Trend
Top Earnings Growers in the S&P 500 Energy SectorFastest Earnings Growers in the S&P 500 Energy Sector
Nearly half the companies in the S&P 500 energy sector are expected to achieve double-digit annual earnings growth.
Updated : ConocoPhillips announced its acquisition of Marathon Oil Corp. on Wednesday.
Energy stocks are currently undervalued relative to expected earnings, even though the sector has been the best performer in the S&P 500 over the past three years.
Last month, we examined all 23 stocks in the S&P 500 energy sector for their returns on invested capital over the previous three years. With Exxon Mobil's recent acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources on May 3, the sector now comprises 22 stocks. Further consolidation is underway, with ConocoPhillips agreeing to acquire Marathon Oil Corp., and Hess Corp. set to be acquired by Chevron Corp. in a $53 billion deal.
Sector Valuations and Growth Rates
The energy sector remains the least expensive of the 11 S&P 500 sectors, despite its high three-year total return. However, it has the worst 10-year return, reflecting the oil price crash from mid-2014 to early 2016 and investor reluctance to re-engage with the sector.
Chip Stocks Dominate S&P 500 for the First Time
Chip stocks have surpassed software stocks to hold the largest sector weighting in the S&P 500, reflecting optimism about the semiconductor sector's financial prospects due to artificial intelligence advancements and concerns over budget pressures in the software industry.
Strategas strategist Todd Sohn noted that the chip sector's 11% weight in the S&P 500 marked a new high, up from just 2% in early 2014. The combined weight of the top five sectors reached 27%, the highest in 44 years of data.
Conversely, the software sector faces challenges, with Mizuho analyst Jordan Klein highlighting delayed deals and cautious spending due to the macroeconomic climate. Salesforce Inc. exemplified these issues, with its stock plummeting after management reduced its forecast and discussed budget scrutiny.
Technically analyse:
FITFI NEW INCREASE VOLUMEFITFI seems to enter a new uptrend volume which has the chance to break in the coming time frames.
Fitfi shows interesting trend for next high volume trend.
US30 (Looks like bullish confirmation)Technical Analysis
The price dropped and reached our weekly target of 38,050, as mentioned at the beginning of the week.
Now, the price will likely attempt a retest up to 38,190 and 38,400 before potentially dropping again. The bearish trend will be activated by stability below 38,050, targeting 37,820.
A bullish scenario will be triggered if the price breaks above 38,790, aiming for 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38,675
Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350
Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 37,820 and the resistance level at 38,400.
previous idea:
BITCOIN - TIME TO BUY?$2.5 Billion In Bitcoin Withdrawn From Centralized Exchanges – A Bullish Signal?
Investor confidence in the crypto market is rising, and Bitcoin is reaping the benefits. Large-scale investors are accumulating BTC despite its recent price fluctuations.
In May, Bitcoin's price failed to stay above the critical $70,000 mark, even though it briefly touched this level twice in the last two weeks. However, recent on-chain data shows growing faith in Bitcoin.
Is BTC Ready for a Price Rally?
Prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a significant outflow of Bitcoin from centralized exchanges in a recent post on the X platform. This observation is based on the CryptoQuant Exchange Reserve metric, which tracks the amount of a specific cryptocurrency held in centralized exchange wallets.
An increase in this metric indicates more deposits than withdrawals of Bitcoin into exchanges, whereas a decrease implies more withdrawals than deposits.
Martinez reported that over 37,000 BTC, worth approximately $2.53 billion, have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past three days. This significant outflow signals a shift in sentiment and suggests that investors are increasingly opting to hold Bitcoin in self-custodial wallets for the long term.
While the exact reasons for this massive outflow are unclear, the movement of funds away from exchanges points to increased investor confidence in Bitcoin's future. This shift could lead to a supply crunch, a situation where demand exceeds supply, potentially driving up Bitcoin's price.
Bitcoin Price Overview
As of now, Bitcoin is priced around $67,489, showing a 1.5% decline in the past 24 hours. Despite this, the ongoing reduction of BTC on exchanges might set the stage for a bullish rally, especially if the supply crunch materializes.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IIIPart III
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IIPart I
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IPart I
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
SATS NEW INCREASE VOLUMESATS seems to have a new increase view with the possibility that we are going to see a new volume trend in the coming time frames.
