HOLY MOLY! ARE WE IN A RECESSION? $TSLA $120 BEAR FLAG PATTERNA bear flag trading pattern is a technical analysis formation that features a downward-sloping flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase forming a parallel channel. This pattern suggests a potential sharp decline or continuation of the downward trend
I also notice a head and shoulders pattern, as well as an inverse cup and handle.
Everything points to $120.
Sell/Short NASDAQ:TSLA right now with fact check:
+brand reputation risk, high competition, loss of EV market leadership, cyber truck/ product recalls, declining sales with lower margin, stock volatility concern, insider selling, investors buy it based on expected future earnings rather than its current profitability.
+ potential stagflation, tariff war, slow economic growth, inflation, rising public debt, geopolitical tensions, ai bubble, and more
Trend Analysis
Possible Scenario for AVAX/USDTPossible Scenario for AVAX/USDT:
1. Price Action: The price is within a descending channel marked by the blue lines. This suggests a bearish trend as the price has been making lower highs and lower lows.
2. Potential Scenarios:
- The **green arrow** indicates a potential bullish scenario, where the price might break out to the upside, aiming toward a target of around $31.84.
- The **red arrow** suggests a bearish scenario, where the price might break down further, potentially testing the lower support level near $11.91.
3. Key Levels:
- **Resistance**: Around the $31.84 level (shown in red), which could be a strong resistance zone if the price attempts a recovery.
- **Support**: Near the $11.91 level (shown in green), which could act as strong support if the downtrend continues.
Tesla to bounce from hereNASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla has reach and bonce from a key support level, as seen on the chart, in the Golden Pocket, between the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, and it is shown two weekly hammer candlestick bar near each other, which is bullish. Odds that it has already found a mid-term bottom is high.
Now I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the next Golden Pocket at the top, which is between $385 to $430 USD.
And yes, Elon Musk upset his customer base, and the stock is very expensive compared to other car manufacturers, and will probably see little to no growth in sales this year, or even a decline, insiders has sold big amounts of shares and it is all looking bad. And yes, we have probably already seen the top in Tesla in December last year for a long time.
However, stocks don’t generally go down in a straight line, the stock, as well as the stock market in general is oversold and do for a bounce, maybe a big bounce.
After the bounce, I will be looking for shorts, but now, I’m looking for longs.
Good luck to you
XAUUSD Today's analysis 3100On Thursday (April 3rd), Asian markets opened to Trump’s surprise tariff announcement. Surging risk - aversion pushed spot gold to a record $3,167.60 per ounce. But profit - taking by jittery investors soon reversed the rally, sending prices down to $3,054.19. Later, as economic uncertainty grew, bargain - hunters drove the price back up to $3,125.
Macroeconomic and geopolitical factors will keep swaying the gold market. Upcoming US labor data may influence Fed policy, in turn affecting gold. Global trade tensions remain high, and more capital may flow into gold as a safe - haven.
Technically, $3,100 per ounce is a key support and resistance level. A sustained price above it could draw more bulls, while a break below may unleash bears. Gold mining stocks, tied to company operations and geopolitics, also merit attention as they mirror gold’s short - term swings.
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GBPUSD - near to his very expensive region, what's next??#GBPUSD... market just trade in range just below is most expensive region and that is market swing region as well.
keep close that region and only only buy above that region.
means don't holds your shorts above that region.
upside we have long leg if market clear that region.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold and the bearish Breakout Line ...From a cyclical standpoint, a CLOSE below the H1 cyclically derived breakout line may indicate a sharp decline, at least in to the demand zone!
Upcoming news event:
14:15 SWE Time: ADP Non-Farm Employment
The breakout line defines the energy boundaries—once price gathers enough momentum to break through, a strong acceleration is likely to follow.
XAUUSD H4 Updat- Selling Pressure Sends Gold Tumbling Toward SupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
After struggling to stay above the 3100 area, XAUUSD is currently consolidating, awaiting the next momentum shift. Selling pressure continues to dominate, and buyers seem unable to push gold higher in the short term.
From a technical perspective, the current lack of buying strength may be attributed to market uncertainty following comments from former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential tariff policies. These remarks have added a layer of risk-off sentiment, causing investors to step back from safe-haven assets like gold.
On the 4-hour chart (H4), there's a visible downside potential with key support levels seen in the 2955–2930 range. This zone previously acted as a strong demand area, making it an important level to watch in the coming sessions.
Key scenarios to consider:
A confirmed break below the 3100 zone could pave the way for a retest of the 2955–2930 support area.
However, if gold forms a higher low above 3100, a potential bullish reversal should not be ruled out.
At this stage, the best approach is to wait for clearer price action confirmation — whether gold will bounce from support or extend its correction deeper.
I'll continue to monitor the price development and update accordingly if the technical structure changes significantly.
will gold push higher , given the state of US economyyesterday NY session we did see gold bounce of a major 4 hour support area, & buyers coming into the market
with the current situation in the US market & with the DXY pushing down, there is a good chance that gold will be pushing higher.
opportunities on gold happen london & the crossover with the new york session, be mindful of
NFP & the fed announcement also at 4 pm.
i will be looking for buys around the 3.08.00 area, which lines up perfectly with the 0.71 fibbonacci level. extra comformations/ i would want to see a bullish engulfing or another candle formation that is showing bullish price action around this area, before i enter the trade.
we may get an early entry london open, or around NFP news release at 1.30 pm
please feel free to comment & send me your own mark up, ideas.
Stable Awaiting US NF After Yesterday’s Crazy 2000 Pips Move🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The spot gold price struggled to maintain the $3,100 level during US trading, dropping from a new record high of $3,167.68. The XAU/USD pair surged during Asian trading hours yesterday as market participants panicked following the "Liberation Day" announcement by US President Donald Trump.
➡️ Financial markets were in turmoil amid speculation that inflation would soar while economic progress could stall. Concerns over a potential economic recession in the US grew, along with speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might need to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. The US dollar dropped sharply, and stock markets around the world also declined.
Personal opinion:
➡️The drop in gold prices was mostly due to profit-taking by bulls after seeing the RSI of gold enter overbought territory and halting trading to monitor developments.
➡️Yesterday was a very rare crazy day when the gold price fluctuated up and down by 2000 pips.
➡️ Today the market will be slower and less volatile to wait for the NF news from the US to consider the new momentum to push the gold price. So watch the strong technical resistance - support zones to be able to make profits from them.
Resistance zone: 3113– 3137
Support zone: 3085 - 3070 - 3060
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3084- 3086 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3079 | ✅TP: 3090 – 3093 – 3100
👉Buy Gold 3058- 3060
❌SL: 3053| ✅TP: 3065 – 3070 – 3080
👉Sell Gold 3128- 3130 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3135 | ✅TP: 3124 – 3120 – 3116
👉Sell Gold 3065- 3067
❌SL: 3172| ✅TP: 3160 – 3155 – 3150
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Do Or Die!The past few weeks have caught out many bulls as Trump tariffs wreck the markets.
41K support today may just be the bottom, this area must hold, otherwise we are heading not just for a correction but a bear market.
The falls have been consistent and steady, no real plunges which points to a correction, although we do have a double top from the Dec highs and early Feb highs.
Gold and silver have been the standout performers, 3000 gold will be blown away.
A mix of Trump threats of tariffs and many beginning to wake up to media attention in PM's....a hedge against turmoil.
Any close below the Dow low is a short, from here bottom fishing just may produce a rally of significance, perhaps a rally to sell.
Appreciate a thumbs up and God Bless you all!
Welcome to the real world Uncle Sam!The market can withstand a lot of pressure.
It can handle:
the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying"
the pollution and "enshitification" of social media
imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover
partnering with a Russian totalitarian state
overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing
populist politics
unworldly valuations of tech stocks
What it cannot handle is:
Upsetting the world order
Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies
Starting trade wars with your best friends
Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy
I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world.
But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off"
Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets.
The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices.
Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market.
Batton Down the Hatches.
Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart).
My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance.
RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences
Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric.
But until then, enjoy the ride.
Gold Trade Plan 02/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold still Bullish and i expect price will be Try to Make New ATH ,
Today Resistance Area : 3145 , 3170
Today Support Area : 3113 , 3090 , 3060
I dont Recommend Trade Today 2 April ( Trump Speak )
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GBPNZD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Looking at the chart of GBPNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD retracement for the long to another ATH📝 Key Observations:
Break of Structure (BoS) - Price recently broke previous support levels, indicating a shift in market direction.
Strong Bullish Momentum - The aggressive move up suggests that buyers are stepping in at the demand zone.
H1 Supply Zone - Price is currently reacting to an H1 supply zone, which may cause a pullback.
M15 Demand Zone - A key support area around $3,055 has been marked, where price may revisit before continuing upward.
Bullish Projection - The red arrow suggests a potential retracement into the demand zone before continuing higher.
📌 Trade Consideration:
✅ Entry Opportunity: If price retraces into the M15 demand zone and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candles, wicks rejecting lower prices).
✅ Target: The next significant resistance level around $3,147.
✅ Stop-Loss: Below the M15 demand zone ($3,055) for a good risk-to-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
If price fails to hold at the demand zone, further downside movement is possible.
Supply zone rejection could trigger a deeper correction before continuing up.