Bitcoin Daily double Top confirmed wait for more fall As we mentioned before the neckline of this Double top was 92K$ support zone and we were looking for breakout and now the Double Top formed well and market can get bearish soon.
Also major Resistance now is 90K$ to 92K$ resistance zone because resistance of 0.61% Fibonacci level of phase two dump is there + we may have a retest of neckline breakout and only if this resistance remain valid then we are in bear market and we are looking for more dump and targets like 72K$.
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Trend Analysis
SPY: A bit of a mixed bagSPY, anything less than a Dumpster Fire would be an understatement.
I go over my general thoughts as I have interpreted them from probability metrics. However, owning to the incredible prolonged ranginess post 2-years of continuous, non-stop upside, my traditional approaches to probability modelling are a bit shook and confused. This leads me to not a lot of confidence in what to expect in the longer term; however, confident about the shorter term outlook.
Here are the key take aways of my analysis that are based in the objective data:
SPY is expecting a -1.94% decline into the week (approximately 2%). This can come before upside, or can come after upside, but the expectation is that SPY falls roughly 2% at some point this week. This is calculated from SPY's open price on Monday. So if SPY opens at 594, we would subtract 1.94% from 594 or:
594 - (594 * 0.0194) = 582.48
We should be retracing the 591 range into Monday.
The target probability is bullish, with an expected upside target of around 600.
The best fit bearish target is 588 on the week.
We retain huge resistance at 597 that has provided significant resistance 20% of the time, according to modelled metrics.
We retain substantial resistance at 607, which has provided significant resistance 40% of the time, according to modelled metrics.
We retain ultimate resistance at 612, which has provided significant resistance 100% of the time.
Thanks for watching!
Bitcoin - Dump and Pump | Crypto resurrected - next 125,000 USDLast week Bitcoin and the whole crypto market dumped like crazy, but on Sunday at the start of March, the crypto market was resurrected from the abyss! After Trump's post, the crypto market pumped in a very short period of time. But let's take a look at the technicals.
The price dropped below the rectangular range but then pumped back into the range. What does it tell us? Usually, what we want to see is a breakdown of the range, retest, and continuation to the downside. In this case, the price failed to retest the range and instead went back to the range, which is a sign of strength. Currently, we want to look for a good price to buy BTC for the final stage of the bull cycle. I expect this bullish cycle to end in Q3 2025, around September.
The price of Bitcoin is inside this huge ascending parallel channel on the daily chart, and as long as this channel holds, we have to be bullish. Let's take a look also at the weekly timeframe. What we can see here is a bullish hammer with an extremely long wick (reversal candle). The price also got rejected from the 20-weekly moving average.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Ethereum Is Now Oversold (RSI & More Proof)Overextended. I opened this chart and there was no doubt, this move is already over-extended, the bearish move that is. I had to add the RSI to show it to you.
See, the RSI is oversold and the lowest since August 2024. Needless to say, when the RSI went this low in August it produced a reversal and a strong bullish wave. Now, it will do the same.
Very, very low volume on the drop. Just notice the bars, look at the chart. Isn't it clear?
I mean, based on technical analysis. I admit that the chart signals can be ignored and the market move against all odds, but normally, they work. It is the only tool we have available to try and predict what will happen next. The Ethereum chart is saying, "A reversal is coming, prices are about to start moving up. Get ready!"
Thank you for reading.
By the way, we are going beyond 11K.
Namaste.
Gold in a complex scenario! What do you need to know?Gold in a complex scenario! What do you need to know at this moment?
In our previous analysis, gold adhered to the reversal zone, and we identified a substantial Bearish Harmonic Pattern, signaling a potential further decline in price. However, with the impact of Trump's new tariffs and the Ukraine-Russia deal causing fluctuations in the market, we must be careful
Bearish Scenario:
Currently, the price is below a significant zone. At the market's opening, gold may rise to 2871 - 2880. Should the price remain below this area, gold is likely to decline further as shown on the chart (Red Scenario)
Bullish Scenario:
Conversely, if the price makes a decisive move above the red zone at 2880, we must be vigilant as bullish momentum could increase substantially, driving gold back up toward the previous high of the old structure, as shown on the chart (BlueScenario)
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price dropped to the trend line before starting an upward movement. In a short period, Gold climbed to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, even briefly breaking through it. After a retest, the price resumed its upward trajectory. Later, Gold reached the resistance level, which aligned with the resistance zone, and even entered this area before making a corrective move. It then returned to the resistance zone, went through another correction, and quickly pushed back into the same area, breaking the resistance level in the process. Gold traded above the resistance zone for a while before reversing and starting to decline. Soon after, the price fell to the support level, breaking through the 2915 mark along with the trend line. However, not long ago, XAU changed direction and started climbing again. In my view, XAUUSD is likely to rise a bit further before resuming its downward movement. If it reaches the support level, there’s a possibility of a breakout, leading to further declines. With this in mind, my target is set at 2800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast:
73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 78181.05 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 98489.63, 101430.12, 105431.17 and more heights is expected.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take Profits:
94200.00
98489.63
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
130000.00
134142.91
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DOGEUSDT is near major daily support zonesWe are looking for rise and gain for the price from major daily supports like 0.19$ or 0.12$ and only from these supports rise and pump is expected once again.
second support can also easily touch because market is now bearish.
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TradeCityPro | XRP: Key Levels After Major Market News👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review XRP, one of the most significant coins in the market. Yesterday, a major news update was released about XRP, and with a market cap of $156 billion, it currently ranks 3rd on CoinMarketCap.
📰 Important News Update
Before starting the analysis, let’s go over the major news regarding this project. Yesterday, former U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted that he plans to add a crypto reserve to the U.S. Treasury, stating that major cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, and XRP would be purchased by the U.S. Treasury.
✅ This is extremely bullish news for the market. As we saw yesterday, Bitcoin made a strong, sharp move, and the altcoins listed in the announcement also experienced massive price surges. For example, XRP surged by 30% following the news.
💥 I will discuss Bitcoin and other coins in future analyses, so make sure to check out today’s Bitcoin analysis, where I’ll also cover long-term scenarios.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, as seen on the chart, after bouncing along the ascending trendline, XRP confirmed its breakout above $0.73056, which initiated the main bullish leg, pushing the price up to $3.06717.
🧩 $3.06717 is the all-time high (ATH) and a major supply zone.If XRP can hold above this level, the next bullish leg could begin.
✨ In the event of a correction, the only key support visible on the weekly timeframe is $1.67220. For further support levels, we need to analyze lower timeframes.
🔍 The RSI oscillator has exited the overbought zone and returned to normal levels.If RSI re-enters overbought conditions, the bullish scenario becomes more likely.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, the first key observation is a strong bearish divergence on the RSI, which formed as price moved sideways inside the range between $2.02967 and $3.30467.
⚡️ The trigger for this divergence is a break below $2.02967, which has not yet happened.
Looking at market volume, after the $0.72448 breakout, volume significantly increased. However, volume has been gradually decreasing since the formation of the range.
📊 A drop in volume before a breakout often signals that a breakout is approaching.If volume continues to decline, be prepared for a potential breakout and enter positions accordingly once triggers are confirmed.
📉 If the range breaks downward, and the PRZ at $2.02967 is lost, XRP could enter a deeper correction toward key Fibonacci levels such as 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618.
💫 These three Fibonacci levels are strong support zones, which could prevent a further sell-off.
📈 On the bullish side, if the range breaks to the upside, a new bullish leg will begin, pushing XRP toward higher targets.If this bullish breakout happens, I will update the analysis with potential new targets.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Let’s now analyze the 4-hour timeframe and identify futures trading triggers.
🔍 After the drop from the $3.36021 peak, the price reached the bottom of the range, and market volume significantly decreased.This signaled that a major move was approaching.
🔑 As seen on the chart, the release of the U.S. Treasury Crypto Reserve news triggered an explosive move, pushing XRP up to $2.95244.
🔽 For futures trading, the closest short trigger is a break below $2.30010.For earlier short entries, we need to wait for a new structure to form.
🛒 For long positions, if $2.95244 is broken, a long entry can be considered.The main resistance for spot buying and the key long position trigger is at $3.36021.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the com
EURUSD: Classic Gap TradeI see a nice gap up on 📉EURUSD
As always, chances are high that it will be filled soon.
As the pair approached a significant daily resistance level, it started showing signs of a potential downward trend.
I noticed a clear break below a support line in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the hourly chart.
This suggests that the pair could soon decline and potentially reach the 1.0377 level.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has reached the bottom of the ascending channel after a correction, increasing the probability of a new bullish wave.
A significant resistance zone is still ahead, which the price must break through to confirm further upside movement.
If the resistance is broken, the next target will be the top of the channel.
What do you think? Will EUR/USD break the resistance?
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USDJPY: Short-Term Bullish Reversal?I'm noticing a strong bullish reaction from buyers at a key daily support level on the 📈USDJPY chart.
After testing the highlighted blue zone, the price entered consolidation, forming a small horizontal range on the daily timeframe.
The breakout above the range resistance signals strong buying momentum. We expect further upside, with a target of at least 151.51.
GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2425
2nd Support – 1.2316
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GBPUSD SELL & BUY TRADE PLANS🔵 Primary Trade Setup – Bullish Reversal Buy
🔹 Market Structure: HTF bullish correction, liquidity targeting sell-side before continuation.
🔹 Liquidity Engineering: Sell stops below 1.2500 likely to be taken before reversal.
🔹 Order Block & Smart Money Execution: H4/D1 Bullish OB at 1.2450–1.2500.
📍 Entry Zone (Buy Limit Pending Order): 1.2450 – 1.2500
📍 Stop Loss (SL) – Institutional SAFE Zone: Below 1.2420
📍 Take Profits (TPs) – Liquidity Targets:
✔ TP1: 1.2600 (H1 internal liquidity pool).
✔ TP2: 1.2650 (Liquidity grab above structure).
✔ TP3: 1.2700 (Final Institutional Target).
🎯 Risk-to-Reward (RR): Minimum 1:4 R:R on TP2, 1:6 on TP3.
✅ Trade Type: Swing Trade / Intraday (Valid for 3–5 Days).
✅ Confidence Level: HIGH – Strong confluence from OB, liquidity, and structure.
📌 Execution Rules:
✔ Aggressive Entry: Pending Buy Limit Order at 1.2450–1.2500.
✔ Safe Entry: Wait for M15/H1 bullish rejection after liquidity grab before entering.
✔ Invalidate Setup IF: Price breaks below 1.2400 with strong bearish momentum.
🔴 Secondary Trade Setup – Bearish Sell (Only if conditions align)
🔹 Market Structure: Short-term bearish retracement possible before continuation.
🔹 Liquidity Engineering: Buy-side liquidity above 1.2650 likely to be targeted before a drop.
🔹 Order Block & Smart Money Execution: H4/D1 Bearish OB at 1.2650–1.2700.
📍 Entry Zone (Sell Limit Pending Order): 1.2635–1.2665
📍 Stop Loss (SL) – Institutional SAFE Zone: Above 1.2720
📍 Take Profits (TPs) – Liquidity Targets:
✔ TP1: 1.2580 (H1 internal liquidity).
✔ TP2: 1.2500 (Key discount zone).
✔ TP3: 1.2450 (Final target in deep discount).
🎯 Risk-to-Reward (RR): Minimum 1:4 R:R on TP2, 1:6 on TP3.
✅ Trade Type: Intraday / Short-Term Swing (Valid for 24–48 Hours).
✅ Confidence Level: Medium – Only valid IF liquidity is taken above 1.2650 first.
📌 Execution Rules:
✔ Aggressive Entry: Pending Sell Limit Order at 1.2635–1.2665.
✔ Safe Entry: Wait for M15/H1 bearish rejection after liquidity grab before selling.
✔ Invalidate Setup IF: Price closes above 1.2730 with bullish momentum.
📊 🔥 FINAL INSTITUTIONAL DECISION & EXECUTION PLAN
✔ Would I take this trade?
✅ YES – Only pending limit orders for optimal Smart Money execution.
✔ Key Confirmations:
✅ Liquidity Sweeps:
BUY: Needs sell-side liquidity grab below 1.2500.
SELL: Needs buy-side liquidity grab above 1.2650.
✅ Market Structure: Bullish retracement, with MSS & BOS confirming liquidity engineering.
✅ Institutional Zones: BUY at 1.2450–1.2500 | SELL at 1.2650–1.2700.
✔ Execution Plan:
🔹 BUY Limit: 1.2450–1.2500 | SL: 1.2423 | TPs: 1.2550, 1.2600, 1.2650
🔹 SELL Limit: 1.2650–1.2700 | SL: 1.2725 | TPs: 1.2600, 1.2550, 1.2500
Market Update - 3/2/2025Strong relative strength in car related names, especially from China, but finance names especially in insurance and credit, as well as real estate seem to be the leaders. All of these I'm reading as positive signs given these are cyclicals. On Friday we had an accumulation day on the AMEX:IWM which is my first sign to start looking for good RS stocks for potential entry in case we start a new uptrend. I think short term the market is oversold and next week we'll see a rally, but I'm not sure long term if that rally can hold.
Either way, I still don't have any positions and did not buy anything the whole week, so I'm still cautious and in protective mode.
Most overbought in 10 years !? I've used 3 forms of technical analysis to make a case for a major top forming in the European markets. If this turns around, it could lead to a 10% selloff very quickly and if this transforms into a bear market then 20% drop is totally on the cards. Nothing goes up forever.
GOLD → Local downtrend, price under bearish pressureFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since Friday. Standard reaction to the false break of the support at 2834. Price is still in a selling zone and heading for resistance before a possible pullback to the downside.
The $ has strengthened strongly over the past week and looks poised to continue its rise, but it all depends on the tariff war, economic risks and regulatory policy in the US.
Markets are reacting to attempts to regulate the war in eastern Europe. Ahead are Fed statements and US economic data.
On 4H, gold is trading flat 2881 - 2834. Below 2881 gold is under bearish pressure (selling zone). But, due to the liquidity created in the 2878 - 2881 area, gold may test the area of interest before returning to the downside.
Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2881
Support levels: 2859, 2834
At the moment consolidation is forming below 2869 (0.5 fibo) after a false breakdown. If the bears keep the price under the level, the decline may start earlier. We also have another trigger - 2859. A breakdown of this support will trigger a sell-off and liquidation, which may lead to a fall to 2834.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish After the Market Opening
Friday's turmoil in the White House pumped Gold prices
during the New York session.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I see 2 confirmed bullish signals:
the price broke both the resistance line of a falling channel
and a neckline of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
Odds are high, that the price will grow more and reach at least 2864 level
after the opening.
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