xauusd analysisOn last monday we have posted a chart analysis major bullish and bearish points of xauusd. And all our targets were hit ✅✅✅✅
BULLISH:
2335 ✅✅✅
2343 ✅✅✅
2347 ✅✅✅
2355 ✅✅✅
2367 ✅✅✅
2376 ✅✅✅
2398
BEARISH;
2321 ✅✅✅
2312 ✅✅✅
2298 ✅✅✅
2287 ✅✅✅
2282
our analysis for monday june 10 2024
as xauusd has fallen around 120 points or 1200 pips from its top of 2388 on friday a possible retracement can be elicited out.
if the support area from 2288-2282 is not breached then xauusd will fly back to 2333 area where it has major resistance
minor resistance are present in 2304 2315 2321
more updates will be posted soon.
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Trend
USDJPY (Bullish Overall)USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Trend Analysis:
- The 4-hour chart shows an overall uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows indicating bullish momentum.
- Recently, the price has experienced some volatility but remains above key support levels.
Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Support Level: 156.00, which could act as a short-term support if the price pulls back.
- Next Support Level: 154.50, a significant support level that has been tested previously.
- Immediate Resistance Level: 157.30, which is close to the current price and could act as a barrier to upward movement.
- Next Resistance Level: 158.00, a key resistance level that aligns with recent highs.
Technical Indicators:
- The recent candlestick patterns suggest some consolidation, but the overall trend remains bullish.
- There are no immediate signs of a reversal, indicating that the bullish momentum may continue.
Direction Preference:
Given the current uptrend and the lack of reversal signals, the preferred direction for USD/JPY in the short term is bullish. The price is likely to continue moving higher towards the resistance levels of 157.30 and potentially 158.00.
Conclusion:
The USD/JPY 4-hour chart indicates a bullish trend with continued upward momentum. It is advisable to consider long positions, targeting the resistance levels at 157.30 and 158.00. Monitor for any signs of consolidation or pullback, but as of now, the bullish trend remains the preferred direction.
Gold is currently exhibiting bullish trend activityTechnical Analysis: Gold
Gold is currently exhibiting bullish trend activity. The price is stabilizing in the bullish zone and is expected to continue rising towards the bullish targets of 2321 and 2327. A break above 2328 would indicate a continuation of the bullish trend towards 2357, especially in anticipation of the CPI and FED rate decisions tomorrow.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 2302 and 2292, the bullish trend is expected to continue towards 2321. If it breaks above this level, the next target is 2357.
Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish trend to develop, the price must break below 2292 on a 4-hour candle close. This would signal a move towards 2278 and potentially 2260.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2302
- Resistance Lines: 2320, 2333, 2357
- Support Lines: 2278, 2260, 2248
Today's Expected Range:
The price is expected to move between the support level of 2292 and the resistance level of 2328.
EUR/USD Chart Analysis with Gap ConsiderationEUR/USD 4-Hour and 1D Chart Analysis with Gap Consideration
Trend Analysis:
- The 4-hour chart shows a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish momentum.
- The recent price action has been moving downward, suggesting continued selling pressure.
Gap Analysis:
- The chart indicates a potential gap in the price action, which typically occurs when there is a significant price movement between trading sessions.
- Gaps often act as strong support or resistance levels, and prices tend to move back to "fill" the gap over time.
Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Support Level: 1.0730, which is close to the current price and could provide some short-term support.
- Next Support Level: 1.0700, which is a psychological level and has acted as support in the past.
- Immediate Resistance Level: 1.0800, which is a recent high and could act as a barrier to upward movement.
- Next Resistance Level: 1.0850, which is another key resistance level that was previously support.
Technical Indicators:
- The bearish candlesticks suggest continued downward pressure.
- There are no immediate signs of a reversal in the price action, indicating that the downtrend may continue.
Direction Preference:
Given the current bearish trend and the lack of reversal signals, the preferred direction for EUR/USD FX:EURUSD in the short term is bearish. The price is likely to continue moving lower towards the support levels of 1.0730 and 1.0700.
Gap Consideration:
- If there is a gap in the price action, watch for a potential move to fill the gap. This could temporarily reverse the trend, but the overall bearish momentum suggests that the gap may not hold for long.
- Monitor the price action closely if it approaches the gap area. A fill of the gap followed by continued bearish momentum could provide a good shorting opportunity.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart indicates a bearish trend with continued downward momentum. It is advisable to consider short positions, targeting the support levels at 1.0730 and 1.0700. However, keep an eye on any gaps in the price action as they may provide short-term support or resistance and a potential reversal area. The bearish trend remains the preferred direction, but gaps should be closely monitored for any significant impact on the price movement.
US30 (Consolidation Zone )Technical Analysis
The price is expected to consolidate between 38,790 and 38,580 until a breakout occurs. The bullish pressure remains, especially if the price can break above 38,790, indicating a move towards 39,050.
Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 will initiate a bullish trend, targeting 39,050. Breaking this level could lead to further gains, reaching up to 39,350.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38,580, it could decline to 38,400. Sustained trading below this level may result in a further drop to 38,050.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 38,790
- Resistance Levels: 39,050, 39,350, 39,700
- Support Levels: 38,580, 38,400, 38,290
Today's Expected Range: The price is expected to move between the support level at 38,580 and the resistance level at 39,050.
SPx500 FORECASTOverview:
- Current Price: 5,348.8, down by 0.10% (-5.3 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in a general uptrend, with some recent consolidation near the highs.
Key Observations:
1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
- There has been significant upward movement in late May, followed by some consolidation and minor pullbacks in early June.
2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 5356.8, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.
3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 5356.8 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 5280.0 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 5356.8 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 5400.0 and 5450.0.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 5280.0, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 5220.0 and 5200.0.
3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 5280.0 and 5356.8, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.
Conclusion:
The S&P 500 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 5356.8 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 5280.0 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 5377, 5405
Pivot Point: 5328.5
Bearish Line: 5300, 5251
NAS100 FORECAST
Overview:
- Current Price: 19019, slightly down by 0.11% (-20.2 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in an uptrend since early May, with a recent consolidation phase.
Key Observations:
1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since early May.
- There was a significant upward movement around mid-May, followed by a correction and another upward push in early June.
2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 19050, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.
3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 19050 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 18600 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.
4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 19050 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 19100 and 19200.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 18900, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 18700 and 18600.
3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 18900 and 19050, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.
Conclusion:
The US NASDAQ 100 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 19050 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 18900 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.
AUDJPY - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge in orange.
Currently, AUDJPY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong supply zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply zone and upper orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SPX Continues Bullish Trend After RetestSPX Continues Bullish Trend After Retest
The SPX has completed its retest and subsequently pushed higher, maintaining its bullish trend. As long as the index trades above the key levels of 5347 and 5320, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. This week, the SPX is projected to reach the initial target of 5378, with the potential to advance further towards 5423.
Bullish Scenario:
the price has a bullish trend to reach 5378 as long as trades above 5347, breaking 5378 means will continue the bullish trend to get 5423
Bearish Scenario:
If the price trades below 5347, it indicates a potential drop towards 5320. A breach of 5320 could further lead to 5301. Stabilizing below 5301 would activate the bearish area, with the next target at 5260.
Key Level
- Pivot Line: 5347
- Resistance Levels: 5378, 5400, 5423
- Support Levels: 5320, 5301, 5260
Today's Expected Trading Range:
- Support: 5320
- Resistance: 5420
In summary, maintaining a position above 5347 favors a bullish outlook, aiming for higher resistance levels. Conversely, trading below 5347 suggests a bearish trend, with potential support targets at 5320 and 5301.
DJ30 FORECASTBased on the OANDA:US30USD chart, the price at 38790.0 is above the pivot point of 38753, indicating a bullish sentiment. If the price stays above this pivot, it could move towards Bullish levels at 38906 and 39022. Conversely, if it drops below the pivot point, it could target Bearish levels at 38637 and 38484. The current bias is bullish, but close monitoring around the pivot point is essential to confirm the market direction.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 38818, 38906, 39022, 39165
Pivot Line: 38753
Bearish Line: 38637, 38484, 38279
GBPUSD (Bullish trend above 1.2700)Technical Analysis of GBPUSD
Stability above 1.2693 will support a bullish trend, targeting 1.2783. Breaking this resistance will lead to further bullish targets. Conversely, a reversal to stabilize below the pivot line at 1.2693 will support a decline towards 1.2627 and 1.2572.
