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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #129👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s take a look at the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-hour timeframe Yesterday, Bitcoin faced a sharp drop after being rejected from the 122733 top and fell down to the 116829 level. ⚡️ Currently, the price has reached an important support area that I’ve marked for you, and at the same time, the RSI has entered the Oversold zone. ✅ Considering the main trend of the market is bullish, this RSI entry into Oversold could be a very good entry point for a long position, as it may indicate the end of the correction. ✨ If the price holds above the 116829 zone, we can enter a long position, and it’s worth opening a position at this level. Further entries can be taken with breakouts of 118494 and 122733. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s go to Bitcoin dominance. It has continued its downward movement and after breaking 64.44, it’s now moving down toward 64.18. 📊 If this level breaks, we’ll get confirmation of the continuation toward 63.96. In that case, long positions on altcoins would be very suitable. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 is also undergoing a correction like Bitcoin and has settled below the 1.3 level. ⭐ If the correction continues, the next level to watch is 1.26. For long positions, you can enter after breakouts of 1.3 and 1.33. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now to Tether Dominance. After bouncing from the 4.22 bottom, it has returned to the box between 4.36 and 4.44. 🔑 If 4.36 breaks, the next bearish leg could start. On the other hand, if 4.44 breaks, we’ll get the first signal of a trend reversal.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
TradeCityPro | SOL Holds PRZ as Bulls Eye Range Breakout👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review the SOL coin for you. This is one of the popular Layer1 projects, nicknamed the “Ethereum killer,” with a market cap of $85 billion, currently ranked 6 on CoinMarketCap. 📅 Weekly timeframe In the weekly timeframe, after the bankruptcy news related to FTX, this coin had a very sharp bearish move and even dropped to as low as 9.84, but it managed to recover afterward. ⭐ From the key top at 27.62, a very strong bullish move started, reaching up to 255.96 and retesting its previous ATH. 📊 Currently, a range box has formed between the 128.66 and 255.96 levels, where the bottom of this box is a very strong PRZ, created from the overlap of a major support zone and the area between the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. 🔍 Also, the price is being supported by the SMA99, which has supported the price twice so far and has prevented the box from breaking to the downside. ⚡️ If you have already bought SOL, you can set your stop-loss if the price closes below this area. A confirmed breakdown could lead to deep corrections toward lower Fibonacci levels. 🛒 For buying this coin, the first trigger is the break of 178.22, which is a bit riskier but offers a good price entry. On the other hand, if the price revisits 128.66 and gives confirmation, we can enter from there. 📈 However, the main trigger for spot entry is the breakout of the 255.96 top. Breaking this level can unlock some very ambitious targets. If that happens, I’ll definitely update the analysis and provide those targets. 📅 Daily timeframe In this timeframe, we can see the price action in more detail. A small range box has formed between 144.11 and 164.74, and the price is currently stuck below the top of the box and reacting to it. ✨ If 164.74 breaks, we can enter a long position. The next major resistance is 183.54. A breakout above that will serve as the main confirmation for a long position targeting 255.96, which can also be used as a spot trigger. 💥 The RSI oscillator is now above the 50 zone, and if it enters the Overbuy area, it will serve as strong momentum confirmation for this position. ✅ If the price gets rejected from the top, we can also open short positions on lower timeframes. A break below 144.11 will be the main short trigger. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
1
SPX500 Update: Monster Trigger Ready to Launch!Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 With news of the unemployment rate rising, stock and crypto markets have been surging hard, and right now, we’ve got a killer trigger on SPX500 you don’t want to miss. Its breakout could spark the next major bullish leg. Let’s dive into the Daily and 4-hour timeframes to unpack this setup. here’s the play: ✔️ Daily Timeframe: After a strong rally, SPX500 hit an all-time high (ATH) at 5,249.14 before entering a deep correction. Here’s what many traders miss: support/resistance levels aren’t static—they shift over time. The resistance that was at 6,146.89 has now climbed to 6,290. Breaking 6,290 signals the start of a major bullish trend after 146 days of correction. This is our primary long trigger. 📊 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers): Long Trigger: After a solid uptrend with strong momentum, we entered a time-based correction within a box pattern. Breaking the box ceiling at 6,290 is the long trigger, aligning with the Daily breakout. Short Trigger: Breaking the box floor would trigger a short, but this goes against the trend, so stop-loss risk is higher, and your win rate could take a hit—stay cautious. 📉 Key Insight: The 6,290 breakout is the big move to watch, fueled by market momentum from the unemployment news. Shorts are riskier due to the bullish trend, so prioritize longs with volume confirmation. 🔔 Confirmation: For longs, confirm the 6,290 break with RSI entering overbought.Risk management is critical—cap risk at 1%–2% per trade to survive the market’s swings. 🔼 I’ll update if the structure shifts! Thanks for vibing with this analysis! <3 💬 Let’s Talk! Which SPX500 trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by SkepticLab
1
YEXT 1W - breakout confirmed, retest inside bullish channelYext stock just pulled a clean breakout of the weekly downtrend line, retested the buy zone around the 0.5 Fibo level ($7.32), and is now bouncing within a rising channel. The 200MA and 50EMA are both below price, supporting a shift in trend even though the golden cross hasn’t formed yet. The volume increased on breakout, and there's low overhead supply - a classic setup for continuation. The arrow shows the expected move, contingent on confirmation. Targets: 9.15 - 11.40 - 15.06 Fundamentally, Yext offers enterprise-grade AI-powered search solutions and recently gained attention with new product updates. With AI adoption accelerating, the company may ride the next wave of institutional interest. When price retests the zone, MA is supportive, and there's no overhead resistance - that’s not noise, that’s a signal.