For confirmations, we need to follow the coming time frames.
This coin has seen since MAR month 3 breakdown trend.. the new time frames can make a change for a new uptrend since a long time ago.
SAFE NEW INCREASE VOLUMEHello traders,
SAFEUSDT is showing an interesting reversal pattern that could signal a new trend towards its previous all-time high (ATH) level.
Today, the coin has demonstrated a new trend activation, prompting us to update the idea chart to reflect this increased potential.
There is a high probability that we will see a rise in volume in the upcoming time frames.
Markets are going on their way, and there is not always a reason that the market should move directly. Sometimes it takes more time before the trend gets a confirmation.
there are no guarantees in the market and This idea is not trading advice.
The goal is to check where are the moment possibilities in trading, and the possibilities that the market can have in the coming time frames. ( depending on study and high chance)
Trends Mixed; Overall Neutral Short Term on MarketsSo, as stated in the video, the shorter term timeframes of 30m/1hr/2hr have opened up to lower movements, while the 3hr/4hr/6hr have been violated and would call for a movement back up, but haven't shown that potential movement yet.
We are still in a short term Bullish Zone in accordance with my moving momentum algorithm, but we are very close to hitting below that Zero Line into Bearish territory, especially if we continue to stay low like this. What I may look for is a movement into the Bearish zone, a move upward, and if that movement upward doesn't bounce us back into a bullish zone I may short the market, but we shall see.
Overall long term, I'm curious if the Daily can push below and settle under 5160ish for a Lower Low. It would be the first time in quite some time that we had a lower low on the Daily trend, putting us at risk of getting a lower high Daily rebound that will call for markets to be on a decline.
Overall, The Mag 7, especially NVidia, still continue to mostly carry the market with the bulk of the Dow in neutral territory at best, and the Nasdaq outside of the Mag 7 also neutral. I continue to be concerned about this rally being too narrow and traders continuing to use Mag 7 stocks as safety stashes, and what will happen if they choose to take that safety money out to stash it somewhere else.
Trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 5319 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 5313 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low
2Hr - 5309 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low
3Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low
4Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low
6Hr - 5287 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low
12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High
Daily - 5330 Uptrend (5/15/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High
Economic Calendar;
GDP Thursday
PCE Friday
Earnings to watch;
Salesforce AMC today
Costco earnings are tomorrow
My sentiment on the market is as follows;
Shorter Term - Bearish
Short Term - Bearish / Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral / Bullish
Long Term - Bullish
Basically, I don't see major risks in the long-term just yet, but the short term is a bag of mixed reactions. Currently in a place I feel we may need to look elsewhere. If you were looking for me to give you a warm and fuzzy on where to trade the ES Futures, I just can't give that today.
Safe trading and remember your risk management.
GBPUSD (Long Movement)Technical Analysis of GBPUSD
Stability above 1.2693 will support a bullish trend, targeting 1.2783. Breaking this resistance will lead to further bullish targets. Conversely, a reversal to stabilize below the pivot line at 1.2693 will support a decline towards 1.2627 and 1.2572.
Pivot Price:1.2700
Support Levels: 1.2627, 1.2572, 1.2541
Resistance Levels: 1.2780, 1.2820, 1.2898
Today's expected movement range is between 1.2693 and 1.2783.
GOLD FORECASTThe current analysis indicates a Bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , should continue on the secondary channel till 2369, and after that stabilizing above 2369 will continue the bullish trend till 2397. otherwise stabilizing below 2369 will try to reach 2334 and 2306.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 2369, 2397, 2412
Bearish Lines: 2334, 2306, 2281
GOLD (To 2369$) Fed's Inflation Measure Up 0.2% in AprilFed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Rises 0.2% in April, as Expected
According to a closely watched measure released Friday by the Federal Reserve, inflation rose as expected in April, with markets anxious about when interest rates might begin to decline.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy costs, increased by 0.2% for the period, matching the Dow Jones estimate.
On an annual basis, core PCE rose by 2.8%, 0.1 percentage points higher than the estimate.
