StochRSI EMA has never touched 100Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
Looking at past movements, there were cases where the current movement was shown near the peak of the uptrend.
In any case, when the StochRSI EMA rose to around 99 or above and then started to fall, the StochRSI indicator was reset after the additional rise occurred in most cases.
There were two cases where the StochRSI indicator did not reset after rising to the overbought zone and then rose to the overbought zone again.
In other words, if the StochRSI indicator did not reset and touched the overbought zone twice, you can see that the reset has mostly occurred.
If the current decline continues, it is likely to fall because it will become a double top.
The reason why it is so obsessed with this is because the StochRSI EMA has never touched the highest point (100) so far.
-
Therefore, looking at the current position, the important support and resistance zone is the 65920.71-67614.25 zone, so it is expected that the StochRSI indicator will be reset as it receives resistance and falls in this zone.
At this time, it is expected that the support near the 63118.62-64000.0 zone will be the key.
This is because the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts is expected to rise to this area.
-
If it falls further, the 60672.0-61099.25 zone is expected to be a strong support zone.
The 61099.25 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart, so it is important to check whether it is supported.
-
The next important support and resistance area is around the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising around 52.1K.
Therefore, if there is a movement as I mentioned earlier, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is expected to rise around 56K.
-
There are fewer cases of a sharp downtrend immediately following a strong overheating of StochRSI than expected.
Therefore, it is expected that there will be time to respond depending on whether there is support around the area I mentioned above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Tradingstrategy
BNB trying to reset the indicatorHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of falling below 50 even though it has not fallen much.
In order for the StochRSI indicator to be reset, it must touch the oversold zone.
When the StochRSI indicator is reset and rises in the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to create an upward wave if it receives support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts drawn on the chart.
The point of view is how BTC will reset the StochRSI indicator.
-
Important support and resistance zones
- 578.4-595.0
- 496.0-498.3
The two zones above are important support and resistance zones.
-
If it falls below 595.0, the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising near 578.4, so you should check whether it can be supported and rise near this area.
Therefore, the key point is where the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone or the BW indicator touches the lowest point (0).
-
If it rises from 595.0,
1st: 606.7
2nd: 664.3
You should respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The difference between buying on the chart and actual buyingHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
#ETHUSDT
When ETH looks good to buy, it will rise near the section the finger is pointing to.
That's because if you wait any longer, you will feel like you've missed it.
However, the section we should buy is the section the arrow is pointing to.
The best position among these is when it goes beyond the section the arrow is pointing to after September 17.
The reason is that the DMI and OBV rose near the BW line and HA-Low.
Currently, OBV has risen above the High Line, but since DMI is at 0, I think it would be better to wait until DMI shows an upward trend.
If you couldn't wait and were going to buy, you should have bought it at the time when you should have bought it before.
-
The BW line has been created again near the current price.
Therefore, when it rises above the BW line and shows support, it is the time to buy.
However, since it was created at the highest point (100) of the created BW line, it is recommended to check whether it is supported even if it rises.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Overheated state of all timeHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The current situation is showing an overheated state of all time.
Accordingly, there seems to be a possibility of a sharp change in the StochRSI indicator.
Since it touched the expected rising range, there is a possibility that a price adjustment will begin to lead to an additional rise.
If it falls below 63118.62-64000.0,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart (current location 61759.99)
2nd: 59053.55
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If the upward trend continues and rises to the 65920.71-67614.25 range, there is a possibility that the StochRSI indicator will show a reversal phenomenon, but I don't think that will happen because I don't think that has happened so far.
In other words, there is no phenomenon of divergence in the indicator due to excessive upward trend.
-
The StochRSI indicator was reset after February 18, but the price drop was not large.
I think that in order for the current overheated state to lead to additional rise, it should show at least the same movement as after February 18.
-
When you think that it might go up without doing anything, it is a high point and I think it is a good choice to watch the situation a little more.
---------------------------------------------
DMI is displayed as a line, and OBV is displayed as a column.
DMI is easy to interpret, but OBV can be a bit difficult.
The reason is that OBV is displayed by dividing it into 4 sections.
1. Above High Line: Dark Orange (#e65100)
2. Mid Line ~ High Line: Orange (#ff9800)
3. Low Line ~ Mid Line: Aqua (#00bcd4)
4. Below Low Line: Blue (#2962ff)
The above 4 sections are divided and the rise and fall are indicated based on the 0 point.
What you should pay attention to here is the state of DMI when each section is crossed.
This is because there may be a change in trend when OBV exceeds the range when DMI rises and falls based on the 0 point.
(In other words, the trend change occurs and DMI and OBV change, but I explained it the other way around for easier understanding.)
Accordingly, if we interpret the current state, it shows a strong upward trend.
- DMI is maintaining an upward trend above 0 point
- OBV is above the high line: a dark orange (#e65100) range has occurred
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Things to check when trading altcoinsHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
I think it's good to check the upward turn on the Renko chart to trade altcoins.
Therefore, in the short term, if the price is maintained above 4.9, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility of an upward trend.
Accordingly, I think it's good to trade from a short-term trading perspective in the current upward trend.
-
(NEARUSDT 1D chart)
Usually, coins (tokens) that are currently thought to have risen are likely to have already touched the HA-Low indicator and risen.
Therefore, the StochRSI indicator will mostly be in the overbought zone.
In this situation, if you feel like you have to buy now, you should be able to wait for that time to be the peak.
When the bottom zone, low zone, and rise are formed, it is more likely to create a 'W' pattern (double bottom pattern) or higher than the 'V'-shaped uptrend and rise.
Therefore, in order to gain additional upward momentum, it is essential to create a pull back pattern and rise.
Therefore, if you want to buy now, it is recommended to confirm that a pull back pattern is created and enter.
On the NEARUSDT chart, the M-Signal indicator of the 1D and 1W charts is passing around 4.675, so if a pull back pattern is created, I think that this area is likely to become the bottom zone.
Therefore, you should check how the StochRSI indicator is initialized, and when it is initialized, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points at that point and proceed with the transaction.
When rising
1st: 5.947
2nd: 7.008-7.369
You need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Among these, the section that can be converted to a mid- to long-term transaction is the 2nd section.
