SPX500 | Bulls Need Break Above 6225 to Regain ControlSPX500 | Market Overview
The price has reached the previously mentioned resistance level at 6225.
As long as it trades below 6225, a technical correction is likely, with downside targets at 6161 and 6143. From there, the index would need to stabilize above 6143 to resume a bullish structure.
However, a 1H candle close below 6143 would confirm a deeper bearish move toward 6098.
On the upside, a 1H close above 6225 would reinforce bullish momentum, with potential to reach 6250 and 6287.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Level: 6191
Support: 6161 / 6143 / 6098
Resistance: 6225 / 6250 / 6287
Trend Analysis
$BBAI Long Setup – Sideways Base Breakout with Bullish Momentum BigBear.ai ( NYSE:BBAI ) is showing early signs of a breakout from a long, tight consolidation range. After months of sideways movement under the Ichimoku Cloud, price has finally closed above the cloud, suggesting a potential trend reversal. This breakout is supported by a bullish MACD cross, with momentum starting to shift in favor of the bulls.
The chart shows an entry at $4.18 with a stop at $3.28, just below the recent base support. The upside target is $6.43, aligning with prior resistance from early February and a pivot cluster near R1. This creates a clean 2.5 risk/reward setup, with a potential 53.83% gain on the trade.
Volume has remained steady, and if BBAI can hold above $4.00 for several sessions, we could see follow-through toward the $6–$7 zone quickly, especially with AI names gaining strength across the sector. This setup works well for a swing trade spanning 1–4 weeks depending on market momentum.
Bullish momentum to extend?AUD/CAD has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.8938
1st Support: 0.8905
1st Resistance: 0.9009
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
$BTC Consolidating Before the Next Big Move?CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidating after a strong bounce!
Bitcoin is holding well above the 106K support zone and forming a tight range just below resistance.
After a false breakout above 100K, the price is compressing just below key resistance at 108100.
This consolidation between 106500 and 108100 looks like a pause, not a top.
If BTC breaks 108100, the next targets are 110500 and ATH.
Market structure is still bullish.
A retest of 106500–105650 is possible before liftoff.
Are you positioned for the breakout?
If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
DYOR, NFA
#BitcoinRecovery
DXY: Weekly OutlookWeekly DXY Outlook
On the weekly chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a critical zone that was last tested in February 2022.
While a rebound is not guaranteed, the fact that the DXY has declined nearly 12% over just six months—despite a resilient U.S. economy—suggests the potential for renewed strength in the dollar.
I think the index could begin a recovery toward key levels at 100.00, 101.97, and possibly 106.00/
It’s worth noting that the broader bearish trend began with the trade tensions initiated during the Trump administration, which strained relations with several major trading partners.
Given that this is a weekly chart, it should be used more as a reference point rather than a trading signal.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
ALGO: Surprise Rally Ahead?Yello Paradisers, did you spot that breakout from the descending channel in time or are you still waiting for confirmation that already happened?
💎#ALGO/USDT has officially broken out of its multi-week descending channel after a textbook Break of Structure (BoS). Price action gave us a beautiful retrace into the demand zone, and from there boom momentum began shifting. This move is now showing early signs of bullish continuation, but as always, the majority will only realize it once the big move is already done.
💎#ALGO had been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price reacting precisely between the descending resistance and descending support lines. The breakout occurred after a strong candle pierced the descending resistance, and more importantly, we got a BoS followed by a clean retest of the demand zone around $0.165–$0.175. That reaction was sharp and decisive, indicating strong interest from buyers stepping in.
💎As of now, it is trading near $0.186 and forming higher lows, which supports the idea of an ongoing trend reversal. The structure has changed, and bulls are slowly regaining control. If price sustains above $0.190, the doors open for further upside. The first key level that could slow momentum is minor resistance near $0.210. If that level breaks with volume, moderate resistance around $0.230 becomes the next critical zone. Above that, the major target sits at $0.260, a strong resistance area where a lot of liquidity could be triggered.
💎On the flip side, the strong support zone between $0.145 and $0.155 remains our invalidation area. If price drops below this range, the bullish setup collapses, and we reassess the entire structure. But unless that happens, the bias remains cautiously bullish.
Trade Smart. Stay Patient. Be Consistent.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
SOUN | Long (Cautious) | AI Speculative Play | (June 30, 2025)SOUN | Long (Cautious) | AI Speculative Play with Technical Bounce Setup | (June 30, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
SoundHound AI (SOUN) is showing potential for a short-term technical bounce, but fundamentals remain weak. This is more of a speculative, high-risk play for quick traders rather than a long-term investment.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long (speculative, small position)
Entry: ~$10.00 (Point of Control area)
Stop Loss: $8.43 (below recent structure)
TP1: $11.52
TP2: $13.60
TP3: $16.00
Final Target: $19.73
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Revenue sits around $84 million, but net income is deeply negative at around -$350 million.
✅ Free cash flow is negative (~$100 million), but debt is low at ~$4 million and decreasing — a small positive sign.
✅ Recent filings show insider selling totaling ~$525 million over the last 5 days, which is concerning and signals caution.
✅ Most revenue comes from services and licensing in the U.S., South Korea, France, Japan, and Germany.
✅ Forecasts show revenue expected to grow slowly into 2026, but profitability remains uncertain.
✅ Technical setup suggests a possible bounce from $10 toward $11.52 and higher if momentum picks up, but fundamentally it lacks solid support.
❌ High volatility (beta ~3) and insider selling make this a risky, short-term speculative idea only.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I will treat this as a very small position compared to stronger setups (e.g., YETI or ACIW). Will update if price action confirms above $11.52 or if insider sentiment changes.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
I would be looking for reversal patterns on the ES and the Russe7 1 25 I made a few mistakes naming some of the markets but if you can deal with that then I explain what my concerns are regarding some of the patterns. most of the trades that I posted as trading opportunities have moved higher and did not require large stops. I spent time on a certain pattern that I don't really talk about but it influenced my Trading and gives me caution not to stay in a market to Long.... and I tried to use the the gold and the silver because I really am tied into those markets and I'm concerned about a pattern on the gold that is actually giving a signal to be long but I'm still concerned about it and I tried to articulate that in the video.... it's about the concept of what that pattern represents to me..... and incorrect or the market trades differently it's not a big deal..... the irony in the video is that I tried to show that pattern thinking that I was in a certain Market and I had the wrong Market..... the only thing I would say is there's a certain pattern and they think Gold's a very good example and will give me a chance to talk about it in a couple of days and I want to see if it actually can make a new high which I am concerned about because I want that new high to sell some of my goal but I want a good price and it's a large amount.... and I'm not doing this to be egotistical or trying to prove a point.... I'm willing to show something that's actually going on and I'm willing to talk about it. a number of people are entering in my trades which is perfectly fine and they try to make statements in my videos that require that you go back and reevaluate those videos to see what happened and that's the best way to learn. I stopped looking at other people's charting mostly because I'm happy with what I do but also when people chart something and project a Target but never do anything else to help you determine if that projection was correct that's not of any value. if you can find somebody who finds an entry and tells you what it is or that it's about to happen and that person does a video on it which he cannot change so that even though you don't see the actual trade the market trades in the direction and has reversals that are outlined before they happen that's the best way to trade it completes the cycle of trading.... and the beautiful thing is if you post it you can't erase it.... that's how you can learn effectively if you go back and create the patterns that were shown to you previously.
USDJPY – Key Support Bounce with Macro TailwindsUSDJPY is bouncing off a key trendline and 61.8% Fib zone (143.25–143.60) with confluence across multiple JPY crosses (EURJPY, AUDJPY, CADJPY). This area has historically triggered strong upside momentum, and the current setup aligns with both technical structure and macro drivers.
📊 Fundamentals Supporting the Move:
✅ US Yields Stable: US10Y is holding above 4.20%, keeping USDJPY supported. If yields push back toward 4.30%, expect USDJPY to retest 145.30 and potentially 147.80.
✅ BoJ Dovish: Japan shows no shift in policy. Despite weak Tankan data, BoJ remains patient, and no meaningful rate hike or YCC change is expected soon.
✅ USD Macro Resilience: Core PCE held firm at 2.6%. Focus now shifts to ISM Services PMI (Wed) and NFP (Fri). Markets are still pricing a soft landing – supporting risk-on and a stronger USD.
✅ JPY as a Fading Safe Haven: Even with geopolitical headlines (Trump tariff tensions, Taiwan, Middle East), JPY demand remains weak. Traders are favoring USD and Gold over JPY as risk hedges.
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Dovish US Data Surprise: Weak NFP or ISM could drag yields down and trigger USDJPY reversal.
Verbal or Actual BoJ Intervention: If we approach 148.50–150, Japan may step in again.
Geopolitical Escalation: Any sharp risk-off could trigger safe haven demand for JPY, though this has underperformed recently.
🔎 Correlation Dynamics:
📈 USDJPY is leading JPY crosses like EURJPY and AUDJPY. The recent bounce started simultaneously across the JPY complex, with USDJPY slightly ahead.
📉 If US yields drop or risk sentiment shifts, USDJPY may lag gold or bonds but eventually catch up.
🧠 Trading Plan:
📍 Entry Zone: 143.30–143.60 (trendline + Fib confluence)
🎯 Target 1: 145.30 (38.2% Fib)
🎯 Target 2: 147.80 (channel resistance)
🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 141.50 with US yields breaking down
📅 Upcoming Events to Watch:
Wed July 3: ISM Services PMI (key for USD reaction)
Fri July 5: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Average Hourly Earnings
JPY Risk: Verbal intervention possible near 148+
🧭 Summary:
USDJPY is positioned for a bullish continuation, backed by:
Rising yields
Resilient US macro
Weak JPY fundamentals
Technical structure respecting trendline support
Short-term traders can target the 145–147.80 range ahead of NFP, with a tight eye on yield and risk sentiment.
📌 If this analysis helps, drop a like and follow for more real-time macro-technical breakdowns. Stay nimble ahead of NFP! 🧠📈
AUDJPY: Bullish Move From Support 🇦🇺🇯🇵
There is a high chance that AUDJPY will bounce
from the underlined horizontal support.
The price formed a bullish imbalance candle after its test.
I expect a rise to 94.49 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick update on my trade. I thought on the last 30 min. candle I was going to get taken out. Normally I would close half the trade to minimize loss but I am using a microlot size and I am going to let it ride. Let's see if we start pushing down or if my Stop Loss get hit. I am optimistic and looking for that push down to correct the move from the overnight sessions. Let's see how it plays out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade safe.
AUDUSD Breakout ascending channel and consolidation breakout 1D 📊 AUD/USD Technical Breakdown – 1D Time Frame
The Aussie has officially broken out of both the ascending channel and the consolidation phase, signaling strong momentum ahead. 🚀
📍 Entry Level: 0.65800
🔁 Possible Retest Zone (Support): 0.64000
🎯 Technical Targets:
✅ 1st Target: 0.66900 (Key Supply Zone)
✅ 2nd Target: 0.69000 (Major Resistance Level)
Market structure and price action suggest bullish continuation if the breakout holds. Always manage risk accordingly. 📈
---
💬 Drop your thoughts below
❤️ Like, 🔄 Follow, and 👥 Join us for more real-time updates and smart setups!
— Livia, keeping it sharp 😜
ETHUSDT Long Term Structure Signals Imminent ExpansionEthereum has been consolidating within a large-scale symmetrical pennant formation following its peak at $4,851. This macro structure, spanning several years, reflects sustained accumulation within a clearly defined corrective range, bounded by well-established trendline support and resistance.
After reaching its all-time high, ETH entered a structured correction that has unfolded into what appears to be an ABCDE wave pattern. Currently, price action is developing near point D, approaching the upper boundary of the pennant a crucial area that could define the next directional move.
In addition, the daily chart presents a developing Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, with the neckline anchored around $2,855. This level is acting as a key resistance, temporarily halting ETH’s short-term upside. A confirmed breakout above the neckline would likely validate both the IH&S and the breakout from wave D, setting the stage for a potential expansion move toward the $6,000 target and beyond.
However, in the event of a temporary rejection at the neckline or pennant resistance, a retracement toward wave E becomes likely. This would bring price back into the $1,400–$1,800 support region a high-confluence demand zone that aligns with the long-term ascending trendline, previous breakout levels, and multiple historical reaction points. This zone may serve as a base for a strong bullish reversal.
Recent price behavior shows compressed volatility and increased buying interest on dips, reinforcing the possibility of an imminent directional breakout. A decisive move outside this macro structure may mark the beginning of a new phase of long-term price expansion.
Share your view with us in the comments, how do you see ETH playing out from here?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg.
Technical Overview:
Trendline support from May is intact
$106K zone flipped into support — critical for bulls to hold
Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000
Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$106,057 – Immediate support
$101,409 – Mid-range demand zone
$98,898 – Rising trendline
$93,343 – Strong base zone
Resistance:
$107,000 – Minor resistance
$108,895 – Major resistance
$111,785 – Upper breakout target
Outlook:
Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Gold Trade Plan 01/07/2025Dear Traders,
On the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs. USD):
✅ The price has made a strong bullish move and is now testing a key resistance zone between 3345 and 3360. This zone has acted as both support and resistance in the past, making it a strong area of interest.
📉 We can observe upper wicks forming on the candles, suggesting buying pressure is weakening. The red dashed line on the chart indicates a potential bearish reversal scenario.
🔻 If the price fails to break and close above this resistance with strength, we could see a correction toward the 3290 to 3260 zone.
💡 Unless the price breaks above 3360 and closes strongly, long positions carry higher risk at the moment.
Gold Trade Plan 02/07/2025ِDear Traders,
On the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD), we observe a breakout of the descending trendline, followed by a successful pullback and continuation to the upside.
The blue demand zone around 3295–3310 acted as a strong support and triggered a bullish move.
As long as the price holds above this support, we expect the uptrend to continue, targeting the resistance areas between 3360–3375 and potentially up to 3390–3400.
The RSI has pulled back from the overbought zone but is still holding above the 50 level, supporting the bullish sentiment.
📌 Conclusion:
If the price holds above the support zone, further upside towards the resistance zones is likely. If the support fails, the bullish scenario may be invalidated for now.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD (GOLD/USD) Breakdown
🔴 1. UT in Phase B (Upthrust = Trap)
This move above the previous high was likely a liquidity grab, not a real breakout.
Price action showed rejection without follow-through — classic Wyckoff distribution behavior.
→ 📉 Smart money sells into retail buying.
🔴 2. SOW (Sign of Weakness)
After the UT, price dumped aggressively and broke short-term support.
This creates lower confidence in bullish continuation.
→ 📉 Weak hands shaken, structure looks heavy.
🔴 3. Bearish Structure (Waves i–ii–iii setting up)
Wave I = first drop after the UT.
Wave II = current bounce — looks corrective, not impulsive.
Expecting Wave III = the next strong sell leg.
→ 🎯 Target: revisit 3,072 → 3,040 → PML (3,010) → even 2,955.
🔴 4. Volume Profile Confirmation
Price is failing to hold the high-volume node (3,303–3,327).
Below this = thin volume zone, which price tends to drop through quickly.
→ 🚨 Liquidity vacuum below.
🔴 5. Resistance Cluster Above
Multiple key levels between 3,500–3,563 = heavy resistance.
Also aligns with the invalidation zone for the bearish count.
→ ❌ If price moves above here with strength = bias invalidated.
XAUUSD Bullish Trend breakdown and support on 3295XAUUSD Technical Breakdown
1H Time Frame Analysis by Livia 😜
Gold (XAU/USD) has officially broken down from the bullish trend, symmetrical triangle, and the key support zone at 3295.
A retracement is complete, and 3295 now acts as a fresh resistance level — setting up a clean entry point for sellers.
🎯 Bearish Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Support: 3260
🔻 2nd Support: 3240
💬 Like, follow, and comment to stay ahead of the market.
📲 Join us for more real-time updates and pro insights!
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakdownAlert #JoinTheMovement
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis.
BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge.
The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500.
The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support.
Ichimoku
BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal.
The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area.
Stay alert!
Beware of gold, false rise and real fall
💡Message Strategy
The global economic uncertainty has intensified recently, and the gold market has performed well. On Monday, the price of gold rose by 0.87%, hitting a bottom of $3247.87 per ounce before rebounding strongly. The upward trend continued in early trading on Tuesday. In the second quarter, the price of gold rose by 5.5%, rising for two consecutive quarters.
The main reason for this round of gold price rise is the weakening of the US dollar. The US dollar index has recorded its worst performance in the first half of the year since the 1970s. Market concerns about the expansion of the US fiscal deficit and uncertainty in trade agreements have weakened the attractiveness of the US dollar.
At the same time, global trade and geopolitical fluctuations, such as the Sino-US rare earth agreement, the progress of US-EU trade negotiations, and the uncertainty of the tariff deadline on July 9, have strengthened the safe-haven properties of gold. This week's focus is on Thursday's US non-farm payrolls report for June. The market expects 110,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.3%, which will directly affect the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve is cautious about cutting interest rates, the market generally expects that interest rate cuts will be resumed in September, and the annual interest rate cut may reach 66 basis points. Trump's pressure on the Federal Reserve has also increased policy uncertainty.
Gold is driven up by multiple factors, but its future trend still depends on employment, inflation and tariff policies. Investors need to pay close attention to data and policy developments.
📊Technical aspects
Gold hit bottom and rebounded during the early trading session on Monday, and the price stopped after touching the previous low. The price stopped after touching the four-hour resistance position before the European session. The European session was under pressure before breaking through the four-hour resistance. After that, the U.S. session had consecutive positive days, and the price did not fall. Instead, it further broke through the four-hour resistance position, which means that the price still has the performance of testing the daily level resistance area. We will continue to follow the key breakthrough of 3300 on Monday and pay attention to the 3350-3360 area and then look at the pressure.
According to the daily level, after the price broke through the daily support last week, the price continued to rely on the daily resistance to bear pressure. At present, the daily resistance is at the 3360 area resistance. Below this position, gold can continue to be short.
According to the four-hour level, the four-hour key position is the key to our emphasis on short-term trends. Yesterday, the price broke through the four-hour resistance and is expected to adjust further. The current four-hour support is in the 3300 area. The price is short-term bullish above this position. After the subsequent high, it is expected to fall further after breaking the four-hour support again.
From the one-hour level, yesterday's strong closing, today's early trading again directly broke through yesterday's high position, so today's early trading low became the key. The price above this position tends to continue to test the daily resistance of 3360, so we will first look at the rebound, and wait until the price touches the daily resistance of 3350-3360, and then pay attention to further anti-K signals to see pressure.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3350-3360,SL:3370,Target: 3315-3300
Q3 Could Be Big for #ETH, Breakout Watch ON#ETH bounced exactly from the 0.5 level of Fib Retracement, as expected.
Now it appears to be gearing up for its next breakout move!
After weeks of chopping inside a falling channel, ETH is showing signs of strength. It's reclaiming key levels and slowly pushing toward the breakout zone near $2,520.
A breakout above this resistance could trigger a sharp move toward $2,880 and beyond.
However, bulls need to hold the $2,300 zone, a drop below might delay the pump.
Structure is bullish, just needs confirmation.
IMO, Q3 could be massive for ETH.
Like & retweet for more updates.
#Ethereum