SOL = ETH's Killer - If this isn't obvious, I don't know what isHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture speaks for itself, doesn’t it?
1️⃣While SOL has held strong within the ascending triangle shown in red, ETH has already broken below its $2,800 support level.
2️⃣Moreover, since the beginning of 2024, SOL has surged by over 100%, while ETH has risen only 17%.
Imagine how aggressively SOL could push during the upcoming bull run.📈
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Trend
SUI: Hurst Cycles and Elliott Wave Align for Potential UpsideSUI is following the Hurst cycles quite closely, with the price movement rising and falling in line with these time-based signals. These cycles give us a useful indication of when certain price actions may occur. Given that the peaks have aligned well with the midpoint of previous Hurst cycles, we could see more upside for SUI in the short term.
Additionally, the Elliott Wave pattern (1,2,3,4,5) further supports the idea of potential continued upside. This signals a possible hold for now, as we wait for either a break of the upper trendline, which could lead to higher highs, or a reversal, keeping SUI within its current channel.
Follow for more.
GBPUSD: Counter-Trend BreakoutThis is actually a counter-trend trade that I've been eyeing on the GBPUSD pair. Price rallied from August to October before breaching the trendline.
Earlier this month, I plotted two support levels and now price is breaking and accelerating from the second support level.
ADR: 63.5
SL: 60
TP: 140
EURUSD - Macro View...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the flat rising channel in blue.
Moreover, it is approaching a demand zone marked in green.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Italy 40: Trend Breakout34,820~ was a major level for the Italy 40 index. This level held since June 2024 and I saw price breach above it just near the end of last week.
As I look for the trading session ahead, further upside potential is expected provided that price is able to remain supported above this level.
ADR: 40
SL: 40
TP: 80
BTC: MACD Signals Aligning for a Potential Buying OpportunityLooking at several factors in parallel, BTC’s MACD is showing promising signs. The fast-moving average has started to curl up, suggesting a possible bullish cross above the slower line—typically a strong buy signal. The histogram has also been in the red for several weeks but is now curling upward, and we could be looking at our first green week.
However, the lack of a significant volume increase means there’s no clear confirmation of a trend reversal just yet, and we aren’t seeing the momentum required for new higher highs or all-time highs. But if these signals continue to align, this could turn into a fantastic buying opportunity.
The question is: will you take buying or selling actions based on these signals?
Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom.
The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames.
There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire.
Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections.
The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode.
I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original.
I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us.
All the best,
Tim
October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
ETH - Roadmap to $3,300!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH has been hovering within a large range, forming a symmetrical triangle marked in orange.
📈 For the long-term bullish trend to be confirmed, a break above the $2,830 level is needed.
In that scenario, a move toward the next resistance at $3,300 is expected.
📉 Meanwhile, another bearish leg within the triangle is anticipated.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ASX to new highs, or fakeout in the making?The ASX 200 futures chart reached a record high on Wednesday, and momentarily traded above 8400. Yet repeatedly we see the market hold above this level (also note the weekly R3 pivot is within the area).
A bearish divergence is forming on the 1-hour chart, so the bias is for a false break of the highs and retracement lower ahead of its next sustained record high.
Bears could seek a move towards the 20-hour or 50-hour EMA, or bulls could wait for such a level to be respected as support before rejoining the bullish trend.
*Take note that AU employment data is released in just over 1hr*
MS
PEPE’s Next Move: Anticipating a Correction Amidst OvervaluationIn the wake of the recent rally in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , BINANCE:1000PEPEUSDT.P has followed suit, joining the upward momentum and achieving fresh higher highs. Looking at historical patterns, it's plausible that we could witness a 10% retracement in the coming days, as corrections have been common following similar surges. Furthermore, we’ve been tracking a month-long upward trend where strategic pullbacks have consistently set the stage for new highs, reinforcing the potential for a short-term decline.
The current price action appears somewhat inflated, especially when considering key indicators such as the EMA200 and Bollinger Bands , both of which suggest overvaluation at this stage. With these confluences in mind, I foresee a potential move towards filling the imbalance that has been left behind by recent price spikes.
For this setup, I have identified two target profit zones:
TP1: 0.0100676
TP2: 0.0096963
To manage risk, the stop-loss is placed at 0.0112460, allowing for a balanced approach that accounts for market volatility while still capturing potential downside movement.
XAUUSD 13/10/24This week, gold's price action dropped and took out the liquidity to the left, as we discussed in last week's analysis. This move provided enough momentum to fuel a bullish shift, suggesting higher prices are likely, as indicated in our previous analysis. Looking left, there are two liquidity highs that are likely to be targeted next, followed by the all-time high, which is our primary target.
Based on the principle that we may see a pullback into bearish pricing, we have identified an area of demand. If this demand zone delivers a bullish setup, we can look to go long from here, aiming for the all-time high. However, if there is no reaction at this demand zone, we will look for the liquidity below to be taken. Should the price not pull back at all, we will then anticipate the all-time high to be taken directly.
Trade safe and follow your plan.
Have a great trading week!
EURUSD 13/10/24Starting off the week with the US dollar, we saw a significant sell-off last week, which eventually led to consolidation as the week progressed. Price action currently suggests a potential move higher before any long-term downward trend continues. As mentioned in previous weeks' analyses, there is now a buyer's market emerging.
We expect the current price action to persist. While pullbacks are not guaranteed, a broader move towards lower prices in the long term is anticipated. However, short-term reaccumulation is also likely, meaning a push higher is just as probable as a continued sell-off at this stage. We are not expecting a substantial pullback, but the long-term outlook remains bearish.
Key areas of interest include a significant supply zone and a liquidity high. If the price moves up to this level, a strong sell-off could occur. Nevertheless, the overall expectation is for the price to decline further before reaching these points.
Stick to your risk and follow your plan!
BTC - Do You Remember This? Now What?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📍Following my last BTC Monthly log view analysis on November 11, 2022 , we anticipated the bulls taking control after rejecting the lower green trendline and horizontal support.
Currently BTC is approaching its all-time high!
What's Next?
📈 If the current all-time high (highlighted in red) is surpassed, we anticipate a 254% increase, mirroring the last bull cycle. This aligns with the upper boundary of the green channel and the 200k - 250k round numbers.
⚠️ However, the journey may encounter bumps, leading to sharp correction movements to shake out weak hands.
This bearish scenario, would mean retesting the lower green trendline before surging!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GBPJPY - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]🔹 GBPUSD Analysis on 15m chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- Simple trade on HHs HLs
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 194.393
- Stop Loss = 194.110
- TP1 = 194.680
- TP2 = 194.937
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
AUDUSD - Follow the Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising channel in green.
Moreover, it is approaching a massive demand zone in blue.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower green trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CSI 300 [Weekly Chart]The similarities of market movement in the CSI 300:
1. 2006-2007
2. 2014-2015
3. 2020-2021
After which we see a crash in the CSI 300 following a 8 months to 1 year (est.) rally.
The rally leading up to the crash also comes generally in 2 stages.
"History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes"
SOL - Are these moves big enough CRYPTOCAP:SOL is facing some market indecision and is at a fib retracement level of the 382 after hitting the .618
As often seen in the market price retracts in search of liquidity and confirmation of support.
we have a long legged Doji candlestick on the Weekly close that is showing market indecision and could indicate an end to the downward momentum. We need to confirm this before we can be sure of this reversal and are watching for support to be found on the 382.
Barring support being found we will see price go lower into the accumulation price area and we must confirm the trend reversal before entering a trade.
If we can setup the trade and catch the reversal we could see anywhere from 20% to 40% returns on a day position and may want to look towards entering into a 30 day long at this point as well for even larger possible returns as SOL could be in the 170 area in a month if we break out of the overall larger downtrend
UPTOBER: Bitcoin’s Pump and Higher Low FormationSince May, Bitcoin has been trapped in a bearish price structure, characterized by lower highs and lower lows . Every attempt to break out was met with resistance, pushing the price lower. However, after the August lower low , Bitcoin began a reversal , producing two consecutive higher highs and higher lows . This shift is crucial because it indicates a bullish price structure, meaning the market is finally beginning to move upward again.
While a small reset in Bitcoin’s price from $66K to $60K was expected and I stand here to say, I was wrong and I apologize to fail giving you the other side of the apple for being bearish during my live stream and other documents and shot calls, the retracement was largely influenced by external factors, specifically the geopolitical tensions in Israel. Even though the pullback occurred earlier than anticipated, the market structure remains bullish, and we could soon see Bitcoin break through the $68K resistance level. As the chart shows, Bitcoin has created a solid foundation for this next leg of the rally.
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now.
PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back.
For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