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Trend Analysis

SPY at the Edge! Will Buyers Step Up or Is More Blood Ahead?🔥 🚨 Market Structure Insight
SPY is currently in a sharp descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. After a clean Break of Structure (BOS) at 546.97 and a failed CHoCH attempt, the price accelerated downward and is now hovering just above a key psychological round level near $500. The most recent BOS confirms a bearish continuation, but the current price is sitting at the bottom of the channel, where a short-term bounce may occur if momentum slows down. We're in the discount zone—a key area Smart Money often targets for reversals. Smart Money & Technical Zones * Resistance zone: $546.97 (last BOS area) * Support zone: $502.19 (recent swing low) * Channel bounds: Top near $550–560, Bottom near $500 MACD is starting to curve upward while Stoch RSI is lifting from the oversold zone — potential signs of a short-term relief rally. However, there’s no CHoCH yet to confirm a structural reversal. GEX & Options Sentiment Breakdown * IV Rank: 121.8 → Elevated implied volatility, prime for option premium selling. * IVx avg: 53.1 → Still rising, shows fear entering the market. * PUTS Dominate: 84.7% of options flow are puts. * GEX Bias: Strong negative gamma exposure, indicating dealer selling accelerates downside moves. * Key Support Walls: * $520: Highest negative NETGEX / Put Support. * $500: Second Put Wall with -76.41% pressure. * Resistance Walls: * $547: HVL and minor call resistance. * $560: 3rd CALL Wall, minimal resistance at 1.26%. Dealers are heavily short gamma, suggesting large directional swings and continued volatility. Trade Setups
Scenario 1 – Dead Cat Bounce (Bullish Relief Rally) * Entry: Above $510 with confirmation of strong volume or CHoCH. * Target 1: $520 (first structural test). * Target 2: $546–$551 HVL rejection zone. * Stop Loss: Below $502 Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation * Entry: Rejection at $510–$520 zone or breakdown of $502 * Target 1: $495 psychological level * Target 2: $485–$475 (overshoot flush level) * Stop Loss: Above $522 Investor Strategy Insight
Long-term investors should remain cautious until SPY shows structural strength above $546. Until then, dollar-cost-averaging with tight capital allocation could be safer. This environment favors option sellers due to elevated IV, or high-conviction intraday scalping on well-defined levels. Outlook & Mindset
This week is dominated by uncertainty—rising global tariffs, geopolitical risk, and credit tightening all weigh on risk-on sentiment. SPY may enter a volatile range-bound phase between $500–$550, until new macro data shifts sentiment. If you’re trading SPY this week, don’t try to catch the knife. Wait for confirmation candles or volume shifts, and be nimble with risk. Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Bitcoin Tests 2024 HighBitcoin is sitting at a critical inflection point on the daily chart. After breaking down from the symmetrical triangle with strong momentum, it continued lower, with volume confirming the move. It’s now landed squarely in the FWB:73K –$75K region – a zone that just so happens to be the May 2024 all-time high. I’ve casually mentioned for over a year that a retest of that level wouldn’t be out of the question – and here we are. Both the 50 MA and 200 MA were already acting as resistance going into this drop, so there were plenty of warning signs before the breakdown. With price now resting above major horizontal support, bulls need to hold the line here to keep the broader uptrend intact. A bounce would be constructive and could eventually form a higher low on the larger timeframe. But if this level fails, the door opens for a much deeper correction. Bottom line: this is a massive test. The next move will likely shape the tone for the rest of the quarter.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
ETH MOMENTUM RANGE DCA BUY DIP 1350 - 1150ETH MOMENTUM RANGE DCA BUY DIP 1350 - 1150 📊 ETH MOMENTUM RANGE – DCA BUY THE DIP STRATEGY This strategy applies a mid-term momentum approach with DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) entries as ETH pulls back into a key support range. 🔹 Momentum Bias: Mid-term bullish as long as ETH holds above the 1350 level. Corrections within structure are considered healthy. 🔹 DCA Buy Range: Buy Level #1: 1350 USDT Buy Level #2: 1250 USDT Buy Level #3: 1150 USDT (Scaling into positions gradually as ETH dips into support zones) 🔹 Additional Confirmation Tools: RSI oversold on H4 or Daily Bullish divergence signals Reversal volume spikes 🎯 Mid-Term Targets: TP1: 1600 TP2: 1750 TP3 (Extension): 2000+ (if momentum continues with BTC support) 🛡️ Risk Management: Flexible stop-loss below 1100 (cut if bullish structure is invalidated) DCA capital allocation: evenly split or 40%-30%-30% per level
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by degentor
XRP/USD Short Trade Setup Analysis (9H Timeframe - Bitstamp)🔹 Current Setup: - 📈 XRP experienced a strong move upward following ETF news but is now approaching major resistance. - 🔹 Price is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.66 , aligning with the descending channel's resistance. - 📉 Given the broader bearish trend , a rejection from this level could trigger a strong downside move. - 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones): - 🎯 $2.87 (0.764 Fibonacci retracement & upper channel resistance) - 🎯 $3.21 (Full Fibonacci retracement, invalidation level for bears) - 📍 Key Support Levels: - ❗ $2.48 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement) - 🔻 $2.36 (0.382 Fib retracement) - 📉 Deeper Target: $1.36 - $1.40 XRP (Projected based on Fibonacci extensions & channel breakdown) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) - 🟢 Entry: Above $2.87 (If price breaks above 0.764 Fib) - 🎯 Take Profit 1: $3.21 (Full retracement level) - 🎯 Take Profit 2: $3.50+ (Potential bullish expansion) - 🔴 Stop Loss: Below $2.66 ✅ Justification: - 🔹 If price breaks and holds above $2.87 , the bearish structure could be invalidated. - 🔹 Momentum from the ETF-driven rally might fuel another leg up beyond $3.00. - 🔹 A strong breakout above $3.21 would confirm a bullish reversal. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation) - ❌ Invalidation Level: Above $3.21 - 🔻 Downside Targets: - $2.48: 0.5 Fibonacci retracement - $2.36: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement - $1.76: Key structure support - $1.36 - $1.40 XRP : Final bearish target (0.272 Fib extension & channel bottom) ✅ Justification: - ❗ Price remains within a descending channel , signaling a continuation of the downtrend. - ❗ The ETF-driven pump appears to be a liquidity grab , leading to a likely reversal. - ❗ A rejection from $2.66 - $2.87 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting the lower support zones. ⚡ Key Takeaways: - 🔹 XRP is facing strong resistance at $2.66 - $2.87 , a likely rejection zone. - 🔹 A breakdown below $2.48 increases bearish pressure , targeting $1.40 XRP. - 🔹 Bearish bias remains unless price breaks & holds above $3.21. - 🔹 Expect price to follow the descending channel structure toward $1.36 - $1.40.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
Crypto Sell-Off: Is Solana Headed for $80?Without a doubt, Solana was the hottest topic in the crypto market last year and at the start of this one—especially with the meme coin craze. However, after peaking near $300, the price began to decline in what initially appeared to be a normal correction. But once Solana broke below the $200 mark, things turned ugly, and the price quickly dropped to the key $120 support zone—a level that held strong over the past year. Now, it looks like Solana is on the verge of breaking below this support, which could trigger an acceleration toward $80, with the $100 psychological level as an intermediate stop. ________________________________________ Why the Downside is Likely to Continue 📉 Bulls Can’t Hold Gains – Short-term rallies are fading fast, showing a lack of real buying strength. 📉 Bearish Engulfing Candle – Yesterday’s price action printed a lower high, adding further pressure on support. 📉 $120 Breakdown Incoming? – If this level fails, expect a sharp decline toward $80. ________________________________________ Trading Plan: Selling Under $130 🔻 Sell Rallies Below $130 – Targeting a move to $80 in the medium term. 🔻 Only a Sustained Move Above $130 – Would shift Solana to a neutral stance—not bullish by any means. For now, the bearish pressure remains, and selling rallies is the strategy to follow. 🚀
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Markets in Turmoil and Correlations breaking - SELL GBPUSDAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
S&P 500 ,,, Update The chart has reached a major support area, despite the presence of large emotional bearish candles. While taking a position at the V-shaped pivot point carries some risk, the market may react emotionally given its previous decline like the 2020 correction. This support area is comprised of: - A significant pivot point from January 2022 - A PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) between the 50-61.8 Fibonacci retracement levels - The 100 Fibonacci extension level - Support from a valid trend line Trend changes can be unpredictable, and opinions may vary among traders and analysts. However, this presents a low-risk opportunity to consider new buying positions once clear signs of a trend reversal emerge. It's essential to be patient and wait for the right moment to act.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by pardis
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2677 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2677 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.2875 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD Short Setup with Clear Risk-Reward – 2H Chart AnalysisThis is a short trade setup on EUR/USD based on recent price action. After a sharp bullish move, the price has reached a key resistance area near 1.09424 and is now showing signs of rejection. This offers a potential opportunity for a sell position. Trade Setup: Entry: 1.09396 Stop Loss: 1.10132 (above recent highs to allow for some volatility) Take Profit 1: 1.08790 Take Profit 2: 1.08266 Take Profit 3: 1.07615 Timeframe: 2-Hour (2H) Bias: Bearish Reasoning: The price failed to sustain above resistance and is forming lower highs, suggesting a possible reversal. Targets are based on previous support levels. Risk Management: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Multiple take profit levels are set to secure partial profits and reduce exposure as the trade progresses.
Short
by GOLD_FOREX_TEAM
BTCUSDT: falling wedge, big money flowing in at support!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential BTCUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a typically bullish setup. Recently, Bitcoin dropped to a low of $74,446, above the key support zone between $74,254 and $73,057. The strong rebound from this area suggests significant buying interest and possible whale accumulation. However, BTC must secure a daily close above the $81,250 resistance level for a confirmed bullish outlook. In the short term, BTC will likely consolidate between $74.5K and $ 80.5 K. A potential double bottom formation near the $ 73K level could occur before BTC attempts a decisive breakout above the wedge. Accumulate BTC near the support zone. Support Levels: $74,254 $73,057 Resistance levels: $ 80,500 $ 81,250 If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
Long
by persis10t