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Trend Analysis

EUR/USD: Bearish Outlook – Targeting 1.03630 & Below 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels EUR/USD is currently rejecting a key supply zone (1.0450 - 1.0480), showing strong signs of continued downside pressure. The pair is in a bearish trend, with price action confirming lower highs and lower lows, as seen in the Prime Market Terminal charts. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.0450 - 1.0480 (Strong resistance & liquidity zone) Demand Zone: 1.03630 - 1.03219 (Institutional liquidity target) Extended Bearish Target: 1.02687 (Deep liquidity grab area) 🔍 Trade Setup: Bearish Bias Towards Key Support Levels 📌 Entry: Sell between 1.0450 - 1.0480 🎯 TP1: 1.03630 (Liquidity Zone) 🎯 TP2: 1.03219 (Institutional Liquidity Grab) 🎯 TP3: 1.02687 (Extended Downside Target) ❌ SL: 1.05150 (Above Key Resistance) 📉 Why This Trade? (Prime Market Terminal Analysis) ✔️ Bearish Market Structure – The 1D & 4H trend remains bearish, confirming a downward trajectory. Supertrend is bearish, and price is trading below the 72 EMA & 288 EMA, showing weak bullish momentum. ✔️ Liquidity Targets Identified – Market depth analysis from Prime Market Terminal reveals a lack of strong buy orders above 1.0450, suggesting that sellers dominate. ✔️ Volume Profile Analysis – The visible range (VPVR) highlights a high-volume node at 1.03630, making it a strong area for price to seek liquidity. ✔️ Commitment of Traders (COT) Data – Institutional positioning indicates an increase in short contracts for the EUR, aligning with the bearish trend. ✔️ Order Flow & Market Depth – Prime Market Terminal shows institutional sellers stacking sell orders at 1.0450, while liquidity pools rest below 1.03630 and 1.03219, making these ideal targets for price. 📰 High-Impact News to Watch ⚠️ HICP Flash Inflation Data (EUR - March 3, 2025) – Any deviation from expectations could drive EUR volatility. ⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD - March 3, 2025) – A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen USD and drive EUR/USD lower. ⚠️ Fed's Musalem Speech (March 3, 2025) – A hawkish stance could accelerate EUR/USD downside pressure. 📌 Final Thoughts: Follow the Trend & Manage Risk! EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, with liquidity resting below 1.03630. The confluence of institutional positioning, bearish trend confirmation, and market depth insights support a sell bias. Watch price action at key levels and manage your risk accordingly! 🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Short
by LDForex_
ADAUSDT Breakout Incoming or Another Fakeout?Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to see ADAUSDT explode, or is this just another trap for impatient traders? Let’s break it down! 💎ADAUSDT is looking solid after completing a proper double zig-zag corrective phase. The key to confirming the next move lies in breaking and closing a candle above the resistance level. If this happens, it significantly increases the probability of a bullish breakout. Why? Because ADA is still trading in the discount range of a descending channel, and we’re also seeing bullish divergence—a strong confluence signal for upside momentum. 💎However, if ADA pulls back or retraces further, the smartest play is to wait for inducement. Ideally, we want to see bullish structures form, such as a bullish I-CHoCH or well-known bullish patterns like a W formation or inverse head and shoulders on lower timeframes. If those confirmations appear, the probability of a bullish move shifts in our favor. 💎On the flip side, if ADA falls sharply or closes a candle below the support zone, it would invalidate our bullish scenario. This would likely extend the corrective wave into a deeper structure, signaling that it’s best to stay patient and wait for clearer price action. 🎖 Bottom line? The market is setting up for a major move—either a powerful breakout or a deeper retracement. Only those who wait for the right confirmations will come out on top. Stay disciplined, Paradisers! 🚀 MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
Breaking down my EUR/USD tradeGreat-Things Traders! Breaking down my EUR/USD trade from earlier for educational purposes. Pay close attention, as there are key lessons here for refining your execution and market understanding. Market Structure & Initial Bias Looking at the higher timeframe structure, we identified a strong bearish impulse leading into a deep discount zone. The initial manipulation phase set up liquidity grabs during the New York session, leading to a sharp reversal. This was a clear indication that smart money was active. Key Zones & Liquidity Grabs Manipulation Phase: We observed aggressive sell-side liquidity being taken out during the New York PM session, setting up for a potential reversal. Accumulation Phase: Price began consolidating post-manipulation, forming an accumulation phase. This was a clear sign of institutional interest before the next expansion. Asia Liquidity Grab: Price swept Asian session highs, confirming the accumulation and creating a high-probability trade setup for a long entry. Entry & Execution Entry Confirmation: After liquidity was taken, price formed a solid bullish structure shift (market structure shift - MST). Confirmation came with a strong bullish engulfing candle, signaling intent to push higher. Entry Zone: Entered at the Fibonacci 0.62-0.79 retracement zone from the manipulation