EURUSD (Bullish Side...)EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD is trading under bullish pressure towards 1.0950, provided it remains above 1.0872. A correction down to 1.0861 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. However, stability below 1.0861 could support a decline towards 1.0810 and 1.0792.
Pivot Price: 1.0872
Resistance Levels: 1.0950, 1.1000, 1.1070
Support Levels: 1.0830, 1.0792, 1.0731
The price is expected to oscillate between the support at 1.0861 and the resistance at 1.0950.
US Dollar Declines Ahead of May Employment Report
Early Friday, the US dollar weakened against most of its major trading partners, except for an improvement against the Canadian dollar. Investors are now focused on the upcoming May employment report, set for release at 8:30 am ET.
Expectations for the report include a rise in nonfarm payrolls by 185,000, an unemployment rate remaining steady at 3.9%, and a 0.3% increase in hourly earnings.
Trend
GOLD FORCASTThe current analysis indicates a bearish trend for XAUUSD. A retest of 2355 is expected. If it fails to hold above this level, the price is projected to decline first to 2328 and, if it stabilizes below 2328, continue to 2306. Alternatively, if it stabilizes above 2355, a bullish trend towards 2397 is anticipated. Additionally, the market is expected to be very volatile due to upcoming NFP and Unemployment news.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 2355, 2397, 2412
Bearish Lines: 2328, 2306, 2281
US30 (Sensitive movements)Technical Analysis
The price movement will be influenced by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Unemployment rates. Based on current expectations, the price is likely to exhibit a downtrend, though the market may experience random fluctuations.
There is a possibility for a retest up to 38,790, followed by an upward push towards 39,050.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38790, it could decline to 38580. Sustained trading below this level may lead to a further drop to 38400.
Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 indicates a potential bullish trend, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38790
Resistance Levels: 39050, 39350, 39700
Support Levels: 38580, 38400, 38290
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38400 and the resistance level at 39350
Summary:
Downtrend Expected: Market influenced by NFP and Unemployment rates.
Potential Retest: Price may rise to 38,790.
Upward Movement : Post-retest, the price could push up to 39,050.
previous idea:
SPEC ( SPECTRAL) CAN ENTER NEW ALL TIME HIGH $24 SOON!Thanks for reading this update.
We expect that there is a high chance that SPEC will enter $24, since the confirmation.
SPEC is a new coin that can show unexpected targets.
We will follow this coin for new ATH.
The coin has 2,684 holders at this moment and MAX TOTAL SUPPLY
100,000,000 SPEC- top 10 whale wallets stable, and 30% is exchanges.
The same study we did before on WLD and it did increase up $9
See the previous update with day by day follow
This update will follow the same daily as the WLD update since confirmation.
This is not trading advice, manage in all time the risk 100%
Trade only or invest if your plan expects the same, otherwise, there is no reason to enter a coin like this. For us, we expect soon ATH.
The best that you can have in a coin is positions building trends. - and this coin is the first confirmed one since long time
Gold Hits Two-Week High as Bond Yields Drop US Jobs Data AwaitedTechnical Analysis
The price has successfully followed its bullish trend, reaching our target of 2369.
Today's market continues to exhibit bullish pressure, having stabilized within the bullish trend. As long as the price trades above 2357, it is expected to rise to 2369 and 2377. However, a break below 2357 could lead to a decline towards 2347 and 2344.
Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 2357, it will likely continue its bullish trend towards 2369 and 2377. Closing at least a 1-hour candle above 2377 will further support a bullish move towards 2388 and 2397.
Bearish Scenario: The price needs to break below 2357 and stabilize beneath this level to indicate a downward trend towards 2347 and 2335.
Pivot Line: 2357
Resistance Lines: 2369, 2377, 2397
Support Lines: 2347, 2335, 2227
Today's expected price movement range is between the support level of 2347 and the resistance level of 2378.
previous idea:
Gold Reaches Two-Week High as Bond Yields Decline; US Jobs Data Awaited
Gold prices surged to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. bond yields fell, driven by signs of a cooling labor market. This development strengthens the case for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Investors are now positioning themselves ahead of the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data.
NVDA - Antitrust Scrutiny and AI Market MilestonesMarket Chatter: Antitrust Scrutiny and Milestones in the AI and Tech Industry
Antitrust Scrutiny for AI Dominance
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), OpenAI, and Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) are facing antitrust investigations over their dominant roles in the artificial intelligence industry, according to The New York Times. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Justice Department have agreed to proceed with these investigations. The Justice Department will lead the investigation into Nvidia, while the FTC will focus on OpenAI and Microsoft.
Nvidia's Market Cap Controversy
Nvidia Corp. ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has achieved a new milestone, surpassing a $3 trillion market capitalization for the first time and briefly overtaking Apple’s valuation. However, this milestone has reignited debates about its true value. Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University Stern School of Business and known as Wall Street’s "Dean of Valuation," believes that Nvidia’s intrinsic value does not justify its current price tag. He acknowledges the company's compelling narrative and market momentum but remains cautious about its lofty valuation.
Short-Term Bets on Nvidia Ahead of Stock Split
As Nvidia's stock split approaches, traders are making short-term bets on the stock's movements. Data from Cboe Global Markets shows that 19 out of the 20 most actively traded options tied to Nvidia are set to expire by the end of this week. This frenzy is reminiscent of the activity seen around Tesla's stock split in 2020. On Tuesday alone, Nvidia options worth around $283 billion were traded, dwarfing the $18.7 billion traded for Apple.
Nvidia's Ascent in Market Valuation
Nvidia has rapidly climbed the ranks of the world's largest companies. Earlier this year, it surpassed Amazon to become the third-largest US company. Recently, Nvidia overtook Apple, securing the second spot with a market value of $3.01 trillion. Nvidia's shares closed at a record $1,224.40 each. The company now aims to challenge Microsoft for the number one position, needing to gain approximately $150 billion in market value to do so.
These developments highlight the dynamic nature of the tech and AI industries, with significant market movements and regulatory scrutiny shaping the landscape.
OPEC Secretary-General Affirms Resilient Oil Demand
OPEC Secretary-General Affirms Resilient Oil Demand
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais stated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday that oil demand remains resilient. "It's crucial to stay focused on the fundamentals," he emphasized. "Economic growth, supply, and demand are what drive our decisions."
Al-Ghais noted that global demand increased by 2.3 million barrels per day in the first quarter, typically the weakest quarter due to global refinery maintenance. He anticipates continued strong demand in the coming months, particularly with the uptick in summer travel.
Saudi Energy Minister Dismisses Bearish Response to OPEC+ Deal, Confident Market Will Adjust
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman dismissed the market's bearish reaction to OPEC+'s decision to gradually phase out voluntary output cuts, expressing confidence that the market will adjust. "Give it a day or two, reality will set in," he stated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday. He criticized some banks and media outlets for their narratives around the meeting and reaffirmed that OPEC+ made the right decision. "I know that we did the best job," he asserted.
The OPEC+ meeting initially triggered an oil selloff, exacerbated by short selling and movements in the options market, as traders worried about potential oversupply. However, Abdulaziz emphasized that OPEC+ retains the flexibility to pause or reverse production increases based on market conditions.
OIL OUTLOOK
Oil prices increased early as we mentioned, recovering from a four-month low, which was the lowest point since February. This drop was attributed to an unexpected surge in U.S. stockpiles, indicating softer demand than anticipated.
Technically:
The price has stabilized within the bearish zone, having already corrected the previous barrier which is 75.39. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend, with potential targets at 72.500 and 70.570. A further break below 72.500 could lead the price down to 70.570.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 75.400, it may indicate a bullish trend, potentially reaching up to 78.070.
Pivot line: 75.390
Support lines: 72.50, 70.57, 68.12
Resistance lines: 76.80, 78.07, 79.35
The movement range will be between support 70.57 and Resistance 76.80
previous idea:
BTC - Short-term View! Update...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC rejected the blue circle and traded higher.
What's next?
🏹 For the bulls to maintain control, and take over from a long-term perspective, a break above the $72,000 resistance is needed.
In parallel, if the lower blue trendline is broken downward, a bearish correction would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Short-term View!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, BTC is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a structure and trendline in red.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As long as the red support zone holds, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDCHF - Wait For The Next Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDCHF has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in blue.
Currently, AUDCHF is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% ContributionThe price has reached our target, as mentioned yesterday, with a gain of +1.20%, approximately $60.
The SPX has recorded a new all-time high and continues to gain. It may retest down to 5347 before pushing up to 5378.
Overall, it could potentially reach 5320 if it stabilizes below 5347. As long as it trades above 5320, an uptrend towards 5423 is expected.
Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 5347, it will continue its bullish trend toward 5378, and above that, it could reach 5423.
Bearish Scenario: If it stabilizes below 5347, it may drop to 5320. Stabilizing below 5320 on a 1-hour candle could lead to a decline to 5301.
Pivot Line: 5347
Resistance Lines: 5378, 5400, 5423
Support Lines: 5320, 5302, 5260
The price is expected to move between the support level of 5320 and the resistance level of 5423.
previous idea:
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% Contribution in 2024
Shares of US-based chipmaker Nvidia Inc. have had a stellar 2024, soaring nearly 150% and reaching new all-time highs. This impressive performance has significantly contributed to the $4.49 trillion (12%) increase in the S&P 500’s market capitalization, which now stands at $47.16 trillion.
Nvidia’s remarkable gains have been a major driving force behind the S&P 500’s record-breaking achievements. The chipmaker's contribution alone accounts for 36% of the index’s market cap surge this year, highlighting its pivotal role in the broader market’s upward trajectory.
In addition to Nvidia's impact, the S&P 500 has been bolstered by favorable economic indicators, including cooling jobs data, which has alleviated some inflationary pressures and supported continued market growth.
As the S&P 500 hits new records, Nvidia's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap underscores the significant influence of leading tech companies in shaping market trends and driving substantial gains across the board.
USNAS100 (Bullish Possibility after correction!!!)Technical Analysis
the price reached around the resistance line and dropped to touch its support line, and again reversed so now the price is still above the support line,
Bullish Scenario: As long as the price remains above 18435, it is likely to reach 18,735 and potentially 18,820.
Bearish Scenario: A stabilization below 18435 would suggest a bearish trend, targeting 18235 and 18150.
Pivot Line: 18435
Resistance Levels: 18650, 18820, 18940
Support Levels: 18250, 18140, 17880
Today's range is expected to be between the support at 18235 and the resistance at 18940.
TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures looking down in all 3 Trend
Primary trends
Secondary trends
Minor Trends
At the moment it is at the -2SD support level of the Volume Normal distribution and POC of Regression Trend
Now Volume Profile of last Degree move down to the bottom that might bounce.
If looking down, wait for a bounce and then open a short at the POC resistance level or wait for a reversal at the upper edge.
If you look up and don't care about the trend, open Long at the support level, set Stop Loss at Low.
However, There is a target of going down in the Range Volatile month and 3rd month
At 800 it is still the first target.
Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan.
C.Goii SuperTrader
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part XII - 6-4-24 FlagsPart XII
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
SPx (JOB OPPERTIOUNITIES) Strong Volatile Technical Analysis of SPx
The price dropped from the price we mentioned in the previous idea and already stabilized under the support line which is 5260, so it is possible to touch 5226 and 5193 as well,
Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 5260, it is likely to decline towards 5226.
Bullish Scenario: For a bullish trend to emerge, the price must stabilize above 5260, potentially pushing up to 5302. If the price surpasses this level, it may indicate the start of a new bullish trend of about 5347.
Pivot Line: 5260
Resistance Levels: 5301, 5321, 5350
Support Levels: 5226, 5193, 5170
Today’s expected trading range is between the support at 5193 and the resistance at 5320.
SPY Flag Apex Resolves Into Wash-Out Low - BULLISHSPY Flag Pattern resolves into a Wash-out low pattern - setting up a very big BULLISH price rally.
As long as key support near 524.70 holds, price should expand upward targeting 530-531+
Watch my other TradingVide videos to learn the Mechanics Of Trading. Everything you need to know is in PRICE.
USOIL - TOWARD 75.40Oil prices increased early as we mentioned, recovering from a six-week low after a significant 4.3% fall the previous day, which was the lowest point since mid-March. This drop was attributed to an unexpected surge in U.S. stockpiles, indicating softer demand than anticipated.
At the same time, market observers have pointed out that the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady, diminishing earlier expectations for a rate cut. PVM Oil Associates commented, "The reduction in borrowing costs may not occur as soon or as quickly as previously thought. It is similar to peak oil demand—consistently anticipated yet never realized."
Technically:
The price has stabilized within the bearish zone, having already breached the pivotal range between 80.73 and 82.24. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend, with potential targets at 76.80 and 75.35. A further break below 75.35 could lead the price down to 69.78.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 82.24, it may indicate a bullish trend, potentially reaching up to 86.86.
Pivot line: 78.00
Support lines: 76.80, 75.35, 69.78
Resistance lines: 80.73, 82.24, 86.86
GOLD Weekly Outlook Technical Analysis of Gold
In our previous analysis, we identified a resistance level at $2,358 for gold. The price reached this level but subsequently dropped, continuing its bearish trend.
Current Week Outlook
This week, gold is expected to consolidate between $2,320 and $2,342 before breaking out in either direction.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price remains below $2,320, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, it will likely continue its bearish trend toward $2,302. A break below $2,302 could initiate a further decline toward $2,273.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to emerge, the price needs to stabilize above $2,357. This could propel it towards $2,378, and a break above this level would target $2,397.
Key Levels:
Pivot Price: $2,320
Resistance Levels: $2,342, $2,357, $2,378
Support Levels: $2,302, $2,286, $2,274
Anticipated Trading Range
This week, the anticipated trading range is between the support level at $2,257 and the resistance level at $2,273.
Impact of Upcoming Economic News
The gold market is expected to be strongly influenced by key economic reports this week:
Monday: ISM Manufacturing Index
Tuesday: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs)
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report
Thursday: ECB Interest Rate Decision (June)
Friday: Unemployment Rate (May) and Non-Farm Employment Report (May)
These reports could cause significant volatility in the gold market, impacting the price movements throughout the week.
USDJPY (Bearish trend )USDJPY technical analyse
The price has a bearish pressure because can be stabilized under the strong barrier which is 155.445, so the bearish station is 154.700 and 154.260, and the next bearish station will be activated by breaking the support zone means under 154.260 to get 152.850
Pivot line: 155.400
Resistance line: 155.950, 156.590, 157.970
Support line: 154.260, 152.850, 150.770
The expected trading range is between support 152.850 and Resistance 155.500
ETC - Wait For The Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 ETC has been overall bullish , trading within the rising wedge in blue.
Currently, ETC is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ETC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich