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Trendanalyisis

Will UKOIL continue its decline?The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that global oil demand will reach a higher level this year, while noting that the increase in production will be lower than previously forecasted. Additionally, the EIA reduced its price forecast for Brent crude oil in 2024 by 2.4%, from $84.44 per barrel to $82.80 per barrel. As a result, Brent crude oil prices fell to the $70.0 level. Technically, if the 69.30 support level is broken, further declines toward 67.50 and 65.60 are possible. On the upside, if the 71.50 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 73.0 and 74.30 resistance levels.
TVC:UKOIL
by primequotes
XAUUSD 9/9/2024 Is the Downtrend Over? Looking at H1 we see a 5-wave structure has ended and then the price has decreased to the 2491 area. - Looking at the current price structure, we expect the price to create a new bullish structure larger than the current structure, which I denote as the orange structure - So with the 5-wave orange structure, we expect wave 1 to be completed - And now wave 2 I measure the target at the price zone of 2481 - 2479, this will be the target for us to BUY - I still do not rule out that the adjustment process is not yet complete because the adjustment process is only confirmed when the price surpasses 2532, so I still calculate the possibility that the price is still adjusting - At that time, the target price zone ends the adjustment at the price zone of 2435 - 2432, this will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2471 Regarding the SELL zone, I see that there is a very large supply at the price zone of 2511 - 2514 This zone is determined by the Volume profile tool when the price touches this zone, there must be a supply absorption phase before it can continue to increase, so this will be our SELL target Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2477 - 2474 SL: 2467 TP1: 2487 TP2: 2497 TP3: 2510 BUY ZONE: 2435 - 2432 SL: 2425 TP1: 2453 TP2: 2471 TP3: 2410 SELL ZONE: 2511 - 2514 SL: 2521 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2487 TP3: 2477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Bitcoin's Bull Run Is Closer Than You Think (Q4 Shock)Good Morning CryptoFam and Investing enthusiasts, As we find ourselves in another week of downward price action, I want to believe that this could be a massive fake-out as we patiently await the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts expected during the week of September 18th (source:(www.cmegroup.com). Looking at Bitcoin's historical patterns, particularly market seasonality—defined as predictable trends in asset prices driven by recurring events such as holidays, earnings seasons, tax deadlines, or consumer behavior—we can expect a positive trend reversal starting in October. Historically, Bitcoin has delivered an average Q4 return of almost 89%. From today’s prices, this would put us on a trajectory towards the $100K mark by year-end (source: www.coinglass.com). Additionally, when we examine the liquidation heat-maps, the liquidity below current prices has mostly been exhausted, meaning that downward pressure from market makers could begin to ease as fewer positions remain to be liquidated below this range. Now, the most tempting targets are the shorts—many of which began shorting around the $74K all-time high. It may be time for a short squeeze (source: Liquidation Heat-map (www.coinglass.com). Now for the exciting part: We've been trading in a parallel channel for about 175 days. This has been a test of patience, draining much of the motivation from market participants—especially as traditional markets have performed so well this year. However, our time is coming. I've been quietly stacking at these lower prices, with confidence in what's to come. Let's take a moment to analyze the technicals. On the weekly chart, we remain within the aforementioned channel, and the Bollinger Bands have become extremely tight—often a precursor to significant price movement. The price currently sits near the bottom of the BB%b indicator, signaling that Bitcoin may be oversold. Next, we turn to the RSI (Relative Strength Index), which is currently sitting at 47 on the weekly chart. This essentially indicates a reset, giving us room for a potential upward move. However, it’s important to acknowledge that while it doesn’t limit a higher price move, it also doesn’t preclude further downside. Supporting my bullish thesis as we approach year-end is the "Sine Line" indicator. This tool, which aligns with time and cycle theory, suggests that we are nearing the bottom of bearish momentum, forecasting a return to upward price action in the coming weeks and months. Finally, let’s talk about projecting previous cycles into the future using the Bar Pattern tool in TradingView. To create this