BTCUSD: Perfect Bullish Area: 100000Disclaimer: This analysis is not a trading advice but a personal opinion only published for the sack of study.
Greetings: What do you think about Bitcoin today. kindly share your opinion in the comment section
BTCUSD Price Now: 100300
Currently market has experienced a huge drop which was necessary because market had to retest and find the new supporting area for hitting a new All Time High. BTCUSD is still bullish and can go further high. I think its the best area for buy till 105000 which can show a little resistance but if it breaks this resistance then its next target will be 107500. Market is working under a fixed range even if goes down it would not be a drastic fall.
Supporting Areas: 100000, 98000
Resistance Areas: 105000, 107500
Demand Zone: 107500
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Trend Analysis
How to Trade Commodities? Five Popular StrategiesHow to Trade Commodities? Five Popular Strategies
Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the world of commodities, understanding the various available strategies can play an important role in building an effective trading plan. In this article, we’ll explain five commodity trading strategies that you can get started with today.
Commodity Trading Explained
Commodity trading refers to the buying and selling of raw materials and industrial components in the financial markets. While forex trading deals with currencies, commodities trading primarily deals with physical goods. Typically, commodities fall into four broad categories: energy, metals, agricultural, and environmental.
There are many reasons why people buy and sell commodities. Some trade them as a way of hedging against inflation, particularly precious metals. Others might use them to take advantage of a booming economy, as demand for energy, metal, and food usually increases in times of economic growth.
Commodity trading is a practice that dates back thousands of years. In the past, early civilisations had to physically buy and store these goods, but nowadays, there are many types of commodity trading available.
If you’re speculating on commodities in the 21st century, you’re much more likely to be trading contracts for difference (CFDs), the same as we offer at FXOpen. Additionally, you can gain exposure to commodities through stock and exchange-traded fund CFDs, which you’ll also find on our platform.
Understanding CFD Trading in Commodities
Commodity Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are financial derivatives that allow traders to speculate on the price movements of commodities, such as oil, gold, or wheat. They offer traders a way to engage with the commodity market without the need to physically own the underlying assets.
When trading commodity CFDs, traders are essentially entering into an agreement with a broker to exchange the difference in price of a commodity from the time the contract is opened to when it is closed. This method offers the flexibility to take advantage of price movements in both rising and falling markets.
Likewise, CFDs offer leveraged commodities trading. However, it's crucial to note that while leverage is a double-edged sword: it can magnify both potential returns and losses.
How to Create a Commodity Trading Strategy
Creating effective commodity trading strategies requires a deep understanding of the specific market dynamics and fundamental factors influencing commodity prices. Insightful commodity traders scrutinise supply and demand trends, monitor geopolitical events that could impact global trade, and pay close attention to agricultural reports or energy production data.
For instance, weather patterns play a pivotal role in agricultural commodities, affecting crop yields and, consequently, prices. Similarly, political instability in oil-rich regions can lead to fluctuations in oil prices. Understanding these fundamental aspects can help traders anticipate market movements.
Moreover, economic indicators such as inflation rates, currency strength, and GDP growth must be considered, as these can indirectly influence commodity prices. For example, copper is a key component in housing. It’s estimated that around 30% of the global copper supply is used in house construction in China; therefore, Chinese housing data can significantly impact copper trading strategies.
By integrating this knowledge with technical analysis, traders can identify potential entry and exit points. Technical-based strategies, like those below, can complement fundamental analysis and offer a well-rounded approach to commodity markets.
5 Examples of Commodity Trading Strategies
Below, we’ll discuss five technical-based commodity trading techniques.
Trading Breakouts: Stop Orders
A breakout refers to the rapid price movements seen after an area of support or resistance is broken. However, trading it is harder than it seems. Often, a “fakeout” - a move beyond a support or resistance level that quickly reverses - can trap traders and put them in the red. Therefore, traders prefer to wait for confirmation and enter with a stop-limit order.
- Entry: Once an area of support or resistance has formed (A), traders wait for the price to break through and create a swing high or low (1). When the price returns to the level, they then wait for an opposing high or low to form (2). Then, they can set a stop-limit order at the previous high or low (1) to catch the confirmed breakout.
- Stop Loss: Traders may set a stop above the swing high or low that creates the retest.
- Take Profit: Traders may take profit at a level that gives them a 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Some prefer to trail their stop, while others might move it to breakeven and manually take profits at the closest areas of support and resistance.
Trading Breakouts: Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands
However, breakouts can also be captured using two well-known indicators, Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands, both set with a multiplier of 2. A key signal for traders occurs when Bollinger Bands, an indicator of market volatility, contract within the broader Keltner Channels, suggesting a looming phase of high volatility following a period of consolidation.
- Indicators: Keltner Channels (20, 2) and Bollinger Bands (20, 2).
- Entry: Traders often monitor for a scenario where the Bollinger Bands narrow inside the Keltner Channels, indicating low volatility. A decisive close above or below the Bollinger Band, accompanied by high trading volume and a strong bullish or bearish candle, suggests the initiation of a breakout. An additional confirmation is seen if the price also closes outside the Keltner Channel, reinforcing the breakout's validity.
- Stop Loss: A common approach is to set a stop loss beyond the opposite band or channel line, offering a potential safeguard against reversals.
- Take Profit: Traders might consider taking returns when a reverse setup occurs, e.g., if in a long trade, closing when the price closes below the Bollinger Band after a period of low volatility. Alternatively, employing a trailing stop above or below the band/channel may allow traders to secure the majority of the trend's movement.
Trading Trends: RSI and EMA
Trend-following strategies can work especially well with commodities, given that their trends can last weeks and even months. This specific strategy uses moving averages to confirm the direction of the trend with additional confluence from the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
- Indicators: RSI (14), Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) of 21 (grey) and 50 (orange).
- Entry: When EMA 21 crosses above EMA 50 and RSI is above 50 (showing bullishness), the first retest of EMA 21 may be considered a long entry point (2). When EMA 21 crosses below EMA 50 and RSI is below 50 (showing bearishness), the first retest of EMA 21 may be considered a short entry point (1).
- Stop Loss: For longs, you could set a stop just below EMA 50 and trail it as the moving average moves up. For shorts, you could set a stop just above EMA 50 and trail it as the moving average moves down.
- Take Profit: Traders may start taking profits at a level that gives them a 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Alternatively, they might take profits when RSI dips below 50 for a long trade or rises above 50 for a short trade.
Trading Trends: Donchian Channels and EMA
Commodity trading strategies that leverage both trend identification and momentum are highly valued for their potential to capture significant movements. One such strategy incorporates Donchian Channels alongside an EMA to discern the trend's direction and strength. Donchian Channels simply plot the highest high and lowest low over x periods, 20 candles in this case.
The EMA's slope is a trend indicator: an upward slope suggests a bullish trend, while a downward slope indicates bearish conditions. Conversely, a flat EMA means traders remain on the sidelines and await clearer signals.
- Indicators: Donchian Channels (20), EMA (100).
- Entry: Traders often look for the commodity's price to close beyond the last high or low of the Donchian Channel, aligned with the trend indicated by the EMA. A strong close beyond the high or low reflects that the commodity is making a new high or low compared to the past 20 candles, potentially signalling a continuation of the trend.
- Stop Loss: You may place a stop loss beyond the opposite side of the channel to protect against sudden reversals. Another option may be to place it beyond a midpoint line or a nearby swing high or low for a tighter risk management strategy.
- Take Profit: Traders typically consider taking returns when the price touches the opposing band of the Donchian Channel. This touch could indicate that the trend might be losing momentum or reversing, prompting a strategic exit.
