Trend Analysis
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold H4 | Pullback support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,343.88 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,270.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,431.43 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish or bearish? (Read description). As of May 7, 2025, the XAU/USD (gold) market is experiencing fluctuations influenced by a combination of geopolitical developments, economic indicators, and central bank policies. 
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📉 Recent Market Movements
Gold prices recently declined by 1.3% to $3,383.88 per ounce, retreating after nearly a 3% rise the previous day. This drop comes amid growing optimism over U.S.-China trade negotiations, diminishing the appeal of safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, markets are focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision expected later in the day, with the central bank likely to hold interest rates steady while maintaining flexibility due to uncertainties from the trade war. 
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🔮 Outlook for XAU/USD
Despite the recent pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. Goldman Sachs projects that gold will continue to outperform silver due to sustained central bank demand, which has structurally elevated the gold-silver price ratio. Currently, the ratio stands at approximately 102, up from 84.7 a year ago. Factors such as slowing Chinese solar production, high recession risks, and robust bullion purchases by central banks contribute to gold’s stronger performance. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook on gold, forecasting a base price of $3,700 per ounce by year-end and $4,000 by mid-2026. 
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📊 Technical Analysis
A key resistance level is observed at $2,660, with support around $2,600. A breach below this support could lead to further downside towards
$2,500.  
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⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor
• Federal Reserve’s Policy Decisions: Anticipated rate cuts could influence gold’s appeal.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts may drive demand for safe-haven assets.
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✅ Conclusion
While short-term fluctuations are expected, the long-term prospects for XAU/USD remain positive, supported by strong demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainties. Investors should monitor key economic indicators and central bank policies for potential impacts on gold prices.  
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XAUUSD /GOLD Trade Setup: Bullish (Buy)
Entry Price (Buy Limit):
Around $3,385 – This is near the retest zone (support) after the breakout and the top of the demand block from earlier.
Stop Loss:
Below the demand zone low, around $3,370 – This gives room in case of a liquidity sweep but protects against a structure break.
Take Profit (TP1 / Conservative):
Around $3,410 – This is below the upper supply zone to secure profits before potential reversal.
Take Profit (TP2 / Extended):
Around $3,425–3,430 – Closer to the full retest of the supply zone above for extended profits.
Cable H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3338 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3300 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3378 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD – 30m Buy Setup | Fair Value Gap + Fib + Liquidity Sweep📈 GOLD LONG – May 6, 2025 | Smart Money Trade Setup
We're seeing an incredibly clean bullish setup form on Gold (XAUUSD) with textbook Smart Money Confluences:
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🟥 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Price tapped the FVG perfectly and respected it
📐 Fib Zone: Confluence of 70.5–79% retracement with demand reaction
💧 Liquidity Grab: Below short-term equal lows before bullish push
📉 Divergence: Internal lower highs vs external equal lows = engineered setup
🧱 Structure: Short-term bullish BOS (Break of Structure) above recent swing
📊 Trade Plan (Long Setup):
🎯 Entry: ~$3,325.6 (FVG zone base)
⛑️ SL: Below FVG at ~$3,323
🚀 TP: $3,404 zone (clean inefficiency magnet)
💥 RRR: 1:5+ sniper trade
🧠 Execution Notes:
Wait for LTF bullish structure shift confirmation (5m BOS)
Add confluence with volume divergence or SMT (Smart Money Toolkits)
Manage the trade once it reaches 3,350 zone
Break-even and partials at mid-Fib zone (around 3,352–3,360)
💬 Chart Ninja Wisdom:
"Price doesn’t lie—liquidity does. When price leaves a gap, Smart Money’s coming back for it."
📌 SETUP OVERVIEW:
Timeframe: 30m
Entry Type: Limit (FVG tap zone)
Bias: Bullish
Target: Clean inefficiency above
Type: High-probability setup with strong RR and structure support
💥 Tap 💾 to save this sniper setup.
