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Trend Analysis

Hypecoin short to $28.5Hypecoin been non correlating with btc more so than other altcoins, pumping while btc is dumping and doing its own thing. Though It seems to be quite high structurally on the weekly timeframe and likely to continue dumping some more to the down side around $28.5 prior monthly resistance for a retest. There I anticipate enough demand might come in to drive the price back up. I hopped in around $32.79 area in anticipation that the current 4hr candle will wick back down. It has pushed up a bit more than anticipated quite quickly since entry which isn't particularly good but still have 1hr before 4hr candle close- Next hr will decide if we really going down or the move will get delayed and invalidated soon. If you're just seeing this you have better entry and can use better invalidation with stop around $34.8 for a more conservative position. On personal account my stop is at $34.62 area On another its at $34.2 Time sensitive
Short
by Filnft
WTI USOIL WEEKLY CHARTKey Offshore Oil and Gas Installations at Risk of Iranian Attack Based on recent escalations and Iran's retaliatory capabilities, the following offshore installations are most vulnerable: Strait of Hormuz Infrastructure Why at risk: A critical global chokepoint handling 21 million barrels of oil daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened closure if provoked. Potential targets: Tanker routes, underwater pipelines, and monitoring stations. Qatar’s North Field Gas Facilities Why at risk: Directly adjacent to Iran’s South Pars field (recently attacked by Israel). Shared reservoirs mean disruptions could cascade. Vulnerability: Iran could target Qatari platforms to amplify global gas shortages. Saudi/UAE Offshore Fields Key sites: Saudi Arabia’s Safaniya (world’s largest offshore oil field). UAE’s Upper Zakum oil field. Why at risk: Iran views Gulf states as Israeli allies; striking them would disrupt U.S.-aligned economies. Israeli Mediterranean Gas Rigs Leviathan and Tamar fields: Provide 90% of Israel’s electricity. Already targeted by Iranian proxies (e.g., Hezbollah rockets in 2023). Bahrain/Kuwait Offshore Facilities Strategic value: Proximity to Iran enables rapid drone/missile strikes. Past attacks (e.g., 2019 Aramco) demonstrate capability. Why These Targets? Retaliatory logic: Iran’s energy infrastructure (e.g., South Pars) was damaged by Israeli strikes. Targeting adversaries’ assets aligns with its "escalate to deter" strategy. Global leverage: Disrupting Hormuz or major fields could spike oil prices 30–50%, pressuring Western governments. Technical feasibility: Iran’s naval drones, cruise missiles, and mines can penetrate offshore defenses. Immediate Threats Target Risk Level Potential Impact Strait of Hormuz Critical Global oil prices surge; 20% of LNG shipments halted Qatar’s North Field High 10% of global LNG supply disrupted; Europe/Asia energy crisis Israeli Gas Rigs High Israel’s energy security crippled; regional conflict escalation Conclusion Iran’s most likely retaliation targets are offshore installations in the Strait of Hormuz, Qatar, and Israeli Mediterranean fields, leveraging proximity and asymmetric tactics. Such attacks would aim to inflict maximum economic damage while avoiding direct confrontation with the U.S. or NATO. Global energy markets face severe disruption if hostilities escalate further. A successful breakout above this descending trendline and resistance zone (near $74–$75) would confirm a bullish reversal, potentially opening the way for further upside toward $80 and $100 as next target. US crude inventories have declined recently, reducing oversupply fears and supporting prices. Global oil demand is forecast to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025, while supply increases are more modest. OPEC+ decisions to maintain production cuts or limit increases have also contributed to price support. Summary Oil prices are testing and potentially breaking out of a long-term descending trendline formed since mid-2022. breakout will be long buy hope that we see 80$ per barrel. #usoil #oil
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD LONG TRADE SETUP.This chart is a technical analysis, focusing on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) such as BOS (Break of Structure), OB (Order Block), EQH (Equal Highs), and liquidity concepts. Chart Interpretation BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a shift in market direction. OB (Order Block): Area where institutions are likely to place large buy/sell orders (potential reversal zone). EQH (Equal Highs): Resistance level — liquidity above. SSS (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep): Price sweeps below lows to trap sellers. CHoCH (Change of Character): Early sign of potential trend reversal. Green zone: Potential long/buy target area. Red zone: Stop-loss zone — invalidation area. Market Logic Shown Downtrend initially with a break of structure (BOS). Price forms Equal Highs (EQH) — potential liquidity resting above. Market sweeps sell-side liquidity (SSS) twice, collecting stop-losses from early buyers. A CHoCH is followed by bullish momentum — signs of reversal. A clear Bullish Order Block (OB) is marked as potential entry zone. Price is expected to: Dip into the OB zone Reject and bounce Break above EQH to continue the uptrend ✅ Strategy Shown Wait for price to enter the OB (3,346.78–3,344.28) Buy (Long Entry) inside OB Stop-loss: Below OB at 3,337.12 Take-profit: Around 3,398.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by m_zeeshan3644
