1620 to 2450 Recession intervention by Arthur Burn and Nixon 2.0since 1987 every time overbought stock market goes down fed comes to save the rich
which was easy to do because there was no inflation
but post pandemic things changed and they can't do it anymore and result is fed stuck in stagflation
usa recession begin in september 2022 after hawkish 75bps hike but because election
arthur burn rapidly lower the rate hike size from 75 to 25
and later did QE on SVB bank run to stop recession.
Fed didn't stop there to turn recession into a economic boom just one year from election
first fed daly directly intervene bond market to ease high rate fear in bond market than in November fomc fed intently made ultra loose financial condition easing and ignored the inflation rising again by saying bump aka transitory 2.0 to make sure economic boom continue at least through april 2024 in election year
now nixon 2.0 have left you in recession and fed has no recession to intervene recession
because it is already to late to election
if no policy support comes to rescue the economy than gold can peak at 2450
wxy wave ending from 1620 to 2450 with 1.382 projection of wave Y
if powell repeat fed put again which he is doing since 2018
this week boj did to stop black monday market crash than no limit to gold meltup
Trend
BTC/USDT READY FOR NEW 62K LEVEL : NEW CYCLE STARTBitcoin is at this moment in an important confirmation zone, if it's able to confirm this in the coming hours this zone, we could see a break trend BTC/usdt with the return to the level of up 60K
If the trend is getting confirmed, then it's short-term since BTC is now at an important level. If this happens we will see a break trend with time.
By this update, we did follow BTC after the drop
BTC has a high chance of returning up to 60K soon. which means a new cycle can get created also.
Trading is risky, trade only depends on your plan, this is not trading advice.
JTO/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEJTO/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
Xauusd up trend XAU/USD is currently showing signs of an upward trend, moving from a price of 2383 to 2400. This bullish movement can be attributed to the latest data on initial jobless claims, which may have positively impacted market sentiment towards gold. Investors often turn to safe-haven assets like gold in times of economic uncertainty, and a decrease in jobless claims could hint at a stronger economy, driving demand for gold and pushing its price higher. As a result, XAU/USD is experiencing an upward momentum, reflecting the current market conditions influenced by the initial jobless claim data.
Bitcoin - Weekly chart Update - Bears will lose#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Bitcoin has bounced back with a 15% recovery from the recent market low, a positive sign indicating resilience. The price is currently holding above a critical support level, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
+ While the price is trading above support, a major drop below this level would be concerning for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. The next significant support is at $45K, a crucial trend line. A break below $45K could signal the onset of a bear market.
+ Despite the recent recovery, August and September are expected to be challenging months for Bitcoin. The market is likely to range with multiple spikes and drops, potentially leading to liquidations for both bulls and bears. This period of volatility requires careful risk management.
+ I remain optimistic that Bitcoin will hold above the $50K level, with a gradual recovery likely from this area. Maintaining support above $50K is essential for avoiding a deeper downturn and sustaining the long-term bullish trend.
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JASMY/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEJASMY/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
ORN/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEORN/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
POPCAT/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEPOPCAT/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
POPCAT known when is the right moment that the volume is higher than normally coins at same range.
Bitcoin UpdateOn August 5th, Bitcoin dropped below the 50,000 mark, invalidating a previously established channel. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the 57,000 level. If this test is successful, Bitcoin could rise to the 61,000 level, where it may face a minor retest before continuing its upward trajectory. However, the heavy order concentration and liquidations between the 60,000 and 63,000 levels could present significant challenges.
Optimistic Scenario (Green Arrow):
After navigating the fluctuations above the order block, Bitcoin successfully tests the blue line, confirming support, and continues its upward trend.
Pessimistic Scenario (Red Arrow):
Bitcoin faces substantial resistance within the 60,000 to 63,000 range due to high order activity, leading to a reversal and a potential decline back to the 45,000 level.
MEW/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEMEW/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
DOG/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEDOG/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
CEEK/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMECEEK/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
MAX/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEMAX/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates start always with interest if there is a confirmation with follow, and if there is a building with hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. some % shows also a start fake trend and return back where it did start. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
We are in a main market where panic is active.
When this coin can confirm we will follow it further for trend follow.
This update and all our updates are not trading advice, Trading can always be risky.
Let's hope the best trades for everyone❤️
OMG/USDT BREAK POSSIBLITYOMG/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
OMG has break possibility, it did stays strong against BTC breakdown
MBL/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMEMBL/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
NYAN/USDT NEW INCREASE VOLUMENYAN/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
We are in a main market where panic is active.
When this coin can confirm we will follow it further for trend follow.
This update and all our updates are not trading advice, Trading can always be risky.
Let's hope the best trades for everyone❤️
FAKE BULL SEASON is OVER!As can be seen, the rising trend that took us from the bottom to the new ATH has been broken and according to the Fib levels, it does not appear that the decline will stop before 56K.
My guess is that the decline will stop temporarily at the minimum angle trend level, that is, 50K, but I do not think we will see a new ATH this year.
AUDIO/USDT NEW VOLUME RANGEAUDIO/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates start always with interest if there is a confirmation with follow, and if there is a building with hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. some % shows also a start fake trend and return back where it did start. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
We are in a main market where panic is active.
When this coin can confirm we will follow it further for trend follow.
This update and all our updates are not trading advice, Trading can always be risky.
Let's hope the best trades for everyone❤️
XAUUSD 4/8/24This week in gold, we have the potential for another sell-off through trendline liquidity, as we’ve seen before. However, all price action is trending upwards, making this our main scenario. As shown on our chart, we have a liquid high that is close to the current price, with liquidity built up below the lows.
We know that on a high timeframe, we are strongly bullish. The price tested last week’s high and then fell significantly, indicating a potential pullback before the high is taken. Key points to note include the heavy sell-off from the supply area, leaving an untapped supply zone, and creating the first sell-side imbalance during the upward trend. This suggests a chance for price to hold and potentially drop below the trendline mark. If this occurs, we will look towards the demand area shown on the chart in red. We will monitor this area to see if it pushes the price back into the higher timeframe trade alignment or fails, leading to a sell-off and a change in our bias on the given timeframe.
If the bullish trend continues, we will monitor the supply area above the current price, expecting it to fail. If it does, we may see a new all-time high for gold. Overall, the price is bullish, so a fallback would be preferable if we aim to take buys from this price section.
Watch the trendline liquidity being created below the untapped supply area and the liquid high just above it. Also, if the trendline breaks, watch the demand area to see if it goes higher within our range.
Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and follow your plan.
GOLD - ATH Amid Middle East Unrest and Fed Rate Cut Signals Gold Futures Surge Amid Middle East Tensions and Fed Rate Cut Speculations
Gold futures soared to a new all-time high last week, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The geopolitical situation remains highly volatile, maintaining a bullish outlook for gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Gold
Current Outlook: Gold prices have stabilized within a bullish zone, currently targeting $2,475 with a potential correction towards $2,428.
Bullish Scenario: If gold remains stable above $2,428, the bullish trend may extend towards $2,466 and $2,475, with an ultimate aim for an all-time high (ATH) around $2,493.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, stabilization below $2,420 could support a decline towards $2,397, and potentially further down to $2,378.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: $2,428
- Resistance Levels: $2,450, $2,475, $2,493
- *upport Levels: $2,428, $2,420, $2,397
Today's Expected Trading Range: Prices are anticipated to fluctuate between the support level at $2,428 and the resistance level at $2,493.
This advanced analysis considers the impact of geopolitical events and central bank policies on gold's market performance, reflecting both immediate trading opportunities and potential risks.