BITCOIN → New targets! What will happen to ALTCOINS ?BINANCE:BTCUSD went into consolidation after a failed attempt to break through the 108K resistance. Nothing terrible happened, the weekly structure is quite strong, and the market needs to build up its potential. What is happening and what to expect in the future?
In the week ahead, the focus is on the US rate meeting, GDP and PCE. If the US macroeconomic data disappoints, it could lead to a lower dollar and more interest in BTC.
As for Trump, he may give a good driver to the market if he pushes for the inclusion of BTC in the federal reserve, which is what the crypto trading community is waiting for now. But, it should be realized that tight US monetary policy and possible further rate hikes create pressure on high-risk assets, including bitcoin.
In a sideways moving environment, BTC dominance remains stable, around 50-60%. Altcoins are more likely to perform weakly in such an environment, with the exception of a few highly liquid assets.
If BINANCE:BTCUSD drops to 91.7К - 95К USD, it is likely that capital will continue to stay in BTC as investors focus on risk mitigation. Altcoins can only show growth if bitcoin has a new momentum above 107,400 USD.
Resistance levels:106.9, 107.5
Support levels: 102.5, 99950
Because of the strong resistance, the price is very likely to test one of the key support levels. And already from 102.5 - 100K a rather aggressive rebound may follow. But it is necessary to observe the character of the price and its approaching to these or those strong levels. Sharp movements often end in reversals, when smooth and gradual heralds a breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Analysis
ETH Building Blocks...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH Building Blocks:
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
ETH is currently trading within a short-term bullish block.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $3,500 resistance level is broken to the upside, ETH is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $4,000 mark.
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
If ETH breaks below the short-term bullish block at $3,250, it will enter a short-term bearish block phase.
📉 Long-Term Bearish:
If the $3,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $2,500 mark, is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Qqq🤨. Retest and rejected trendline last Wed and Friday As you can see.
Remember Decembers monthly Candle? It sets the stage for a Bearish reversal but price would need to close below 510 for the month of January to confirm it!..
I think it's a very high chance 524 gap close comes.
So much to go over
I'll update more and even entertain upside scenarios 😂
Lots to dive into on this post..
Tomorrow I will cover the Sectors
NASDAQ:SMH
AMEX:XLK
AMEX:XLC
AMEX:XLY
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2778 and a gap below at 2768. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2778
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2787
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2787 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2797 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2808
BEARISH TARGETS
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2757
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2757 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2746
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2746 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2732
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2732 WILL OPEN THE SWIG RAGE
SWING RANGE
2707 - 2697
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin’s Next Movement=>Symmetrical Triangle!!!On January 24, 2025 , the latest U.S. Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI data was released, revealing mixed signals about the economy . These indicators often influence market sentiment and could drive volatility in Bitcoin and others.
Manufacturing PMI : Rose to 50.1 in January from 49.4 in December, signaling a slight improvement in manufacturing conditions.
Services PMI : Declined to 52.8 from 56.8 , marking the slowest growth in nine months .
Potential Impact on Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) :
The slowdown in the services sector may lead to increased market uncertainty, potentially driving investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. However, the modest uptick in manufacturing could offset some of this uncertainty.
Overall, Bitcoin might experience heightened volatility as markets react to these mixed economic signals.
------------------------------------------
Regarding the news of the last 24 hours that came in the crypto , the news has been positive as in the past days and weeks:
President Trump signs an executive order for a national Bitcoin strategic reserve.
SEC Eases Rules for Banks to Safely Hold Bitcoin and Crypto.
In general, from Donald Trump's inauguration until Trump's speech , the crypto market has been very excited , and we even saw a bull trap in the Bitcoin chart.
Generally, the news can affect the trend , but we must also pay attention to the technical zones on the chart .
------------------------------------------
Now, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) near the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle .
Educational Tip : A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern where the price forms converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. A breakout usually follows, signaling the trend's direction.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to once again decline to at least the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle . In general, if any of the lines of the symmetrical triangle are broken, Bitcoin can continue in the same direction .
Note: In general, the Volume Trading on Saturday and Sunday is low, and if Bitcoin fails to break the upper lines of the symmetric triangle in the next few hours, we can expect Bitcoin to correct to the first target that I specified in the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $108,520, we can expect Bitcoin to increase at least to Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage($111,053-$109,594).
Can Bitcoin make a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD 4HIn continuation of the previous analysis
Gold Analysis – Bullish Continuation
✅ Main Scenario: The overall trend remains bullish, with potential targets at:
2782
2795.5
2810
2865
📌 Key Note: Sudden reversals and short-term corrections may occur, so risk and trade management are crucial.
🔹 Depending on market volume, the rally could start from current levels or lower support around 2760.
📢 Conclusion: Given the current setup, buy trades remain the preferred option.
📍 "High-precision analysis, amazing results!"
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Previously we stated that the channel top was continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks and. as long as we see no ema5 cross and lock below into the channel, we can safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range.
- This is continuing to play out perfectly. You can see although we had many breaks into the channel with candle over the last few weeks, ema5 failed to break inside, confirming the rejection and providing support above the channel like we stated.
Last week we stated that the bounce from the channel was playing out, as analysed and now heading towards our 2729 AXIS gap target above.
- This was hit perfectly completing this target. We now have a candle body close above 2729 opening long range/term gap at 2856 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2785 and a gap below at 2747. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2785 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2811
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2836
BEARISH TARGETS
2747
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2747 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2712 - 2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2668 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2665 - 2633
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
Last week we stated that we have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 and we now also had ema5 lock to further confirm this gap
This was hit perfectly last week completing this target and allowing plenty of time after the confirmation to get in for the action.
We now have a candle body close above 2760 with a gap above at 2797 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Hedera (HBAR) Life Cross, not what you thinkA Life Cross has printed on the above 6 day chart after an explosive 700% rally.
A Life cross is often seen as a positive development for fans of moving averages. However a word of caution is advised, moving averages do not inform about the future, they inform you only of what has been.
A number of reasons now exist to be bearish on HBAR, they include:
1) Past RSI support confirms resistance.
2) Price action is at monthly resistance. Look left.
3) Regular bearish divergence. Just as before look left, you think this time is different?
4) All tradingview.com ideas are long:
www.tradingview.com
This will be the only short idea you’ll be reading tonight. Remember the the 90% are here to lose money, are you?
Is it possible for price action to continue up after 700%? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Spy - Path to 666Hello Traders,
At 2008 bottom the market hit 666 on the SPX. So now I am thinking 6666 on the SPX and 666 on SPY is like a magnet. Well I used the Fractal from end of last year and using fibs to make sure the levels were a match and guess what..It ends close to 666 in April this year. I have other things pointing me to April as a "top". So anyways lets see how this plays out.. According to the fractal we will go up till Wednesday (MAG Earnings and Fed Decision) then have a small drop before continuing higher.
Is 666 the final top? Well one one hand it would make sense as we are getting long in the tooth and for some reason they love that number. On the other hand I have cycles that are pointing to one more cycle later this year into summer.
But I would say if we do head up to that number I would be cautious around there and put more into cash incase we get a decent pullback so you can buy things when they get cheaper.
I was one of the few calling for more up when everyone was seeing a Head and Shoulder and saying we topped in December. I knew we had a least one more bull cycle if not two. Here we are at ATH again .. lets see how this plays out.
Ethereum's Downtrend: Flag and Pole Pattern Set for Breakout...Ethereum is currently on a downtrend from the 4100 resistance level, forming a flag and pole pattern. The next strong support level is at 2800, where we could see a positive move arise from either a breakout of the trendline, support at the 2800 level, or both co-occurring. It's important to patiently wait for a signal before making any decisions.
The Time is Now! $PEPE Bottoming and Signaling a 3x PotentialI'm buying CRYPTOCAP:PEPE here. I've been waiting for an SFP at these lows or a touch of the orange line (though it might not reach). I'd rather start longing now and not miss out if the other bids don’t fill. Both the daily and weekly charts show good potential for a reversal. Overall, this is a solid level to enter.
BINANCE:PEPEUSDT
TradeCityPro | MANAUSDT Potential Fake Breakout of Support👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze MANA, one of the metaverse-category altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. Recently, I’ve had a feeling that we might witness a fake breakout in the market.