pattern, I mapped the price movements from September (post-halving) for the last three cycles (2012, 2016, and 2020), extending the trend from September to the top of each cycle. Interestingly, each cycle lasted approximately the same length of time and aligns well with the Sine Line tool. It points to an expected cycle top around December 2025. Just for fun, I plotted the potential price levels if Bitcoin were to follow similar run-ups from those cycles. While I don’t expect a 2012 or 2016-style price explosion in the next year, it's fascinating to note that all three cycles fit perfectly into the current price channel. This strengthens my conviction that we've already seen the market bottom and are poised to resume our bullish direction soon. As always, #frens, I appreciate you taking the time to read my thoughts and analysis. Remember, this is just my opinion. Please do your own research and take actions that are appropriate for your unique situation. That said—do take action. For more insights, please visit my webpage at linker.ee/pcalzolaio. I look forward to sharing this journey with you all. #FIRE #FREEDOM #BITCOIN Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Calzolaio
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%. The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices. Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
NASDAQ:NDX
by primequotes
Gold - What to expect in September?XAUUSD spent the week in a consolidation zone, trading back and forth without notable progress. The price tested resistance several times, but we didn't see higher highs or closes. On the weekly chart, two doji candles in a row suggest a breakout—above or below last week's range—could be near. Based on price action alone, the market appears overextended, excluding fundamentals. Since March, only bullish months have been observed, with June neutral. A strong divergence on the weekly timeframe signals a possible pullback. Reviewing September trends from the last five years shows a bearish tendency, even amid a broader bullish trend. This pattern hints at a deeper pullback toward the 50% retracement of the previous month’s range. Still, caution is needed after two neutral weekly candlesticks to avoid chasing the market.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RTED_Investing
XAUUSD 5/9/2024 Will the uptrend continue? Looking at H1, we will see a complex correction in which the correction waves are intertwined, so I will move to the H4 time frame so that you can easily see the wave structure - Looking at H4, we have a Flat ABC correction structure, the above process looking at the present, we see that the wave has completed wave B and the current process is completing wave C. - The key to the problem is that we determine the end point of wave C to find a trading point. - Case 1: the price reaches the 2472 area and then increases sharply until now, we expect a recovery wave to the 2472 - 2469 area, then this price area will be the price area of ​​wave 2 in the new 5-wave increase structure and this is also our BUY target. - Case 2: the price continues to break 2472 to complete wave C, then the first target I aim for is the length of wave C equal to the length of wave A, then we have the first target at the 2467 - 2464 area and this is also our second BUY target area. - In the area above, I see the price area of ​​2515 - 2518 according to Volumeprofile, this area is the area where a large amount of supply was concentrated before, so when the price approaches this area, it needs to absorb all of this supply area before increasing further, so this price area continues to be our SELL target area. Trading Plan SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2509 TP2: 2501 TP3: 2482 BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479 SL: 2472 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2509 TP3: 2515 BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2472 TP2: 2482 TP3: 2500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
1
“EUR/USD Gains Weakened”The weakening of the manufacturing PMI and ISM manufacturing PMI figures in the US compared to the previous month has acted as a negative catalyst for the economy. This data has reignited recession concerns in the US, leading to accelerated dollar outflows. In the Eurozone, the manufacturing PMI for August slightly exceeded forecasts at 45.8. In Germany, the manufacturing PMI for August was 42.4, above the previous month’s figure. Following these developments, the EURUSD pair is maintaining prices above the 1.1050 level. In light of these data points, if the index maintains closing prices above the 1.1050 level, buying activity could accelerate towards the 1.1115 and 1.1190 resistance levels. However, in the event of a potential pullback, sell-offs could test the 1.1050 support level and possibly extend to the 1.0965 and 1.090 support levels.