-
When purchasing, you need to make an effort to make the lowest average price possible by conducting a split transaction.
Otherwise, if you try to solve everything with a single purchase, you need to be able to wait as much as possible and be decisive.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section that is expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next Volatility Period: Around October 11Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It is showing sideways movement around 63118.62-64000.0.
Therefore, if it breaks out of this area,
- 65920.71-67614.25 when up
- 60672.0-61099.25 when down
You should check for support around the above area.
The StochRSI EMA is almost approaching the 100 point.
Accordingly, the possibility of volatility is increasing.
As I mentioned in the previous idea, I think we can predict the future trend depending on how the initialization of this StochRSI indicator proceeds.
-
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
The section that the finger is pointing to is the section that fell below the 5EMA of the 1D chart, then touched the HA-Low indicator and rose.
When it fell below the 5EMA of the 1D chart this time, we need to check whether it touches the HA-Low indicator and rises.
The M-Signal indicator of the 1D and 1W charts is passing through the 60651.2-61149.2 section, so the key is whether it is supported around this area when falling.
When rising
1st: 65922.3
2nd: 67612.8-68215.5
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
It is not easy to know whether it will rise or fall right now.
However, you can predict the next support or resistance section depending on how it breaks through the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts drawn on the chart.
Therefore, I think it is a good idea to trade with a response strategy for rising and falling from the current position.
For this, you need to have your own trading strategy established.
-----------------------------------------
(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a decline in an important section.
Therefore, we need to watch whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1M chart.
I think that in order for the coin market to show an upward trend, the USDT dominance must show a downward trend.
Therefore, it is expected that we will be able to know whether the coin market can start an upward trend depending on whether the USDT dominance falls below 4.97 and is maintained or shows a downward trend.
--------------------------------------
The purpose of adding DMI and OBV is to find out the strength of the trend.
The final formula was changed accordingly.
Based on the 0 point,
- If it rises above 0, it means that the upward force is strong.
- If it falls below 0, it means that the downward force is strong.
The important thing to note here is when it touches the 2 or -2 point.
At this time, you can proceed with a transaction by checking the movement of the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator.
The trading time should be conducted depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
It is recommended to use the movement of the indicator only as a basis for judging whether it is supported at the support and resistance points.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
If it is supported near 2531.05-2621.99, it is time to buyHello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
ETH is showing a disappointing performance, falling more than BTC.
However, the current location, that is, near 2531.05-2621.99, is an important support and resistance area, so whether it can receive support and rise is the key.
We need to check whether it can receive support and rise to create a state where M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, ETH can be considered as a buy point at the moment.
If it falls, you should check for support near 2159.0.
-
This is because the section that must be supported in order to rise is the 1941.90-2159.0 section.
-
Since the BW indicator has touched the highest point (100), the BW line will be created soon.
Therefore, you should check for support at the newly created BW line and consider whether you can trade according to your trading style.
The stop loss point is when it shows resistance near 2531.05.
As I said again, the M-Signal on the 1W chart is currently falling just above.
Therefore, even if it is supported and rises now, it is highly likely to touch the M-Signal area of the 1W chart and fall, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
The next volatility period is around September 30th (September 29th - October 1st).
Therefore, the point of observation is how the M-Signals of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are arranged based on this time.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
How StochRSI is initialized is the point of interestHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a decline below the important section.
Therefore, we need to check whether the M-Signal on the 1D chart can follow and create a state where the M-Signal on the 1M chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold section, if it rises, the key is whether it can meet resistance near the M-Signal on the 1D chart.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it is expected that the USDT dominance will have to fall below 4.97 and be maintained.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
In fact, even if the current price position, that is, 63118.62-64000.0, is supported and rises, I don't think it's a good idea to make new purchases.
From the perspective of a breakout trader, it is a position worth challenging, but it is a position that requires a quick response and decision.
StochRSI has not yet initialized.
Therefore, it is showing that it is not strange for a decline to occur at any time.
I have talked about the entry point to start trading several times, so I will not talk about it here.
-
If it is supported and rises near 63118.62-64000.0, it is highly likely to turn downward while touching near 65920.71-67614.25.
However, if StochRSI is initialized, it may show an upward trend as it continues to a new trend.
Therefore, what is important to look at now is how to initialize StochRSI.
Initializing StochRSI means that if StochRSI has entered the overbought zone, it must touch the oversold zone.
This initialization does not necessarily mean that it will lead to a large decline.
Therefore, it means that StochRSI may be initialized while showing support near 63118.62.
-
Therefore, the area near 61099.25 is an important support and resistance zone.
This is because the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W chart is currently passing by and the BW line is formed.
Therefore, the entry area is around 61099.25, that is, when it shows support near the BW line or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W chart.
-
This volatility period is until September 29.
The next volatility period is around October 11.
Therefore, the point of interest is what kind of channel (rising channel or falling channel) the currently drawn trend line will create in the 'X'.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Chart Analysis and Trading StrategyHello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Trend-related)
The M-Signals on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts have converged and are showing an upward trend, and are currently showing signs of converging again.
Therefore, if it falls this time, the key issue is whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 52K.
Before that, we need to check whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1D and 1W charts, which are passing around 60K.
-
(Trading-related-1)
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to conduct trading on the Heikin Ashi candle chart.
The creation of HA-Low means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows support near HA-Low, it is a time to buy.
If it falls below HA-Low, there is a high possibility that the low point will be renewed, so a step-down trend is likely to occur.
The creation of HA-High means that a high point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows resistance near HA-High, it is a time to sell.
If it rises above HA-High, there is a high possibility that a step-up trend will occur, so a step-down trend is likely to occur.
Therefore, you can receive a basic range to start trading.
-
(Trading-related-2)
In order to conduct a transaction, support and resistance points drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required.
To do this, we used various indicators to display support and resistance points.
The support and resistance lines provided in this way indicate that the longer the horizontal line, the more faithfully it can perform its role as support and resistance.
The horizontal line displayed on the bottom chart among the three charts above is displayed by the BW indicator.
The BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and suerTrend indicators.
Therefore, I think it is highly reliable.
-
(Trading-related-3)
The BW indicator mentioned near Trading-2 is actually an indicator included in the TS-BW DMI indicator.
This BW indicator is designed to draw a horizontal line on the price candle when it forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100).
Therefore, you can proceed with trading depending on whether there is support at this horizontal line.
If the BW indicator is created at the lowest point (0), it is likely to form a bottom section, and if it is created near the highest point (100), it is likely to form a high section.
At this time, you can check whether the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold or overbought section and the correlation between StochRSI and StochRSI EMA to gain time to respond to an uptrend or downtrend.
Since the BW line is currently created below the candle, it must fall below the BW line in order to turn into a downtrend.
Therefore, when it falls below the BW line, you need to check whether the StochRSI indicator has fallen in the overbought zone or is maintaining the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
If so, you need to determine that there is a higher possibility of a downtrend and create a response strategy.
-
(Trading-related-4)
The auxiliary indicators added this time are DMI and OBV.
However, it is not easy to check these two indicators separately.
When interpreting the two indicators, subjective thoughts are constantly added, leading to incorrect interpretations or taking a long time to interpret, making it difficult to respond quickly in real time.
Therefore, we have comprehensively presented the important interpretation methods of the DMI and OBV indicators.
If it rises from the 0 point, it means that the upward trend is strong, and if it falls, it means that the downward trend is strong.
Among them, the -2 ~ 2 section can be interpreted as forming a box section, that is, a sideways section.
Therefore, the newly added DMI+OBV can be considered as a method of interpreting the CCI indicator.
-----------------------------------------
Looking at the above, you may think that you can trade well, but when you actually trade, you may feel that it is not going well.
I think this is because you do not have a trading strategy that fits your investment style.
To create a trading strategy that fits you, you must have a concept of the three things above:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method.
In other words, you start trading thinking that you will conduct day trading as the investment period, but as the trading time passes, the problem is that the investment period is gradually extended to the short term and beyond, not day trading.
In addition, you should distribute your investment funds according to your investment period, but if you do not do so, investing a lot of investment funds in one coin (token, stock) and creating an imbalance in your trading is also a problem.
The investment scale of scalping or day trading and the investment scale of the mid- to long-term are bound to be different, but by using the same concept, you will create a situation where you can no longer proceed with the transaction.
In other words, this refers to the phenomenon where you end up with 0 cash, which prevents you from proceeding with the transaction you intended and ends up proceeding with the wrong transaction.
To do this, you need to think about how to buy, sell, cut losses, etc. when trading and how to make a profit.
To do this, you need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Then, you use various auxiliary indicators or chart tools to check whether there is support at these support and resistance points and whether it is a time for trading.
The most commonly used ones are the price moving average, trend line, and Fibonacci ratio.
Since these indicators and chart tools are created after the price movement, they can all be considered lagging.
So, I would not say that auxiliary indicators such as RSI, StochRSI, MACD, CCI indicators are lagging indicators and therefore do not need to be used.
Ultimately, the decision to proceed with a trade is determined by how well it reflects your investment style.
Therefore, even if the chart analysis is interpreted in a completely different direction, you can reduce losses or even gain profits depending on your trading strategy.
Therefore, rather than investing a lot of time in chart analysis, you should figure out how it fits your investment style and think about how to reflect it in your trading.
So, rather than worrying about whether the current price will rise or fall, you should think about how to respond when you start trading at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
How to Adapt Your Trading Plan to Any Market ConditionDaily Trendline Break and Market Structure
The break of the daily trendline suggests potential bearish momentum. However, as the break appears corrective, we must be cautious about interpreting it as a reversal too early. As described in the Trinity Rule, it’s crucial to evaluate whether price is moving impulsively or correctively before deciding.
The market could be forming an arcing structure, which traps traders on the wrong side before reversing, as mentioned in Pattern Separation. This aligns with the idea that the market may retest the trendline or break structure in the opposite direction after a fake-out.
Lower Timeframe Ascending Channel
There is an ascending channel on the lower timeframes, which typically signals continuation of the bullish trend unless there’s a strong breakout to the downside. This is where the Multi-Touch Confirmation comes in; if we get a third touch on this channel without a break, it could present a strong reversal signal.
However, if the price decisively breaks the ascending channel with strong momentum, the next step would be to look for a flag or corrective structure for an entry into the bearish continuation, as highlighted in Running Channels.
High-Probability Trade Setup
Impulse and Correction:
As per Entry Types, a high-probability trade should be executed after the first impulse following a correction. If the price breaks out of the ascending channel, wait for a correction (such as a flag) before entering a short position.
You may look for a third touch confirmation to enhance the probability of success.
Risk Management:
Don’t rush the entry based solely on the trendline break. Ensure the structure evolves, showing a confirmed breakout, especially on higher timeframes.
Manage your stop loss based on market structure rather than arbitrary levels. For instance, if the market presents an impulsive move after breaking the channel, your stop could be above the last lower high.
Market Structure and Valid Trades
Evolve Structure: Continuously update your structure by considering the most recent touches. This avoids getting caught in outdated setups.
Where Are We in Structure?: Evaluate whether the price is impulsively breaking key levels or showing corrective behavior. If momentum is lacking after the trendline break, the bearish setup may not play out.
Trade Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
Price Breaks the Ascending Channel: If the price breaks with momentum, look for a retest or flag formation to enter short.
Manage Your Position: As the Rule of Three suggests, avoid perfectionism. If the market forms a strong flag or corrective structure, trust the process and adjust your stop as the trade moves in your favor.
Bullish Scenario (Long Setup) :
Price Fails to Break the Channel: If the market respects the ascending channel, this could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. You could enter long after the third touch confirmation or a clear rejection of lower levels.
Multi-Touch Confirmation: This will be a key factor if the market holds within the channel.
Key Considerations
Impulse and Confirmation: Be patient for the first impulse and correction before committing to a trade.
Stay Neutral: Use running channels and the overall structure to keep a neutral mindset until the market gives a clear signal.
Avoid Perfectionism: Don’t hesitate or wait for the “perfect” setup if multiple confluences align. Stick to your pre-trade checklist to avoid overanalyzing.