Scroll Down to Check Out the Analytical Chart as Well!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, we start with Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe, which is currently in a calm state with no significant fluctuations, essentially ranging.
If the 104227 trigger breaks and a lower high is formed, you can open a scalping short position, but make sure to secure profits quickly. For long positions, I plan to open one after 106498, as Bitcoin dominance is likely to rise, making Bitcoin my primary focus.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly chart, MANA remains within a 200% range box, recently rejecting from the box's ceiling.
I’ve already bought some MANA, but my main trigger for significant buying is a breakout above 0.7638. I don’t pay much attention to fluctuations inside the range box. After breaking the box ceiling, MANA could easily yield up to 600% profits depending on token count and market cap.
If you’ve already bought within the range without sufficient momentum, consider setting your stop-loss below 0.2519. For re-entry, as mentioned earlier, wait for a breakout above 0.7638, where I’ve set my alerts.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, after breaking our daily trigger at 0.3390, which was also the box ceiling, we witnessed an impressive move, gaining 130% up to the box ceiling at 0.7833.
This demonstrates why it’s better to buy after a momentum-driven breakout rather than inside the range box. Post-breakout purchases often lead to faster profit realization and better stop-loss placement, even if the entry point is slightly delayed.
Currently, MANA is at a critical support level, correcting 50% of its impulsive wave, which is significant both in terms of Fibonacci retracement and Dow Theory, classifying it as a potential PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
For re-entry, a risky buy can be considered after 0.5782, while a safer buy opportunity lies after breaking 0.7833. It’s too early to exit or take profits now, and I wouldn’t act on a breakdown of 0.4614, except to open a short position.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, MANA is ranging at the 0.4614 key support, repeatedly testing this level without significant upward movement, indicating stronger selling pressure. However, if sellers fail to break this support, buyers may step in, potentially driving the price higher.
📉 Short Position Trigger
The short position trigger is straightforward: I will open a short position after breaking 0.4614. However, since I expect a fake breakout, I will secure profits quickly on any short positions.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Currently, there isn’t a clear long trigger. If a fake breakout occurs, I’ll look for opportunities to take a long position using my fake breakout strategy. Additionally, if higher highs and lows form, I’ll search for a reliable long trigger.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
OFFICIAL TRUMP | Long-Term, 4-Years Long Bull-Market (Bullish) Here we have Trump's official memecoin, and we will have to go through many assumptions because the chart is very young. But even this young chart is already revealing some interesting dynamics. Join me in this analysis.
For TRUMPUSDT, trading started 18-January. The rise lasted until early the next day and a strong correction followed.
We can right away notice very strong buy volume on the rise.
After the main drop ends, 21-January, bearish volume is very low. This indicates that the bears are not active on this coin which translates into a bullish signal.
The correction already went below the Fib. retracement 0.786 level from part of the bullish wave and the 0.618 level for the entire wave. Again, after the main drop, no selling pressure present. We are already seeing consolidation with a downward bent.
Conclusion
Trump is very popular and famous right now and a memecoin can react to every development that shows up in the political spheres. Trump making the headlines all days, at all times and with so many supporters, this Altcoin is likely to be strong for a very long time.
My first impression when considering the dynamics that would playout on this chart was a 4-years long bull-market. A simple correlation to the 4-years presidential term. As long as Trump is president of the United States, this pair should do great.
The second was an opportunity to buy and hold.
There are thousands of memecoins, but if people are going to choose one to trade and hold, this is likely to be one of those. These are easy assumptions to make.
The chart is in an interesting place. We should see some continuance of the present action followed by a bullish wave. A bullish wave can develop within weeks or days.
My idea is bullish. This pair already went through a 65%+ correction within days. A correction is followed by growth. This is only the start of Trump's bull-market, I am sure people will pump this all the way to the moon; they won't care about possibilities, risks, strategies or market dynamics, they will just want to show their support. To do so, just buy and hold.
Sellers are going to be losers when it comes to this coin.
Prepare for a strong bull-market.
Trust! The best is yet to come.
You deserve maximum profits in this life.
You deserve the best.
Enjoy your life to the fullest. It is yours.
You are the commander of your own Spirit.
You are the ruler of your own Soul.
Namaste.
Adapting to Market Conditions: Mastering the Market’s Rhythm Markets are not static, they constantly evolve and successful traders are those who adapt their strategies accordingly. Understanding the shapes of trending and volatile markets is, I would say not only essential but also absolute necessary to staying profitable.
This adaptability ensures you’re always aligned with what the market is doing, rather than fighting against it.
1. Trending Markets: Go with the Flow 🌊📈
Trending markets are characterized by sustained movement in one direction, either upward or downward.
In these markets for example:
Example 1: Tesla (TSLA)🚀
When Tesla (TSLA) is in a strong uptrend, as indicated by higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart, breakout strategies work well. For instance, buying above a resistance level and riding the trend upwards aligns with market momentum.
Also, in November last year, Tesla's stock (TSLA) experienced a pullback to its 50-day moving average, which acted as a support level before the stock resumed its upward trend. This technical behavior is common in trending markets, where moving averages often serve as dynamic support or resistance levels.
Traders and investors monitor such pullbacks to key moving averages as potential entry points, anticipating that the trend will continue.
________________________________________
💎 Remember:
- Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets. Pullbacks to these levels can provide excellent entry points.
________________________________________
Example 2: Forex (EURUSD):
📉 A trending EURUSD pair driven by central bank policy divergence is ideal for moving average crossovers or trend-following indicators like the MACD. Here the examples are numerous and often they do play out.
For example, if the pair is steadily declining, shorting on pullbacks to resistance levels gives a good risk-to-reward ratio.
2. Range-Bound Markets: Mastering Consolidation 🔄🏦
In range-bound markets, price moves between well-defined support and resistance levels without a clear trend. In this case, focus on buying near support and selling near resistance rather than chasing breakouts.
📉 How to Trade Range-Bound Markets:
To do that you’re going to have to study the market.
First, and the most essential to pinpoint accurately, is identify Support and Resistance Levels.
🚫What to avoid in this scenario is Chasing FALSE Breakouts.
•While it might be tempting to jump into a trade when the price appears to break out of the range, these moves often fail, causing the price to snap back into the range.
Patience is essential—seriously, take a deep breath! 🧘
When you resist the urge to chase a breakout, that’s the discipline I was talking about.
________________________________________
💎 Remember:
🛑 Pinpoint Support and Resistance: Accurately identify key levels where price tends to reverse.
🚫 Avoid False Breakouts: Resist the urge to jump into breakouts; many of these fail, leading to price snapping back into the range.
🌟 Pro Tip: Patience is a skill, not a trait. Sticking to your plan is what separates amateurs from professionals.
________________________________________
3. Volatile Markets: Swimming in More Dangerous Waters 🌊🦈
• In these kinds of markets, you never know if you’re catching a wave or becoming the snack!
Though, let’s be honest: it’s usually the latter! — with volatility this wild, most of us are just chum in the water while the sharks feast!🦈
• Volatility spikes are often triggered by economic events, earnings reports, or geopolitical news. These markets can create massive opportunities but also higher risks. Navigating these markets requires an understanding of the underlying factors driving the instability.
Here are a few examples:
Example 1: Stocks (Amazon - AMZN) 💸:
📊 Macroeconomic Events: Changes in consumer spending patterns, inflation data, or Federal Reserve interest rate decisions can impact Amazon's valuation, as they directly affect consumer behavior and borrowing costs.
🌍Geopolitical News: With its massive global reach, even a small disruption in supply chains, shipping costs, or international demand can cause BIG ripples for the company.
📈Earnings Reports: Amazon's quarterly reports, often lead to significant stock price movements, as the company's revenue growth, profitability, and guidance influence investor sentiment.
• What are the risks?
One of the biggest risks, and something that can’t be stressed enough, is emotional decision-making . When markets are volatile, it’s easy to let fear or excitement take over, leading to impulsive trades.
________________________________________
💎 Remember:
• Your emotions aren’t great traders—they’re more like that friend who screams “BUY!” or “SELL!” at the worst possible time. Don’t let the emotions drive your portfolio; they’ll crash it faster than a teenager with a new driver’s license. 🚗
⏰ Bad timing is another one.
