Trump Tariffs: Gold's Wild Ride & What's NextToday, Trump's policy of reciprocal tariffs has been officially implemented. The gold market, which has been overly hyped, has witnessed the fulfillment of a risk event, and the concentrated closing of long positions has triggered a deep correction. Spot gold prices plummeted from the high of $3,167.71 per ounce in the early Asian trading session. It touched a low of $3,054 per ounce, with an intraday amplitude of over $110, completing the technical action of building a top.
The leading institutional investors have precisely taken advantage of the market psychology of "buying on the news and selling on the fact" and completed the long position layout before the tariff policy was implemented. Their operation method is quite typical: first, they attract retail investors to take over the shares through a pulsed upward pull. Subsequently, they adopt a three-stage washing method of "plunge - consolidation - second plunge", completely breaking the recent upward oscillation pattern in the Asian and European trading sessions. This method is identical to the top formations in history on many occasions, and its purpose is precisely to create panic selling and trap the chips that chased the high prices.
Technically, a clear top signal has emerged in the daily chart of gold. Currently, the decline has exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the medium - term trend may reverse. However, it should be noted that this round of adjustment has not yet completed the complete five - wave structure. In the future, we need to focus on the guidance of tomorrow's non - farm payrolls data on the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies, as well as whether the weekly closing price can confirm the head pattern. John suggests that it's advisable to mainly adopt a wait - and - see approach. One should get involved only after the trend stabilizes. Pay attention to the resistance levels above at 3118 and 3130, and the support levels below at 3100 and 3085.
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Trend Analysis
ETH - UpdateETH has been "crashing" lately but I think it is in the end state of a long rally. In fact I think we are in the last stage of Wyckoff distribution and we could see a major rally soon. Looking at the 300 SMA we bottomed there in June 22 and if we hold there, it could be the spring board for a massive rally to new highs.
Also I think GLD will top in a week or so which will be good for BTC and ALTS.
Not investment advice. Please like and share and leave a comment.
EUR/USD 4h pair ......My eyeing a EUR/USD short from 1.09730, with a clear multi-target strategy:
Trade Setup:
Sell Entry: 1.09730
Target 1: 1.06000 (~373 pips)
Target 2: 1.03750 (~598 pips)
Target 3: 1.02086 (~764 pips)
Considerations:
Trend Check: Is the D1 or H4 chart showing bearish structure?
Fundamentals: Watch for ECB/Fed policy divergence, inflation data, or NFP reports.
Risk Management: Consider SL above recent swing high (maybe 1.1050+ depending on your timeframe).
Scaling Out: You could take partial profits at each target to lock in gains while letting the rest ride.
Want help analyzing the current chart to confirm your bias or refine entry/exit?
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3004
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2874
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3208
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 127.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 66.59
1st Support: 64.82
1st Resistance: 67.96
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EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EUR/USD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1092
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0900
My Stop Loss - 1.1202
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is TAOUSDT About to Dump Hard? Yello, Paradisers! Are you paying close attention to this subtle shift on TAOUSDT? Because what we’re seeing right now could easily trap late bulls before the real drop even begins…
💎TAOUSDT is currently displaying clear signs of a potential bearish reversal. We’ve observed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) developing from the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a strong early indication of weakening bullish momentum. To add to this, price has also broken down below the 50 EMA, a technical signal that increases the probability of further downside movement. When both of these elements align, it’s often a precursor to a more significant pullback.
💎If TAOUSDT revisits the recent Fair Value Gap, the trade setup becomes even more attractive, offering a stronger risk-to-reward ratio. That would be the optimal level for entry. However, even from current price levels, the trade still offers a 1:1 risk-to-reward opportunity. While not ideal, it remains viable for more aggressive traders.
💎That said, the entire bearish setup becomes invalid if the price breaks out and closes a candle above the current resistance zone. In such a scenario, it would be wise to step back and wait for more reliable price action to develop before making any further decisions.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
GBPAUD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPAUD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2.0922 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2.0761
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR USD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the previous analysis we expected a slight correction and then a price increase, which happened (please refer to the previous analysis).
Now the same wave 5 of 3 or C is completing.
This micro-wave should have 5 waves.
Now its 4 waves are visible, so we expect a price increase and the price target is 1.13750. This micro-wave 5 will grow slightly and we expect a divergence between the main waves 3 and 5 and then a price correction should happen.
Good luck and be profitable.
Dow Jones INTRADAY key trading levels ahead of US employmentKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40540
Resistance Level 2: 41000
Resistance Level 3: 42000
Support Level 1: 38940
Support Level 2: 38175
Support Level 3: 37320
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
'Safe Haven' Strength going to continue? YES - SELL GBPJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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US500: Trend Shift - Potential Break of Key Support LevelsThis analysis focuses on the US500 chart, a representation of the S&P 500 index, a key indicator of the US stock market's performance. The chart displays price action over a 4-hour timeframe, offering a medium-term perspective. The analysis aims to identify potential support levels and assess the likelihood of further bearish movement.
