Trend Analysis
Bitcoin: Tech Struggles in Policy StormsRecently, the Bitcoin market's been in a real tricky and changeable spot, what with all these complex factors mixing together. Bitcoin's sitting at $84,047 right now, up 1.10%, but it's still stuck in that key $90,000 resistance zone, and buyers just aren't that fired up.
On the macro side, Trump's new round of tariff measures are in place. The stock market's had a bit of a pullback, but it hasn't kicked off a full - on risk - off situation. Still, with the U.S. earnings season coming up and the ISM manufacturing index shrinking, the market outlook's looking pretty uncertain. If Trump rolls out policies like tax cuts or regulatory relaxations, on one hand, it might give Bitcoin a push up because of safe - haven demand. But on the other, it could also make money flow into traditional sectors, so there'll be less cash coming into Bitcoin.
When it comes to technical indicators, the 4 - hour K - line's bouncing around a lot. That last bearish candlestick shows the bears are winning in the short run. Also, trading volume's dropped, and the market's kind of dead. The MACD shows the bulls are getting a bit stronger, but it's still not clear which way things are going. The KDJ's in the oversold zone, which means the price might get adjusted soon.
Looking forward, if Bitcoin can break through that resistance level and there's good trading volume to back it up, we could see an uptrend start. But if the bad stuff in the macro - economy gets worse and shakes up the market, the price could get pushed down. So, investors really need to keep a close eye on where these tariff policies are going, any changes in macro - economic data, and how the technical indicators are changing. Weigh up the risks and chances, and make investment decisions carefully.
BTCUSDT
buy@82000-83000
tp:85000-86000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead
📉 Overview:
The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside.
1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support.
2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level.
Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies.
🚨 Trading Plan:
📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance.
📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk.
📌 Profit Targets:
First target: $537.75
Second target: $510.27
📊 Risk Management:
Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move.
If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis.
📢 Conclusion:
SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation.
⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉
#SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
1000SHIB Ready for a Massive Move? Key Support Holding Strong! 🔍 Market Analysis & Trade Opportunity
The ( BINANCE:1000SHIBUSDT.P ) pair is sitting at a critical support zone, showing signs of potential reversal. With buyers stepping in and multiple rejections forming, this level could act as a launchpad for the next bullish rally.
🧐 Why This Setup is Important?
✅ Strong Support Zone: Price is testing a key demand area that has historically led to strong bounces.
✅ Rejection Wicks: Sellers tried pushing the price lower, but buyers are stepping in aggressively.
✅ Potential Bullish Move: If this support holds, we could see a rally toward major resistance levels.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Holding: Grey Box
🔹 Breakout Targets:
TP1: 0.012665
TP2: 0.013221
TP3: 0.013797
TP4: 0.014465
TP5: 0.015661
🚨 Stop Loss (SL): 0.011777 / 4H CC (To manage risk effectively)
🔥 Will 1000SHIB Bounce or Break Down?
This level is make-or-break for SHIB! If support holds, it could trigger a major rally. But if it fails, lower levels could come into play.
👀 What’s your bias? Are you bullish or bearish? Drop your thoughts in the comments! ⬇️
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NZDUSD: Rejection possible on the 1D MA200.NZDUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.829, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 25.517) as it is on the bullish wave of the 8 month Channel Down. The trend should be turning bearish soon however as not only is the pair approaching the top of the Channel Down but also the 1D MA200 and has completed a +6.18% increase like the June 12th 2024 high did. The 1D RSI is already ranged and is losing momentum so this may be the perfect level to sell. The trade is short, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 0.55250).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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BTC/USD 30Min PairMY looking at a potential short-term trade setup for Bitcoin:
Buy Entry: $84,500
Target: $87,000
Potential Gain: $2,500 per BTC (~2.96%)
Make sure to consider:
Stop Loss: Important to define—perhaps around $83,000 to manage risk?
Volume/Trend Confirmation: Is price action supporting upward momentum?
News/Events: Check if any macro or crypto-specific events could impact price soon.
Want help with chart analysis or setting up a full trade plan?
What's next?