AUDNZD Breakout Retest – Ready for the Next Bullish Leg? AUDNZD has broken out of a prolonged consolidation box, supported by a demand zone below. Price is currently retesting the breakout level, which often acts as a launchpad for the next move. 🧠 Key Observations: 🔷 Consolidation Breakout – Price cleanly broke above the consolidation range. 🔁 Retest in Progress – A potential bullish retest is unfolding at 1.0800 area. 🟦 Demand Zone below offers strong support around 1.0730–1.0750. 🎯 Target: 1.08750 (pre-identified resistance zone) ---------- 📌 Trade Plan: 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0875 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.0750 demand zone 🧭 Bias: Bullish 📊 Strategy: Breakout–Retest–Rally
Long
by ClearTradingMind
Gold Set to Rise If U.S.–Iran Tensions Escalate📊 Market Overview: Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation. 📉 Technical Analysis: •Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520. •Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320. •EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts. •Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz. On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: $3,358–3,365 🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450 🛑 SL: $3,344 🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise. 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70) 🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365 🛑 SL: $3,420 🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
[SeoVereign] Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – June 22, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Currently, Bitcoin appears to have entered a downward phase based on the counting criteria. A movement breaking below the S1 support line has been detected, which I previously mentioned as a signal to consider a mid-to-short term bearish trend. From a trend perspective, a bullish reversal has not yet occurred. The reason is that on the 20th, when the 105550 level was broken upward, a strong momentum-driven upward move did not follow. If a true trend reversal had occurred at that point, there should have been immediate strong buying pressure without a whipsaw movement after the breakout. However, the market quickly reversed downward, indicating that selling pressure still dominates. At that point, I was preparing a long idea, but as the bearish trend became clear, I chose not to upload it. At the same time, the 1.414 butterfly pattern I personally developed was confirmed, further supporting the continuation of the downward trend. As a result, I have continued to hold the Bitcoin short position that began with the idea on the 11th, and I plan to provide further analysis and idea updates as market movements unfold. I wish you sound judgment in the market and continued good fortune.
Short
by SeoVereign
1
NATURAL GAS XNGUSDCorrelations: Natural Gas, Bond Yields (US10Y), DXY, and Seasonal Patterns 1. Natural Gas and 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) Positive Correlation: Natural gas prices and the 10-year Treasury yield tend to move in tandem, driven by shared macroeconomic forces like inflation expectations and growth outlooks. Mechanism: Rising yields signal economic strength or inflation, boosting industrial/energy demand and gas prices. Conversely, falling yields often align with gas price declines during economic softening. 2. Natural Gas and US Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Relationship (Historically): A stronger dollar (DXY↑) typically pressures natural gas prices, as dollar-denominated commodities become costlier for global buyers, reducing demand. Exception: During extreme supply disruptions (e.g., geopolitical crises), a strong dollar and gas prices can rise together if global energy shortages override currency effects. Recent Weakness: This correlation has diminished in 2024–2025, with DXY and gas prices occasionally moving independently amid supply shocks (e.g., LNG export surges). 3. Seasonal Impact on Natural Gas (Winter vs. Summer) Winter (Peak Demand): Demand: Heating needs (residential/commercial) drive consumption to yearly highs (e.g., 30+ Bcf/d in U.S. residential use). Price Impact: Colder winters amplify price spikes, especially if storage inventories are low or supply chain disruptions occur. Summer (Secondary Peak): Demand: Electricity generation for cooling sustains demand, though typically below winter peaks. Price Impact: Heatwaves can cause short-term surges, but prices generally remain lower than in winter. 4. Seasonal Influence on Correlations Winter: US10Y Correlation Strengthens: Inflation fears from heating demand can push yields and gas prices higher together. DXY Correlation Weakens: Geopolitical supply risks (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) may decouple gas from dollar strength. Summer: US10Y Correlation Muted: Cooling demand is less inflation-sensitive, weakening the gas-yield link. DXY Correlation Resumes: Stronger dollar more consistently pressures gas prices absent winter-like crises. Key Drivers Macro growth/inflation expectations Global trade costs, currency flows Weather, storage levels Conclusion Natural gas exhibits a strong positive correlation with 10-year yields (driven by shared macro sensitivity) and a historically inverse link to the dollar (though recently unstable). Seasonal peaks in winter amplify gas-yield ties due to inflation risks, while summer realigns gas with dollar dynamics. Geopolitical or supply shocks can override these patterns, particularly in winter. #DOLLAR #GAS
FOREXCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD LONG AFTER A LTF BOSGOLD has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control. This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting. Price has already retraced back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders and there’s a liquidity sweep signaling a buy. We should be expecting a buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise. Entry: I’m buying from this Demand Zone. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum. Target: The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge. Stop Loss: To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone. If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal. ✅ Summary: • Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high. • Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities. • Buying upon the pullback into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AFOKE
1
GBPUSDDID YOU KNOW THAT YOUR COUNTRY CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ANOTHER CENTRAL BANK AND IS CALLED BIS(BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS )??? The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 at the Hague Conference, making it the world's oldest international financial institution. Its initial purpose was to facilitate the settlement of World War I reparations and to promote cooperation among central banks. The BIS trading market refers to the role of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a key intermediary and facilitator in global financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and central bank transactions BIS is a secretive institution with sovereign immunity that can move trillions without oversight. aka central bank of central banks in Basel Swissland with over 63 members in the world which are centrals banks of countries that make up 95% of world GDP. Key Points about BIS and Its Trading Market Role: Central Bank’s Central Bank: BIS acts as a bank for central banks and international organizations, providing banking services such as accounts, gold and currency transactions, asset management, and short-term collateralized loans. Market Intermediary: BIS frequently conducts large-scale transactions on behalf of central banks in the foreign exchange and gold markets. These trades are often substantial, reflecting central banks’ reserve management or monetary policy operations. Avoiding Market Misinterpretation: When BIS buys or sells currencies or assets, it is usually acting for a central bank, not itself, helping avoid markets mistaking these large trades for speculative or official government interventions. Forum for Cooperation: BIS provides a platform for central banks to exchange information, coordinate policies, and cooperate on monetary and financial stability, which indirectly influences market dynamics. Research and Statistics: BIS publishes data and analysis on global banking, FX, derivatives markets, and financial stability, supporting informed decision-making in the trading community. Summary The BIS trading market is not a public exchange but a specialized, high-level market where BIS facilitates and conducts financial transactions for central banks, particularly in foreign exchange and gold. Its activities help central banks manage reserves and implement monetary policy while fostering international financial cooperation. if you know you know because BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND ) and FED (FEDERAL RESERVE ) are members . GBPUSD 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ,INTEREST RATE ,INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE . 1. Current Rates and Yields Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Differential (UK - US) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 4.38% +0.16% (16 bps) Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% -0.25% to -0.01% UK Context: The Bank of England (BoE) held rates at 4.25% amid sticky inflation (3.4% YoY in May ) but signaled potential cuts in August. US Context: The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, prioritizing inflation control despite slowing growth . 2. Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage Yield Spread: The UK 10-year gilt yields 0.16% more than the US 10-year Treasury, creating a modest yield pickup for GBP-denominated bonds . Policy Rate Spread: The USD offers a 0.25% higher short-term rate (using the Fed’s 4.50% upper bound vs. BoE’s 4.25%) . Carry Trade Mechanics: GBP-USD Strategy: Borrow USD at 4.50% and invest in GBP assets at 4.54% (10-year gilt) for a net carry of +0.04%. USD-GBP Strategy: Borrow GBP at 4.25% and invest in USD assets at 4.38% (10-year Treasury) for a net carry of +0.13%. Key Risks: Currency Volatility: GBP/USD at 1.34–1.35 could erase gains if the dollar strengthens. Policy Shifts: BoE rate cuts (expected August 2025) may narrow the yield spread , while Fed cuts could reduce USD rate advantages . 3. Market Outlook UK Focus: Inflation persistence may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP yields near-term . US Focus: Fed’s "higher for longer" stance and tariff-related inflation risks could sustain USD yield appeal . Carry Viability: The USD-GBP strategy offers a slight edge (0.13% carry) but requires hedging against GBP appreciation risks. Summary Yield Advantage: UK 10-year gilts yield 0.16% more than US Treasuries, but USD short-term rates are 0.25% higher. Optimal Carry: Borrowing GBP to invest in USD assets (0.13% carry) is marginally favorable, though policy uncertainty warrants caution. Critical Factors: Monitor BoE/Fed rate decisions and GBP/USD trends for carry trade adjustments.
by Shavyfxhub
Gold Market Weekly: Analysis & OutlookI. Market Trends and Institutional Game Analysis This week, the gold price exhibited a typical volatile downward pattern, starting its correction from $3,450 on Monday and hitting an intraday low of $3,340 on Friday before rebounding sharply to around $3,370 ahead of the close. This movement essentially represents a "market washing" maneuver by institutions leveraging the short-term lull in Middle East tensions, with bears repeatedly attempting to push prices down by $10–$20 per round. However, each decline encountered significant resistance, starkly contrasting with the unilateral drop in April. Order flow characteristics indicate that bearish momentum has notably attenuated, with low-level selling appearing as a deliberately constructed "bear trap"—a signal reinforcing the unbroken medium-term upward trend of gold. II. Macro-fundamental Support for Gold's Resilience 1.Escalating U.S. Fiscal CrisisThe U.S. fiscal deficit has reached $1.4 trillion annually, and even the $80 billion revenue increment from tariff wars remains negligible in this context. More critically, the Trump administration’s proposed "Big Infrastructure Bill" is projected to add $4 trillion to the deficit, fundamentally eroding the credit of U.S. Treasuries and the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power. Historical data shows that fiscal deficit monetization consistently drives surges in gold’s safe-haven demand, meaning a decisive peak in gold prices remains unlikely until the deficit issue is resolved. 2.Hidden Geopolitical Risks in the Middle EastThe conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase, with Iran adopting a hardline stance in negotiations—demanding not only an immediate ceasefire from Israel but also accountability for war initiators and the retention of nuclear rights. Should the situation escalate abruptly over the weekend, the $110 correction seen this week could be fully reversed on the first trading day of next week. III. Investment Strategy: Capitalize on the "Correction Entry" Window The market currently exhibits the trait of "limited downside, unlimited upside": geopolitical risks and U.S. dollar depreciation expectations underpin gold’s floor, while unpriced macro uncertainties leave upward potential open. For investors, this correction presents an optimal opportunity to establish medium-to-long-term long positions. We recommend batch entry between $3,350–$3,380, targeting the $3,500 psychological level, with a stop-loss set below $3,320 to mitigate short-term volatility. Risk Warning : Closely monitor developments in the Middle East over the weekend and the pace of U.S. fiscal bill implementation, as sudden events may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025 Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction) Timeframe: 2H 🔍 Market Overview: AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point. ✳️ Technical Structure: 🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555) 🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May 🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense 🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression 🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario): Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing Entry: 0.6465–0.6475 Stop: Below 0.6440 Target 1: 0.6515 Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge) R/R: ~2.0+ 🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario): Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest Stop: Above 0.6480 Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone) Target 2: 0.6300 R/R: ~2.5+ The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict. Zoom in: Please Manage Your Risk... #AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
Short
by MJElahifx
2
GBPUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal GBPUSD - Classic bullish setup - Our team expects bullish continuation SUGGESTED TRADE: Swing Trade Long GBPUSD Entry Point - 1.3449 Stop Loss - 1.3413 Take Profit - 1.3520 Our Risk - 1% Start protection of your profits from lower levels Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
1
BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs. I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind. We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance. Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by eliasson89
1
