Tradingstrategyguides
NIKE 1D COLLAPSINGPotential Market Problem with Chinese Tariffs
Market Place - 5 Dow Stocks with High Chinese Exposure with 10% revenues in China
Apple, Boeing, 3M, Nike, Procter & Gamble
Market Realist - 2014 28% Nike shoes sold in China
34% Nike Apparel sold in China
GQ - 2017 19% Nike shoes sold in China
1D chart
Descending Triangle chart pattern
Weekly support levels shown
Triangle bottom and Weekly support level create a support zone
Watch for a candle close below this zone
Watch for a break-hook-go pattern on smaller time frame
Decreasing volume and rising price shows buyers weakening creates a bearish bias
1D PAPA JOHN'S RANGE TRADEPapa John's added Shaq O'Neal to their Board of Directors
This had some positive bullish strength to stock
Price began to fall and created 1st high for range
Company announced their adding to their menu "Organic Veggies"
But Price continued to fall
Price found support and retested the range top
Price broke out of top range with strong volume support but breakout failed
Price returned to range and fell to retest range bottom
Bias is Bearish range breakout because of failed bullish breakout
Watch for a Close below the range bottom w/ volume support
WHY PLANET FITNESS IS THE #1 STOCK TO BUY ON PULLBACKS Start for $1 - Monthly membership is $10 - $20 mo. go to any location
Free T-shirts, bagels, pizza
Clean beautiful gyms
Equipment well maintained - Employees always nice with a no judgement zone
They have dialed in this gym experience
Weekly chart shows they have dialed it in for years
Most of weekly volume spikes are on bullish weeks
People are interested in this chart - volume is going up - volatility is going up
There is a continuous increase in the trend line angle
Anytime your trend line does a dramatic increase like this is called a bump and run.
The bump and run trend line is usually considered bearish but there are strong bullish signs still
Drilling down to 1D chart , notice hugh gap down on May 3rd
Gap down on positive earnings news
Drove down to 15m chart to find where volume spike came from
First few 15m candles drove price back up so gap spike from 1D came from positive moves
Most of the traders want this pair long
When most traders want price to go long you are probably in for a pullback
Price has been pushing up for some time so expecting some consolidation
Watch for an ascending triangle to develop
Sell when you see pullback on reduced volume and volatility
Buy at trend line bounce
If pullback did not come with reduced volume/volatility then enter with smaller size.
Use ATR to determine SL (1.5xATR)and TP (1xATR). When in profit take some off and move SL to break even.
1H WTIcrude EFC INDICATOR STRATEGYEFC Indicator is based on a RSI 20/80 level rules
EFC Indicator finds the last 50 candles fractal low
EFC marks entry point of breakout of that fractal low's high
Stop Loss and Take Profit are set at a 1 x 2 risk reward ratio
I added Williams %R (10 period, -10,-90, hort. line-50)to act as a confirmation of a good bearish downward move
Price and %R are consolidating and moving sideways
EURCAD 1H EFC INDICATOR STRATEGYEFC Indicator is based on a RSI 20/80 level rules
EFC Indicator finds the last 50 candles fractal low
EFC marks entry point of breakout of that fractal low's high
Stop Loss and Take Profit are set at a 1 x 2 risk reward ratio
I added Williams %R to act as a confirmation of a good bullish upward move
WHAT IS AN ATR RISK REWARD MANAGEMENT PLANWHAT IS AN ATR RISK REWARD MANAGEMENT PLAN
1- Maximum per trade risk = 2%
use a position size calculator
2- Stop Loss = ATR x 1.5
3- 1st TP = ATR x 1
4- Use two positions - each 1/2 total of trade risk (1%)
5- Both positions use hard SL - ATR x 1.5
6- 1st position uses hard TP - ATR x 1
7- 2nd position uses a trailing stop for TP
8- After 1st TP hits move 2nd trade SL to break even
9- Follow stops on 2nd position as it runs
10- Don't double leverage a currency
(buy Ca/J and sell U/Ca don't double up)
11- 1st TP hit but price drops:
use Heiken Ashi changes color exit
12- Price does not hit 1st TP and drops:
if my entry strategy changes direction
then close trade to not hit hard SL
13- Shut down trade before hugh news events
VERGE USD 1D 2 PERIOD RSI STRATEGYStep 1 Add RSI to chart
Change RSI period setting to 2
Change RSI levels to 5 & 95
Step 2 Sell when the 2-period RSI indicator crosses above the overbought 95 level or
Buy when the 2-period RSI indicator crosses below the oversold 5 level.