- EMA 9/21: Clearly broken above and now being tested as support
- Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band — possible overbought condition
- Coinbase Premium: +15.56 — rare! Indicates real spot demand
- RSI: 66.12 — approaching overbought territory, suggesting momentum is weakening, but not yet at an extreme level
✅ Positives:
- The price rally is supported by volume (SPX)
- RSI is climbing, but not at extreme levels yet
- EMA 9 > EMA 21 — a strong bullish signal
- Coinbase Premium turned positive for the first time in hours — a significant shift
⚠️ Warning signs:
- SPX is overheated on RSI — potential short-term profit-taking or pullback ahead
- Price is above the upper Bollinger Band — often followed by a correction
- ETH hasn't caught up with the momentum — potential divergence risk
We’re currently seeing a genuine momentum, not just manipulation — but it’s already entering a potential profit-taking or pause zone.
If the next candle prints a long upper wick and volume drops, a pullback is likely.
How will gold perform after the super rollercoaster market?Gold's 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downwards. Although gold bulls have made a strong counterattack, it is also because of the risk-aversion news that stimulated a retaliatory rebound. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100. If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then gold shorts will still have an advantage in this war. Overall, the impact of today’s non-agricultural data is expected to be dim. What is more important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100.
Trading idea: short gold near 3115, stop loss 3125, target 3100
The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
GBPJPY: Channel Down started its new bearish wave.GBJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.648, MACD = 0.440, ADX = 26.099) as the price is testing the 1D MA50 again, being already on a 4 red day streak. The recent March 28th high almost touched the top of the 6 month Channel Down, so it can be technically considered a LH. Since the 1D RSI already crossed under its MA, we have a validated sell signal. Both prior bearish waves reached the 1.1 Fibonacci extension. Aim just over it (TP = 186.500).
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TURBO long-term outlookAfter completing its first cycle TURBO seems to stabilize around the 0.0010-0.0020$ region which marks the last ATH from 2023. What's interesting here is that TURBO follows the DOGE coin pattern levels almost to a T, in speedrun mode. It is absolutely not the same structure but it respects the same trading ranges and shows a lot of similarities, which is quite remarkable.
Watch out for this yearly trendline in the TURBO chart and expect some volatility for the next months. Breaking under 0.0010$ could potentially confirm a longer downtrend if we don't see a big impulsive bounce to the upside in the near future.
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone.
We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel.
For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level.
After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity.
💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPUSD DAILY TIMEFRAME UPDATESHello folks, this is my daily timeframe analysis on GU, this idea base on the retracements, the zone above would be our stop loss.
The target are indicated xxx below.
Entry at daily see chart above.
this is only my view on daily timeframe.
Good luck. stop loss above the zone. pewwpeww
USD/CAD Trend in Today's European and American Trading Sessions✍ ✍ ✍ USD/CAD news:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair continued its downtrend for the fourth consecutive day as selling pressure on the US dollar remained dominant.
➡️ Concerns that Trump's tariffs could lead to a US recession, prompting the Fed to cut interest rates, weighed on the greenback.
➡️ Meanwhile, overnight declines in crude oil prices weakened the Canadian dollar, providing some support to the pair.
➡️ Additionally, traders appeared hesitant to take fresh positions ahead of upcoming jobs reports from both the US and Canada.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair is showing signs of a bullish recovery after entering oversold territory. This bodes well for the pair.
➡️ In the long run, the trade war impact will lead to more risks for currencies like CAD. So this is still an advantage for the USD
➡️ Analysis based on important physical dimensions - support and Fibonacci combined with EMA and trend to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Setting up the price zone:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4110– 1.4100
❌SL: 1.3970 | ✅TP: 1.4160 – 1.4200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OPPORTUNITY FOR SELL EURNZDWe have identified the following indicators for the SELL opportunity:
• Low volume, suggesting a potential reversal from the current direction.
• Reflection from the top of the parallel channel.
• Return/re-test to the 3M high and 1M high.
We have defined 3 target points (TPs):
TP 1 = 80 pips
TP 2 = 200 pips
TP 3 = 400 pips
*** Please pay attention to the scenarios from 2015 and 2020, when there were extreme peaks. However, these peaks were temporary, and it’s a matter of good money management, only.
Market Outlook – April 4, 2025Hey everyone, just sharing my thoughts on the current market situation based on recent developments and upcoming events.
1. Tariff Announcement Shockwave
Yesterday's announcement from former President Trump regarding significant import tariffs has already triggered strong market reactions. We saw a sharp drop in SPX and related assets , with nearly 30% lost at one point. This kind of aggressive protectionist policy adds heavy pressure to an already fragile market.
2. Upcoming NFP and Unemployment Data
We’re now awaiting today’s Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate data (12:30 UTC).
