WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH TRUMP TERRIF ALERT!🚨 GOLD UPDATE (XAU/USD)🚨
Gold is showing a strong bullish trend, and it’s expected to continue for the next month. 🌟 If you see any dips, buy in again and again! We could see gold touch 3200 soon, especially with the ongoing China & Trump tensions. The US economy remains strong, and fundamentally, gold is primed to soar even higher! 📈💥
After Trump's tariffs, gold may dip and sweep more liquidity before bouncing back stronger. ⚡ As China and Trump battle, US strength keeps pushing gold to new heights. 📊
Key Buying Zones 🔑:
- 3030 – 3035: Last zone for reversal 🔄
- 3000: Strong support zone 🚀
Targets 🎯:
- 3100 💰
- 3200 💎
- After 1 month: 3300 💥
⚠️ Always follow risk management⚠️
Trend Analysis
XAUUSD - Short Trade Confirmations :
1. Strong Bearish structure
2. 1H Strong resistance
3. AMD Cycle (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution)
4. Liquidity Sweep in 15m
5. CHoCH
6. Targeting the Demand
7. BE at FVG 50%
8. Expecting a bullish move from the demand zone or the FVG zone
Thanks for your time..
AUDCAD: True Bullish Reversal?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a nice inverted head and shoulders pattern
after a test of a key historic support.
A bullish violation of its neckline with a strong bullish candle
provides a reliable confirmation.
I expect a correctional move at least to 0.8723
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Abundance of Risk for Bears Now: Bull trap likely. SOL recently hit major supports - ones that I've had my alerts sitting at for a while - see previous bear forecast.
Concurrent to this, we have indices hitting major supports. We have possible completion of the wave 5 part of this downtrend and we're inside the area a head and shoulder would generally form.
The odds strongly favour the bulls in alt now - for the first time in a long time.
Will BTC drop to 68k?Market Analysis: BTC Weekly and Daily Outlook
Since BTC has closed its weekly (W) candle—let’s call it a tentative success—we’ll follow up with a view to reflect the market’s intent for the upcoming week. Here’s the breakdown:
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Weekly Candle Perspective
Why isn’t BTC continuing to rise and instead dropping?
BTC has hit a peak on its most recent upward slope. The current process is about BTC forming a bottom on the weekly timeframe. If the structure for this bottoming process isn’t fully complete, it must finalize, which means BTC has to decline.
You can see two key price zones BTC will inevitably pass through:
Zone 1: 72k–75k (pretty close already).
Zone 2: 64k–68k (still about $10,000 away).
Zone 3 (not yet visible, likely around May): 53,000 USD.
Thus, BTC’s decline is a certainty—it’s already been hinted at before April, and as early as the start of April, I’ve detailed its bottoming roadmap in a few posts.
For now, we leave open the question of whether BTC, after forming this weekly bottom, will return to its previous all-time high (ATH). We’ll get confirmation by mid-April or when the monthly candle closes.
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Daily Candle (D1) Perspective
What will BTC do on D1 in the coming days (this week)?
There’s one critical task D1 needs to execute thoroughly: push the price to the 72k or 70k zone as soon as possible and close a strong, decisive candle there. If that happens, we’ll see the price drop into the lower 6X range. If the candle closes weakly or indecisively, we’ll only dip below 76k—under the previous bottom—and that’ll still count as D1 completing its mission. Here’s how we assess D1:
Previous bottom: 76k. A D1 close below this level is a success.
70k–72k: A D1 close below this zone allows us to expect a drop to 68k or lower.
Conversely: If neither happens, consider taking profits on your swing short trades and waiting for the next signal, folks.
Summary
Weekly (W) Frame: BTC is forming a bottom right now, and this process will determine whether it rises again or keeps falling. Watch the bottoming price zones closely.
BTC W and ATH: Whether it retests ATH depends on how this bottoming phase plays out.
D1 This Week: Hold your swing SHORT positions and prepare to take profits. Where to exit? Monitor the D1 candle closes.
Enjoy the analysis.
Good luck!
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SMCI: Enormous buy opportunity for a $70 Target.Super Micro Computer went from oversold to almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.789, MACD = -2.030, ADX = 39.343) as it is having an enormour turnaround on the 1W MA200 and the bottom of the Channel Up today. This is so far the biggest 1D green candle since January 19th 2024. The 1D RSI is on the same rebound as the February 3rd bottom was, so at least a +158.65% bullish wave is to be expected. Go long, TP = 70.00.
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USDF/JPY Trading Trend Today - Short Term Bullish🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ The Japanese yen (JPY) started the week on a positive note as U.S. President Donald Trump’s broad-based tariff measures heightened fears of a global economic downturn, boosting demand for traditional safe-haven assets. At the same time, concerns that harsher reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. could negatively affect Japan's economy led investors to scale back expectations for a faster pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This, in turn, acted as a drag on the yen and helped the USD/JPY pair recover its earlier losses during the Asian session, climbing back toward its six-month low just below the key psychological level of 145.00, which was briefly touched on Friday.
Personal opinion:
➡️ In the short term, USD/JPY is recovering after being sold off late last week
➡️ RSI reversed to the upside after entering overbought territory and creating divergence.
➡️ Analysis based on Volume profile and important resistance - support levels combined with EMA to come up with appropriate strategies.
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 146.10 – 146.20
❌SL: 145.75 | ✅TP: 146.60 – 147.30 – 148.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EUR /USD) bullish flag Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This is a bullish technical analysis on the EUR/USD pair (2-hour chart), projecting a long opportunity based on price action and market structure.
---
Key Elements of the Chart:
1. Strong Key Support Zone:
Marked around 1.09273, acting as a critical base.
Price previously reacted strongly from this level, confirming it as a high-probability support area.
2. Bullish Channel:
The pair is moving within an ascending parallel channel.
Price is currently rebounding off the lower channel trendline, suggesting upward continuation.
3. Breakout & Retest Pattern:
A small flag/pennant correction is shown after a strong bullish impulse.
Expected breakout from this flag will lead to continuation toward the upper resistance.
4. Target Zone:
1.12977 is marked as the final target point, around 2.55% (281.4 pips) away from the current price.
Previous high structure adds confluence to this target.
5. RSI (14):
RSI is hovering around 50.5, indicating neutral momentum but room for upside.
No clear divergence, but aligned with a possible bullish continuation.
6. 200 EMA (1.08501):
The price is above the 200 EMA, supporting the bullish bias.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion/Idea:
This analysis suggests a long setup on EUR/USD, with:
Entry idea near the key support (1.09273),
Bullish flag breakout in progress,
Target near 1.12977,
Risk management advised below support or lower channel.
Bullish Bias: Price structure, EMA support, and trend channel favor a long setup.
---
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
German 40 Index – Another Potentially Busy Week AheadLast week popular trades were sacrificed in the global risk sell off. The Germany 40 index fell 9% on the week to close at 20,344, a level last seen in early January. The rush into the relative safety of bonds and cash on Thursday/Friday in response to President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs of 20% on the EU ensured the Germany 40 index moved into correction territory. This is officially a dip of 10% from its previous high of 23,479, which amazingly was only seen 3 weeks ago on March 18th.
The negative mood has carried over into early trading on Monday with the Germany 40 experiencing a gap open lower, which has seen it trade to a new low at 19,592 before finding some initial buying interest again.
Looking forward, US reciprocal tariffs, retaliation and trade war escalation may well be top of traders’ agendas again. The latest round of US tariffs are due to kick in on Wednesday April 9th, making this date potentially pivotal in helping traders to determine whether President Trump is using them as a negotiating tool or is really committed and in it for the long haul.
Also important could be the strength of retaliation from the EU. Weekend news has highlighted a raft of potential measures, ranging from imposing its own tariffs on US imports, higher taxes on US companies or even specifically targeting big American technology companies.
We saw on Friday, what China's strong retaliatory response did to risk sentiment, after the world’s two biggest economies escalated their trade war. A strong response from the EU may have similar consequences, while a more measured approach may provide some support for the Germany 40, and other European indices. This will only become clearer when events occur, and price action can be judged in real time.
Technical Update: Sentiment Changes Everything
A recent theme supporting the Germany 40 index was rotation out of US markets into German assets (i.e. selling of US stocks to reinvest in German companies), which helped maintain the positive price action seen over the first 2 ½ months of 2025.
However, when sentiment changes as dramatically as it appears to have done last week, traders switch to a ‘sell all stocks’ scenario, meaning nothing is safe from capitulation, with even the recent stronger performers, such as the Germany 40, experiencing strong selling pressure.
This activity was reflected within the Germany 40 index by sharp price declines that first saw closing breaks under support provided by the March 11th last correction low at 22240. This then culminated in the sharp acceleration to the downside seen after Wednesday’s reciprocal tariff announcement from President Trump.
What Are The Longer Term Potential Implications for the Germany 40 Index?
