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Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with the potential for sharp swings amplified by the FOMC announcement. Increased caution and focus on capital preservation are paramount. Key Supports Major Supports: 5060 (major), 5043-47 (major), 5030-32 (major), 5000 (major) Additional Supports: 4976 (major), 4938-41 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5066, 5077-82 (major), 5102 (major), 5144 (major) Major Resistances: 5171 (major), 5200 (major), 5246-50 (major) Trading Strategy FOMC Volatility: Expect unpredictable price swings driven by reactions to the FOMC interest rate decision and related news. Prioritize Capital Preservation: Focus on protecting your account rather than chasing aggressive moves. Adapt position sizing and risk management strategies accordingly. Long Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct bids are high risk. Focus on failed breakdowns for better risk/reward. Potentially long at major support levels after flushes and reclaims (5043-47, 5030-32). Short Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct shorts are also high risk. Watch for strong bounces and failed breakdowns. Consider shorts at key resistance levels only if the reaction to FOMC is definitively bearish. Proceed with extreme caution. Level-to-Level Trading: Employ level-to-level scalping techniques and profit-taking, navigating this volatile environment with tighter stops. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5043-47 support zone is crucial for bulls, with 5030-32 as the absolute minimum. Reclaiming resistances like 5066 could indicate buyer strength. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5030, intensified by negative FOMC news, signals a downside move. Watch for bounces/failed breakdowns for potential shorts. News: Top Stories for May 1st, 2024 Global Economic Outlook Mature economies are stabilizing with a slight growth uptick projected for 2024 and 2025. Emerging economies maintain stability with growth projections at 4.3% for both 2024 and 2025. Regional Trends Asia, including China, anticipates a slowdown, while Latin America expects gradual growth increases. Inflation and Monetary Policies Global inflation is expected to decrease, reflecting central bank rate hikes for price stability and growth support. Geopolitical Impacts Populist policies and recent elections in the US and EU pose financial policy and market stability challenges. Transition to a New Monetary Order impacts interest rates, asset values, and lending environments globally. EU regulatory changes affect financial markets and trading regulations, emphasizing compliance. Digital Transformation Focus on digital assets and CBDCs outside the US signals shifts in financial transactions and regulations. Blockchain technology enhances financial security and transparency, notably in DeFi platforms. AI integration reshapes financial services, optimizing operations and decision-making processes. Digital and open banking experiences exponential growth, fostering fintech innovations and collaborations. RegTech solutions powered by AI help firms manage regulatory obligations efficiently across jurisdictions.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, within a consolidation period likely followed by a breakout. Exercise caution and patience with trades. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127-30, 5121 (major), 5108 Major Supports: 5083 (major), 5067 (major), 5039 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5136, 5150-55 (major), 5176 (major), 5191 (major) Major Resistances: 5205-5208 (major), 5230, 5246 (major), 5270-75 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Breakout: Anticipate a breakout from the current 5120-5155 consolidation range. Plan accordingly for both bull and bear breakout scenarios. Long Opportunities: Prioritize failed breakdowns at 5121 for potential long entries. Focus on bids within the current range and knife-catches on major supports if deep flushes occur (5067, 5039). Short Opportunities: Due to the potential for a strong breakout, approach shorts cautiously. The 5176 and 5191 levels offer shorting opportunities, but with increased risk in the bullish environment. Utilize level-to-level profit-taking. Risk Management: Implement disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile period. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5120 support within the current consolidation range is crucial for bulls. Breakout and Retest: Look for an upside breakout from the 5155 resistance area, followed by a successful retest for further confirmation. Targeting Higher Levels: A breakout could trigger an upward move, focusing on targets at 5176, potentially extending to 5191. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5121 signals a downward move. Watch for a bounce/failed breakdown as an entry point for a short position, with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 30th, 2024 Market Dynamics and Corporate Earnings Global Activity: High activity with 1,300 company earnings reports expected; Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting closely watched for rate decision insights. Sector Highlights: Tech sector leads with major gains by Nvidia and Super Micro; Financials gain on rate cut hopes; Real Estate and Energy sectors lag. Economic Indicators and Central Bank Decisions FOMC Meeting: Coming up on 5/1 Jobs Data: Upcoming release expected to influence Fed's future decisions, especially on inflation control. International Markets Asian Markets: Mixed responses with Japan's Nikkei up and Shanghai Composite down. European Central Bank: Anticipated to follow Fed with potential rate cuts amid inflation challenges. Analysts' Projections and Market Sentiment Future Rate Cuts: Initially expected in mid-2024, now possibly delayed due to persistent high inflation. Investor Outlook: Cautiously optimistic but prepared for potential volatility due to uncertain monetary policy outcomes.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
BITCOIN: HISTORICAL CYCLES AND HEALVING ROADMAP PART IITHIS CHART IS BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA Let’s get to the chart. Keeping in mind that this chart is based on Bitcoin at this time, it's quite important for the coin. Looking at historical prices, if we examine the first example, focusing on the first bit between the 2012 halving, the month before the halving was actually relatively neutral. We saw a slight uptick in the lead-up, once again following the next major market. If we look at the second example, we actually saw a major move to the upside within around one month of the Bitcoin halving, and then we experienced a short downturn before eventually continuing higher later in the market cycle. Then, looking at the 2020 halving example, of course, leading up to the halving, we had the global pandemic that crashed the market to the downside. However, we saw a major recovery one month before the halving. Following the halving, we actually saw some choppy sideways price action, essentially neutral action over the next month, and then we continued with the market much higher. Overall, in a very bullish time in the market right now, generally around the halving, we are usually trending in a bullish direction. Of course, we can see short-term bearish moves, but the larger trend is bullish. Additionally, we usually see a major market move in the process, at least over the next year after the Bitcoin halving. Taking a look at the first example from the first Bitcoin to the ultimate market cycle, that was 370 days into the market top, exactly one year after the market. Looking at the second example, that was around 520 days after the Bitcoin halving to reach the market top. Then, looking at the third example, from the halving to the ultimate market top, that was around 540 days on average. From the actual Bitcoin halving to the next major market top, it takes around 450 to 500 days. Potentially, we could end up seeing the market topping out roughly around 2025, and then we could end up entering into the next market in the second half of 2025 because the next Bitcoin halving is likely to happen in early 2028. As you can clearly see on this chart, we usually end up seeing these markets occur right in the middle of these Bitcoin cycles. Simply based on history, this is the most likely outcome. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but the most likely outcome based on historical data is simply seeing the market over the next year somewhere in 2025. This chart will likely help you make better trade decisions if you consider upvoting it. I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
8
Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, following a multi-day rally. However, proceed with caution as a period of price discovery and more complex action is likely after the strong movement. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127 (major), 5117, 5102 (major), 5089 (major), 5082 Major Supports: 5068-72 (major), 5043 (major), 5034 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5150 (major), 5168-5171 (major), 5185 (major) Major Resistances: 5206-5208 (major), 5230, 5245 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Anticipated: Expect a period of consolidation and complex price action after the recent surge. Overtrading can lead to losses. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5127 or 5102 as potential long entry points. Prioritize bids within the current range for a cautious approach. Short Opportunities: Target the 5185 level (resistance of the downtrend channel) for possible short positions. Consider level-to-level profit-taking within the range. Risk Management: Maintain disciplined risk management in this potentially volatile environment. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5127 or 5102 major supports is crucial for bulls to maintain control. Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5150/5168-71 zones for a potential run to the next major target, 5185. Adding on Strength: In an ultra-bull case, look for bull flagging above 5127 to add exposure in anticipation of an upward move. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5102 could trigger a deeper retracement. True bear case resumes with a break below 5033. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 29th, 2024 Equity Market Overview Global Performance: S&P 500 and Dow Jones rose over 10% in Q1 2024; European and Asian indices also hit highs. Sector Trends: AI boom fuels tech sector gains; value stocks participate more in market rallies. Bond Market Dynamics Interest Rates: Delayed rate cuts by the Federal Reserve impacting bond yields. Performance: High yield bonds outperforming investment-grade due to favorable risk-return amidst volatile rates. Key Economic Indicators Inflation and Sentiment: Persistent inflation concerns; consumer sentiment improves slightly. GDP and Employment: Strong GDP growth and employment figures support bullish equity market sentiment. Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment Short-Term: Continued growth expected, but potential for increased volatility. Long-Term: Earnings growth modest in sectors like IT, significant in "Magnificent 7" companies. Federal Reserve Policy and Market Outlook Fed Stance: Maintains rates; cautious on inflation. Market Impact: S&P 500's performance influenced by rate cut expectations; market may face limited growth post-rate cuts.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
#ETH FORMING FALLING WEDGE PATTERN!On the daily ETH chart, there's a notable pattern emerging, potentially forming a substantial falling wedge. Statistically speaking, a falling wedge tends to signal bullish momentum. About two-thirds of the time, a falling wedge pattern breaks to the upside, while the remaining third breaks to the downside. However, it's important to note that until we observe a confirmed breakout above the significant resistance level currently at around $3450, any price target remains speculative. Once a breakout above this resistance level is confirmed, it sets up a bullish target at the top of the wedge, approximately at $4060. Additionally, another method to gauge the price target for a fall suggests a potential rise to around $4300. This implies a likelihood of the price returning to above $4000, contingent upon the confirmation of a breakout above $3450. Nevertheless, it's essential to remain cautious as there could still be resistance encountered along the way, even after the breakout above $3450. Keep in mind that other levels of resistance may pose challenges to the price's upward movement. So, while there's potential for a bullish trajectory, it's prudent to monitor the situation closely for further developments. #DYOR #NFA CRYPTOCAP:ETH BINANCE:ETHUSDT BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
GOLD - smoothly hold your resistance, now at support? holding?#GOLD. well guys market very well holding your upside today resistance that was 2349 50 and now market just placed our first targeted area 2341 well guys now we have downside immediate supporting area 2339 that is your area now, it will play key role in today next move, keep close it, its your supporting area for now. next selling move will start below that level, otherwise not at all. good luck trade wisely
FX:XAUUSD
by AdilHussain731333
Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control but facing the after-hours earnings event, which could bring sudden volatility. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5067, 5058 (major), 5048 Major Supports: 5036-33 (major), 5010 (major), 4996-5000 (major), 4935-40 (major), 4904-08 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5080-82 (major), 5092 (major), 5108 (major), 5126-29 (major), 5145-50 (major), 5177-81 (major) Major Resistances: 5222, 5243-46 (major), 5272 (major) Trading Strategy Earnings Volatility: Be prepared for unpredictable price action and adjust your strategy in real-time. Trading the Range: Expect price to play within the broad 5036-5126 range. Exercise caution and consider bids/shorts within the range rather than chasing direction. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5067 or 5058 after earnings. Focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels. Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5126-29, 5145-50, or the major 5177-81 zone if reached. Given earnings, approach shorts very cautiously. Profit-Taking: Use level-to-level profit-taking on any position taken, given the increased volatility risk. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the current 5036-33 major support is critical. Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5108 zone for a potential run to the next major target areas of 5126-29 and 5145-50. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5036 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 26th, 2024 Economic Environment March PCE inflation report and its impact on the Fed's policy decisions. Apollo Global's acquisition of US Silica and implications for the materials sector. Stock Market Updates Mixed signals from global markets amidst geopolitical tensions. Bank of Japan's interest rate policy. Global Market News Market response to various corporate earnings and announcements. Additional Market News Bond market dynamics and potential interest rate cuts. Gold's performance and investment implications. Currency market updates and the impact of the Bank of Japan's actions. Additional Market Insights and News Economic Indicators and Outlook US GDP and Economic Growth: Analysis of the latest GDP report and its implications for growth trends. Corporate Earnings Outlook: Forecasts for 2024 and sector-specific performance expectations. Inflation and Interest Rates: Understanding the relationship between inflation, Fed policy, and corporate earnings. Labor Market Dynamics: Assessing the health of the labor market and its impact on consumer spending and corporate profitability. Technological Advancements and Market Shifts Generative AI and Business Transformation: How is GenAI impacting decision-making and efficiencies in various industries. Quantum Computing and Competitive Edge: Exploring the potential of quantum computing in various sectors and its implications for competitive advantage. Sustainable Technology Initiatives: The increasing focus on green technologies and the integration of sustainability with innovation. Industry Cloud Platforms (ICPs): Examining the adoption of ICPs and their role in accelerating digital transformation. Reminder: The after-hours earnings events introduce major volatility risk. Prioritize risk management and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
Trading Plan for Thursday, April 25th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, April 25th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5088-92 (major), 5082, 5077 (major), 5067 Major Supports: 5054-57 (major), 5033-36 (major), 5005-10 (major), 4966 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5104 (major), 5115-20 (major), 5133-36 (major), 5171-75 (major) Major Resistances: 5191 (major), 5225, 5240-45 (major) Trading Strategy Trading the Chop Zone: The 5088-5115 range is currently a choppy, congested zone. Exercise caution with overtrading and consider sniping within the zone over chasing direction. Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5088-92 or 5077. After earnings, focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels. Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5115 or the major 5171-75 zone if reached. Given earnings, a breakout of the current flag pattern is possible and could be considered, but use caution. Profit-Taking: With Meta earnings, use level-to-level profit-taking on any position. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the current bull flag structure (5088-5115) is critical. Look for a base building within this range or a breakout. Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5133-36/5155 zone for a potential run to the next major target, 5171-75. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5077 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking. News: Top Stories for April 25th, 2024 Earnings Releases Meta Earnings: Reports weak revenue guidance, drops 16%.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
Born on TradingView: From Sharing Ideas to Creating InnovationWhere dreams align and ambitions soar, TradingView stands as the home where the founders of CryptoGPT first crossed paths, and where they, alongside a community of visionaries, propelled their aspirations to new heights. The FXPROFESSOR reflects on this journey with profound emotion, recognizing that TradingView has been the fertile soil nurturing the seeds of innovation and collaboration that gave life to the CryptoGPT vision. A Homage to TradingView: The Cradle of Collaboration 🤝🌐 Within the vibrant forums of TradingView, a synergy was sparked among kindred spirits passionate about the art of trading and the science of cryptocurrencies. It is here that the essence of CryptoGPT was forged, melded by the spirit of a community that thrives on making each other better, on lifting each other higher. TradingView: Where Every Chart Tells a Story 📊💡 The FXPROFESSOR celebrates the unique tapestry of interactions that TradingView hosts - every chart, every insight, a verse in the grand narrative of financial evolution. TradingView is not just a backdrop for CryptoGPT's inception; it's a dynamic stage where the plot of our future is written. A Token Infused with the Spirit of TradingView 🚀💼 As CRGPT tokens make their way to the forefront of the trading scene, they carry a piece of TradingView's soul - a relentless drive for progress, an unwavering commitment to community, and the unity that transforms visions into reality. From TradingView to the Global Stage: A Journey of Collective Triumph 🌟🌍 CryptoGPT’s impending debut on centralized exchanges is not just a milestone for the token; it is a testament to TradingView's role in shaping the leaders and innovators of the cryptocurrency world. In Gratitude to TradingView: The Bedrock of Our Story 🙏💫 With a heart full of gratitude, the FXPROFESSOR and the CryptoGPT team honor the platform that's been more than a meeting place - it's been a launchpad for growth, an incubator for groundbreaking ideas, and a community where every member has a voice that can echo into the annals of financial history. Here to make you proud 🚀🤝🌟 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
1