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NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart. If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal. From a quantitative perspective: If we calculate the raw historical success rate using: Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90% In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using: Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83% Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior. Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
5
USDJPY - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in blue and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of it. Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange. After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase. Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
LanzaTech (LNZA). Extremely oversold! Rally incoming?NASDAQ: LanzaTech (LNZA) , based in Illinois, USA, has recently has seen a price low of $0.1401 . This waste management company in recent times, has been featured as a top pick for buys by various news outlets. Although in an extremely bearish slump, I have a bullish prediction. In the technicals on the 1 Day Chart , the RSI appears to be indicating oversold , with a slight potential of more of a dip to come. The Stochastic seems to also be indicating oversold market conditions. A long time frame bullish RSI divergence also appears to be forming starting at the middle of Feb 2023. LanzaTech recently declined a "lowball" offer for $0.02 a share, which could signal insider bullish sentiment. LanzaTech FY25 Q1 earnings are forecasted to be significantly higher than FY24 Q4 at this time (RH). Their website, marketing and twitter appear to show no real signs of slowing business operations in my opinion. Analysis also appears shows that there is very little open interest on put options at this time. Conversely there seems to be a large number of call options from $1-$7 expiring in the near future signaling institutions and high profile traders may be entering the market quietly. Given the above signals and analysis I personally am setting a speculative stretch price target of $7 with various other orders taking profit along the way at key strike price cluster levels. With LanzaTech at a discounted price, a buy now could yield significant results. Anything can happen in the markets. What do you think? Will LanzaTech recover? Or will value become completely wiped out? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice
NASDAQ:LNZALong
by TRADEABLESKUNK
BTC - Bullish Control, Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🚀 As per my last two setups (highlighted on the chart), BTC rejected the $72,000 support and pushed higher with strength. 📈 This week, BTC broke above the $90,000 structure, confirming a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 🟢 For the bulls to stay in control, a break above the $95,200 resistance is still needed. 📊 In the meantime, as BTC retests the $89,000–$90,000 zone, we’ll be looking for medium-term trend-following longs to catch the next impulsive move. 📚 Reminder: Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key. Good luck, and happy trading! All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
Victorias Secret (VSCO) Bull Run Incoming? Insider Signals?Victorias Secret & Co. (VSCO) Based in Ohio, USA has recently seen a dip in asset value to $16, but recovery could be imminent. On the 1 Day chart both a bullish RSI divergence and CVD divergence seems to be forming. The DMI appears to show the bearish directional movement is slowing, and the ADX still remains above 20. In march Insiders were reported to have purchased 1.92M shares. Conversely only 20,000 shares were sold by Insiders (Robinhood Analytics). Insider activity may indicate undisclosed company confidence. The order book shows a decent number of open interest for $25.00. Subsequently this price target is located near key resistance areas that in my opinion, price will most likely touch in the near future. Earnings are set to be released in May and traders and institutions may begin to price in fundamental factors before the report . Given the above technical and fundamental signals, insider activity, and approaching earnings report. My hypothesis is bullish with a price target of $25.00 before 06/20/2025. Will tariffs and politics stop VSCO's upwards movement? Or do the technicals and Insider moves signal a current discounted buy? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
NYSE:VSCOLong
by TRADEABLESKUNK
1
NZDJPY - Following the Bears...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈From a long-term perspective, NZDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern in red. Moreover, the orange zone is a strong supply. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈 However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉 For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵 Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
ETH is falling per Demark’s technical analysis: Target at $988?According to Thomas Demark’s method — when b = a, the next target for ETH is around $988. 📉 Price broke the ascending support 🔻 Wave “a” from $4000 to $2500 has already played out 📏 Wave “b” is projected downward — target aligns with a strong historical support zone 📊 Weekly RSI is nearing oversold territory Conclusion: The $988 area is critical. A reversal may occur there if selling pressure weakens. Stay sharp. #ETH #Demark #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Ethereum
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by MoneyButton
Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom. The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames. There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire. Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections. The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode. I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original. I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us. All the best, Tim October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
14
USDCAD - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDCAD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising blue channel. This week, USDCAD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance turned support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red/blue trendlines acting non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
EURUSD - Trade The Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red. Currently, EURUSD is retesting the upper bound of the wedge. Moreover, the $1.12 is a strong weekly supply zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
BTC at a Critical Inflection Point – Bulls vs. BearsBitcoin is currently trading around $77,644, sitting right between two major trendlines: 🟢 Long-Term Bullish Support – This green ascending trendline has held since late 2023, providing key support throughout BTC’s macro uptrend. 🔴 Medium-Term Bearish Resistance – The red descending trendline has capped price since the 2025 highs, forming a clear structure of lower highs. We're now at a pivotal confluence zone where these two trendlines intersect. Price recently bounced off the green support, but it's struggling to decisively break above the red resistance. 🔍 Key Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Breakout: A strong daily close above the red trendline could confirm bullish continuation. Targets: $84K, GETTEX:92K , and potentially ATH breakout above $100K. ❌ Bearish Rejection: Rejection at resistance may lead to a retest of the green trendline (~$74K). A breakdown from there opens the door to GETTEX:64K –$60K, or even deeper pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by PipShiesty
1
BTC - One More Leg...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 BTC has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel marked in red. But the big question is — where could the potential bottom be? 👉 I’m watching the $70,000 zone! Here’s why: The $70,000 area is a key confluence zone — it aligns with the lower red trendline, horizontal support, a psychological round number, and a potential demand zone. 📚 According to my trading style: As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I’ll be looking for bullish reversal setups — such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and more. 📚 Reminder: Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key. Good luck, and happy trading! All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
20
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE 1. Double Top Resistance Breakdown The chart suggests a strong double top resistance zone around 3,160 USD. Disruption: If price tests this zone and fails again (creating a third top), a sharp reversal could occur. Implication: Bearish pressure may increase, potentially invalidating the long-term bullish target. 2. Failure to Hold the Bullish Zone Price is hovering above the support for bullish zone (~2,980–3,000 USD). Disruption: A break below this level, especially with volume, could signal trend reversal or deeper correction. Implication: Price might head towards the next unmarked support area below 2,960 USD. 3. Weak Rebound from Current Level The chart projects a “V-shaped” or “W-shaped” recovery. Disruption: If market sentiment is weak, the price may consolidate sideways or drift lower instead of rebounding. Implication: Delayed bullish momentum, potential accumulation phase or even distribution. 4. Fundamental Catalyst Risk Several U.S. economic event icons are marked (likely NFP, CPI, FOMC). Disruption: Any unexpectedly hawkish data or Fed speech can strengthen the USD and suppress gold prices. Implication: Technical patterns may get overridden by macro volatility. 5. Over-Reliance on Horizontal Levels The analysis is heavily based on horizontal S/R zones. Disruption: If market dynamics shift (liquidity hunts, news-driven spikes), price could fake out these zones. Implication: Stop hunts and liquidity grabs could trap traders expecting clean technical moves.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Vip_Signal
LONG AMD: Keep it simple trends, time and duration3 Positions in AMD from 2018-2025 Duration of trades: 106 - 1,064 days Gains: +217% - +917% Closing in on the trend line, look for a bounce at the line or likely if it goes under, wait for a rally back above the line. This chart is set at the daily timeframe. If you trade on the minor volatility within the major trend, I've found the 2 hour timeframe using a combination of indicators, Relative Trend Index and HH and LL, net favorable results.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by STrendUD
LTC - Bulls Getting Ready!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Long-term, LTC has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in red. 📍 As it retests the lower bound of the channel — perfectly intersecting with the blue support—I will be looking for medium-term longs. 🚀 For the bulls to take over long-term and initiate the next bullish phase, a breakout above the last major high marked in orange at $97 is needed. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:LTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2