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Trend Analysis

GBP/USD - H1-Triangle Breakout (17.06.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3485 2nd Support – 1.3444 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
67
Bitcoin - Trend Shift Confirmed, Eyes on $102.8K LiquidityMarket Context Bitcoin showed signs of exhaustion after a strong short-term rally within a clean upward channel on the 1H chart. Price action had been respecting the trend structure until a key deviation occurred near $108,500, where we saw an internal liquidity sweep that hinted at potential distribution. Fake-Out Confirmation and Shift in Momentum After taking out local highs around $108.5K, price failed to continue higher and instead reversed sharply, confirming the sweep as a classic fake-out. This kind of internal liquidity grab is typically used to trap breakout buyers before reversing and targeting previous lows. Break of Structure and Channel Retest The rising channel was broken convincingly, and price has now retested the underside of the channel, aligning with the 50% equilibrium of the entire high-to-low range. This reinforces the bearish bias and suggests the market has likely shifted from accumulation to distribution. Downside Targets and Key Levels Immediate support sits around $104.6K, which served as a consolidation base during the earlier run-up. If this level fails to hold, the next key target would be a sweep of the previous significant low at $102.8K. This area is marked as a point of interest and could offer a reaction or reversal. Price Expectations and Trade Outlook As long as price remains below the broken channel and under $107K, the bearish scenario remains in play. I’m watching for bearish continuation into $104.6K first, and a potential full sweep toward $102.8K if that support fails. Conclusion The internal sweep followed by impulsive rejection, combined with a clear channel breakdown and retest, shifts the bias to bearish. A move into the $104.6K region seems probable, with a lower liquidity target at $102.8K in sight if downside pressure accelerates. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
57
GOLD → Bear pressure. Area of interest: 3340–3306FX:XAUUSD continues to decline under pressure from sell-offs. However, the situation is interesting overall, as there is conflicting data and unexpected price behavior is surprising the market... On Tuesday, gold is trying to regain the $3,400 level after pulling back from highs, but it is still facing selling pressure and returning to $3,377. The market reaction to the $3,377 level is quite weak, and if the price starts to stick to support, this will lead to a further decline. The dollar is strengthening as a safe-haven currency, holding back gold's growth. The markets are focused on the outcome of the Fed and Bank of Japan meetings, as well as US retail sales data. Any dovish signals from the Fed could support gold and weaken the dollar. Technically, on D1, gold is returning below the 3382 level (selling zone) and testing 3377. The reaction to the false breakout of support is weak, and the price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 3377. There are clear areas of interest that could lure the price before the news. For example, 3343, 3306, 3245. Resistance levels: 3382, 3403. Support levels: 3377, 3339, 3320 The bearish structure will be broken if the price strengthens to 3403 and consolidates above that level. This will reinforce buyers' expectations, which could lead to growth. At the moment, I would expect two scenarios: price consolidation within 3377-3403. But technically, the chart shows that there is bearish pressure in the market. The price continues to storm the support level of 3377, which may not hold up against another retest. A break 3377 could lead to a fall to the areas of interest at 3339-3306. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello, Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move. Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction. At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced. 

AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384. Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650. Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370. Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations. We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others. Sincerely, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
36
EUR/USD 4H CHART PATTERN.EUR/USD 4H chart, the chart analysis shows a bearish outlook after a potential rising channel breakdown. Here are the key bearish targets as shown: --- 📉 Bearish Targets: 1. First Target Zone (FVG Area) Price Range: Around 1.1400 – 1.1350 This is marked as the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and could act as the first reaction/support zone. 2. Second Target Zone Price Range: Around 1.1250 – 1.1200 Clearly labeled as “TARGET” in the middle of the chart. 3. Final Target Zone (Major Support) Price Range: Around 1.1100 – 1.1050 Also labeled “TARGET” at the bottom. This aligns with a past support level and previous consolidation area. --- 🧭 Summary: A breakdown from the rising channel is expected. Price may drop first into the FVG zone (1.1350 area). Then continue down to 1.1200. Final support target sits near 1.1050. Would you like me to help identify bullish invalidation or risk levels as well?
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
17
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Rejection from Demand ZoneEURUSD remains supported by strong eurozone fundamentals and broad USD softness. The pair has retraced into a key demand zone around 1.1490 and is showing signs of bullish rejection. With the Fed likely to pause further rate hikes and the ECB maintaining a steady tone, the bias favors further upside toward recent highs. ⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran conflict) have introduced mild safe haven demand, but so far the USD has underperformed versus the euro, suggesting EUR remains relatively insulated. Watch for confirmation and entries within the blue demand box. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price retraced to a well-defined 1H demand zone between 1.1490–1.1500. Setup: Anticipating a bounce from the demand zone targeting the recent high near 1.1620–1.1630. Entry Zone: 1.1490–1.1500 (bullish reaction area) Target: 1.1620–1.1630 (previous supply zone) Stop Loss: Below 1.1439 (recent swing low) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5 🧠 Fundamental Context (as of June 16): EUR Bias: Bullish – ECB has paused cuts; euro is resilient despite geopolitical headwinds. USD Bias: Bearish – Fed is on pause; soft inflation data and geopolitical risks weigh on dollar strength. Key Drivers: Fed dovish tone (FOMC pause, lower CPI) Strong EU resilience despite global tensions CHF and JPY attracting safe haven flows over USD 📅 Key Events to Watch: US Core PCE (next major inflation readout) FOMC commentary and Fed speakers Eurozone CPI and sentiment data
Long
by ultreosforex
23
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains. Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth. Support levels: 3408, 3400 Resistance levels: 3446, 3500 A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
28
GBPUSD H1 compression BUY/HOLD TP1 +100 TP2 +200 pips low risk🏆 GBPUSD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook Short-term: BULLS active; resistance forming mid‑1.3600s, consolidation below 1.3600s Mid-term: Neutral to slight bullish bias; bulls seek 1.3600–1.3700/1.3730 zone Status: Narrow trading range (tight band) ahead of key UK CPI, Fed & BoE meetings 🔥 Latest Forex Updates GBP/USD is consolidating in a narrow range around the mid‑1.3500s ahead of this week’s UK CPI and central bank meetings. The pair holds defensive below 1.3600, with dovish BoE bets capping gains while the Fed is expected to stand pat. GBP/USD sits near a 40‑month high (~1.3600), boosted by geopolitical risk tone, but lacking momentum to break much higher. GBP/USD hit ~1.3600 after rebounding from 1.3515 amid renewed Middle East tensions and a weaker US dollar. Live charts show a mild bullish tilt, awaiting central bank outcomes. 💡 Trade Recommendation Buy GBPUSD at 1.3530 (recommended entry near 1.3530) Take Profit at 1.3730 → +200 pips profit target Stop Loss: 50 pips (around 1.3480) This trade aligns with the current structure: shallow dip followed by rebound, positioning ahead of central bank catalysts. Momentum above resistance could propel GBP/USD toward 1.3730. 📌 Market Overview Metric Details Current Price ~1.3565–1.3600 24H Range 1.3515–1.3600 Central Event Risks UK CPI (Wed), US Retail Sales & Fed (Wed), BoE (Thu) Geopolitical Middle East tension supports USD weakness, aiding GBP 📈 Forecast Highlights Support Levels: ~1.3530 (100‑period SMA), ~1.3460, ~1.3425 Resistance Levels: 1.3600, 1.3630 static ceiling, followed by ~1.3700–1.3730 for bulls 🧭 Final Take GBP/USD sits in a tight range, awaiting central bank clarity. The recommended long trade at 1.3530 aims to capitalize on upside momentum toward 1.3730, supported by technical confluence and a softer USD. Manage risk with a 50‑pip stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
20
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the markets with our chart idea playing out, as analysed! Yesterday we started with our Bullish target at 3440 hit, followed with no EMA5 cross and lock, confirming the perfect rejection and showcasing the accuracy of our levels. This rejection went on to hit our Bearish target, followed by EMA5 cross and lock opening 3393, which was also hit perfectly. 🔄 Update: After testing 3393, we got the EMA5 cross and lock, opening the swing range. The first level was tested perfectly and gave the bigger bounce. Let’s see if it completes the full swing back to 3393, or if it goes for the full swing test below. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back-test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends. 🌀 The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels - that's the difference between the two. BULLISH TARGET 3440 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3463 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3483 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3508 BEARISH TARGETS 3418 -DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3393 DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3372 - DONE 3353 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3330 3306 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
BTC/USD 3H CHART PATTERNThe BTC/USD 3-hour chart shows a bullish reversal forming from a higher low structure along a rising trendline, indicating increasing buyer strength. Price action has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and is now testing resistance levels, suggesting bullish momentum. The chart also highlights confluence with dynamic support from the 250 and 370-period DEMA indicators, adding to the strength of the uptrend. A breakout above current resistance may lead to continuation toward the marked target zones. Overall sentiment favors a bullish move with clear upside potential if momentum sustains and no major rejection occurs from the resistance zones. Entry Point: 106,600 First Target: 110,360 Second Target: 112,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trend_logic
18
XBR/USD.30M CHART PATTERN.(XBRUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe, here’s the technical outlook: Chart Pattern Observed: You have a symmetrical triangle breakout setup: The price is currently breaking above the triangle resistance. There’s a bullish bias post-breakout with two targets marked. Targets Identified on Your Chart: 1. First Target: ~$79.00 2. Second Target: ~$81.50 These are based on the typical triangle breakout projection, where: The height of the triangle is measured and added to the breakout point. The first target often aligns with a conservative measure. The second target aims for the full projection of the pattern height. Current Price: ~$75.32 (as shown) Confirmation: To validate this breakout: Watch for a candle close above the triangle resistance. Confirm with volume increase or continued momentum. Stop-loss is ideally below the triangle support, near ~$73.00. Let me know if you want risk/reward calculations or a similar setup on a different asset.
FUSIONMARKETS:XBRUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
6
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDJPY? On the USD/JPY chart, price is currently moving within a symmetrical triangle pattern and is approaching the upper trendline and a key resistance zone. We expect that upon testing this resistance level, price will likely fail to break above it and enter a bearish phase, potentially falling at least to the specified support level. For higher-confidence sell entries, it’s recommended to wait for a confirmed downside break of the lower trendline of the triangle, which would validate a bearish continuation. Will this resistance hold and trigger a drop, or will bulls take control? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
11
Lingrid | GOLD corrective Pullback Presents Potential Long EntryOANDA:XAUUSD is retracing from a double top inside the resistance area near 3450 but remains above the key 3375 support and the ascending channel structure. Price is testing the confluence of the upward trendline and prior breakout level, creating a possible bullish rebound setup. A successful bounce here could ignite momentum toward the 3450–3470 zone. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3370–3375 Sell trigger: loss of 3360 support Target: 3450 Buy trigger: breakout above 3400 and hold with strong candle close 💡 Risks A close below the upward channel could trigger deeper sell-off Failure to reclaim 3400 may trap bulls in consolidation Macro catalysts (Fed, CPI) could override local structure Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
9
BITCOIN Is exactly where it should be this time on every Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) last month, following the April 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). No matter how odd this price action may look to some, BTC is simply replicating the pattern it has during every past Cycle around this time of its final year. As you can see, besides April 2025, it made 1W MA50 pull-backs and rebounds on June 2021, July 2017 and July 2013. The consistency is remarkable and since we are already now half-way through June, historically Bitcoin only went upwards! In fact, those pull-backs have been the strongest the market saw before the Cycles peaked on each and every occasion. Two Cycles peaked just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension while in 2017 it peaked a little below the 5. Fib ext. This indicates that the minimum Cycle Top we can be expecting towards the end of the year is $160000 (marginally below the 2.0 Fib ext). Many studies point towards the same Target. Do you think it's inevitable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
Euro can turn around and start to fall to support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price earlier dropped toward the 1.1360 support level and successfully broke it. Then we saw a short recovery move, but the price once again returned to the downside and retested the support line from below. After that, the market created a strong upward impulse, broke back above the 1.1360 level, and entered a phase of consolidation inside a range. This range held for some time, with price respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Eventually, we saw a breakout from this consolidation, followed by another strong bullish impulse and a steady climb above the 1.1530 zone, where price is currently trading. However, the price has now approached a critical structure and is showing signs of weakening momentum. In my mind, the Euro may attempt one more small move up but then turn around and start declining toward the 1.1530 support level, breaking the ascending support line as well. That's why my TP is this support level, which coincides with the support area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
9
GOLD - Price will bounce from support area and start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price declined to $3220 level and then started to grow, and soon reached $3380 level and even broke it. Then price started to trades inside wedge, where it at once started to decline and in a short time declined to support line of wedge. After this, Gold rose and broke $3220 level and continued to move up in wedge, where it also made two gaps before. Price rose to $3380 level and some time traded very close to this level, but later corrected to support line. Next, price made a strong impulse, breaking $3380 level and exiting from wedge as well, and continued to grow. Recently, Gold started to fall, so I think that it will fall to support area and then bounce up to $3500 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
14
US500.4h chart pattern.US500 (S&P 500), here's a breakdown of the potential bearish targets you're pointing to: --- 📉 Market Overview: Price has broken below the trendline and is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud support. The bearish path is outlined on the chart with multiple target zones indicated by horizontal lines and a large blue arrow. --- 🎯 Bearish Targets (as shown on your chart): 1. First Target Zone: Around 5,920 – 5,930 Minor support area just below current range. 2. Second Target Zone: Around 5,860 – 5,870 A more solid prior demand zone. 3. Final Target Zone: Around 5,780 – 5,790 Major support zone, aligns with previous consolidation area. --- 🧭 Strategy Notes: If price closes below 5,950 on the 4H or daily candle, it may confirm a stronger bearish continuation. Keep an eye on volume and price reaction near 5,920, as this is likely the first bounce zone. Would you like a marked-up version of this chart with exact price levels and arrows for clarity?
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Money_Magnet5
9
HelenP. I Gold may correct to support zone and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After rebounding from the trend line, XAUUSD began to grow steadily within the rising structure, confidently pushing through local resistance and breaking above the previous support 2 area. This breakout was backed by strong bullish momentum, with the price clearly holding above the broken level, turning it into a support base. Following that surge, the price entered a short-term consolidation, trading within the upper boundary of the chart, just above the 3400 level. This area now acts as a crucial support zone, and the market is currently hovering slightly above it after a local peak. Given the strength of the recent impulse and the confirmation of previous resistance as support, I expect a brief correction to the support zone before a continuation of the bullish move. That’s why I set my current goal at 3470 points — the next potential resistance area where the price may encounter renewed selling pressure after the rally continues. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
18
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend... NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom... After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards... Resistance levels: 1.2532 Support levels: 1.1675 Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
Bitcoin: Strong Support Holds Amid Market UncertaintyBitcoin: Strong Support Holds Amid Market Uncertainty Bitcoin recently tested a key support zone near 102,670, bouncing back in alignment with the broader bullish trend. The ongoing Middle East conflict continues to reinforce BTC’s strength, establishing another solid support level at 102,650, which signals that the price remains well-supported by buyers around this zone. For Bitcoin to dip below this area, it would likely require significant market manipulation or unexpected developments. At present, BTC suggests an upward trajectory, potentially reaching 107,850, 109,100, and even a retest of the previous highs near 111,500. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
Israel-Iran Confrontation. (I expect upward movement in USD/CADIsrael and Iran are exchanging missile strikes, but it seems markets are trying to play their own game, assuming that this conflict will not cross the nuclear threshold. in the meantime, investors are shifting their focus to key events this week. The main highlights will be the consumer inflation reports from the UK and the eurozone. In the EU, inflation is expected to stabilize at 1.9%, while in the UK, it is forecast to decrease from 3.5% to 3.3% year over year. This week will also bring central bank meetings in Switzerland, the UK, and, of course, the U.S. Federal Reserve-which will likely take center stage and divert attention from the tow European central banks. Other events worth focusing on include the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index U.S. retail sales figures. But let's return to the week's main event-the Fed's final monetary policy decision, which will be made over two days, Tuesday and Wednesday. According to the consensus forecast, the central bank is expected to leave the key interest rate unchanged at 4,50% The main reasons for this are persistently high consumer inflation figures, which showed an annual increase last week (albeit smaller than expected), and uncertainty about the consequences of Donald Trump's presidency. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has previously cited both as reasons to pause the rate-cutting cycle. So, what might come of the Fed holding rates steady? Frankly, not much. Ongoing uncertainty will continue to be the primary driving force in the markets. Traders are starting to anticipate rate cuts in the second half of the year. However, I believe there is a strong chance that rates will remain unchanged until next year. This is due not only to risk of inflation returning to 3% and the murky geoeconomic policies of the U.S.-China trade war and its unclear outcome. Given this combination of negative factors-each of which obstructs rate cuts-and the fact that the market has already priced these into its expectations, we can anticipate a continuation of existing trends. The pair is declining amid rising crude oil prices, which support the Canadian dollar, a commodity-linked currency. If oil prices resume upward momentum, USD/CAD will face pressure again. If the pair fails to rise above 1,3600, a decline toward 1.3435 is likely. A potential sell level is 13560.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
18