bullish MACD Setup - High Accuracy of Winning TradesOur MACD Setup is created to reveal winning entry points for a trade with high accuracy. In our MACD Setup we combine multiple conditions to recognize only strong entry points. Multiple factors need to be met in confluence: 1. Recognize the Trend = Bullish / Bearish Trend (50 EMA is Above / Below 200 EMA) 2. There is a MACD Cross = Bullish / Bearish MACD Cross (MACD Cross is Below / Above Zero Horizontal Line) 3. Avoid False Signals in a Sideways Markets = MACD Cross far from horizontal zero “0” line 4. Filter only Strong Trend Situations = Candle Close above/below 200 EMA 5. Avoid Extreme Values in RSI = check if there is way to go before we get oversold/overbought 6. Our Algorithm Filters Signals in Side Trend and Low Volume Markets Let´s explain the conditions step by step 1. Recognize the Trend Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is one of the most effective trend identification indicator. Traders like it because of it its simplicity. EMA is usually used in combination between 200 days (as a slow indicator) and 50 days (as fast indicator of the trend). Bullish Trend = EMA 50 is Above EMA 200 Bearish Trend = EMA 50 is Below EMA 200 2. There is a MACD Cross After we recognized the Trend (Bullish Trend in our case) we would like to trade with the trend so we are looking for Bullish MACD Cross. Bullish MACD Cross is Below Zero Horizontal Line 3. Avoid False Signals in a Sideways Markets So we found Bullish MACD Cross and now we want to be sure that the Cross far away from the Zero Horizontal Line. Our algorithm filters crosses and shows only signals with decent distance form Zero Horizontal Line. 4. Filter only Strong Trend Situations Once we have met the first three criteria (Bullish Trend and Bullish MACD Cross far from Zero Horizontal Line) we need confirmation that the market is still strong and is moving forward in an uptrend. So we look at price action and there need to be Candle Close Above EMA 200 . Closing about EMA 200 indicates continuation of the trend. 5. Avoid Extreme Values in RSI The other condition is based on RSI and we are looking only for situations where RSI is not overheated so there is a way for trend continuations. In our case RSI was in the middle values so we can expect market to continue its uptrend. 6. Our Algorithm Filters Signals in Side Trend and Low Volume Markets We have developed our own Algorithm which filters signals in low volume markets and side trend.
BINANCE:ADAUSD.PEducation
by ZEUS_Algo_Indicators
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 2/03A review of the price action from the European session and US sessions which gave us some choppy price action. Markets remain under some pressure from sellers with DAX and FTSE giving back earlier gains while the US edged lower. The USD found some sellers which supported Gold while US bond yields rallied again and Oil ranged....mixed bag really!! I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Short Selling Opportunity Ahead: AUDCAD Analysis | 4h chartHello traders, As you can see in my previous post the resistance level reached and profit target hit. Now again short selling opportunity on the horizon. Wait for the OANDA:AUDCAD to close below stable support (0.91200-0.91500) and test resistance before opening short position. Avoid long position due to downward trend and high supply. Thanks & regards, Alpha Trading Station Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
Short
by AlphaTradingStation
Back With The Charts EURAUD BullishAs a trader, it's important to not only identify potential trading opportunities, but also to manage risk effectively. With that in mind, based on my analysis of the EURAUD pair, I have a bullish bias on the 4-hour timeframe. One reason for my bullish bias is that the pair has broken through a major resistance level , and has made a new higher high. This indicates that there may be further upside potential for the pair. However, before entering into a trade, it's important to wait for a pullback to the former resistance level , which should now act as support. This allows for a more favorable risk-reward ratio, as you can place a stop loss below the support level to limit potential losses. Additionally, it's important to have personal entry criteria in place, such as waiting for confirmation through candlestick patterns or indicators before entering a trade. This helps to ensure that you're entering into trades with a higher probability of success. Overall, while this analysis and prediction may provide a potential trading opportunity, it's important to remember to manage risk effectively. This includes setting appropriate stop loss levels, and being mindful of position sizing to avoid over-exposure to any one trade.
by UnknownUnicorn18142411
AUDUSD Short Trade Idea: High U.S. Inflation and Hawkish FedThe AUDUSD pair is currently under pressure as a result of stubbornly high U.S. inflation and signals from the Fed that interest rates may need to be raised for a longer period than previously anticipated. We are looking to take a short trade on AUDUSD at 0.68977, with a take profit target at 0.67519 and a stop loss at 0.70014. This trade idea is based on the potential for the U.S. Dollar to continue to strengthen, while the Australian Dollar may weaken due to concerns about containing inflation. #AUDUSD #shorttrade #USinflation #hawkishFed #tradingstrategy 📈📊💰
Short
by ss7trader
How to Spot the Confluence Zone | Pro Fibonacci Technique If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries, you definitely should try confluence zones. Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements. In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi. ❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line (it should match higher lows if the market is bullish ; it should match lower highs if the market is bearish ). Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions, you can look for a confluence zone. 1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line . 2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend. Draw a fib retracement based on it (swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish , swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish ). 3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one). Draw a fib retracement based on it. 4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line . In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point. 5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point. You will get a perfect trend following opportunity. Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Education
by VasilyTrader
9