📣 Tag your gold-trading crew & get ready for that pump!
📆 Watch how this plays out live—discipline > hype.
GOLD PLAN UPDATE 07/05/2025H4 is showing a reversal signal, but it looks more like a retest of the broken resistance zone.
By the book + looking at the D1 chart, there’s a high chance gold pushes higher after this retest.
To me, this current rally feels a bit shaky.
My view: gold might retest or break the previous high, but I don’t see it running too far before pulling back again.
That’s my medium-term outlook—not a short-term call. Let’s wait and see 😄
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend
The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline
The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation...
Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383
Support levels: 1.378, 1.374
Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 143.63, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 141.81, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 145.49, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPY Levels Heating Up! Is This Just a Cool-Off or a Pullback?🧊So here’s what I’m seeing on SPY after reviewing the daily, 1H, and options GEX flow. I like to keep it real — not overhyped, just what I think might actually matter if you're trading this week.
📉 Technical Setup (Daily & 1H View)
* We’ve been in this steady grind higher, breaking out of the downward channel.
* Price is stalling a bit near 558–563 zone — that’s a tough area, and it makes sense since it lines up with prior resistance.
* MACD on the daily is still bullish but starting to flatten, and the Stoch RSI looks like it wants to cool off from overbought.
* On the hourly, momentum is clearly slowing down — we’re seeing lower highs and weakening MACD. If 558 breaks, I’d expect some quick downside.
🧠 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Breakdown
* The Highest Negative GEX is parked at 560, which is huge. That’s where market makers flip from hedging to hunting.
* There’s a fat PUT wall at 560, and we’ve been dancing around it. So if bulls can’t hold this line, things could unwind fast.
* On the upside, CALL resistance is stacked at 562–563, and we just tapped into it.
* IV is sitting at 30.6 with IVx avg 25 → market’s a bit juiced, probably pricing in some chop or catalyst ahead.
🎯 Trade Scenarios I’m Watching
🐻 Bearish Setup (if price rejects 563 again):
* Entry: 561–562 rejection
* Target: 555–556 zone
* Stop: Close above 563.50
* This plays off the GEX flip and rejection at CALL resistance.
🐂 Bullish Setup (only if we reclaim 563 with volume):
* Entry: Break and hold above 563
* Target: 567, maybe even 572 if gamma squeezes kick in
* Stop: Drop back below 561
🧨 Options Play Ideas
* Looking short-dated? Consider a PUT debit spread like 562/557 for this week if momentum confirms.
* For bounce lovers: CALL debit 563/567 spread, but only if we break 563 and hold above.
* With IV a bit hot, spreads are safer than naked options to control risk.
Final Thoughts:
SPY’s sitting at a pivot. It’s either digesting gains before another push… or we’re about to see some hedging volatility flood in. I’m personally watching how it handles 560–563 range — everything hinges on that for me. No need to rush in. Let the chart tell you.
This is not financial advice. Just me sharing how I see the market and how I’d trade it based on what the data and charts are saying.
NZDUSD D1 | Bearish Drop Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.6053, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5909, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.6200, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/05/2025Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 24250 level then expected consolidated movements in index in between 24250-24450 level. Major downside expected in case nifty gives breakdown of support level and starts trading below 24200. This downside rally can goes upto 24000 level.
The volatile decline in gold is in line with expectations!Technical analysis of gold: After rising and falling, gold has a large downward space, from 3438 to the current 3360, up and down close to 78 US dollars. Under this change, we should pay attention to whether the long and short changes of gold will continue. From the perspective of cyclical performance, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there is a high probability of a wave of adjustment space, and the intensity of this adjustment will not be small, and it is possible that the big negative line swallows the positive line and goes directly below 3300. If it comes out like this, then it can be said that it is difficult for gold to rise this week. On Thursday and Friday, it may fluctuate and fall or fluctuate at a high level.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first focus on the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it does not break, we can continue to be bullish. The upper target is 3400, and if the strength is strong, we will look at 3430.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3397-3400, stop loss 6 points, target around 3360-3330, and look at the 3300 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3300-3305, stop loss 6 points, target around 3330-3350, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks;
AMZN at a Decision Point – Compression Before the Pop?Let me walk you through what I’m seeing on AMZN right now — because this thing has been quietly setting up, and I’ve got my eyes locked on a few key levels.
🧠 My Current Read on the Chart
From the daily timeframe, AMZN has clearly been in a falling channel since the Feb highs, but recently it’s been trying to base out. Price got a clean breakout of that downtrend, followed by a decent bounce, but the last few candles show we’re kind of stalling right around $185 — that level is acting like a magnetic midpoint.
On the 1H timeframe, it's just consolidating right under the Gamma Wall at $190, bouncing between $185 and $188 for several sessions. That tight price action looks like it's coiling.
MACD on the 1H is slightly turning up but still muted. The Stoch RSI on both timeframes is sitting in the midzone — not screaming momentum yet, but could flip fast with volume.
📊 What GEX and Options Flow Are Telling Me
Now here’s where it gets spicy: GEX levels are stacked. $190 is the highest positive Net GEX zone — that’s our big call resistance, and market makers are most likely short calls there. If price can chew through that level with strength, we could see a fast gamma pop toward $193–195.
Below current levels, $182.5 is the HVL and also lines up with a strong put wall (86%). That’s the real defensive level — if that breaks, it could attract liquidity lower into the $180–$175 zone.
IV rank is low at 27.7, and we’ve got a slight negative IVx trend (-8%), meaning the premiums are getting cheaper — good time to consider debit strategies.
💡 How I’d Play This Personally
1. Bullish case (breakout over $190):
I’d look at $190/$195 call debit spreads, especially with 3–10 DTE, keeping it defined risk while targeting that gamma extension.
2. Choppy zone (stuck between $185–$190):
I’m on watch mode. I wouldn’t touch directional plays unless I see a breakout or breakdown. Theta decay will eat you up in this range.
3. Bearish flush (lose $182.5):
I’d grab some quick puts targeting $177–$175, but only if we get momentum + a weak market. That zone opens the door for downside liquidity.
🧭 Final Thoughts
AMZN’s been under the radar while everyone watches AI names, but I think this thing is about to make a move — it’s just a matter of whether the breakout gets the volume push. Personally, I’m waiting for that clean trigger over $190 with some momentum before jumping in.
Keep your levels tight, watch that GEX wall, and don’t chase the chop. Let the setup come to you.
This is not financial advice, just how I’m looking at it based on my system and experience. Trade smart. 🙏
NASDAQ: Rebounding on the 4H MA50. New High for the Channel Up.Nasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.883, MACD = 127.320, ADX = 37.197) and is rebounding today on the 4H MA50, right before the HL of the Channel Up. This is a technical bottom that calls for a buy. We aim for a new +6% bullish wave (TP = 20,800).
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XAUUSD: Channel Up aiming for 3,750Gold has turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.582, MACD = 62.840, ADX = 38.882) as it crossed above the 4H MA50 again, following a bottom on the HL trendline of the 4H Channel Up. The 4H RSI made a DB and the new bullish wave is already underway. We expect a similar +18% rally to the top of the Channel Up (TP = 3,750).
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BTCUSD BULLISH SUSTAINANCE.BTCUSD Trading Signal
Market Sentiment: The market is currently experiencing a price surge following a strong rally throughout April. Bitcoin has shown positive momentum and remains in a clear ascending market structure.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $92,000 (broken)
First Target: $95,750
Final Target: $97,800
Technical Overview:
Bitcoin continues its upward movement, supported by strong volume and higher highs. Moving averages point to a strengthening market, with momentum indicators confirming an ongoing bull run. Traders may consider entering on pullbacks or confirmed breakouts above $95,750.