Gold's Recovery Potential is Approaching the $2,300 MarkGold is gradually recovering, maintaining stable gains throughout the morning session of European trading on Thursday, nearing the $2,330 threshold. Prices are expected to test the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci area.
However, traders may prefer to wait for further signals regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction trajectory before betting on a positive direction.
Trend
EUR/USD: Price Increase Outlook in the Upcoming PeriodEUR/USD responded to new demand and rose to 1.0750 in the European trading session on Thursday.
From a technical perspective, a positive signal is emerging as EUR/USD may be forming aa cup and handle. In this scenario, the expectation is for the price to continue rising to the first resistance level at 1.0727, followed by the psychological milestone of 1.0885.
Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Stability Amidst Correction SignsUSD/JPY is currently at its highest level in decades, at 155.00. This has traders concerned about the risks of Japan's intervention in the forex market. The strong recovery of the US dollar (USD) is also driving the USD/JPY higher.
From a technical perspective, the market is stable but showing signs of correction. Prices are expected to retreat to the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level before resuming their upward trend.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Outlook for USD/JPY Still ContinuesUSD/JPY is currently at multi-decade highs, closing at 155.00. Traders are exercising caution due to increased risks stemming from Japan's forex intervention. The recovery of the US dollar (USD) is bolstering the upward momentum of USD/JPY.
From a technical standpoint, the pair is trading above the Simple Moving Averages (SMA), indicating a stable uptrend. However, there are signs of a corrective move, with prices expected to test the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels before resuming a strong upward trajectory
Downtrend and Short-Term Bullish Outlook for GoldThe price of gold experienced a modest decline towards the end of Tuesday's trading session in the U.S. after reaching a high of 2,334 USD. During the Asian trading session the following day, XAUUSD continued to drop to 2,323 USD, marking a decrease of 0.11%. Despite the weakening of the U.S. dollar following the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. PMI data, gold prices still couldn't sustain their upward momentum. This could be attributed to expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts.
From a technical standpoint, there are indications that gold may continue to trend downwards. On the 1-hour chart, the downward trend is supported by technical indicators. Gold prices are currently operating between the Simple Moving Averages SMA 20 and SMA 50, signaling short-term bullishness. Anticipated that prices will test the SMA 50 before potentially experiencing further significant declines.
Market Caution And Challenges EUR/USDThe EUR/USD market is stabilizing around the 1.0700 level after a positive day on Tuesday. However, PMI data from the US dampened the value of the US dollar that day, pushing up the EUR/USD price.
At the beginning of Wednesday, the market showed more caution and supported the USD, posing challenges to the rise of EUR/USD.
However, despite the market's caution, technical indicators like SMA and RSI indicate that the upward trend is still maintained. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, indicating the strength of the current upward trend. Expectations are for the EUR/USD to continue stabilizing and potentially increasing in the near future.
EUR/USD Holds Steady at 1.0700 Level with Positive IFO DataIn the European trading session on Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued to close steadily around the 1.0700 level. Positive sentiment from Germany's IFO psychological data helped stabilize the Euro.
On the 4-hour chart, despite recent price declines, the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 remains above the SMA 50 after completing a bullish crossover on Tuesday. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) consistently stays above 50.
Gold Price Today: Gold's Adjustment Signals In the Tuesday trading session in the U.S., Gold slipped as it dropped to the crucial support level of 2,300 USD, but quickly found stability thereafter. The recovery of gold prices coincided with the weakening of the U.S. dollar after the PMI data for the United States was announced weaker than expected.
From a technical standpoint, looking at the chart, gold is showing signs of slight adjustment, especially as the SMA 20 is trending downwards compared to longer SMAs. It is anticipated that gold prices will adjust and retest the area near the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level before continuing its downward trajectory.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Shows Signs of Short-Term Recovery EUR/USD has experienced a significant momentum shift, surging above the 1.0650 level at the start of the European trading session. The short-term technical outlook for this currency pair indicates a gathering momentum for recovery.
On the 4-hour chart, we observe the price closing above both the 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), along with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) surpassing the 60 mark. This reflects a positive shift in the short-term outlook for EUR/USD.
However, the price is still maintaining its downward trend, and sustaining above the SMAs may only represent a temporary phase. It is conceivable that the price will continue to test and trade below these SMA levels in the near future.
Gold Market Analysis: Gold Continues Downward Trend Gold extended its downward momentum at the start of Tuesday's Asian trading session, dropping to 2,300, down more than 2% from Monday. The decline seemed somewhat contained due to speculation that major central banks would cut interest rates later this year.