- Forecast: NFP at 135k (vs. previous 151k)
- Unemployment Rate: 4.1% (same as previous)
If these come in weaker than forecast, this may confirm slowing economic conditions, increasing downside pressure.
3. Powell’s Speech Later Today
At 15:25 UTC, Fed Chair Powell is set to speak. This could be a major turning point , depending on whether he addresses the tariff situation or hints at monetary policy support.
If he avoids the topic or stays hawkish, we could see more selling ahead.
4. What I’m Watching
- SPX approaching resistance at 0.508–0.510 with decreasing momentum (look at RSI divergence).
- Coinbase Premium remains negative overall, indicating cautious institutional sentiment .
- Volumes have picked up, which might suggest distribution rather than healthy accumulation .
Conclusion:
Personally, I remain cautious . This recent rise could be a bull trap , especially ahead of such high-impact events. Unless the data surprises to the upside and Powell offers dovish signals, I’m expecting increased volatility and possibly more downside.
Stay sharp, protect your capital.
EURUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🧭 EURUSD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: April 4, 2025
🔒 Format: Institutional Swing Precision
🔖 Plan Type: Swing Buy Setup
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal Continuation
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
📌 Status: Monitoring for Rejection in Buy Zone
📍 ENTRY ZONES:
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0940 – 1.0965
– D1 demand zone retest
– 61.8% Fibo of impulse leg
– H1/H4 support shelf
– Breaker block retest from previous expansion leg
🟧 Secondary Buy Zone (Deeper Tap): 1.0910 – 1.0930
– Full sweep of liquidity
– Below unfilled imbalance
– Closer to D1/H4 OB base
❗ Stop Loss: 1.0875
– Below structure and OB base
🎯 Take Profits:
• TP1: 1.1030 (Imbalance fill + H1 resistance)
• TP2: 1.1075 (D1 wick fill)
• TP3: 1.1130 (Break of H4 structure high)
• TP4: 1.1175 (W1 FVG reaction point)
📏 Risk:Reward: ~1:3.2 to TP3, ~1:4.5 to TP4
🧠 Management Strategy:
– Entry only on bullish engulfing or reversal wick on LTF (M15–H1)
– SL to breakeven after TP1
– Trail above each higher low for continuation
– Exit fully if bearish engulfing on D1 near TP3/TP4
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
– H1 bullish engulfing or strong LTF wick
– Price close above 1.0980 after tapping entry zone
– MACD crossover on M30 or H1
⏳ Validity: Next 24–48 hours
🌐 Fundamentals:
– USD showing softness post-volatility spike
– EUR resilient with no D1 CHoCH
– US macro data pending, but technicals favored above structure
📋 Final Summary:
Price has retraced sharply after last impulse leg and now probing into D1/H4 demand zones. We're watching for confirmation near the zone at 1.0910–1.0930 which could offer high-RR entry. The trade is only valid with confirmation. No blind buys.
#SUI/USDT#SUI
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 2.17.
Entry price: 2.24
First target: 2.27
Second target: 2.32
Third target: 2.38
Stable Awaiting US NF After Yesterday’s Crazy 2000 Pips Move🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The spot gold price struggled to maintain the $3,100 level during US trading, dropping from a new record high of $3,167.68. The XAU/USD pair surged during Asian trading hours yesterday as market participants panicked following the "Liberation Day" announcement by US President Donald Trump.
➡️ Financial markets were in turmoil amid speculation that inflation would soar while economic progress could stall. Concerns over a potential economic recession in the US grew, along with speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might need to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. The US dollar dropped sharply, and stock markets around the world also declined.
Personal opinion:
➡️The drop in gold prices was mostly due to profit-taking by bulls after seeing the RSI of gold enter overbought territory and halting trading to monitor developments.
➡️Yesterday was a very rare crazy day when the gold price fluctuated up and down by 2000 pips.
➡️ Today the market will be slower and less volatile to wait for the NF news from the US to consider the new momentum to push the gold price. So watch the strong technical resistance - support zones to be able to make profits from them.
Resistance zone: 3113– 3137
Support zone: 3085 - 3070 - 3060
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3084- 3086 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3079 | ✅TP: 3090 – 3093 – 3100
👉Buy Gold 3058- 3060
❌SL: 3053| ✅TP: 3065 – 3070 – 3080
👉Sell Gold 3128- 3130 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3135 | ✅TP: 3124 – 3120 – 3116
👉Sell Gold 3065- 3067
❌SL: 3172| ✅TP: 3160 – 3155 – 3150
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