Including the volatile food and energy categories, PCE inflation was 2.7% annually and 0.3% from the previous month. These figures were also in line with forecasts.
Technical Analysis of Gold
The price has stabilized in the bullish zone, particularly after the PCE result came in at 0.2%.
The first bullish targets are 2364 and 2369. After reaching these levels, the price is expected to move between 2369 and 2354 until a breakout occurs.
Volatility is expected to remain high until the market closes.
Pivot Price: 2347
Resistance Levels: 2369, 2388, 2397
Support Levels: 2327, 2318, 2304
Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2335 and the resistance level at 2397
GBPAUD - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPAUD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel in red.
At present, GBPAUD is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPAUD approaches the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CADCHF - Ready For The Next Impulse 📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 CADCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
At present, CADCHF is hovering around the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting the upper bound of the short-term symmetrical triangle marked in orange.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange and red trendlines.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CADCHF is around the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USNAS100 (Falling Pressure...)Technical Analysis
The price dropped by approximately 1.30%, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
Currently, the price will trade between 18,435 and 18,550 until a breakout occurs.
Bearish Scenario: Stability below 18,435 will likely lead to a drop towards 18,250.
Bullish Scenario: The price must break above 18,550 and stabilize to reach 18,650 and 18,735.
The Nasdaq continues to experience bearish pressure.
Pivot Line: 18500
Resistance Levels: 18650, 18735, 18820
Support Levels: 18340, 18250, 18110
Today's range is expected to be between the support at 18230 and the resistance at 18650.
previous idea:
SPx (US Futures Dip Ahead of PCE Data with Technical) US Futures Dip Ahead of PCE Data
US stock futures edged lower on Friday as investors braced for the April PCE price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
Technical Analyse:
The price dropped by approximately 0.27% from yesterday and reached our target, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
For today, the price is expected to move between 5240 and 5220 until a breakout occurs. Bearish pressure remains , and stability below 5220 will likely support a further decline to 5192, with 5168 as the next target. Conversely, stability above 5240 will suggest an attempt to reach 5260.
Pivot Line: 5226
Resistance Levels: 5260, 5284, 5320
Support Levels: 5193, 5168, 5114
Today’s expected trading range is between the support at 5168 and the resistance at 5262.
previous idea:
EURUSD (Still in the same Range)EURUSD Techncial analyse
The price reached the price we mentioned in the previous idea, it was the upper of the channel.
Now, after touching the support line the price rebounded and will continue the bullish trend toward 1.08800 and then should break that to get 1.0917 and 1.09575
stability under 1.0796 means will start a bearish trend toward 1.0707,
Pivot Price: 1.0850
Resistance Levels: 1.0880, 1.0917, 1.0992
Support Levels: 1.0796, 1.0707, 1.0650
The price is expected to oscillate between the support at 1.0796 and the resistance at 1.0917.
previous idea:
DJ30 FORECASTThe forecast for the Dow Jones 30 is now leaning towards a bearish trend. Prices are expected to fluctuate between 40050 and 39564. However, if the 4h candle closes below the pivot line at 39,564, the bearish pressure is likely to continue, potentially driving prices down to 39400 and 38825.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 39825, 40050, 40285, 40500
Pivot Line: 39564
Bearish Line: 39400, 39075, 38825, 38445
US30 (Toward Support Zone...)US30 Technical Analysis
The price dropped from the pivot line at 39,050, as we noted at the beginning of the week. It is currently heading towards 38,500 and 38,400. If the price stabilizes below this support zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue towards 38,020 and 37,820 for the week. Today, the price is anticipated to consolidate between 38,500 and 38,790 until a breakout occurs.
A bullish scenario will be activated if the price breaks above 38,790, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38,675
Resistance Levels: 38,790, 39,050, 39,350
Support Levels: 38,410, 38,020, 37,820
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38,400 and the resistance level at 38,790.
Previous idea:
Gold ( XAUUSD ) analysis www.tradingview.com
On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD has developed a head and shoulders pattern, indicative of a classic reversal trend. The price is currently hovering around a pivotal support level, with the moving averages suggesting a potential for further downward movement.
A selling opportunity for XAUUSD may arise if the price breaks below the support at 2330, potentially leading to a further drop towards 2285.