Trend Analysis
GOLD H1 Update: Expect correction 2900/2950 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (April 3rd, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️5 wave impulse completed
▪️Expect correction now
▪️Tariffs already priced in
▪️Profit taking in progress now
▪️Price Target BEARS 2900/2950 USD
▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallied
▪️target is 2900/2950 USD
📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025
📈 Gold Hits All-Time High!
🚀 Price spiked to $3,167.84/oz after Trump announced sweeping tariffs (10–34%) on global imports.
🌎 Investors rushed to safe-haven assets amid rising trade war fears.
📉 Volatility Followed
💸 Sharp pullback after the surge as markets reacted to global uncertainty.
🔁 Analysts expect more swings as tensions evolve.
🏦 Central Banks Buying More Gold
🛡️ A move to protect against currency risks & inflation fears.
EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT The Beginning of a New Downtrend!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go back to the day when Trump imposed tariffs on the United States again, causing stocks and cryptocurrencies to fall and gold to rise. Let's take a look at our attractive altcoin chart
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign.
Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend.
There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure.
For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position.
📉 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, the power is in the hands of the sellers! After the parabolic line broke, we experienced a Sharpe decline, accompanied by the formation of a lower ceiling and floor, which has continued our downward trend.
The parabolic movement itself is a very rapid and bullish movement, and every time the price hits it, it quickly returns to its trend and is supported, but when this line is broken, that trend is practically over and we suffer, or we experience a Sharpe decline like this chart!
After the drop and the formation of a box between 5.136 and 6.491, the selling force was clearly evident in this space, because the last time we moved towards the ceiling of 6.491, we could not reach this ceiling and we were rejected earlier.
This rejection made us return to this support faster with a number of red candles, unlike the previous attempt where we moved up with a larger number of candles. Yesterday's daily candle also engulfed the previous 3 candles and is exactly ready to break 5.136.
If today's daily candle closes in the same way, the probability of a drop in the coming days will increase and increase. If you are a holder of this coin, it is logical to sell and after returning to the box and breaking its ceiling, buy with the same number of Tethers and reduce the probability of a drop and loss of capital for yourself!
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
SPY with the cluster resistance rection! boost and follow for more 🔥 spy continues to break below the 557 level pivot level, I sold all my shares on the first break below last friday and have not added any back this week.
that reclaim of 557 pivot level this week only led to a cluster resistance rejection which was another bearish sign, I dont like longs right now unless we reclaim 446. for now bearish action can continue.
we will see I will keep monitoring SPY as always! GLTA
ETHUSDT - Bearish Continuation Within a Descending StructureMarket Overview:
Ethereum (ETH) remains in a well-defined downtrend, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. The market structure remains bearish, with price respecting the descending trendline. Currently, ETH is showing signs of a corrective move within this broader downtrend, approaching a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) region that could act as a supply zone before a potential continuation to the downside.
Technical Insights:
- The long-term downtrend is intact, as demonstrated by the trendline resistance capping any bullish attempts at recovery. Until price successfully breaks above this trendline with strong momentum, the bearish outlook remains dominant.
- A major support level has been tested multiple times, indicating strong demand in this area. However, repeated retests of support without significant bullish follow-through increase the likelihood of a breakdown.
- The price is currently retracing into an FVG region, which aligns with previous structural resistance. This could serve as an ideal area for sellers to re-enter the market, pushing price lower towards new lows.
Potential Scenario:
If price rejects the FVG zone and fails to break above the descending trendline, the bearish trend is expected to resume. A strong rejection here could lead to increased selling pressure, targeting the key support zone below. If this support breaks, ETH could see a continuation of its larger downtrend, potentially reaching lower price levels.
Risk Considerations:
While the overall trend remains bearish, traders should be cautious of any sudden shifts in momentum that could invalidate the bearish thesis. A strong bullish breakout above the descending trendline would suggest a change in market structure, requiring a reassessment of the outlook. Additionally, macroeconomic factors and broader market sentiment, including Bitcoin’s movement, could influence Ethereum’s price action.
Conclusion:
ETH remains in a clear downtrend, with price currently testing a critical FVG zone within a bearish structure. Unless a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to continue its descent, with sellers targeting the major support area. Traders should closely monitor price action in the FVG zone for confirmation of the next move.
BTC - Crawling back up after Trump's tariffs.🚀 BTCUSDT - 4H Chart Analysis 🚀
📊 Market Context:
Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp move, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that price is now retracing into. The large gap in price action was influenced by recent economic uncertainty and speculation around Trump's tariffs.
📌 Technical Insights:
🔹 Price rebounded strongly from the support zone 📈.
🔹 Now approaching the FVG, where sellers may step in.
🔹 A potential lower high formation could lead to a continuation downward.
📉 Trade Expectation:
If price shows signs of rejection within the FVG, we could see a bearish move unfold towards previous support levels. The red arrow highlights the expected move if the resistance holds.
⚠️ Market Caution: Given the macroeconomic impact of recent events, volatility remains high. Always wait for confirmation before making decisions!
📢 Do you think BTC will reject this zone or push higher? Drop your thoughts below! 💬🔥🚀
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout
The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility.
Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone.
Resistance levels: 0.84600
Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396
The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout).
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle.
** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 **
As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze.
This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50.
** The Transition Month **
In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month.
** What's next? **
As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top.
But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Is 5,700 the New 6,000?The S&P 500 has struggled recently, and some traders may see risk of further downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the three-day jump above 5,700 early last week. The move peaked around the January low of 5,773. It also represented a false breakout above the November low of 5,696.50.
In other words, two former support levels have emerged as new resistance.
It’s also reminiscent of the price action in January and February, when failure to hold 6,000 triggered selling.
Next, last week’s high occurred at the 200-day simple moving average. That may suggest the longer-term uptrend has ended.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained below the 21-day EMA. That may indicate that a shorter-term downtrend has begun.
Finally, given the weakening momentum, traders may start eyeing longer-term levels for potential support. One potential spot could be the September low of 5,403, followed by the August trough of 5,119.
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GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.30950 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin At $250,000 In 2025: Bull-Market Entry (Buy) Zone ActiveBitcoin's 2025 bull-market buy-zone is still active. Actually, Bitcoin is at a great price right now. We are aiming for a target of $250,000 for this cycle. We are looking at the bottom right now, literally. Any buy below $90,000 is extremely good and below $80,000 a dream come-true. This will be obvious in just a matter of weeks.
How are you feeling today?
I hope the start of the weekend is treating you good.
This is a friendly reminder, Bitcoin has been sideways for months. When Bitcoin drops, it drops but, currently, there are no new lows.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and produced a double-top in January 2025. A small retrace and that's it; the accumulation phase is ongoing and the buy-zone active.
There are many signals that support a correction bottom being in. We looked at these already so you will have to trust me. Leverage is possible on this setup. Leverage for a long-term trade. This is the best possible scenario and the best type of trade.
No complexities. No calculators. No fees. No interest, just buy and hold.
Wait patiently... It will be a very strong rise and the Altcoins will grow even more than Bitcoin. The entire Cryptocurrency market will produce maximum growth.
This post is intended to alert of you a great entry-timing. Great prices as well but timing right now is great. We might have to wait a bit longer, it won't move right away, but with this price you can't go wrong.
I am wishing you tons of profits in 2025 and financial success.
Thank you for reading.
If you are new, feel free to follow.
Master Ananda for you (formerly Alan Santana).
Namaste.
BITCOIN Outlook: Watch for a Drop Toward $85100COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a key resistance level, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 85,100$, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure.
However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Bitcoin may continue grow inside upward channel to seller zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can observe how Bitcoin corrected down to the support level, which also aligned with the buyer zone. From there, the price started to rise. It didn’t take long for BTC to reach the resistance level, which matched up with the seller zone. After breaking through that level, the price began consolidating within a range. Throughout this range, Bitcoin tested the upper boundary several times, but on the last attempt, it reversed and began to decline. The drop continued until it broke through the 86500 level, effectively exiting the range and pushing lower toward the next support. Once the price reached that area, it broke below the level and even dipped under the buyer zone, but quickly reversed and started climbing within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC pushed up to the 83500 level, broke through it again, and maintained bullish momentum. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading within the channel, and I anticipate a potential correction back to the lower boundary of the channel, followed by continued growth toward the seller zone and a break of the resistance. For this scenario, my target is set at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-3 : GAP Breakaway PatternFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and accolades related to my calling this breakdown (nearly 60+ days ago).
Did I get lucky having these new tariffs announced, causing the markets to break downward? Probably.
Did my research suggest the markets were going to break downward anyway? YES.
Did my research predict these tariffs? NO.
My research is specifically price-based. You'll notice I don't use many indicators, other than my proprietary price pressure and momentum indicators.
The purpose of what I'm trying to teach all of you is that price is the ultimate indicator. You can use other indicators if you find them helpful. But, you should focus on the price chart and try to learn as much as you can from the price chart (without any indicators).
Why, because I believe price tells us everything we need to know and we can react to price more efficiently than getting confused by various technical indicators.
At least, that is what I've found to be true.
Today's pattern suggests more selling is likely. After the markets open, I suggest there will be a bunch of longs that will quickly be exited and shorts that will be exited (pulling profits). Thus, I believe the first 30-60 minutes of trading could be extremely volatile.
My extended research suggests the markets will continue to try to move downward (over the next 60+ days) attempting to find the Ultimate Low. But, at this point, profits are profits and we all need to BOOK THEM if we have them.
We can always reposition for the next breakdown trade when the timing is right.
Gold and Silver are moving into a PANIC selling phase. This should be expected after the big tariff news. Metals will recover over the next 3-5+ days. Get ready.
BTCUSD is really not moving on this news. Kinda odd. Where is BTCUSD as a hedge or alternate store of value? I don't see it happening in price.
What I do see is that BTCUSD is somewhat isolated from this tariff news and somewhat isolated from the global economy. It's almost as if BTCUSD exists on another planet - away from global economic factors.
Still, I believe BTCUSD will continue to consolidate, attempting to break downward over the next 30+ days.
Remember, trading is about BOOKING PROFITS and moving onto the next trade. That is what we all need to focus on today.
Get Some.
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THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
It’s been a decent week on the markets even with extreme movement we’ve managed to navigate the charts and end yesterday with a what looks like a full house of targets completed. For that reason, we have made the decision to not come back to the markets until next week. We’re sharing the levels, they are extreme, but it’s moving like there’s no tomorrow. Take it with a pinch of salt, less experienced traders, don’t even think about it. NFP and FOMC are the days most traders lose money and blow accounts, can you imagine what can happen during these market conditions.
Key level here 3135 to 3140, price needs to break above and support to target 3155-65, which in this scenario can be broken so above that the extreme level 3190-95.
Below, the break of 3110, this time could give us the breaker swing attempting to break and hold below 3000, this is what we ideally want to see, with price attempting to target that 3050 level again.
If it plays it plays, we’ll watch and the better trade set ups will come next week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 65.268.We need to talk about one important nuance. Many people ask “Hellena, you say you can't buy oil, but it's going up. Well, it is, yes. But all my data and wave markings suggest that the price will soon start a downward movement. There are major changes in geopolitics and I am not in a position to stop them. I just set a stoploss and wait for the trade that will bring me profit.
Now coming to the forecast, I think that the downward movement will start soon, but before it, the price may rise quite high, maybe even to the area of 74.000.
But the main direction is the support area of 65.268.
There are 2 possible ways to enter the trade:
1) Entry at market price.
2) Limit pending sell orders if the price starts an upward movement to the area of 74.484.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SPY going up to 593 by middle of AprilThe market is going to be bullish after the bearish move we just witnessed recently. Typically, I switch to the weekly format to see a larger move. You can see on the weekly chart, the Stoch RSI is turning bullish. I recently made a 3-day format which shows the indicators are already showing a bullish trend. I will post the 3 day chart/indicators as well as the weekly chart after this chart in my notes.
TARGETS:
53 point move: 599
1.618 move: 593.77
11 bar moves: April 17
**If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade.
** I will keep a close watch when the SPY hits 1 fib retracement at 575
** I changed my wording from 'day' to 'bar' moves
STOPS:
1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick,
2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks,
3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or
4) a specific dollar amount per contract.
**If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade.
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks.
1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks.
2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better.
3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.)
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green daily Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering.
I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading.
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
But right now, I am fine tuning my indicators and looking at the 20 to 25 minute indicators to precipitate a daily move
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. Hopefully, I can explain these indicators more in the future.
Ask me any questions or point out anything you see wrong, as this is the only way we learn.
Happy Trading!
Gold may break support level and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price started to grow from the buyer zone between 2885–2905 points, forming a clean bullish impulse and entering a broadening wedge structure. During the uptrend, Gold made several rebounds from the support line and broke above the current support level at 3070, which later became a key point in the price structure. After reaching the resistance line of the wedge, the price turned around and began a downward correction. The decline brought it back into the support area between 3087–3070 points, but this zone has already failed to hold the momentum. Currently, XAU is trading below the upper boundary of the support area and showing clear signs of weakness. The breakout to the downside from the wedge structure has already taken place, and the price is starting to form a local pullback. I expect this pullback to be short-lived, followed by a continuation of the downward movement. My target for this move is the 2990 level, which aligns with the support line of the broadening wedge and serves as the next strong reaction zone. Given the failed rebound from resistance, the breakdown of the support area, and the structure of the broadening wedge, I remain bearish and expect Gold to continue declining toward TP 1 — 2990 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Time To RecoverThe Dollar Index appears poised for a retreat after testing a key support area on a 4-hour chart.
A robust bullish engulfing candle indicates strong buying activity in that region.
As a confirmation, I see a cup and handle pattern on that and a breakout of its neckline.
I anticipate a bullish upswing to at least 102.79.
GOLD - Bullish Momentum Continues! Key Levels & Trade SetupCurrent Price Action:
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart, with clear support levels forming. The price recently tested 3,108.56 and is holding above key psychological support at 3,100.00.
Key Levels & Trade Setup:
Support Zones:
- FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as support
- Strong base at 3,108.56 (11:35 candle)
- Major psychological level at 3,100.00
Market Context:
The chart shows liquidity pools with clear buy/sell labels, indicating institutional activity. The price is respecting Fibonacci levels, suggesting a structured uptrend.
Final Thoughts:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with clear support levels and Fibonacci confluences providing high-probability trade setups. The 3,100 level is critical—holding above it keeps the bullish bias intact.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Always do your own analysis. Trade safe! 💡