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#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone!#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone! This level has acted as solid support several times in the past. According to the Fibonacci levels, we’re currently at the 0.5 level, which makes this area even more significant. In my opinion, we’re likely to see a bounce from here. However, if the price fails to hold this level, there’s a good chance we’ll retest the $92K zone. But for that to happen, we need a daily close below $100K. Until then, we’re still in a safe zone. I’ll keep you updated as things develop. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! DYOR, NFA
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
8
ZETA: when a wedge isn’t just a wedge — it’s a launchpadTechnically, this setup is textbook clean. Price completed the fifth wave within a falling wedge and instantly reacted with a bullish breakout. The expected breakdown didn’t happen — instead, buyers stepped in, confirmed by rising volume. All EMAs are compressed at the bottom of the structure, signaling a clear shift in momentum. The volume profile shows strong accumulation around $14, while the area above current levels is a vacuum — ideal conditions for acceleration. The key resistance zone is $16.70–17.20 — former base highs and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. If price breaks this area with volume, the next stop is likely $24.48 (0.5 Fibo). Classical wedge targets land at $38.28 and $55.33 (1.272 and 1.618 extensions). If a trending leg begins, it could move fast — because there’s simply no supply overhead. Fundamentals: ZETA isn’t a profitable company yet, but it shows consistent revenue growth and aggressive expansion. Capitalization is rising, debt is manageable, and institutional interest has increased over recent quarters. In an environment where tech and AI are regaining momentum, ZETA could be a speculative second-tier breakout candidate. Tactical plan: — Entry: market or after a retest of $14.00–14.30 — First target: $17.20 — Main target: $24.48 — Continuation: $38.28+ — Stop: below $13.00 (bottom wedge boundary) When the market prints a wedge like this and the crowd ignores it — that’s often the best trap setup. Only this time, it’s not for retail buyers. It’s for the shorts. Because when a falling wedge breaks to the upside with volume — it’s time to buckle up.
NYSE:ZETALong
by TotoshkaTrades
5
Apple is standing at the edgeApple (AAPL) is losing its long-term structure — second retest of the broken trendline suggests a bearish setup On the 3D chart, Apple shows signs of structural breakdown. The weekly trendline from 2023 was broken and retested — twice. The price failed to regain it and now trades below, with candles showing weakness: low body closes, upper wicks, and no upside follow-through. MA200 is now above price, and all EMAs are turning down. Volume Profile shows a heavy resistance block near $197. If the price remains below, sellers are in control. Key levels: — $192.20 = 0.5 Fibo support. — Breakdown ➝ targets: $180 → $167 → $152. Fundamentals: Apple's recent reports show decelerating growth, weak China demand, and compressed margins. While AI buzz supports sentiment, institutional flow suggests distribution. BigTech may be topping out, and Apple is positioned for pullback. Strategy: Short below $196 with confirmation. Stop: $198. Targets: $180 / $167 / $152. Failure to reclaim $192–197 = broken trend confirmed. This is not a growth setup. This is where trends end — and profit-taking begins.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Crude Oil Futures: Navigating Geopolitical Risk and VolatilityMarket Context: NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:GC1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME:6E1! Implied volatility (IV) in the front weeks (1W and 2W) is elevated, and the futures curve is in steep backwardation. This indicates heightened short-term uncertainty tied to geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East involving Iran and Israel. The forward curve, however, suggests the market is not fully pricing in sustained or escalating conflict. We evaluate three possible geopolitical scenarios and their implications for the Crude Oil Futures market: Scenario 1: Ceasefire Within 1–2 Weeks • Market Implication: Short-term geopolitical premium deflates. • Strategy: Short front-month / Long deferred-month crude oil calendar spread. o This position benefits from a reversion in front-month prices once the risk premium collapses, while deferred months—already pricing more stable conditions—remain anchored. o Risk: If the ceasefire fails to materialize within this narrow window, front-month prices could spike further, causing losses. Scenario 2: Prolonged War of Attrition (No Ceasefire, Ongoing Missile and Air War) • Market Implication: Front-end volatility may ease slightly but remain elevated; deferred contracts may begin to price in more geopolitical risk. • Strategy: Long back-month crude oil futures. o The market is currently underpricing forward-looking risk premiums. A persistent conflict, even without full-scale escalation, may eventually force the market to adjust deferred pricing upward. o Risk: Time decay and roll costs. Requires a longer holding horizon and conviction that the situation remains unresolved and volatile. Scenario 3: Full-Scale Regional War • Market Implication: Severe market dislocation, illiquidity, potential for capital flight, and broad-based risk-off sentiment across global assets. • Strategy: Avoid initiating directional exposure in crude. Focus on risk management and capital preservation. o In this tail-risk scenario, crude oil could spike sharply, but slippage, execution risk, and potential exchange halts or liquidity freezes make it unsuitable for new exposure. o Alternative Focus: Allocate to volatility strategies, defensive hedging (e.g., long Gold, long VIX futures), and cash equivalents. o Risk: Sudden market shutdowns or gaps may make exit strategies difficult to execute. Broader Portfolio Considerations Given the crude oil dynamics, there are knock-on effects across other markets: • Gold Futures: Flight-to-safety bid in Scenarios 2 and 3. Long positioning in Gold (spot or near-month futures) with defined stop-loss levels is prudent as a hedge. • Equity Index Futures (E-mini Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500): Vulnerable to risk-off flows in Scenarios 2 and 3. Consider long volatility (VIX calls or long VX futures) or equity index puts as portfolio hedges. In Scenario 1, equities could rally on resolution optimism—especially growth-heavy Nasdaq. • Currency Futures: USD likely to strengthen as a safe haven in Scenarios 2 and 3. Consider long positions in Dollar and Short 6E futures. • Bond Futures: Risk-off flows theoretically should support Treasuries in Scenarios 2 and 3. Long positions in 10Y or 30Y Treasury futures could serve as a defensive allocation. Yields may retrace sharply lower if escalation intensifies. However, given the current paradigm shift with elevated yields, higher for longer rates and long end remaining high, we would not bet too heavily on Bond futures to act as safe haven. Instead, inflows in Gold, strengthening of Chinese Yuan and Bitcoin will be key to monitor here. Scenario-based planning is essential when markets are pricing geopolitical risk in a non-linear fashion. Crude oil currently reflects a consensus expectation of de-escalation (Scenario 1), which opens the door for relative value and mean-reversion strategies in the front-end of the curve. However, given the asymmetric risks in Scenarios 2 and 3, prudent exposure management, optionality-based hedges, and a flexible risk framework are imperative. A diversified playbook; leveraging volatility structures, calendar spreads, and cross-asset hedges offers the best path to opportunity while managing downside risk.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
FED Day: NQ Futures planCME_MINI:NQ1! Today is FOMC day; however, there is a larger geopolitical risk looming, along with the trade war and tariffs situation unfolding. Recently, we have noted inflation moving lower, although it is not yet at the FED’s 2% target. Retail sales fell sharply last month. Tariffs have not yet resulted in inflation so far, partly due to the 90-day pause, and with possible extensions, some deals agreed upon, and a framework for others in place, tariff uncertainty has considerably reduced. On the contrary, lower energy prices that supported lower inflation have risen due to ongoing geopolitical issues. Risks remain high for elevated energy prices even if supply and sea routes remain unharmed. In our view, this is due to the fragility of the situation and what it would take to turn the ongoing war into the worst possible outcome. The FED releases their Summary of Economic Projections. Key data points will be inflation and growth projections, along with interest rate projections and any talks about neutral rates and expected cuts, given the bleak global outlook and growth. The FED is otherwise expected to hold rates steady in this meeting. Given this, and what Chair Powell says in the FOMC press conference, their commitment towards driving inflation lower versus maximum employment, risks on the growth and employment side have started to worsen. If rate cut bets are moved forward or if markets price in more rate cuts than currently priced in, we may see equity index futures make further gains. NQ futures are coiling; the yearly VPOC has shifted higher, as we explained in our previous analysis. Today’s meeting may be key for further fuel higher or lower, depending on how it pans out. Market participants are in a wait and see mode. Markets are accepting higher prices and break of balance is key to determine the direction price may be headed in. Until otherwise proven, markets are range bound and mean reverting from June Composite Volume Profile towards monthly VWAP and VPOC.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚 Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 . Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers: Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤 Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪 Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy! Final Vibe Check That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
TVC:DXY
by SkepticLab
1
Oil Surges on Israel-Iran Nuclear Strike Fears🛢️ Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites are pushing oil ( BLACKBULL:WTI , BLACKBULL:BRENT ) higher! Bloomberg reports Trump’s G-7 exit and Tehran evacuation warning as Israel-Iran strikes intensify (June 17, 2025). Analysts warn of Strait of Hormuz risks, with 17M barrels/day at stake. 4H Chart Analysis: Price Action: WTI ( BLACKBULL:WTI ) broke $75 resistance (June 2025 high), exiting a 3-week range. Brent ( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) mirrors at $78. Volume: 4H volume spiked 15% vs. prior week, confirming breakout buying. Key Levels: Current Support: $75 (WTI), $78 (Brent) – former resistance, now support. Next Support: $73 (WTI), $76 (Brent) – prior range lows, tested twice in June. Context: Oil gained 2% this week, driven by Middle East supply fears, with WTI at a 1-month high. Trading Insight: The $75/$78 breakouts signal bullish momentum. $73-$76 is a key support zone for dips. Watch Iran retaliation news and volume for supply disruption clues. What’s your 4H oil trade? Post your setups! 👇 #OilPrice #WTI #Brent #IsraelIran #TradingView
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by DCAChampion
AMD – Breakout Watch (Daily Chart)NASDAQ:AMD surged +9.12% on June 16 with volume 1.8× above average, reclaiming the 200-day SMA for the first time in 7 months. This marks a clear character change, but not yet a setup. Price stalled into multi-quarter trendline resistance around 128–130. No pivot, no contraction — just strength into supply. Still needs to consolidate below trendline resistance for a valid trade. Key Levels: • Resistance: 130 / 145 • Support: 124.35 (breakout zone), 116.55 (MA stack) • Watch for: Tight coil, volume dry-up, pivot pattern formation Not chasing — watching for structure. Patience is a position. 📉 Weekly chart also reclaimed 30-week MA for the first time since Nov ’24. #AMD #technicalanalysis #breakoutwatch #tradingview
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by KT_Charts
Weekly Market Outlook: FOMC, Trade Deals and GeopoliticsIt is a holiday-shortened week, with the majority of markets halting early on Thursday, June 19, 2025, in observance of Juneteenth. See here for holiday trading schedule Key Themes to Monitor This Week Geopolitical Risks Any outside intervention in the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict will likely be seen as a risk-off event by market participants. Despite Friday’s sell-off, markets shrugged off during the Sunday open and overnight sessions. There are potential risks to trade routes and energy infrastructure, although disruptions seem unlikely at the moment. Amena Bakr at Kpler noted that, so far, there are no signs of disruptions in oil loadings from Iran. Without a supply outage, there is no pressing need for additional barrels to be brought onto the market. Trade War and Trade Deals There have been recent developments with the U.S. reaching key trade deal milestones with several countries. The baseline scenario remains optimistic, with expectations for an extension in negotiations and potential reciprocal tariffs for countries failing to reach agreements. FED Week This is a key week for U.S. monetary policy, with the FOMC decision, Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), and Chair Powell’s press conference scheduled. Traders will be closely watching how the Fed’s inflation and growth expectations have evolved, as reflected in the SEP. All eyes will be on the dot plot to note how interest rate expectations have evolved since last quarter. Of note: Will President Trump’s continued calls for rate cuts influence Chair Powell’s tone or guidance? Expectations for the Week Ahead NQ futures have continued one-time framing higher, consistently creating higher lows since the week of April 21, 2025. A strong support zone exists below, anchored at the yearly Volume Point of Control (VPOC) and the Anchored VWAP from May 11, 2025, when markets gapped higher. Key Levels to Watch • yVAH: 22,690.50 • R2: 22,510 • R1 / Previous Week High: 22,322.50 • May 11 AVWAP: 21,672.25 • yVPOC: 21,660 Scenario 1: Market Grinds Higher but Stays Cautious Despite several looming risk factors, the market could continue to grind higher. In this scenario, we anticipate a test above the prior week's high, followed by a potential pullback into last week’s range. Example Trade Idea 1 • Entry: 22,000 • Stop: 21,930 • Target: 22,322 • Risk: 70 pts • Reward: 322 pts • Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.6R Scenario 2: Pullback to Support, Range-Bound Consolidation If the market pulls back, we expect the yearly VPOC and AVWAP from May 11 to act as key support levels. In this case, price action may remain range-bound within the previous week’s range, forming an inside week. Example Trade Idea 2 • Entry: 21,672 • Stop: 21,600 • Target: 22,000 • Risk: 72 pts • Reward: 328 pts • Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.6R ________________________________________ Glossary • VPOC: Volume Point of Control • VA: Value Area • VAL: Value Area Low • VAH: Value Area High • VP: Volume Profile • AVP: Anchored Volume Profile • Y: Yearly • pWk: Previous Week
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
5
Gold Breaks Out as Iran Tensions Flare🚨 Israel’s Iran strike fears are sending gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) soaring to $3448! reports Israel may target Iran’s nuclear sites (June 16, 2025), fueling safe-haven demand as oil prices climb. 4H Chart Analysis: Price Action: XAUUSD cleared $3440 resistance (a June 2025 high) after a 2-week consolidation, confirming an uptrend. Volume: 4H volume surged 20% vs. the prior week, reflecting strong buying pressure. Key Levels: Current Support: $3440 (former resistance, now support, tested today). Next Support: $3410-$3420 (consolidation low, held three times since June 1, 2025). Context: Gold is up 6.49% this month, with $3448 the highest 4H close since May 2025, driven by Middle East risks. The $3440 breakout with high volume shows buyers dominating. $3410-$3420 is a key support zone for pullbacks, backed by recent price action. Track Iran news and volume for breakout strength or reversal signals. How’s your 4H gold setup looking? Drop your charts! 👇 #GoldPrice #XAUUSD #IsraelIran #SafeHaven #TradingView
TVC:GOLDLong
by DCAChampion
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #116👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session. ✅ Yesterday, a very important event occurred: Israel launched a military attack on Iran, targeting not only military facilities but also residential areas. ⚔️ Leaving aside the fact that war is always a global tragedy, the fact that Israel also hit civilian zones shows that the tensions between these two countries have entered a new phase. 💫 In addition to civilian casualties, key commanders of the Iranian military were assassinated in these strikes. 🏳️ Most countries such as the United States, France, and most of Europe supported Israel in this conflict, while only North Korea and Russia backed Iran. 📊 Given these rising tensions and the cancellation of Sunday’s negotiations between Iran and the U.S., the likelihood of war between Iran and Israel has greatly increased following the resolution signed yesterday. ⭐ This development has caused safe-haven assets like gold to move upward, while risk-on assets like crypto have started to decline. As you can see, Bitcoin has been falling since yesterday. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, as mentioned, after an initial correction to the 108436 zone, Bitcoin continued its decline down to 103606, breaking through the support level we had marked due to the war-related news. ✨ Currently, the price has found support at 103606 and has started a corrective phase. RSI has also exited the Oversold area and is now heading toward the 50 zone. 📉 In my opinion, under the current market conditions, we should wait to see how Iran reacts to Israel's actions. If war breaks out, Bitcoin is likely to drop again. ⚡️ Personally, I’m holding off on opening any positions until we get more clarity on the fundamental developments between Iran and Israel. I'm also not closing any of my longer-term positions that were opened in lower zones like 88k. 🔔 However, if you are looking to open a position, you could enter on a break below 103606. I don’t currently have a trigger for a long position and would prefer to wait for a proper structure to develop. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance moved upward along with the market decline and, after breaking through 64.18, continued its bullish leg up to 64.85. 🧩 It has since begun a corrective phase after hitting that resistance. If this correction continues, the next zone to watch is 64.49. 📅 Total2 Analysis This index also dropped alongside Bitcoin yesterday, falling from 1.18 down to 1.12 after triggering a short. 🔍 The price has since corrected up to 1.14. If a new bearish leg begins, we can open a short position on a break below 1.12. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Tether dominance moved upward after triggering 4.68 and reached 4.89. 💥 If 4.79 is broken, the correction could continue. If 4.89 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance will begin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
3
XAUUSD - Emotional Scalping on Gold Leads to Blown Accounts📔 “I’ll just scalp Gold on the 1-minute” — said the future blown account Gold doesn’t care about your emotions. It doesn’t care that you think you can catch a move before it happens. And it definitely doesn’t care about your $50 dream from a 20-pip scalp. Real Gold traders don’t come for 20 pips. They come for precision, for structure, and for 80–100 pip setups backed by real confluence. If you’re pressing buttons on the 1-minute because you “feel it,” you’re not trading Gold — you’re feeding it. And it will eat you alive. ⭐1. Gold is Not a Currency Pair — It’s a Metal with a Temper You’re not trading EURUSD. You’re trading a metal — one of the most reactive and manipulated instruments in the market. Gold doesn’t respond like a normal pair. It reacts like a sensor. A trigger. 🔸 Geopolitical tension? It spikes. 🔸 USD news? CPI, NFP, FOMC — massive moves. 🔸 Imbalances and inducement zones? It respects them with surgical precision. 🔸 Thin liquidity or Asian session? Expect the unexpected. Last night, due to a political situation Gold didn’t hesitate. It exploded — hundreds of pips — while other pairs just twitched. And here’s the truth: 🔱 Gold is the most loved asset on the planet. • It’s wealth. • It’s power. • It’s culture. • It’s fear and greed — in physical form. That’s why it dominates the market. That’s why it’s unpredictable. And that’s why you need to approach it with respect — not emotion. ⏱️ 2. The 1-Minute Trap: Why You’re Always Late On M1, there is no structure — only speed. By the time you “see a pattern,” you’re already the exit liquidity. Order blocks? FVGs? Choch?BOS? They’re there… but barely readable in real time unless you’re hyper-trained. You’re not early. You’re late — many, many times. And Gold punishes late entries without mercy. So what should you do instead? 🧭 Zoom out. Reset. Re-anchor. Start with D1-H12-H4-H1. Mark the structure. Drop to M30/15/5 to refine your zones. Then — and only then — use M1 as a trigger, not a chart to trade blindly on. M1 is for confirmation — not discovery. It shows behavior, not bias. And if you treat it like a full chart, it will bury your account one candle at a time. 🤓3. If You're New — Respect the Timeframes If you’ve been trading Gold for less than 6 months, you don’t need more entries. You need more patience. Work with: ✅ 1H ✅ 30m ✅ 15m That’s where the story unfolds — clean, structured, readable. Yes, study the lower timeframes. Flip through M1, M3, M5, M7, M10… Zoom in, zoom out. Train your eye. And slowly, you’ll start to recognize the way Gold breathes — how it baits, spikes, pauses, and traps. But execution? Execution stays clean, until your structure reads faster than your fear. 🚨4. Gold Doesn’t Just Move Fast — It Gets You Hooked Gold isn’t just volatile — it’s addictive. You win once… you feel unstoppable. Twice… now you think you’re the chosen winner. And just like that, you’re hooked. You start ignoring your loss, because those two wins gave you more dopamine than a full week of consistency. You don’t even notice you’re in a loop: → Two wins → Five losses → One clean trade → Three more losses → Still confident… because of one high You’re not trading structure. You’re chasing a chemical high — and Gold is your dealer. That’s why M1 destroys accounts. Because the more you “almost catch it,” the more obsessed you get. You don’t need a new setup. You need to break the loop. Walk away, breathe, come back and trade less. 😶‍🌫️ 5. If Your Mind is Not Calm — Stay Off the Chart Gold will test your technicals — but it’ll destroy your psychology if you’re not stable. Had a bad day at work? Argued with someone? Feeling off? Do. Not. Trade. Gold!! This metal feeds on instability. It senses when you’re not focused. And it will punish you faster than you can say “SL hit.” 💬 “You trade what you feel. So if you’re a mess inside, your chart becomes chaos too.” 🔚 Bottom Line: You Don’t Need More Trades. You Need Better Vision. Scalping Gold on M1 sounds smart. Feels efficient. Looks exciting. Until you’re left with a blown account and a broken mindset. 🫶 Want to stop gambling and start dominating? Start with patience. Stick to timeframes. Learn the rhythm. Gold is not for the impulsive — it’s for the precise. If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos! Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm! 📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts. 📍First, the big picture. Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive. Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks. But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say. 👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily. The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle. 📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market. On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup. 🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always. 📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves. I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍 That’s today’s breakdown, traders! If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
by SkepticLab