From a technical standpoint, this sharp decline has brought gold prices to touch the simple moving averages (SMA), along with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around oversold territory, nearing the 28 mark.
However, as the downward momentum of gold prices has reached a significant level, there are indications of a correction. It is anticipated that gold prices will continue to touch the SMA 20 level before witnessing a recovery from the sharp decline.
EUR/USD Hovers Near 1.0650 Amid Modest USD RecoveryEUR/USD remains near the low of around 1.0650 in the European trading session on Tuesday. The modest recovery of the US Dollar (USD) has driven EUR/USD to continue its downward trend.
According to the analysis from the 4-hour chart, the downtrend of the EUR/USD currency pair seems to show signs of notable recovery. Anticipated that there will be a testing phase for the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 before resuming the downward trend.
However, this also needs to be carefully considered in conjunction with the overall market conditions and other factors such as economic and political news impacting currency pairs. The uncertainty about the market direction can create a challenging trading environment, and investors need to evaluate and manage risks prudently in their investment decisions.
Gold Fluctuations and Upcoming TrendsThe gold market (XAU/USD) is facing strong selling pressure for the second consecutive day, dropping to near its lowest level in over two weeks, hovering around the $2,300 mark before entering the European trading session.
Despite overnight attacks on US forces in the Middle East, investors remain optimistic, believing that the conflict between Iran and Israel will not escalate further. Furthermore, expectations that the Fed may postpone interest rate cuts have reduced demand for the yellow metal.
From a technical perspective, looking at the chart reveals that gold is moving within a narrow range, indicating weak momentum from both sides. It is anticipated that gold will continue to decline as it breaks through this support level, potentially pushing prices even lower.
Gold Market Volatility:Gold Prices Extend Significant DropYesterday, the gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices falling below $2,400 and continuing to decline below $2,300 during Tuesday's Asian trading session. This decline was triggered by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. Market participants are betting that the ECB will cut interest rates in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year.
Technically, gold prices show signs of correction towards the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level. However, gold prices are currently supported by downward trend technical indicators, with prices trading below the SMA and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in oversold territory, indicating strong downward momentum.
Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Increase Price OutlookThe Japanese Yen is currently receiving support from government intervention, but differing expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), along with reduced tensions in the Middle East, have diminished JPY's role as a safe haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, indicators continue to signal an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 60 and prices are trading above simple moving averages (SMA), indicating stability and growth potential for the Japanese Yen in the market.
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Gold Market Update Exploring Trends Stay ahead in the gold market with our latest analysis! Gold prices are holding strong around $2385, with potential to breach the $2400 mark amidst escalating tensions in the Middle East. Geopolitical uncertainties drive investors towards gold, making it a safe haven asset of choice. Our in-depth analysis delves into market trends, technical indicators, and trading signals to guide you through potential opportunities. Explore the impact of central bank activities and inflation expectations on gold's trajectory. Don't miss out on valuable insights – keep informed with our comprehensive gold market update
Market Analysis: Gold Correction Signals Amid Political CalmGold has experienced a significant drop, pushing prices below the $2,340 threshold in Monday's US trading session. The easing of political tensions has provided clear indications that gold is gearing up for a profound adjustment. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will postpone interest rate cuts amidst stable inflationary conditions have further bolstered the strength of the US dollar, driving capital away from safe-haven assets like precious metals.
From a technical standpoint, the short-term outlook for gold suggests a reversal adjustment as it heads towards the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) before continuing its downward trajectory.
EUR/USD Continue to Face Downward Pressure EUR/USD continues to face downward pressure as it drops below the 1.0650 level during the European trading session on Monday. The renewed strength of the US Dollar does not allow this currency pair to gain traction, especially as focus shifts to the speech by ECB President Lagarde.
Chart analysis indicates that EUR/USD is continuing to approach support levels and forming a double-top pattern. It is expected that in the short term, the price will approach the support zone at 1.0600, which investors need to pay attention to when making trading decisions.
How to use Williams Alligator Indicator in crypto trading?You have probably heard about Alligator, indicator which is used by top crypto traders. This powerful tool can increase performance of every cryptocurrency trading strategy and help you to make money on the market. Alligator gives us the precise answer if now price is in impulsive or reactive wave. This knowledge is very useful in building your own crypto trading strategies or even in automated trading bot strategies. Even if you use grid bot strategy Alligator can increase your return on investment because it’s vital to set up grid bot in reactive wave and sideways movements. What is the beast Alligator, let’s have a deep dive into this topic today!