NYSE:YEXTLong
by TotoshkaTrades
USD/CHF Update: Killer Short Trigger Ready to Pop!Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 We’ve got a juicy short trigger on USD/CHF that could deliver serious profits if it fires. Stay with me till the end to nail this trade! Let’s dive into the Daily and 4-hour timeframes for the full picture. Currently at $0.79671, here’s the play: ✔️ Daily Timeframe: We’re in a rock-solid bearish major trend . After hitting a high of $ 0.84649 , we broke the key support at $ 0.80573 , resuming the bearish trend. A pullback to the broken $ 0.80573 level is likely, as it aligns with the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement from the prior 4-hour wave. Trading with the trend is smartest, so shorts are the focus. If you want to long, go with lower risk and close positions faster. 📊 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers): Short Trigger: Two options here. Either enter on a trendline break (no extra trigger needed, as continuation trendlines mean the prior trend resumes on a break), or, for a safer play, short on a break of support at $ 0.79604 —this needs minimal confirmation. Long Trigger: Wait for a break of the resistance zone at $ 0.80573 . Confirm with RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide ( link ) for how I use it differently—game-changing stuff! 📉 Key Insight: Stick to the bearish trend for higher-probability trades. Shorts at $0.79604 or on a trendline break are your best bet. 🔔Risk management is your lifeline—cap risk at max 1%–2% per trade to stay in the game. I’ll catch you in the next analysis—good luck, fam! <3 💬 Let’s Talk! Which USD/CHF trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
Short
by SkepticLab
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #128👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour timeframe In the 1-Hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin broke the 118494 top yesterday and is now moving upward. ✔️ According to the Fibonacci Extension zones, the price has moved up to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and has been rejected from there, printing a few red candles for now. 📊 The buying volume in this bullish leg was very high, and as you can see, volume was in convergence with the trend. Now that the corrective phase has started, the volume is also decreasing, and still remains in convergence with the uptrend. 🔔 From a momentum perspective, we’ve reached a market top because RSI has reached the ceiling it previously formed at the 85.90 level, reacted to it, and has now dropped back below the 70 zone. 💥 If the 85.90 zone on RSI is broken, we’ll likely see a very sharp and explosive bullish leg from Bitcoin. In that case, the next targets would be the 0.786 and 1 Fibonacci levels. 🔑 For opening a position now, we can enter on the break of 122512, and we could also use the price’s pullback to the SMA25 as an entry. For now, our triggers aren’t highly reliable, so positions should be based more on market momentum. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move to Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box between the 64.44 and 64.82 is still ongoing, and dominance hasn’t broken out of this box yet. ⚡️ If the box breaks downward, a large amount of capital will flow into altcoins, and we could see major pumps in altcoins. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2. Yesterday, the 1.3 top was broken and the price moved up toward 1.33 and has now reached that area. I✨ f that resistance breaks, the next target will be 1.41. If a correction happens, 1.3 and 1.26 are the lower support zones. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now to Tether Dominance. A new bearish wave started yesterday and has continued down to 4.22. 🎲 If this zone breaks, the bearish leg can continue down to 4.08. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal. Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272). Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction. Tactical plan: — Entry: market $42–43 — Target 1: $55.91 — Target 2: $63.57 When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TotoshkaTrades
4
Gold/XAUUSD Analysis Breaks Bullish Channel – Targeting 3400+🟨 Market Context: Gold (XAU/USD) has recently completed a significant technical move that signals the potential start of a strong bullish continuation phase. After a period of consolidation inside a descending channel, price has broken above key resistance levels and is showing firm buyer strength across the board. 🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown: 🔹 Descending Channel (Consolidation Phase) For several sessions, gold was confined within a well-defined descending channel, which typically indicates a temporary correction in a broader bullish trend. This phase served as a liquidity-building zone where smart money accumulated long positions. 🔹 Breakout & Retest Confirmation The breakout above the upper boundary of the channel was clean and impulsive, confirming bullish intent. This breakout aligned perfectly with a previous demand zone (now retested as support), adding strong confluence. Key Breakout Zone: $3,330–$3,340 Retest Action: Price pulled back to test the breakout zone, respected it, and printed a bullish reversal. This behavior confirms the “breakout–retest–continuation” pattern—highly reliable in trending markets. 🔹 SR Interchange – Key Pivot Zone The level around $3,340 served a dual role: Previously acted as resistance within the channel. Now acting as support post-breakout (SR flip). This interchange area is significant because it reinforces the idea that bulls are now defending this level aggressively. 🔹 Bullish Pattern Confirmation A bullish price pattern has formed exactly at the SR zone and near the trendline. This double confluence (pattern + level) provides high-probability trade setups and confirms the entry point for buyers. 🔹 Ascending Trendline Support An emerging bullish trendline is now guiding the move upward, confirming that the market has shifted its short-term trend. Every bounce on this trendline reinforces bullish structure and validates higher-low formations. 🎯 Price Targets & Expectations: ✅ Previous Target Zone: Around $3,375, already tapped and respected. This shows that gold is following technical targets with precision. 🎯 Next Bullish Target: $3,400 – $3,410 zone stands as the next supply region. This area is a major psychological resistance and aligns with historical reaction points. 🧠 Trading Insight & Strategy: With current price action and momentum, buying dips remains the optimal approach, provided the price stays above the SR Interchange zone. 🔽 Entry Zone: $3,345 – $3,350 📈 Targets: TP1: $3,375 (partial exit) TP2: $3,400–$3,410 (final target) ❌ Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): Below $3,330 Breaking below this would invalidate the breakout structure and possibly signal a false breakout. 📌 Summary: ✅ Clear breakout from descending channel ✅ Retest of previous demand and SR flip zone ✅ Bullish pattern confirmed on key support ✅ Ascending trendline intact 🎯 Next logical move: $3,400+ The gold market is giving strong bullish cues, and this setup could be a textbook example of “buy the breakout, ride the trend.” Stay sharp, trade smart, and keep your risk in check. 👑
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY 1H - market buy with a confirmed structureThe price has bounced from a key support zone and is showing early signs of recovery. A clear base has formed, and the MA50 is starting to turn upward, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. While the MA200 remains above the price, the overall structure suggests a potential continuation of the bullish move. Trade #1 — entry at market, target: 145.939, stop below recent local low. Trade #2 — entry after breakout and retest of 145.939, target: 148.000, stop below the retest zone. Volume has stabilized, and the reaction from support is clear. As long as price holds above the last swing low, buying remains the preferred strategy.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
Crude Oil Trade Plan Scenarios and Key Levels NYMEX:CL1! It’s Wednesday today, and the DOE release is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. CT. This may provide fuel—pun intended—to push prices out of the two-day consolidation. Also, note that the August contract expires on July 22, 2025. Rollover to the September contract is expected on Thursday/Friday. You can see the pace of the roll here at CME’s pace of roll tool . The chart shows that rollover is about 70% complete, and CLU25 has higher open interest. Note, the front-month August contract is still trading at higher volume. What has the market done? Crude oil is in a multi-distribution profile since the peak witnessed during the Iran-Israel conflict. Crude oil formed a strong base above the 64s and traversed towards the 69s. Prices were rejected at these highs and have since reverted back towards the monthly Volume Point of Control, monthlyVPOC. What is it trying to do? The market is in active price discovery mode and has formed multi-distributions since June 23. The market has been consolidating after prices at highs were rejected. How good of a job is it doing? The market is active and is also providing setups against key levels. Patience to take trades from these higher time frame levels is what is required to trade crude oil currently. Otherwise, there is a lot of volatility and chop that can throw traders off their plan. Key Levels: • Yearly Open: 67.65 • Neutral zone: 67.15–67.30 • 2-Day VAL (Value Area Low): 66.40 • Neutral zone: 66.40–66.20 • 2025 Mid-Range: 65.39 • Key Support: 64.40–64.70 What is more likely to happen from here? Scenario 1: An initial attempt to push higher, pVAL and onVAL finds aggressive sellers pushing prices towards mcVPOC and yMid confluence Scenario 2: pVAL provides support for further consolidation and break back above yesterday's high and price moves towards yearly Open. Glossary: pVAL: Prior Value Area Low onVAL: Overnight Value Area Low yMid: 2025 Mid-Range mcVPOC: Micro Composite Volume Point of Control
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #130👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll go over the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-hour timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin was supported at the 116829 zone yesterday and is now moving upward. 📈 The long position trigger at 118494 has been activated, and the price is currently pulling back to this level. 💥 The 0.236 Fibonacci level is right above the price, and if it breaks, the price can continue moving upward. ⚡️ The current local top is 122733, which can be the first target for the long position. Breaking this level would also be our main trigger for a long entry. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance is still falling and has now confirmed below the 63.96 zone. 🔍 Currently, the trend is fully bearish, and breaking 63.50 will confirm continuation of the downtrend. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 is rising alongside the drop in Bitcoin dominance and has confirmed above 1.33. 🎲 The next resistance is at 1.41, and the current uptrend can continue toward that level. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Tether dominance has confirmed below 4.36 and is continuing its downward move. ✔️ The next support is at 4.22, and breaking this level would initiate the next major bearish leg. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
Bitcoin Ranges While Altcoins Rise — Follow the Liquidity TrailHeyy traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 💙 Dropping a red-hot update on Bitcoin and the crypto market to catch the next big wave. We’re diving into the Daily timeframe and market dynamics to track where the money’s flowing. here’s the play: ✔️ Daily Timeframe As we flagged in my last Bitcoin chart, the $ 120,000 level is a liquidity magnet with heavy action. The July 14 candle tried breaking it but failed, leaving a downward shadow showing strong seller presence at this level. Plus, last week we hit the 4-week pivot point on the Weekly , and as expected, we’re now ranging around $120,000. Does this mean we ditch crypto? Big NO. 📊 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Let’s zoom in on BTC.D —it’s gone sharply bearish, with yesterday’s candle screaming capital exiting Bitcoin. Traders who profited up to $120,000 are locking in gains and moving funds elsewhere. So, what’s the story? Bitcoin broke its ceiling after 168 days, surging 10% to $122,000. Buyers took profits, pulling liquidity out. Where’s the money going? Let’s test two theories: USDT? Nope. USDT.D is also bearish. Altcoins? Bingo! TOTAL2 (altcoin market cap) smashed its Daily resistance at 1.34 after months, signaling liquidity flooding into altcoins. 📉 Which Altcoins? Here’s the trick: check pair/BTC ratios . For example, to pick between Solana or Ethereum, compare S OL/BTC and ETH/BTC . The one with a stronger uptrend is soaking up more liquidity from Bitcoin. 🔔 Key Insight: This liquidity flow game is a game-changer for crypto traders. Want a full dominance tutorial? Let me know —it’ll show you how to track where the money moves and which coins get the most action. 🔼 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin’s ranging at $120,000, but altcoins are heating up as BTC.D drops. Hunt for altcoins with bullish pair/BTC charts to ride the liquidity wave. Risk management is your lifeline—cap risk at max 1%–2%. I’ll catch you in the next analysis—good luck, fam! <3 💬 Let’s Talk! Which altcoin are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
by SkepticLab
1
Skeptic | XAG/USD Analysis: Precision Triggers for Spot & FutureHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Ready to ride XAG/USD’s next wave? Let’s dive into XAG/USD (Silver) to uncover long and short triggers that can deliver solid profits. Currently trading around $ 36.31 , we’re analyzing Daily and 4-hour timeframes to pinpoint high-probability setups. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you sharp. 📊 📈 Daily Timeframe On the Daily timeframe, we saw a strong primary uptrend sparked by a V-pattern breakout at $ 33.68317 , which drove a 10% rally, as flagged in my previous analyses—hope you caught it! We’re now in a consolidation box, potentially acting as accumulation or distribution. Today’s candle faced a strong rejection from the box ceiling. If it closes this way in 9 hours, the odds of breaking the box floor increase significantly. Key Supports: If the floor breaks, watch $ 34.78648 and $ 34.41291 as strong reaction zones for potential bounces. 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers) On the 4-hour timeframe, let’s lock in long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 37.29163 , confirmed by RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide for how I optimize setups with RSI. Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 35.59660 , with volume confirmation. Additional confirmation: RSI entering oversold. Confirmation Timing: Choose your confirmation timeframe based on your style—4-hour, 1-hour, or even 15-minute. I typically confirm triggers on 15-minute closes for precision, but if 1-hour momentum kicks in, I use 1-hour candle closes. Focus on candle body closes, not just shadows, to avoid fakeouts. Pro Tip: Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade for capital protection. Final Vibe Check This XAG/USD breakdown arms you with precise triggers: long at $37.29163, short at $35.59660, with volume and RSI as your allies. The Daily consolidation signals a big move is brewing—stay patient for the ceiling or floor break. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which Silver trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by SkepticLab
1
Skeptic | GBP/USD Update: Triggers Fired Up!Hey everyone, it’s Skeptic! ;) yesterday, the support at 1.35672 saw a fake breakout and snapped back into the 4-hour box we’ve been tracking. But bearish momentum is still strong, so here’s the play: ✔️ If you opened a short already , With the fake breakout signaling potential momentum shift, consider taking profits or closing if price consolidates above 1.36089. Why? The fakeout increases the chance of a momentum change. ✨ For new short positions , the 1.35672 break remains a valid trigger. If it breaks again, it could kickstart a major bearish leg, targeting lower supports at 1.35000 and 1.34227 —both strong reaction zones. 📊 The HWC is uptrend, so shorts need extra caution—reduce risk or take profits early. 📉 For longs , wait for a break and consolidation above 1.36406 . This level saw a strong rejection, signaling it’s a key resistance the market respects. A break here, liquidating short positions (which means buying), could spark a solid uptrend leg with great R/R potential. 🔔 Confirmation : Use RSI entering oversold for shorts or overbought for longs. The HWC uptrend means shorts carry higher risk, so tighten your risk management—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. 🔼 Key Takeaway: Short at 1.35672 if it breaks again, long at 1.36406 with confirmation. Stay sharp for momentum shifts and keep stops tight. I’ll update if the market structure flips! 💬 Let’s Talk! Which GBP/USD trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! :)))
by SkepticLab
1
Weekly Macro Brief: Chinese Economic Data, US Inflation, Tariff CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! COMEX:GC1! CME:BTC1! CME_MINI:RTY1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:M6E1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:MES1! Highlights this week include Chinese economic data points, UK CPI, US CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales. Inflation data is key, as it comes ahead of the Fed's meeting on July 30th, 2025. Market participants, including institutional investors and futures brokers like EdgeClear, will be scrutinizing these data points closely to monitor global growth and underlying inflation pressures. Fed speakers are scheduled throughout the week. With increasing calls for Fed Chair Powell voluntary resignation and impeachment, the US administration desiring lower rates, the Fed’s independence and credibility to carry out its dual mandate is at risk. It will be interesting to monitor who folds first. Last week’s FOMC minutes revealed a divided Fed on the interest rate outlook, affirming its June dot plot. On the fiscal policy front, we are already witnessing a shift in global trade policies, with many nations making concessions to negotiate trade deals with the world’s largest economy. In our analysis, the inflation impact of tariffs may not show up until Q4 2025 or early 2026, as tariff threats are mostly used as a lever to negotiate deals. While effective tariff rates have increased, as Trump reshapes how tariffs are viewed, cost pass-through to consumers will be limited in Q3 2025, as companies’ front-loaded inventory helps mitigate the risks of increased tariff exposure. So, what we have is an interesting development shaping up where, while inflation may rise and remain sticky, it is yet to be seen whether slowing consumer spending will weaken enough to the point where companies have to start offering discounts, which would nullify the tariff risk to the end consumer and result in companies absorbing all tariffs. This scenario will see reduced earnings margins leading into the last quarter and early 2026. However, it will materially reduce risks of higher inflation. In summary, the complex interplay between tariffs, inflation, and consumer behavior presents critical considerations for traders. EdgeClear, as a dedicated futures broker, remains focused on equipping clients with the insights needed to help navigate this evolving macroeconomic environment. Overnight Data Recap: • Chinese Trade Balance (CNY)(Jun) 826.0B (Prev. 743.6B) • Chinese Trade Balance USD* (Jun) 114.77B vs. Exp. 109.0B (Prev. 103.22B) • Chinese Imports YY* (Jun) 1.1% vs. Exp. 1.3% (Prev. -3.4%) • Chinese Exports YY* (Jun) 5.8% vs. Exp. 5.0% (Prev. 4.8%) Key Economic Releases: • MON: EU 90-Day Retaliatory Pause Ends • TUE: OPEC MOMR, Chinese House Prices (Jun), Retail Sales (Jun), GDP (Q2), EZ Industrial Production (May), German ZEW (Jun), US CPI (Jun), NY Fed Manufacturing (Jul), Canadian CPI (Jun) • WED: UK CPI (Jun), EZ Trade (May), US PPI (Jun), Industrial Production (Jun) • THU: Japanese Trade Balance (Jun), EZ Final HICP (Jun), US Export/Import Prices (Jun), Weekly Claims, Philadelphia Fed (Jul), Retail Sales (Jun) • FRI: Japanese CPI (Jun), German Producer Prices (Jun), US Building Permits/Housing Starts (Jun), Uni. of Michigan Prelim. (Jul) China GDP / Retail Sales/ Housing (TUE): • Q2 GDP is expected to slow to 5.1% Y/Y (vs 5.4% in Q1) and 0.9% Q/Q. • Retail sales have been resilient, but industrial production and investment show signs of weakness; deflation and labor market concerns persist. • Property prices continue to decline, fueling stimulus speculation; policymakers remain cautious, with only modest easing expected (LPR and RRR cuts in Q4). US CPI (TUE) • June CPI expected at +0.3% M/M headline and core, suggesting a modest rebound from May’s subdued figures. • Inflation impact from tariffs seen as temporary; Fed officials maintain a cautious stance with possible rate cuts only if price pressures stay benign. • Markets are pricing near-zero odds for a July rate cut, but still expect two 25bps cuts by year-end in line with Fed guidance. US Retail Sales (THU): • Headline June retail sales expected flat M/M; ex-autos expected to rise +0.3%, showing signs of consumer stabilization. • BofA data shows mild spending rebound, though discretionary service spending continues to weaken, especially among lower-income households. • Spending strength remains concentrated in higher-income cohorts; weakness in wage growth limits broader consumption momentum. US Trade Tensions – Tariffs & Negotiations: • Trump announced 30% tariffs on EU and Mexican goods effective August 1st, separate from sector-specific tariffs. • Trump stated the EU is engaging in talks and South Korea is also pursuing a trade deal. Mexico Response: • President Sheinbaum expects a deal before August 1st but reaffirmed Mexican sovereignty is non-negotiable. • Mexico’s Economy Ministry is negotiating to protect domestic firms and workers, aiming for an alternative resolution. EU Response: • European Commission President von der Leyen warned that 30% tariffs would disrupt key transatlantic supply chains. • The EU will extend suspension of countermeasures until early August but is prepared to respond proportionally if needed. • The EU prefers a negotiated solution and dropped plans for a digital tax, seen as a concession to US tech interests. • Separately, the EU is drafting a broad corporate tax on firms with turnover above EUR 50 million to support its budget.
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by EdgeClear
XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash? We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture. ✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets. 📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe. 📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend. This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time. And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean? Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it... They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold . 💬 Let’s Talk! Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticLab
1
TradeCityPro | TON Eyes Breakout After Support Zone Rebound👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review the TON coin for you — one of the popular coins owned by Telegram, currently ranked 20 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of 7.51 billion dollars. 📅 Daily timeframe In the daily timeframe, unlike other coins that have already broken their highs and are moving upward, this coin hasn’t yet reached its top and has just been supported from the bottom of its range box. ✔️ A Maker Buyer zone has formed between the 2.725 and 2.519 levels, which is the main support zone for this coin, and the price has been supported from this area and is now moving upward. 📈 The trigger confirming this support was the 2.927 level, and after this trigger got activated and the price consolidated, it seems the main bullish leg has now started, and the price can move toward the top of the box. ✨ If you already have a long position on this coin, I recommend holding it — especially if you have other open positions — because this move has just started, and if an uptrend forms, your entry is at a great level. ⭐ The first zone where I might take partial profits is the 3.513 top, which is a Maker Seller zone and may cause a pullback. 💥 On the other hand, if you don’t have an open position yet, the first long trigger is the break of 3.513. This level is the top of the box, and breaking it confirms the beginning of a bullish trend. 🔍 The RSI trigger and the entry of bullish momentum into the market is the break of 58.84 on this oscillator. Volume so far is well aligned with price, and if this buying volume continues to rise, we can expect sharp bullish moves from this coin. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
2