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NASDAQFed's Hawkish Stance Sparks Fears ofSustained 4%Rate FloorMarkets Fear Fed's 4% Floor as Dollar Surges While the Federal Reserve's "hawkish cut" on Thursday was widely anticipated, markets are now concerned that the 4% policy rate will act as a floor for the coming year, with no further easing expected until midyear or later. Technical Analysis The price dropped approximately 4.5% yesterday ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Today, the market corrected to the resistance level of 21,420, after which it is likely to drop back toward 21,215, particularly if it stabilizes below 21,420. Stability below 21,420 will maintain a bearish trend, targeting 21,280 and 21,215. A break below 21,215, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down toward 20,990. Key Levels Pivot Point: 21420 Resistance Levels: 21530, 21620, 21770 Support Levels: 21290, 21215, 20990 Trend Outlook Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 21,420. Bullish Momentum: Possible if stability above 21,420 is achieved.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
ETH over the last year and now todayI wanted to zoom out of the chart that I provided yesterday identifying this potential for buying the dip. We did break down through bottom of ascending channel for just a fast wick but it likely indicates we are breaking out of this ascension. As you see there is a lot of potential for a sideways channel here at the top of the larger (slightly descending) sideways channel, here we could consolidate in the top third of the channel and then build up the courage to try to break out of top of this year long channel again, or break down and potentially trace all the way back to bottom of channel which as you see is as low as $2200. If we break that $3500 support, I will become short term bearish. Market has been strong though so good chance we maintain top of channel and try to break out again in the near future. IMO daily candle charts are the most important and reliable charts. I do like 4 hour candles as they are more granular for seeing trends and are pretty close to as reliable and I often look at 1 hour candles for a pulse on the now but generally speaking, the shorter candle you use, the less you can rely on it. Lets take a look at the break down of the daily candle. --------------------------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – Daily Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Ascending Channel with Breakdown Risks** ETH/USD is currently trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between its upper and lower bounds (green lines). Recently, the price sharply rejected at **$4,100** and is now testing the **lower trendline support** near **$3,500**. **Bearish Rejection Near Key Resistance** Sellers emerged strongly at the **$4,100 Bearish Order Block (OB)**, leading to a steep reversal. This highlights a significant supply zone at this level. **Approaching Key Demand Zone** The price is nearing **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), where buyers have defended historically. This is a critical support area within the larger channel. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,600–$3,700**: Overhead resistance zone, aligned with EMA 20 and mid-channel range. - **$4,100**: Major supply zone, previously rejected at this level. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500**: Current demand area reinforced by a key trend line - **$2,800–$3,000**: Next structural support if breakdown occurs. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - The price has dropped below **EMA 20 ($3,800)** and **EMA 50 ($3,750)**, indicating short-term bearish momentum. - **EMA 100 ($3,610)** is providing immediate dynamic support. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)** remains a critical long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are below the candles indicating an up wave in progress but it seems muted. **Volume** - Recent sell-off saw a **volume surge**, confirming active participation in the pullback. **Stochastic RSI** - Currently **oversold** (9.30/26.79), favoring a short-term bounce from this zone. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI is sitting at **51.26**, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but showing signs of selling pressure easing. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is testing the **lower channel boundary ($3,500)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the top of channel, leading to bearish momentum targeting lower support levels. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Scenario (Primary Case):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone with rising volume: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and mid-channel resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,100 (upper channel resistance). **Bearish Scenario (Alternate Case):** If the price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,200 (next structural support). - **Second Target**: $3,000–$2,800 (psychological level and major demand zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **$3,500 Support**: Holding or breaking this level will decide the next move. 2. **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume on bounce or breakdown strengthens directional bias. 3. **Stochastic RSI Oversold Levels**: Signals a possible bounce unless selling pressure increases. --- ## Order Book Update: Order books continue to look dirty but with potential for recovery. Both asks and bids tracking a downward trend, asks is staging a potential ascending channel though many times asks have lost a bit more than bids on pullback, indicating negative trader sentiment or fear in the market, it is in a position to change course over the next days but until it does, books are under pressure. --- ## Conclusion: ETH/USD is at a **critical inflection point**, testing the lower trendline of the ascending channel converting to a sideways channel to consolidate before breaking out or breaking down. Bulls need to defend **$3,500** to sustain the medium term bullish structure. A successful defense targets **$3,800–$4,100**, with anything higher than $4100 starting a new breakout and while failure to maintain $3500 opens the path toward **$2,800** or lower. 🔍 **Monitor volume, key support levels, and stochastic momentum for confirmation.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