Important Support and Resistance Points: 19582.6
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-------------------------------------
To summarize the explanation below,
The current strength to maintain the uptrend is weakening.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 19582.6.
-------------------------------------
(1W chart)
A new week has begun.
The key is whether it can receive support and continue the uptrend near 19582.6.
1. Check if ADX can rise above 25
2. Check if OBV can rise above the High Line
3. Check if StochRSI enters the overbought zone
4. Check if BW can touch the highest point (100)
If 1 and 2 are satisfied, the upward trend is expected to continue.
If 3 and 4 are satisfied, the high point zone is expected to be formed.
It does not immediately fall when the high point zone is formed,
- Check if ADX shows a downward trend or falls below 25
- Check if OBV falls below the High Line or shows a downward trend
When the above two conditions are satisfied, the decline is likely to begin.
At this time, the important thing to look at is whether there is support near 19582.6.
If it falls below 19582.6, it is likely to fall to around 17854.8.
The Fibonacci ratio shown on the left side of the chart is drawn in the first rising wave.
The Fibonacci ratio shown on the right side of the chart is drawn in the second rising wave.
Therefore, if it touches the Fibonacci ratio 1 (21137.6) on the right side, it is expected to pick up the trend again.
The second rising section is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) on the left side.
The long-term uptrend resumed on the week of March 13th as it broke through the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it starts to fall, it is expected to show significant volatility by touching the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal on the 1M chart is rising around 17854.8.
-
(1D chart)
StochRSI has touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, it is expected that even if it rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
If it rises above 19582.6, I think it is highly likely to touch around 20313.8 and fall.
If not, it will turn into a downward trend.
At this time, what you need to check is
1. Whether ADX rises above 25.
2. Whether OBV is maintained above the high line or below the low line and remains.
If the above 1 and 2 are not satisfied, there is a possibility of forming a box section.
-------------------------------------------------
Sometimes, there are people who strangely say that indicators from coin charts are used in stock charts.
Most indicators on charts have been created and used in the stock market for a long time.
I hope you know that they can be applied to all investment markets.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
To maintain the uptrend,it needs to be supported around 61099.25
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I'm publishing in advance because I have a schedule.
I will explain the new 1W chart and 1D chart as soon as the schedule is over.
--------------------------------------
Since I have updated the necessary information for day trading, I will often explain the trading method for day trading.
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
It is expected that volatility will occur as the 5EMA line of the 1D chart is touched.
Accordingly, if it falls below the 5EMA of the 1D chart, the key is whether it can receive support near 61149.5.
Since the M-Signal of the 1D chart and the M-Signal of the 1W chart are passing near 60651.2, I think it is a section that must receive support to start an uptrend.
- ADX is below 20.
- Since OBV is converging, there is a high possibility that a trend will be formed if it breaks through the low line (LL) or high line (HH) soon.
- You should check whether the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold section and shows an uptrend with StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the trend strength has weakened as ADX falls below 25, there is a high possibility that a box section will be formed.
Therefore, you should check which section the box section is formed in and think about whether to proceed with a trade within the box section.
However, as I mentioned earlier, if you touch the 5EMA of the 1D chart, ADX can rise above 25, so you need to check what kind of movement it shows at that time.
The right time to proceed with a buy (LONG) is when it is supported and rising near the HA-Low indicator.
At this time, ADX should be rising above 25 and OBV should be rising along the high point line (HH).
The right time to proceed with a sell (SHORT) is when it is resisted and falling near the HA-HIgh indicator.
At this time, ADX should be rising above 25 and OBV should be falling along the low point line (LL).
------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can be supported near the 2nd section and rise to the 1st section.
To do that
- ADX must be maintained above 25 or show an upward trend.
- OBV must show an upward trend along the high point line (HH).
- StochRSI must change to a state where it is > StochRSI EMA and show an upward trend.
-
(1W chart)
The formula of the StochRSI indicator included in the TS-BW DMI indicator has changed, creating a different trend line than the previous idea.
Therefore, we should check the movement when a new candle is created.
Looking at the TS-BW DMI indicator,
- StochRSI appears to have changed to an oversold zone and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
- We should check if ADX can be maintained above 25.
A decline in ADX means that the trend strength is weakening.
If you look at the OBV indicator, you can see that OBV is converging.
Accordingly, you need to check whether it can maintain the uptrend by rising above the high point line (HH).
-
(1D chart)
The trend line has changed, and the next volatility period has changed from around October 7 to around October 11.
- ADX is below 25.
- OBV is showing signs of breaking out of the high point line and then entering within the high point line.
- StochRSI indicator is showing signs of changing the trend in the overbought zone.
It is judged that it is not easy to maintain the uptrend in the current state.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 63118.62-64000.0.
If not, and it falls, it is important to see if it can be supported around 61099.25.
If the price is maintained above 61099.25, I think it will meet the conditions to start an uptrend because the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Activate the alarm function when touching the set indicator
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
One of the good things about using TradingView charts is that you can use the alarm function.
This alarm function has a limit on the number depending on the plan you use, so please check it out.
I will take the time to explain the alarm function using my chart.
It is hard, boring, and tedious to just look at the chart until you meet the desired trading point or criteria.
If you do that, you may end up making a wrong trade or missing the trading period while doing something else.
If you create an alarm and change the Value section to the HA-MS_BW indicator, multiple indicators will be displayed.
The indicators currently activated on the chart are HA-Low, HA-High, BW, and M-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, so you can select BW or HA-Low, LH, LL and check if the alarm turns on when they cross.
When looking at the 15m chart, since it is moving sideways in the box section of the HA-Low indicator, if you set it to LH, LL indicator, the alarm will come when you touch the upper or lower point of the box.
Then, you can use it conveniently when you want to trade within the box section.
If you want to trade in a large trend, I think it would be good to set the alarm to turn on when you touch the 5EMA on the 1D chart.
Or, you can set the alarm to turn on when the OBV indicator breaks through the high (HH) or low (LL) line upward.
If you are a paid member of TradingView, I highly recommend using the alarm function.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Example of how to determine the timing of a tradeHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The following is an explanation of how to use the indicators included in the chart.
