DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the channel boundaryGOLD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic support, which has already acted as a rebound point.
The chart has already consolidated above the support level and returned to the channel.
We expect a rebound after consolidation above the 50% retracement level.
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Trend Analysis
EURUSD Sell
We see a strong impulsive move to the upside, breaking through previous resistance levels. The upward push suggests bullish dominance, but price has now entered a corrective phase, retracing from recent highs.
Key Areas of Interest
Resistance Zone at 1.1150 - 1.1160: This area, marked as an "Area of Interest," aligns with previous swing highs, making it a potential reversal point or continuation area.
Support at 1.0919: This level aligns with the Asian session low and is reinforced by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, making it a crucial support zone.
Fibonacci Retracement & Potential Buy Zones
Price is currently retracing within the Fibonacci levels, particularly testing the 0.382 level at 1.1020. If a deeper retracement occurs, the 0.5 and 0.618 levels around 1.0960-1.0919 could act as strong demand zones for potential long entries.
Liquidity
The chart indicates areas where liquidity may reside, such as above the recent highs and below the Asian session low. A stop-hunt scenario could see price dipping into the 1.0919 region before resuming the uptrend.
EUR/USD remains in a bullish structure but is undergoing a corrective phase. Key support and resistance levels should be watched closely for trade opportunities. A break above 1.1100 could signal further upside momentum, while a drop below 1.0960 might lead to deeper retracement before any continuation.
Traders should monitor price action around these key levels and consider confirmation signals before entering trades.
TRADE
Entry: 1.10328
Stop Loss: 1.10630
Take Profit: 1.08892
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash.
And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first.
Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity.
We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either.
But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective.
If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise.
Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares.
If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking.
The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it.
And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
XRPUSDT Short Opportunity -6.58% TargetWe just bounced (convincingly) off the mean average price established over the last 10 days and we are currently accelerating further down as I write this. I am short this area, it has already moved into profit so I will trail this to it's conclusion.
I think there is a high degree of likelihood we retest the swing low of $1.95 based in the continuing trend on the 1D chart.
GOLD short-term analysis. Entering the selling phaseAfter the tariff policy was implemented, gold was sold off in the market on Friday. Gold was under pressure from the upper track of the rising channel trend line at 3160/3165. At present, the correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel. The daily line fell sharply and closed. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator turned down after the previous 80-value high overbought value and fell back to around 50!
The weekly RSI indicator turned down and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the Asian session. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/3075, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. Gold continued to fluctuate downward in the weak bear market in the Asian session. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continues to sell at high levels and buy at low levels.
Gold once again started a dramatic frenzy mode last Friday, with long and short positions tug-of-war and large fluctuations. In the end, the short position was slightly better, which was an eye-opener for the market. With the continuous rise of gold, large fluctuations are also commonplace. Large fluctuations make the market uneasy. In the face of the large decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below is maintained at the 3000 integer mark!
This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high probability of a rebound, and the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion position of 3054-3057, which is also the top position of the last falling candle last Friday. This position will be an ideal short position on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period.
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. Gold will continue to sell after the rebound, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, sellers will have more advantages in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The gold rebound resistance is 3054. If it is under pressure, it will continue to sell at highs.
Key points;
First support: 3000, second support: 2990, third support: 2976
First resistance: 3040, second resistance: 3054, third resistance: 3068
Operation ideas;
Buy: 2983-2985, SL: 2974, TP: 3000-3010;
Sell: 3051-3054, SL: 3063, TP: 3030-3020;
BTC Analysis: Bullish Potential Amid Bearish MomentumHi there,
BTC is potentially bullish on the H2, following the low of 74476.28 formed on the weekly chart and the ABC inside pattern from 84950.45. I anticipate that the price will form a high that could potentially extend the overall bearish momentum to further lows.
So there is one bullish price target for a bias of 82444.87.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
USDZAR Bearish Optimism.Hi there,
On USDZAR, it seems that we don't have much upward momentum left, do we? The price has reached the highs of the 19.31-19.55 area, and we might see a decline that could potentially mark the end of wave 4.
The Wave 5 is a bit tricky there; it may fall to the 18 area, which is a zone of interest, or it could potentially drop further down to 16.5.
Although prices may drop to 15.960 from the high of 17.174, my bias is in favour of 16.5, with two price targets at 18.5 and 18.0.
Happy trading and have a great week.
K.
Not trading advice.
Bitcoin (BTC): We Reaching Our Target Zone | $70-73K Bitcoin is doing some crazy moves, liquidating a lot of people from markets. We've been hunting the $70-73K zone since being in the $105K area and now we are reaching our targeted zone where we initially wanted to start buying BUT we might not.
With the current economical situation and overall markets, we are seeing that this dip might not be the last one. Sure, this is one good place to start DCA-ing the positions but overall we need to watch and monitor how traders will act near that $70-73K area so eyes wide open this week!!
Swallow Academy
CAD/JPY breakDown trend line 1h analysis chartBased on your CAD/JPY chart analysis, here are key levels I can identify:
Entry Point:
A sell entry seems valid after a break below 104.656, confirming bearish momentum.
Stop Loss (SL105.900):
Place SL above the recent highs, likely around 105.900 , depending on your risk tolerance.
Take Profit (TP) / Target Zones:
First Support Zone: 103.500
Second Support Zone: 102.800
Final Target: 102.000 (as indicated by the large red arrow)
Support & Resistance Zones:
Major Resistance: 104.800 - 105.000
First Support: 103.500
Second Support: 102.800
Key Demand Zone: 102.000
This setup follows a breakout-retest strategy before continuation to the downside. Let me know if you need refinements!
Heading into pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.4389
1st Support: 1.3951
1st Resistance: 1.4505
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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EURUSD:Focus on the upper resistance and short at highsRegarding the EUR/USD pair, the price of the EUR/USD generally declined as expected last Friday. On that day, the price dropped to a minimum of 1.0924, rose to a maximum of 1.1107, and closed at 1.0961. Looking back at the performance of the EUR/USD market last Friday, after the morning opening, the price initially continued to retrace upwards in the short term. Then, the price continued to decline weakly. During the European trading session, the upward movement halted when the price reached the support level on the four-hour chart. However, the price came under pressure again later and broke below the support level on the four-hour chart, eventually closing with a large bearish candlestick on the daily chart.
From the perspective of the short-term four-hour chart, the resistance in the area of 1.1000 needs to be temporarily monitored. This level is crucial for the short-term trend. When the price is below this level, it is temporarily expected to be under pressure. Subsequently, focus on the gain or loss of the support level on the daily chart. Once the price breaks below this level, then pay attention to the support areas on the monthly and weekly charts.
Trading Strategy:
sell@1.0990-1.1000
TP:1.0860-1.0780
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Gold Price ActionHey everyone!
We all saw what went down last week 👀 — now, if you’re looking for an entry, here’s a little tip: keep an eye on the breakout zones + demand zones .
To boost your confidence in the setup, use correlation pair analysis 🔗 and always drop down to a lower timeframe for cleaner entries.
Just a reminder — don’t trade blindly 🙈. Risk management is everything!
Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thanks!
Doge: Balancing Hype and RealityDogecoin is currently trading at $0.1464, reflecting a modest 0.11% increase over the past 24 hours. This slight uptick contrasts with the broader cryptocurrency market, which has declined by 4.4% in the same period, showcasing Dogecoin’s relative resilience among altcoins. However, it remains far from its all-time high of $0.7376 (reached in May 2021). Some users point to whale accumulation as a bullish sign, while others flag bearish risks tied to macroeconomic factors, such as U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve policy shifts.
Broader Context: Dogecoin’s Unique Position
Unlike many cryptocurrencies with defined utility, Dogecoin’s value is driven largely by its meme status and vibrant community. This makes it highly reactive to social media trends and influencer endorsements, think Elon Musk or other high-profile figures. Recent chatter on the internet about whale activity suggests big players might be accumulating or offloading, which could foreshadow significant price shifts. However, its speculative nature leaves it exposed during broader market downturns, as seen in today’s risk-off environment. For Dogecoin to sustain momentum, it relies heavily on ongoing community engagement and real-world adoption, such as its use by merchants like the Dallas Mavericks.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If $0.14 support holds and $0.15 is breached with strong volume, Dogecoin could climb to $0.16 in the short term, potentially reaching $0.20 longer term if community hype or positive news (e.g., Elon Musk tweets) kicks in.
Bearish Case: A drop below $0.14 might test $0.13, with further declines to $0.10 possible if selling pressure intensifies.
Historical Patterns and What’s Next
Looking back, Dogecoin has a history of explosive rallies followed by steep corrections, its 2021 surge to $0.7376 was fueled by retail mania and celebrity hype, only to crash as momentum faded. Today’s price action at $0.1464 feels more subdued, but the potential for a breakout (or breakdown) remains. If whale accumulation continues and sentiment flips bullish, a revisit to $0.20 or higher isn’t out of the question. On the flip side, a broader crypto sell-off could push it toward $0.08 support. Patience is key, wait for confirmation via volume or a catalyst before jumping in.
USDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 146.391.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 150.489 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTC/USDT Strange market movements Price is slowly returning to make a bounce or possible fakeout on the last HH level on Weekly TF. since the smaller TF's are showing very ugly charts we always have to remember to check back on higher TFs to see the bigger picture and story. possibility for a big move and buy movement for BTC or possible sell continuation. if the price drops bellow 60k, its pretty possible it will go to 50k but never predict. Follow up, check daily and move with the market. Be carefull dont let FOMO control you and make decision you will later regret. Good luck trading everyone!
gold The plunge exceeded 100 points,The bearish trend is crazy!This week brings new trading opportunities, as well as new market opportunities. Nowadays, the market fluctuates greatly every day. Being a short-term trade means high frequency, fast in and fast out. As long as you do these well, you can make money in short-term trading. Don't be greedy for more. The most important thing in trading is stability. Going fast is not as good as going steadily. Do a good job in daily trading. If you can get two or three waves of profits, it will be enough for you. If you do not have the ability to flexibly respond to the market during trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading thinking and rhythm to the market rhythm in a timely manner, you can contact me and let us pursue more profits flexibly and stably in the volatile market!
The K-line of the Golden Week closed at a medium-sized Yin high with a long upper shadow. forming a top heavy-volume adjustment in the short term. The daily negative adjustment engulfed the previous rising space. In terms of form, there is still room for adjustment this week, which can be continued to 2972 and 2956, while the top touches 3168 to explore the high and fall back pattern. , there is a high probability of forming a short-term high, but whether the trend will change needs to be further observed. Beware of weekly negative singles without consecutive negatives. The short-term pressure remains at 3058 and 3076. It will bottom out at the opening and rebound. First look at the strength of the rebound. At the top, focus on the pressure of 3055 first, and then look at 3076 if it breaks. Do not blindly chase shorts. Don't blindly chase the short position.
Operation suggestion: Gold is short near 3070-75, stop loss at 3080, and look at 3055 and 3020; if it is weak, pay attention to the 3055 pressure to short!
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS , KL - Order Block, Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
USOIL - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of WTI Crude Oil (U.S. Oil) with you.
Looking at the WTI Crude Oil chart, we are currently in a 6-month price range, and right now, we're at the lower boundary of this range. I have two scenarios for oil:
Bullish Scenario: We might see a price increase from here towards 85.30 on the higher timeframes.
Bearish Scenario: If we close below 61.70 on the monthly timeframe, I expect a significant decline in price towards 41.62.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price may rise to 85.30.
Bearish Scenario: If price closes below 61.70, expect a decline to 41.62.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 61.70
Resistance: 85.30
💬 What are your thoughts on WTI Crude Oil this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe