Think You Know Candlestick Patterns?Welcome to the world of candlestick patterns!
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Doji candlesticks, with their equal or nearly equal open and close, offer crucial insights into market indecision. Understanding these formations is key to anticipating potential reversals and trade decisions. Let’s delve deeper into their significance and how to incorporate them effectively into your trading strategy.
Understanding Doji:
A Doji occurs when opening and closing prices are almost identical, signaling market indecision.
Neutral Nature: Doji are neutral signals, highlighting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Psychological Insight: Forming amid market uncertainty, Doji reflect hesitancy and potential trend shifts.
4 Types of Doji and Their Meanings:
Dragonfly Doji:
Description: Open and close near the high of the day.
Interpretation: Sellers drive prices down, but buyers regain control.
Action: Explore long positions with support from trend analysis and resistance levels.
Gravestone Doji:
Description: Open and close occur near the low of the day.
Interpretation: Buyers initially push prices up, but sellers regain control.
Action: Consider short positions if confirmed by trend analysis and support/resistance levels.
Traditional Doji:
Description: Open and close are almost identical.
Interpretation: Strong market indecision; trend reversal potential.
Action: Confirm with trend analysis; consider reversal or continuation trades accordingly.
Long-Legged Doji:
Description: Significantly long upper and lower shadows.
Interpretation: Represents high indecision; neither buyers nor sellers dominate.
Action: Await confirmation from other indicators for trade decisions.
Incorporating Doji Into Your Strategy:
Combining with Support/Resistance: Doji at key support/resistance levels enhance their significance. Use them to validate potential reversal points.
Utilizing Trend Analysis: Doji are potent when aligned with prevailing trends. In an uptrend, Doji signal potential reversals, while in downtrends, they may indicate trend exhaustion.
Implementing Fibonacci Levels: Combine Doji with Fibonacci retracement levels for robust entry/exit points. A Doji at a Fibonacci level strengthens the reversal signal.
Risk Management: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels logically. Doji, while insightful, don’t guarantee outcomes. Protect your investments with sound risk management.
Remember, successful trading is a blend of strategy, discipline, and adaptability. Doji candlesticks, as valuable tools, provide glimpses into market psychology. When integrated wisely, they can bolster your trading decisions, enhancing your overall effectiveness in the dynamic world of trading.
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Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on price action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match, one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
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Market Gaps: Strategies, Types, Fills and Crypto.Greetings, traders!
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In stock trading, gaps can significantly impact market dynamics. They occur when a stock's price makes a sudden leap between two candlesticks, often due to substantial news breaking after market hours.
These gaps can be upward (gap up) or downward (gap down), signifying abrupt shifts in market sentiment.
Understanding Gap Types:
Common Gaps: These gaps appear without any specific underlying event and are often encountered in stocks with low trading volumes.
Breakaway Gaps: Breakaway gaps are akin to a breakout, occurring when a stock price surges above a resistance level or plunges below a support level, breaking established market norms.
Continuation Gaps: These gaps arise in the direction of an existing trend, typically propelled by increased buying or selling activity.
Exhaustion Gaps: Exhaustion gaps signal a potential reversal of the trend, but they usually occur on low trading volumes.
Unpacking the Gap Fill Phenomenon:
Gap "fill" occurs when the stock price retraces to pre-gap levels, offering traders opportunities to benefit from the market's oscillations. However, not all gaps experience this reversion, especially breakaway gaps, as broken support or resistance might hinder the fill.
Trading Gap Fills:
Strategies and Considerations: To navigate the complex landscape of gaps and gap fills, traders should consider several key factors:
Tailored Strategies: Crafting strategies based on the gap type, the prevailing market trends, and trading volumes.
Volume Analysis: High trading volume often indicates a continuation of the gap, while low volume may suggest a potential gap fill.
Patience is Key: Traders should exercise patience, waiting for a confirmed trend to emerge before making trading decisions.
Breakaway Gaps: While many gaps in trading tend to fill over time, breakaway gaps possess unique characteristics that often result in them remaining open.
Breakaway gaps typically stand out due to:
Robust Momentum: These gaps are typically backed by powerful market momentum, making it difficult for prices to retreat quickly.
New Market Perception: They often signal a significant shift in how the market views a stock's value, establishing a new price reality.