ETH "Buy the Dip" opportunity?The pullback I outlined in my last ETH post came to fruition, however, there was a surprise retest of resistance before failing again and pulling back. Now we are at the bottom of the ascending channel but if we lose support here, it looks like we may be forming a sideways channel, in light blue lines on the chart. With support of bottom of channel and 200 EMA on the 4h candle, seems like a good chance to hold here. Lets look at the details. ------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – 4H Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Parallel Ascending Channel** ETH/USD is trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between the upper and lower bounds (green lines). The price is currently testing the **lower trendline support** of the channel, following a recent rejection near the **$4,000–$4,050** region. **Bearish Rejection at Resistance** Sellers stepped in at the **$4,050 Bearish Order Block (OB)** (red zone), leading to a sharp reversal. This indicates heavy supply at this level, halting upward momentum. **Bullish Order Block Retest** The price is approaching multiple **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), a strong demand area where buyers previously defended. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,800–$4,000**: Key resistance zone aligning with the upper channel boundary and recent bearish OB. - **$4,050**: Critical rejection level and prior swing high. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500–$3,600**: Primary demand zone, reinforced by bullish OBs. - **$3,300**: Secondary support area in case of deeper pullback. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - Price has fallen **below EMA 20 ($3,880.60)** and **EMA 50 ($3,810.46)** – short-term bearish bias. - **EMA 100 ($3,613.86)**: Acting as dynamic support near the current price. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)**: Long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are **above the price**, signaling bearish momentum. Watch for a shift below the price for trend reversal. **Volume** - Volume **spiked on the recent drop**, reflecting increased selling pressure near the lower channel boundary. **Stochastic RSI** - Stochastic RSI is **oversold** (3.69/7.86), signaling potential for a short-term bounce. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI sits at **23.89** (oversold), suggesting buyers may soon step in. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is at the **lower channel support ($3,600)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish channel and trigger bearish momentum. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Bounce (Primary Scenario):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone and volume increases: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and recent resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,050 (upper channel resistance and bearish OB). **Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario):** If price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,300 (next significant support). - **Second Target**: $3,200–$3,000 (psychological support and structural zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **Lower Channel Support ($3,600):** Break below = bearish continuation. 2. **Volume on Breakdown or Bounce:** Rising volume confirms the move. 3. **EMA 100 Support ($3,613):** Holding this EMA could trigger a short-term bounce. 4. **Stochastic RSI and MFI:** Both oversold; favoring bounce unless sellers persist. --- ## Order books Took a significant hit, losing about 15% of its prior levels. The market depth ration has remained stable, inferring bullish sentiment overall but weakening books can deteriorate this, we will look for order book levels to recover past today's levels to validate reversal. ## Conclusion ETH/USD is at a **critical juncture** within the ascending channel. Buyers must defend **$3,600** to maintain the bullish structure. A successful bounce targets **$3,800–$4,000**, while a breakdown below **$3,500** could open the door for a decline toward **$3,300–$3,200**. 🔍 **Watch volume and key support levels for confirmation of the next move.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by EncryptShawn
Possible short-term BTCUSD HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN formed.Please see attached chart. BTCUSD 1-4hr timeframe. There could well be a possible H & S pattern that takes us from the neckline of around $104k down to the $99-101k buy-in zone. This area also aligns with the 50% fib, charted from the recent swing low of $94,300 to swing ATH of $108,360 Max volume profile area also aligns at $101,000. Longs opened at $103-104k, with further entry long limits set at 99-101k, expecting 107-108k retest for subsequent take profit. Will let anything that breaks 108k run beyond with stops adjusted as necessary. Thanks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by liberty_trader_2024
EURAUD - Long Done, Now Looking for Shorts!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈As per my last two EURAUD posts, I have been looking for longs around the blue support. Currently, EURAUD is approaching the upper bound of its range. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURAUD is currently around the red resistance zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
Bearish Setup on EUR/USD After Rejection at Key ResistanceTrading Idea on 1-Hour Chart (H1): The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential bearish continuation after testing a key resistance zone around 1.0540 - 1.0544, which aligns with a previously broken downward trendline. The market structure on the H1 timeframe indicates lower highs, suggesting sellers are regaining control. Technical Confirmation: Key Resistance Zone: The 1.0540 - 1.0544 area acts as a significant rejection point where bullish momentum appears to be weakening. Break-Retest Pattern: The price broke below a descending trendline and is now retesting the zone, showing clear signs of rejection. RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently near 60, reflecting recent bullish movement but remaining below overbought levels, which signals potential exhaustion in the upward move. Technical Confirmation: Key Resistance Zone: The 1.0540 - 1.0544 area acts as a significant rejection point where bullish momentum appears to be weakening. Break-Retest Pattern: The price broke below a descending trendline and is now retesting the zone, showing clear signs of rejection. RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently near 60, reflecting recent bullish movement but remaining below overbought levels, which signals potential exhaustion in the upward move. Summary: This idea is based on a bearish continuation pattern following rejection at a key resistance zone, supported by trendline retest and weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., M15) is recommended before entry.
