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The Ultimate Bitcoin Guide - All You Need to Know Right Now!Welcome Future Demons Let me start by telling you about my mission. I'm here to serve you. I'm here to make you a better trader. I will do so by exploiting the grim secrets in the markets, the plausible movements, the market psychology and all the whale-manipulation. I will all the time remind you about the importance of mindset and money protection. The Beginning I will start making some predictions about the market first. I will use Bayesian Reasoning/Statistics to put credence on the different scenarios. I get the output numbers after weighing my TA combined with geopolitics, and market- and whale psychology. I want to make it clear, that I never make any trades alone from these Bayesian Scenarios, nor should you, but they will always serve as a fundament for my trades. The Predictions The 2 most important mid term scenarios to be aware of: 1. We will go up around 85k in this cycle, but we will not surpass 100,000 USD. Hereafter we will go below 30k. Bayesian 62 %. 2. We will not get a new ATH, and we will go down below 30k now. Bayesian 38 %. "Long" Term Prediction: 3. After we hit 30k USD, not only crypto, but also stocks will go into a hard bear market, and we will see a Depression similar to in the 1930s. ------------------------- Why? Mid-term: 1. The crypto market has been behind the stock market for a long time. In fact it has been pretty much ignored due to all the money, whales have been making in especially AI, pharma and war (E.g. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Lockheed, Novo Nordisk). Both Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA have market caps above 3 T USD compared to cryptos total Global Market Cap at 2 T USD. Therefore when the stock market soon will collapse it's not unlikely that some of the money will enter especially BTC. I will predict that most will go into Gold though. 2. 100k in this cycle is unlikely due to the psychological nature of the number 100k. Bitcoin is simply not ripe enough for such a high price. Ask your self, your friends or any retailer if they are ready to buy BTC at 100k? Exactly. Remember that whales don't make money by pushing the price as high as possible. To make money, they need to sell at a price which requires buyers. What most likely will happen is, that the whales will try to push the price to squeeze the last money out of retailers. Retailers will FOMO in all the way below 100k hoping for a miracle to occur, but around 85k-90kish, boom, the whales will start to schock mass sell. 3. That we will go below 30k in this cycle is super likely. History repeats it self, and Bitcoin usually drops at least 80 % every cycle. "Long" Term 1. We haven't had a real bear market for 15 years in stocks. Usually we have one every 7 years. We have never before seen such a rise. FED has been printing money like crazy just to give them out to private banks and hedge funds, so they can buy more stocks, and bait retailers into buying more and more. Soon the same whales will mass sell, and become even more rich while the poor will be more poor. The gap between rich and poor is now even bigger than before, which is a catastrophe for all low- and mid-income people, since it will lead to hyperinflation, and eventually a depression for at least a couple of years. That is also why you need to be aware of it, and if you are in the markets atm you should consider to secure some of your money asap. Then you just wait for the depression phase, where you slowly can start to accumulate again. Don't be greedy, my friends. What should You do now? Right now the best thing is to stay out of the market. The price is dancing around 57k, and we are in a big liquidity zone, where we can expect a lot of fluctuation. Whales love these zones, and will always try to steer the market towards them, cause they only are able to make money here. It requires zones of lots of money to make lots of money - remember that. They will continue to go up and down as long as they can to liquidate retailers. If we make a higher high at 70k, you can go long. ----------- I will soon also give you concrete trading ideas too. Please follow me - it will make me happy. Kind Regards Laplace's Demon PS. Remember to be grateful for the small things in life, and strive not to focus on what you don't have.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Lapl4cesDem0n
3
BTC/USDT NEW ENTERY TO 65k+BTC has a signal long-term breakdown trend but is still able to make a new entry to 65K again since the trend still has not made the confirmation of the breakdown trend. Can BTC have a new volume that will bring BTC to 65K again? This is exactly what we will follow in the coming time frames. The best studies are made with the moment live data follow. At this moment the data shows there is a good possibility, to confirm this we should follow the trend with time since it can change. The key is to change with the trend and to expect nothing from ourselves, only what the data shows. The momentum data shows positive BTC from 59k
Long
by SatochiTrader
Xauusd buy confirm signal Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It's traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast. Gold now buy 2519 Support 2530 Support 2535 Resistance 2512 Resistance 2505
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JohnHarry_7
EURUSD 26/8/24Coming into this week, we maintained a very clear bullish directional bias that we identified last week in our analysis. We do not expect this bias to change suddenly. You can see in our chart that we have a straightforward idea, which is a continuation of the trend from the similar trajectory we established last week. However, if the price sells off, giving us a significant pullback within the higher time frame range, it could change the outlook. If we take out the low marked on our chart, it will indicate a higher probability of a move toward lower prices, taking us down into the higher time frame area of demand. We’ve only marked one order block within our current range because it’s the only one available. Any other order blocks on the sell side will need to be created before we can consider them, which is why they are not included in this week’s analysis. Overall, our bias is long, and we’re looking for an interaction with either the established trajectory or the area of demand just below it. If we break down out of this range, we’ll look for lower prices, and our bias will shift to short-term bearish. However, our daily time frame still shows a clear bullish momentum, and we aim to follow this. Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and always follow your plan.
by PipSurfingSociety
BTC - Bullish Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising wedge channel in brown. Yesterday, after Jerome Powell's speech, BTC jumped above the $60,000 zone. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower brown trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
5
GBPUSD - Bearish Soon...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per my last analysis, GBPUSD rejected the lower bound of the medium-term trendline and traded higher. What's next? GBPUSD is currently hovering around the upper bound of the green and orange channels. Moreover, it is retesting a weekly major high marked in blue. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted green circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the trendlines and major high. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPUSD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
BTC/USDT SAME XMN DATA CAN HAVE HUGE EFFECT FOR BTCWe have seen what XMN data have done with the trend of BTC in the past, and in 2024 for the first time the same XMN data shows. The last XMN data did affect BTC from 53K to 16K We are not able to count BTC where its able to go, but there is a high chance for BTC fall trend. XMN data shows sometimes in the full history of BTC, and it's not something that shows in a low time frame. BTC can still make more fake increase trends before the trend starts. Never go on expecting, but follow BTC's low time frame what the data now shows. Also, it means not that it should start today.. but how the data looks something can happen coming time if the data confirms what happened before. BTC can target over 61K, but it will stays risky.
