Trend Analysis
EURUSD - Correction in the short termGiven that the order flow is bullish on the daily and 15-minute time frames, we expect a temporary correction to begin. Of course, it should be noted that Trump’s recent speech has caused erratic price movement, but my view is that the price hit the daily order block during this speech and collected liquidity above the 4-hour order block.
Therefore, we will soon see a bearish order flow on the short time frame, and this movement could go down to the bottom of the 4-hour swing structure (1.07417 range) in the first stage.
Gold price target 3160-3180Gold price target 3160-3180
In fact, there is no need to analyze the rise of gold prices too complicatedly. We only need to calculate the oscillation relationship expressed by the flag structure from A-B.
So far, the normal retracement of gold prices in this relationship is less than half of the increase of AB.
Above 3100 points, there is only one strategy, that is, long
The only thing to consider is the cost-effectiveness of the transaction
Support line:
3100
3110
3115
3120
Pressure line:
3135
3140
3150
3160
3180
3200
3230
Our strategy today:
Long around 3120, stop loss 3110
It's that simple
Gold market analysis strategyTechnical analysis of gold: From the market point of view, the trend has not changed. The negative line of the upper shadow of the single K line in the daily chart appears at a high level, which is a turning point. Whether a reversal can occur today will verify the validity of this K line. This wave of rise is caused by fundamentals and the atmosphere of the entire market. However, there is never a market that only rises and never falls. In other words, we do not go to dead short or dead long. Shorts only enter the market at important points. From a structural point of view, the rise has entered a symmetrical space in terms of time and span. It fell below the upper line in four hours, and the early high and fall were the same as expected. The structure has become weak short. The hourly chart is close to the upper line area and is currently running in a divergence, so the overall European market is still high and unchanged. It seems that gold bulls have not been able to go to a higher level with the support of the news, so gold bears may have opportunities at any time; gold is directly short at the current price of 3128 in the afternoon!
Gold fell below yesterday's low of 3124 support as expected, and came all the way to 3100. I have been emphasizing that gold will have a big retracement, but the current decline is far from enough. Gold will continue to fall. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold may open up room for decline. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now formed a head and shoulders top structure. Rebounds will continue to be short. The market has weakened. Gold has not yet broken through the 3100 mark for the first time, but the direction of the market has turned short. If it does not break for the first time, I believe there will be a second attempt in the future. Then the bearish situation has been finalized. Long positions must be put aside first, because it is a bearish market now. Gold rebounds and adjustments can continue to be short. Pay attention to the 3128 line of pressure above. You can go short directly when it rebounds! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and supplemented by callback long positions. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3138-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3083 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3128-3130, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3100, break to look at 3085
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3083-3085, buy (buy up) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3100-3110, break to 3120
Bearish reversal?S&P500 (US500) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 5,684.31
1st Support: 5,508.29
1st Resistance: 5,768.80
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#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!📊#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!
🧠From a structural perspective, the bullish structure is still intact, bullish expectations still exist, and the ideal target zone (86500-88188) has not yet been achieved, so we can still keep a small number of positions to look forward to this possibility.
➡️However, at present, we are testing the downward trend line at the daily level again, and whether it can be successfully broken through is still unknown, so we are conservative and lock in 80% of the main profits, and don’t chase the resistance zone.
➡️If it breaks through successfully, it will also reach the ideal target zone of the bullish structure, so new long transactions need to observe whether it can stabilize above the downward trend line, otherwise it should not be too optimistic.
⚠️Note that if the downward trend line cannot be successfully broken through, we need to be wary of the risk of further decline.
Let’s see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
USDJPY INTRADAY capped bearish below 151.20 awaits tariff dataThe USDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 151.21 (critical level), 152.20, 153.04
Support Levels: 149.17, 148.26, 147.22
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the 151.21 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 149.17, with extended declines targeting 148.26 and 147.22 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 151.21 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 152.20, followed by 153.04.
Conclusion:
The market sentiment remains bearish, with 151.21 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favouring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/JPY : Bulls are coming back?! Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price precisely hit our previously forecasted target of 148.65 before declining further to 146.5. Following that, USDJPY rallied back up to 151 and is currently trading around 150.680. Should the price manage to stabilize above 150.5, we can anticipate further gains in this pair. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Amid Structural ShiftDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions.
Initially, I planned to go long on USD/JPY based on the bullish momentum observed in the 4-hour time frame. However, the external structural high struggled to break, signalling potential weakness. Soon after, price action began forming lower lows, confirming a shift in structure to the downside.
A solid change of character (ChoCh) occurred following a liquidity sweep on the opposite side of the chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Given this shift, I adapted my strategy accordingly, favouring a short position.
Additionally, unexpected news from the Eurozone impacted USD pairs, accelerating price movements beyond my anticipated entry. This volatility was likely driven by macroeconomic factors, including a Dow Jones report on tariffs that may have influenced broader USD sentiment.
Key Takeaways:
Bearish Structural Shift – Lower lows formed after failure to break external structural highs.
Change of Character (ChoCh) – Liquidity sweep indicated a momentum shift.
Fundamental Influence – News from the Eurozone and tariff-related updates impacted USD pairs.
I'll be monitoring further price action to confirm bearish continuation and potential re-entry points.
#USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #MarketStructure
#BTC reaches resistance zone📊#BTC reaches resistance zone✔️
🧠From a structural point of view, we have built a bullish head and shoulders structure in the green buy zone, so such a rise is very reasonable. And the market reached the resistance zone of 85000-86000 as expected.
➡️It is no problem to lock in profits after the target is achieved. Although it is currently in the resistance zone, there is no short signal, and the ideal target zone of the bullish head and shoulders structure (86500-88188) has not been achieved, so there will be some contradictions.
➡️Therefore, we need to pay attention to the short signals that appear in the resistance zone, or try to participate in some short trades after the ideal target zone is achieved, otherwise wait patiently for the callback to appear before participating in long trades, and do not chase the rise in the resistance zone.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Big Bear Leg Coming if this is ABC This looks like it might be a big corrective ABC leg inside of a downtrend. While markets have had a very bullish tone to them recently we've not really bounced that much and the daily trend is still down on big swings.
Perhaps the corrective period is over and new bear waves are forming. If so, this should be about the high of them here.
CHECK EURUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(EURUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (EURUSD) ready for(SELL)trade ( EURUSD ) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (1.08150) to (1.08100) 📊
FIRST TP (1.07900)📊
2ND TARGET (1.07600) 📊
LAST TARGET (1.07400) 📊
STOP LOOS (1.08500)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Closing all my orders with Profit / time for correctionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: My Medium-term Buying orders (#3 Buying orders from / engaged at #3,052.80 benchmark breakout) each #3.5 Volume are currently on excellent Profit as I will look to close them as near as #3,152.80 benchmark. On the other hand, I am successfully Buying every dip lately and my last order was yesterday's session #3,110.80 Buy which was closed in Profit. Keep Buying every dip as I advised many times on my recent remarks."
I have closed all of my Medium-term Buying orders (#3,052.80 - #3,133.80) on excellent Profit as I re-Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session (#3,124.80 - #3,009.80).
Technical analysis: The Price-action was once again seen Trading below the #3,152.80 benchmark extended decline where Sellers should finally prevailed and dragg the Price-action more than #57 points downwards (as was announced on one of my remarks lately that Gold always prints #57 point decline once the local High’s rejects the sequence and delivers the eminent rebound). Gold is dangerously approaching again the Higher High’s trendline of the Daily chart’s wide Ascending Channel, way above the #MA50 (aswell on Daily chart, representing in the same manner the Long-term Support zone) in Overbought waters, however every pullback on Gold is accumulation zone for new Bullish cycle.
My position: Even though I am Buying Gold aggressively, I do expect pullback to be delivered due Overbought instruments and #3,100.80 benchmark test possibility.
USD/JPY USD/JPY: Possible Continuation of Short Position Towards the 141.38 Area, a Very Important Support Zone.
Why do I think this?
Uncertain Geopolitical Situation, JPY as a Safe-Haven Currency.
Technically, the current price has retested the 150 zone (a significant resistance area) without breaking through it. Looking at higher timeframes, the momentum appears to be bearish.
GBPJPY Under Pressure: Potential Sell Opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has recently broken structure to the downside on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling bearish momentum. The pair is currently under significant selling pressure, with price action suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. Here's a deeper analysis of the situation:
Market Structure: The recent break of structure to the downside indicates that sellers are in control. The pair has failed to reclaim previous highs, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Key Levels:
Range High: The stop-loss level should be placed above the recent range high to manage risk effectively. This level acts as a key invalidation point for the bearish setup. 🚫
Range Low: The target is the previous range low, which aligns with a strong support zone. This level could act as a magnet for price, given the current bearish momentum. 🎯
Bearish Pressure: The pair is trading below key moving averages (e.g., 50 EMA and 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), further confirming the bearish bias. Additionally, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD may show bearish divergence or oversold conditions, which could provide further confluence for the trade idea. 📊
Risk Management: As always, proper risk management is crucial. Ensure that the position size aligns with your trading plan, and avoid over-leveraging. 🔒
Fundamental Context: Keep an eye on any GBP or JPY-related news that could impact the pair, such as central bank decisions, economic data releases, or geopolitical developments. These factors could either accelerate or invalidate the current technical setup. 📰
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any trading decisions. 📢