What is Alligator?
Alligator is the best indicator for trend detection. It consist of three moving averages which are called jaw, teeth and lips. Moving averages are frequently used in algorithmic trading bots. They can be exponential, smoothed or weighted depending on particular crypto trading algorithm, but we will use smoothed moving averages (SMA).
Jaw (blue line) - 13 period SMA shifted 8 bars is the future. This is the balance lie of the current time frame, for example 1D
Teeth (red line) - 8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future. This is balance line of lower degree time frame, for example 4h
Lips (green line) - 5 period SMA shifted 3 bars in the future. This is balance line of two times lower degree time frame, for example 1h
Please, be careful when you use Alligator on different cryptocurrency trading platforms. Check the correct settings and moving average type. On TradingView it’s correct, don’t worry!
Trend detection with Alligator.
The main Alligator’s feature is the detection the trending markets and markets which are about to explode in any side. This powerful tool can enhance your crypto trading algorithm if you use it in the correct way. On the ATOM price chart you can see the example of an Alligator. As you can see it has two conditions: sleeping and hungry.
Sleeping Alligator is when all lines are crossing each other and the price. This period of time can takes up to 80% of time. This is the market cycle stage where you shall avoid any trading and be prepared for the trending market
Hungry Alligator is when after a long period of consolidation price chose the trend direction. It’s an impulsive move. Alligator’s mouth is widely opened and do not crosses the price.
It’s very important to distinguish the trending market because only this type of a market gives you opportunity for the fast and huge profit. Otherwise, in the range bounded market you don’t have enough space for price to make profit for you. Most of stop losses occur while Alligator is sleeping. Another one very useful hint for you. If you use Elliott waves analysis. You don’t need to understand in which wave market is now. You just jump into the impulses and avoid corrections.
How to trade with Alligator
Here is the most interesting part. How to start crypto trading using Alligator? Our basic strategy is to wait when the price will create the first fractal above the Alligator’s mouth and place conditional order to buy one tick above the fractal’s top. We will discuss fractals in details next time. Now you have to understand how to use Alligator.
Another one hint from our experience is to use fractals only when Alligator has been sleeping for a long time, like you see on the BTC chart. After long sleep and fractal breakout Bitcoin showed the greatest bull run in the history.
Let’s notice where we should close trade. Almost at the top! When price started showing weakness we don’t need to be in the market anymore. Using this strategy on 1W time frame you can hold assets during entire bull run and sell then before bear market. Fantastic! Isn’t it?
Conclusion
In this article we discussed how you can implement Alligator indicator in your trading routine. This indicator will help you to avoid boring market when you can only lose money and catch every big move. Moreover you can use even sideways market detection if you use cryptocurrency trading bot which earns money in range bounded market. For sure this in not the only one strategy using Alligator. Next time we enhance our approach with other tools and see in details how Alligator improve their profitability. Moreover, soon we will live stream where practice trading with Alligator. See you next time!
Best regards,
Skyrex Team
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Rebounds Amid Middle East The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a notable recovery above the 1.0650 level. Reports of escalating tensions in the Middle East conflict have prompted investors to shift their focus towards the US dollar (USD) as a safe haven, leading to a decline in the EUR/USD pair.
From a technical standpoint, although the price is still maintaining a downward trend, signs of a recovery have emerged. It is anticipated that the price will test the SMA 50 area before resuming its downward trend.
Gold Market Analysis: Short-Term Targets and Long-Term OutlookIn the US trading session on Friday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) faced pressure as it sought to reclaim near-record highs around 2,430 USD. Despite a slight decrease, the price of gold remained within its upward trend, supported by safe-haven inflows amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Looking at the chart, we can see that the price of gold is experiencing a slight decline while attempting to maintain above the crucial resistance level of 2,400 USD. However, the upward trend remains intact and is expected to continue into the following week. The short-term target is the 2,400 USD mark, with potential further advancement towards the psychological level of 2,431 USD.
Market Analysis: Political Tensions Propel Upward TrendOverall, the market has witnessed the continuation of an upward trend as political tensions in the Middle East show no signs of abating entirely.
From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in overbought territory. This is seen as a signal that the market may undergo a short-term recovery before resuming a strong upward trajectory.
Technical Signals Point to Strong Upside Potential for USD/JPYOverall, USD/JPY continues to maintain an upward trend. Looking at the chart, we can see that the upward trend is supported by technical indicators. Currently, the price is trading above the SMA lines, and it is expected to rise sharply in the near future.