Lack of Immediate Resistance: Occurring where trading activity is limited, breakaway gaps find little resistance to their newfound position.
Market-Wide Acceptance: When breakaway gaps respond to widely accepted news or events, the market solidifies the new price level, resisting attempts to fill the gap.
Altered Investor Psychology: These gaps can initiate shifts in investor psychology, leading to sustained buying or selling pressure, reinforcing the gap's persistence.
Navigating Risk and Opportunity in Unfilled Gaps:
Unfilled gaps can present challenges, but they also offer unique opportunities. Traders who understand the enduring nature of breakaway gaps can develop strategies that harness the momentum and trend shifts linked to these gaps. By aligning trades with prevailing market sentiment, traders can leverage the complexities of unfilled gaps to their advantage.
Cryptocurrency Market: An Exception to the Gap Rule:
It's important to note that the cryptocurrency market operates differently from traditional stock markets. Gaps are relatively rare in the crypto realm, primarily due to its 24/7 trading structure. The continuous trading activity minimizes the possibility of significant price gaps.
However, rapid and substantial price changes can result in occasional "gap-like" phenomena. For instance, a sudden surge in buying or selling activity can lead to notable price shifts. Understanding these distinctions is crucial when trading cryptocurrencies.
Recognizing gap types, considering market context, and aligning strategies with prevailing market sentiment can empower traders to navigate the intricacies of gaps and leverage them effectively. In the cryptocurrency market, it's essential to comprehend the unique dynamics that affect gap occurrences.
Three White SoldiersGreetings, traders! Today, let’s dive into a powerful candlestick pattern: the Three White Soldiers. This pattern, often regarded as a bullish signal, can provide valuable insights.
Understanding the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
The Three White Soldiers pattern is identified by three consecutive bullish candles, symbolizing a robust influx of buying pressure. When these candles appear in a sequence, it suggests a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Key Characteristics:
Bullish Momentum: The pattern signifies a strong uptrend, indicating a potential continuation of the existing market trend.
Candlestick Size: Pay attention to the size of the candles. In this pattern, large-bodied candles with minimal wicks reflect substantial buying activity. This emphasizes the dominance of buyers in the market.
Volume Confirmation: Volume indicators on charting platforms can validate the pattern. An uptick in volume during the formation of the Three White Soldiers further strengthens its significance.
Trading Strategies with the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
Confirmation with Volume: Ensure the pattern is supported by increased trading volume, affirming the authenticity of the bullish move.
Combine with Other Indicators: Enhance your trading strategy by integrating the Three White Soldiers pattern with trend lines, Fibonacci retracement levels, or other technical indicators. This synergy can provide a more comprehensive view of the market.
Wait for Confirmation: Patience is key. Wait for the bullish candles to close before considering the pattern confirmed. This approach reduces the risk of false signals.
Consider Timeframes: Analyze the pattern across multiple timeframes. A Three White Soldiers formation on higher timeframes (such as daily or weekly charts) often indicates stronger bullish potential.
Risk Management and Trade Execution:
Set Stop-Loss: Establish stop-loss below first candlestick of the Three White Soldiers.
Diversify Your Trades: Avoid over-concentration in a single asset. Diversifying your trades across different instruments can mitigate risks associated with individual market volatility.
By combining this pattern with meticulous analysis, strategic planning, and risk management, traders can enhance their overall trading prowess.
Happy trading, and may the markets be ever in your favour!
Trading Secrets Revealed: Mindset Shift from Beginner to Expert
In the today's post, we will discuss the evolution of a mindset of a trader as he matures in trading.
✔️Beginner
For some unknown reasons, beginners assume that a couple of educational videos and books about trading is more than enough to start trading successfully.
They believe that they got a comprehensive knowledge and that very few things remain to learn.
They start trading, but quickly realize that their knowledge is not enough to make even small gains.
✔️COMPETENT
After practicing a couple of years, traders come to the conclusion
that they know everything in that field. That they learned, tested and tried all concepts and techniques that are available.
They consider themselves to be the experts in the field BUT
for some unknown reasons, these traders still are not able to trade profitably.
✔️EXPERT
After many years of learning, training and practicing, eyes finally open.
Traders realize how limited is their knowledge and how much more there is to learn.
While they already have the skills to trade in profits, they understand now that even the entire life is not enough to learn all the subtleties of trading.
And here is a little lifehack for you:
if you are a beginner, embrace a mindset of an expert.
Start from realizing how little you actually know and how much more there is to know, that will help you a lot in your trading journey.
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes
In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid.
1. No trading plan 📝
That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan.
It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan.
Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly.
2. Overtrading 💱
That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains.
Same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be.
However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable.
3. Emotional trading 😤
There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions.
The second option is the main pick of the newbies.
The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure.
And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections.
4. Having no patience ⏳
Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem.
However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level.
Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits.
5. Greed 🤑
Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game.
It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are.
The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle.
Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision.
6. Big Risks 🛑
Why to calculate lot size for the trade?
Why even bother about risk management?
These are the typical thoughts of the newbies.
Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big.
I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade.
Never ever risk big, especially if you just started.
Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade.
Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss.
However, the ones that I listed above at the most common
and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money.
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Basics of Elliott Wave TheoryWelcome to the world of Elliott Waves.
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Elliott Wave Theory revolves around three key elements:
Impulse waves (in the direction of the trend)
Corrective waves (against the trend)
Wave degrees
Impulse waves consist of five sub-waves, while corrective waves comprise three. These waves form cycles, representing market psychology in action.
Key Rules of Elliott Waves
Wave 2 cannot retrace beyond the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 must be longer than both wave 1 and wave 5.
Wave 4 cannot exceed the end point of wave 1.
Elliott Waves and Fibonacci Retracement
Incorporating Fibonacci retracement levels refines Elliott Wave analysis. The fourth wave often hovers between 23.6%, 38.2% and 50%, while correction waves C often unfold within the 50% to 61.8% range.
Elliott Waves as Guides, Not Guarantees
It’s crucial to view tools like Elliott Wave Theory as guiding lights, not crystal balls. While they don’t assure foolproof predictions, they offer a framework to decipher market cycles. As patterns repeat, understanding market psychology becomes the trader’s edge.
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics
In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples.
🛑 Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction.
Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss.
Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above.
The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341.
Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed.
Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed.
After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger.
Trailing stop solves that issue.
With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit.
Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF.
Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined.
As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry.
As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains.
When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit.
The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide.
With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal.
Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin.
The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position .
Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out.
While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues.
A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted.
One immediately trails the stop loss.
However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback.
And then market went much higher
In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad, it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed.
Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that!
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The Core Confirmations Every Trader Must KnowWelcome to Vestinda, where we delve into the fundamental aspects of successful trading.
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In this journey, we unravel the four pillars of confirmation that seasoned traders rely on to make strategic moves in the market.
1. Price Action: Market Language
Price action speaks volumes about market sentiment. Supply and Demand dynamics, chart patterns like triangles and double tops, and candlestick patterns such as Doji or Hammer provide invaluable insights into potential market directions. By understanding these patterns, traders gain a deeper understanding of the market's pulse.
2. Divergence: Market Discrepancies
Divergence analysis, often derived from indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), OBV (On-Balance Volume), and CCI (Commodity Channel Index), uncovers hidden trends. When price movements diverge from these indicators, it signals potential market shifts. Astute traders keenly observe these disparities, foreseeing possible trend reversals or continuations.
3. Fibonacci: The Golden Ratios of Trading
Fibonacci levels are not mere numbers; they are golden keys to unlocking market secrets. Traders leverage key Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify potential reversal or continuation zones. These levels act as psychological barriers, guiding traders to make informed decisions regarding entry, exit, and stop-loss points.
4. Momentum: The Market Waves
Momentum indicators, such as Moving Averages and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), are the pulse of market trends. Moving Averages, both simple and exponential, provide a smoothed outlook of price movements, aiding in trend identification. MACD, on the other hand, explores the relationship between two moving averages, shedding light on the strength of price movements and potential crossovers, indicating shifts in market momentum.
Incorporating these four confirmations into your trading arsenal enhances your ability to interpret market signals.
By embracing the nuances of price action, divergence analysis, Fibonacci retracements, and momentum indicators, you are equipped with a comprehensive toolkit to navigate the complexities of the financial markets. Stay vigilant, adapt to changing market conditions, and let these confirmations guide you toward trading mastery.
What is Tweezer Top and Bottom Patterns?Welcome to the world of trading patterns. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Today let's explore Tweezer top and bottom patterns, often referred to as simply "tweezers," are powerful candlestick formations that hold the potential to unveil significant shifts in market sentiment.