If you don't need to see how to use the indicators, you don't have to read it.
-
(15m chart)
Currently, it is moving sideways within the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, in order for a trend to occur, it must break out of the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
When the support and resistance points indicated on the chart are touched, you should check the movements of the OBV, DMI, and StochRSI indicators and decide whether to proceed with the trade.
If the DMI rises above 25, there is a possibility that it will break through the box section of the HA-Low indicator upward.
At this time, you should check whether the OBV is rising along the high point line and the status of the StochRSI.
If not, you should decide whether to proceed with the trade within the box section.
--------------------------------------
I think that the indicators I used have been organized and modified, and now they are being used more in day trading.
If possible, it is good to draw support and resistance lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and respond accordingly.
The most difficult part of any trade is whether it will go up or down right now.
For this, we refer to many things.
So, what I am going to explain is not necessarily correct, but I think it will reduce the fight with myself about whether to trade right now.
-
(1D chart)
(4m chart)
The most important thing in my chart is the MS-Signal indicator.
This MS-Signal indicator was created using the MACD formula.
Therefore, to see the trend, you can refer to the movement of the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on 1D, 1W, 1M charts).
Then, you can immediately see the current trend on any time frame chart.
For reference, the MS-Signal indicator is made up of the M-Signal line and the S-Signal line.
-
(15m chart)
(5m chart)
The next important indicator is the HA-Low, HA-High indicator.
The HA-Low, HA-High indicator is an indicator that shows the conditions for trading on the Heikin Ashi chart.
Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point range has been formed, and the creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and the HA-High indicator is the first selling period.
A full-scale uptrend begins when it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises above the HA-High indicator.
On the other hand, a full-scale downtrend begins when it encounters resistance from the HA-High indicator and falls below the HA-Low indicator.
You can use this characteristic to determine the timing of trading.
-
The BW line is an indicator that is displayed when the lowest point (0) and highest point (100) of the BW indicator included in the TS-BW DMI auxiliary indicator form a horizontal line.
Therefore, the creation of the BW line means that a low point or high point section has been formed.
Therefore,
1. If the BW indicator is at the lowest point (0), it means that a low point section has been formed.
2. If the BW indicator is at the highest point (100), it means that a high point section has been formed.
However, rather than looking at the BW line in this sense, it is better to think of it as a support and resistance point and focus on whether you can proceed with trading depending on whether it is supported or not.
-
With the newly added OBV and DMI indicators, you can now check whether the current rise or fall will continue by following the correlation of the StochRSI indicator.
I think it was difficult to determine this with just the StochRSI indicator in the past.
The reason is that when the StochRSI indicator entered the overbought or oversold zone and tried to escape from that zone, it often led to additional rise or fall.
Therefore, your own chart analysis know-how was needed to determine this.
That does not mean that chart analysis know-how is not needed because the OBV and DMI indicators were added.
Please think of it as the concept that there is more reference material to determine this.
-
(OBV indicator)
In order for the price to rise or fall, trading volume must occur.
Therefore, it is good to see whether the current rise or fall occurs and whether the buying or selling force increases.
The indicator used to confirm this is the OBV indicator.
I will not explain the concept of the indicators I am explaining separately.
The reason is that it only increases the time spent studying the chart, so I am trying to explain only the core utilization methods of the indicator.
In that sense,
- If the OBV line rises above the high point and is maintained, it means that the buying force is increasing,
- If the OBV line falls below the low point and is maintained, it means that the selling force is increasing.
By utilizing this, it can be helpful in determining whether the current rise or fall is sustainable.
The color changes when the low or high line is broken, which means that it is the trading period.
-
(DMI indicator)
The DMI indicator is an indicator composed of D+, D-, and ADX lines.
Therefore, it is difficult to see and interpret it.
To compensate for this, three indicators were created as one.
The ADX indicator indicates the strength of the trend.
Therefore, an ADX line rising means that the current trend is getting stronger.
On the other hand, an ADX line falling means that the current trend is getting weaker.
Therefore, you cannot tell whether the current trend is rising or falling just by looking at the ADX line.
The correlation between the D+ and D- indicators tells you this.
The ADX line in the TS-BW DMI indicator is a comprehensive expression of this information.
If the color of the ADX line is pink (#e65100), it indicates an upward trend, and if it is aqua, it indicates a downward trend.
If the ADX line is located below 25, it is highly likely that a box section will form.
Therefore, at this time, you should check the movement of the indicators mentioned above and check whether there is support at the support and resistance lines displayed at the current price position to determine the trading point.
-
By checking the correlation between StochRSI and StochRSI EMA, you can determine whether the current trend is sustainable by checking whether the previously used StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought or oversold zone.
In other words, even if OBV and DMI show an upward trend, if the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend in the overbought zone or declines, you should determine that it is difficult to continue the upward trend and find a way to respond.
In that sense, if you look at the 1D chart, you can immediately see that even if it rises further, it will eventually fall.
Therefore, I think it is a good idea to wait until the StochRSI indicator shows an initialization (if it has entered the overbought zone, it must fall and touch the oversold zone to be determined to have been initialized).
We do not know how much the StochRSI indicator will fall, but now we can determine it by looking at the OBV and DMI indicators together.
-
To comprehensively explain the OBV, DMI, and StochRSI indicators,
1. For an uptrend to continue
- OBV must show an uptrend along the high point line
- DMI must show an uptrend
- StochRSI must show an uptrend (better if it has not entered the overbought zone)
2. For a downtrend to continue
- OBV must show a downtrend along the low point line
- DMI must show an uptrend
- StochRSI must show a downtrend (better if it has not entered the oversold zone)
3. In the case of a box zone
- When OBV moves between the low point line and the high point line
- When DMI is maintained around 25 or below
- When StochRSI is maintained around 50
If you have not started a trade when a movement occurs at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart, it is recommended to check whether there is support by meeting the support and resistance points and then proceed with the trade.
Also,
- When OBV rises above the low or midline
- When DMI shows an upward trend
- When StochRSI rises in the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA
When the above conditions are met, you can check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts around the price and proceed with the transaction.
If you are using my chart to trade, it is recommended to draw at least the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
And, when the BW line is created, you can determine the trading point by looking at the movement of the indicators.
If you need more support and resistance points, you can activate the StochRSI-related (StochRSI < 80, StochRSI > 20), OBV, CCI-related (-100, +100), and RSI-related (RSI < 70, RSI > 30) indicators in the settings of the HA-MS_BW indicator.
In addition, 1, 2, 3, and 4 indicate the volume profile points by period, so they also play the role of support and resistance.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 2 ExamplesGreetings Traders!
In today's video, we'll continue our deep dive into Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery—a model rooted in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore the concept of draw on liquidity through premium and discount price delivery, equipping you to identify optimal trading sessions and execute high-probability trades, all while aligning with market bias.
This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven't watched the previous videos, I highly recommend doing so. They provide essential insights into identifying and acting on market bias, which Quarter Theory enhances further.
I highly recommend you watch ICT2022 Mentorship model on YouTube, it will really help you in your trading journey, the link to the mentorship is provided below.
I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below.
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 Intro:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
ICT 2022 Mentorship: www.youtube.com
High Probability Trading Zones: www.youtube.com
Best Regards,
The_Architect
KOG's RED BOXES - SILVERSILVER:
Key level here is 29.63 with the bias being bullish above.
Retracement needed with support just below at the red box which will need to break to go lower.
Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Expected Rising Point: Around 65920.71
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I'm publishing this in advance because I have a schedule.
The content below is the explanation part necessary for understanding the chart.
Therefore, you don't necessarily have to read it, but if you want to use my chart and indicator, you can refer to the explanation that I often give like this.
-
Let's summarize the current chart content.
- Current important support area: 61099.25
- When rising
1st: 63118.62-64000.0
2nd: 65920.71-67614.25
The 1st and 2nd areas above correspond to the support and resistance areas.
Among these, the next important point after 61099.25 is 65920.71-67614.25.
- If it falls below 61099.25
1st: 57889.10-59053.55
2nd: 56150.01-56950.56
The 1st and 2nd areas above are support and resistance zones.
- If it moves according to the previous flow, it is expected that the trend will be determined again after rising to around 65920.71.
However, since the StochRSI indicator shows signs of entering the overbought zone, we need to check at what point it is supported when it falls from the overbought zone.
Therefore, we need to look at how the StochRSI indicator is initialized.
--------------------------------------
No one actually knows what the future trend will be.
However, we can only guess based on the current movement and respond accordingly.
Therefore, it is necessary to objectively observe what kind of movement the chart is showing.
However, since the candlestick charts that we commonly see have volatility exposed as it is, it is likely that it will be difficult to analyze and interpret the chart.
Therefore, it is necessary to exclude elements such as fakes and sweeps from the movement of candles.
For that, I think the Renko chart is a good chart to use.
(Renko 1D chart)
I think you can know where the support and resistance points are and what the current trend is without me explaining it separately.
Let me explain a little more.
- If it falls below 56,000, a new downtrend is likely to form.
- Since it is currently moving sideways in the 56,000-70,000 range, it is likely that an uptrend will begin only if it rises above 70,000.
I have roughly explained the important areas in the current price position.
-
You need to create a trading strategy based on whether there is support at the support and resistance points, but it is not easy to check whether there is support.
Therefore, to supplement this, we utilize the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator.
The BW indicator included in the TS-BW UP indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates and displays the StochRSI, MACD, CCI, PVT, and superTrend indicators.
Therefore, when it is at the lowest point (0), it is judged that a low point section is being formed and we look for a place to buy.
To confirm this more quickly, we made the BW line drawn near the price candle.
On the other hand, when it is at the highest point (100), we judge that a high point section is being formed and we look for a place to sell.
Similar to the principle of the BW indicator, we utilize the StochRSI indicator.
In other words, when the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold section, we look for a place to buy, and when it falls in the overbought section, we look for a place to sell.
I have talked a lot about how to utilize the StochRSI indicator before, so I would appreciate it if you could refer to the previous idea.
---------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Actually, I don't need to draw a separate trend line on my chart.
However, many people look at the trend line and check the trend with the pattern according to it, so I just drew it.
When it is judged necessary to select a volatility period, a trend line is drawn.
Since BTC or ETH charts occupy a large portion of the coin market, we draw a trend line to select a volatility period and inform you.
-
The trend is confirmed with the MS-Signal indicator.
The MS-Signal indicator consists of the M-Signal line and the S-Signal line.
Therefore, the current trend is determined based on the arrangement of the M-Signal lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart, it is considered to be in a full-blown uptrend.
If M-Signal on the 1D chart < M-Signal on the 1W chart < M-Signal on the 1M chart, it is considered to be in a full-blown downtrend.
Since M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that it is maintaining an uptrend in the long term, but is showing a downtrend in the short and medium term.
Therefore, whether this uptrend can be maintained by switching to M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart is an important issue from a trend perspective.
-
If you have confirmed the trend, you should check what happens during the trading period and create a trading strategy accordingly.
Therefore, first, you need to find a trading period.
To do this, we utilize the HA-Low and HA-High indicators in the HA-MS indicator.
The HA-Low indicator is generated when it breaks out of the low range.
Therefore, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it receives support, it is a section where you can buy.
The HA-High indicator is generated when it breaks out of the high range.
Therefore, if it rises above the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend, and if it receives resistance, it is a section where you can sell.
Therefore, the narrower the gap between the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the higher the possibility of large volatility.
In other words, you can check convergence and divergence.
-
If you have confirmed the trading period with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, you need support and resistance points to create an actual trading strategy.
To do this, I used several auxiliary indicators to draw horizontal lines.
You can distinguish the strength of the support and resistance roles based on the length of these horizontal lines.
However, you need to draw support and resistance lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
For now, I will only talk about the support and resistance lines on the 1D chart for explanation.
The points that are currently performing the strongest support and resistance roles on the chart are 69499.85, 68393.48, and 58697.01.
The next important points are 64179.08, 57889.10, and 56022.01.
You can create a trading strategy by selecting the support and resistance low points like this.
