Trend Analysis
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Selling Pressure Continues Within the Descending Channel
The EUR/USD pair remains in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, with sellers maintaining control while buyers struggle to break key resistance levels. Below is a detailed analysis of the pair's recent performance:
Overall Market Trend
The prevailing trend for EUR/USD is bearish, as the price continues to move within a well-defined descending channel. Multiple attempts to break above the upper boundary of this channel have failed, indicating strong resistance from sellers.
Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
The primary resistance is located at 1.0449, which has consistently rejected upward movements. A breakout above this level may signal a potential shift in momentum.
Support Levels:
The major support lies at 1.0331. If this level is breached, the price is likely to move lower within the channel, further reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Technical Indicators
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price remains below the Kumo Cloud, signaling continued selling pressure and a strong bearish trend. The absence of significant support near the current price suggests a higher probability of further declines.
Bollinger Bands:
The price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, reflecting short-term selling pressure. However, if the market enters oversold territory, a temporary rebound may occur.
Moving Averages:
The 50-period moving average (blue line) acts as a dynamic resistance, consistently rejecting any bullish attempts and confirming the bearish trend.
Possible Scenarios
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the support level at 1.0331, further downside movement is expected, potentially attracting more sellers into the market.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above the resistance at 1.0449 could lead to a move toward higher levels within the channel, with a potential test of the descending trendline. However, this would require strong buying momentum and a shift in current market conditions.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair remains under selling pressure, with the downtrend likely to persist in the short term. A breakdown below the key support at 1.0331 could accelerate the bearish move, while a sustained breakout above 1.0449 may signal a potential reversal. Traders should exercise caution, especially given the reduced trading volume and market activity during the Christmas holidays, which could lead to lower volatility and fewer trading opportunities.
Lingrid | BITCOIN End-of-Year Market CORRECTION PhaseThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT has dropped below the key level of 100,000, and the market is now moving sideways below this point. We might see some shakeouts in the market. It's possible that the sideways trend could continue until the middle of January next year. Currently, the price is slowly approaching the support level at 90,000, where it has bounced back several times before. I think the market may dip below this level to take liquidity before rising to higher levels. I expect a rebound from the support zone between 85,000 and 88,000. My goal is resistance zoen around 105,900
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
TOTAL is super bullish (1W)TOTAL also appears to have completed a large triangle and entered a bullish phase from the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart.
The structure of this bullish phase is not yet clear, but it is evident that only the first wave of the bullish phase has been completed.
Currently, the price is in the second corrective wave, which will likely conclude in the coming weeks. Afterward, TOTAL is expected to enter the third wave, which is a bullish wave.
We have identified the upcoming targets for TOTAL.
In this corrective wave we are currently in, the market will experience pumps and dumps aimed at liquidity hunting, so you should be cautious with your futures positions.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
SOLANA LONGHi this time iam long for this levels.
The price is out of the channel and already have CHOCH so we waiting for the LL that is at 177-165.
The last bolt yellow line is the last reverse support form previus high at 30jul 24 (a) to 27Okt24 (b) before rally last starts.
The major support line is the little yellow line at 163$ and is represent the pivot line that represend the picks (6 picks!) of accumulation phase of Apr-Nov 24
Entry1 177$
Enrty2 163$
Stop 153.3$
Target1 195$
Target2 210$
EOS has more bearishness than bullishnessChart looks almost same as Algo or Atom but if you look closer there is more weaknesses on EOS.
On 1W timeframe you can see that price found strong resistance at 2 year resistance level. RSI moved above 70 but couldn't find any support there and dropped back to 50. Dropping below RSI 50 will lead to huge price drop.
There is bullish divergence on 1-2W RSI however price made lower-low. If price will create a higher low in coming weeks then it could make another attempt to break this 1.2$ resistance. But i feel that it will move how i drew it.
Fantom (FTM) Poised for a Critical Move: Are You Ready for This?Yello, traders! Have you been tracking Fantom's recent price action? It’s make-or-break time for FTM as it clings to crucial support zones this setup could define its trajectory for weeks to come. Let’s dive into the details.
💎#Fantom (FTM) has been respecting a critical ascending trendline for months, and the current price action suggests that the $0.741–$0.7906 range is a vital support zone. This level has repeatedly acted as a launchpad for bullish momentum, and any failure to hold here could lead to a deeper retracement, potentially toward the $0.5237–$0.5574 region. On the other hand, if bulls step in and defend this level convincingly, we could see #FTM push back toward its next major resistance at $1.10–$1.20.