Pivot Price: 1.2700
Support Levels: 1.2627, 1.2572, 1.2541
Resistance Levels: 1.2780, 1.2820, 1.2898
Today's expected movement range is between 1.2693 and 1.2783.
previous idea:
SP500 Index Technical AnalysisSP500 Index Technical Analysis
The SP500 index appears poised for a retest of the 5320 level. A break below 5320 would likely lead the index to touch 5301.
Bullish Scenario:
For the bullish trend to continue, the price must stabilize above 5347. If it does, the next target will be 5375. Breaking through 5375 could lead to new record highs.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price trades below 5347, it indicates a potential drop towards 5320. A breach of 5320 could further lead to 5301. Stabilizing below 5301 would activate the bearish area, with the next target at 5260.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 5347
- Resistance Levels: 5378, 5400, 5423
- Support Levels: 5320, 5301, 5260
Today's Expected Trading Range:
- Support: 5301
- Resistance: 5375
In summary, maintaining a position above 5347 favors a bullish outlook, aiming for higher resistance levels. Conversely, trading below 5347 suggests a bearish trend, with potential support targets at 5320 and 5301.
Gold Steady; Focus on US Inflation and FedTechnical Analysis with fundamentally
The price has followed its bearish trend, reaching our target of 2290
The price will touch 2302 and then will consolidate between 2302 and 2292 till breaking
Bearish Scenario: The price may correct to 2302. If it remains below this level, it will drop to 2292. A break below 2292 could lead to a further decline towards 2278, a strong support line.
Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price must break above 2303 and stabilize. This would pave the way for a move towards 2321 and 2328.
Pivot Line: 2302
Resistance Lines: 2320, 2333, 2357
Support Lines: 2278, 2260, 2248
Today's expected price movement range is between the support level of 2278 and the resistance level of 2305.
previous idea:
Gold Steady After Sharp Sell-Off; Focus Shifts to US Inflation Data and Fed Decision
Gold Prices Stabilize:
Gold prices steadied on Monday after experiencing the largest drop in three-and-a-half years in the previous session. This decline was driven by disappointing economic data from China and the U.S., affecting speculators betting on Chinese demand and a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
China's Impact on Gold Market:
Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke noted that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) has historically had phases of buying gold followed by prolonged breaks. "As long as the PBOC doesn't resume buying, gold prices could trade sideways since Chinese buying is a key market focus," Menke explained.
Market Sentiment and Volatility:
Menke also highlighted the significant sentimental shift seen last Friday and expressed skepticism about a similar volatility outbreak this week unless there are major surprises from the CPI or the Fed, which he considers unlikely.
Focus on U.S. Inflation and Fed Decision:
Attention has now shifted to the U.S. consumer inflation report, due on Wednesday, coinciding with the Fed's policy decision. The U.S. central bank is not expected to change rates this week. Instead, the focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments and any updates to economic projections from policymakers.
Interest Rate Cut Speculation:
Expectations of a Fed rate cut in September have dropped to 49% from around 70% before the latest jobs data. UBS analysts noted, "We expect the Federal Reserve's median 'dots plots' to show two cuts in 2024, down from three, but inflation should still moderate, and a September cut remains our base case."
FLOKI is Ready To Push Higher!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 FLOKI has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in orange.
Currently, FLOKI is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong demand zone marked in gray.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the gray demand zone and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #FLOKI approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDNZD - Wait For The Next Bearish Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDNZD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge in red.
Currently, AUDNZD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong supply zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply zone and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MOBILE NEW INCREASE VOLUMEMOBILEUSDT has a good chance to show a new increase in volume trend in the coming time, on this reason interesting to check for confirmations.
Good chance means not a guarantee that this coin should increase since it will be interesting depending on the study.
The last week the trend was stable since BTC.
If this coin can get a confirmation, it will be updated further.
Trading is about combinations.
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap.
this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday.
if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd.
more clear cut analysis will be posted soon .
but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments.
LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
Fed Expected to Hold Rates Amid Mixed Economic IndicatorsFed Expected to Hold Rates Amid Mixed Economic Indicators
Focus on CPI Data and Rate Decision:
Wednesday's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision are in the spotlight. This follows rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank last week. However, the Fed is not expected to follow suit—at least not immediately.
CPI Growth Expectations:
U.S. CPI growth for May is anticipated to remain steady at 3.4% year-over-year. Energy prices likely declined in May as oil prices edged lower, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to decrease slightly to 3.5% from 3.6% in April. This reflects a more normal 0.2% month-over-month increase. Additionally, home rent price growth is projected to slow, alongside a decrease in the core services ex-rent measure that Fed policymakers closely monitor. In April, this measure increased by 0.4%, down from an average of 0.7% per month over the first quarter of the year.
