Gold Market Analysis: Gold Continues Downward Trend Gold extended its downward momentum at the start of Tuesday's Asian trading session, dropping to 2,300, down more than 2% from Monday. The decline seemed somewhat contained due to speculation that major central banks would cut interest rates later this year.
From a technical standpoint, this sharp decline has brought gold prices to touch the simple moving averages (SMA), along with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around oversold territory, nearing the 28 mark.
However, as the downward momentum of gold prices has reached a significant level, there are indications of a correction. It is anticipated that gold prices will continue to touch the SMA 20 level before witnessing a recovery from the sharp decline.
Trend
EUR/USD Hovers Near 1.0650 Amid Modest USD RecoveryEUR/USD remains near the low of around 1.0650 in the European trading session on Tuesday. The modest recovery of the US Dollar (USD) has driven EUR/USD to continue its downward trend.
According to the analysis from the 4-hour chart, the downtrend of the EUR/USD currency pair seems to show signs of notable recovery. Anticipated that there will be a testing phase for the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 before resuming the downward trend.
However, this also needs to be carefully considered in conjunction with the overall market conditions and other factors such as economic and political news impacting currency pairs. The uncertainty about the market direction can create a challenging trading environment, and investors need to evaluate and manage risks prudently in their investment decisions.
Gold Fluctuations and Upcoming TrendsThe gold market (XAU/USD) is facing strong selling pressure for the second consecutive day, dropping to near its lowest level in over two weeks, hovering around the $2,300 mark before entering the European trading session.
Despite overnight attacks on US forces in the Middle East, investors remain optimistic, believing that the conflict between Iran and Israel will not escalate further. Furthermore, expectations that the Fed may postpone interest rate cuts have reduced demand for the yellow metal.
From a technical perspective, looking at the chart reveals that gold is moving within a narrow range, indicating weak momentum from both sides. It is anticipated that gold will continue to decline as it breaks through this support level, potentially pushing prices even lower.
Gold Market Volatility:Gold Prices Extend Significant DropYesterday, the gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices falling below $2,400 and continuing to decline below $2,300 during Tuesday's Asian trading session. This decline was triggered by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. Market participants are betting that the ECB will cut interest rates in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year.
Technically, gold prices show signs of correction towards the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level. However, gold prices are currently supported by downward trend technical indicators, with prices trading below the SMA and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in oversold territory, indicating strong downward momentum.
Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Increase Price OutlookThe Japanese Yen is currently receiving support from government intervention, but differing expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), along with reduced tensions in the Middle East, have diminished JPY's role as a safe haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, indicators continue to signal an upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 60 and prices are trading above simple moving averages (SMA), indicating stability and growth potential for the Japanese Yen in the market.
What is FLAT in the markets, practical tips☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
Gold Market Update Exploring Trends Stay ahead in the gold market with our latest analysis! Gold prices are holding strong around $2385, with potential to breach the $2400 mark amidst escalating tensions in the Middle East. Geopolitical uncertainties drive investors towards gold, making it a safe haven asset of choice. Our in-depth analysis delves into market trends, technical indicators, and trading signals to guide you through potential opportunities. Explore the impact of central bank activities and inflation expectations on gold's trajectory. Don't miss out on valuable insights – keep informed with our comprehensive gold market update
Market Analysis: Gold Correction Signals Amid Political CalmGold has experienced a significant drop, pushing prices below the $2,340 threshold in Monday's US trading session. The easing of political tensions has provided clear indications that gold is gearing up for a profound adjustment. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve will postpone interest rate cuts amidst stable inflationary conditions have further bolstered the strength of the US dollar, driving capital away from safe-haven assets like precious metals.
From a technical standpoint, the short-term outlook for gold suggests a reversal adjustment as it heads towards the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) before continuing its downward trajectory.
EUR/USD Continue to Face Downward Pressure EUR/USD continues to face downward pressure as it drops below the 1.0650 level during the European trading session on Monday. The renewed strength of the US Dollar does not allow this currency pair to gain traction, especially as focus shifts to the speech by ECB President Lagarde.
Chart analysis indicates that EUR/USD is continuing to approach support levels and forming a double-top pattern. It is expected that in the short term, the price will approach the support zone at 1.0600, which investors need to pay attention to when making trading decisions.
How to use Williams Alligator Indicator in crypto trading?You have probably heard about Alligator, indicator which is used by top crypto traders. This powerful tool can increase performance of every cryptocurrency trading strategy and help you to make money on the market. Alligator gives us the precise answer if now price is in impulsive or reactive wave. This knowledge is very useful in building your own crypto trading strategies or even in automated trading bot strategies. Even if you use grid bot strategy Alligator can increase your return on investment because it’s vital to set up grid bot in reactive wave and sideways movements. What is the beast Alligator, let’s have a deep dive into this topic today!
What is Alligator?
Alligator is the best indicator for trend detection. It consist of three moving averages which are called jaw, teeth and lips. Moving averages are frequently used in algorithmic trading bots. They can be exponential, smoothed or weighted depending on particular crypto trading algorithm, but we will use smoothed moving averages (SMA).
Jaw (blue line) - 13 period SMA shifted 8 bars is the future. This is the balance lie of the current time frame, for example 1D
Teeth (red line) - 8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future. This is balance line of lower degree time frame, for example 4h
Lips (green line) - 5 period SMA shifted 3 bars in the future. This is balance line of two times lower degree time frame, for example 1h
Please, be careful when you use Alligator on different cryptocurrency trading platforms. Check the correct settings and moving average type. On TradingView it’s correct, don’t worry!
Trend detection with Alligator.
The main Alligator’s feature is the detection the trending markets and markets which are about to explode in any side. This powerful tool can enhance your crypto trading algorithm if you use it in the correct way. On the ATOM price chart you can see the example of an Alligator. As you can see it has two conditions: sleeping and hungry.
Sleeping Alligator is when all lines are crossing each other and the price. This period of time can takes up to 80% of time. This is the market cycle stage where you shall avoid any trading and be prepared for the trending market
Hungry Alligator is when after a long period of consolidation price chose the trend direction. It’s an impulsive move. Alligator’s mouth is widely opened and do not crosses the price.
It’s very important to distinguish the trending market because only this type of a market gives you opportunity for the fast and huge profit. Otherwise, in the range bounded market you don’t have enough space for price to make profit for you. Most of stop losses occur while Alligator is sleeping. Another one very useful hint for you. If you use Elliott waves analysis. You don’t need to understand in which wave market is now. You just jump into the impulses and avoid corrections.
How to trade with Alligator
Here is the most interesting part. How to start crypto trading using Alligator? Our basic strategy is to wait when the price will create the first fractal above the Alligator’s mouth and place conditional order to buy one tick above the fractal’s top. We will discuss fractals in details next time. Now you have to understand how to use Alligator.
Another one hint from our experience is to use fractals only when Alligator has been sleeping for a long time, like you see on the BTC chart. After long sleep and fractal breakout Bitcoin showed the greatest bull run in the history.
Let’s notice where we should close trade. Almost at the top! When price started showing weakness we don’t need to be in the market anymore. Using this strategy on 1W time frame you can hold assets during entire bull run and sell then before bear market. Fantastic! Isn’t it?
Conclusion
In this article we discussed how you can implement Alligator indicator in your trading routine. This indicator will help you to avoid boring market when you can only lose money and catch every big move. Moreover you can use even sideways market detection if you use cryptocurrency trading bot which earns money in range bounded market. For sure this in not the only one strategy using Alligator. Next time we enhance our approach with other tools and see in details how Alligator improve their profitability. Moreover, soon we will live stream where practice trading with Alligator. See you next time!
Best regards,
Skyrex Team
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Rebounds Amid Middle East The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a notable recovery above the 1.0650 level. Reports of escalating tensions in the Middle East conflict have prompted investors to shift their focus towards the US dollar (USD) as a safe haven, leading to a decline in the EUR/USD pair.
From a technical standpoint, although the price is still maintaining a downward trend, signs of a recovery have emerged. It is anticipated that the price will test the SMA 50 area before resuming its downward trend.
Gold Market Analysis: Short-Term Targets and Long-Term OutlookIn the US trading session on Friday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) faced pressure as it sought to reclaim near-record highs around 2,430 USD. Despite a slight decrease, the price of gold remained within its upward trend, supported by safe-haven inflows amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Looking at the chart, we can see that the price of gold is experiencing a slight decline while attempting to maintain above the crucial resistance level of 2,400 USD. However, the upward trend remains intact and is expected to continue into the following week. The short-term target is the 2,400 USD mark, with potential further advancement towards the psychological level of 2,431 USD.
Market Analysis: Political Tensions Propel Upward TrendOverall, the market has witnessed the continuation of an upward trend as political tensions in the Middle East show no signs of abating entirely.
From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in overbought territory. This is seen as a signal that the market may undergo a short-term recovery before resuming a strong upward trajectory.
Technical Signals Point to Strong Upside Potential for USD/JPYOverall, USD/JPY continues to maintain an upward trend. Looking at the chart, we can see that the upward trend is supported by technical indicators. Currently, the price is trading above the SMA lines, and it is expected to rise sharply in the near future.