💎Breaking above this resistance would be a significant bullish signal, opening the door to a rally toward $1.50 and possibly as high as $2.00 in the coming weeks. However, hesitation in the market is evident, as trading volumes remain muted, suggesting that both bulls and bears are waiting for confirmation of the next major move.
💎The RSI currently sits near neutral levels, not yet signaling oversold conditions, but a dip below 40 would confirm bearish momentum. For now, the trendline remains intact, and the long-term structure leans bullish as long as the $0.7906 support holds. However, if sellers manage to break below this key area, the structure would shift, bringing much lower levels into play.
💎#Fantom is at a crossroads, and patience is key. The market is testing traders’ discipline right now, and emotional decisions could be costly. The best strategy is to wait for confirmation either a bounce above support or a decisive breakdown below it before taking a position.
Stay focused, trade smart, and always prioritize risk management over greed. Only those who play the game strategically will stand at the top when the dust settles. Stay sharp, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
GOLD:Will the U.S. Dollar Cap Gold Gains?Analyzing Market TrendsGold prices have seen a surge in buying activity as the week begins, aiming to build upon the recovery initiated from a one-month low reached last Thursday. Analyzing the market from a technical perspective, we've observed the price hitting our pending order level. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain bullish while commercial traders have shifted to a bearish stance over the past week. This dynamic suggests that we are anticipating a bearish continuation in gold prices despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, fears surrounding trade wars continue to create a backdrop that benefits the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, the strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) presents a contrasting scenario that could further suppress gold prices. Recently, there has been a resurgence in dip-buying within the USD, fueled by the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and rising U.S. Treasury yields. These factors are likely to impose additional constraints on gold, a non-yielding asset, limiting its upside potential. In summary, while the geopolitical landscape might support gold's appeal, the prevailing strength of the dollar could undermine any significant price increases in the near term.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels.
Current Price Levels:
NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82.
A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment.
RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery.
Technical Levels:
Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones:
Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18.
Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high).
Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance.
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move.
Feedback and Outlook:
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside.
Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds.
Gaps to Be Filled:
If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance.
Outlook:
Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29.
Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible.
Final Thoughts:
The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal.
Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
DXY Weekly analysis 24-Aug-2024Dxy is in the ascending channel in the monthly time frame
Also, at the moment, it is almost close to the bottom of the channel
As various indicators show oversold, I expect the price to bounce back from the area shown on the chart.
Otherwise, with the channel floor breaking, I expect the price to drop to the specified range
But even if the price continues to decline, we should see a pullback in this area
*Be profitable
Thank you for expressing your opinion with likes and comments
TSM: Growth and Charts Align for 15%+ Target?Hey Realistic Traders, Will NYSE:TSM Create a New All-Time High? Let’s Dive In....
TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker. Recent Earning Call reported whooping third quarter revenue of $759.69 billion, marking a YoY increase of 36.5%. The performance is beating the market forecast. Double Digit Revenue Growth is driven by demand for AI Chips especially with major client like NVIDIA & Apple and 3-nanometer &5 nanometer technology in Smartphones. TSMC Chief Financial Officer Huang Renzhao shared optimistic project for the company. TSMC expect Q4 quarterly revenue growth of approximately 13%, sligtly above the market the market expectation.
Strong AI-Related demand predicted to persist for year, inlined with the company’s perfomance and expectation. The positive sentiment support our bullish call on NVIDIA.
Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe, TSM has remained above the EMA200 line for over a year, maintaining its bullish trend. On August 5, 2024, TSM rebounded impulsively from the EMA200 line after completing an ABC correction pattern, signaling the start of a new bullish wave.
The second and fourth corrective waves have retraced to the Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.618 golden ratios, respectively, aligning with Elliott Wave rules that typically indicate further upward movement.
In addition to the Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout from a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has been identified. Such breakouts often signal the continuation of the prevailing market trend.
Therefore based on these technical analysis, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $217.85 or second target at 234.46
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 177.95
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Taiwan Semiconductor."
Ethereum (ETH): Sweet Buying Opportunity SoonEthereum is approaching the sweet buying zones (two of the yellowish zones).
With recent bearish dominance on the markets, Ethereum did a good movement to lower zones, resulting in a reset for the price.
Now we wait for the first yellow zone to be reached, where we would start to look for a long position and possibly also DCA the position!!
Swallow Team