These patterns materialize as twin candles appearing at the culmination of a trend, indicating the impending transition of market dynamics. In this exploration, we'll delve into the intricacies of these patterns, unveiling their secrets for traders seeking to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets.
Tweezer Top:
A tweezer top pattern occurs during an uptrend when the price reaches a high point and then experiences a sudden reversal. It is characterized by two consecutive candlesticks with almost identical highs. The pattern suggests that the bulls are losing their grip, and a potential trend reversal or a bearish correction might follow.
Traders often interpret the tweezer top as a signal to consider selling or shorting an asset, especially if it appears after a prolonged uptrend. However, it's essential to confirm this pattern with other technical indicators or chart patterns to increase its reliability.
Tweezer Bottom:
Conversely, a tweezer bottom pattern emerges in a downtrend when the price reaches a low point and then reverses its direction. Similar to the tweezer top, tweezer bottoms consist of two consecutive candlesticks with nearly identical lows. This pattern signifies a potential end to the bearish trend, indicating that the bulls might take control soon.
Traders view the tweezer bottom as a signal to consider buying or going long on an asset, particularly if it appears after an extended downtrend. As with any trading pattern, it's crucial to validate the tweezer bottom with other technical tools to confirm the potential trend reversal.
Key Considerations:
Confirmation is Key: Tweezer patterns, while useful, should always be confirmed by other technical indicators or chart patterns before making trading decisions.
Volume Analysis: Analyzing trading volumes during the formation of tweezer patterns can provide additional confirmation of the potential trend reversal.
Market Context: Consider the overall market context and fundamental factors influencing the asset to make well-informed trading decisions.
How to Altseason Cycle || Cheat Sheet || Bitcoin DominanceMonitoring Bitcoin dominance (BTC-DOM) is a valuable tool for crypto traders. It provides insights into the relationship between Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and altcoins (ALT-USD), helping you make bette decisions about your altcoins and tokens.
Spotting Altcoin Seasons:
Altcoin seasons are periods of heightened interest in different cryptocurrencies and tokens, often causing their total market cap to surpass that of Bitcoin.
Understanding BTC-DOM's movements can help you anticipate how the market might react:
1. BTC-DOM Goes UP:
When BTC-DOM rises and BTC-USD also climbs, it often indicates a bullish phase for Bitcoin. During this time, ALT-USD may stay relative stable and face sideways.
If BTC-USD experiences a decline while BTC-DOM is on the upswing, ALT-USD might witness a significant dump.
When BTC-USD moves sideways and BTC-DOM follows suit, ALT-USD tends to maintain a stable course.
2. BTC-DOM Goes SIDEWAYS:
If BTC-DOM remains relatively stable and BTC-USD sees an uptrend, ALT-USD often mirrors this upward movement.
Conversely, if BTC-USD takes a dip while BTC-DOM remains flat, ALT-USD tends to follow suit with a decline.
When both BTC-USD and BTC-DOM exhibit sideways patterns, ALT-USD typically remains in a state of relative stability.
3. BTC-DOM Goes DOWN:
A decrease in BTC-DOM coupled with a rising BTC-USD often leads to a pumps for ALT-USD.
When BTC-USD experiences a decrease while BTC-DOM falls, ALT-USD may stabilize or enter a sideways phase.
If BTC-USD moves sideways while BTC-DOM declines, ALT-USD often witnesses an upward movement.
Remember that while these trends offer valuable insights, the crypto market is highly volatile. Low cap altcoins can behave unexpectedly even when Bitcoin dominance suggests a particular trend. Therefore, use Bitcoin dominance as one of many tools in your investment strategy, and always conduct thorough research before making decisions.
Learn What Time Frame to Trade
If you just started trading, you are probably wondering how to choose a trading time frame . In the today's post, I will go through the common time frames , and explain when to apply them.
1m; 5m, 15m Time Frames
These 4 t.f's are very rapid and are primarily applied by scalpers.
If your goal is to catch quick ebbs and flows within a trading session, that is a perfect selection for you.
30m, 1H Time Frame
These 2 are perfectly suited for day traders.
Executing the analysis and opening the trades on these time frames,
you will be able to catch the moves within a trading day.
4h, Daily Time Frames
These time frames are relatively slow.
