USDJPY NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown:
The analysis assumes that the price will respect the support level and bounce back up. However, if the support at around 149.000 is broken, we might see a further decline rather than a bullish reversal.
2. False Breakout at Resistance:
The target suggests a move toward 151.000 resistance. However, price might fail to break above resistance and reverse back down, trapping buyers in a bull trap.
3. Sideways Movement (Consolidation):
The price may not follow the expected movement and could enter a range-bound phase, moving sideways between support and resistance.
4. Fundamental Factors:
Unexpected economic news, central bank intervention, or geopolitical events could disrupt the technical setup, leading to an outcome that does not follow the projected path.
Trend Analysis
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 83,509.64
1st Support: 81,260.77
1st Resistance: 88,031.16
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USDZAR-SELL strategy 9 hourly chart GANN SQThe pair trades in a very wide range, and my yesterday's ideas.. painted a lower price expectation, and this was not the case. The main issue is, we are within a very large regression channel range, and not seen here, we are at the top end of this now and even beyond it. Same as with the GANN SQ 18.4200 - 18.5300 is the current range, and lower down 18.1600 area. Needless to say, if we break convincingly 18.5300 the next target is 18.7300. For now, we are overbought (not extreme), and GOLD is lower, which also helped the pair moving higher, plus the news from SA yesterday.
We are above CLOUD support as well, adding to the BUYING mode as well.
Strategy SELL @ 18.4900-18.5300 and take profit near 18.3750 for now. If we break beyond 18.5300 would not make it a BUY per se, but a chance to SELL higher up with a more extreme overbought state, would be my strategy.
ETHEREUM Huge bullish divergence targets $4000Ethereum / ETHUSD formed a Double Bottom while the 1day RSI was on a Rising Support.
This is a similar bottom formation like the September 6th 2024 Double Bottom.
Technically once the Falling Resistance breaks, the new bullish wave begins.
Target the bottom of the Resistance Zone at $4000.
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EUR/USD Retracement (and maybe more)Hey traders!
So as promised friday here's a breakdown for the week ahead for EURUSD and how I see things going forward.
First let's recap what happened on the larger timeframe: Daily:
Few things to note:
- The Weekly is in a downtrend since last year (and monthly for even longer)
- There has not been a single proper retracement until now as we finally did retrace almost to the 79%
That can mean two things: either we're gonna keep pushing up to make new highs as price reversed , or we're most likely done with the retracement and will push lower to target possibly the parity (remember all the talk after trump's election about heading straight to parity? we just broke above the election price level and diving back down at the moment) for new lows and and old important gap left below parity (but let's not get ahead of ourselves).
In both cases we can play a short position on EURUSD: If we're gonna make new highs, we'll probably get a pullback after the massive push up from march.. And if we're gonna make new lows then shorting is very obvious.
Why going short now? Simple answer: all the timeframes turned bearish this week, with the daily finally breaking the bullish structure on thursday's close (and more decisively on friday), while the 4h finally turned bearish on thursday as well (again if barely, but clearly on friday).
Since we want to trade with the trend, it makes no sense currently to take any long position until the situation change (which would be a break of this week's high)
To support the idea we can also look at the RSI's divergences, which appears on every timeframe but more importantly on the Daily recently and the 4H one which made a very respected trendline, only broken in what seems to be a fakeout when it made the last new high just to fall back in line afterwards (last liquidity grab)
Now about the entry to go short.
It's been a really tough week and with no clear easy entry on the 4+H timeframe imo, but while we had a good retracement on tuesday (while the trend was still up though), we didn't get any since then, which might give us an opportunity this week (unless it decides to dump real hard like it pumped real hard on the way up).
We have one very important level (currently, but it might change if price just keep going down, I'll try to update this page until we get the actual entry) at the 79%ish retracement level.
That's around where we have a big 4h gap that could get mitigated for the most ideal entry with the highest risk/reward ratio (around the 1.0885 level) with a stoploss around 1.093 for the safest location (there is a 4h gap there and while I think the retracement there was deep enough, it's a possibility that we'll be efficient enough to close this), or the 1.0918 level that should be safe.
That would be the ideal most efficient case, which is not necessarely the most likely, especially if we open going down on monday. Also I don't have the new pivots for the week since the markets are still close at the time of writing, I'll update that tomorrow if I have the time)
In the case it does pullback for a retracement, I would think 1.0873 is a more realistic target for a deep retracement, at a good support/resistance zone, which I believe to be still quite deep.
Monday has some news (unlike friday which reflects in the terrible volume and awkward movements despite being the quadruple witching day) so we might get those deep movement happening, on the news maybe even, in which case you'll have to be quick and nimble to catch the move, just prepare and be ready, do not react on impulse while seeing big candles and big movements.
How about the targets?
Like I mentioned we could be aiming for new lows on the pair.. or we might just be in a pullback on the daily, in which case we should be targeting the low hanging fruit that fits both narrative (and still grants a huge amount of pips)
And that would be the daily golden zone retracement at a very big support/resistance over the years (and in recent weeks) at around 1.053
That level should see reaction no matter what the case is and getting out of a short at that level should be great since we could still re enter short higher on a reaction if the market gives us the signal.
And if this was just a retracement to go higher then you would most likely exit at around the lows, if not THE low.
Of course we'll have to see how the market reacts etc at those levels when the time comes.
But there you have all my thoughts and intention for the weeks ahead, I wrote enough for you to understand the thoughts behind it, I didn't write all the technical details with the RSI etc but you can make it up from the screenshots etc I believe as it's been a long post already.
Here's what the big trade could be with more than 300pips to grab on the way down.
At the time of writing it's hard to place an exact entry as it could be decided either with the RSI or lower than expected if the price dives further before retracing.
But you have the big picture and you can go from there.
I'll be posting in the mind section this week as usual to update in a more reactive way, but if you set alerts at all the levels mentioned you shouldn't have to be staring at the screen for no reason!
Get plenty of rest, it's probably gonna be an eventful week with a lot of movement and possibly lots of big news (ukraine war, tariff approaching on the 2nd april etc etc)
Doge again opportunitySo hello guys welcome to everyone. Before sharing my Idea I I am telling please if you know about the money management then you can investment on your risk but please research on your risk here I am sharing about the market trend structure and behaviour so let's talk about what happen here.
Already market previous momentum is bullish and major level so far so again market move to the major level so here I drawn buyer supportive train line and minor seller supportive trend line seller's supportive telling break so most chances to market again control by the buyer
Dogecoin/Tether (DOGE/USDT) Long-Term Bullish BreakoutThis analysis of the Dogecoin/Tether (DOGE/USDT) weekly chart on Binance reveals a breakout from a multi-year descending triangle, confirmed by a surge above the Ichimoku Cloud resistance and a rising RSI. The price, currently at $0.17323, shows strong bullish momentum. I predict a potential climb to $1 by mid-2025, with a possible pullback to test support at $0.4 before resuming the upward trend, driven by technical strength and market sentiment.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial, investment, or legal advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions
SEI/USDT:BUY LIMITHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, the price has been able to create higher ceilings and floors.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
DOTUSD: There is no better buy entry than this.Polkadot has been inside a huge Rectangle pattern since the October 19th 2023 Low that created the S1 Zone, a wide consolidation pattern whose top is the R1 Zone. The 1D RSI is already on a HL bullish divergence, identical to both prior bottom formations on the S1 Zone. Since the 1D MA50 has already been breached, we estimate that the price will start the new bullish wave soon. There is no better buy entry than the current level. Aim for the bottom of the R1 Zone (TP = 11.500).
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TIA | Next Altcoin to MOON ??In the macro, it's clear that TIA has been in a downward trend for an extended period of time. This means, it's a great place to buy - because the bullish cycle is up next.
In an earlier publication, I made an update about the ideal entry point for TIA:
A key indicator to watch is the daily timeframe, when the price begins to trade ABOVE the moving averages - that's when you'll have the first confirmation of a bullish turn around. It is a bullish sign to see the gradual higher lows.
Moving Averages:
Using The CRADLE Pattern To Time/Execute TradesThis simple video highlights one of my newest pattern definitions - the Cradle Pattern.
In addition to the many other patterns my technology identified, this Cradle Pattern seems to be a constant type of price construct.
I'm sharing it with all of you so you can learn how to identify it and use it for your trading.
Ideally, this pattern represents FLAGGING after a trend phase.
It is a consolidation of price within a flag after a broad trending phase.
It usually resolves in the direction of the major trend, but can present a very solid reversal trigger if the upper/lower pullback range is broken (see the examples in this video).
Learn it. Use it.
Price is the ultimate indicator.
Learn to read price data more efficiently to become a better trader.
Get some.
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This is the biggest bearish divergence I have seen in my lifeBeen forming for a few months now. We don't know if it is going to play out soon but the macd valleys make it very clear.
My assumption is that we are going to fill the candle wick left weeks ago and then going down to a stable level.
I don't think it will start an altseason as there is still plenty of room and time for BTC to rise and when Dad is doing its thing you know the children can't go out and play
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes Fresh GainsMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes Fresh Gains
GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2900 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is eyeing more gains above the 1.2970 resistance.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2935 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above the 1.2870 level. The British Pound started a steady increase above the 1.2900 resistance zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2972 swing high to the 1.2879 low. The pair is now consolidating near the 1.2925 zone and the 1.2420 level and the 50-hour simple moving average.
If there is another decline, the pair could find support near the 1.2900 level. The first major support sits near the 1.2880 zone. The next major support is 1.2870.
If there is a break below 1.2870, the pair could extend the decline. The next key support is near the 1.2820 level. Any more losses might call for a test of the 1.2800 support.
Conversely, the bulls might aim for more gains. The RSI moved above the 50 level on the GBP/USD chart and the pair is now approaching a major hurdle at 1.2935 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2972 swing high to the 1.2879 low.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2935. An upside break above the 1.2935 zone could send the pair toward 1.2970. Any more gains might open the doors for a test of 1.2995.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold's upper resistance appears, trend analysisGold has recently shown a strong upward offensive, and the daily line has been rising continuously, showing an upward trend. What gold needs to pay attention to is that the end of the rising market is not determined by the high point, but by the breaking of the key support level. The current upper resistance is at 3148-3152, and the lower support is at 3122-3117. It is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and low and long as the auxiliary.
Gold strategy:
long at 3127/28, stop loss at 3120, target 3140-3145; if 3145 is not broken, short on rallies and then look back to around 3130-28.
Bitcoin will reach $180,000 this yearBitcoin’s trajectory is unstoppable—analysts are calling for a climb to $180,000, fueled by institutional adoption, limited supply, and global economic uncertainty. With halving cycles tightening the squeeze and mainstream acceptance soaring, BTC isn’t just a store of value—it’s the financial revolution we’ve been waiting for. Buckle up, the bull run’s coming.
GBP/USD: Tariffs & Retail Shift the ScalesThe GBP/USD slightly rose to 1.2965 during the Asian trading session on Monday this week, with an increase of 0.21%. The US dollar failed to make an effective rebound amidst several consecutive days of downward pressure.
US President Donald Trump announced the imposition of a 25% tariff on imported automobiles and light trucks, and this measure will come into effect on April 3rd. The market is concerned that this measure may drive up inflation and dampen economic growth, thus dragging down the US dollar and causing it to weaken. Trump's trade policies may also limit the room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, further pressuring the US dollar. On the other hand, the UK's retail sales data for February exceeded market expectations, further boosting the British pound. The data shows that the UK's retail sales in February increased by 1.0% month-on-month, surpassing the market's expected decline of 0.3%. This data indicates that despite the uncertainties faced by the UK economy, consumer demand remains strong, supporting the rise of the British pound.
From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD maintains an upward momentum in the short term and is currently approaching the level of 1.2965. If it breaks through this key level, it may further test the psychological barrier of 1.3000. With the weakness of the US dollar, the British pound is likely to continue to rise and challenge higher levels.
GPBUSD
buy@1.28800-1.29300
tp:1.29600-1.30000
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Regional shocks, friends holding positions should pay attention!Technical analysis of gold: Gold first rose and then fell, but the subsequent rebound was indeed quite strong, exceeding our expectations. Gold fell into a large range of fluctuations, which added a certain degree of difficulty to the operation. Although gold rebounded beyond expectations, it still did not break through today's high point, so it is still under pressure in the range of the head and shoulders top pattern. At most, it is still a shock, and there is no need to think about whether it will rise sharply.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and the 1-hour gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it is pulled back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there are also important events. So gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out of a new round of direction. If gold does not break through the intraday high, we will continue to focus on high altitude. Retracement is supplemented by long positions.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to 3130-3035, stop loss at 3140, target 3120-3110; long gold when it falls back to 3110-3100, target 3120-3130.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
LINK: Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1 Chainlink is trading in Phase E of Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1. The Golden Window (0.618-0.786) has caught both LPS (Last Point of Supply) for Chainlink. Here are the price targets when Chainlink breaks out of the accumulation schematic:
Bear Case: $59.09 (1.618 fib)
Base Case: $92.82 - $131.31 (1.236 -1.382 fib)
Bull Case: $230.02 - $342.85 (1.618 - 1.786 fib)
Short Term: The price of Chainlink may trade and weave up/down the white Wyckoff demand trendline (Drawn from connecting SPRING and TEST)
Stay strong Link Marines.
S.N. = S.N.