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Trend Analysis

EURUSD Elliotwaves updateAfter completion of a triangle with an overshoot price made a clear impulsive wave to the downside. This means we have resumed the down trend. Currently price is pulling back for wave 2 before continuing down. High probability area to take a short is on the 4hrs supply zone which is aligned with the zone created with fib 61.8% and 78.5% I expect price will find resistance at this area and continue down. Confirm your entry if it aligns with your trading plan before taking a trade. Cheers and have a great week. #elliotwaves #forextrading #elliotwavesglobal
Short
by Elliotwavesglobal
BANKNIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and plan for 03-Mar-2025 This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the BANKNIFTY index on March 3, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 200+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍 🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ points) If BANKNIFTY opens above 49,131 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,931), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher after recent downside pressure. If the price sustains above 49,131, it could target the resistance zone of 49,524–49,782. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs. If the price faces rejection at 49,524–49,782, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 48,813–48,931 (opening support/resistance and previous close). Should the price break above 49,782 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 50,000 or higher. ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 49,131 , targeting 49,524–49,782. Use a stop-loss below 48,931 to manage risk. ✔️ Short if the price rejects 49,524–49,782, aiming for 48,813–48,931. Place a stop-loss above 49,782 to limit potential losses. Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 200+ points indicates a potential reversal from the recent downtrend. Waiting for a retest of 49,131 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 49,524–49,782 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum resurfaces. 🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 48,931–48,813) If BANKNIFTY opens within the range of 48,931–48,813, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias, likely consolidating near recent support levels. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area. A breakout above 48,813 could drive prices toward 49,524–49,782, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. A breakdown below 48,931 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 47,573–47,363 (buyer’s support/must-try zone) or even 47,300 (key support level). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy above 48,813 , targeting 49,524–49,782. Use a stop-loss below 48,931 to protect against a false breakout. ✔️ Sell below 48,931 , targeting 47,573–47,363 or 47,300. Set a stop-loss above 48,813 to manage downside risk. Explanation: A Flat opening within the 48,931–48,813 range indicates the market is in a consolidation phase, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 48,813 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 48,931 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries. 🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ points) If BANKNIFTY opens below 48,731 (a gap of 200+ points from the previous close of 48,931), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing lower support levels. Immediate support lies at 47,573–47,363 (buyer’s support/must-try zone). If this holds, a pullback toward 48,931–48,813 could occur. If 47,573 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 47,300 (key support level for a possible reversal). ✅ Trade Plan: ✔️ Buy near 47,573 , targeting a pullback to 48,931–48,813. Use a stop-loss below 47,363 to limit risk. ✔️ Short below 47,573 , targeting 47,300. Place a stop-loss above 47,573 to protect against a quick recovery. Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 200+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 47,573–47,363 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 47,573 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 47,300 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡 🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses. 🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 49,524 or 47,573) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves. 🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions. 💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯 ✔️ Bullish Above: 48,813 → Target: 49,524–49,782. ✔️ Bearish Below: 48,931 → Target: 47,573–47,363 or 47,300. ✔️ No Trade Zone: 48,931–48,813 (Wait for a breakout). Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the BANKNIFTY market effectively on March 3, 2025. 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
Important support and resistance zone: 1.0302 ~ 1.2214 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ADAUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can receive support at the important support and resistance zone and rise to around 1.3678. If not, whether it can support around 0.8836 is important. - (1D chart) The key is whether it can be supported in the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5(1.0302) ~ 0.618(1.2214). If not, whether it can be supported in the vicinity of 0.8451-0.8836 is important. The reason is that the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts to continue the uptrend. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local channel of the downward tendu in which we currently see a strong reflection and a quick return price around the upper border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 94020 $ T2 = 97698 $ Т3 = 102865 $ T4 = 109520 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 91130 $ SL2 = 88503 $ SL3 = 84723 $ SL4 = 81673 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see that despite S
by cryptodailyuk
EURUSD 2/3/25This week, we’re looking at EUR/USD again for further bearish movement. Last week, we hit our targets after selling off from the yearly auto and high. Now, we’re aiming for lower targets once more, expecting price to continue bearish in alignment with our Orion bias. As shown in the top right corner, we have strong downside targets. As always, look for a pullback to the highs before selling. If short-term highs form, those can also serve as sell opportunities, leading price down into the lows. Stick to your risk management and follow Orion.
