XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 1.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3250
4-hour chart resistance 3374, support 3300
1-hour chart resistance 3355, support 3330
4-hour chart bearish, but 1H chart has reversed bullish. Technically, gold formed a double bottom support near 3247 and has entered the B wave rebound, but beware of the C wave decline that may start at any time.
Gold price accelerated upward after breaking through the key resistance of 3300. 3300 is the 0.50 position of the previous decline. Today's market rose slowly by 50 dollars without a callback. The bullish rally will continue at least until the second half of the NY market before a callback occurs.
The risky approach is to follow the trend and buy at the current price. The safe way is to wait for the callback to around 3325~3330 before buying.
BUY: 3350
BUY: 3330
Trend Analysis
EURJPY Follow Ascending channel bullish possible from support📈 EURJPY Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
EURJPY continues to respect the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum from the 168.100 support level.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 169.700 – Key Supply Zone
2nd Target: 170.800 – Next Major Resistance
As long as price holds above 168.100, buyers remain in control.
🚨 Watch for potential reactions near these supply zones.
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AFTER - XAU/USD - Jul 1,2025 DoneCongratulations guys 200 pips profits
✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – Jul 1,2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
🔹 Entry Price: Around $3,348
🔻 Stop-Loss: $3,371
🎯 Take-Profit Target: $3,327 (✅ Hit – 200 pips)
📉 Result: First target partially reached – trade closed with +200 pips in profit.
Price rejected the resistance area and moved downward, allowing for a clean exit before reaching TP1 and TP2. Conservative profit-taking secured gains without risking reversal.
💡 Summary:
Smart and disciplined execution. The market respected the setup, and you locked in profits safely at 200 pips before any retracement.
CADJPY CONTINUING THE BEARISH TREND MARKET STRUCTURECAD/JPY Maintains Bearish Trend Structure – Key Levels to Watch
The CAD/JPY pair continues to exhibit a clear bearish market structure, characterized by consistent lower lows and lower highs on the price chart. This pattern confirms sustained selling pressure, suggesting the downtrend remains intact for upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential downside extensions while monitoring key resistance levels for possible trend reversals.
Bearish Confirmation: Lower Lows and Lower Highs
The formation of successive lower lows and lower highs demonstrates firm control by bearish traders. This classic downtrend pattern indicates weakening demand for the Canadian dollar against the Japanese yen. Until this structure breaks, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Downside Target: 104.900 in Focus
If selling momentum persists, CAD/JPY could test the next support level at 104.900. A decisive break below this level may accelerate declines, potentially opening the door for further bearish movement. Traders should watch for price reactions near this zone for potential continuation or consolidation signals.
Resistance Zone: 106.250 as Key Barrier
On the upside,106.250 stands as a critical resistance level. Any corrective rallies toward this zone could attract fresh selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Only a sustained breakout above this resistance would signal a potential trend reversal, shifting momentum in favor of buyers.
Market Outlook: Bearish Dominance Expected
Given the prevailing price action, CAD/JPY is likely to remain under bearish control. Factors such as commodity price fluctuations (particularly oil, which impacts the CAD) and risk sentiment (influencing the JPY) may further drive the pair’s movement.
Conclusion
CAD/JPY’s bearish trend remains strong, with 104.900 as the next downside target and 106.250 acting as a key resistance. Traders may consider shorting rallies near resistance with proper risk management, while a break above 106.250 would require reassessment of the bearish bias.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — Bounce in Progress?NASDAQ:PLTR is testing a long-term ascending trendline near the $128.79 level, which also aligns with a horizontal support zone. A potential rebound is forming with a projected move toward $145.94 — a +13.32% gain in 12 days.
Technical Highlights:
• Support zone: $128.79 (trendline touch + horizontal level).
• Stochastic Oscillator: Deep in oversold territory — bullish crossover forming (green arrow).
• Bollinger Bands: Price pierced lower band — reversion to the mean is likely.
• Volume: Stable, with room for momentum pickup.
Targets:
• First resistance: $134.71
• Primary target: $145.94
• Stop level: below $127 (to invalidate bullish thesis)
Gold Under Pressure As Dollar StrengthenGold remains under pressure after a false breakout at $3,350, as the dollar's sudden strength dominates the market. Despite Powell's slightly dovish tone, Tuesday's PMI and JOLTs job data favored the dollar, keeping the market in limbo. Technically, gold has established a new range between $3,350 and $3,300. A drop to the lower end of this range could spark short-term buying opportunities. With the ADP numbers on the horizon, the market awaits further cues.
Rate cut expectations and non-farm data affect gold marketPowell noted that the vast majority of Fed officials expect to cut interest rates later this year, but it is currently impossible to say whether considering a rate cut in July is too early. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, however, believes that even if there is no rate cut in July, there will be one in September.
In terms of market impact, if the non-farm payroll data to be released in the next two days performs poorly, the probability of a rate cut in July will rise significantly.
For gold, rate cuts themselves are a positive factor. Moreover, if the market worries about the Fed losing its independence, the U.S. dollar index is likely to fall continuously, and gold is expected to hit a new high in the medium to long term.
Technically, gold closed strongly with a large positive candle yesterday and still has room to rise today. On the downside, the early session low of $3,329 serves as a short-term support level, with the strong support looking at around $3,312 near the 60-day moving average. On the upside, the initial resistance level is the early session high of $3,345; if this level is broken, further resistance levels will be yesterday's high of $3,358 and around $3,375.
XAUUSD
buy@3315-3325
tp:3340-3350
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GBPAUD waiting for conditions to break out of the wide rangeGBPAUD found some buying momentum at the 2.085 support in today's trading session. In the long term, the pair's trading range is wide, extending from 2.102 to 2.067. A breakout of this range will form a new trend.
A BUY trading signal is confirmed when the pair breaks the resistance at 2.10200.
A SELL signal is confirmed when the pair breaks the support at 2.085.
📈 Key Levels
Support: 2.085 - 2.067
Resistance: 2.102 - 2.138
GJ idea - could all YEN pairs head down?We're looking at GJ apart of me is wanting to execute but then the A+ TRADER wants me to wait for a proper break to the downside. We see price down trending, creating LL's & LH's, now we just wait for price to break our CTL. We also see multiple bearish engulfings. Feeling good about this let's scale in lightly.
NVDA Buyers Getting Squeezed? What Gamma & Price Action Say NextGEX-Based Options Insight (Gamma Exposure):
📉 NVDA is currently sitting at $152.54, just above a key PUT wall at $150, with GEX sentiment tilted bearish short-term.
* Highest Call Resistance / Gamma Wall: $160
This is the level with the strongest net positive GEX, acting as a cap where market makers may short against CALLs.
* 2nd Call Wall: $158 – Heavy positioning here, could slow price if it bounces.
* PUT Support: $150 – Strong gamma magnet; price may hover or bounce near this.
* IVR: 8.6 (low) – Options are relatively cheap.
* CALLs Flow: 2.6% bias – Weak call flow, favors downside or range behavior.
💡 Options Trade Suggestion:
Because NVDA is under the gamma wall and just above strong PUT walls, consider buying a debit PUT spread, especially if $152.50 breaks.
* Setup: Buy 155P, Sell 150P expiring this Friday
* Risk: Defined
* Reward: Targets $150 zone (gamma magnet)
* Only valid below $152.50 breakdown
1H Price Action + SMC Trade Plan (Chart 2):
🟣 Structure Breakdown Confirmed – NVDA lost its rising structure and broke BOS + CHoCH zones near $157–158.
📉 Current Bias: Bearish
Multiple break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (CHoCH) events suggest a shift to downtrend.
🟩 Possible Short Entry Zone:
* Price could retest the last order block around $155–156 for a lower high before dropping.
📍 Short Trade Idea:
* Entry: Around $154.80–$155.50 (if price retests)
* Stop: Above $157.99 (previous high)
* Target: $150 (1st TP), $147.50 (2nd TP, PUT wall)
📍 Alternative Scenario (invalidates the short):
If price reclaims $158 with strength, we could get a squeeze toward the $160 gamma wall.
Conclusion & Plan:
Right now, NVDA is in a short-term downtrend, aligning with bearish GEX flow. Option sentiment, volume, and structure all favor selling bounces into $155–157 with $150 as magnet. But don’t short blindly—watch if price retests OB and rejects. Use PUT debit spreads or simple 1 DTE options with tight stops.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
CLSK / 4hNASDAQ:CLSK has extended an impulse since last week, that's gone beyond the May high >> 11.04. That may be just an initial advance of the anticipated impulsive wave iii(circled).
So, the correction in Minute degree wave ii(circled) could be thoroughly over at 8.43. And an impulsive & same degree wave iii(circled) should have begun its way up.
Trend Analysis >> The trend has turned upward in an impulsive third wave towards the anticipated target.
The first Fib extension target >> 20.06
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
GBP_CAD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made a
Retest and a rebound from the
Horizontal support of 1.8675
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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USDCADTrend Reversal Structure + Lower High + Supply Zone Rejection
Key Confirmations:
1.Market Shift from Bullish to Bearish (Structure Break)
Price formed a Lower High (LH) after a Higher High (HH).
A clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred (marked on the chart), indicating a shift in trend from bullish to bearish.
2.Trendline Respect + Rejection
A clean downward trendline is drawn connecting HH → LH → lower LH.
Price rejected perfectly from the trendline, confirming resistance and bearish momentum.
3.Supply Zone Rejection
Price action touches a previously tested supply zone (highlighted in red).
That zone acted as resistance, and price failed to break above.
4.Bearish Continuation Setup
After forming a Lower Low (LL), price pulls back to create another Lower High (LH) – classic bearish continuation pattern.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – June 29, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Hello,
This is Seobeorin, approaching technical analysis not as a result but as a prediction, from a realistic perspective.