2. Key Findings and Supporting Evidence:
Bearish Trend: The chart clearly shows a prevailing downtrend. The price has been making lower highs and lower lows, signifying strong selling pressure.
Breakdown of Rising Wedge: A rising wedge pattern, often considered a bearish reversal pattern, is visible between March 11th and March 27th. The subsequent breakdown from this wedge has confirmed the bearish sentiment and suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
Potential Support Levels: The chart highlights three potential support levels:
5500 (Current Level): The price is currently hovering around this level. A break below this level could trigger further selling.
5504.2 (First Target): This level is marked as the first potential target for the bearish move.
5441.3 (Second Target): This level represents a more significant support and a deeper potential target.
Trading Strategy Indication: The chart suggests a potential short-selling opportunity, with entry around the current level (5500) and targets at the identified support levels. The stop-loss is placed above the recent high to manage risk.
High Volatility: The sharp price swings and the length of the red (bearish) candles indicate high volatility, suggesting strong momentum behind the downtrend.
3. Relevant Data and Statistics (Inferred):
Timeframe: 4-hour chart.
Index: US500 (S&P 500 equivalent).
Recent High: Approximately 5800.
Recent Low: Approximately 5486.7.
Potential Support Levels: 5500, 5504.2, 5441.3.
4. Discussion of Implications and Potential Future Trends:
Market Sentiment: The breakdown from the rising wedge and the continued bearish momentum suggest a shift in market sentiment towards increased pessimism.
Economic Factors: The downtrend could be influenced by various economic factors, such as rising interest rates, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainties.
Risk Management: Traders should exercise caution and implement proper risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, due to the high volatility.
Potential for Rebound: While the current trend is bearish, it's essential to acknowledge the possibility of a rebound or consolidation at the support levels.
Gold prices cool after tariff announcement⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surged to a new all-time high during the Asian session on Thursday as investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid heightened risk aversion. Market sentiment took a sharp downturn after US President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping reciprocal tariffs on Wednesday evening, igniting fears of a global economic slowdown and a potential US recession.
The announcement triggered a broad sell-off in equity markets, reinforcing the risk-off mood and further fueling demand for gold as a traditional store of value.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold hits 3167 peak, buying pressure gradually decreases. Adjustment waiting for new moves from other countries on Trump's tariff policy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL 3165 - 3168 SL 3172
TP1: $3160
TP2: $3150
TP3: $3140
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3108 - $3110 SL $3103
TP1: $3115
TP2: $3130
TP3: $3140
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USDCHF I Weekly CLS Continuation I KL - OB I Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price could rise toward our sell entry at 3092.56, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3072, aligning with the 161.8% Fibo extension.
The stop loss will be placed at 3120.64, a swing high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GBP/USD Bullish Momentum: Key Retracement Levels to WatchThe GBP/USD currency pair is exhibiting strong bullish momentum within an ascending channel. Recently, the pair established a consolidation range within this channel, with the upper boundary at 1.30149 and the lower boundary at 1.28710. Following the formation of a new high, no significant divergence has been observed, indicating the potential for a continuation of the prevailing trend.
Given the current price action, a retracement may occur, potentially providing an optimal entry opportunity around the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. Traders should closely monitor price movements and key support levels for confirmation before entering a position.
I think bitcoin will bounce here on the .618 On the macro we are inside an impulse wave and just touching the .618 fib level. Also, if the measure the cycles top to bottom, you will find the end of the cycle this time actually falls around October 2025. I still think 2025 will be an amazing year for bitcoin, but the sentiment right now is very low. I think now is the best time to buy. Even if stocks continue to fall, I think bitcoin will absorb the liquidity from the stock market, as has been seen before.
There is an upcoming Bullish trendIn the daily chart of Pi Network, we see substantial bullish reversal signals, the first being the Massive Bull Flag. Then, multiple timeframes of Bullish Divergence, the 3rd is the predictable Bullish Adam and Eve pattern.
In any possible bullish scenario, it is undeniable that the next strong key support is the current 0.57 area
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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COSTCO: Massive rebound on the 1W MA50 can go for +45% profit.Costco has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.966, MACD = -6.590, ADX = 35.211) as it's on the 3rd straight green week ever since it touched and held the 1W MA50. This rebound, though not an absolute bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, is the new technical bullish wave of the pattern. We've had so far 2 main +45.14% price surges in the past two years. We estimate that to be the 3rd and last up until the end of the year. Go long, TP = 1,270.
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GBPUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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