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OM's Meteoric Rise: Time to Buy the Dip or Short the Top?OM has been on an astronomical journey, soaring from $0.0173 on 12 October 2023 to an all-time high of $6.485 on 7 February 2025 – a jaw-dropping +37,494% increase in just 484 days. Currently ranked 26 with a market cap of $5.5B, OM’s meteoric rise has everyone asking: Is OM topping out, or is there still more upside? Could a significant correction be on the horizon? Let’s dive into the technicals and explore our trade setups with high conviction, backed by a wealth of confluence. Market Structure & Historical Context Between mid-November 2024 and the end of January 2025, OM traded within a 70-day range, oscillating between $4.4 and $3.3. The Point of Control (POC) for this range is around $3.87, marking a critical level where price action has repeatedly converged. This trading range provides the backdrop for our analysis, highlighting both key support and potential resistance zones that may dictate OM's next move. Key Support Zones & Confluence A multitude of technical indicators converge around the $3.87 level, making it a crucial support area: 1.) Fibonacci Retracement Confluence: Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $3.173 (25 January 2025) to the recent high, the 0.786 retracement level lands at $3.8818—just a hair above our POC. 2.) Channel Median Line: The median line drawn through the highs and lows of the 70-day trading range reinforces the significance of this area. 3.) Moving Averages: The weekly 21 EMA/SMA currently sits between $3.63 and $3.31, and as they trend higher, we can expect them to approach $3.9 in the coming week, offering additional support. 4.) Trend Indicator (Beta): On the 4-hour timeframe, my new upcoming Trend Indicator highlights bullish momentum edging around $3.75, further consolidating support. 5.) Fibonacci Extension: The 1.271 Fibonacci extension from the previous low at $4.4 places a key level at $3.8329, adding yet another layer of confluence. Collectively, these factors create a robust support zone, suggesting that any retracement towards this level might serve as an attractive entry point for long positions. Resistance Levels & Trade Setups Resistance Analysis OM has repeatedly faced strong resistance near the $6 mark: Rejection Patterns: The chart reveals multiple rejections around $6, with a notable Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) at $6.295 that confirmed bearish pressure. Short Trade Opportunity: Previously, the rejection at $6.295 offered a low-risk short trade: risking about 3% for a potential gain of 17% to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 (approximately $5.1965), which was nearly reached. Potential Trade Setups Short Trade Setup With OM encountering strong resistance around $6 and historical rejections at key levels, a breakdown could spark further downward movement. Entry & Stop Loss: Entry: Initiate a short position if price fails to break decisively above $6. Stop Loss: Set a 5% stop loss above the previous SFP. Targets & Risk/Reward: Targets: Consider targets at $4.7 (yielding approximately +22%) or $4.0 (around +34%). Risk/Reward: This setup offers an impressive risk/reward ratio of 4:1 to 6:1. Long Trade Setup The multiple layers of support around $3.87 present an attractive opportunity for long entries should the price retrace, despite the overall bullish structure. Historically, OM has bounced off its 21 daily EMA/SMA, as marked by previous green box zones on the chart. Entry Strategy & Laddering: Entry: Look for long entries if price pulls back to the support zone. Laddered Positions: Consider scaling in with positions between $4 and $3.75. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach will help optimise your entry over the pullback. Stop Loss & Target: Stop Loss (SL): Set your stop loss below $3.58 to account for volatility while protecting against a breakdown. Take Profit: Target the $4.5 level as your primary take profit. Risk/Reward: With laddered entries between $4 and $3.75, this setup provides an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2:1, though the exact ratio will depend on your specific DCA entry points. Final Thoughts Only execute shorts with clear confirmation from order flow analysis. Conversely, a pullback towards the support zone presents an appealing long opportunity for those confident in OM’s enduring momentum. As always, it’s essential to monitor price action closely and adjust your strategy as new data unfolds. Okay. Wrapping up this analysis. Wishing you all profitable and successful trades! =)
Short
by SiDec
5
XAUUSD is still on bullish rally In our previous commantary we mentioned have 2930 on mark. As we have closed our buy orders at 2928 and our entry was 2908. What possible scenario do we have? At moment selling is limited, we are expecting a little correction at 2930-28 ,where we have possible buying options till 2950 first 2963 in extension. On the other hand, if 2930 invalidated then our buying will be invalid and we'll wait for the structural support at 2920. Below 2920 we have 2880 on mark.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
GBPUSD WEEKLY OUTLOOKThe daily timeframe market structure is showing a clear bearish trend. Price has failed twice to break the last low high to create a new trend. Therefore, the trend remains bearish and we should only look for sells. However, on the 4H timeframe, we do not have a clear confirmation on which direction the price wants to move. Yes, we have the long-term trend, but the market is not yet set up on the lower timeframe. Price have been ranging from Jan 27th to the present day. We shall wait for a clear BOS on the 4H timeframe before we look for an entry.
by Princessk99
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024. The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout. The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
Gold Analysis – Potential Pullback Within Ascending ChannelKey Observations: Current Price: $2,900.48 Recent High: $2,907.29 200 EMA (Red Line): $2,758.59 (Strong support level) Projection: Price may correct lower towards the channel’s lower boundary (~$2,875) Analysis: 📊 Short-Term Bearish: A pullback could happen before further upside if the trend holds. If price breaks below the channel, a deeper correction towards the 200 EMA might follow. 🔍 Trading Idea: Traders might look for buying opportunities at the lower trendline (~$2,875-$2,880) if price shows support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
BTC CPI 1H (Jan) CPI (YoY)- PREVIOUS: 2.9% FORECAST: 2.9% ACTUAL: ?? Consumer price index data release rolls around once again, this time the forecast is no change (0.0%) remaining at the same December 2024 level of 2.9%. It is important to note that after this data release there isn't any further news events of note until next month so BTC no planned interference from data releases. As we go into the data release volatility on the LTF is common and so maybe we'll see a break of this painful trend bitcoin has been stuck in since the sell-off event. With that in mind here are some entry ideas for longs and shorts: Long: - The safest option/ highest probability would be a breakout from the bearish downtrend, a retest as new support and begin the move up back towards RANGE HIGH. - A sweep of the green bullish OB zone with a tag of the lower bearish trend line. A good R:R IMO with the first point of interest being the LOCAL RESISTANCE/ bearish trend high. Short: - The bearish scenario would be a loss of the $91K support level that has held for the last 10 weeks in a row and is the daily range low. If price accepts under that level things could get ugly as there is no support until $85K.
by ProR35
4
BTC - Building Block - UpdateHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. After breaking below the $100,000, BTC entered the Short-Term bearish phase. For the momentum to be shifted again to bullish, a break above the $100,000 is needed. 📈 Long-Term Bullish: If the $108,500 level is broken to the upside, BTC is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $125,000 mark. 📉 Long-Term Bearish: If the $90,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $75,000 mark, is expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
14
Riding the BNX Wave: Next Trade SetupsSince BNX surged an astounding +381% in just 3.5 days, it has rapidly reached a key high. However, the dramatic move on low volume has left the market in a tight range, raising questions about a potential correction. Let’s break down the current market structure and explore the key support and resistance levels, followed by specific trade setups. Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends BNX’s meteoric rise over a short period has captured attention, but such rapid gains often invite consolidation or a pullback. After hitting the key high, the price was tested and subsequently rejected, particularly on low volume. This rejection signals that the bullish drive may be exhausting, setting the stage for a possible downward correction. Since then, BNX has been trading in a narrow range, reflecting market indecision as traders await further direction. Key Support Zones & Confluences Primary Support Zone – Around $0.6: Moving Averages Confluence: The 21-period EMA and SMA on the 4-hour, weekly, and monthly charts are clustered between approximately $0.585 and $0.553. This convergence creates a robust support area where price is likely to find stability. Lower Timeframe Trend Insight: My beta indicator on the 15-minute chart, which marks the edge of the bullish trend, further reinforces this support level. Fibonacci Confluence: The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement sits at around $0.5426, lending additional support. The Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.5 level) aligns near $0.56, complementing the overall support picture. This confluence of technical factors makes the $0.6 zone a crucial area to monitor, as it represents a potential floor should the market trend lower. Resistance Levels & Confluences Key Resistance – The Recent High: Rapid Price Surge & Rejection: BNX’s swift ascent culminated in a key high that was subsequently tested and rejected. The rejection, especially on low volume, indicates that the upward momentum may be losing steam. Fibonacci Resistance: Notably, the price has also encountered the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.75, which acts as an additional layer of resistance. Psychological Resistance: The key high now serves as a significant resistance level, acting as a barrier that the price must overcome to resume its bullish trend. Potential Trade Setups Short Trade Setup Given the rejection at the key high and the low-volume consolidation, a breakdown from this level is anticipated. This scenario makes a short position attractive, as a failed test of the high could trigger further downward movement. Entry & Stop Loss (SL): Entry: Initiate a short position at the key high, followed by a rejection. Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the key high to mitigate risk. Target & Risk/Reward: Target: Aim for the primary support zone around $0.6, where multiple indicators converge. Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup targets a favourable risk/reward ratio of 3:1 or better, making it an appealing opportunity for traders. Long Trade Setup Despite the clear support confluence around the $0.6 area, entering a long position at this stage carries a less compelling risk/reward profile compared to the short trade. Entry & Stop Loss (SL): Entry: Consider a long entry if the price shows strength and decisively holds above the support zone. Stop Loss: Position the stop loss just below the support area to accommodate minor fluctuations. Target & Risk/Reward: Target: The target for a long setup would be the previous swing low. Risk-Reward Ratio: This trade offers a ratio in the range of 1:1 to 2.5:1, which is alright compared to the short setup.
BShort
by SiDec
8
what moved xauusd to 2940Gold prices have recently surged to a record high of $2,940 per ounce, driven by several key factors: 1. New U.S. Tariffs: President Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports has heightened concerns over potential trade wars and inflation. Investors are turning to gold as a safe-haven asset to hedge against these uncertainties. 2. Inflation Concerns: The impending release of inflation data has investors bracing for potential economic impacts. A weaker-than-expected reading could bolster gold's rally by increasing expectations of rate cuts, making non-yielding gold more attractive compared to interest-bearing alternatives. 3. Central Bank Purchases: Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have been significantly increasing their gold reserves. This trend reflects a desire to diversify assets and reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar, further driving up gold demand and prices. 4. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global uncertainties, including conflicts in the Middle East and tensions between major economies, have led investors to seek the stability that gold offers during turbulent times. These combined factors have propelled gold to its current record levels, as investors seek security amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
XDC - it is time!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After rejecting the $0.15 round number, XDC has been in a correction phase trading within the falling channel marked in red. Currently, XDC is rejecting the lower bound of its rising broadening wedge in blue. 🏹 For the bulls to take over again, and start the next impulse movement upward, a break above the $0.1 round number is needed. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
I am Amazed how XAU/USD Gold moving in a channel of 18 degrees. FX:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! I am amazed by how XAU/USD Gold is moving in a channel of 18 degrees on hourly chart. I am a student of market geometry and how often we see such a clear trend, really fascinating! The scenario here is clear just trade the bounce off of the lower channels and we will only be short if market breaks below lowest band on this chart until then we are bullish. Keep your first targets @ upper band. Keep following for more ideas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by awan0454
EURGBP - Weak Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURGBP has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue. Currently, EURGBP is approaching the upper bound of the wedge. Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the orange structure and upper blue trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
USDCAD - Is History Repeating Itself?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 USDCAD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. Today, USDCAD broke above its previous major high (marked in red). 🏹 As it retests this previous high, it will also intersect with the lower blue trendline, which acts as a dynamic support level. 📚 According to my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the red zone, I'll be watching for bullish reversal setups—such as a double bottom pattern, a trendline break, and more. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
XAUMO Strategy – GOLD (XAU/USD) for Monday, Feb 12, 2025 Market Overview – The Smart Money Play 🔹 Gold (XAU/USD) trading around $2,860-$2,861 – Bulls still in control on higher timeframes but showing signs of exhaustion.
🔹 Liquidity traps above $2,875-$2,880 – Institutions baiting late buyers.
🔹 Volume decreasing at resistance – Smart money unloading positions. Translation? Market prepping for a trap & reversal play before the next expansion. 📌 XAUMO SESSION BREAKDOWN & EXECUTION PLAN 🔴 1) Asia Session: Market Balance & Trap Setup Price Action: Tight consolidation, low volatility, setting up liquidity grab. Volume: Diminishing – classic pre-move buildup. Liquidity Zones: Buyers trapped above $2,875-$2,880. Key Levels: Support: $2,850-$2,855 Resistance: $2,870-$2,875 🚨 Game Plan: If price spikes into $2,875-$2,880, look for a reversal short. If price drops to $2,855 and holds, expect a bounce. ✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell Limit: $2,875
🎯 Target: $2,855 > $2,845
❌ Stop Loss: $2,883 🟡 2)London Session: Expansion & Trend Confirmation Price Action: Market picks a direction – we trade the retest. Volume: If RVOL spikes, expect breakout move. Liquidity Zones: Order blocks forming at $2,850-$2,855. Key Levels: Bullish if price holds $2,855, expect $2,880+. Bearish if rejection at $2,875, expect $2,840-$2,830. 🚨 Game Plan: Watch for fake breakouts at session highs/lows. VWAP & POC confirm bias. ✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell if $2,872 rejects
🎯 Target: $2,850 > $2,835
❌ Stop Loss: $2,881 🟢 3) NY Session: Institutional Moves & Volume Surge Price Action: The real move happens here – Smart Money decides direction. Volume: If RVOL > 1.5, trend continuation is confirmed. Liquidity Zones: $2,875-$2,880 – Bull Trap Zone $2,840-$2,830 – Sell-Side Liquidity 🚨 Game Plan: If price fakes out above $2,875 & dumps, SELL HARD. If NY session defends $2,855, BUY THE DIP. ✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell below $2,850
🎯 Target: $2,830 > $2,815
❌ Stop Loss: $2,860 📈 Buy if price reclaims $2,860 after fakeout.
🎯 Target: $2,880 > $2,885
❌ Stop Loss: $2,852 FINAL XAUMO EXECUTION STRATEGY If price spikes to liquidity levels, fade the move.
🔸 If VWAP & Delta confirm direction, ride the trend.
🔸 Use session highs/lows as liquidity magnets.
🔸 If RVOL confirms strength, scale in aggressively.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
SOYBEANS to 1.035 bullish trend for Frist Quarter 2025The fundamental factors affecting soybean prices in 2024 have shown mixed developments, with weather conditions and global demand playing crucial roles. For 2025, the direction of prices will depend on China's economic recovery, weather conditions, and agricultural policies in the U.S. under the new Trump administration. On the technical side, there is an accumulation of positions and manipulation in sell stops at the monthly level. I would like the price to reach the equilibrium of the range in the first quarter of the year; depending on the evolution of the fundamentals, we could even see a value of 1,100. If this idea is invalidated, I would expect prices of at least 927.7. Monthly chart for context:
PEPPERSTONE:SOYBEANSLong
by NarcotikT