Kuehne + Nagel (logistics): An interesting position as logisticsKuehne + Nagel (logistics): An interesting position as logistics are essential to international trade, but performance is sensitive to global economic cycles.
Rewards
Trading at 46% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 4.74% per year
Risk Analysis
Dividend of 4.32% is not well covered by earnings or free cash flows
Transport
Frontier Transport classic Leave alone stockSince inception, this stock has been in a box range.
No clear direction of where the stock wants to go.
This is one of those you just leave it be.
It's unattractive, the liquidity is so low (so doubt you can enter and exit easily).
And it's one of those dead in the water stocks UnTIl...
It breaks above the Box or Below the box. But even if it breaks below the Box, there are no instruments to short as there isn't enough trading volume.
Atlantia SpA (ATL.mi) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the Italian company Atlantia SpA (ATL.mi). Atlantia SpA (formerly Autostrade) is an Italian holding company active in the infrastructure sector, including motorways, airport infrastructure and transport services. The group manages 9,400 km (5,800 mi) of toll motorways, Fiumicino and Ciampino airports in Italy and the three airstrips of Nice, Cannes-Mandelieu and Saint Tropez in France with more than 60 million passengers a year. It is listed on the Borsa Italiana and is a constituent of the FTSE MIB index. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 02/11/2022. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 7 days towards 22.810 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 22.520 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Atlantia's long-term investors, Singapore sovereign fund GIC and Italian banking foundation CRT, have tendered their shares in the takeover offer launched by the Benettons and U.S. investment fund Blackstone. CRT and GIC own 4.5% and 8.3%, respectively, in the infrastructure group. Benettons' holding company Edizione controls Atlantia with a 33% stake.
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UHALAmerco the parent company of Uhaul in America a large transport company.
Logistics and transport have been a massive player in current economical situation so these companies are not to be overlooked.
Noticed a lot of inside buying going on with the CEO's recently so took a position on a punt before the break out of the major descending consolidation.
Days later we had the massive push to 660 and have been trending up since.
Looking for this level to break soon and see another push.
$AMZN end of bull run - WARNING !!! Amazon made a lower high in July and gapped down after earnings on July 29.
Bad sign !!!
Refering to the Dow Jones Transportation (DJT) index declining for the past few months, this is a weak sign of the general economy. Transportation is very sensitive to the economy and as everyone knows, you need transports to shops finished products from one place to another, particularly for a business like Amazon. One exception would be software companies to an extent that they do not need to rely on transportation to deliver their products, they just do it over the internet in most cases.
Fedex and UPS have also gapped down and trading sideways recently.
Where to from here? I would expect businesses like Amazon, Etsy, Ebay to soften their sales and share price should be going sideways or down. I don't foresee the bull run to continue for a while.
I'm expecting a minor correction in the markets (SPX & DOW & IWM) next few weeks or so.
The world needs transportation...These are sort of my levels. Aren't you worried about crude level? I mean... Do you think this will ever recover its shape again? It's just common sense and because this world is moved by money and transportation issues mainly.
How do you imagine this future?
Thanks again!
FDX moving higher. Proxy for the stock market ?I am showing you a nice monthly chart of Fedex not to demonstrate my labeling skill but only to make one point : The bulls are running the parade and it's not over yet. Some might argue that one stock is not a good proxy for the overall equity market but a rising tide lift all boats and I found that stocks with the right look can often be used as a warning signal on what's coming. Actually in 2007 FDX not only rolled over before the overall market but way before the Trannies. Let's see if history will repeat itself. For now FDX is in a consolidation that could be over but with current overall market showing sign of exhaustion I would not be surprised if FDX drops back a bit maybe towards 160 before resuming its march higher. Then later, probably this fall, a larger decline should emerge scaring people away before sucking them all back in for the final rally to end this large advance from the 2009 low. For now, the when and the where are too difficult to predict but until further notice I am bullish FDX. Stay tuned