Short
by SatochiTrader
5
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues: Why Bitcoin Could Break Through $74kThe long-term Bitcoin trend remains distinctly bullish, highlighted by a powerful breakout above the top of the average-price uptrend channel. This breakout propelled BTCUSDT to a high of $73,881, followed by a significant 33% correction. This pullback found strong support at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, around the critical $50,000 psychological mark. This price level is pivotal for several reasons. Firstly, it was previously a strong resistance zone that has now flipped into solid support, demonstrating a classic technical analysis principle. Secondly, this level aligns with the concept of equilibrium, based on the Smart Money Concepts indicator, demonstrating a balance between buyers and sellers at this price area. Thirdly, it's the bottom boundary of the average-price ascending channel, adding further significance to this support zone. Moreover, the robust defense of this $50k area by buyers underscores the healthy long-term demand for Bitcoin. This combination of factors suggests that as long as BTCUSDT stays above the $50k support zone, the overall trend will remain bullish. Consequently, the likelihood of a continued price increase outweighs the possibility of a downturn. Looking forward, we expect BTCUSDT to continue its upward trajectory, with a potential target at the previous high near $74k. If this resistance level is breached, the next target could be the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level, corresponding to the $90k psychological price mark. However, it’s essential to remain vigilant. A sharp break below the $50k support zone could trigger a significant decline, potentially pushing Bitcoin down to the $40k or even GETTEX:25K support areas. Traders and investors should be prepared for such a scenario, balancing their bullish outlook with prudent risk management strategies.
Long
by CryptoPAMM
EURCAD - Trading The Wedge...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURCAD has been overall bullish , trading inside the rising wedge pattern in orange. At present, EURCAD is undergoing a correction phase and it is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, it is retesting a massive demand zone marked in blue. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURCAD is hovering around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
XAUUSD 19/8/24Our gold chart this week shows that price action is moving to the upside, as we expected. We reached our high time frame target from last week, which was a new all-time high for gold. We’re now looking for price action to create significant liquidity to the upside to push for another all-time high. If a pullback occurs and price moves lower, we will begin focusing on the current trajectory, which could lead us into the highlighted areas of demand below. One area is within the lower 50% of the current short-term range, and the other is within the lower 50% of our overall swing range. If price hits these areas and pushes higher, we will, of course, look for overall longs to continue with the higher time frame trend. We expect the trend to continue with relative strength, but if a sell-off starts, we can look at the areas of supply left behind. If the current trajectory breaks, there is potential for a short-term sell-off, but we remain overall bullish on this pair. Please note that we only have one high time frame target for now, as gold is at a new all-time high. If price begins to sell off, don’t become attached to your bias. Remember, the higher time frame is bullish. Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and follow your rules.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
USDCAD - Massive Checkpoint!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 USDCAD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in blue. At present, USDCAD is undergoing a correction phase and it is hovering around the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a massive demand and support zone marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDCAD is approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Market Awaits CPI Impact After Producer Prices Boost Equities Producer Prices Report Lifts Equities Ahead of CPI Data The price has successfully reached all our previously mentioned targets, and today's movement will be heavily influenced by the CPI release. Current Outlook: As long as the price remains below 39,900 and 40,020, the trend indicates a potential downward movement. Bullish Scenario: If the CPI comes in below 3.00%, it will likely support a bullish trend, particularly if the price breaks above 40,050, with potential targets at 40,320. Bearish Scenario: A bearish outlook will be confirmed if the CPI matches or exceeds 3.00%, especially if the price stabilizes below 39,900, with potential declines to 39,620 and 39,260. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 39,780 - Resistance Levels: 39900, 40050, 40320 - Support Levels: 39620, 39260, 39120 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between support at 39,260 and resistance at 40,050. previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
USDJPY 6H / Will Speculators Rebuild Yen Shorts Amid Volatility?Will Speculators Rebuild Yen Short Positions? Recent CFTC data on FX positioning reveals that the net short positions on the Japanese yen (JPY) have decreased for the fifth consecutive week, dropping to 11,354 contracts as of August 6. This marks the lowest level since March 2021, coinciding with the USD/JPY decline to a nine-month low of 141.67 on the EBS platform. Just a month earlier, when USD/JPY was near 162, the net yen short positions had reached 184,233 contracts, the highest in 17 years. The recent unwinding of JPY shorts presents a clean slate for speculators who anticipate a repeat of the price action seen after a similar yen-funded carry trade unwinding in late 2023, which drove USD/JPY down to around 140. Market Volatility and Key Levels Bullish Scenario: To confirm a bullish trend, the price must stabilize above 147.825, with potential targets at 149.860 and 150.775, indicating a strong breakout. Bearish Scenario: The bearish trend remains in place as long as the price trades below the pivot line at 147.825, targeting 146.330 and 144.900. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 147.825 - Resistance Levels: 148.825, 149.860, 150.770 - Support Levels: 146.350, 144.900, 142.400 Expected Movement Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 148.830 and 144.900. previous idea:
Short
by SroshMayi