MARKETS NOT OVERSOLD CAUTION!While only 36% of stocks are over the 20-day MA, they are nowhere near oversold conditions. As such, there is still room for the downside.
While this indicator is only suitable for short-term trading, tomorrow new making event could push markets way lower.
While I would not suggest trading news events. I know some do, as such bottom picking is not advisable.
CAUTION!
Trend Analysis
IDEA FOR GBP/USD NEXT WEEKGBP/USD 1H - Now that we have seen price trade us up and into the Supply Zone above, this may encourage price to take a move back to the downside, given enough Supply has been introduced.
I would like to see price now trade us back up and into the Order Block that has been left behind, just to clear any remaining orders to the upside before the down move. In order for us to enter we want further confirmation.
This will come from price trading up and into the Supply Zone marked out, breaking structure fractally as displayed above. This would confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next impulse taking us lower.
Once we have this, we can then begin looking for areas to enter in short on this market. I will want to see price pullback a final time more fractally to give us the opportunity to enter, and illustration of this can be seen above.
XAU/USD 30 MIN pairMy trading gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute chart with a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern and an active sell entry at 3030. Here's your setup:
Resistance: 3138
Sell Entry: 3030 (confirmed active)
Targets:
Target 1: 3080
Target 2: 3050
Observations:
1. Bearish Confirmation: A Head & Shoulders pattern suggests a downside move if the neckline is broken.
2. Stop-Loss Consideration: You might want to place a stop-loss above resistance (3138) or just above the right shoulder for risk management.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure your risk-to-reward ratio is favorable before committing fully to the trade.
Let me know if you need further refinements or chart analysis!
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, as soon as the gold market opened, it rose strongly, and the price soared rapidly, once again hitting a new high of $3,167. After that, the market entered a volatile downward channel. During the noon period, there was even a sharp decline, dropping to $3,054 at one point, with a daily decline of 3.7%. However, the market trend was highly dramatic. Subsequently, the price rebounded and rose rapidly, and it maintained a consolidation trend near $3,110 at the end of the trading session.
In this rapidly fluctuating market, both bulls and bears are trying to find the best entry opportunity. But the market changes are too crazy and rapid, and investors are often ruthlessly harvested by the market time and time again before they even have a chance to react.
Today, based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, the key support level of $3,100 remains valid. We continue to maintain a bullish view and expect that there is still room for the gold price to rise, and it is likely to continue the upward trend.
XAU/USD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
SL:3085
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Trade War PerspectiveSure, tune in to your favorite youtube finance doomer or the news, and it will sound like the end of the world has arrived.
I personally feel like this tariff crisis is cover to air out all the dirty laundry that's been hidden the last few years. The AI bubble, the stimmy repayment, the imaginary gold, the "forgot how to grow economy" (credit that last one to Eurodollar University), etc etc.
Take a look at this chart. If this is "the end" we have BARELY begun the descent. These types of corrections happen routinely. The point is, don't panic. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY and don't get emotional.
Good luck out there. Don't get flushed down the tariff toilet.
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.123 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming
The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range.
The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures.
Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline.
Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74
Support levels: 104.525, 103.56
There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market.
The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall
Regards R. Linda!
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3953
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.3743
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4169
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3130.2
Sl - 3142.3
Tp - 3109.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBP/AUD Prepares for a major correction? The current technical situation of the GBP/AUD peaks the eye of the bears on the weekly chart
From a technical perspective we have 2 factors that that provide interest to the sellers
- a full Elliot wave sequence is in the process of completion with the 5th wave at terminal status, even tough this might move higher, but...
-i believe this is potential tipping point , considering the price action hasn't visited this area since march 2020 (and considering the amount of rejection it faced back then, there is a chance this might happen again
If the correction plays out we could possibly see some down moves all the way to psychological level of 2.000
Even if your not a weekly trader, keeping this information in mind might help with future trades on the pair on the down side , just remember to take risks into consideration
- Always make your own analysis before taking a financial decision
- Risk/Reward ratio is your friend
This is not financial advice !
Amazon UpdatePrice made yet another new low since my last post. However, we have some nice pos div at this time and MACD appears to be bouncing off of the trend line. Either way, I do believe that minor A wave will be complete soon and minor B will kick off. Minor B should ideally take us back up to the $220 area. Remember, bottoming is an event while topping is a process.
Gold is in the Bullish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
COPPER The 1D MA50 is the key.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) was on January 24 (see chart below) giving a buy signal that easily hit our 4.6550 Target:
This time the market is in front of a critical moment. The 2025 pattern has been a Channel Up, which last Wednesday reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. As long as the 2025 pattern holds, the recent pull-back is a buy opportunity targeting 5.3745.
If the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks however, we expect a quick dive, rebound re-test and rejection, similar to July 05 2024. In that case, we will target the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up at 4.150.
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A high probability short setup on GER40! Hello traders,
GER40 is flashing a prime shorting opportunity! On the higher timeframe, the index has formed a double top, a classic reversal pattern. The setup has been confirmed with a decisive neckline break, signaling strong bearish momentum.
I'm watching for a slight pullback to the neckline, where I'll be looking to enter short positions. My initial target is 21,637, with an extended move down to 21,112 if sellers maintain control.
Stay tuned for updates, and if you find this analysis valuable, give it a boost! Let’s catch this move together. 🚀🔥
Silver H4 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.69 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 34.02 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
When will gold's continued highs peak?In terms of the short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 line of support.
Operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold around 3127-3130, stop loss 3140, target around 3115-3105, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Go long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near the pullback of gold around 3100-3102, stop loss 3090, target around 3120-3128, and look at the 3140 line if it breaks;
Is the trend of gold rising sharply or falling sharply? In the short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position, and the upper resistance is around 3150. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback.
Strategy:
It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish fall from 50% FiboBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3143, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3048, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3206, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Cable Is Trading Impulsively HigherCable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three.
In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as expected, but it can target 1.32, so be aware of a new red higher degree wave (4) correction before the bullish trend for wave (5) resumes. Ideal support is at 1.29 – 1.28 area.