Last week’s and so far, this morning’s lower opening, has seen breaks under what would normally be viewed by traders as possible important support, represented by the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement of August 5th, 2024, to March 18th, 2025, strength. These levels stood at 20945 and 20290 respectively. This may now lead to a more extended phase of price weakness, although it’s not guaranteed.
If this were to be the case traders may begin to look for deeper downside levels which might be viewed as the next potential support within the current decline. It might be argued that this morning’s opening level has already seen a test of a first support at 19653, which is the December 20th session low. However, if it were to give way, it might then be the 61.8% Fibonacci level which stands at 19436, that may become the next downside focus.
How About Potential Resistance Levels?
After such a sharp decline in price over a relatively short period of time, it’s possible to see an upside recovery develop, and it shouldn’t be forgotten that there might be potential for this to occur at some point over the course of the coming week.
However, what might now be viewed as possible resistance to any price bounce?
Friday’s low trade stands at 20318 and if any potential rallies see tests of this level, how it is defended on a closing basis may be important. Successful upside breaks may be a sign that a more extended price rally is materialising. The focus could then switch to a potential stronger resistance at 21076, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March/April weakness.
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gold sell setup bearish rejection zone 3036🔻 Gold Sell Setup - Bearish Rejection Zone (3026) 🔻
This is a potential short (sell) setup for Gold (XAUUSD) around the 3026 level. The price is showing signs of rejection near a key resistance zone. The setup is based on a clear structure with multiple take profit (TP) levels and a well-defined stop loss (SL), offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 Sell Entry: 3026
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 3024
TP2: 3022
TP3: 3020
TP4: 3018
🛑 Stop Loss: 3036
🧠 Analysis Insight:
The price has tested the resistance zone multiple times and failed to break above it, indicating possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. If price holds below 3026, we can expect a bearish push towards the take profit targets. A break above 3036 would invalidate this setup.
📉 Trade with proper risk management and watch for confirmation before entering.
📉 Trade with proper risk management and watch for confirmation before entering.
### Gold Important Analysis XAU/USD 04/07-04/11OANDA:XAUUSD
Currently, there is a prevailing sentiment among traders leaning towards a bearish outlook. Many who missed their selling opportunity on Friday may experience regret, and upon witnessing any initial selling pressure on Monday, they are likely to jump in. This sets up a potential trap that I intend to exploit. I anticipate the market will either move sideways or experience a slight bullish uptick before we see any significant movement.
It’s important to note that larger market players have already sold off positions from the all-time high of 3137. Meanwhile, retail traders have begun selling following the breach of key psychological levels. Those holding short positions overnight often place their stop losses near these critical levels, providing an opportunity for the market to manipulate their positions—this is precisely the strategy I plan to implement.
While the broader market structure remains bearish and we could see a potential breakdown below the 3000 level in the coming days, I believe we might witness a brief bounce in the meantime.
#### Current Market Conditions:
The market is currently oscillating between key weighted levels, indicating a period of indecision. The primary levels to watch for potential breakouts and reversals are:
- Resistance Level (Upper Gap): 3055
- Support Level (Lower Gap): 3031
#### Bullish Outlook: First Target 3055
- Initial Bullish Target: If the price manages to cross and lock above 3055, this will trigger a subsequent bullish target of 3075.
- Additional bullish targets with respective EMA5 locks:
- 3075 → 3092
- 3092 → 3117
- 3117 → 3142
#### Bearish Outlook:
- Initial Bearish Target: Conversely, a cross and lock below 3031 will set up bearish momentum, targeting 3015.
- Additional bearish targets with respective EMA5 locks:
- 3015 → 2999
- 2999 → 2975
- 2975 → 2950
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just Our Idea, and We will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0834
1st Support: 1.0730
1st Resistance: 1.0983
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Disclaimer:
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Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,007.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,059.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,951.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of XAU-USD (Gold) with you.
Looking at the chart for gold, I expect a slight price increase towards 3,054.190. After reaching this level, I anticipate a price decline towards 2,956.310.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: A slight increase to 3,054.190
Bearish Scenario: A decline to 2,956.310 after reaching the target.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 2,956.310
Resistance: 3,054.190
💬 What do you think about Gold this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
Bullish correction before the dropBe careful the market may be setting a huge bear trap the volume in the market isn't matching the price action in the candles. My ideas and Analysis are located on the price chart I do not trade the news or any type of other speculation I trade pure price action I watch the candles I wait then I strike I am new to trading but I am focused on Strictly Natural Gas. I'm looking for a so-called countertrend trade to the broken weekly pivot and my overall biased is still bearish