by PipSurfingSociety
EURUSD 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 - Weekly Analysis- EU Rate - US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment The EUR/USD pair faces a slightly bearish bias this week, driven by key economic events, geopolitical risks, and trade uncertainties. Key Events to Watch: 🔹 ECB Interest Rate Decision (March 6) – Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 2.50%. A dovish ECB could pressure the euro, while any hints of a pause may provide support. 🔹 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (March 7) – Forecast at +133K jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.0%. Weak data could weigh on the USD, while stronger payrolls and wage growth may boost it. 🔹 Trump’s Tariffs & Trade War Risks – New U.S. tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect March 4, with potential auto tariffs on Europe looming. These policies favor the dollar by driving risk-off sentiment. 🔹 Geopolitical Tensions – U.S.-Ukraine relations deteriorated after a public Oval Office clash between Trump and Zelenskiy. Further instability could impact investor confidence and increase safe-haven demand for the USD. Trading Strategy: ✅ Bearish Scenario: A dovish ECB, strong U.S. NFP, and escalating trade risks could push EUR/USD down. ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the ECB signals a rate-cut pause and U.S. jobs data disappoint, EUR/USD may test 1.055–1.06 . Overall, the fundamental backdrop leans in favor of the USD, but volatility is expected, especially around the ECB and NFP releases. Traders should stay alert to geopolitical developments and tariff announcements that may shift sentiment. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase) 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week. 🔹With the previous week Bearish close, weekly is consolidating between 1.05xx and 1.02xx 🔹Still the recent Bullish Fractal and Demand holding but failed to break the high (1.0533) so there is a probability to target the low 1.0285/10 and could extend to continue the Bearish INT Structure with iBOS. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹With the Weekly is consolidating the Daily consolidation range showing that we are failing to continue Bullish and with the recent Bearish CHoCH we are back to the Bearish INT Structure continuation and we may target the Weak INT Low (At least 1.0285). 🔹Price could pullback to the recent Daily Supply before continuing down. 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish with cautious of the Liq. built above 1.05333 and the range we are in. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move) 🔹Complex Swing INT Structure 2️⃣ 🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand. 🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase. 🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play. 3️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 which was swept on Friday and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand. 🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, the PB could start at anytime. The Liq. swept from 1.0373 could provide that PB otherwise we will continue Bearish till the clear 4H Demand (Which I doubt that it could provide the continuation) but with LTF shifting Bullish, we can follow that. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Cardano (ADAUSD) Key Levels The Week Ahead 03rd March ‘25Cardano (ADAUSD) maintains a bullish sentiment in the longer term, but recent price action is showing signs of potential weakness, as a double-top reversal pattern may be forming following its all-time high at 13,250 on December 3, 2024. The key trading level at 8,660 will be crucial in determining the next directional move. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Levels: 8,660 (Neckline), 8,748 (50 DMA), 9,450, 10,000 Support Levels: 7,393 (20 DMA), 6,832, 5,820 (200 DMA) Bearish Scenario If ADAUSD fails to break above the 8,660 neckline and faces rejection, it could confirm the double-top pattern, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. A breakdown below 8,660 could expose support at 7,393 (20 DMA), with further downside targets at 6,832 and 5,820 (200 DMA) over the longer term. Bullish Scenario A strong breakout and daily close above the 8,660 neckline resistance would invalidate the bearish pattern, potentially leading to a bullish continuation. In this scenario, ADAUSD could retest 8,748 (50 DMA), with further upside potential toward 9,450 and 10,000 if momentum strengthens. Conclusion While Cardano remains in a broader uptrend, the 8,660 neckline serves as a key pivot point. A rejection at this level could confirm a bearish double-top formation, while a breakout above it may trigger renewed bullish momentum. Traders should monitor this level closely for confirmation of the next major move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:ADAUSD
by TradeNation