Urgent Gold Market AnalysisUrgent Gold Market Analysis: Trading Strategies After Iran's Parliament Approves Closing the Strait of Hormuz I. Geopolitics: Market Reactions from "Threat" to "Action Countdown" Iran's parliament has formally approved closing the Strait of Hormuz, though final decision-making rests with the Supreme National Security Council. This news is like lighting a fuse on a powder keg—while an actual blockade hasn’t occurred, the market has started pricing in "probability risks". Historical data shows the Strait of Hormuz handles 21% of global oil consumption (about 21 million barrels per day). If blocked, oil prices could surge 10%-15% within 48 hours, directly fueling global inflation expectations. The current market contradiction lies in: - **Tug-of-war between short-term panic and long-term doubt**: Hardline Iranian advisors have publicly called for "immediately closing the strait and striking U.S. warships", but the Supreme National Security Council is still weighing the costs of "mutual destruction"—80% of Iran’s own oil exports depend on the strait. This "brinkmanship" has trapped gold in a "neither rising nor falling" range, similar to knowing a storm is coming but unsure when to open an umbrella. - **Signal game of military deployments**: The U.S. aircraft carrier Ford has arrived in the Arabian Sea, forming a three-carrier strike group with two others, while Iran has deployed missile boat clusters and electronic warfare units along the strait. This "tit-for-tat" posture makes gold’s safe-haven buying exhibit "event-driven" characteristics—each U.S. warship movement or Iranian missile drill triggers $5-$10 fluctuations in gold prices. The market now stands at the center of a teeter-totter: on the left is the "energy bomb" of the Strait of Hormuz, and on the right is the "recession ghost" of the U.S. economy. $3,350 is the balance point, and the meeting minutes of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council will be the key weight determining which way the teeter-totter tilts. Operationally, it is recommended to refresh vessel tracking data and U.S. military movements every 4 hours to avoid being blindsided by market surprises amid information lags. Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you XAUUSD buy@3370~3380 SL:3350 TP：3390~3400
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
#202525 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Full bear mode. Bulls still trying to make bears doubt it and we are not moving fast enough but we are also not making higher highs. We are close to my validation level for the bears, which is a daily close below 100k. I do think any print above 104k would invalidate my thesis. Targets for bears today/tomorrow are 98k and if we have enough momentum we see 90k. We are still seeing bigger tails above daily bars which means bulls are trying but since are printing lower lows for two weeks, they are failing. Bears now need to move strongly below 100k and then we can start the acceleration down. current market cycle: trading range until follow-through below 100k key levels: 100k - 111k bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest. Invalidation is a daily close below 100k - next support below 100k is 98k and then comes 93k bear case: Bears need to print below 100k and close below. That’s the whole story. Next targets below are then 98k and 93k, breakout-re-test prices. Until they achieve that, it’s slightly higher probability that we move sideways but this market won’t be able to hold above 100k if big indexes sell-off. Invalidation is above 107k short term: Bearish but could wait for confirmation below 100k. I doubt we get above 107k again and continue inside the range medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-22: Daily close below 100k is confirmation. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93k. I have no bullish for the next weeks/months. Once the gap to 97k closes we are likely in a bear trend again and I expect to hit at least 85k over the summer.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by priceactiontds
NZDUSD Breakout Alert | Bearish Wave Incoming?The bullish trendline that supported NZD/USD for over a month has finally been broken decisively, signaling a potential bearish reversal. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Price has rejected strong resistance around 0.6078 – 0.6100 Clean breakdown below the bullish trendline support Market structure shift confirmed on the 4H chart Bearish momentum is gaining strength with no signs of slowdown 📊 Bearish Scenario: Expecting a minor pullback toward 0.5950–0.5980 zone (potential retest) If resistance holds, likely continuation toward major support at 0.5490 ✅ Trade Idea: 📍 Sell on pullback below 0.5980–0.6000 zone 🎯 Target: 0.5700 → 0.5550 → 0.5490 ❌ SL above 0.6100 🔔 Watch closely for price action confirmation before committing – momentum is key. #NZDUSD #ForexAnalysis #Breakdown #TrendReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradingView #PriceAction
Short
by James-Pipstr
Gold in a Tug of War – Consolidation or Comeback?After a quiet trading week, XAUUSD is hovering around 3,368 USD, trapped between hawkish central bank policies and prolonged geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Despite safe-haven demand sparked by the Israel–Iran conflict, Fed, BOE, and SNB holding interest rates high conti From a technical perspective, gold is struggling to break through the 3,385 USD confluence resistance zone. A rejection at this level could trigger a short-term pullback toward 3,330 USD or lower. In my view, this is a healthy consolidation phase—not a reversal. Don’t underestimate the bulls. The long-term uptrenpullbacks may offer strate. What about you—do you believe gold is gearing up for another rally? Drop your take below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Edward_TradingFX