low. Stop Loss: Placed below the manipulation wick, ensuring protection against potential liquidity hunts. Target Zones: First Target: Mitigation of 50% of the prior imbalance. Final Target: 1.0460 Distribution Zone, aligning with major liquidity pools and previous supply zones. Market Psychology & Smart Money Concepts Mitigation & Repricing: As price retraced, it mitigated unfilled institutional orders from the prior bearish move, leading to the explosive bullish push. New Week Opening Gap (NWOG): Price respected the 50% of the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), using it as a launchpad for higher pricing. Also swept Asia Low. Distribution Zone: The final target aligns with a previous supply area, where smart money could look to offload positions. Lessons to Take Away ✅ Always wait for liquidity grabs before entering trades. ✅ Use smart money concepts to identify high-probability setups. ✅ Market structure shifts (MST) + order flow are key confirmations. ✅ Fibonacci retracements & mitigation zones offer sniper entries. ✅ Patience pays off – let the market show its hand before taking action. This trade followed a textbook manipulation-accumulation-expansion-distribution model, aligning with institutional order flow. Hope this breakdown helps refine your execution and enhances your understanding of how smart money operates! Stay disciplined, stay patient, and execute with precision. Lord MEDZ
Education
by Skinwah
Clear Sign for short-tradeThe price chart has clearly established a robust resistance level, showing no signs of breaking through again. As a result, the price is likely to breach the first trendline in the near term, entering an accumulation phase. During this phase, the price is expected to consolidate for some time before eventually breaking the second trendline. This breakout will likely trigger a downward movement, potentially driving the price toward the 1.013 level by mid-March.
Short
by rahamb
BTC , road map "Hello traders, when considering BTC, the decision-making process should align with your strategy as either a holder or trader. In high time frames, based on the (FVG) concept, BTC's price could potentially reach $180,000. However, for short-term traders, the price might dip to the $70,000 zone initially. I anticipate a pullback to $92,000, after which I will evaluate candle formations to determine a selling position. Please note that this analysis is subject to updates over time." If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
BTC/USD – 1H Timeframe🚀 BTC/USD Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📉 Price Action Update: 🔹 Key demand zones at 90,924 - 91,580 🔹 Potential support at 92,323 - 92,523 🔹 Upside target at 94,919.59 📈 Trading Plan: 🔹 Watch for a bounce from demand zones for potential long entries 🔹 Break and hold above 92,523 could confirm bullish continuation 🔹 Targeting 94,921 - 96,918 if bullish momentum sustains #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #LiquidityZones #BTC
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends, I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating. I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher. I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years. IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum. "IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Short
by armindehghani
Natural Gas (XNG/USD) – Critical Decision PointNATURALGAS, 4H Mad-Hatter Mar 2, 2025 Natural Gas is testing a key support at $3.8250, a level that has provided a base for multiple rallies in the past. However, with bearish fundamental pressure mounting, we may see a breakdown that could accelerate the downside move. Probability Breakdown & Market Bias Bearish Breakdown (Below $3.8250). 70% Bullish Bounce (Holding $3.8250 & reclaiming $3.90-$4.00). 30% Why the Bearish Bias? Weather Forecasts Lean Bearish – Warmer-than-expected temperatures in Europe are reducing heating demand, limiting upside potential for Nat Gas prices. Technical Weakness – Price has been trending downward, forming lower highs since peaking near $4.30. Failure to reclaim $3.90-$4.00 would confirm weakness. Market Sentiment Shifting Bearish – LNG supply remains stable, and demand isn't spiking as expected. If $3.8250 gives way, sellers will step in aggressively. Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Most Likely - 70%) If $3.8250 breaks, expect a sharp decline toward $3.60 - $3.50. Trade Plan (Short Position) Entry: Below $3.80 (confirmed breakdown) Stop Loss: Above $3.85 (to avoid whipsaws) Target 1: $3.60 Target 2: $3.50 A strong 4H close below $3.80 will confirm the bearish move. Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal (Less Likely - 30%) If $3.8250 holds and buyers step in, price could rally toward $3.95 - $4.10. Trade Plan (Long Position) Entry: $3.83 - $3.85 (after a clear rejection wick) Stop Loss: Below $3.75 Target 1: $3.95 Target 2: $4.10 Look for high volume rejection around $3.8250 before entering long. Final Analysis & Market Outlook Bias: Leaning Bearish (70% probability of breakdown) Invalidation: If price holds $3.8250 and reclaims $3.90+, bias flips bullish Key Catalyst: If Europe remains warmer, expect downside pressure to persist The higher-probability trade is to short on a confirmed break of $3.80. If the level holds, a long is possible, but the overall structure remains weak. Watch for confirmation before taking action.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by Mad-Hatter
How To Identify Market Reversals Using the MAD IndicatorOverview The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator is designed to capture market reversals, trend shifts, and volatility cycles using a combination of its Mainline (blue), Upper Band (green), and Lower Band (red) . This idea explores how the indicator performed in real market conditions, highlighting how price interactions with these bands provided trading signals. How It Works • Mainline (Blue Line - Dynamic Market Structure Guide) • This acts as a key trend reference. When price trades above the Mainline , the structure is bullish ; when below, it’s bearish . • Acts as floating resistance in downtrends and support in uptrends. • Upper Band (Green Line - Dynamic Resistance Zone ) • Expands and contracts based on volatility. • Acts as a dynamic resistance—when price struggles at this level, it often signals an overextended move. • Breakout Above Green Band → Possible bullish expansion, highlighted by Green Background. • Rejection at Green Band → Signals potential price exhaustion and reversal. • Lower Band (Red Line - Dynamic Support Zone) • Functions as a strong support—if price holds, a reversal is likely. • Break Below Red Band → Sell confirmation, as bearish momentum increases highlighted by Red Background. Performance in This Case Study (Based on this chart) 1. Reversal Accuracy & Trend Reactions • Multiple green buy signals were generated as the price bounced from the red lower band, confirming it as a strong support zone. • When price broke below the red band, sell signals followed, aligning with the continuation of a bearish move. • Sell signals near the green upper band played out well, confirming resistance rejection. 2. Trend Shrinking & Expansion Dynamics • The bands contracted during sideways market phases, signaling low volatility and a lack of momentum. • Expansion occurred before sharp price moves, giving early volatility warnings. 3. Resistance & Support Behavior • The Blue Mainline rejected price during a downtrend, acting as dynamic resistance. • Price failed to hold above the Green Upper Band, confirming trend weakness. 4. Strong Market Moves & Confirmation • The break below the red band led to a clear downward trend, reinforcing the sell signal’s validity. • The indicator effectively filtered false breakouts by ensuring a clean move beyond its bands before confirming signals. Key Takeaways ✅ Lower Band (Red Line) = Strong Support → If price holds, reversals occur; if broken, sell-offs follow. ✅ Upper Band (Green Line) = Strong Resistance → Price rejection confirms weakness; breakout signals potential expansion. ✅ Mainline (Blue Line) = Dynamic Trend Guide → Price below = bearish, price above = bullish. ✅ Band Contraction = Low Volatility, Band Expansion = Impending Breakout. ✅ MAD Indicator accurately detected reversals and trend shifts in this case study.
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
XAUUSD: How to trade next week?On Friday, gold reached 2840. After testing the support at the bottom, it started to rise slightly. Next Monday, there is a possibility of an oversold rebound in gold. However, the downward trend has already been formed, so in trading, we need to continue short-selling. xauusd sell@2880-2890 TP:2860-2840 Currently, the account with an initial amount of 40K has reached 200K. In March, I will make a profit of one million, and I will share my daily trading orders. You can copy my orders for trading. Click on the link below the article to obtain the relevant information.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Kill_the_dealer
Major Levels – Is Sonic Ready to Pump?After reaching the daily resistance level ($0.7818), price faced strong rejection. The anchored VWAP, acting as dynamic resistance just below the daily level, provided additional confluence for a low-risk short opportunity. Additionally, a key high at $0.7891 further reinforced this resistance zone. Following the rejection, price sharply declined -13%, retracing back into the previous trading range. Support Confluence Price is now approaching a well-defined support zone: Bullish Order Block: $0.6816 Key Level Near Order Block: $0.6803 Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65): 0.618 at $0.6793 & 0.65 at $0.6739 Monthly Open: $0.6732 Point of Control (POC): $0.6732 (aligning with Monthly Open) Daily 21 EMA/SMA: 21 EMA at $0.6835 & 21 SMA at $0.6790 Fib Speed Fan 0.7 (from $0.615 to $0.7818): Providing additional support in this zone Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: $0.6816 – $0.6732 Stop Loss: Below the Monthly Open ($0.6732) Take Profit Zone: $0.7111 – $0.7201 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 R:R setup, offering a high-probability trade Take Profit Targets & Resistance Zones Previous Swing Low: $0.7111 (untested) Value Area Low (VAL): $0.7152 Anchored VWAP (from $0.615 low): $0.7137 Fib Retracement 0.382 (from $0.7818 high to current low): $0.7201
Long
by SiDec
How do you feel about DPR(Deeper) . Are they scamming people ?Deeper network is a decentralized VPN based utility crypto project since 2021 . At the initial stage they were performed well . but recent year performance and promotion on this token had not gone well .Even though a great utility project behind this token and the physical VPN devices are good quality products to grow up in future . May be an 100 USD deposit on this project make you a millionaire or waste of time and money .
by Treasure_Traders_TTFX