I am presenting a bearish view on Bitcoin as of June 29, 2025.
If you refer to the Ethereum idea from June 27, 2025, you can confirm that I presented a bearish perspective on Ethereum at the time. The basis for that perspective is still valid, and we are currently waiting for the take-profit level to be reached. The reason I selected Ethereum at the time was because I believed that the downward pressure on Ethereum was relatively stronger than that on Bitcoin.
However, based on today’s Elliott Wave count on the Bitcoin chart, I now judge that Bitcoin is also likely to experience some short-term downward pressure. Therefore, I am presenting a short position idea on Bitcoin.
The first take-profit target is set near $106,056. Depending on future price movements, this take-profit target may be narrowed or expanded. I will continue to track this idea, and as it develops, I will align the reasoning accordingly to organize the thought process more clearly.
Thank you.
2025-07-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: If I had longs for 24400+ I would really doubt my position right now. Problem for the bears is, that it’s not low enough to be definitive. Only below 23600 we are making lower lows again and those can not happen in bull trends. Strong enough selling but I have my doubts that bears get follow-through tomorrow. Especially when other markets are rallying instead of selling. Above 24000 we likely see more upside but if bears are strong, they keep the market below and continue lower.
current market cycle: unclear. bull trend could continue but trading range is most likely
key levels: 23100 - 24500
bull case: Bulls need to stay above 23700 bad and continue higher for 24000. If they manage to break above 24k and the bear trend line, there is no reason why we can’t have another strong leg up. Until the bear channel is broken, they are not favored for anything. This could have been a retest of the daily 20ema, but only if we move strongly higher tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 23600.
bear case: Bears need follow-through below 23600 and close the gap to 23540. Then they have a good argument to trade down to 23100 or lower. Right now I would not short the lows because the risk of trading back up to 24000 is too big. The bear channel is clear and valid until broken.
Invalidation is above 24050ish.
short term: Slightly bullish that we bottom out above 23750 and trade back up to 24000 but I would only do small scalps here. Anything below 23700 would surprise me more than 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Short from EU open.
Dollar Index Bearish to $96The DXY has been in a downtrend for a while & that bearish pressure is not over yet. I expect more bearish downside towards the $96 zone, before we can re-analyse the market for any signs of bullish takeover.
⭕️Major Wave 3 Impulse Move Complete.
⭕️Major Wave 4 Corrective Move Complete.
⭕️Minor 4 Waves of Major Wave 5 Complete, With Minor Wave 5 Yet Pending.
BHARAT ELECTRONICS LTD – Is in Uptrend …. What NextBEL: CMP: 363.90 RSI: 80.47
BEL is consistently making new highs and is currently in a strong uptrend. The RSI indicates that the stock is in the overbought zone, following a sharp price expansion over the past week. Wave analysis suggests there is still an upside potential of 20–22% from current levels . However, some consolidation around these levels is likely in the near term. BEL could be a good trading candidate if approached with the following strategy:
Entry: 346-335
Target: 435
Stoploss: 318 (on closing basis)
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Gold falls back, is a bottom structure emerging?In terms of one-hour structure, this round of phased adjustment started from 3450 has not ended yet, but it will soon, especially the rapid rebound after the bottom of 3260 on Monday. This rebound has strong momentum. After bottoming out and rebounding, it is currently fluctuating around 3340, with a large overall span. This also shows that after the price has risen, the amplitude of the correction has increased, which means that the upward space is limited. This adjustment is likely to be over soon, but there is no definite bottom structure yet, so we need to wait for some time.
Before going out of the definite bottom structure, based on the principle of following the trend, you can try to short with a light position. At present, in terms of the one-hour pattern, the key point is here at 3355, and it is currently falling back from this position to 3340. If it falls back to the 3320 area today and stabilizes above it, you can operate a long strategy. On the whole, Quaid suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold today should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
Operation strategy:
Short at 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3330-3325.
Long at 3320, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3340-3345.
Symmetrical Triangle in EURCHF —Fundamental & Technical AnalysisToday, I want to examine the EURCHF ( FX:EURCHF ) Short position opportunity from both a Fundamental and Technical perspective.
First, let’s examine the EURCHF pair from a fundamental perspective:
The ECB’s dovish policy stance and weakening Eurozone data contrast sharply with the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven appeal and economic stability. With geopolitical tensions in the background, EURCHF may continue to slide lower, supporting short positions.
In terms of technical analysis , EURCHF is moving near a Heavy Resistance zone(0.967 CHF-0.940 CHF) .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , EURCHF is moving inside a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The point to note about this example is that every time EURCHF approaches the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle , it starts to decline with a lot of momentum . And considering the previous movement of EURCHF, which was bearish, it is better to look for short positions from inside the symmetrical triangle.
Based on the above explanation , I expect EURCHF to move back towards the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle pattern .
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 0.94120 CHF
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Euro/Swiss Franc Analyze (EURCHF), 4-hour time frame.
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