This is a chart that only shows the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
There may be differences between the points explained above and the support and resistance points on the actual charts used.
The reason is that they were selected based on the importance of the support and resistance points.
The importance of the support and resistance points is in the order of 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
Therefore, if there are support and resistance lines on the 1W, 1D charts near the support and resistance lines drawn on the 1M chart, they are replaced with the support and resistance lines drawn on the 1M chart.
The BW line is drawn at the point where the arrow is pointing.
This BW line is a line drawn at the highest point (100), so it corresponds to the high point section.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has not yet clearly re-entered the overbought zone, it can be interpreted that additional increases are taking place.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator rises to the overbought zone and then tries to fall below the overbought zone, you should check whether it is supported near the BW line.
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If it rises above 61099.25,
1st: 63118.62-64000.0
2nd: 65920.71-67614.25
The 1st and 2nd areas above correspond to the support and resistance zones.
If you look at the increase after breaking through the Sell line above, it seems to have risen by about 8-9%.
Therefore, if it shows an increase this time as well, it is expected to touch around 65920.71.
The 65920.71 point is an important point as the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart.
The 67614.25 point is an HA-High indicator point on the 1D chart.
Therefore, we can see that in order for the stepwise uptrend to begin, it must rise above 67614.25.
Before that, the 61099.25 point is an HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart, which is a section that must be supported in order for the stepwise uptrend to begin from a long-term perspective.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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Important Support Zone: 17496.82-17806.08
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I published it as a NAS100USD chart, but this is the first time I published it as an IXIC chart.
The reason I published it as an IXIC chart is to check the gap location.
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To summarize the content below a little more,
- The key is whether it can receive support near 17806.08 and rise above 18425.15.
- If it rises, it is expected to determine the trend again near 19189.16-19615.36.
- If it falls below 17806.08
1st: 17496.82
2nd: 16480.98-16574.39
3rd: 15491.66-15780.14
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st-3rd above.
- Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, even if it continues to rise, it will eventually show a downward trend.
At this time, whether there is support near 17496.82-17806.08 is important.
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It is rising with a 2.32% gap increase.
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 18425.15.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise with support above 17806.08.
If it falls below 17806.08, it is likely to fall to around 17395.53.
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It has risen above the left Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (17191.03) and is rising near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.886 (18171.81).
Therefore, if it rises above 18425.15, it is expected to determine the trend again near the right Fibonacci ratio 1 (19189.16) ~ left Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (19615.36).
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However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, it appears to be forming a high point.
Whether this high will be a real high or a high to create a pull back pattern will depend on where it is supported.
Therefore, if it falls to the lowest point from the current price position, the key point is whether there is support near 17496.82.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the first support area is near 17806.08.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 60672.0-61099.25
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
For those who don't want to read a long explanation, I'll tell you the conclusion first.
The actual chart analysis is as follows.
- Current volatility period: September 9-29
- Next volatility period: Around October 7
- The most important support and resistance zones at the current price position: 60672.0-61099.25
- Support and resistance zones when rising
1st: 63118.62-64000.0
2nd: 65920.71-67614.25
- Support and resistance zones when falling
1st: 57889.10-59053.35
2nd: 56150.01-56950.56
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(Example of how to select a volatility period using the StochRSI indicator)
It is the turn to form a low zone in the wave flow, but by breaking through the high trend line (1) upward, There has been a change in the wave.
The wave that has been going on until now was a downward wave, but it has now broken through the current high trend line (1) upward, making it an unknown state.
Therefore, the section where the high trend line (1) and the low trend line (2) intersect, that is, the section marked with a circle, can be called a volatility section.
In order to continue the existing downward wave, it must fall below the high trend line (1).
If not, there is a high possibility that a new wave will be created.
Therefore, the day when the high trend line (1) and the low trend line (2) intersect, that is, around September 13 (September 12-14), can be called a volatility period.
However, when selecting a volatility period, it is important to have support and resistance lines and trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
What I have just mentioned is an example of selecting a trend change and volatility period using the flow of waves using the StochRSI indicator.
Trend lines that intersect important support and resistance lines indicate more significant periods of volatility.
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The high trend line is drawn by connecting the high points of the StochRSI indicator, that is, the opening prices of the bearish candles corresponding to points a1 and a2.
(If the candles corresponding to points a1 and a2 are not bearish candles, move to the right until a bearish candle appears.)
The low trend line is drawn by connecting the low prices of the candles corresponding to points b1 and b2 of the StochRSI indicator.
The trend line is ultimately a lagging indicator drawn after the price has passed.
If you say that auxiliary indicators do not need to be considered lagging indicators, I think that means you do not need to look at trend lines either.
Therefore, rather than rejecting indicators, I think it would be good to use them as reference material to create a trading strategy by utilizing several indicators that fit your investment style.
-
Based on the explanation above, if we select the next volatility period, October 7th is the volatility period.
This volatility period is the volatility period selected on the 1W chart, and the week before and after September 16th is the volatility period.
Therefore, September 9th-29th is the volatility period.
However, based on the volatility period selected on the 1D chart, we can see that this volatility period began in earnest around September 13th.
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The lines are drawn in a complicated manner, but if you have been watching the explanations I often give, I think you will notice the important parts.
Therefore, you should pay attention to the points, sections, trend lines, indicators, and volatility periods that I mentioned.
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The most important section for the current price position is 60672.0-61099.25.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the 60672.0-61099.25 section and receive support.
Since the sell line of the superTrend indicator is formed at the 60674.89 point, it supports that the 60672.0-61099.25 section is an important section.
If not, it is important whether it can receive support near the 59053.55 point, that is, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
-
If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought section and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, the price is likely to eventually fall.
In other words, the StochRSI indicator must touch the overbought or oversold zone to close the current wave and start creating a new wave.
Since it can create a continuation wave of the existing wave, you can refer to the trend line drawn using the StochRSI indicator mentioned above.
-
As explained in the previous idea, if it rises above 61099.25, the next support and resistance zone is 63118.62-64000.0.
-
You should draw support and resistance lines in advance before starting a transaction.
Otherwise, if you draw support and resistance lines after starting a transaction, your psychological state will begin to be reflected, making it difficult to draw important support and resistance lines, so you should avoid it.