Short
by Jose_ManuelR
How far ETH will pull back? Potential Future PathIn this chart, all bull trends are in green and bear trends in red, the the longer/ more tested, the stronger the line. -The dark red line in the bottom corner was a descending trend we had since over a year ago -We broke out and established a strong ascending trendline and an ascending channel that was about 15 degrees lower slope. And actually at the same time it confirmed the upward channel, it started the downward channel, recently confirmed. -The other battle here is we lost that strong dark dark green ascending support line and then we came back up and took it back, got rejected and then tried numerous more times to break it before giving up and losing ground. * Once again we will need to decide which channel we want to maintain, the ascending green channel or the newly formed descending red channel * I drew some lines of what seems Potential Future Paths, based on my interpretation of the current chart *Each set of eyes are where you want to be paying attention should we make it to this area. Roughly this chart infers. Possible downside ETH: $3650-$3550 | bullish | If we maintain this green Ascending channel ETH: ~$3450 | Possible short term bear Possible Upside: Look for resistance around $3950 after testing channel bottom. ------------------------------------- Orderbooks: Currently orderbooks are strong but we did have the first significant dip in trader confidence we have had in a long minute with the recent sharp pullback but asks are back up to a very stable level. A recent uptick in in bids at 100% DOM, infers traders think there is some more pullback possible though this could be short lived. This is per coinmarketflow, using the new TV charts on ETH. ------------------------------------- Longer Term: Note, that is 1 hour candles, here is the same chart with 1d candles: * Notice we are in a looong term ascending trend and we still have a ways before we test our theoretical top of channel but also there is a lot of room for this to fall, ETH could fall to $2500 in the next days to months and it would still be in an overall longterm ascending pattern with numerous proofs of support over the years. This is my research based on trend analysis and orderbooks. You should always do your own research, maybe my research will help add to your own and work out as a win.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
Bitcoin ($BTC): Quick Scalping Opportunity on the 15-MinuteI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ): Quick Scalping Opportunity on the 15-Minute Timeframe Trade Setup: Entry Price: $99,689.03 Stop-Loss: $99,333.32 Take-Profit Target: TP1: $101,253.62 Fundamental Analysis: Bitcoin remains the leading cryptocurrency, continuing to dominate market sentiment and price action. While this is a short-term trade, BTC’s role as a store of value and hedge against fiat instability underpins its market strength. Technical Analysis (15-Minute Timeframe): Current Price: $99,800.20 Moving Averages: 20-EMA: $99,750.00 50-EMA: $99,600.00 Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 54, signaling neutral momentum. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: $99,500.00 Resistance: $100,000.00 Market Sentiment: BTC’s price action on low timeframes is being driven by active trading volumes, with traders positioning for a breakout. The psychological $100,000 level is key; if breached, it could lead to rapid price movement toward the take-profit target. Risk Management: A stop-loss at $99,333.32 minimizes downside risk, while the take-profit target at $101,253.62 offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Given the short timeframe, discipline in execution is crucial. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Long
by SiriusTrading
4
3 Altcoins Pumping Again Soon!Since you enjoyed my previous post about 3 Altcoins Rejecting the $5 mark! Here's an interesting one about altcoins in a deep correction phase after an aggressive pump: BINANCE:NEOUSDT After a 200% surge, NEO is currently in a correction phase and rejecting the $15 demand zone. As long as the $15 support holds, a expect a bullish continuation towards the $21 supply and then $25.5 previous major high. BINANCE:TRXUSD After a 180% surge, TRX is currently in a correction phase and rejecting the $0.25 mark. As long as the $0.25 holds, a expect a bullish continuation towards the $0.33 supply and then $0.43 previous major high. BINANCE:QTUMUSDT After a 180% surge, QTUM is currently in a correction phase and rejecting the $3.5 demand zone. As long as the $3.5 holds, a expect a bullish continuation towards the $4.8 supply and then $5.7 previous major high. Which altcoins would you like me to cover next? All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
BINANCE:TRXUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
9
ETH could find footing around here...We had a steep incline, we tested it 4 times and it was support, we tested it a 5th time after rejecting a breakdown and she crashed through support and now we are nearing where we hope to get a footing. You can see where if we slightly adjust the angle of the channel from the prior super steep ascending channel to this new, pretty steep ascending channel, we are near the bottom of channel, near support and hopefully hold and bounce back up from here, would still be plenty bullish, with just a more reasonable trajectory. Looks like we will have the 200 (4h candle) moving average line up around this support line as well giving it double the chance of holding. If it breaks down, the price could drop a lot lower, like $3000-$2400ish even. if this is bottom line here, we have a little more down trend and probably some consolidation down here before heading back up, should let other assets breath some too. If it breaks through this, be prepared for more drop. Order books currently imply that more traders believe the price will drop more than traders who believe the price will rise. This could be a great entry op for ETH and many other assets but be vigilant, especially with order books in the current state, and it took a solid month for them to decline to their current state, so hoping for a two day reversal could be asking a bit much. I am currently optimistic but skeptical
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
BOBA/USDT = THE NEXT SOLANA (CYCLE ACCTIVATED) $25This is a follow-up update for BOBA/USDT with next targets. Hybrid Compute tech could become a game-changer, as some top developers recognize its potential impact. Expected Targets for 2024/2025: $0.21 to $0.45 $0.45 to $1.23 $1.23 to $5.40 Outlook for 2025: The technological advancements and ecosystem data indicate that 2025 could be a pivotal year for BOBA/USDT, potentially pushing the coin to $10 in 2025 , with a significant chance of reaching $25 by 2025/2026. There is an activation of market cycles, suggesting that new whale accumulation could begin at any moment. BOBA has the potential to become the next Solana, which also started below $1. For perspective: Solana rose from $0.51 to $200, showcasing how underpriced tokens with solid fundamentals can skyrocket. For short-term insights, see this update: Why Boba Stands Out: Hybrid Compute Technology: BOBA enables smart contracts to seamlessly access real-world data and off-chain APIs, expanding the potential of decentralized applications. Layer-2 Scaling: It lowers Ethereum transaction fees and boosts transaction speeds, offering both scalability and innovation that many competitors lack. Ecosystem Growth: Boba Network’s Liftoff Accelerator Program, in partnership with Brinc, is fostering innovation in Web3 by supporting startups in DeFi, gaming, AI, and real-world asset applications. This initiative provides grants, technical assistance, and mentorship, further solidifying Boba's unique position in the blockchain space.This is a follow-up update for BOBA/USDT with next targets. Hybrid Compute tech could become a game-changer, as some top developers recognize its potential impact. Outlook for 2025: The technological advancements and ecosystem data indicate that 2025 could be a pivotal year for BOBA/USDT, potentially pushing the coin to $10 in 2025 , with a significant chance of reaching $25 by 2025/2026. There is an activation of market cycles, suggesting that new whale accumulation could begin at any moment. BOBA has the potential to become the next Solana, which also started below $1. For perspective: Solana rose from $0.51 to $200, showcasing how underpriced tokens with solid fundamentals can skyrocket. Why Boba Stands Out: Hybrid Compute Technology: BOBA enables smart contracts to seamlessly access real-world data and off-chain APIs, expanding the potential of decentralized applications. Layer-2 Scaling: It lowers Ethereum transaction fees and boosts transaction speeds, offering both scalability and innovation that many competitors lack. Ecosystem Growth: Boba Network’s Liftoff Accelerator Program, in partnership with Brinc, is fostering innovation in Web3 by supporting startups in DeFi, gaming, AI, and real-world asset applications. This initiative provides grants, technical assistance, and mentorship, further solidifying Boba's unique position in the blockchain space.
Long
by SatochiTrader