Es long . Trend reversal trade. EZ trading system. Long ES
Entry price 3553.50
Stop loss 3498
4 hour EZ system.
Rules of this system. Basic strategy. Highly profitable with clear signals. Good for beginner traders. Don’t stray from the rules and you will make money. Trade is over when you are stopped out. No profit targets used or needed. Stop loss is adjusted based on volatility of price every 4hrs . Confirmation of trade is on candle close. You can be aggressive at your own discretion by entering a trade prior to candle close. This is higher risk, but potentially more profitable. By Following stop loss rules any losses will be minimized.
Indicators:
1.5 ATR (Blue dots)
2 ATR (White dots)
2.5 ATR (red dots)
All ATR periods set at 9
Rules for long entry
1. 4h candle closes above blue dots. (Can be more aggressive based on your analysis. See above)
2. Set buy limit 1 or 2 ticks above blue dots. May also just enter at the close of 4h candle if you want to assure entry.
3. Place initial stop loss at white dots or red dots depending on risk tolerance. Do not use blue dots for initial stop as this Is presumably your entry point.
4. Every 4h period adjust SL to either red, white or blue dots. As trade moves in your favor I usually keep stop at blue or white dots. But you may adjust your stop every 4h period to the red, white, or blue dots. You can also place your stops BETWEEN any of these ATRS. You may tighten or loosen your stop in any new 4h hour period as long as you stay at any one of these 3 ATRs. Do not adjust your stop WITHIN any 4h period once it has been set. I usually place my stop a tick or 2 below whichever ATR I’m using . *** Note: adjusting your SL like this is contrary to most opinions about SL’s. However my backtesting shows no statically significant difference in profit/loss ratios over time. Just always place your stop at or between any one of these ATRs and you will be okay.
Stay in trade until you’re stopped out. However you can always end the trade early if you see the tide starting to turn. But I would usually only consider doing this in the following 2 scenarios; 1. if your P/L is at least 2 to 1. 2. If your profit is in negative territory you may exit your trade prior to being stopped out at your discretion for a small loss. Between these 2 scenarios always try to stay in the trade.
Those are the basics. I will show the rules for a short entry when my next short trade presents itself. As you can guess it is the corollary of a long trade.
I will also discuss in the future where you may want to add to a position. This is also very rules based.
Beware: different futures instruments may need different ATR bands. But the rules are otherwise the same. We will go over CL GC and NQ in future trades.
Trend-reversal
GBP/CHF SHORT TERM BOUNCE IDEAGBP/CHF has been following this channel for two weeks now. Every time the trend line area's are hit, a swift and powerful rebound occurs within a few hours.
Consider the red marked area as a possible exit, since its close to the recent high and the upper channel trend line.
The oscillating nature of the forex pair combined with the coming high volatility from the elections might make this a quick win!
EUR/NZD MASSIVE WEDGE: BULLISH SIGNALEUR?NZD is strictly following a wedge this year. Today it bounced off the lower support line, signalling that the price will follow this wedge in the near future.
Be aware for the red marked area, as its the upper resistance line, where the price has a high probability of reversing.
CHF/JPY POSSIBLE 100 PIP MOVEMENT AHEADCHF/JPY bounced off the lower trendline of the wedge, starting a short-term bullish move of an expected 100 pips.
Consider exiting your position around the red area of support. Chances are that CHF/JPY will reverse and follow the multi month wedge. In case it surpasses the uppr resistance line, watch out for the blue dotted line as it functions as a strong short term resistance.
EUR/USD REJECTS SUPPORT: BULLISH SIGNALEUR/USD has bounced of the 3-month low yesterday, signalling a bullish move.
The rejection of the support is accompanied by an oversold RSI, making the upward move much stronger. Consider taking profits when the price has reached the red area. Chances are that EUR/USD will follow the drawn wedge for the coming weeks.
GOOGLE BEARISH DIVERGENCE: SHORT TERM DECLINE?Since Google’s last earnings hike a bearish divergence signal has emerged on the 4H chart.
This divergence was accompanied with a massive sell-off after the earnings hike, resulting in a 4% decline. Large sell-offs like this could indicate a trend reversal.
The 30 October high has on its turn shaped a wedge for us which we can act on in the coming months. The lower trendline has been holding strong for three times already, indicating its function as a strong support for the future. Expect a reversal of the down trend when the price arrives in the green marked area.
XEM/BTC SHOWING SIGNS OF A SHORT-TERM RECOVERYXEM/BTC has been in a massive decline since early September. As of today, the RSI and MA200 are showing signs of recovery!
Over the past year, the daily RSI has been a good indicator for short term reversals, big and small.
This time, however, we see a strong rejection of the MA200 accompanied with a reversal of the RSI. With the RSI being greatly oversold at 20 points, a short-term recovery is to be expected.
A conservative target would be the area around 800. A target beyond 900 would be considered as more speculative. Trade carefully.
GBPJPY Buy Setupon H4: GBPJPY is overall bearish trading inside our blue channel and it is currently approaching a strong support level 136.0 in green so we will be looking for trend-following buy setups on lower timeframes.
On M30: GBPJPY is retesting our lower blue trendline from H4, so as price approaches our 136.0 support, we will be waiting for a third swing to form around our upper red trendline to consider it valid and buy on its break upward.
Good Luck!
AUDCAD Sell SetupAUDCAD is forming a head and shoulders pattern around resistance.
We also have a divergence adding more confluence to our setup.
Our trigger would be after a momentum candle close below the neckline.
And the stop loss would go just above the right shoulders.
We always target double our stop loss!
Good Luck!
Bitcoin Changes Uptrend to DowntrendAt the beginning of the week, we said that Bitcoin will rise to $11,600 and we were right. It was local growth.
Bitcoin options expire today in the amount of 62,000 BTC or $700 million. This is an important event that could trigger a breakdown of the $11,000 level. At the same time, with a high probability, we can see the price of $10,000 per bitcoin in the near future.
On the weekly timeframe, the RSI and Stochastic indicators are still in the overbought zone. In addition, candlestick patterns also indicate a trend reversal. All this speaks of the imminent fall of bitcoin.
Maybe the trend is endingmaybe downtrend is ending. I have my ideas about it:
1. The price went up from yellow rectangle several times. It means that there is a high probability that we have trend reversal and we might get uptrend.
2. lets say price goes up to pink triangle and hold for a long time . Trend reversal probability will be even higher And we might get uptrend.
3. If the price goes down from yellow rectangle then the trend probably will continue.
GBPCHF top-down analysison DAILY: GBPCHF is sitting around a strong support zone in red so we will be looking for objective buy setups on lower timeframes.
Unless price breaks aggressively below our red zone, then a bearish movement till the all-time-low would be expected.
on H1: price formed an objective trendline in blue, and we have an inverse head and shoulders forming. we are waiting for the right shoulder to form and then buy after a candle close above our neckline.
or we are waiting for an objective break above our blue trendline to buy.
we also have divergence on MACD adding more confluence to our buy setup.
meanwhile, this pair is overall bearish.
💯 % reliable wedge formed on EURGBPThe overall expected bias for EURGBP is on the bull side . A very good entry level is to wait for price to test this price point ! 0.86844 before entering Any but position! Stay safe !
Trade your plan and plan your trade !
Please follow this account! And like this post to encourage my team ! Thanks !
🚨 Wishing you all a pipful week ahead ! ⚠️
GBP/AUD analysisprice is extremely volatile and therefore rapid price action may occur before I can post the trade, however, the price has rejected the trendline+ key fib level... therefore price could extend the 2.0400 to create a lower high and a right shoulder.
-trade safe!
-great 1:2 risk/reward ratio