They are mostly applied by swing traders, who aim to trade the moves that last from several days to several weeks.
Weekly, Monthly Time Frames
These time frames reveal long-term historical perspective and are mostly used by investors and position traders.
If your goal is to look for buy & hold assets, these time frames will help you to make a reasonable decision.
📝When you are choosing a time frame to trade, consider the following factors :
1️⃣ - Time Availability
How much time daily/weekly are you able to sacrifice on trading?
Remember a simple rule: lower is the time frame, more time it requires for management.
2️⃣ - Risk Tolerance
Smaller time frames usually involve higher risk,
while longer-term time frames are considered to be more conservative and stable.
3️⃣ - Your Trading Goals
If you are planning to benefit from short term price fluctuations you should concentrate your attention on lower time frames,
while investing and long-term capital accumulation suite for higher time frames.
Time frame selection is nuanced and a complex topic. However, I believe that these simple rules and factors will help you to correctly choose the one for you.
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Rising and Falling Wedges ExplainedWelcome to the world of trading patterns. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Today, we'll explore two important ones: the Rising Wedge and the Falling Wedge . These patterns can signal shifts in market trends. Let's dive in and see how they work.
Rising Wedge:
In an uptrend, the Rising Wedge hints at a bearish turn. It takes shape as prices find a middle ground between two upward-sloping lines, one as support and the other as resistance, both inching closer. As the price inches towards the wedge's tip, its upward push tends to fade, suggesting a potential shift to a downward trend.
Your sell signal triggers with a bearish break beneath the wedge's support.
Set a stop loss just above the wedge's highs.
Aim for the next significant support level.
Falling Wedge:
Unlike the Rising Wedge, the falling wedge spells optimism in a downtrend. It emerges as prices consolidate between two downward-sloping lines, one providing support and the other resistance, both drawing nearer. As prices approach the wedge's apex, the downward momentum loses steam, hinting at a potential shift towards an upward trend.
Your buy signal activates with a bullish breakout beyond the wedge's resistance.
Place a stop loss just below the wedge's lows.
Target the next notable resistance.
Feel free to let us know your thoughts and if you have any questions. Your feedback is valuable and helps us improve. Happy trading!
Trading Psychology : 5 Questions to Ask your self Before TradingWhen it comes to trading, it's often said that success is not just about having a winning strategy; it's equally, if not more, about mastering the psychological aspects of trading.
when i started trading , I struggled with this concept, and it led to blown accounts, financial losses, and a destruction my mental health. However, through perseverance, reading books , and self-improvement, I managed to get my expectations and psychology in check, and the transformation in my trading results was remarkable.
In this article, I'll share the five crucial questions I ask myself before making any trade. These questions have helped me develop a disciplined and resilient trading mindset, and I believe they can do the same for you.
1. Does this trade fit my trading plan?
Before even considering a trade, it's vital to have a well-defined trading plan. Ask yourself if the trade aligns with your plan's criteria. This question reminds you to stick to your strategy and avoid impulsive decisions driven by market noise.
2. Am I mentally and financially ready to accept the risk of the trade?
Trading is a risky activity , its important to know if you are mentally able to handle potential losses and also it's crucial to assess whether you are mentally prepared to trade , if you are not feeling good mentally don't trade period. , Additionally, ensure that you have the necessary financial resources to accept the risk involved in the trade. Trading should never jeopardize your financial stability.
3. Am I trading based on FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or a well-thought-out plan?
FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you are entering a trade out of fear that you might miss out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should drive your decisions, not emotions. always remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market .
4. Am I experiencing overconfidence (euphoria)?
FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you're entering a trade out of the fear of missing out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should be the driving force behind your decisions, not emotional impulses.
Overconfidence can lead to reckless trading. Evaluate your current state of mind. Are you feeling overly confident, perhaps due to recent successes? Remember that the market can be unpredictable, and overconfidence can cloud your judgment.
remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market you are not missing out on anything you are just waiting for the best opportunity that fits your trading rules and strategy .
5. Am I in the present moment (mindful)?
Trading, as Mark Douglas beautifully emphasizes in "Trading in the Zone," demands a state of mindfulness. Are you fully immersed in the present trade, or do your thoughts wander elsewhere? Staying in the zone of mindfulness enables you to make grounded and rational decisions while responding adeptly to dynamic market shifts.
ask yourself Are you fully engaged in the trade at hand, or are your thoughts scattered? Staying in the present moment allows you to make more rational decisions and react effectively to market changes.
Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE
Hey traders,
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market, while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
Live Trading Session 238: Open Trades on BTC,Gold & moreIn this live trading session video,we look at our open positions and the potential trades setting up for the week on GBPUSD,S&P 500,Brent Oil,Bitcoin and many more.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
What is FOMO? Syndrome of lost profit in tradingFOMO is the lost profit syndrome.
Now it is especially common due to the popularity of smartphones and social networks. Many are simultaneously afraid of social isolation and worried about lost opportunities. A similar situation is possible in trading. As soon as traders see a bullish trend, they start opening trades and buying those assets that match their analysis. In addition, a lot of information, thoughts and impressions are concentrated around us, which only aggravates the situation. Let's figure out how to deal with such an obsessive fear.
The syndrome of lost benefit is a strong fear of missing an important event or a profitable opportunity. This fear is especially pronounced against the background of the bright life of friends and acquaintances. After all, then there is a feeling that you are wasting time in vain. SUVs are directly related to dissatisfaction with personal life, and social networks only increase the unpleasant state.
The greater the dissatisfaction, the greater the desire to find others. And the need for new information turns into intrusive thoughts.
FOMO is distinguished by the following features:
-Frequent fear of missing something important;
-Constant use of language turns like "everything but me";
-The desire to delve into all forms of social communication (attend all the parties, go to concerts, etc.);
-Obsessive desire to always be liked by others, accept praise and be available for communication;
-The need to constantly update the feed on Facebook, Instagram and other social networks.
How to get rid of lost profit syndrome?
-Constantly responding to messages and checking the crypto rate every 2 minutes, you waste a lot of time. Therefore, you should establish clear rules for using a PC and a smartphone:
-remove unnecessary programs and turn off pop-up messages in programs that are not of great importance;
-leave groups and unsubscribe from accounts that are not useful to you;
-refuse unnecessary e-mails;
-check news and stock quotes no more than twice a day (for example, in the morning and in the evening);
-do not take your smartphone to bed and do not sit on the Internet before falling asleep;
make two separate schedules - for working with personal and business messages.
Five tips — how to avoid the FOMO syndrome as an investor
Instead of succumbing to the fear of missing out, you can change your life for the better and find success in the cryptocurrency field. Here are our 5 tips on how to avoid FOMO affecting your investing.
1. Forget about the past
What has already happened in the market is irrelevant from FOMO's point of view. There are not many investors who look at past quotes. Successful investors always take the time to analyze when opening a trade: they look at the current state of assets and assess their prospects in the future based on past price charts.
The idea that the chance can be one for a lifetime is completely false. There are always and always will be profitable opportunities, just as the market always was and always will be. Charts will never tell you what an asset will be like in a year, two or five years. They simply provide information about events and possible future probabilities. Therefore, competent long-term investors understand that it is never too late to buy assets, it is important to navigate them and make balanced decisions.
2. Buy when everyone is selling and sell when everyone else is buying
There is an opinion that on the stock exchange it is necessary to go against the trend. Of course, it is easy to talk about it, but to translate all this into reality is much more difficult. After all, the effect of the lost profit syndrome only increases when you do not invest in an asset that is growing.
The "anti-cyclical" behavior is explained as follows: the most successful purchases with possible high returns occur during a fall in the rate and general panic, and sales - during a rise in value, when everyone is eager to buy bitcoin or another crypto as soon as possible.
However, this tactic does not at all mean a ban on buying tokens in an uptrend. It is inextricably linked to the next tip, so it should be taken in the same context.
3. Set clear goals
Remember the chosen strategy and determine the goals when buying this or that cryptocurrency. One possible option is target cost. If the stock price has reached your indicator, feel free to sell the asset and lock in the profit, or set a stop loss, with the hope that the trend will continue.
Many traders use a simple rule - it is better to receive 4 thousand dollars 10 times than to wait six months for 50 pieces. If the deal in a short period of time brings 50% profit or more, it is better to close it. And this should become a proven mechanism.
Usually, when the value of a cryptocurrency starts to increase rapidly, many market participants buy it. You can understand this in time and, having sold the asset, watch the further growth that is already taking place by inertia. The growth will stop only when the rest finally realizes that the coin is "overheated" and no longer has the potential for growth. Conclusion: While most buy the coin on the rise due to FOMO, you sell the crypto and get your profit.
