Get started

Trend Analysis

Crypto Market Cap Excluding Top 10Price is currently retesting dynamic support within an ascending channel, forming a potential bullish reversal structure. The market previously broke out of a descending wedge, confirming a strong uptrend, and is now completing a Wave 4 correction. Multiple pullbacks to this trendline have held, suggesting accumulation. A successful rebound could trigger a measured move of 13.48% toward 19.51%, aligning with prior resistance, while a full Wave 5 extension targets 36.71%. Failure to hold this level could shift momentum bearish. A breakout with strong volume would confirm continuation, while rejection signals a deeper correction.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by weslad
3
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s OpenNasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s Opening Price The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows: → January’s opening price was around 21,085. → February’s closing price was around 20,867. This marks a 1% decline since the start of the year. A report from Goldman Sachs, published on Friday, reinforces bearish sentiment, stating that global hedge funds sold more stocks than they bought at the end of February—the largest net selling in a year, according to Reuters. Possible reasons for market pessimism: → AI-related stocks may be highly overbought. For instance, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have underperformed the broader market in 2025. → Trump’s tariff policies on global trade could have negative economic consequences. Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) Bullish perspective: Breaking January’s low did not trigger a strong downward trend. Bearish perspective: The price has fallen below the support line (lower blue line), which had held since autumn last year. The market’s next move could depend on how Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) behaves around the 21,030 level. Previous rebounds from this support line were weak, and bears managed to break through with effort. This suggests they may still control this zone. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Henry Hub Rally Poised To Extend as Tailwinds Hold StrongHenry Hub Liquified Natural Gas (“LNG”) prices are roaring back, surging in February as frigid temperatures, falling inventories, and soaring LNG exports fuel a bullish rally. With US storage dipping below the five-year average for the first time since 2022 and technical indicators flashing strength, does the rally have more room to run? LNG RALLIES AS COLD WEATHER FUELS DEMAND AND TIGHTENS SUPPLY CME Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (“CME LNG Futures”) have surged 26% in February, rebounding from a 16.2% decline in January. The rally has been driven by rising exports, falling storage levels, supply disruptions, and colder-than-expected weather. January’s decline was surprising, given that U.S. temperatures averaged 29.2°F in January (0.9°F below average, around -1.56°C), the coldest January since 2005. This resulted in the average daily gas consumption reaching 124.4 Bcf, which is 12% higher than the five-year average, according to the EIA . Prices initially climbed 10.2% from 03/Jan to 24/Jan in response to strong demand, but a late-month selloff erased gains as forecasts turned milder. February saw a swift rebound as colder-than-expected temperatures pushed heating demand beyond expectations, fuelling a price rally. European gas markets added further support, with Dutch TTF prices hitting a two-year high on 11/Feb amid freezing weather, Norwegian supply disruptions, and rapid storage depletion. However, European prices have eased recently due to Russia- Ukraine peace talks, milder forecasts, and discussions on EU storage policies. LNG EXPORTS RISE AMID GROWING GLOBAL DEMAND US LNG exports surged in January, driven by cold temperatures, depleting reserves, and Europe’s shift away from Russian gas. The US exported 8.46 million metric tonnes (412 Bcf) of LNG in January 2025, with 86% heading to Europe—a sharp increase from 69% in December reports Reuters . However, exports remain below the record 422.9 Bcf set in December 2023. Source: EIA Meanwhile, the latest EIA data (updated till December 2024) shows that US LNG exports rose 0.6% YoY in 2024. Export volumes are poised to rise further, supported by Trump’s energy policies easing LNG infrastructure development. Gas flows to export terminals have increased, averaging 14.6 Bcfd in January, and expected to reach 15.6 Bcfd in February. Gas flows are well above the levels seen in Q4 2024, October (13.1 Bcfd), November (13.3 Bcfd), and December (13 Bcfd). A key advantage for US LNG is the absence of destination clauses, allowing buyers to redirect shipments based on demand. Even if Europe does not fully wean off Russian gas, growing U.S. export capacity ensures flexibility to serve other markets, particularly Asia. INVENTORIES FALL BELOW 5-YEAR AVERAGE; EIA RAISES HENRY HUB PRICE FORECAST Amid colder-than-expected weather and rising LNG exports, LNG storage levels have fallen more than anticipated, dropping below the five-year average (2020–2024) for the first time since 2022. Source: EIA Data Storage fell below the five-year average in the week ending 24/Jan and remained below since. As of the week ending 21/Feb, inventories were 11.5% lower than the five-year average. Weekly storage declines have exceeded analyst expectations for four consecutive weeks, indicating stronger-than-expected demand. Source: EIA According to the EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), January withdrawals from underground storage totalled nearly 1,000 Bcf, 39% above the five-year average. The agency expects inventories to end the withdrawal season (Nov–Mar) 4% below average, citing higher consumption and flat production through Q1 2025. Source: EIA STEO In response to tightening supply, the EIA raised its Henry Hub price forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 20.7% and 4.8%, respectively, compared to prior estimates. TECHNICAL INDICATORS SIGNAL SUSTAINED BULLISH MOMENTUM With bullish fundamentals supporting Henry Hub prices, technical indicators also signal an uptrend. Monitoring the 9-day EMA/21-day EMA cross helps identify trend shifts for day trading. A golden cross, a bullish signal (9-day EMA above 21-day EMA), indicates upward momentum, while a death cross, a bearish signal (9-day EMA below 21-day EMA), suggests weakening price action. The 9-day EMA crossed above the 21-day EMA on 18/Feb, forming a golden cross. The widening gap suggests growing bullish momentum. However, the MACD has turned negative after a strong bullish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers at 50.39, down from its monthly peak of 66.60 & below its moving average of 56.66. Source: TradingView TradingView’s technical analysis dashboard also indicates a bullish trend. COMMITMENT OF TRADERS For the week ending 18/Feb, managed money’s net long positions in Henry Hub natural gas (futures & options) increased by 40% WoW, marking a second straight weekly gain. Long positions grew by 14.4% to 241,541 lots, while short positions inched up 0.2% to 137,674 lots. Source: QuikStrike Long positions have risen steadily since 11/Feb, while short positions remain unchanged, implying a growing bullish sentiment in the market. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Multiple factors continue to support Henry Hub prices, including cold temperatures, rising LNG exports, expanding US LNG capacity, and falling inventories. Adding to the bullish outlook, near-term production declines are expected to tighten supply through the remainder of winter. With these fundamentals in play and strong technical signals, natural gas prices may have further upside potential. Portfolio managers and traders can capitalize on a bullish LNG outlook by tapping into CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures. These contracts offer the same exposure as standard Henry Hub futures but at 1/10th the size, providing enhanced accessibility and more precise risk management opportunities. This paper posits a long position in CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (Apr 2025) expiring on 26/Mar (MNGJ2025) with the following trade setup: • Entry: 3.75/MMBtu • Target: 4.25/barrel • Stop: 3.45/barrel • P&L at Target (per lot): +500 ((4.25 – 3.75) x 1,000) • P&L at Stop (per lot): -300 ((3.45 – 3.75) x 1,000) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.67x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Investors can learn more about how to access these micro products by visiting the CME Micro Products page on the CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:MNG1!Long
by mintdotfinance
USOILSeveral upcoming economic data prints could significantly affect oil prices: 1. OPEC+ Production Levels Impact: OPEC+ production cuts have been crucial in maintaining oil prices. Any changes to these cuts could influence supply and prices. Data Print: Announcements about extending or easing production cuts will be closely watched. 2. U.S. Crude Oil Inventories Impact: Changes in U.S. crude oil inventories reflect supply and demand imbalances. Lower inventories suggest stronger demand or reduced supply, potentially boosting prices. Data Print: Weekly inventory reports from the EIA will be key in assessing market conditions. 3. Global Demand Growth Impact: Stronger-than-expected demand growth, particularly from major consumers like China, could support higher oil prices. Data Print: Reports from the IEA and EIA on global demand growth will be important. 4. U.S. Sanctions on Major Oil Producers Impact: Sanctions on Russia, Iran, and Venezuela can disrupt global supply, potentially leading to price increases. Data Print: Updates on sanctions enforcement and their impact on oil exports will influence prices. 5. EIA Forecasts Impact: The EIA's forecasts for oil prices, production, and demand provide valuable insights into future market conditions. Data Print: The EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) reports will offer guidance on expected price trends. Brent Price Forecasts: The EIA forecasts Brent crude to average $74 per barrel in 2025, with prices potentially falling to $66 per barrel in 2026 due to increased global production and slower demand growth. U.S. Production: The EIA expects U.S. crude oil production to reach a record high in 2025, averaging 13.59 million barrels per day. These data prints will provide critical insights into supply and demand dynamics, influencing oil prices and market sentiment.