Inflation Pressure Measures:
The diffusion index, which gauges the breadth of inflation pressures, has shown little improvement recently. Fed policymakers believe the current interest rates are restrictive enough to eventually bring inflation back to the 2% target. Firm U.S. employment numbers in May, including a slight increase in wage growth, indicate no immediate pressure on the Fed to lower rates.
Interest Rate Outlook:
Our base case scenario suggests that the Fed will not be in a position to cut interest rates until December. This assumption hinges on the expectation that economic growth and inflation will slow in the coming months.
Technical Analysis: SP500 Index Outlook
Weekly Chart Analysis:
The SP500 index recently retested its support line at 5260, stabilizing in a bullish zone. This suggests a continuation of the upward trend towards targets of 5423 and 5500, particularly if the CPI comes in below 3.4%.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 5260, the bullish trend is expected to continue, targeting 5425 and 5500, potentially reaching a new all-time high.
Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish trend to emerge, the price must fall below the support line at 5260, which could then lead to targets of 5040 and 4923.
Key Levels:
Pivot Price: 5320
Support Levels: 5260, 5193, 4930
Resistance Levels: 5423, 5520, 5600
Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the resistance at 5525 and the support at 5260.
Overall Tendency:
The outlook appears bullish.
GOLD (Reversed - NFP Coming...)Technical Analysis
The price has successfully followed its bullish trend, reaching our target of 2386.
Today, the market is expected to be highly volatile due to the reports on non-farm payroll (NFP) and unemployment rate. Depending on these economic indicators, the price might correct to 2357 before dropping to 2328. It is crucial to monitor the closing of the 4-hour candle for further direction.
Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price must break above 2357 and stabilize. This would pave the way for a move towards 2369 and 2397.
Bearish Scenario: The price may correct to 2357. If it remains below this level, it will drop to 2328. A break below 2328 could lead to a further decline towards 2320, a strong support line.
Pivot Line: 2357
Resistance Lines: 2369, 2377, 2397
Support Lines: 2335, 2327, 2302
Today's expected price movement range is between the support level of 2302 and the resistance level of 2397.
previous idea:
(USNAS100) Nvidia Hits $3 Trillion, Valuation Concerns PersistTechnical Analysis
The price has risen approximately 1.90%, reaching the final resistance level mentioned in our previous analysis, around 600 points.
To achieve another all-time high, the price must break through 19,100 and stabilize above this level to continue the bullish trend towards 19,450. Otherwise, the price will fluctuate between 19,100 and 18,940 until a decisive break occurs.
Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price needs to break above 19,100, with potential targets of 19,250 and 19,450.
Bearish Scenario: Stabilization below 19,100 would indicate a move towards 18,940. A further break below 18,940, confirmed by closing at least a 1-hour candle, would signal a downtrend towards 18,800.
Pivot Line: 19100
Resistance Levels: 19200, 19300, 19450
Support Levels: 18940, 18820, 18710
Today's range is expected to be between the support at 18930 and the resistance at 19450.
Previous idea:
Nvidia Reaches $3 Trillion Market Cap, But Valuation Concerns Persist
Nvidia Corp., a favorite on Wall Street, achieved a significant milestone on Wednesday, surpassing a $3 trillion market capitalization for the first time and briefly exceeding Apple's valuation. However, the stock's high price has reignited debates about its true value.
What Happened: Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University Stern School of Business and known as Wall Street’s "Dean of Valuation," believes that Nvidia’s intrinsic value does not justify its current price tag.
XAU/USD - Q2 Market AnalystBased on current trends and analysis, I forecast that XAU/USD will reach a new all-time high (ATH) this week at the earliest and next week at the latest. Therefore, we should consider taking a Long/Buy Action in the market. Here are the key insights:
Reversal: There was a strong rejection at the 2291 area after experiencing a strong rejection at 2393. This is a sign that the market has the potential to move upward. Additionally, this week, on May 10, 2024, the market closed above the support area.
Correction: The market will undergo a correction around the 2393 area before continuing its bullish trend, as long as there are no adverse news or situations affecting the market.
Please remember, this analysis is a personal interpretation of market trends and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.