Trading Ranges: Bollinger Bands and ADX
While commodities can be exceptionally volatile, like other assets, they also experience ranges. Using volatility-based indicators, like Bollinger Bands, alongside an indicator that tells you whether the price is trending or ranging, like the Average Directional Index (ADX), may help you effectively trade ranges in commodities.
- Indicators: Bollinger Bands (20, 2) and ADX (14, 14).
- Entry: The theory says a trader goes long when ADX is below 20 and the price touches the lower Bollinger Band and goes short when ADX is below 20, but the price touches the upper band.
- Stop Loss: There are a couple of ways to set a stop loss here. One way might be to use a set number of pips. Alternatively, a trader could set a standard deviation of the Bollinger Bands to 3 and use the newly-formed bands as a stop.
- Take Profit: Since this is a range trading strategy, positions could be closed on touching the opposing band, but a trader may choose to leave some in and move their stop at breakeven to potentially be involved when the range breaks out.
Ready to Start Your Commodities Trading Journey?
Now that you have five potential strategies under your belt, it’s time to start thinking about your next steps. If you’re considering testing these strategies in a live market, why not open an FXOpen account? You’ll gain access to a wealth of trading tools in our TickTrader platform, low-cost trading, and lightning-fast execution speeds.
FAQ
How to Trade Commodities?
Trading commodities involves buying and selling raw materials like oil, gold, or wheat on exchanges or through derivatives like futures and CFDs. Traders analyse market trends, supply-demand dynamics, and global economic indicators to make informed decisions. It's crucial to understand the specific factors that influence commodity prices, including geopolitical events, weather patterns, and policy changes.
How to Start Commodity Trading?
To begin trading commodities, it’s best to start by educating yourself about the commodity markets and the factors that influence prices. Opening an account with a broker that offers commodity trading, like FXOpen, and potentially practising with a demo account can provide the ideal environment to practise commodity trading strategies. Lastly, commodity traders continuously monitor market news and analysis to stay informed.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Weekly: Double Top Signals Further Downside Potential
The EUR/USD weekly chart shows a clear double top formation, with the neckline already broken, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
Scenario 1:
The price could retest the broken neckline, which now acts as resistance, before resuming its downward move. This scenario aligns with the prevailing bearish trend, targeting the key support zone at 0.99810.
Scenario 2:
If the price manages to break above the resistance after retesting the neckline, it may enter a consolidation phase within the larger descending channel. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless the price breaks out of the channel.
The ultimate target for this downtrend lies in the 0.99810 region, where significant support could trigger a reaction. Traders should monitor the neckline retest and price behavior near resistance for further confirmation.
Could the Gold drop from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,778.01
1st Support: 2,718.90
1st Resistance: 2,815.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#BTC Ascending Triangle Failed📊#BTC Ascending Triangle Failed❌
🧠From the perspective of the chart, we broke below the low (L), so the expectation of the ascending triangle failed. Since we chose to break down, if we want to participate in long trades, we need to find a suitable participation opportunity in the support area at a lower level.
➡️Currently in the buy zone, the risk of chasing shorts is too high. If there is a good rebound, you can pay attention to the resistance effect of the lower edge of the triangle and the blue resistance zone to participate in short trades.
➡️If the green buy zone does not rebound but directly breaks the inflection point (99501), you can pay attention to the support effect of the support line (97042)
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday!On smaller timeframes, we can see the true meaning of "Bloody Monday."
Sellers started to sell aggressively, liquidating a lot of buyers who were FOMO-ing near top.
Now this might be just the beginning, as we are looking for the $91K zone to be reached, which will be the next zone where major moves will happen.
So far everything seems decent so let's wait now to see if the Monday candle will close!
Swallow Team
EURUSD - 27 Jan 2025 SetupEURUSD Market structure are making N pattern on the market structure with strong bullish rally. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
update on bitcoin sell We got a great drop as expected as the selling pressure showed us during friday it had a minor choch and already took out buyside liquidity.. we are 3/4 to the final target.. Now the next important step is to manage your profits. This is where I would move my stop loss and or take 80% in partials leaving the remaining to run the course. Never let profits turn into a loss. GReat trade to start out the week
The week could start red, not not sure it'll lastWeekend triangle pattern formed the 4hr.
I expected a Monday breakout to the upside with price action triggering long positions then liquidating them on the way to the GETTEX:97K region.
The reverse could also happen. Breakout to the downside, trigger shorts, then at LSE open on Monday, price reversal, liquidating shorts while rallying towards $112k.
On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news.
It might have no effect, trigger longs and shorts, liquidate both sides, then trade sideways for the first half of the week.
Note to self: 1) Keep your stops tight or (2) sit this one out until direction confirmed (3) run a neutral bot in the meantime.
$SPY All-Time Highs in FocusLooking ahead to this new trading week, I’m interested in seeing some shorts come in. We’ve returned to all-time highs , but the climb faced minimal resistance—aside from some signs of pushback on Friday.
I’ll be very cautious about entering any long positions unless we see price action consolidating or trading closer to the 610-612 levels . Until then, I’ll remain hesitant and look for more clarity in the market’s direction.
What’s your take on this setup? Drop your insights below!
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 1.26 - 1.31.25Last Week :
Last week we opened over the Value of 6054 - 5933 HTF Range and were able to hold over, when we got over the Edge that brought in more buying that gave us a push into new HTF Value of 6195 - 6074 Range where we have sold off from before after contract roll and we closed Friday with a rejection from a push into VAH.
This Week :
Last week of the month, new president is in, what can we expect this week ?
Well looking at the structure we had a perfect rejection from the top on Friday which of course doesn't exactly have to be a top but if it were one it would be a very good looking one on the Daily TF if it was one.
Going into this week IF we can't get over VAH and hold over 6160 - 70 to build supply to take higher over upper Edge then we could see balancing inside the Intraday Range of current Value to build supply and digest the move we had last week that is IF we have truly accepted in this 6195 - 6074 HTF Range. IF we have not found the needed acceptance here and we start getting continuation into VAL we have Poor/Weak RTH Lows there at 6111 which we could aim for, If taken out that could give us more selling to at least fill the Gap we created into 6093 area.
From there we would watch if we absorb all the selling and can get back into above Value or if we can't and we hold under 6100 then we could see more selling to push into lower Edge and IF we happen to get inside it under 6070 then moves back towards lower VAH/Value are not out of the question as long as we can get through 6050s
$AAPL yieaahhhoh dear NASDAQ:AAPL why do you do this to us on earnings week.
Beautiful setup.
1. Setting support on the parallel channel since breakout from back in June.
2. Confluent with the 61% fib retracement measured from same breakout from June.
3. Daily RSI at oversold point.
4. Daily MACD giving us turning hopes.
We want this to get back to the mid point on the trendline, depending on timing we can look at 240 to 250.
All this can get nullified with a bad earnings report and get down to $195 area.
Make or break on earnings. Yieaahhh
XAGUSD - Silver is looking to uptrend next weekHello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
660 - 665 is a Strong Resistance for now.660 - 665 is a Strong Resistance for now.
Monthly Closing above 660 is Required with
Good Volumes for its Further Upside move.
If this level is Sustained, we may witness 750 - 770
& then ABCD Pattern will be in play if 775 is
Crossed & Sustained with Good Volumes, targeting
around 1000+
On the flip side, 590 is an Important Level that
should not break on Monthly basis.
ETHHi
I know there is an HnS, it was good debate between my m8 and I..however previous price action inidicates that there is another bottom before we actually get into the REAL alt season not the hyped up one.
Therefore take this chart into consideration, if it plays out well and the price head to 4.5K wait to see if there a break above resistanse ( watch out for a fake out it can happen as it is in a crucial area) it will invalidate this chart.
good luck