Step 3 Find appropriate SL
Step 4 Take Profit when the 2-period RSI indicator crosses
Sell-below oversold 5 level/Buy-above overbought 95 level
BTCUSD 1D TRADERS DYNAMIC INDEX STRATEGY ENTRY RULESTraders Dynamic Index Strategy Entry Rules
1- Red Line break above Yellow Line
2- Green Line break above Yellow Line
3- Neither Line break above Blue Line
4- Buy when Green Line close above Yellow Line
5- SL below SwgLow or 1,5xATR (min 10 pips)
6- TP when Red & Green cross below 70 level
CADJPY 1H 5 CANDLE MASTERY INDICATOR STRATEGY5 Candle Indicator will paint a green column t indicate a long trade is being setup
5 Candle Indicator will show Buy Entry Signal
Red line below price is an adjusting SL
5 Candle Indicator will show an Exit Signal
Or Exit when green line falls below red line
HOW TO TRADE WITH EMA STRATEGYExponential Moving Average Strategy
(Trading Rules – Sell Trade)
Our exponential moving average strategy is comprised of two elements. The first degree to capture a new trend is to use two exponential moving averages as an entry filter.
By using one moving average with a longer period and one with a shorter period, we automate the strategy. This removes any form of subjectivity from our trading process.
Step #1: Plot on your chart the 20 and 50 EMA
The first step is to properly set up our charts with the right moving averages. We can identify the EMA crossover at the later stage. The exponential moving average strategy uses the 20 and 50 periods EMA.
Most standard trading platforms come with default moving average indicators. It should not be a problem to locate the EMA either on your MT4 platform or Tradingview.
Step #2: Wait for the EMA crossover and for the price to trade below the 20 and 50 EMA.
The second rule of this moving average strategy is the need for the price to trade below both 20 and 50 EMA. Secondly, we need to wait for the EMA crossover, which will add weight to the bullish case.
We refer to the EMA crossover for a sell trade when the 20-EMA crosses below the 50-EMA.
By looking at the EMA crossover, we create an automatic buy and sell signals.
Since the market is prone to false breakouts, we need more evidence than a simple EMA crossover. At this stage, we don’t know if the bearish sentiment is strong enough to push the price further after we sell to make a profit.
To avoid the false breakout, we added a new confluence to support our view. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #3: Wait for the zone between 20 and 50 EMA to be tested once on a sell trade (twice on a buy trade) then look for selling opportunities.
The conviction behind this moving average strategy relies on multiple factors. After the EMA crossover happened, we need to exercise more patience. We will wait for one successive and successful retest of the zone between the 20 and 50 EMA on a sell order but twp retests on a buy order.
The two successful retests of the zone between 20 and 50 EMA give the market enough time to develop a trend on a buy order. However, because the market goes down much faster, we sell on the 1st retest of the zone between 20 and 50. After the EMA crossover happened. .
Never forget that no price is too high to buy in trading. And no price is too low to sell.
Note* When we refer to the “zone between 20 and 50EMA,” we actually don’t mean that the price needs to trade in the space between the two moving averages.
We just wanted to cover the whole price spectrum between the two EMAs. This is because the price will only briefly touch the shorter moving average (20-EMA). But this is still a successful retest.
Now, we still need to define where exactly we are going to buy. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #4: Sell at the market when we retest the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time.
If the price successfully retests the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time, we go ahead and sell at the market price. We now have enough evidence that the bearish momentum is strong to continue pushing this market lower.
Now, we still need to define where to place our protective stop loss and where to take profits. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #5: Place the protective Stop Los 20 pips above the 50 EMA
After the EMA crossover happened, and after we had two successive retests, we know the trend is down. As long as we trade below both exponential moving averages the trend remains intact.
In this regard, we place our protective stop loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA. We added a buffer of 20 pips because we understand we’re not living in a perfect world. The market is prone to do false breakouts.
Step #6: You pick your own TP strategy or Take Profit once we break and close above the 50-EMA
If we waited for the EMA crossover to happen on the other side, we would have given back some of the potential profits. We need to consider the fact that the exponential moving averages are a lagging indicator.
The exponential moving average formula used to plot our EMAs allow us to still take profits right at the time the market is about to reverse.
Note** The above was an example of a SELL trade. Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a BUY trade. However, because the market goes down much faster, we sell on the 1st retest of the zone between 20 and 50. After the EMA crossover happened.
The exponential moving average strategy is a classic example of how to construct a simple EMA crossover system. With this exponential moving average system, we’re not trying to predict the market. But rather to react to the current market condition which is a much better way to trade the market.
The advantage of our trading strategy stands in the exponential moving average formula. It plots a much smoother EMA that gives better entries and exits.
AUDNZD 4H TRADESPrice is at the 100 sma
Price close below or above 100 sma determines direction
Follow Macd for direction
Long Trade
Price closes above 100 sma
Enter at candle close
Buy TP @ 1.0679
SL below 100 sma
Short Trade
Price closes below 100 sma
Enter at candle close
Sell TP @ 1.0505
SL above 100 sma
USING MATH TRICKS ON YOUR CHARTS You can't count cards in casinos, but you can count bars in price action. No matter what pattern you trade, I would bet that if it falls out of of the pattern in less than 5 bars, it's not going to happen, so don't waste your time. Come back to it later. But, if it holds the pattern for 10 bars, it's probably going to continue in the pattern for 20 to 30 more bars. This little trick enables you to estimate how much time to expect your trading pattern to continue which is very useful when you're deciding whether or not you want to take the trade.
For example, if you're looking for a range pattern to trade on a short-time frame chart, look for one that has been working the range for 10 bars and you can expect at least 10 to 20 more bars of similar price action.
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is another math-hound I love on my charts. It looks at historical prices and gives you a picture of current momentum and direction. MACD crunches numbers on 4 different levels, and that might be hard to do in your head. But, have a look when the MACD line crosses zero, changing from positive to negative polarity, and you'll know the math is telling you something new is happening in the market right now. How does it take historical price numbers and tell us what's happening now or even be predictive of what's going to happen next? Mathematically, of course, it can compare what was happening awhile ago with what the price numbers are doing now, and detect change in the algorithmic patterns. When "change" is viewed as momentum starting to build, that math makes you smarter with your trade entries and exits.
BTCUSDT 1H PARABOLIC SAR & MOVING AVERAGE TRADING STRATEGYIn this strategy, you are going to learn about a trading strategy that uses the how to use parabolic SAR indicator (Stop And Reversal) trading tool, along with two moving averages trading strategy to catch new trends on the reversal and continuation of the trend.
If the dot is below the candle this can be a signal to BUY or an uptrend. When the change occurs (the dot goes from below to above the next candle) this indicates a potential price reversal may be happening or a bearish pullback and bullish continuation move.
Some may think why not just trade the dots. When it reverses, just make an entry at that price. Technically you can trade like this and may win some, but this is a very risky way to trade this indicator. You need other tools to validate this potential trend.
Here are the indicators you need to apply on your chart to use this trading strategy:
Parabolic Sar strategy: Default Settings
20 Length Moving Average= Blue color
40 Length Moving Average= Red color
Rule #1- Apply Parabolic SAR system and Moving Average indicators to chart
Rule #2- The Parabolic SAR Indicator must change to be below price candle for uptrend.
Notice how the dots were above the price. The parabolic stop and reversal (sar) formula was that the price stalled out for a few hours and then the dot appeared below the candle.
Rule #3- Another element that must occur is the moving averages must cross over.
In a long trade, the 20 period moving average will cross and go above the 40 periods moving average.
So now the 20 period moving average is above the 40 period moving average. Also the dot appears below the price candle.
Rule #4- Parabolic SAR dot must be below price candle AND moving averages cross to where 20 period MA is above 40 period MA.
Note** One of these elements may occur before the other. The reversal dot can appear before the MA lines cross. Or the Moving averages can cross before the reversal candle. As long as there are both elements, the entry criteria are met.
Rule #5- Enter The Next Price Candle...
Enter (BUY) the very next price candle after the dot appears below the candle. You can see on our chart where we entered the trade. Waiting for one candle after makes sense because this proves to us that this reversal is strong. The moving averages are supporting the uptrend + the dot is signifying an uptrend.
Rule #6- Stop loss / Take Profit
Follow your own SL plan
Take Profit is taken when the 20 and 40-period lines cross over again. OR when the dot reverses appears at the opposite side of the candle. Moving average crossover will give you a larger profit.
If SELL trade just adjust above
I have added the Waddah Attar Explosion Volume Indicator - type in Indicator search: Public Library "WAD"
This helps filter a better entry when volume hits the band and blue dotted line
TWO DOUBLE TOP TRADING STRATEGIESFirst - Double Top Pattern Strategy is the traditional method double top strategy
Step 1 Identify the Phase of the Market. The Double Top reversal needs an uptrend.
Step 2 The historical precedent. An A++ Double Top Reversal is composed of 2 Rounded Tops (point A & B)
Step 3 Sell when Double Top breakout candle closes below the neckline (point C).
Step 4 Take Profit equals 2, 3 x times the distance in price as measured from the highest peak to the Neckline
Step 5 Place the protective stop loss slightly above the resistance created by the Double Top reversal
Second - Busted Double Top Pattern Strategy
Step 1 Wait until a Double Top pattern is developing on chart
Step 2 Wait for the price to break downwards and drop below point C
Step 3 Price needs to consolidate below point C
Step 4 Buy after we break and close above the C point
*Note: The clearer the breakout is the higher the probability the busted double top pattern will work.
Step 5 Place your protective Stop Loss below the trading range spotted earlier
Step 6 Take profits during the first 5 – 15 minutes after we break above the double top pattern.
Once Stop Orders above point C are hit high chance of bearish reversal or bullish continuation sometimes
EURUSD 1D WILLIAMS %R STRATEGYThe Williams percent R indicator or %R for short is a technical indicator that oscillates between the value 0 and -100. The Williams percent range indicator provides us with valuable information about the strength or weakness of a trend of a stock, commodity, currency pair, cryptocurrency or any other financial instrument that has attached to it a price.
Basically, the Williams percent range indicator is a powerful momentum indicator that can help you day trade any market in the world.
Williams percent range oscillator can be used in various capacities that can help us determine:
Momentum confirmations.
Overbought and Oversold readings.
Strength of the trend.
Potential buy and sell signals.
When day trading, you need to eradicate all the uncertainty around your decision-making process. This is why we have developed the Williams percent range strategy, a rule based system that will allow you to trade from a place of personal power.
The benefit of our day trading system is that it can be used with any market in the world.
Strategy #2: Day trading Momentum Burst with Williams %R Indicator
As an alternative to using the Williams percent R to identify overbought and oversold market readings, we have developed a way to catch momentum bursts that you will see on your charts every single day.
Momentum trading can offer you instant gratification, and the Williams %R trading strategy can help you satisfy those financial urges.
Let’s get into how momentum trading works using the Williams %R indicator.
Step 1 Add Williams %R indicator onto your chart with a 10 period length
We have also changed the oversold and overbought readings to -90 respectively -10.
Note: Make sure you use 10 periods for the Williams percent range oscillator.
Step 2 Draw a line at the -50 level on the Williams percent R indicator
The momentum strategy is developed around the -50 level.
For a visual representation, and to better and faster identify the potential trade signals, we add a line at the -50 level. The -50 level is the middle of the Williams percent range oscillator range. When the %R indicator crosses the -50 level, it signals a change in the momentum.
Step 3 Buy once the Oscillator moves from oversold reading and crosses the -50 level
There are two conditions that need to be satisfied before confidently buying.
First, we need to see the %R oscillator in oversold territory. We consider a market oversold if it shows a reading below the -90 level.
Secondly, we need to see the oscillator moving away from oversold territory and cross the -50 level from beneath.
This shift in momentum indicates that we can start looking for trade opportunities in the direction the oscillator crossed the -50 level. In our case, we’re looking to buy right away once the momentum oscillator breaks above the -50 level.
Step 4 For our exit strategy and stop loss management, we simply work with the trading range identified during the first step. In this regard, we place the protective stop loss below the support bottom of the range and take profit at the top resistance of the range.
BTCUSD 4H BITCOIN SIGNAL INDICATOR STRATEGY LONG TRADEBTCUSD 1D shows possible Head and Shoulders developing
BTCUSD 4H could possibly show 2nd shoulder developing with long bullish move
Bitcoin Signal Indicator shows on 4H a long entry signal
Bitcoin has a Trailing SL
Exit strategy will be a 1 to 2/3 risk reward ratio