Monster Beverage: Breakout and PullbackMonster Beverage broke out to a new all-time high in May, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 2024 high of $61.23. The maker of energy drinks hesitated at that level in early May but pulled back to hold it last week. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, MNST is trying to stabilize at its rising 50-day simple moving average. That may reflect a bullish intermediate-term trend.
Third, the most recent dip pulled stochastics into oversold territory.
Finally, bullish price action after the last two earnings reports may reflect positive sentiment.
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Trend Analysis
#USOIIL #WTI 1H📈 #USOIL 1H Buy Setup – Liquidity Sweep in Play
Crude Oil is consolidating after a sharp decline, forming a potential setup for a liquidity sweep below the current range, followed by a bullish reversal. We're anticipating a fakeout move to grab sell-side liquidity before price targets the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and premium supply zone above.
🟩 Buy Limit: 64.50 / 64.00
🎯 Targets: 70.00 → 72.00+
❌ Stop Loss: 63.00
This setup offers high risk-to-reward potential if the liquidity sweep plays out as expected. Monitor price action closely at the buy zone.
#CrudeOil #WTI #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy
XAU / USD 2 Hour Chart Hello traders. I decided to take a small Sell position marked by the red line on the chart. My stop loss is also set. I am using a micro lot size so nothing crazy in case is does not go my way. Let's see if the NY open corrects the overnight's move up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and thanks for checking out my trade.
HelenP. I Gold may retest resistance before dropping to $3230Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that after a period of sideways consolidation, gold started to form lower highs under a descending trend line. Each time the price approached this trend line, it was rejected, confirming strong bearish pressure. Most recently, XAUUSD broke below the support-turned-resistance level around 3295, entering the lower resistance zone. Now, the price is trading just under this area, which has acted as a strong supply zone in the past. Given the current technical setup, I expect that gold may show a minor upward move to retest the resistance zone between 3285 - 3295. However, this retest is likely to act as a trigger for sellers to step back in. The prevailing downtrend and repeated failures to break the trend line suggest further weakness ahead. That’s why I’ve placed my target at 3230 points - a level that aligns with the next major support on the chart. This area could provide the next bounce opportunity, but for now, the bearish structure remains dominant. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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Excellent opportunities on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly."
As I expected upside extension as per above, I have waited for #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 my local Top's for the sequence and started aggressively Selling Gold from #3,348.80 first, then #3,352.80 #4 aggressive Selling Scalps and #3,357.80 final two Scalps which I held all the way towards #3,345.80 Support for the fractal (cca #130k Profits Intra-day).
My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders.
Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key
Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked.
This one’s got me on the edge.
What’s Happening Here
We’re currently watching a move that could be either:
- A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or
- A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff
That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias.
The Line in the Sand: 152
Here’s what I’m watching for:
Key Level: 152
- That’s the bull/bear line for me.
- A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent.
- But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure.
Elliott View
This is where the paradox plays out:
If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect:
- A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy)
If it’s a Zigzag ABC:
- Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move.
The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions.
152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it.
The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp.
Your Turn
How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know.
Trade safe, trade clarity!
Fibonacci Secrets for Traders!
🔵 38.2% - Low Probability:
Not much happens here. Ignore this level.
🟠 61.8% - Good Probability:
A common level where price reacts. Watch for reversals.
🟢 78.6%-88.6% - Very Good Probability:
The “Sweet Spot” or Sell Zone – high chance of price reversing.
🟡 Manipulation:
Price might fake out around 61.8% before hitting the Sell Zone.
💡 Focus on the 78.6%-88.6% levels for the best trades, but always confirm with other tools.
Stay sharp and trade smart! 📈
#Educational
EURUSD: Short Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1775
Stop Loss - 1.1822
Take Profit - 1.1670
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURCAD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the EURCAD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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EURUSD – A Potentially Busy Day Ahead For TradersThis morning, EURUSD recorded a near 4 year high at 1.1807, the beneficiary of improving risk sentiment, uncertainty about the ECB’s next interest rate move, and concerns about what President Trump’s tax cut bill, that is progressing through the Senate currently, could mean for the sustainability of the US debt burden moving forward.
Now, with the FX quarter end rebalancing completed yesterday, it is possible to look forward to the upcoming scheduled events for today that could influence where EURUSD moves next.
First up, at 1000 BST this morning, traders receive the latest preliminary inflation (HICP) update for the Eurozone. The outcome of this release could provide further insight into whether the current market expectation for one more ECB rate cut in 2025 is possible, or if they may be on hold for the foreseeable future.
Next up, starting at 1430 BST is a panel discussion attended by ECB President Lagarde, Fed Chairman Powell, BoE Governor Bailey and BoJ Governor Ueda at the ECB’s Central Bank Forum in Portugal. The topic, “adapting to change: macroeconomic shifts and policy responses”. The comments of these central bank heads on inflation, interest rates, tariffs and economic growth could be important for the direction of all the major G7 FX pairs.
Then, at 1500 BST the ISM Manufacturing PMI survey is due for release. While US manufacturing activity is still expected to languish in contraction territory, below 50, traders will be focused on whether there has been any improvement in the headline print, and what the prices paid component could indicate for the direction of US inflation across the remainder of 2025.
These events, when taken with real time updates from President Trump and members of this administration on his tax bill, trade deals and flexibility of the July 9th tariff deadline, sets today up as a potentially volatile period for EURUSD trading.
Technical Update: Assessing the Recent Trend
From a technical perspective, a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows remains in the EURUSD price and as the chart below shows, Tuesday has seen another new recovery high posted at 1.1807.
While much will continue to depend on market sentiment and price trends, it might be argued that the posting of this new price high for the current upside move, suggests a further phase of strength is still possible.
However, what are the levels traders may now be watching to gauge where the next directional price risks might lay over coming sessions?
Potential Support Levels:
Since posting the June 19th session low at 1.1446, EURUSD has rallied by over 3.00% (1.1446 to 1.1807) and while this doesn’t mean price weakness is necessarily on the cards, traders might become concerned a price correction is due after such a strong advance.
As the chart above shows, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest price strength, currently stands at 1.1668. This can mark a potential first support focus, after the recent move higher.
Closing breaks under 1.1668, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may then lead to a deeper phase of weakness towards 1.1583, which is equal to the 61.8% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As a result of latest strength, EURUSD has traded to levels last seen in mid-September 2021 and to gauge the next potential resistance levels, we switch to the longer term weekly chart shown below.
If further price strength still emerges from current levels, traders may now be focused on 1.1909, the August 2021 failure high, as the next possible resistance level.
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Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.6562
1st Support: 0.6548
1st Resistance: 0.6613
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Tesla Drop Pressures Nasdaq – 22,470 Key to Hold RecoveryUSNAS100 | Overview
Tesla dropped approximately 5%, weighing heavily on the Nasdaq, amid public tensions between Elon Musk and Donald Trump.
Yesterday, the price declined below 22,610 due to the impact of Tesla’s fall but remained above 22,470. As long as it trades above this level, a recovery attempt is likely, with the price expected to break through the consolidation zone between 22,615 and 22,740.
However, if the 1h candle closes below 22,470, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 22,280 and potentially lower.
Pivot: 22,470
Resistance: 22,615 – 22,740 –23,000
Support: 22,280 – 22,200
USDJPY H1 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 144.15, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 143.48, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 144.67, an overlap resistance.
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XMR Long Swing Setup – 50% Retrace with Structure ShiftXMR rallied from $200 to $400 and has now pulled back 50% of that move. With price reclaiming the 20-day SMA and a recent structure shift, there’s a solid setup forming with ~60% probability of continuation.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $305 – $315
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $360
o 🥈 $400
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $300
ETHUSD coiling pattern breakout support at 2170.Trend Overview:
ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 2,170 (primary pivot), followed by 2,080 and 1,980
Resistance: 2,610 (initial), then 2,800 and 2.920
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 2,170 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 2,610, 2,800, and ultimately 2,920.
Conversely, a daily close below 2,170 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 2.080 and 1,980 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
ETHUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 2,170 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 2,610 area. A breakdown below 2,170, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
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Bearish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7960
1st Support: 0.7879
1st Resistance: 0.8018
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsEUR/USD is in a strong bullish move right now.
We are waiting patiently for the price to reach our marked green (OB) and blue (FVG) zones before looking for clean buy opportunities. Always remember to let price tap into our key areas so we can enter on lower timeframes for precise, low-risk entries.
The first resistance ahead is around 1.2100, which will be our immediate target if the bullish momentum continues.
Stay patient, let the price come to your zones, and execute with discipline.
—
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.f