(XAU/USD) 3H Chart – Bearish Reversal Setup from Resistance Zon1. Entry Point (Sell):
Marked at 3,335.03
This is a key resistance level where price is expected to reverse downward.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above at 3,354.88
This acts as a protection level in case the trade goes against the direction.
3. Take Profit Targets (EA Target Points):
TP1 (Downside): 3,245.65
TP2 (Upside - if Stop Loss is hit): 3,455.76 (in case of reversal or long position)
4. Price Action Observation:
Price is currently around 3,320.56, climbing back toward the entry zone.
The red 50-period moving average (EMA) and blue 200-period MA show convergence, often preceding volatility.
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📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Setup)
Sell Bias is expected from the 3,335 region.
If price respects the resistance zone and breaks down again, the target is 3,245.65, yielding approximately 90-point move.
This is a risk-reward favorable setup, with:
Risk: ~20 points
Reward: ~90 points
RRR ≈ 1:4.5
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⚠️ Bullish Invalidity (Stop Loss Hit)
If the price breaks and closes above 3,354.88, it invalidates the bearish setup.
Then, the market may shift towards targeting 3,455.76 — about 100 points to the upside.
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🔧 Technical Factors Supporting the Setup
Supply zone marked by the purple box around the entry.
Trend previously bearish — recent upward move may just be a retracement.
Confluence with MAs: Price is testing MAs — rejection here would add bearish confirmation.
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✅ Summary of Trade Setup
Element Value
Entry 3,335.03
Stop Loss 3,354.88
Take Profit 3,245.65
Alt Target 3,455.76 (if SL hit)
Risk-Reward ~1:4.5
Bias Bearish (Sell Setup)
Trend Analysis
Bitcoin can turn around from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price previously broke above the support line and made a strong bullish move from the buyer zone (99300–100500 points). After the breakout, the price started rising steadily and is now approaching the Seller Zone (108500–109500), which also coincides with the resistance line of the downward channel. This area has shown strong bearish pressure in the past. Every time the price entered this zone, it quickly reversed. It’s a key area where many traders seek short-term opportunities. Currently, price is just entering this zone again and showing early signs of weakening momentum. Given the channel's structure, past price behavior near this resistance level, and the presence of the seller zone, I expect BTCUSD to turn around soon. Once the price rejects this level, I anticipate a reversal and a move back into the channel, continuing the downward trajectory. My first target is set at 103000 points, near the center of the range and above the support level (100500). This area has been tested multiple times before and may act as a strong buffer again. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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USD/JPY Bearish Breakdown Targets 138 & 132USD/JPY Bearish Breakdown Setup (Daily Chart)
USD/JPY breaks below rising wedge support near 144, signaling potential downside. Price targets are marked at 138.051 (first target) and 132.480 (second target), indicating possible continued weakness if the bearish momentum holds.
#ADAUSDT: Is the crypto hype finally over? ADAUSDT is likely to drop first then it can reverse and continue the bullish move upwards of previous all time high. Before we can confirm any entry on this pair we need strong confirmation which will allow us to predict a correct and accurate swing move.
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Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18466.Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement continues. The five-wave impulse is not over yet, and I see that the price is now in the upward wave “3” of the higher order and in the upward wave “3” of the lower order.
Therefore, I expect a small correction to the 1.16165 area, after which I expect the price to reach at least the 1.18466 resistance area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3450 (Wave 3).Colleagues, it seems that the correction turned out to be a little deeper than I thought. This means that wave “1” of the middle order has been formed and now correction wave “2” is ending. I still expect an upward movement.
I believe that the maximum of wave “1” — the resistance area of 3450 — will be reached within wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OIL Price ForecastOIL Price Forecast
In this video, I break down the potential price developments for oil in the weeks ahead.
So far, the price action appears contracted, suggesting a period of consolidation.
However, after this pause, a further decline remains the most likely scenario.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
GBPCAD 4H long setupGBPCAD 4H Spring 💡 | Smart Money Accumulation Before Expansion
Watching a textbook Wyckoff spring unfold here on the 4H.
After a multi-day rally, price retraced, and liquidity built up just above 1.8713. What happened next?
🔻 We got a liquidity sweep, tagging below 1.8687 — then a sharp rejection wick back into the range. That’s the spring.
🧠 Why this matters:
Liquidity below the range is now likely cleared.
Smart money triggered stops and may now flip positioning.
Buyer momentum reclaiming the broken zone signals strength returning.
🎯 My Play:
Long entry after reclaim above 1.8713
Stop below 1.8687 wick low
Targeting 1.8828 > 1.8830 as TP1
Extended TP at 1.8928 — aligning with prior supply zone
⚠️ Invalidation if we lose 1.8685 with momentum and no absorption.
This is not a chase trade — it’s a calculated entry after weak hands were shaken out. Let the market prove strength, then ride the reversion.
📈 If this spring holds, I expect continuation toward prior highs.
uRgEnT: BiTcOrN dOmInAnCe Es Baut 2 cRaSh !?📣 "BiTcOrN dOmInAnCe Es Baut 2 cRaSh"
🤡 Crypto clowns are shouting across all social media platforms, pointing to two bearish signals that have appeared on the BTC.D chart.
😅 What’s funny is that, in their rush to write their “deeeep” analytical posts and copy one another, they don’t even notice that this exact same setup failed just a few months ago. 🔙
🤔 Yes, both the "Rising Wedge" pattern and the "Bearish Divergence" are technically reversal signals — but only when we’re talking about an asset, not an indicator.
And Bitcoin Dominance is an indicator, not a tradable asset — it reflects overall market sentiment, not something you speculate on directly.
🐋 Anyway, like I’ve said before:
I’m still expecting another breakout to new highs from BTC — and until that happens, there won’t be a true reversal in BTC.D. 📉
Yes, altcoins are starting to look pretty solid and may be gearing up for a bounce, but that’ll likely just be a short-term rally — it’s definitely not going to be an altseason in July like in 2017 or 2021 (please stop sending me that nonsense). 🤣
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support area📊 Technical Analysis
● Bullish rebound from the green 3 250-3 300 demand, where the rising-channel base and May’s inner trend-line intersect, prints a higher low and invalidates the prior break.
● Price is reclaiming the channel median; a push through 3 378 unlocks the June swing cap at 3 434, while risk is contained by the fresh pivot turned support at 3 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US ISM-Mfg prices and a dip in 2-yr yields eased dollar pressure, while IMF data show another uptick in official gold purchases—both restoring near-term bid.
✨ Summary
Long 3 300-3 320; hold above aims 3 378 → 3 434. Invalidate below 3 250.
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GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement.
The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%.
Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy.
Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high...
Resistance levels: 3347, 3358
Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311
The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDCHF AUDCHF is preparing to break through support and fallWeak market structure. Gradually declining lows and no reaction to support at 0.5211. Buyers are trying to keep the price above 0.5211, but under market pressure their strength is weakening.
Relative to 0.5211, we see the formation of consolidation, which is of a “pre-breakdown” nature.
Accordingly, a break below the 0.5211 support level could trigger the activation of buyers' SL orders, leading to liquidation and a downward price distribution.
Potential targets include 0.518 and 0.5164.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We said we would stick with the plan and look for the higher levels on Gold, which we did and worked well. Once we approached the red box however, you'll notice we broke straight through it. The indicators then gave us numerous long signals which meant we either got in with the madness of the move, or, simple waited for the red box target to hit and then attempt the short on the RIP, which is moving nicely at the moment.
Now resistance is on the flip 3350 with support below 3333-5 which is we're we are looking for a potential bounce. We have made a big move today so not expecting much towards the end of the session.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us?
On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign.
Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market.
Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8
Support levels: 149.36, 147.93
In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers...
Best regards, R. Linda!
NQ Short (07-01-25)YTD Open level is Blue line below. NAZ up 8% YTD and 40% from YTD low. We may see 8-10% range be the drop zone and retest the YTD Open Level. 22,800 -21,800 has been an extremely low volume 1,000 1 way ride up (not seeing any selling). We should see the sell side show up as NAZ should drop back in the 1,000 soft zone.
4HR YTD Chart below:
TESLA I Its not only EV Cars. Elon Musk predicting 1000% growthThis is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions.
Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company.
📍 Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment
Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments.
💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology.
📍 What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars
Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions:
📍 Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation.
📍 Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs.
📍 Charging Infrastructure : Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs.
Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops.
📍 Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation.
📍 Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets.
This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications.
The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal.
🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits.
I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
GBPJPY sitting at resistance – Is a drop to 193.360 likely?GBPJPY is sitting right at a key daily resistance zone. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed strongly to the downside. So this makes it definitely one to monitor, especially if you’re eyeing potential short setups.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, strong bearish candles, it could be the early indication of another move lower. My focus is on a moderate drop toward the 193.360 area, similar to what we’ve seen in past pullbacks. Nothing too dramatic, just a simple downside play if sellers step in again.
But if we get a strong breakout? That changes everything: it would hint that bulls are taking full control. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,330 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,330 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dollar I Daily CLS I Model 1 I Time for pullbackHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
S&P500 Bullish Leg not over yet.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 07 Low and is currently unfolding the latest Bullish Leg.
As you can see, it is far from having topped, not just by a plain trend-line (Higher Highs) perspective but also based on the Fibonacci and % rise terms relative to the previous Bullish Leg.
That peaked after a +7.10% rise, a little above the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, a 6330 Target on the short-term is more than fitting.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin Recovers Above 105,000, Extremely Bullish +AltcoinsBitcoin produced only two days red, a bear-trap, and is now trading daily back above $107,000, an extremely bullish development.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having wonderful day.
The altcoins market bull market is confirmed and what Bitcoin is currently doing gives further strength to the bullish case and bias. It will be only a matter of days before the entire altcoins market turns strongly bullish with major momentum.
The range is still valid though, $100,000 - $110,000. But this time around the upper-boundary is likely to break and the last ATH tested, a new all-time high is even possible and also highly probable which is what will propelled the altcoins to hit multi-year highs and some even new all-time highs. Many pairs will move ahead.
With each passing day, the Cryptocurrency market will continue to heat up. We can expect growth long-term.
The 2025 bullish cycle started with the 7-April market low. The start of the third wave started 22-June and should go for 2-3 months. Then we will have a correction, the fourth wave followed by one final jump, the fifth wave.
We can expect growth now and all through late 2025. The entire period will be bullish. Only when the marketwide correction comes there will be a pause but many pairs will grow even at this point.
Choose wisely. Low risk vs high potential for reward.
Aim high. Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.