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Trend Analysis

Rate Cuts Are NOT BullishRate cuts in the US have never been bullish for equity markets in macro cycles. The idea that rates coming down from 5% to 4% suddenly making people more creditworthy is a farce because rates never move in anything other than large timeframe tides. These tides reflect growth/inflation expectations, not borrowing costs. Were Jerome Powell to suddenly become very dovish at the next FOMC meeting it would be a clear signal that the SHTF protocol is in full effect. Powell is more likely to talk away the negative GDP prints as demand shocks due to tariffs/trade deficit imbalances while waiting for more data to make a decision. Labor market has been declining as well but he doesn't want to make a panic decision and also probably feels no personal loyalty to help President Trump out. Historical average for US inflation is about 3.2% with the 2% target meaning deflation is a possible problem incoming. Current US inflation rate is about 3% which is well inline with the historical average. Powell will never say it but so far his mission has been accomplished. He may cut rates at the back end of the year if necessary but as of this post he has no reason to.
TVC:US02Y
by CrashoutCapital
Aave: End Of Correction (Update)Several signals are pointing to the current correction being over or reaching its end. AAVEUSDT peaked 16-December 2024. The action has been bearish for 78 days if we consider yesterday's low. The action pierced the 0.618 Fib. retracement level in relation to the bullish wave that happened from April through December 2024. This is the main support zone for most strong, long lasting, bullish movements. Trading volume has been rising. There is strong high buy volume. The RSI shows a good reading as support is hit. More than 40 which supports the correction reaching its end. The market is never in a hurry when it is about to enter a long lasting phase. While the correction can be ending or is over, some sideways (consolidation) can happen before the next advance takes place. See mid-2024 on the left side of the chart. First the drop. Then sideways (consolidation), followed by slow and steady growth and finally a strong advance. We are entering the second part of this four steps sequence. Aave is starting to look good and should look much better in the coming months. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
8
ATRUSDT trading opportunityATRUSDT is currently forming a symmetrical triangle, with price approaching the lower boundary of the structure. The important demand zone is expected to act as strong support, making it a favorable accumulation area for bulls. If the zone holds, a potential rally towards the upper range near $0.0543 is in play, aligning with the triangle’s resistance. However, given the nature of symmetrical triangles, a breakout in either direction remains possible. Until confirmation, the best approach is to trade within the triangle’s range while closely monitoring price action for a decisive move. Are you positioning for the breakout, or do you see further accumulation ahead? Let’s discuss!
Long
by weslad
2
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 2,155.83 1st Support: 1,992.06 1st Resistance: 2,399.50 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by ICmarkets
$TSLA Sales Slump but is Support Near?Is Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) facing a sales slump and an overpriced valuation? In this video, we dive into the latest Tesla stock analysis, starting with the declining sales numbers and why the current valuation might be raising red flags for investors. We then break down the weekly chart, spotlighting a potential breakdown retest as NASDAQ:TSLA price nears key support levels around the 243 weekly SMA. What was once resistance could now flip to support—find out how! Zooming into the daily chart, we explore the 280 price level where the 200 SMA is and outline a possible 5-wave pattern completing at 243, followed by a correction toward Goldman Sachs’ 320 target and Bank of America’s 380 forecast. But could a deeper drop to 200 be on the horizon? Get the full technical analysis, price targets, and insights to navigate NASDAQ:TSLA ’s next move in this must-watch stock market update!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Entrenched
2
SPX 1D 200 EMA Retest? As the 9&21W EMAs cross and a new local low printing after a SFP top, could the S&P500 be getting its first major correction since Jan 2022? From a TA standpoint this kind of setup looks to be high probability with good R:R for the bears. Targeting the 1W 200 EMA is the most logical area as it remains major support and whenever tested holds strong. From a bulls standpoint this is worrying but could be rectified with a reclaim of the 9&21 EMAs preventing a "death cross" from there acceptance above the high would be the next step to maintain the rally. Fundamentals play a major role and the geopolitical world shows no signs of slowing down, perhaps the tariffs angle is introducing uncertainty in American companies? Or the index is just exhausted from 2.5 years of climbing? Either way the chart is an interesting one to monitor for now.