FX:USOIL
by Shavyfxhub
Gold prices are said to be negative in the short termWorld gold prices recovered slightly amid a decline in the US dollar. At 9:45 a.m. on March 3, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, stood at 107.130 points (down 0.4%). Gold prices will continue to decrease. “There is no reason to think that this profit-taking correction will not last for a while longer. But we need to remember that so far gold has only fallen less than 4% from its peak, after rising 12% this year.” The fundamentals that drove gold demand over the past two years remain intact, so any possible decline to as low as $2,600 an ounce would be short-lived.” In addition to strong demand from central banks, I also expect capital flows into gold ETFs to increase as interest rates fall, making gold more attractive to investors. “However, this factor may be somewhat affected by speculators reducing their net buying positions in the gold futures market. Currently, the net buying position remains very high as concerns about lingering tariffs from the administration of US President Donald Trump cause investors to seek safe haven assets such as gold."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
NIFTY NIFTY Prediction 1. Current fall may stop at Green Zone Green Zone - 1 is approx 22000 Green Zone -2 is approx 20500 2. Retracement expected from Green Zone to Red Zone - If current fall takes support at Green Support 1, then retracement till above red zone - If current fall takes support at Green support 2, then retracement till below red zone 3. Red zone will act as strong resistance and then market may fall further till Yellow zones Final fall 1 is the first support of current NIFTY crash 4. Yellow zones are the end of the current crash; therefore, Nifty will make a new high once it touches yellow zones. *Note - Market may make all time high from green zones as well but chances seems low at current situation.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by I_M_VARUN_TYAGI
XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(3rd. Mar. 2025 to 7th Mar. 2025)XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(3rd. Mar. 2025 to 7th Mar. 2025) Weekly recap: Even though Gold is MACRO bullish on the HTF. We did a fantastic job last week adapting to sells from ATHs, and back below 2930s. We anticipated we can at least retest into near demand zone around 2880s BUT we extended the bearish profit taking move printing an unexpected LL at 2840s. This is lining up with EOM and new business month prices setting up around the corner. Reminder on Gold: Even though Gold is MACRO bullish on the HTF, the asset class sees very large retracement / pullback as markets moves in waves. Keep in mind we are starting a new business month. We have to be careful where if Gold buyers do no reclaims price above 2880-2890 we can instead see extension of retracement into Trump trade Nov 2024 prices of 2750-2760s. With no NEW trade war tensions events, geopolitical risk on the back burner, Feds slow approach to rate cuts, USD starting to find a support/ bullish steam and on Gold specifically profit taking from record break highs requires adaption. Something to look out for on the Macro. Trade ideas for upcoming week: Since Gold is currently in a secondary phase of MS i will be playing sells into better demanded prices Bullish bias: 1 - Gold comes down into first 2760 AOI Bearish bias: 1 - Holds below 2880s 2 - Breaks and holds below current lows at 2845 KL Economic outlook: In terms of economic events this week, we have a lot to unfold as we are in a new business month. To begin this week, We have United States ISM Manufacturing PMI and during the second half of the week will be our main focus as we have United States ISM PMI Services data, Initial Jobless Claims, NFP and Unemployment rate. 1 - Monday : ISM Manufacturing PMI 2 - Wednesday : ISM PMI Services 3 - Thursday : Initial Jobless Claims 4 - Friday : NFP, Unemployment Rate Daily Reminder: -Caution- Stay Smart, Trade safe, follow your trading plan, follow your risk management plan, focus on long term vision, keep emotions out and avoid crashing your account.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KamauRemmers
BTC Bitcoin gets Regulatory Clarity and Support including solana,ada and xrp The current Regulatory developments today , including the potential for a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, could significantly boost Bitcoin's legitimacy .price broke the supply zone after break of 2layers of supply roof .the final resistance was at 95,014.61 Bullish Factor: Clearer and more supportive regulations could increase investor confidence and drive adoption and potentially setting a new all time high. trade with caution
Long
by Shavyfxhub
$BTC Box Humiliation 2.0 Bears thought they won—Bitcoin snapped back inside the range! 🔸 Weekly Close Inside the Box? $84K fakeout shook weak hands. Now back above GETTEX:92K —bullish structure intact. 🔸 Upside Target: $110K+ Same pattern as before—sideways grind before liftoff. A break above GETTEX:98K = game over for bears. 🔸 Action Plan: ✅ Holding longs—no need to overthink. ✅ Stay patient—big move incoming. ✅ Watch the weekly close—above GETTEX:92K , it’s 🚀 time. This is the classic trap—weak hands panic, smart money loads up. If you know, you know.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
Bitcoin: final breakAs BTC entered into the mainstream markets, it was expected that the coin would start to react to all the news which affected the mainstream markets. As geopolitical risks arose again during the previous week, the price of BTC finally broke the side trading during the past period, and followed the market sentiment toward the downside. The first part of the week, BTC was traded with a strong downtrend, reaching the lowest weekly level at $79K. This was the level from where buyers started to act, returning the price of BTC toward the $85K, the resistance line. Technical indicators were reacting to such strong movements of BTC. The RSI reached the clearly oversold market side, while it is ending the week at the level of 30. The MA50 started a clear convergence toward the MA200, but as there is a high distance between two lines, the potential cross is still not in the store. For the week ahead, it could be expected a short term consolidation for BTC. The coin is currently testing the $85K resistance line, which will continue to test at the start of the week ahead. As per current charts, there is some probability that the next resistance level at $90K could be shortly tested. On the opposite side, charts are indicating levels between $ 82K and $83K. It should be also considered that NFP data are scheduled for the release in the week ahead, in which sense, some volatility might be back during the release of data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX