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Trend Analysis

Tesla (TSLA) Stock Underperforms the Broader MarketTesla (TSLA) Stock Underperforms the Broader Market Analysing Tesla (TSLA) stock chart on 12th December, we: → Identified an ascending channel, with the November price consolidation around $350 (marked by a thick blue line) potentially indicating the median line of the long-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). → Mentioned that TSLA stock price could move toward the upper boundary of the channel, located near the psychological level of $500. However, the stock remained vulnerable to a pullback with a potential test of the $400 level. What happened after our analysis? According to Tesla (TSLA) stock chart: → The price bounced off the upper boundary of the channel, falling short of the psychological $500 level by approximately 2.5%. → On Friday, TSLA stock dropped by more than 3%, making it the worst-performing stock within the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). This indicates that buyer momentum may have waned, leading to a correction from overbought levels (as indicated by the RSI) toward fair value, which could align with the channel’s median line. A test of the $400 level could be relevant. Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts are pessimistic. According to TipRanks: → Only 13 out of 34 surveyed analysts recommend buying TSLA stock. → The average price target for TSLA is $293.76 by the end of 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
2
EURUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone. FX:EURUSD is coming out of a prolonged consolidation. As part of counter-trend correction, the price is testing the previously broken support and trying to consolidate in the selling zone. The fundamental background has become sharply negative since last week, which generally determines the medium-term potential for the currency pair. The rate cuts in the US have slowed down, but in Europe they are going to continue to cut rates. Trump's policy with his tariff system will also put negative pressure on the EURO. Technically, against the background of a strong rallying dollar, the euro has almost no chance. If the bears keep the defense below 1.0448 and focus on breaking the support, the currency pair may head towards 1.022 in the medium term. Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.053 Support levels: 1.033, 1.022 At the moment, the focus is on the two nearest resistances. It is possible to retest these zones and try to defend their borders from the buyer's side, but there are not many chances. A breakdown and fixing of the price in the selling zone will strengthen further decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD--> Just one step away from $2700Hello everyone, Ben here! Last week, we witnessed a significant drop in gold prices, with the precious metal hitting a low of $2,583 at one point. Currently, gold is trading around $2,623, maintaining a stable position this week. The rebound in gold prices at the end of last week was supported by the weakening USD and a decline in U.S. Treasury yields. This was driven by the latest economic data, which revealed that U.S. inflation is slowing down, easing the pressure on gold prices. Personally, I, Ben, strongly believe that the upward trend for gold will gain more certainty in the coming period. However, gold must break through the current resistance levels to further expand its growth potential. On the other hand, if the price falls below the $2,620 support level, it could drop further to the dynamic support at $2,600. From there, we might expect the upward trend to resume, with potential targets at $2,650 and $2,700 in the foreseeable future. Stay sharp and trade wisely! Yours truly, Bentradegold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
1
USNAS100 / Price Momentum and Key Breakout Levels Technical Analysis The price exhibits bearish momentum as long as it trades below 21620, targeting 21360. However, the price is expected to consolidate between 21360 and 21630 until a breakout occurs. A 4-hour candle close above 21630 will support a bullish move toward 21770 and 21900. On the other hand, if the price stabilizes below 21360, the bearish trend is likely to continue toward 20980 and 20860. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21530 Resistance Levels: 21630, 21770, 21900 Support Levels: 21370, 21215, 21070 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum: Stability below 21620 - Bullish Momentum: Stability above 21630
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
Building a massive short up to 55k We are seeing a similar pattern to the 2020-2021 bull run, but this time under different circumstances and with Bitcoin at a much higher price. Over the years, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed benchmarks like the S&P 500, which continues to attract both institutional and retail investors. Previously, we experienced a correction from $60K to $30K. Now, we’re observing a correction from approximately $100K to $50K. These are rough estimates, but the trend appears consistent. In my opinion, based on the past eight years of observing Bitcoin charts (though not daily), the market often feels manipulated. This is likely due to Bitcoin’s relatively smaller market cap compared to other asset classes like stocks, forex, or mega-cap stocks (e.g., FAANGM). Recently, we faced rejection from a falling wedge pattern on the ES, which is bearish. I had hoped that lower VIX levels would encourage portfolio managers to re-enter the market, but with the stock market holiday on Wednesday, the 25th, I anticipated heightened volatility and an additional correction of approximately 8-10%. I’m aware that hedge funds are engaging in “window dressing” as the year ends. Portfolio managers are likely to remain passive, avoiding risky trades that could jeopardize their year-end bonuses. As a result, we can expect a quieter market from their side. Along the way, we may see some “dead cat bounces,” but there’s no need to worry. I had hoped Bitcoin would maintain its upward trajectory, but putting emotions aside and analyzing objectively: VWAP is significantly below the current price. Fibonacci retracement suggests further downside. Awesome Oscillator (AO) and RSI indicate bearish momentum. Money flow is negative. A significant short wall has formed, and many positions have already been liquidated . Based on this, it seems likely that we’ll continue moving downward. I’ve included two additional charts in the comments below for further insights.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Risk_Adj_Return
4
Anatomy of a Breakout (Orderflow)I am sharing my current approach for trading breakouts , please share your opinion on the comments section so we can have a discussion. Used Tools: Number Bars (Footprint chart) Liquidity Heatmap Volume Delta Volume Support and Resistance ATR For bullish resistance breakout z we setup alarms that alerts us when price is 2 atr below the resistance when alarm triggered we set to watch as price approaches towards the resistance we expect higher volume and higher delta advance on poc and value areas and especially positive readings on footprint on the upper side in terms of liquidity we spot a vacuum zone in the target direction right after the resistance for price to advance and Liquidity thinning just below the resistance (indicates sellers pulling orders) as we breakout we spot a huge spike in the volume and delta indicating resting orders absorbed by the market buyer to confirm we look for not thin prints in the upper side of the candle but a good value area indicating price is doing business over there we wait for a confirmation candle with similar profile see liquidity flip at resistance becoming support then enter we also consider higher timeframe structure is it trending if ranging where is the range etc and asses volality in terms of is it increasing meaning there is enough volality for a breakout For exit we target the end of the vacuum zone aka nearest liquidity or nearest market structure, or a reversal in orderflow. For bearish support breakout We set up alarms that alert us when the price is 2 ATR above the support. When the alarm is triggered, we start monitoring closely. As the price approaches the support, we expect higher volume and higher negative delta, with the POC (Point of Control) and value areas advancing downward. On the footprint chart, we look for particularly negative readings on the lower side. In terms of liquidity, we identify a vacuum zone below the support, indicating room for the price to drop, and observe liquidity thinning just above the support (indicating buyers pulling their orders). As the breakout occurs, we expect a large spike in volume and negative delta, signaling that resting buy orders have been absorbed by market sellers. To confirm, we look for no thin prints on the lower side of the candle and a well-formed value area below the support, showing that price is establishing value there. We then wait for a confirmation candle with a similar profile and observe a liquidity flip where support turns into resistance before entering the trade. We also assess the higher timeframe structure, determining whether the market is trending or ranging, and identify the location of the range if applicable. Additionally, we evaluate volatility to ensure it is increasing, indicating sufficient energy for the breakout. For exit we target the end of the vacuum zone aka nearest liquidity or nearest market structure, or a reversal in orderflow. Additional Notes: S/R lines defined based on daily graph anti trend consolidation zones we are not defining numeric tresholds because context matters
Education
by mertenes3
1
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market. One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value". Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns. This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band. Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks. So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PizzaDriver
#EURCAD 2HEURCAD (2H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: Channel Pattern: The price is moving within a defined channel, respecting both support and resistance levels. Currently, it is near the upper boundary of the channel, signaling potential resistance. Bearish Engulfing Area: A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern has appeared near the resistance zone, indicating possible selling pressure. Forecast: Sell Opportunity: The price is positioned at the channel resistance with bearish candlestick confirmation, suggesting a potential downward move within the channel. Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: Near the upper boundary of the channel or at the bearish engulfing area. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or engulfing candle high to protect against invalidation. Take Profit Zones: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel as potential downside levels. Market Sentiment: Bearish Outlook: Sellers are likely to dominate as long as the price remains below the resistance area, maintaining a downward channel trend.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
TRON (TRX) on the Road to $0.64? An Analysis for the Community🚀 TRON (TRX) on the Road to $0.64? An Analysis for the Community 🚀 TRON (TRX) is showing strong signs of a potential price surge, with a realistic target of $0.64 based on Fibonacci levels and technical indicators. Here’s why TRX looks bullish heading into 2025: 1️⃣ Technical Analysis The current chart analysis reveals: Fibonacci Level 1.618 highlights $0.64 as a possible target. Strong support levels at $0.24 and $0.28 are holding firm, paving the way for further growth. The price is following a clear uptrend and has recently broken key resistance levels. 2️⃣ Fundamental Strength TRON's ecosystem continues to expand at a rapid pace: Partnership with Bitget: TRON recently announced a collaboration with Bitget, one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges. This partnership boosts global adoption and liquidity for TRX. Leading in dApps: TRON remains one of the top blockchains for decentralized applications and smart contracts. 3️⃣ Positive Market Momentum USDT-TRC20 Dominance: TRON continues to gain strength globally, driven by the rising adoption of USDT on the TRC-20 network, which offers faster and cheaper transactions compared to alternatives. Bull Market Catalysts: As the broader crypto market enters a bullish phase, TRON is uniquely positioned to benefit, thanks to its established presence across all major exchanges and its robust ecosystem. 4️⃣ Why $0.64? Analysts believe the combination of increased network utility, growing adoption of TRC-20 USDT, and TRON’s technical strength could push the price to $0.64. While the crypto markets are inherently volatile, TRON has historically demonstrated its ability to rally quickly. What’s Your Take? What are your thoughts on the partnership between TRON and Bitget? Do you believe $0.64 is achievable in 2025? Share your opinions with the community! 🌐 📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making investment decisions!
Long
by Loveiceroollss
Bullish Alert: DGB's Path to 300% Gains!DigiByte (DGB) recently saw its price surge dramatically. Now, it's testing a key price level that acts as support. Think of this support level as a safety net; if the price falls below it, the drop could be more significant. Successfully holding above this support would be a positive sign for the cryptocurrency. If DGB manages to maintain its position at this support level, we believe it could lead to another significant price rise, potentially up to 300% over the medium term. A successful retest would likely encourage more buying activity, pushing the price higher and creating a bullish trend for DGB.
by TheCryptoCity
Technical Analysis of Johnson & Johnson Stock (JNJ)This chart for JNJ illustrates a technical setup within a descending channel. Key Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) are highlighted, indicating potential zones of support and resistance. The analysis suggests a three-part buying strategy: an initial purchase at the current market price (CMP) near a double-bottom structure, a second purchase around the $138–$136 range (61.8% Fibonacci level), and a third at the $133–$135 channel bottom. A stop loss is defined at $130 on a closing basis to manage downside risk, emphasizing disciplined trading within the defined channel boundaries.
NYSE:JNJLong
by jayshafiq2
SOLANA LONGHi this time iam long for this levels. The price is out of the channel and already have CHOCH so we waiting for the LL that is at 177-165. The last bolt yellow line is the last reverse support form previus high at 30jul 24 (a) to 27Okt24 (b) before rally last starts. The major support line is the little yellow line at 163$ and is represent the pivot line that represend the picks (6 picks!) of accumulation phase of Apr-Nov 24 Entry1 177$ Enrty2 163$ Stop 153.3$ Target1 195$ Target2 210$
Long
by Gozikou
16
AAPL Technical Analysis for Tomorrows - Dec.23 1. 1-Hour Timeframe * Current Price: $255.28 * Resistance Levels: * $257.30 (recent high and breakout level) * $260.00 (psychological level and potential target) * Support Levels: * $251.97 (previous breakout zone, now acting as support) * $249.79 (secondary key support level) 2. Key Observations A. Trend and Momentum: * AAPL recently broke out of a descending trendline with strong momentum, signaling bullish strength. * Price action is currently consolidating just below the resistance at $257.30, which will be critical for determining the next move. B. Stochastic Oscillator: * The Stochastic is nearing the overbought zone, suggesting that the stock might see a slight pullback before making another attempt to move higher. C. Volume Analysis: * The breakout was accompanied by a noticeable volume spike, validating the bullish breakout. However, sustained volume will be needed to push past $257.30. 3. Trade Scenarios Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Look for consolidation above $255.00, followed by a breakout of $257.30 with strong volume. * Target: $260.00 (psychological resistance) and potentially higher if momentum sustains. * Stop-Loss: Below $251.97 to limit downside risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: If AAPL rejects $257.30 and breaks below $251.97 with increasing volume. * Target: $249.79 (key support zone) and possibly lower. * Stop-Loss: Above $257.30. 4. My Thoughts on AAPL’s Direction Based on the current price action and volume dynamics, I believe AAPL is more likely to test the $257.30 resistance and break higher. The bullish breakout from the descending trendline, combined with strong volume, supports upward momentum. However, with the Stochastic Oscillator nearing overbought levels, we could see a brief pullback before further upside. If $257.30 is broken decisively, $260.00 becomes a realistic short-term target. 5. Key Levels to Watch * Support: $251.97 and $249.79 * Resistance: $257.30 and $260.00 AAPL is displaying strong bullish momentum, and my bias is tilted toward the upside for tomorrow. Keep an eye on the $257.30 resistance level for a breakout or rejection, as this will dictate the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please trade responsibly and manage your risk accordingly. -------------- Scalping Strategy (Options Trading) Key Observations: * Resistance Levels: * $257.50: Highest Gamma Wall, acting as a strong resistance. * $260.00: Psychological and GEX resistance zone. * Support Levels: * $252.50: 3rd Call Wall (moderate support). * $247.50: HVL (High Volume Level), a major support. Scalping Call Options: * Setup: Enter calls if price consolidates above $257.50 and breaks out with volume confirmation. * Exit Target: $260.00. * Stop-Loss: Below $257.00 to minimize risk. Scalping Put Options: * Setup: Enter puts if the price rejects $257.50 or fails to hold above $257.00. * Exit Target: $252.50. * Stop-Loss: Above $258.00. Long/Short Strategy Long Strategy: * Entry: Look for a breakout above $257.50 with strong volume and bullish momentum. * Target: $260.00 (short-term), $262.50 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Below $256.00 to protect against reversal. Why It Works: * $257.50 is the highest gamma exposure level, and a breakout above this zone indicates strong bullish sentiment. Short Strategy: * Entry: Enter short positions if the price fails to break above $257.50 and shows a rejection (e.g., wicks or bearish engulfing candles). * Target: $252.50 (3rd Call Wall), $247.50 (HVL). * Stop-Loss: Above $258.00. Why It Works: * Rejection at $257.50 confirms resistance and potential profit-taking, aligning with put gamma levels below $252.50. Key Tips for Scalping and Options Trading 1. Volume Confirmation: * Ensure volume spikes during breakouts or rejections for higher probability trades. 2. Timeframe: * Use the 1-minute or 5-minute chart for scalping execution. 3. Implied Volatility: * IV is at 24.1%. Look for slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) options with low time decay for scalping. Conclusion * Bullish Case: AAPL breaks above $257.50 → Target $260.00 and $262.50. * Bearish Case: AAPL rejects $257.50 → Target $252.50 and $247.50. Stay focused on high-probability setups by watching volume, price action near key levels, and momentum indicators like Stochastic Oscillator. Let me know if you'd like a more specific strike price or expiration recommendation! 🚀
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
1