SP:SPX
by ProR35
4
ALGO (Algorand) Altcoin Analysis. One More High in this Cycle?ALGO: The price is currently testing the 61.8% retracement level, which is the last relevant support level for wave 4 in the white scenario. While the idea of a fourth wave pullback will not be invalidated below this level, other interpretations will become more likely. The orange scenario allows for the interpretation that a long-term price top has been established, but this is currently not yet seen as preferred scenario. A wider wave B correction would be a likely alternative, should the price break below $0.20. However, due to the questionable chart context, such as a 5-wave move down into the 2023 lows, I do not expect new all-time highs to be reached in this cycle.
COINBASE:ALGOUSD
by MCOGlobal
1
BTC/USD 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the formed downtrend channel in which we are again approaching its upper limit. Here you can see how the current rebound has approached the resistance zone from $ 92,851 to $ 95,975, which the price cannot break through, only when we exit it upwards will the path open towards resistance at $ 99,903. Looking the other way, we can see that in the first place we have a significant support zone from $ 93,477 to $ 79,907, which currently manages to keep the price from larger declines. However, when the zone is broken, we can see the price going down to the level of $ 75,354. On the MACD indicator we can observe a fight to return to the upward trend in which we have a lot of room for price increases, while on the RSI indicator we are approaching the middle of the range which still gives room for growth, however, at this level we could previously see a reaction, which is something to watch out for.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTC: A Possible Rebound!Hello Traders, I hope you're all doing well. A week ago, BTC hit $78K, aligning with the support trendline in this chart. We then saw a quick rebound, with the current price at $90K. When BTC was trending above $90k, I anticipated a bounce and expected $90K to hold as support, but instead, it dipped. At present, BTC is rebounding from the support trendline, testing traders' patience. Despite this expected correction, BTC still looks promising. Worse Scenario: A breakdown and close below the $70K range. Trade safely.
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
XAUUSD 4H Analysis: Rejection at Resistance – Drop to $2,850?📉 XAUUSD (Gold) 4H Analysis – March 5, 2025 Key Levels: Resistance: Around $2,920 - $2,940 (price is testing this zone) Support: Around $2,850 - $2,860 (marked as a demand zone) Market Structure & Projection: Gold is currently at a resistance level, which has previously acted as a strong supply zone. The price is showing signs of rejection at resistance, indicating a potential bearish move. The chart suggests a drop towards the $2,850 support level if price fails to break above resistance. Indicators & Confluence: 200 EMA (Red Line): Located below the price, showing an overall bullish trend, but short-term correction is possible. Bearish Structure: The recent push to resistance followed by rejection hints at a potential sell-off. Liquidity Grab? If price briefly spikes above resistance and then reverses, a deeper drop could be confirmed. Trading Bias & Strategy: 📉 Bearish Scenario: If rejection at resistance holds, price could head towards $2,850 support. 📈 Bullish Breakout?: If price breaks & closes above resistance with strong volume, upside continuation could be possible. ⚠ Watch for price action at resistance before taking trades. A breakout or rejection confirmation is key. 🔥 What’s Your Take? Bullish or Bearish? Let me know! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
1
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon. Levels to watch: $4.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDLong
by basictradingtv
33
Gold’s Three Soldiers Pattern Signal: A Strong Rally Ahead?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is breaking the Resistance zone($2,930-$2,916) and the Neckline of the Inverse Head-and-Shoulders Pattern . According to the Elliott wave theory, the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) is over, and we must wait for the next impulse wave . Also, the Three Soldiers Candlestick Pattern is a good sign to break the Resistance zone($2,930-$2,916) and neckline . I expect Gold to rise to at least $2,953 , if the Resistance zone($2,957-$2,940) is broken, we should wait for Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Do you think Gold can make a new All-Time High(ATH)? Note: If Gold goes below $2,887, it should expect more gold Dumps. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1