EURJPY - Wait For The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling flat wedge pattern in red.
Currently, EURJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and green demand zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CURRENT GOLD ANALYSIS; (READ-CAPTION) Gold as trading at 2382 with a noteable resistance level observed at 2405 should gold breach this resistance traders may consider pursuing the following targets 2426 to 2445
Alternatively should a sell pattern maniface to indicating a potentail down turm traders may anticipate the following support levels the initail support rests at 2359 followed by potential targets at 2325 to 2304
this analysis suggest potential trading oppertunties based on current market dynamics and key price levels traders are advised to monitor these levels closely and adjust there strategies accordingly ..
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BTC 4H 200 EMA BITCOIN is back at the 4H 200 EMA . The chart shows how since BTC flipped bullish above both the 50 & 200 4H EMA's , the moving averages have provided support when aggressively trending in the case of the 50 EMA (bounced twice). When BTC has a pullback/ranges we see that the 4H EMA provides support (bounced 4 times).
For the BTC rally to continue in the mid term this level must hold out to prevent further drawdown. With the halving only weeks away we have an decrease of supply and thus a a reduction in sellside pressure.
Greyscale do continue to sell but for how much longer we don't know. Once they do stop selling and the mining rewards halve we have a a very bullish environment for the rest of the year.
For now these are my thoughts on price action:
- Hold the 4H 200EMA, range between DAILY RESISTANCE and the moving average.
- Lose the 4H 200EMA, first support level is the DAILY SUPPORT, if that is lost then filling the wick at 59K could be on the cards and would offer a great place for long term holds.
🗓️Weekly Report: Key levels & Trade IdeasGENERAL MARKET REVIEW
Concerns over a potential military attack by Iran on Israel triggered a gap down in the market at the beginning of trading on Friday. Following these events, there was a surge in oil prices, which then led to widespread sell-offs across the board. Virtually all stocks took a hit, with growth stocks experiencing declines ranging from $2 to $72, notably including MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR .
For this evening's analysis, we'll begin by examining the charts of the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) and the S&P-500 (SPX).
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SPX-500
The SP:SPX has been movig lower and plundged to the 50-day Simple Moving Average (red) on Friday. Holding this line could lead to an oversold bounce on the market.
However, should a broader market selling start, then it is very possible that we test the 5000 psychological level or even the 4700 level that was rejected in August 2023 and February 2023.
💡Another interesting fact SP:SPX has created 22 all time highs this year (2024) and returned more than 25% over the past five months and has gone more than 1 year without experiancng a 1 day decling more than -2%. This is the 6th longest such streak since 1965. If you are wondering when are the other times:
2007, 1986, 1996, 2018, 1993. On average the index makes only 29 consecutive trading days without a 1 day that has more than -2% decline💡
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QQQ
Very similar as it is clinging on the 50-day Simple Moving Average. QQQ and SPX are holding much better than the IWM or DIA, which have been consistently underperforming on their Relative Strength against the SPX.
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META
Meta has earnings on 24April (Wednesday). It has been holding very well and is a constructive pattern. You can see a triangle forming. Pay attention to the volume pattern. When the stock is moving up in this base the volume bars are higher than when the stock is moving lower
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NVDA
Too choppy for anything more than a quick trade. Next Technical buy point for me is at the $974 on heavy volume. I could start nibble on it with a quarter or a half position size as it is making constructive formations within this forming base. Constructive formations = higher highs, tight pivots. This is very watched stock so it would have high correlation to the general market
FOXY NEW INCREASE POSSIBLITY $0,08 We follow FOXY to see if it's able to show soon a break trend.
This coin can show an effect of other coins that did increase before (meme coins)
This is exactly what we are going to follow in the coming time.
it can take time before this coin can make some new gains if it's able to get confirmed.
This is not trading advice, remember that meme coins can rewarded high, but there is also a high risk for new coins.
GOOGL - After every Storm, there is a Rainbow 🌈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GOOGL has been overall bullish, trading within the rising rainbow wedge pattern.
Currently, GOOGL is in a storm 🌪/ correction phase and it is approaching the lower bound of the wedge acting as a non-horizontal support.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone at $128 marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower rainbow trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOOGL is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURNZD - Follow The Flow 🌊Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURNZD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
Currently, EURNZD is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting the upper bound of the short-term channel in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the red and blue trendlines.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDJPY - Are You Ready⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDJPY has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, AUDJPY is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover , it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPJPY - Trend-Following Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPJPY has been overall bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, GBPJPY is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich