XAUUSD in on falling wedge Market is on bearish selling cycle after break of 2880 structural support, as we we had mentioned in our previous commantary and our 3 trades got impressive results.
What scanario we have?
▪️ currently on Shoter timeframe we have 2860 support to be break after it market with test 2852 D1 support ,if market invalidated the 2854-2852 area then will have liquidity sweep towards 2835 in first attempt and 2820 in extension.
▪️Furthermore, buying is limited if market remains below 2880.
Additionally we have holding our sell trades.
On longer period kindly read the previous commantary.
Trend Analysis
GBPUSDin gbpusd scene 1 is for sell trade its for enough liquid cover by market so i expect scene 1 create there is high chance for sell by tier 1 so i expect sell trade but today is monday so probably scene 2 too create in market but there is 20% chance for scene 2 and scene 1 create by market has 80% chance so, i recommend scene 1.
Not So Fast, Bitcoin – A Dip Before the Next RallyBitcoin is facing strong resistance at $94,000, making a short-term retracement to $82,000 increasingly likely. A realistic scenario would involve a rebound from GETTEX:82K , forming a W-shaped double bottom that could serve as a foundation for renewed bullish momentum—though this remains speculative.
TSLA at a Major Turning Point! Key Reversal or Breakdown? Mar.3📊 Technical Analysis (TA) for TSLA
* Current Price Action: TSLA is recovering from a downtrend and has entered a reversal zone, breaking out of a descending channel. However, it's facing strong resistance near $298-$300.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance 1: $298-$300 (Volume Profile POC) – A critical area where sellers may step in.
* Resistance 2: $310 (3rd Call Wall) – Breaking above this could trigger a gamma squeeze.
* Major Resistance: $320-$337 – Strong rejection expected if price reaches this level.
* Support 1: $290 (Volume Value Area Low - VAL) – A pullback could test this before another move up.
* Support 2: $280 (Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support) – A breakdown below this level could accelerate selling.
* Breakdown Level: $273 – Losing this level could send TSLA toward $250.
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, suggesting momentum may continue upward.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought near 96, signaling a potential pullback before another move.
🔎 Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure) Key Levels:
* 80.77% Call Resistance at $310 → Breaking above could fuel upside momentum.
* 67.72% 2nd Call Wall at $350 → Strong gamma resistance, unlikely to break in the short term.
* Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support at $280 → If TSLA stays above, dealers will hedge bullishly.
* 3rd Put Wall at $273 → A breakdown here could lead to increased downside volatility.
* 2nd Put Wall at $250 → Below this, expect a sharp sell-off.
📌 IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 72.8 → High implied volatility, options are expensive.
* IVx Avg: 84.3 → Elevated, indicating large expected price swings.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 33.8% → Some bullish bias but not extreme.
📈 Trade Scenarios & Strategy
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $300 with strong volume.
* Target: $310, then $320.
* Stop Loss: Below $290.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown):
* Entry: Below $290.
* Target: $280 or $273.
* Stop Loss: Above $300.
🔥 Final Thoughts & Suggestion
* TSLA is testing a key reversal zone. A breakout above $300-$310 could push it toward $320+.
* If it fails to hold $290, expect a retest of $280-$273, which is a major support zone.
* Volume and options flow will be key – if gamma levels start unwinding, expect volatility to spike!
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
NEW WEEK TARGET XAUUSD MARKETXAUUSD MARKET CURRENTLY on 2856 according to time frame H4 and my analysis on new week market is bullish trend support level 2836 resistance level 2959 MY TARGET IS 2865 KEEP SUPORT MY CHART
SUPPORT LEVEL .. 2836 If market break the support level then market go on 2800
MY TARGET ... 2865 if market keep go on my target then its go on in 2900 zone
BTC/USDT weekly chart displays an important pattern. Current Price Action: Bitcoin is trading around $92,766.71, a notable position just below the recent highs.
Resistance Area: A clear resistance level is represented by the horizontal line near $100,000. This level has proven difficult to break, and price action will soon determine if it can reclaim this area.
Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart shows a potential cup and handle formation, which could indicate bullish sentiment if the price breaks above resistance. This pattern has a rounded bottom formed in early 2022 and late 2023.
Volume Analysis: It is important to analyze volume alongside price moves. A breakout above resistance will ideally be supported by high volume to confirm strength.
Potential Support Level: If the price pulls back, the green highlighted area provides support, which traders could view as a buying opportunity.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
XAUUSD 2/3/25For this week’s gold chart, we’ve seen a shift in bias, which was unexpected given our strong bullish outlook over the past few months. This could be a temporary pullback, but we will follow it nonetheless. We’re watching the highs for selling pressure—if it appears, we’ll look to sell down to the newly established low we’ve marked as our target.
Gold remains predominantly bullish, and price action tends to move counter to expectations with low pressure, so a return to bullish momentum is likely. However, unless Orion shifts its bias, we will follow the bearish move, potentially into new lows.
Stick to your plan and always follow Orion.
APT/USDT : Next Stop $20?BINANCE:APTUSDT
"In the weekly timeframe, the price is at a bottom and has shown a positive reaction. Considering the current conditions of Bitcoin and Ethereum—especially Ethereum, which has had a significant drop and is now at strong support—I believe this Symbol has strong potential for a substantial upward move. My price target, based on liquidity above key highs, is over $20."
QQQ - The Warning-Line Scenario For A ShortIt's simple a s that:
If price can't make it back into the Fork, then it's doomed to reach at least the Warning-Line.
This scenario likely happens if the current weeks bar close below the Warning line, and the open of the new Bar is also outside of the Fork.
Happy Short §8-)
Closing my Selling order with ProfitAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: "My position: My Selling order has been closed automatically (#2,892.80 - #2,872.80) with Take Profit hit and left me without any orders. As Gold delivered decline in continuation throughout Asian session, I have missed #2,872.80 - #2,852.80 benchmark extension (currently #3-Week Low's test) however I don't mind since my returns for current weeks are excellent. I have stated potential of #2,892.80 - #2,900.80 Support now turned to Resistance zone, as long as it preserves Selling bias and reverses each Bullish reversal, Price-action within or below is Bearish. Keep in mind that as long as we Trade below the mentioned zone, #2,852.80 benchmark break-out has more chances to be delivered rather than #2,900.80 benchmark. Keep Selling every High's on Gold with #2,900.80 Top's however if #2,852.80 benchmark gives away, #2,827.80 is next contact point to monitor."
I have closed my Selling order (#2,852.80 - #2,835.80) throughout Friday's session delivering fine #17-point Profit, extending my results range to #142 Profits and #24 Stop-hits regarding December #2023 - March #2025.
Quick update: Gold is Trading within Neutral waters and it is question now which side will prevail. I am in excellent position currently, Highly satisfied with my Profits without urge to Risk more on ranging market. Either #2,892.80 - #2,900.80 gets tested, or #2,852.80 benchmark. If Resistance zone rejects the Price-action, I will Sell Gold there on spot Targeting #2,852.80 benchmark once again. If however #2,900.80 gets invalidated, Short-term Bullish bias is restored.
Ethereum Update (1D)We previously analyzed Ethereum and identified the support range at $1750 to $1650. We still consider this area as the support level. However, considering the strength of the bearish waves and the liquidity pools visible on the chart, the price can potentially move towards the specified targets from Demand Zone 1.
After reaching these targets, the price may turn bearish again.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
SPX: break of long term trend-lineThe game of nerves could be one of descriptions of developments on the US equity markets during the previous week. It was a heavy week due to a significant drop in the value of the S&P 500 but also other US equity indexes. The index declined about 1% during the previous week, and 1,4% since the beginning of February. Friday brought back significant buyers, where the index managed to end the week at the level of 5.954. The lowest weekly level was at 5.840.
Tech companies were trying to hold, however, the majority ended February in a negative territory. Tesla is one of the most hit companies, with a weekly loss of around 16%. Analysts are noting that this represents the highest weekly loss of TSLA since December 2022. Other large companies also had significant drop, where Nvidia lost around 10%, while Palantir was down by around 19%, after recently reaching the historically highest level. On the other hand, companies within the financial sector performed in a positive manner, rising 1,3% for the week.
When looking at the daily chart of S&P 500, the major support line was clearly breached. This line connects historical lows from October 2023, August 2024 and January 2025. It has been clearly breached on Thursday, however, Friday trading session brought the index back toward this line, but this time from the down side. Whether Friday's positive sentiment will continue is to be seen on Monday. For the moment the US equity market is under strong influence of geopolitical topics and potential trade tariffs. In addition, it should be considered that NFP data will be published in a week ahead, which might influence some higher volatility.
GBP/USD Kicking Off March 2025 and Ending Q1Monthly View:
The February monthly candle closed bullish, remaining within the Buy Side Imbalance (BISI) formed in November, which is still being respected.
Liquidity was swept in January, indicating that price is still being magnetized towards the imbalance and the level of 1.2800.
I anticipate that price might trade below the monthly close before making an upward move.
Weekly View:
The weekly candle closed bearish and tapped into a weekly BISI at 1.2560, where a reaction could occur.
My main focus is on the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 1.2550, which could act as the final support before targeting 1.2700 and possibly higher.
Note that after recent meetings, the dollar strengthened, causing price to drop and leaving behind a daily sell-side inefficiency. I would like to see price fill this inefficiency before taking out liquidity at 1.2550 and 1.2800.
Daily View:
The daily FVG at 1.2550 is crucial and could be the final support level before targeting 1.2700 and potentially higher.
4-Hour View:
There is a bearish FVG and liquidity at 1.2645, which might influence price movements.
1-Hour View:
The 1-hour chart is heavily bearish and currently in a Sell Side Imbalance (SISI) that might drive the price lower at the open.
I expect price to potentially take out 1.2550 and find support at 1.2530 before heading upwards.
Keep an eye on upcoming news this week including nfp
Key Levels to Watch:
1.2800 (monthly target)
1.2560 (weekly BISI)
1.2550 (daily FVG and potential support)
1.2645 (4-hour bearish FVG and liquidity)
1.2550 and 1.2530 (1-hour support levels)
BITCOINTHE structure of bitcoin shows a potential downswing and discount coming ,it might be below 60kafter seeing that buy momentum cant break the 86k-87k zone which happens to be a 4hr broken demand floor now a supply roof . we need to monitor the structure and play along the market markers, they are taking profit pls don't go against them.