by primequotes
XAUUSD 4/9/2024 complex correction has ended? Looking at H1, the complex correction process will create very difficult conditions for determining the specific structure of the wave. In such a situation, we will rely on the Fibonacci measure to determine the target price zones for the end of the entire correction process based on the previous up wave. - With such an approach, I will determine the target price levels for this correction downtrend. - Looking at the chart, we have a temporary 5-wave structure formed. We will rely on this combined with Fibonacci to set up trading zones - Case 1 if wave 5 has ended, then we expect the price zone 2482 - 2479 to BUY Case 2 if the price breaks below 2473, then the price zone ending wave 5 will be the price zone 2464 - 2467 - Above the strong supply zone 2510 - 2507 has not been broken yet, so this is still our target to SELL - Next is the zone 2515 - 2518, this is the strong supply zone above that we choose to place a SELL order/ Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479 SL: 2472 TP1: 2492 TP2: 2582 TP3: 2499 BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2478 TP2: 2492 TP3: 2499 SELL ZONE: 2510 - 2507 SL: 2520 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP3: 2482 SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP 3: 2482
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 3/9/2024 Downtrend is over? Looking at H1 we see that the price has reached the target of wave 4 that we expected and then decreased near TP3. Once again I would like to congratulate all of us on continuing to have a big win near Full TP3. - So now the price is completing the down wave 5 to then continue to increase - Looking at the overall correction, we can easily identify that this is a complex correction with many intertwined correction structures. - In a complex correction trend, it is difficult for us to determine when the new trend starts. But with real trading, we only care about the setups that qualify for our trading, I will not try to predict each wave accurately - Currently, I expect the wave 5 target to end at the price zone of 2487 - 2484 and this is also our BUY target - Above, I see 2 large supply concentration zones, which are the 2507 - 2510 zone, this zone is the target zone last time the price just approached this zone and was pushed down very quickly, and the 2525 - 2528 zone, looking at the chart, we see that the price was pushed down very deeply after approaching this zone last Friday. and these 2 zones are also our SELL target zones BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484 SL: 2477 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2507 TP3: 2518 BUY ZONE: 2471 - 2469 SL: 2461 TP1: 2485 TP2: 2499 TP3: 2510 SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510 Sl: 2517 TP1: 2500 TP2: 2487 TP3: 2470 SELL ZONE: 2525 - 2528 SL: 2535 TP: 2518 TP2: 2510 TP3: 2500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
1
GBPJPY bullish continuation expected GBPJPY we are have strong bearish push, which is be based on BoJ rate cut which we are have before 2 weeks, when they are raise rates. On D TF on 21.8 price is make bounce on strong zone, on lower TF 4h we can see SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE pattern created, its also breaked, for me 191.00 is be strong zone which can be used for confirmation of break of SYMMENTRICAL TRIANGL (next zone which can be used dor confirmation is 192.00). Currently price looks like its make break, JPY is make strong bearish push in last periods with many majors now expecting to see some rebounces, technically with many looks bearish. TP1: 194.600 (300) TP2: 196.600 (500)
Long
by DepaTrading
XAUUSD 9/2/2024 price continues to decrease? Looking at H1, we see a sharp decline on Friday last week to the 2494 area, signaling that this is wave 3 in the red 5-wave trend above. - According to the 5-wave structure, the price is currently completing wave 4 and then the price will continue to move in a downward trend to complete wave 5. The target is measured for wave 4 at the price range of 3507 - 2510, this will be our SELL target price range. - After reaching the target of wave 4, the price continues to move to complete the target of wave 5. Then we measure the target of wave 5 at the range of 2487 - 2484, this is our BUY target price range. Trading Plan SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510 SL: 2517 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2493 TP3: 2487 BUY ZONE: 2487 -2484 SL: 2477 TP1: 2494 TP2: 2499 TP3: 2509
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
1
XAUUSD 8/29/2024 Is the uptrend over? Yesterday as predicted, wave C was completed with very strong selling pressure, we did not reach the target of the first BUY zone, but at the second BUY zone, we had a big win of 210 pips, congratulations to all of us. Currently, the uptrend is still dominant. Looking at the current trend, we expect a 5-wave structure as shown on the chart. Besides, there is still the possibility of an ABC correction structure. - We have the price zone 2510.7 as a confirmation point, if the price closes above 2510.7, then we are in a 5-wave uptrend. If the price closes below 2510.7, then this increase is just an ABC correction and then the price continues to decrease when the structure is completed. - My current view is leaning towards a 5-wave bullish structure because I am expecting wave C to reach its target at 2493.7 and then a 5-wave structure will follow, then we have wave 5 target at 2536 - 2539, this is the first target and this is also the target area for us to SELL - If the current structure is an ABC correction structure, then we have wave C target at 2487 - 2484, this will be our BUY target - In addition, we have a large demand concentration area at 2509 - 2506, so this is also a target area for us to BUY SCALP Trading plan BUY SCALP ZONE: 2509 - 2506 SL: 2499 TP1: 2518 TP2: 2524 TP3: 2531 BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484 SL: 2477 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2506 TP3: 2531 SELL ZONE: 2536 - 2539 SL: 2546 TP1: 2531 TP2: 2524 TP3: 2509
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 8/28/2024 Has the price started a new trend? Looking at H1, we see a completed 5-wave structure followed by a correction structure. Currently, we have 2 possibilities that can happen with the current price structure Case 1, we have a Flat correction structure with peak B equal to peak 5 as shown on the chart. Then we need to wait for the price to complete wave C to be able to trade. In this case, it is confirmed when the price breaks through the 2503.9 zone - Case 2 is that the price has completed the ABC correction wave at the 2503.9 price zone and the price is currently in a 5-wave uptrend structure. If so, we have the current correction wave as correction wave 2 in a new uptrend structure, then we expect the price to break through the 2526.6 zone to create a new higher peak. And this case is confirmed when the price breaks through 2526.6. Combining the possibilities we have the following trading targets. Pay special attention because the current price structure is still unclear, requiring us to manage the transaction closely. SELL ZONE: 2536 - 2539 SL: 2546 TP1: 2527 TP2: 2519 TP3: 2523 BUY ZONE: 2512 - 2509 SL: 2502 TP1: 2519 TP2: 2531 TP3: 2536 BUY ZONE: 2498 - 2495 SL: 2488 TP1: 2509 Tp2: 2519 TP3: 2531
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 26/8/2024 Will the uptrend continue? Last week we saw a special increase on Friday. - This increase confirmed the completion of the ABC correction wave and the price continued to increase. - Looking at the current uptrend, we see a structure of short candles with weak momentum. So this could be a big wave 1 in the uptrend structure. Looking at the bullish wave structure, we see that there are 5 black waves - Currently, I am leaning towards the black ABC correction structure - Looking at the chart, we see that the black wave A has been completed and the price is currently completing the black wave B - The target for completing the black wave C is I predict at the price range of 2500 - 2497 or the price range of 2489 - 2486, this will be my BUY target - Above, we see that there is still a very strong supply zone at the price range of 2531 - 2534, this is the old peak, so if the price wants to surpass the old peak, it needs to absorb all of this supply. So I will set the SELL target down here Trading plan: SELL ZONE: 2531 - 2534 SL: 2541 TP1: 2519 TP2: 2509 TP3: 2500 BUY ZONE: 2500 - 2407 SL: 2400 TP1: 2509 TP2: 2519 TP3: 2530 BUY ZONE: 2489 - 2486 SL: 2479 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2509 Tp3: 2530
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
GOLD Analysis | Mines & World Events | OfficialKieranTrewick | Gold In Depth Weekly Analysis Gold Mine Productions : XAUUSD Surged last week reaching 2 new all time highs of $2,500 and $2,530 amidst ongoing tensions in the middle east, BTC reaching over 90% mined whilst Gold mine productions are struggling to reach the last few years production ratio as they declare it is getting harder to find the precious metal, although the first quarter of 2024 we saw production increase by 4% essentially we have not seen any growth since 2016/2018 with the annual production rate staying around 3,000 tons. New deposits are becoming increasingly harder to find although we have seen some over the recent years such as the current most productive mine based in Uzbekistan and China still leading the race with Australia following closely behind but one thing they have in common is reports of increasingly difficult new metal deposits found. Aside from the discovery process, government permits getting harder to secure and requiring more time to come through have made mining more difficult. Securing licenses and permits needed before mining companies can start operations can take several years. USD News Correlations : Moving onto recent USD events where we saw that the asian markets have remained cautious this Friday as investors closely watch for US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, seeking new insights into the future direction of interest rates. Traders are anticipating significant rate cuts from the Fed due to indications of a weakening labor market. This risk-averse sentiment has driven increased demand for safe-haven assets like US government bonds, leading to lower Treasury yields and a decline in the US Dollar. The Dollar's weakness is also compounded by a fresh round of selling against the Japanese Yen, following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, who spoke to the parliament on Friday. Governor Ueda reiterated his readiness to hike interest rates if inflation appears set to consistently reach the 2.0% target, though he expressed caution about potential instability in financial markets. Gold, despite a recent recovery, seems poised for its second consecutive weekly decline, with a Fed rate cut in September widely expected. However, Powell's upcoming remarks will be key in determining the extent of future easing measures. On Thursday, gold prices fell by about 1% as the US Dollar bounced back strongly from over a one-year low against other major currencies, amid deteriorating risk sentiment spurred by disappointing US S&P Global business PMI and Jobless Claims data. Additionally, traders have been adjusting their positions ahead of Powell's anticipated speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Gold prices rebounded on Friday after two days of losses, rising as the dollar and Treasury yields fell sharply. This came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed expectations for upcoming interest rate cuts. At the Jackson Hole conference, Powell stated that the Fed is prepared to lower interest rates from their current peak as the labor market shows signs of slowing. He emphasized that future rate cuts would depend on economic data and risks. Following Powell's remarks, the dollar index dropped 0.83 points to 100.67, and Treasury yields also declined, with the two-year note at 3.926% and the ten-year note at 3.817%. JPY News Correlation : According to Market Analyst Konstantin Oldenburger from CMC Markets, the relationship between the Japanese Yen and gold prices has strengthened once again, and a stronger Yen could be a positive sign for gold. Oldenburger noted that the Bank of Japan might have stepped in to stabilize the weakened Yen last Thursday. He suggested that such interventions could become more feasible if the Federal Reserve shifts its monetary policy stance. He further explained that U.S. stocks generally perform well when interest rates are high because liquidity flows back into the USD. However, when rates decrease, this liquidity tends to exit the dollar and seek alternative investments globally. "The Yen could gain from this reallocation," he remarked. After the U.S. released its June CPI data last Thursday, the USD/JPY pair dropped over 2%, sparking speculation that Japan’s Ministry of Finance had intervened. It is noted that hedge funds currently have limited long positions in the Yen and mainly hold short positions, which could need to be covered if a short squeeze occurs. If the Yen continues to strengthen, hedge funds may be under more pressure to reduce these short positions. Historically, a stronger Yen has been positively correlated with gold prices, suggesting that gold could also see gains. Gold prices continued to climb on Tuesday due to increased safe-haven demand from China. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) issued new import quotas for gold to banks, sparking speculation about a surge in demand, according to broker SP Angel. The demand for gold as a safe haven in China rose after Chinese 10-year government bond yields hit record lows last week, leading Chinese investors to look for alternative safe-haven assets, with gold being a prime choice and as we know the chinese yuan is heavily correlated with the japanese yen. Conclusion With gold currently priced at $2,511.36, the outlook remains bullish in the short to medium term, especially if current economic uncertainties persist or worsen. Monitoring central bank policies, inflation data, and geopolitical events will be crucial for assessing how high gold prices could go from here. The potential for reaching $2,600 or even higher is present, particularly if market conditions align favorably for gold. What are your thoughts on Gold and its future outlook, let me know in the comments below!
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by OfficialKieranTrewick
XAUUSD 23/8 has the uptrend started? Looking at H1 we see - Yesterday we saw a sharp decline after the PMI news, the price reached our BUY Entry, up to now we have a 190 pips victory, congratulations to all of us. - Now looking at the uptrend we see a 3-wave structure, on the other hand we see that yesterday's downtrend has the characteristic of sharp and fast movement, so we expect wave 3 to have formed and currently the price is correcting wave 4. - With the target of wave 4 I measured, wave 4 has reached the price target and now we are waiting for wave 5 to complete. - Wave 5 is confirmed when the price breaks through 2470.7 and the target is measured at the price zone of 2460 - 2457 - Because the price zone of 2470 is also the target price zone of wave 5 that we measured from the previous day's plan, we cannot rule out the possibility that the downtrend structure has been completed and it is confirmed if the price does not break through the 2470 zone. Then the price will continue the uptrend. Our trading plan will aim to BUY when the price breaks through 2470 BUY ZONE: 24600 - 2457 SL: 2450 TP1: 2470 TP2: 2486 TP3: 2498 SELL ZONE: 2499 - 2502 SL: 2509 TP1: 2486 TP2: 2479 TP3: 2470 SELL ZONE: 2531 - 2534 SL: 2541 TP1: 2519 TP2: 2501 TP3: 2486
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 8/21/2024 has the price peaked? Looking at H1, we see that yesterday the Gold price peaked at 2532, which is a new ATH, then the price dropped sharply to the 2501 area, so it is very likely that the price has completed the 5-wave structure 1 2 3 4 5 and now the price is entering the 3-wave ABC correction structure. - The sharp drop to the 2501 area means that wave A is likely to have completed and so the price is in wave B - Our expectation is that the end zones of wave B are at 2521 - 2524. And the end target of wave C is at the price zones 2487 - 2484 and the price zone 2476 - 2473. These are our trading target price zones. Trading Plan SELL ZONE: 2521 - 2524 SL: 2531 TP1: 2509 TP2: 2499 TP3: 2487 SELL ZONE: 2531 - 2534 SL: 2541 TP1: 2519 TP2: 2509 TP3: 2499 BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484 SL: 2477 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2509 TP3: 2519 BUY ZONE: 2476 - 2473 SL: 2466 TP1: 2484 TP2: 2499 TP3: 2509
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Altcoin Season on the Horizon? Here's 6 Reasons to Watch CloselyAltcoin season might be around the corner, and here’s why: BTC Dominance Facing Heavy Resistance: The BTC Dominance chart is encountering several significant resistance lines, a signal that often precedes a shift in favor of altcoins. Overbought Stochastic Indicator: The stochastic indicator on BTC.D is extremely overbought, suggesting a potential turning point. Altcoins Leading MA line Retracements: Like my previous analysis suggests, altcoins have recently been leading retracements to key moving averages (20MA, 50MA, and now the 200MA), with BTC following weeks behind. This suggests that altcoins could be leading the rebound rally and bullish continuation aswell since the BTC.D could turn to the downside. Volume Patterns: There’s noticeable accumulation in altcoins, reflected in increased volume, which could indicate upcoming price movements. Bearish Engulfing Candle: A bearish engulfing candle has formed on the BTC chart, which historically has a 79% success rate of indicating a trend reversal to a downward trend. This could mean further downside for BTC.dominance, potentially shifting attention and capital to altcoins. Positive Sentiment and Development: Many altcoins have seen significant positive developments and upgrades in their ecosystems lately, leading to renewed investor confidence and potential inflows as these projects gain traction. Personally I've sold 50% of my BTC. Currently sitting on some cash if we fall towards 44k$ area then I'll relocate my BTC money into altcoins. Thanks for reading, good luck trading and make sure to follow me on X for weekly updates! @PuppyNakamoto CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by WOLFofBlockStreet
Altcoins Leading the charge while BTC plays catch-up!Is everything we’ve learned about BTC leading the way while altcoins lag behind a lie? Could altcoins be the secret service agent, sent from the future to show us the direction BTC will take? And did the moon landing really ever happen? On a more serious note, I noticed an interesting pattern when comparing the altcoin market cap to BTC’s market cap. Recently, it seems like altcoins have been leading the way, particularly when we observe how they’ve retraced to the moving average (MA) lines. On a weekly timeframe, altcoins hit the 20MA line, with BTC following suit three weeks later. Altcoins then proceeded to reach the 50MA line, and BTC followed five weeks later. Now, altcoins have hit the 200MA line and seem to be finding support there. At the same time, the BTC Dominance chart is facing significant resistance, suggesting a potential trend shift in dominance between alts and btc soon. This could align well with the observed pattern. While the next move for altcoins is uncertain, BTC may still need to drop and hit the 200MA line to continue following this trend. The $44k area is also a critical zone where multiple former trend lines converge, potentially providing strong support and an opportunity for BTC to gather the liquidity it needs to resume its path toward $100k. Take a look at some of my previous BTC analysis charts to see what i'm talking about here and why the 44k area might be a good short term target. Thanks for reading, good luck trading and make sure to follow for more! X: @PuppyNakamoto
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by WOLFofBlockStreet
2
XAUUSD 19/8/2024 price has created ATH?Last weekend we had a strong increase on Friday that broke the old peak to create a new ATH. This increase has caused the RSI indicator to enter the overbought zone. In my experience, when the price moves quickly and sharply while looking at the RSI entering the oversold zone, this is a sign of wave 3. - Currently we see the price falling to the 2500 zone, so we expect an ABC downtrend structure of wave 4. - I measured the wave 4 target at the 2485 - 2483 zone, after reaching the wave 4 target, we expect a wave 5 increase to complete the 5-wave uptrend structure. - I measured the wave 5 target at 2517 - 2520 and 2531- 2534 zones, these are the 2 target zones I expect to SELL down. Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 2467 - 2463 SL: 2457 TP1: 2493 TP2: 2500 TP3: 2517 BUY ZONE: 2485 - 2482 SL: 2475 TP1: 2500 TP2: 2509 TP3: 2517 SELL ZONE: 2517 2520 SL: 2527 TP1: 2506 TP2: 2500 TP3: 2484 SELL ZONE: 2531 - 2534 SL: 2541 TP1: 2519 TP2: 2500 TP3: 2484
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Oil slips again and Geopolitical tensions rise In my last post about Oil, I said that "Oil has a good possibility to get back to the range of 83.50 and 84.50", but also "Oil had broken 3 LH's that were created between July 22nd, 2024 and August 1st, 2024". I also mentioned that "we can see a pullback in the ranges of 78.84 and 77.12". In my outlook at the top of the week, I said that I was on the buyer's side until price showed otherwise. Now, price is showing signs of not continuing buys but settling into seller's territory. In this latest out look, I'm going to give you my insight on where the market can possibly go going into next week. Around early 6AM, price broke the HL from last Friday that shot Oil up all the way to the 77.89 area on this past Monday. On Tuesday, price created the "M" formation signaling that sellers were now starting to step in that sent the market selling for the rest of the week. On today Friday, August 16th, Price hit a demand area that sent price shooting past the HL that i stated early in my typing. This could potentially mean that we are now in seller's territory for a minute depending on how the markets may move going into next week. We did leave a gap above after yesterday's sell movement that can send price back that way from Monday going into Tuesday depending on market conditions. I believe if price goes back that way it can be just to create a LH, IF price doesn't make buying structure. Right now my current outlook is bias until the market finds its footing from Monday-Tuesday. Amid Oil selling from the technical side, Oil is facing rocky streets from fear of the United States economy as investors are getting ready to brace for interest rate cuts and other things going on in different countries. From Fed Powell, to Iran retaliation, and to China's weak economy, Oil is in some unpredictable territory especially with a lot of geopolitical tensions rising. Next week news combined with technicals will give a greater outlook on Oil.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by eightyfourtrades