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Microsoft (MSFT): Can Earnings Sustain the Trend Channel?With Microsoft set to report earnings, investors are keenly watching updates on AI-related spending, especially growth within Azure and Copilot, as well as broader financials. A significant focus will be on capital expenditures (Capex) for generative AI initiatives, expected to rise from $9.92 billion a year ago to an estimated $14.74 billion in this recent quarter. Beyond revenue and earnings, the market is waiting to see how these hefty investments are shaping the company’s growth trajectory. Technically, NASDAQ:MSFT continues to test the lower bound of its trend channel—a level that may weaken with repeated retests. The stock’s reaction to earnings will reveal if this support can hold. The formation suggests a potential head and shoulders pattern, particularly if NASDAQ:MSFT dips below the neckline support at $388 with declining volume. For now, we’re maintaining our cautious outlook. If Microsoft fails to hold its key support levels, it may confirm the bearish trend we’ve been observing. As always, we’ll provide updates if any significant developments occur after the earnings report.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by freeguy_by_wmc
AMD (AMD): Trendline test coming - crucial for bullish case!Following the completion of wave 3, NASDAQ:AMD has also completed wave 4 with a near-perfect correction at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The rapid V-shaped recovery after the drop validates our count and points to continued bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold. AMD’s earnings report on Tuesday aligned with forecasts but projected slightly weaker revenue than expected for the upcoming quarter. This led to a 6% decline in after-hours trading, raising concerns about potential deceleration in AMD’s overall business, even as the company remains a key player in the AI chip sector alongside its competitor, Nvidia. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD now faces a crucial test. The stock must break through the resistance zone between $162 and $174 to confirm further upside potential. Failing to do so could result in a pullback to the trendline, a level that has been respected several times since early 2023. As long as the stock remains above the $120 level, we maintain our bullish outlook. However, losing this level would confirm a bearish trend shift. We expect continued volatility, particularly post-earnings, and will monitor for a potential move higher or consolidation around these resistance levels. We are optimistic about AMD’s prospects but await further developments at this critical juncture.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
BTC - Still Bullish...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC rejected the red structure and traded higher creating a new short-term structure marked in orange. 📈As long as the structure marked in orange holds, BTC will remain bullish, and a movement towards the upper bound of the blue channel and all-time high at $74,000 is expected. 📉 If the orange zone is broken to the downside, a bearish correction toward the $65,000 round number would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
14
BTC: Imminent Breakout with Final Swing Trade OpportunityA breakout for BTC is on the horizon. We’ve seen a small breach of the upward trendline, and with momentum building, we’re now watching closely for a decisive break of the upper trendline. If this happens, Wave 4 will be complete, leaving only Wave 5 of 5 of 5 remaining. Once a full open and close above the trendline is confirmed, I’ll be going long, planning to ride it until Wave 5 completes. This could be the final swing trade of the season before a lengthy corrective phase sets in—a potential year-long winter of correction. If you’re looking for a last big trade before the market cools, now’s the time to prepare.
Long
by cryptechcapital
1
SOL = ETH's Killer - If this isn't obvious, I don't know what isHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. The picture speaks for itself, doesn’t it? 1️⃣While SOL has held strong within the ascending triangle shown in red, ETH has already broken below its $2,800 support level. 2️⃣Moreover, since the beginning of 2024, SOL has surged by over 100%, while ETH has risen only 17%. Imagine how aggressively SOL could push during the upcoming bull run.📈 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
17
SUI: Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave Align for Potential UpsideSUI is following the Hurst cycles quite closely, with the price movement rising and falling in line with these time-based signals. These cycles give us a useful indication of when certain price actions may occur. Given that the peaks have aligned well with the midpoint of previous Hurst cycles, we could see more upside for SUI in the short term. Additionally, the Elliott Wave pattern (1,2,3,4,5) further supports the idea of potential continued upside. This signals a possible hold for now, as we wait for either a break of the upper trendline, which could lead to higher highs, or a reversal, keeping SUI within its current channel. Follow for more.
by cryptechcapital
EURUSD - Macro View...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the flat rising channel in blue. Moreover, it is approaching a demand zone marked in green. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
9
BTC: MACD Signals Aligning for a Potential Buying OpportunityLooking at several factors in parallel, BTC’s MACD is showing promising signs. The fast-moving average has started to curl up, suggesting a possible bullish cross above the slower line—typically a strong buy signal. The histogram has also been in the red for several weeks but is now curling upward, and we could be looking at our first green week. However, the lack of a significant volume increase means there’s no clear confirmation of a trend reversal just yet, and we aren’t seeing the momentum required for new higher highs or all-time highs. But if these signals continue to align, this could turn into a fantastic buying opportunity. The question is: will you take buying or selling actions based on these signals?
by cryptechcapital
Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom. The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames. There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire. Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections. The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode. I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original. I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us. All the best, Tim October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
14
ETH - Roadmap to $3,300!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. ETH has been hovering within a large range, forming a symmetrical triangle marked in orange. 📈 For the long-term bullish trend to be confirmed, a break above the $2,830 level is needed. In that scenario, a move toward the next resistance at $3,300 is expected. 📉 Meanwhile, another bearish leg within the triangle is anticipated. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
9
ASX to new highs, or fakeout in the making?The ASX 200 futures chart reached a record high on Wednesday, and momentarily traded above 8400. Yet repeatedly we see the market hold above this level (also note the weekly R3 pivot is within the area). A bearish divergence is forming on the 1-hour chart, so the bias is for a false break of the highs and retracement lower ahead of its next sustained record high. Bears could seek a move towards the 20-hour or 50-hour EMA, or bulls could wait for such a level to be respected as support before rejoining the bullish trend. *Take note that AU employment data is released in just over 1hr* MS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
PEPE’s Next Move: Anticipating a Correction Amidst OvervaluationIn the wake of the recent rally in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , BINANCE:1000PEPEUSDT.P has followed suit, joining the upward momentum and achieving fresh higher highs. Looking at historical patterns, it's plausible that we could witness a 10% retracement in the coming days, as corrections have been common following similar surges. Furthermore, we’ve been tracking a month-long upward trend where strategic pullbacks have consistently set the stage for new highs, reinforcing the potential for a short-term decline. The current price action appears somewhat inflated, especially when considering key indicators such as the EMA200 and Bollinger Bands , both of which suggest overvaluation at this stage. With these confluences in mind, I foresee a potential move towards filling the imbalance that has been left behind by recent price spikes. For this setup, I have identified two target profit zones: TP1: 0.0100676 TP2: 0.0096963 To manage risk, the stop-loss is placed at 0.0112460, allowing for a balanced approach that accounts for market volatility while still capturing potential downside movement.
Short
by buluquella
1