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Trend Analysis

Stop loss for USDJPYNow , if you have not followed the story of this pair, USDJPY, please go read my strategy here That is the big big picture, like looking at the forest from the helicopter view. Now, let's go into the woods to see clearer. In the 4H chart, we can see that we are now locked in a range between 142.46 and 144.48 price level. Assuming you want to short after you are convinced of my take on US dollar story and safe haven assets like Yen, Euro,etc , then where would you put your SL ? 25 May and 4 Jun - there were two resistance points where price fails to break above. Now, our price is going to revisit this resistance zone again. If you based on the high of 29 May candle as the point to place your SL, it appears too high. It was a false breakout on hindsight. I am placing my own SL on the 3rd red candle around 145.433. I calculated I can short 0.8 contract with a 50 points SL and I would need to pay around 189 . This fulfils my 2% per trade principle based on 1000 capital. With this in mind, to add on to my winners, I would have to make sure that I do not allow my emotions of greed and fear to magnify my SL nor increase my position size unnecessarily. This is very important. No matter how confident you think the market is going with you, anything can happen in the market and if you are WRONG, how much are you willing to pay? If you do it on impulse with pre calculation, then your emotions will take over especially if you get stopped out and wanted to do a revenge trade. Oh, tell me about it, so many times I have done that and lost money ! Hope this is useful for some of you.......
Short
by dchua1969
USDCHF Primed for Monster Move to 0.92? Here's Why!In today’s video, I break down a potentially strong bullish opportunity on USDCHF and why, with the right entry signal, we might see a solid push up towards 0.88 and eventually 0.92 in the weeks and months ahead. First off, let's check the monthly chart. In April, price finally broke and closed below the major 0.84 support, a level that held firm since 2011. Below, I've marked the massive buy zone created around the 2011 lows—interestingly, depending on your broker, you’ll notice this zone was tested during the dramatic Swiss franc unpegging event back in 2015 as well. But here's why I don’t think we’re headed down to retest that monthly zone anytime soon. Zooming into the weekly charts, we clearly see a key weekly buy zone. This was actually the origin point for the massive move up from the 2011 lows to 0.95. This exact weekly level is already proving its significance again, given the strong buying reaction we saw here in May. Now, zooming further into the daily charts, we had a nice bounce at that weekly buy zone, pushing price back up to retest the previous support at 0.84. If the market truly wanted lower prices, we would've seen a sharp sell-off from there. Instead, price has slowly been grinding lower, forming a clear W double-bottom pattern—a powerful reversal signal. This all points to higher prices ahead, especially considering USDCHF currently offers one of the most attractive swap carry opportunities due to the interest rate differentials and the SNB’s hints about possibly returning to negative rates to weaken the franc. Here's my game plan: Wait patiently for the next bullish daily candle with a clear close above 0.83. My first target will be the 0.88 area (previous strong resistance and weekly sell zone). The longer-term target will be around the 0.92 resistance zone. My stop loss will be placed comfortably below 0.80. Should we spike lower to that level, I'll remain alert for another high-probability bullish entry signal. Let me know your thoughts below!
Long
by TheFxAce
2
EUR/USD 1HThis chart shows a potential EUR/USD short trade setup on the 1-hour timeframe. Breakdown of the Chart: Entry Level: Around 1.14320, which is the horizontal black line. Register Zone: Around 1.14900, acting as a resistance area. Target Point: Around 1.13000, marked with a red horizontal line and black/blue downward arrows. Pattern: It appears to be a bearish flag or wedge breakdown after a sharp uptrend. Current Price: ~1.14307, close to the entry level, suggesting this is a fresh breakout. Interpretation: The price seems to have broken out of a consolidation pattern to the downside, and the chart suggests that the move is expected to continue. The target area implies a drop of about 130 pips from the current price. Key Takeaways: Bias: Bearish (expecting a drop). Entry Zone: Current area (~1.1430). Stop Loss (likely above the Register Zone): ~1.1490+ Take Profit Target: ~1.1300 Let me know if you want help with risk/reward calculation, backtesting this pattern, or creating an alert for this setup.
Long
by Rich_trader01
Tesla Recovers After Announcement of Trump–Musk DialogueBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades After a session marked by a sharp decline, Tesla shares rebounded strongly in after-hours trading. The catalyst: a *Politico* report revealing that President Donald Trump’s advisors have scheduled a phone call with Elon Musk for today, Friday, in an effort to ease tensions following a public dispute between the two figures. On Thursday, Tesla suffered one of its worst declines of the year, plunging 14.26% and wiping out more than \$150 billion in market value within hours. This brings the quarterly loss to 25.70%. However, news of a potential reconciliation pushed the stock back into positive territory, closing at \$288.35 with a 2.31% recovery, sparking speculative after-hours trading that could extend into the week’s final session. The clash erupted after Musk criticized a new tax cut bill championed by the White House. Trump promptly responded by threatening to reassess federal contracts awarded to Musk's companies, such as SpaceX. Tensions escalated further when Musk, via social media, hinted at alleged ties between Trump and the late financier Jeffrey Epstein. According to *Politico*, although Trump has publicly projected an air of indifference, his advisors have been working behind the scenes to de-escalate the feud and avoid broader political and economic fallout. The scheduled call on Friday may mark the beginning of a truce. It’s worth recalling that during his tenure at the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under Trump’s administration, Elon Musk faced accusations of conflicts of interest, particularly for pushing deregulatory policies that directly benefited Tesla and SpaceX. These actions triggered public protests, the "Tesla Takedown" boycott movement, and investor concerns over Musk's divided attention—ultimately harming Tesla’s reputation and market valuation. Tesla Under the Microscope: Between Market Rebound and Financial Pressure The technical rebound has offered investors some relief, but Tesla’s challenges extend beyond the political arena. As of 2025, the stock is down nearly 25% amid shrinking global EV demand, intensified competition, and margin pressure. In its Q1 2025 earnings report, Tesla posted \$21.3 billion in revenue, down 5% year-on-year. Net income also fell to \$1.04 billion, dragged by an aggressive discount strategy and rising operational costs. Gross margin declined to 17.2%, while free cash flow stood at \$620 million. Despite these headwinds, the company maintains a strong financial position, with \$22 billion in cash and \$7.8 billion in total debt. Tesla currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56, well above the industry average, reflecting high—though increasingly questioned—growth expectations. Technical Outlook: Key Support Level in Sight From a technical perspective, Tesla has found crucial support around the \$271.22 level. This bounce aligns with the beginning of a bearish consolidation cross seen on Wednesday. If the 200-day moving average remains below the 100-day and the 50-day adjusts downward, further bearish momentum could ensue. A break below this level may lead to a decline toward \$250. Conversely, a sustained recovery could push the stock toward the previous control point at \$361.93, though not before consolidating around the \$320 resistance zone. The RSI shows clear signs of extreme overselling at 19%, potentially signaling the door to an upward move. In the short term, everything hinges on the outcome of today’s Trump–Musk conversation, which markets will be watching very closely. Conclusion The clash between Musk and Trump has left visible scars on the market. While a possible rapprochement may open a window for stabilization, Tesla’s financial and technical fundamentals reveal ongoing challenges. Any recovery could prove as volatile as the leadership surrounding it. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ActivTrades
TSLA SellOff ! Elon Musk vs Donald Trump ! Beginning of the End?If you haven`t bought the dip on TSLA: Now you need to know that TSLA Tesla experienced a significant drop of 14% today, marking its worst single-day performance in over four years. This decline erased approximately $150 billion in market capitalization, bringing the stock down to $284.70. The immediate cause of this downturn is the escalating feud between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. Musk's public criticism of Trump's tax legislation, labeling it a "repugnant abomination," prompted Trump to threaten the revocation of government contracts with Musk's companies. This political clash has introduced significant uncertainty regarding Tesla's future government support. Beyond the political arena, Tesla's core business metrics are showing signs of strain. The company reported a 9% decline in quarterly revenues and a staggering 71% drop in profits. Additionally, Tesla has lost its leadership position in the electric vehicle market to China's BYD, indicating increased competitive pressure. cincodias.elpais.com Investor sentiment is also waning. A Morgan Stanley survey revealed that 85% of investors believe Musk's political activities are negatively impacting Tesla's business fundamentals. This perception is further exacerbated by declining sales in key markets, such as a 17% drop in Model Y registrations in California. thestreet.com Elon Musk and Donald Trump have publicly clashed, escalating a feud that has unraveled their once-close relationship. The dispute centers on several issues: Republican Tax and Immigration Bill: Musk criticized a sweeping Republican domestic policy bill backed by Trump, calling it a "disgusting abomination" on X. Trump claimed Musk initially had no issue with the bill, accusing him of being upset over the removal of an electric vehicle tax credit. Epstein Files Allegation: Musk alleged Trump's name appears in classified Jeffrey Epstein files, escalating tensions. Trump has not directly addressed this claim but responded by threatening to cut government contracts with Musk's companies. Personal and Financial Accusations: Musk argued Trump would have lost the 2024 election without his financial support, accusing him of ingratitude. Trump countered, saying he was "disappointed" in Musk, claiming he asked Musk to leave the administration and accused him of "Trump Derangement Syndrome." Government Contracts and Tariffs: Trump threatened to cancel "billions and billions" in government contracts with Musk's companies, like SpaceX, amid the feud. Separately, Musk reportedly made personal appeals to Trump on auto tariffs, which Trump noted might involve a conflict of interest. Cabinet Clash: Reports indicate Musk clashed with Trump’s cabinet, including Marco Rubio, over spending cuts related to the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), with some describing Musk's behavior as disruptive. Given these challenges, a price target of $215 for TSLA appears justified. The combination of political entanglements, deteriorating financial performance, and eroding investor confidence suggests that Tesla's stock may face continued downward pressure in the near term. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:TSLAShort
by TopgOptions
EURUSD Decline Potential Bearish StructureEUR/USD appears to have formed a rejection from a key resistance zone, suggesting a potential move to the downside. The rejection aligns with a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as supply A liquidity sweep above recent highs Evidence of pending structure formation, indicating possible internal weakness. If we see a confirmed close below the marked support zone, this would likely validate a bearish market structure break, paving the way for a clean continuation of the downtrend. Traders look our idea every day we will share better experience with you we need support from you Guys Thanks For Supporting.
Short
by MrMartin_11
2
Weekly trading plan for XRPBINANCE:XRPUSD has shown a good upward correction over the last couple of days. Now the price has returned to the Pivot point and a local bullish divergence is already visible on the chart. If the price continues the downward movement now, I will consider entering near the support zone, in case the price starts to reverse in the near future, I will consider entering when the local hourly trend changes to green. If the support is broken, we may see a continuation of the downward correction up to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. More details in the video Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades ! mura
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by trading_mura
Weekly trading plan for LINKBINANCE:LINKUSDT has fallen quite low after the upward correction, but in case the local trend turns green, I will consider long positions with the aim to break PP and reach the first resistance level, and then we will see Locally, a trend line can be drawn and if it is broken, there is a high probability to renew the local bottom and reach the 0.618 Fibonacci level Important levels and possible price movement are explained in the video Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades ! mura
BINANCE:LINKUSD
by trading_mura
BTC-----Buy around 104800, target 106000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 5: Today, the large-cycle daily line level closed with a small positive line yesterday. The K-line pattern has continuous positive and negative lines, but if we look carefully, we will find that the price has been at a high level, and every retracement trend is testing support, and the rise is breaking the high, although it has not continued, so in this case, it is still very easy to pull up and break; the short-cycle hourly chart price is oscillating in a small range, and the upward channel is slowly opening in the trend pattern, and the support for the decline is moving up. This is relatively clear. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is golden fork, so there is a high probability of rising during the day. Whether the European session can break the high is to focus on. BTC short-term contract trading strategy: The current price is more in the 1048000 area, the stop loss is in the 1043000 area, and the target is in the 106000 area;
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Alibaba: Intermediate Correction in ProgressAs Alibaba has remained below resistance at $121.28, we’ve ultimately chosen to consider the high of orange wave x as established. Thus, we currently place the stock in bearish wave y, which should conclude the corrective structure of the larger blue wave (ii). From that point, BABA should reverse, climb back above the $121.28 resistance, and move to significantly higher levels—initially completing blue wave (iii), and eventually the larger turquoise wave 3. However, there’s still a 34% chance that our bearish alternate scenario will play out. In that case, the stock would fall between the two support levels at $80.05 and $58.01, where the low of turquoise wave alt.2 would form. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NYSE:BABA
by MarketIntel
NIFTY 50 Index Daily Chart AnalysisThe Nifty 50 is consolidating in a tight range just below the key psychological resistance at 25,130. The price action has shown multiple attempts to breach this level, indicating selling pressure on rallies. However, strong buying support exists around ₹24,470. Recent volume is moderate and slightly declining, indicating a lack of conviction on both sides. Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as long as ₹24,468 holds. Breakout Potential: Above ₹25,130 with volume may trigger a fresh rally. Risk: Failure to hold ₹24,468 could result in a drop to ₹24,000.
NSE:NIFTY
by debjit62
S&P500 awaits Trade Balance and Jobless Claims figuresTrump Tightens Immigration: Bans people from 12 countries, limits entry from 7 more, and blocks foreign students from attending Harvard. Russia-Ukraine Tensions: Putin plans to strike back after a Ukrainian drone attack. Trump says Russia’s allies won’t profit from rebuilding Ukraine. UK Housing Boom: Home sales rose 6% in May, the strongest in 3+ years, despite the end of a buyer tax break. Germany & U.S.: German politician Friedrich Merz meets Trump today. At home, Germany faces rising public concern about tough economic times. ECB Rate Cut Likely: The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates by 0.25% to 2%, but may slow further cuts soon. Key Support and Resistance Levels Key trading leel is at: 6000 Resistance Level 1: 6090 Resistance Level 2: 6140 Resistance Level 3: 6200 Support Level 1: 5900 Support Level 2: 5845 Support Level 3: 5800 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
USDJPY: Will This CRT FVG Hold After the PWL Sweep?Price action on USDJPY reflects a clean execution of Candle Range Theory (CRT). Following a sweep of the Previous Week’s Low (PWL), price reacted from a higher timeframe demand zone, grabbing sell-side liquidity before printing a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS confirmed a shift in market intent and set the stage for a retracement into a clearly defined Fair Value Gap (FVG). I refined the entry on the 4H chart, waiting for price to return to the FVG zone, with risk placed just below the sweep wick. The target is mapped to the next logical supply above a cluster of equal highs and prior inefficiency. This setup reflects a high-conviction CRT play, built from top-down analysis and confluences rooted in market structure, liquidity, and imbalance logic.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
$ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis 3,000 INCOMING?? CRYPTOCAP:ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis Structure: Bullish Flag | Outlook: Neutral-Bullish | Target: $3000? 🔹 Chart Overview -Pattern: Bullish Flag (continuation structure) Current Range: - Supply Zone: $2,680.00 – $2,786.21 - Demand Zone: $2,319.79 – $2,417.61 Price Action: - Tight consolidation between higher lows and lower highs, forming a symmetrical triangle within a flag structure. Trend: - Consolidation, but within a macro uptrend (prior strong rally). Volume Profile: - Anchored Volume shows high participation around $2,540–$2,600. OBV: - Flattening, signaling indecision and potential energy buildup. Key Psychological Levels: $2,860: Minor resistance from past S/R flips. $3,000: Major round-number psychological resistance. 📐 Technical Confluences Fibonacci Retracement: - The 0.618 golden pocket aligns with the support trendline, reinforcing this as a critical zone. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): - Above Price: Acts as a magnet in bullish continuation. - Below Price: Risk zone if price drops; aligns with liquidity and trendline support. - Liquidity Zone: Aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement; strong reaction expected. 📈 Bullish Scenari o Breakout of Pennant Resistance: - A clean break above $2,786 (supply zone & swing high) with volume. Close above Upper FVG and Liquidity Zone: - Confirms bullish intent. Targets psychological level at $2,860, then $3,000. Volume Confirmation: - OBV uptick and high breakout volume would validate the move. Bullish Target Zones: TP1: $2,860 (psych level + previous resistance) TP2: $3,000 (major psychological level) TP3: $3,120–$3,180 (1.618 Fib extension) 📉 Bearish Scenario Rejection from Current Supply or Liquidity Zone: - Fails to break above supply; rolls over from the upper pennant line. Break Below Support Trendline: - Break below golden pocket and $2,417.61 demand zone. Invalidation of Bullish Flag: - A breakdown below $2,319.79 (swing low) invalidates the bullish flag and may signal a trend reversal. Bearish Target Zones: TP1: $2,200 (local volume gap + structure support) TP2: $2,060–$2,120 (previous accumulation zone) TP3: $1,950 (macro support & last strong demand) ✅ Summary Structure: - Price is compressing within a bullish continuation pattern, awaiting breakout confirmation. Bias: Slightly bullish unless the swing low at $2,319 is broken. Confirmation Needed: - Break above or below pennant boundaries with volume.
Long
by King_BennyBag
Trader Abdullah Masood Yu.TuBased on the chart you've shared for SOPH/USDT (15m timeframe) on Binance. 🧠 Key Observations Current Price: ~$0.05404 Trend: The market is currently in a short-term downtrend, following a clear rejection from the $0.07+ zone. Price is ranging slightly after dropping from recent highs. Liquidity Zones / Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Multiple FVG zones (marked with shaded boxes and black lines) are visible, both above and below the current price. The market tends to fill these gaps over time, so expect reactions in these areas. Support Zones: $0.05308 - $0.05381 (black zone): Current support. Price is hovering just above it. $0.04726 - $0.04800: Stronger demand zone. If current support breaks, price may fall to this level. Resistance Zones: $0.05500 – $0.05542: Immediate short-term resistance. $0.05854 – $0.05999: Stronger resistance zone. $0.063 – $0.070+: Liquidity-rich zones. Could be future targets if trend reverses. Volume & Trade Box: There's a visible short trade box (TP/SL) targeting ~$0.07064 with SL above and a TP well below, indicating someone is aiming for a liquidity sweep to the upside after accumulation. 📌 Scenarios & Trade Ideas ✅ Bullish Scenario (Reversal or Range Breakout) If price holds above the $0.053 support zone: Long Entry: Around $0.0535 – $0.0540 Target 1: $0.0550 Target 2: $0.0585 Stop-Loss: $0.0525 (tight) or $0.0510 (loose) Confirmation: Look for bullish engulfing candles or large buy volume spikes. ❌ Bearish Scenario (Breakdown from Support) If price breaks and closes below $0.053: Short Entry: Around $0.0528 – $0.0530 Target: $0.0480 – $0.0472 Stop-Loss: $0.0542 This aligns with a move to sweep the lower liquidity zone before a potential reversal. 🧭 Strategic Advice Avoid Overtrading: You're near a decision zone. Wait for a breakout or confirmation before entering. Use Tight Risk Management: Market is volatile at this level, so a small SL can prevent losses. Watch for Reclaim of $0.055: A reclaim and hold above $0.055 will favor a move toward $0.058+. Patience Wins: If unsure, wait for a break of either $0.0530 (bearish) or $0.0555 (bullish) with volume confirmation. 🧠 Summary Direction Action Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Bullish Long on support $0.0535–$0.0540 $0.055 / $0.0585 $0.0525 Bearish Short on breakdown $0.0528–$0.0530 $0.0480–$0.0472 $0.0542 🧠 Chart Overview & Key Observations Current Price: ~$0.05404 Trend: Short-term bearish following a peak around ~$0.0719. Price has been making lower highs and lower lows. Support Zones: Strong support at ~$0.05050 to ~$0.05300 Ultimate support floor near ~$0.04726 Resistance Zones: ~$0.05500 to ~$0.05854 Key resistance at ~$0.06328 Major resistance at ~$0.07036 to ~$0.07192 Liquidity Zones / Fair Value Gaps: Multiple fair value gaps (LuxAlgo) indicate potential mean reversion targets. Significant imbalance visible between ~$0.05540 and ~$0.05854, and higher between ~$0.063 and ~$0.070 📉 Current Setup Insight The market rejected the $0.0719 top, followed by a correction. You can see sell pressure dominating (red candle clusters, overlapping zones, and fair value gap imbalances above). Price has been hovering just above support at ~$0.053–$0.054 with repeated tests, signaling potential for either: A breakdown to ~$0.0505 or even ~$0.0472 Or a bounce targeting ~$0.058–$0.063 🧭 What You Can Do 📌 If You’re in a Position (Long): Stop-Loss: Just under $0.05300 to avoid deeper loss if support breaks. Take Profit Zones: Conservative TP1: ~$0.05854 Mid TP2: ~$0.06328 Aggressive TP3: ~$0.0703–$0.0719 (if bullish reversal starts) ⚠️ If price breaks below $0.053 with high volume, consider exiting the long. 📌 If You’re Looking to Enter (Long): Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, bounce on support) around $0.053–$0.054 Look for higher low formation and strong candle closing above $0.055 Enter with small size and scale if price breaks above $0.058 with volume 📌 If You’re Considering a Short: Short entry near rejection of ~$0.055–$0.058 zone Stop-loss just above $0.0599 or $0.0632 Targets: TP1: ~$0.0530 TP2: ~$0.0505 TP3: ~$0.0472 (stronger downside) 🔮 Prediction Scenarios (Next 24–48 Hours) Scenario Likelihood Notes Bounce from $0.0530 and retest $0.058 🔶 Medium Depends on volume + BTC movement Breakdown to $0.0505 or $0.0472 🔴 High Multiple failed bounces, lower highs Reversal back to $0.063 or higher 🟢 Low Requires strong catalyst, volume ✅ Summary 🛑 If price breaks $0.053, expect more downside. 🔄 Watch for bounce signs and reclaim of $0.055 to consider longs. 📉 Shorts are safer if price retests resistance zones and fails.
BINANCE:SOPHUSDT.P
by practicalSeaho40530
1