To prevent this, we created a support and resistance point display using auxiliary indicators.
If you use this, I think you can exclude many psychological factors when drawing support and resistance lines even after starting a transaction.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Triple Your Trade Accuracy with This Simple Trick Like a PROGood Morning Tradingview,
Apologies for the delay in my recent posts over the past two days. Unfortunately, this was due to an oversight on my part. I missed a key detail in the trading platform's rules and mistakenly included my watermark on the charts. As a result, several of my posts were removed, and I was temporarily unable to post for 24 hours. I completely understand and respect the platform's guidelines, but I wanted to keep you informed and ensure you're not left wondering about my absence.
Here’s a breakdown of potential entry points and trade management based on the chart I've shared, aligned with multi-touch confirmation and The Trinity Rule. We'll focus on how to approach both the bullish and bearish scenarios with structured decision-making:
1. Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
The price currently appears to be testing a weekly trendline (third touch), which often signals a potential bullish continuation after the third touch confirms a reversal or trend continuation.
Here's how to structure the trade:
Entry Point:
Wait for a Breakout: If the price breaks and closes above the upper consolidation zone, look for a confirmed breakout with momentum. Avoid entering prematurely, as false breakouts can occur.
Confirm with Retest (Higher Probability Entry): After the breakout, wait for a potential retest of the consolidation zone or the top of the ascending wedge. A retest that holds (with rejection wicks or bullish engulfing patterns) adds confirmation for a long position.
Reduced Risk Entry: You can enter with a smaller position on the breakout and add to the position on the retest, increasing exposure as the price confirms your bias.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place the stop-loss just below the consolidation zone or below the retested area. This level serves as your risk threshold, accounting for potential fakeouts.
If you are entering after the third touch of the trendline, the stop-loss can be placed below this key level to minimize risk.
Take-Profit Targets:
First Target: Aim for the next key resistance zone at around 2,576 based on historical price action.
Second Target: If momentum is strong, hold a portion of the trade for a larger move toward 2,592 (upper resistance). Trail the stop as price continues to move upward.
2. Bearish Scenario (Yellow Path):
If the price fails to break above the current consolidation and rejects the trendline, it indicates a potential bearish reversal. The descending path might target the 1-hour liquidity zone around 2,541, where you can expect the price to react.
Entry Point:
Breakout of Consolidation: If the price breaks below the consolidation, this signals a bearish continuation. Enter on a confirmed breakout, with a strong bearish candle close below support.
Aggressive Entry: You may consider entering on the third rejection at the top of the consolidation, especially if there's a clear bearish reversal pattern (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing).
Reduced Risk Entry: Wait for the price to break below the consolidation and enter on a retest of the broken support, confirming the bearish momentum. This provides a lower-risk entry with better confirmation.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Above the consolidation or the most recent swing high where rejection occurred, giving enough room for market fluctuations. Ensure that the stop isn’t too tight, as you could get caught in price noise.
Take-Profit Targets:
First Target: The 15-minute liquidity zone around 2,560 is a reasonable first target, where you may partially close your position.
Final Target: The key 1-hour liquidity zone at 2,541 is the more substantial target for a full bearish continuation. Be mindful of how price reacts near this zone; you may want to take profits before a reversal happens.
Management Tips:
Scaling In and Out: Whether bullish or bearish, consider splitting your position into smaller entries. This allows you to enter part of the trade with confirmation and add more as price action continues in your favor.
Use of Flags for Re-entries: After the initial breakout in either direction, look for flags or continuation patterns to re-enter the trade or add to an existing position. For example, after a bullish breakout, wait for a flag and enter on the next wave up.
Regular Monitoring and Adjustments: As the price moves in your favor, trail your stop-loss to lock in profits. This is especially important during strong momentum moves to avoid giving back profits to the market.
Psychological Considerations:
Avoid FOMO: Don’t rush into trades if you're unsure about the breakout or failure of a level. Let the price action confirm your bias.
Avoid Overtrading: Stick to your Rule of Three guidelines. Ensure at least three confirming factors align with your analysis before entering.
Live Trading Recap: USD/JPY Correction Phase TradeThis is a live execution of USD/JPY trade, demonstrating how to successfully execute a counter-trend strategy. This trade was all about understanding the market phases and recognizing the trend reversal at the right moment.
To pull off a counter-trend trade, you need more than just technical skills—you need a solid grasp of trading psychology. Staying patient, trusting your analysis, and managing emotions during market swings are key to making informed decisions.
Watch the video to see how I combined these elements to turn this trade into a win. Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Example of how to use the StochRSI indicator
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Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above the important section of 60672.0-61099.25.
However, if the StochRSI indicator is located below the overbought section and the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA continues, it is highly likely that it will eventually fall, so caution is required when trading.
If the price is maintained near the M-Signal indicator (above 59053.55) on the 1W chart, it is expected that there will be a challenge to rise above the 60672.0-61099.25 section again.
If it falls below 59053.55 this time, it is expected to fall to around 56K.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is likely to fall below 50.
-
We cannot tell how much the StochRSI indicator will rise or fall, but I think it tells us that there will be a change in the trend.
Therefore, the way to use the StochRSI indicator is:
- When the StochRSI indicator enters the overbought or oversold zone and a change in slope is detected
- When the StochRSI indicator intersects and is maintained with the StochRSI EMA indicator
We need to find a way to respond when the above two conditions are satisfied.
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(Example of how to draw and interpret a trend line)
If you look at the trend line from a short-term perspective, you can see that the low trend line and the high trend line intersect in an 'X' shape.
This shape appears when a trend change occurs.
The drawing of the trend line is
1. Low point trend line: Connect the low points when the StochRSI indicator makes the lowest point of the oversold zone.
2. High point trend line: Connect the high points when the StochRSI indicator makes the highest point of the overbought zone.
However, after making the lowest or highest point, it leaves the oversold or overbought zone and then enters the oversold or overbought zone again to make the lowest or highest point.
The intersection of the trend line drawn in this way and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is likely to be a period of volatility.
However, you should be able to select an important point among the support and resistance points.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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