– If you’re caught on the wrong side of a trade you can experience substantial losses. But again this is where risk management and setting clear limits on how much you’re willing to lose make the difference in the end.
⚠️ What are the opportunities?
Fast Trades: Short-term traders can capitalize on price swings by executing well-timed trades.
• These opportunities require more attention, a clear strategy, and the ability to act decisively, as even small price movements can lead to meaningful gains—or losses—in a short amount of time.
📉➡️📈 This is good mostly for long-term investors as price dips are viewed as golden opportunities for a stock with solid potential. It’s like a discount at a discount.
• Most of the time, the market eventually recovers, and the stock not only regains its value but often surpasses it.
This confidence comes from studying past trends and patters—you can view short-term dips as just the market’s way of throwing a tantrum, like your wife being mad at you for something you didn’t do... but still texting to ask if you want anything from the store.
📊 Navigating volatile stocks like Amazon requires a proper risk management strategy and an informed approach that can help mitigate the dangers and maximize the opportunities these unique markets present.
Example 2: Forex (USDJPY):
⚠️ During events like the NFP report, USDJPY can see BIG moves. Avoid trading during the initial instability and instead focus on breakout trades once the dust settles.
For example, if the pair breaks out of a symmetrical triangle post-announcement, it often indicates the direction of sustained movement.
💥 An instance of USD/JPY reacting to a major economic release occurred on December 19, 2024, following the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
• This led to a significant surge in USD/JPY, with the pair rising over 2% to reach 157.51, nearing a 4 month low for the yen.
A rollercoaster ride, and a dizzy one for the traders, that left traders hanging upside down, clutching their positions, and most likely also questioning their life choices.
🕒 But this is about TIMING once again. And usually, you can’t control it—like trying to catch a bus that always seems to show up either too early or right after you’ve given up and walked away.
________________________________________
💎 Remember:
⚡ Short-Term Trades: Volatility allows skilled traders to capitalize on quick price swings.
⏰ Bad Timing: Being on the wrong side of a volatile move can lead to significant losses.
________________________________________
4. Market Condition Transitions: Recognizing the Shift
⏳Adapting also means recognizing—are you paying attention?—when markets are shifting. Spotting these early —yes, we are back to TIMING!—helps you adjust your strategy before it’s too late.
• Now how to do that? Recognizing the shift, nothing more simple - These pompous words can be summed up to staying alert, using the right tools, and reacting with a clear plan—not impulse. It’s about reading the market’s signals and aligning your strategy accordingly. A good example was in Forex on AUDUSD.
5. Adapt Like a Chameleon 🦎➡️
• Markets are ever-changing, and rigid strategies can easily become a recipe for failure. Adaptability is the name of the game —a game that rewards the quick thinkers and punishes the stubborn. Like trying to win a staring contest with a cat: you’ll blink, and the market’s already moved.
________________________________________
💎 Remember:
• ✅ Stay alert to market signals.
• 🛠️ Use the right tools.
• 🎯 React with a clear, well-thought-out plan.
________________________________________
Wait, I’m not done yet!
This is the ultimate thing I’ve dreaded for years, the cornerstone of my growth. Or at least the thing that keeps reminding me how much I still have to learn:
📖💻 Backtesting and Journaling.
• It’s not glamorous to be real, it’s downright tedious—especially journaling since I’m not a very organized person myself. Honestly, for a long time, I thought it was just something only obsessive perfectionists did—but it turned out to be a great tool to check my assumptions, spot my mistakes, and, occasionally, confirm that I might actually know what I’m doing. Which felt great to have on ‘paper’.
📉🤯 It’s not just about keeping records; it’s about holding yourself accountable and spotting patterns you didn’t even know were there. Your brain works in mysterious ways—like convincing you that every loss was “just bad luck” until the journal smacks you with the truth.
Backtesting is another one of those unglamorous but essential tasks. It’s like doing your lessons before a big test—except the test is the market, and failing costs you real money. Auch.
📈 Backtesting is where you discover if your “brilliant strategy” is actually brilliant or just wishful thinking.
I recommend backtesting a strategy for an interval of at least six months to a year. This timeframe allows you to observe how the strategy performs across various market conditions. Testing for only a short period, like a month, is tempting but misleading. It’s like watching the first five minutes of a movie and thinking you know the ending—spoiler alert: you don’t.
________________________________________
🔁💪 By extending your backtesting period, you can gain confidence in your strategy’s ability to adapt, manage risk, and deliver consistent results.
Plus, a longer testing period helps spot and get past unusual moves in the market, like an unexpected lucky streak or a one-off market event that might otherwise give you a false sense of confidence.
• This way you can tweak and refine it before putting real money on the line. It’s the ultimate rehearsal before stepping onto the trading stage!
________________________________________
💎 Remember:
• ✍️ Accountability: Journaling helps you spot mistakes and refine your strategies.
• 🧩 Pattern Recognition: Discover trends in your own behavior and trading results that you didn’t notice before.
• 🔎 Pro Tip: Journaling isn’t just for perfectionists; it’s for anyone who wants to improve.
• 🕒 Test Over Time: Backtest your strategies over at least 6–12 months to evaluate their performance across different conditions.
• 🛠️ Refinement: Use backtesting to tweak and perfect your strategy before trading live.
• 🎬 Think of It Like Rehearsal: Testing prepares you for real markets, reducing costly errors.
________________________________________
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
TradeCityPro | AXS: Axie Infinity's Play to Earn Dynamics👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I want to discuss the coin AXS, which belongs to the project Axie Infinity. This coin gained a lot of hype during the previous bull run as part of a Play to Earn game.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, we see a very large and long-term range box where the price has been oscillating between 4.221 and 12.610 since late 2022.
🔍 The SMA 99 has even entered the range, indicating a severe ranging market. I do not recommend buying this coin as it has very high inflation, and the coin has a consumptive and reward aspect in the game, leading most users to sell the coin they earn, which is why it has not been able to break out of its range box yet.
🔽 If the price breaks below the support at 4.221, it will be very challenging for AXS as a sharp and heavy drop is very likely, and selling pressure will significantly increase. The only support area below this is at 1.355.
✅ If the price manages to break the resistance at 12.610, the potential for an uptrend increases. The next resistances are at 19.426 and 44.596. The major resistance near the ATH is at 161.591.
📅 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, we can observe the price behavior in more detail. As you can see, there is a descending trend line that has been driving the price downward after reaching a high of 9.534, starting as a correction but turning into a downward movement due to the volume of sales.
🔽 If support at 5.439 is broken, it confirms the end of the uptrend, and the price will return to the box between 4.306 and 5.439. If support at 4.306 is broken, the situation will worsen for AXS as, as seen in the weekly frame, there is no significant support until 1.355.
🧩 Conversely, if the price can regain upward momentum and buying volume enters the market, we can expect the price to rise. The first significant trigger is the breaking of the descending trend line, which could introduce momentum into the market. Breaking above the 50 area in RSI could also assist in this upward movement.
📈The main trigger for a price increase is breaking through 7.366, a risky move, with primary buying triggers at the resistances of 9.534 and 12.610.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Lingrid | ARBUSDT buying OPPORTUNITY in Consolidation ZONEBINANCE:ARBUSDT market is currently consolidating around the 0.7000 price level. Trading below the downward trendline, and break above this may signal a potential end of pullback in the market. A similar pattern has been observed in other markets, where the markets made fake breakout of the December low saw. In this scenario, I anticipate the market may dip below the formed range before rebounding from the support level and channel border. Notably, the market has already made a significant 60% retracement since its bullish trend witnessed in November 2024. My goal is resistance zone around 0.8000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Stockholm Syndrome in Crypto Trading: Why We Stay LoyalLet’s be honest: altcoins haven’t been performing as well as many would like.
As I’ve started pointing this out through posts and videos, I’ve received a fair share of criticism. Whenever I mention the possibility of a market decline, I’m met with hate, while others who claim the market is heading to the moon are celebrated.
What’s baffling is that no one seems to ask, “Hey, you’ve been saying ‘altcoin season’ is coming for a year, yet we’re still stuck around the same prices. What’s going on?”
This got me thinking: Could this be a form of Stockholm Syndrome in trading?
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What is Stockholm Syndrome in Trading?
Stockholm Syndrome is a psychological phenomenon where hostages develop positive feelings towards their captors. In trading, it’s a bit like this: traders grow emotionally attached to a losing market, even when all signs point to the fact that things aren’t going well.
Instead of cutting losses and accepting reality, they keep holding on, hoping things will change – just like a hostage hoping for their captor's kindness.
In trading, this manifests as traders continuing to support a market (like coins or certain stocks) that isn’t performing, even when the evidence suggests it’s time to move on.
They become attached to the idea that a specific asset will turn around and deliver massive profits – even when the price action doesn’t back that up.
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The Comfort of Familiarity
Many traders are caught in the cycle of constant hope and “what ifs.” It’s much easier to stay attached to the narrative that specific coins will eventually “take off” than to admit that their portfolios might be stuck sideways or even bear market.
It's also easy to get drawn into the excitement of “moonshots” and grand promises of big returns. The altcoin season, the bull run, the new innovations – these ideas are comforting, even when the market isn’t cooperating.
But here’s the catch: sticking with a market that’s not performing well out of loyalty is dangerous. It stops you from adapting, from making the necessary moves to protect your capital, and from taking advantage of more promising opportunities elsewhere.
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The Reality of the Market
Altcoins have been on a rollercoaster. The hope for altcoin season has been building up for over a year now, yet many traders are still facing stagnant or even declining prices. When faced with this reality, we often see two types of responses:
1. The Blind Optimist:
Some traders will continue to hold and buy into altcoins, even when it’s clear the market isn’t moving in their favor. They believe that the next big move is just around the corner, and they refuse to let go of the dream.
2. The Critic:
Others, like me, will point out the slow or negative price action, urging caution and suggesting that a pullback or continued consolidation is more likely. But when we do, we’re met with anger, disbelief, or even accusations of “fear-mongering.”
It’s frustrating to see those who remain hopeful get so emotionally attached to a failing asset, while others who try to see things more clearly get met with hostility.
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The Dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in Trading
When traders fall into this “Stockholm Syndrome,” they stop questioning their strategies and beliefs. They become too emotionally involved with a market that isn’t giving them the results they want.
This prevents them from making the tough decisions they need to make to protect their portfolios – whether that’s cutting losses or re-allocating capital to more promising assets.
It’s also a trap that keeps you stuck in an echo chamber of hope and denial, rather than facing the market with logic and clear-headed analysis.
The longer you stay loyal to an asset that’s underperforming, the more you risk watching your portfolio sink further.
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Breaking Free: A Rational Approach to Trading
The key to successful trading is learning to let go of emotional attachment. Don’t hold onto an asset simply because you’ve been told it will perform or because you’ve invested a lot of time and money into it.
Here are a few ways to break free from the Stockholm Syndrome in trading:
1. Focus on the facts:
Look at the actual price action and market conditions, not the narrative you’ve built around it. If the market isn’t moving, don’t force a belief that it will soon.
2. Admit when it’s time to move on:
It’s not about being right or wrong – it’s about protecting your capital. If an asset isn’t performing, consider cutting your losses and finding new opportunities that align with your trading strategy.
3. Stay flexible:
The market is dynamic, and you need to be able to adjust your strategy based on current conditions. Don’t get stuck in a “one-size-fits-all” approach.
4. Let go of the need to be loyal:
Trading isn’t about loyalty; it’s about profits and risk management. Sometimes, moving on is the best decision for your financial health.
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Conclusion
If you’ve been stuck in the cycle of hoping that altcoins will suddenly surge, or waiting for the long-awaited altcoin season, it might be time to reconsider your approach. It’s important to recognize when you’re emotionally attached to a market that isn’t performing, and break free from that attachment.
By focusing on logical analysis, cutting losses when necessary, and staying flexible in your approach, you can avoid the dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in trading and move towards more profitable opportunities.
Remember: Trading isn’t about loyalty to a coin or a narrative – it’s about making smart, objective decisions that will help you grow your capital.
USDCHF - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.86129 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
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Dogecoin - All Things Are Very Bullish!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) will create new highs soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the expected triangle breakout back in mid 2024, Dogecoin has been rallying about +500% and is now retesting the previous all time highs. Following the overall crypto bullishness, a breakout is very likely which will then be followed by a second parabolic rally.
Levels to watch: $0.2, $0.5
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)