As for purchases at a reduced price, not everything is so smooth either. After all, not everything will be so profitable that it has become cheaper. Here it is necessary to look at the reasons for the price drop on the chart. If unforeseen circumstances have occurred, for example, a lawsuit by the state regulator in court, then you need to determine what value of the asset will become the most attractive for you in the current period, or how critical the situation with the lawsuit is.
Of course, I mentioned isolated cases here. In order to analyze all possible situations in the market, you need to publish an entire online almanac. Each case has a common feature — the psychology of human behavior. Therefore, do not give in to general panic or joy.
4. If there are no investment ideas, wait
The famous stock speculator and Wall Street investor Jesse Livermore used to say the following: "Big money doesn't buy or sell, big money waits"! It is true, because one day you will not be able to find more interesting coins to invest. There will be very few of them, and the crypto market will continue to conquer new heights.
5. Your strategy is the main thing
If you managed to accumulate knowledge in some area of trading, learned SmartMoney analysis, know how to set goals and evaluate the potential of a particular token, it will bear fruit, but continue to develop further, because there are no limits to perfection! :)
New trading tools, technologies and new tokens appear every day that promise to bring significant profits and make cryptocurrency trading as convenient as possible. Do not follow the tricks of speculators. Become the best in your field. Keep a clear mind and don't be influenced by the masses.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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Is US30 low at 34024 going to hold and confirm weekly bottom?(4)We have entered this trade on 4h confirmation bar and it has now gone onto confirm the 2nd bottom on the daily timframe. The weekly potential bottom is still holding. For it to have a higher probability to confirm the weekly bottom, it has now got to take out the last swing high as shown in the image. Let's see how the trade plans out according to our smart money framework indicator.
US30(Long)
E - 34607
SL - 34023
T - To be confirmed(TBC)
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
Is BTCUSD third attempt at 24919 going to hold?(1)This is the third swing low of Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. We will track and see if this holds to become a weekly bottom. The difference with this bottom confirmation is that there has been a trend change from a downtrend to an uptrend as shown in the chart image. However,the volume spike is not huge. Another thing that we have observed is that the price level of 24756 on the weekly timeframe has held and has not been broken yet to give a trend change. Hence weekly is still in uptrend as in image below. We have now entered this trade on 4h confirmation bar on a reduced risk in review of the reasons above.
Trade order details
BTCUSD(Long)
E - 26086
SL - 24919
T - TBC
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
Refn Image of Weekly timeframe
Is USDJPY going to reach its 50% OE target this time?(1)We have entered USDJPY on the daily confirmation bar on a long trade. This is based on a daily P1 trend continuation move, and along with a weekly continuation trade move according to our smart money framework indicator. You can see on the image below on which part of the cycle we are in on the weekly timeframe and how that matches up with the daily timeframe. According to our OE tables, we can see that there is a more than 40% chance since it is a phase 1 move that the weekly potential high will be taken and for the long move to continue further north.
USDJPY(Short)
E - 147.45
ISL - 146.10
T - TBC
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
Mastering Trading Psychology: Overcoming Failures and Embracing Hello, friends! I'd like to discuss with you the situation of our failures in trading. What causes them and what to do about them in the future:
1) Traders that go into the market don't accept the risk they are putting on when they get into a trade. Traders who trade based on their PnL and not their strategies. Traders who are afraid to take a loss and see red in their account or their positions. When you trade from a place of fear(losing money), and not from a risk standpoint, your mind will mess with you, and it will destroy the psychology that is needed to become profitable.
2) Fear-based traders worry about their PnL more than the actual trading setups that are presented to them. They base their decisions on emotions and are the type that end up chasing moves from FOMO, whether it's long or short. They hold losers too long hoping they turn around because they're fearful that if they cut the trade, it will turn in their direction. They chase moves out of FEAR that they'll miss the move.
3) A risk-minded trader understands that they will inevitably be wrong at times and take losing trades. They respect when they're wrong and cut the position. No fear about it. Purely risk management and understanding you are not correct 100% of the time.
Now, let's move on to the conclusion: You can't win or lose a trade; your task is to run a marathon. And that is the MAIN RULE!
Let's talk about books now. Numerous books are available, and I select the ones I consider the best.
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre. 100 years old this year and an absolute classic
Dynamic hedging by Taleb
One Good Trade: Mike Bellafiore
It's a good book for beginners, emphasizing discipline, and risk management and vibe of trading journey.
That's the end of this story, traders. I would like to read in the comments below your thoughts and ideas! Let's keep charting!
Learn the 4 Best Strategies to Maximize Your Profits Today
In the today's article, we will discuss 4 classic yet profitable forex and gold trading strategies.
1️⃣Pullback Trading
Pullback trading is a trend-following strategy where you open the positions after pullbacks.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, your goal as a pullback trader is to wait for a completion of a bullish impulse and then let the market correct itself. Your entry should be the assumed completion point of a correctional movement. You expect a trend-following movement from there.
In a bearish trend, you wait for a completion of the bearish impulse, let the market retrace, and you look for short-entry after a completion of the retracement leg.
Here is the example of pullback trading.
On the left chart, we see the market that is trading in a bearish trend.
A pullback trader would short the market upon completion of the correctional moves.
On the right chart, I underlined the buy entry points of a pullback trader.
That strategy is considered to be one of the simplest and profitable and appropriate for newbie traders.
2️⃣Breakout Trading
Breakout trading implies buying or selling the breakout of a horizontal structure or a trend line.
If the price breaks a key support, it signifies a strong bearish pressure.
Such a violation will trigger a bearish continuation with a high probability.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of a key resistance is a sign of strength of the buyers and indicates a highly probable bullish continuation.
Take a look, how the price broke a key daily resistance on a daily time frame. After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure that turned into a support. A strong bullish rally initiated from that.
With the breakout trading, the best entries are always on a retest of a broken structure.
3️⃣Range Trading
Range trading signifies trading the market that is consolidating.
Most of the time, the market consolidates within the horizontal ranges.
The boundaries of the range may provide safe points to buy and sell the market from.
The upper boundary of the range is usually a strong resistance and one may look for shorting opportunities from there,
while the lower boundary of the range is a safe place to buy the market from.
EURCAD pair is trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
The support of the range is a safe zone to buy the market from.
A bullish movement is anticipated to the resistance of the range from there.
Taking into considerations, that the financial instruments may consolidate for days, weeks and even months, range trading may provide substantial gains.
4️⃣Counter Trend Trading
Counter trend trading signifies trading against the trend.
No matter how strong is the trend, the markets always trade in zig-zags. After impulses follow the corrections, and after the corrections follow the impulses.
Counter trend traders looks for a completion of the bullish impulses in a bullish trend to short the market;
and for a completion of bearish impulses in a downtrend to buy it.
Here is the example of a counter trend trade.
EURJPY is trading in a bullish trend. However, the last 3 bearish moves initiated from a rising trend line. For a trader, shorting the trend line was a perfect entry to catch a bearish move.
Such trading strategy is considered to be one of the most complicated, because one goes against the crowd and overall sentiment.
With the experience, traders may combine these strategies.
Try them all, and find the one that suites you the most.
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Initiation. Accumulation. PumpHow to trade coins after listing? Here is logic of IAP model
BINANCE:APTUSDT
When people get tokens after airdrop or launchpad, most likely on first candle we will see seller pressure. This model works in general only for fundamental projects, where even people who get tokens for free will hold it for long term. Because we got a lot of examples when this model doesn't work and price crashed under listing price. Also we need pay attention in what market period we see this listing. Because if it's a beginning of bear market this model most likely also will not works.
Initiation - Formation price imbalance in the broad price range at the time of listing
coins can be interpreted as an initiating impulse, who doesn't leave fair traded price zones on ways of its formation and in here will be be nearest target. We can use Fib from the bottom to the top candle before correction or just count only body of first Daily close candle.
Accumulation - Price reaction to price imbalance initiating impulse is
a direct indication of the presence or lack of accumulation character on the chart. Zones for accumulation before pump will be classic 0.618 / 0.71/ 0.86 levels by fib.
Pump - last stage of this model is a Pump, minimal target for this trade can be -0.27 and -0.618 level by fib where you can fix profit. On this example with Aptos it was over 500% pump. After pump depends of market stage and cycle price can continue parabolic move up or correction again to 0.5 or 0.618 level by same fib.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!