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Trend Analysis

Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.9043 1st Support: 0.8906 1st Resistance: 0.9171 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
DOGE: Is the bottom in?This weekend looks like the crypto God candle weekend for the majors. Doge is also looking strong, but chance of it being part of the US strategic reserve is slim to none. But, when tide is rising, it doesn't matter. Right now, the challenge in front of doge is to get out of the downward channel, and fast. The price action has two bullish scenarios left. Depending on how strong the momentum gets, one or the other should come to pass. 1. Ending diagonal (pink): The price action for both intermediate 1 and Minor 1 can be counted as 3 waves zigzag or five waves and be valid. This is something that EW sometimes cannot paint a clean picture until a lot of time passes. But as traders, we need to just figure out the next move and be prepared. In case doge is playing out an ending diagonal pattern, then we should see 3 waves moves to the upside. And since, it is an expanding diagonal, we should see wave 5 is larger than wave 3. So, as a normal range of 1 to 1.236 extension, price should top out between $1.1 to $1.6. The confirmation will be a sharp decline from the top. 2. Wave 3 of 3 of 5 (blue): probability of this should be greater with a strong momentum to the upside. We should see price rocket out of the channel and get to all time high before a meaningful pullback. Price should break through $1 milestone and go higher without stopping for a breather as we have seen in the previous rocket moves. Target will be $6-$10 and level of insanity will be at its peak! How to trade between the two scenarios: The difference of targets between the two scenarios is massive. We don't want to take a risk of losing all the gains in matter of days, nor do we want to stay on the sidelines when price makes 6x gains in matter of weeks. So, to stay safe, it is important to take some profit between 1 - 1.236 fib extension (at least 25% - 30%) and put a stop loss at $0.48 for the rest. There could be other higher areas to put the stop loss to phase out with more gains, but $0.48, which is the top of minor wave 1, and breaking that will be the confirmation of the top. If price doesn't make it to that level and goes back up to make strong highs, then buy back in at the breakout (this would be one of the scenarios where we can buy a breakout) to jump back on the ship and ride the lightning. Bear case: There is always the other side of the coin. If price fails to break above $0.28 and the channel, then chances are, the downtrend will continue. It can keep going down to find support at the trend lines. If the trend lines break, then chance of primary wave 4 still in play goes higher. Target can be anything till $0,018. Hope that is not the case...
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by mukit1
MANAMANA 🚀 Decentraland (MANA/USDT) – The Next Big Move? 🚀 📊 Elliott Wave Analysis (2-Week Timeframe) MANA is following a clear Elliott Wave structure, and the next major rally could be massive! 🔥 📌 Wave Breakdown: 🟢 Wave 1 & 2 – Early impulse followed by a correction. 🚀 Wave 3 – A powerful bullish wave pushed MANA to its all-time high. 🔻 Wave 4 – A deep correction, forming a channel structure. 📈 Wave 5 (Upcoming Move!) – A breakout towards $7+ is expected! 📍 Key Observations: ✅ Price is currently at the bottom trendline – a critical accumulation zone. ✅ The next move aligns with Wave 3 of a smaller degree, which could be parabolic! 📈 ✅ Potential target: $7+ and beyond in the long run. ⚠️ Conclusion: If this structure holds, MANA could be gearing up for a massive breakout soon! 🚀 🔔 Stay tuned for more updates! #MANA #Crypto #ElliottWave #Trading
Long
by HuntingTraps
Bitcoin RSI Dips Below 30 Again!The above chart highlights Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a daily timeframe. Historically, every time the RSI dropped below 30, indicating oversold conditions, Bitcoin experienced a price bounce shortly after. The chart marks these moments with blue circles and green arrows, showing clear upward reversals following each dip. Currently, Bitcoin's RSI has once again fallen below 30, with the price around $87,000 after a sharp 10% drop. If past patterns hold true, this could signal an upcoming bullish reversal.
Long
by HexaTrades
#BTC Bearish Head and Shoulders📊#BTC Bearish Head and Shoulders📉 🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in the blue resistance zone and have formed a bearish head and shoulders structure, so we need to be wary of the risk of a pullback. ➡️If the price breaks through the inflection point 86516 again, it means that the blue resistance has turned into a support zone. If we can stabilize in this area, a bullish cup and handle structure will be formed, and we can participate in some long trades according to this structure. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
GOLD may continue to fall after correction to 2876- Gold is trading in a phase of deep correction after reaching local highs. - The price formed a false breakdown of the key support level, which may indicate the liquidation of weak positions before a possible corrective growth. - The dollar index (DXY) shows growth, which puts additional pressure on gold. Liquidation and reaction - There was a longs liquidation after the double top formation, which triggered an impulsive decline. - The price tested the liquidity zone near $2852 and formed a rebound. - A return to 0.5 Fibo ($2876.8) is possible, after which big players may sell the price down again. - The area of interest of market-makers can be seen around $2852. - Potential zone for selling is $2876-$2890 area (local imbalance). - Support: $2852 (liquidity zone), $2825 (next support level). - Resistance: $2876 (0.5 Fibo), $2890-$2900 (key selling zone). - Key formations: Double top → decline → false breakdown → formation of “W”-shaped structure. Conclusion - Short-term: a pullback to $2876 is possible. - Long-term: if the price does not consolidate above $2876-$2890, the probability of the downside continuation remains high. - SMC indicates bearish control until there is a break of the structure on the higher timeframe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
1
XAUUSD in on falling wedge Market is on bearish selling cycle after break of 2880 structural support, as we we had mentioned in our previous commantary and our 3 trades got impressive results. What scanario we have? ▪️  currently on Shoter timeframe we have 2860 support to be break after it market with test 2852 D1 support ,if market invalidated the 2854-2852 area then will have liquidity sweep towards 2835 in first attempt and 2820 in extension. ▪️Furthermore, buying is limited if market remains below 2880. Additionally we have holding our sell trades. On longer period kindly read the previous commantary.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Forexmaestro121
TSLA at a Major Turning Point! Key Reversal or Breakdown? Mar.3📊 Technical Analysis (TA) for TSLA * Current Price Action: TSLA is recovering from a downtrend and has entered a reversal zone, breaking out of a descending channel. However, it's facing strong resistance near $298-$300. * Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance 1: $298-$300 (Volume Profile POC) – A critical area where sellers may step in. * Resistance 2: $310 (3rd Call Wall) – Breaking above this could trigger a gamma squeeze. * Major Resistance: $320-$337 – Strong rejection expected if price reaches this level. * Support 1: $290 (Volume Value Area Low - VAL) – A pullback could test this before another move up. * Support 2: $280 (Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support) – A breakdown below this level could accelerate selling. * Breakdown Level: $273 – Losing this level could send TSLA toward $250. 📌 Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover, suggesting momentum may continue upward. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought near 96, signaling a potential pullback before another move. 🔎 Options Flow & GEX Analysis * GEX (Gamma Exposure) Key Levels: * 80.77% Call Resistance at $310 → Breaking above could fuel upside momentum. * 67.72% 2nd Call Wall at $350 → Strong gamma resistance, unlikely to break in the short term. * Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support at $280 → If TSLA stays above, dealers will hedge bullishly. * 3rd Put Wall at $273 → A breakdown here could lead to increased downside volatility. * 2nd Put Wall at $250 → Below this, expect a sharp sell-off. 📌 IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank (IVR): 72.8 → High implied volatility, options are expensive. * IVx Avg: 84.3 → Elevated, indicating large expected price swings. * Options Sentiment: Calls = 33.8% → Some bullish bias but not extreme. 📈 Trade Scenarios & Strategy 📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play): * Entry: Above $300 with strong volume. * Target: $310, then $320. * Stop Loss: Below $290. 📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown): * Entry: Below $290. * Target: $280 or $273. * Stop Loss: Above $300. 🔥 Final Thoughts & Suggestion * TSLA is testing a key reversal zone. A breakout above $300-$310 could push it toward $320+. * If it fails to hold $290, expect a retest of $280-$273, which is a major support zone. * Volume and options flow will be key – if gamma levels start unwinding, expect volatility to spike! 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
BTC/USDT weekly chart displays an important pattern. Current Price Action: Bitcoin is trading around $92,766.71, a notable position just below the recent highs. Resistance Area: A clear resistance level is represented by the horizontal line near $100,000. This level has proven difficult to break, and price action will soon determine if it can reclaim this area. Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart shows a potential cup and handle formation, which could indicate bullish sentiment if the price breaks above resistance. This pattern has a rounded bottom formed in early 2022 and late 2023. Volume Analysis: It is important to analyze volume alongside price moves. A breakout above resistance will ideally be supported by high volume to confirm strength. Potential Support Level: If the price pulls back, the green highlighted area provides support, which traders could view as a buying opportunity. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
by CryptoSanders9563
XAUUSD 2/3/25For this week’s gold chart, we’ve seen a shift in bias, which was unexpected given our strong bullish outlook over the past few months. This could be a temporary pullback, but we will follow it nonetheless. We’re watching the highs for selling pressure—if it appears, we’ll look to sell down to the newly established low we’ve marked as our target. Gold remains predominantly bullish, and price action tends to move counter to expectations with low pressure, so a return to bullish momentum is likely. However, unless Orion shifts its bias, we will follow the bearish move, potentially into new lows. Stick to your plan and always follow Orion.
FX:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
SPX: break of long term trend-lineThe game of nerves could be one of descriptions of developments on the US equity markets during the previous week. It was a heavy week due to a significant drop in the value of the S&P 500 but also other US equity indexes. The index declined about 1% during the previous week, and 1,4% since the beginning of February. Friday brought back significant buyers, where the index managed to end the week at the level of 5.954. The lowest weekly level was at 5.840. Tech companies were trying to hold, however, the majority ended February in a negative territory. Tesla is one of the most hit companies, with a weekly loss of around 16%. Analysts are noting that this represents the highest weekly loss of TSLA since December 2022. Other large companies also had significant drop, where Nvidia lost around 10%, while Palantir was down by around 19%, after recently reaching the historically highest level. On the other hand, companies within the financial sector performed in a positive manner, rising 1,3% for the week. When looking at the daily chart of S&P 500, the major support line was clearly breached. This line connects historical lows from October 2023, August 2024 and January 2025. It has been clearly breached on Thursday, however, Friday trading session brought the index back toward this line, but this time from the down side. Whether Friday's positive sentiment will continue is to be seen on Monday. For the moment the US equity market is under strong influence of geopolitical topics and potential trade tariffs. In addition, it should be considered that NFP data will be published in a week ahead, which might influence some higher volatility.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Ethereum Update (1D)We previously analyzed Ethereum and identified the support range at $1750 to $1650. We still consider this area as the support level. However, considering the strength of the bearish waves and the liquidity pools visible on the chart, the price can potentially move towards the specified targets from Demand Zone 1. After reaching these targets, the price may turn bearish again. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam