Trend Analysis
Long on GBPJPY SMC Draft 📈 GBPJPY – Smart Money Story Unfolding 📖
The bears had full control, breaking structure several times and confirming their dominance after a clear CHOCH near 198.200. Each drop left behind footprints—Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and untapped liquidity—marking where smart money had been active.
But just as the market reached a deep discount zone, price tapped into an unmitigated demand area and swept liquidity below the previous low. Classic smart money behavior—grab the stops, then react.
Now, the bulls have entered the scene with intent. The strong reaction from 195.689–196.080 suggests possible accumulation and a shift in momentum. If this holds, we could see price revisit the upper FVGs around 198.800, where more liquidity awaits.
But if price fails to hold this base, the bearish flow continues. Watch how this story unfolds—liquidity is king, and smart money never sleeps.
Gold continues to rise slowly
Gold weekly and monthly level: For the monthly level, many people think that the bull market is over when they see the continuous long upper shadow cross K, and they don’t think that it can’t even effectively lose the 5-day moving average, and it is still in a strong stage in the strong stage, and it is also running on the upper track of the upward channel, indicating that the bull market has yet to continue. If it directly pulls up and engulfs the high point of last month this month, a group of bearish people will be wiped out. It has always been emphasized that you should not underestimate the trend of the past two years, and don’t guess the top. This top will reach a height that everyone can’t imagine. Following the bull trend is the right choice. Holding on to the low-level bullish band bottom position in your hand is the happiest moment in the past two years and the most witnessing moment of strength; and the weekly level, as mentioned at the weekend, don’t look at the big negative last week and lose the lower track of the channel. It is also completely possible to directly come back with a big positive this week.
Gold daily level, there has been a continuous positive breakthrough during the day. Once the closing confirms that the breakthrough is effective, it will continue to rise tomorrow and directly approach the lower track of the previous yellow channel. 340 0 line; then going forward, we have to fight for the last key pressure point, the 3500-3452 previous high trend connection line, which roughly corresponds to 3440. Once it breaks through here directly, 3500 will inevitably be unstoppable and move towards 3700; however, there is no need to be too anxious at the moment, be down-to-earth, and overcome the resistance level step by step, but you must try to look far ahead to see more clearly
Gold hourly line level: From the opening to now, it has been rising slowly all the way, with a small negative in the middle, all positive, this kind of pull-up pattern must not be tested for shorts, and during the European session, it also broke through the upper rail resistance level of the 3335 downward channel, and there was a second pull-up in the US session; it just couldn't step back, and even the 10-day moving average didn't give a chance. If you want to step back and follow the long position, there is no chance for the time being, and going long directly seems more radical; you can wait patiently, be bullish, and don't go short; if you can confirm that it is above 3335 today, you can try to follow the bullish trend, and the upper resistance target is 3374
SOL/USDT Scalping Setup – 1H Reversal from Demand with FibonacciMarket Context:
Solana has pulled back into a key short-term demand zone after a sharp rejection from recent highs. Price action is now showing signs of local exhaustion, with confluence from lower timeframe support and bullish structure attempting to form. The setup anticipates a bounce targeting the mid-Fibonacci zone.
Setup Idea:
Price tapped into a local support shelf around 148.80, where previous demand initiated the last impulsive leg up. With momentum indicators stretched and RSI divergence building, this offers a high-probability scalp opportunity.
Targeting the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone as first resistance, with confirmation needed for further continuation.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around 148.80–149.00
Stop Loss: Below 148.30 (beneath local swing low and structure break)
Target: 154.50–155.90 (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618 zone)
Risk/Reward: Approx. 2.5R
Notes:
This is a reactive setup — price must hold the current level or print a higher low. If sellers regain control below 148.30, the trade is invalidated. Watch closely for volume shift and 1H candle confirmation before adding size.
Mid-Fibonacci level (154.57) is a logical area to de-risk or take partial profits.
HolderStat┆ADAUSD formed rising bottomBINANCE:ADAUSDT has formed a symmetrical triangle after finding firm support around 0.54. Previous consolidation zones have led to significant breakouts, and the current structure is showing early signs of a similar rally. If bulls manage to reclaim 0.58, a climb toward 0.66 and 0.70 becomes likely, with upper trendline resistance acting as a magnet for price.
Solana Bullish Outlook Above $140.0Solana's decline from 163.9 eased near the $148.4 support. However, this demand zone expands to $140.0, which is backed by the high volume node.
From a technical perspective, the outlook is bullish as long as Solana trades above $140.0. In this scenario, we expect the price to target at least 50.0% of its previous range, which is approximately $155.38.
BTCUSDT analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsBitcoin has reacted cleanly to all marked zones so far.
Right now, we are waiting for price to reach the green circle area before making a decision. If we get confirmation on lower timeframes, we can look for a potential short setup on BTC.
Key zones are marked on the chart. Always wait for price to reach these levels and take your reactions on lower timeframes for precise entries.
Stay patient and let the chart come to you.
—
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Gold Trading Strategy February 7✏️As expected from the analysis, after the D1 candle showed buying pressure again, the price continued its uptrend yesterday and reached 3357.
Currently, the price is consolidating within a relatively wide sideways range, extending from 3328 to 3344.
A trend-following trading strategy will be set up when the price breaks out of this range.
The BUY signal is expected to bring good profits if the price retests the support.
The SELL signal at resistance is considered to look for rebound points in an uptrend.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3344-3328
Support: 3310-3298
Resistance: 3368-3386
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3310-3308 | SL: 3305
SELL: 3368-3370 | SL: 3373
DOW JONES This is how it hits 50000 by the end of the year.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 03 2022 market bottom and since the April 07 2025 Low, it's been unfolding the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
Ahead of an emerging 1D Golden Cross, the first since December 13 2022, the price action looks more bullish than ever strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
In fact, it is not that different from the fractal of that last 1D Golden Cross, which traded inside a neckline before the Bullish Leg broke upwards and completed eventually a +39.96% rise.
We expect a 50000 test towards the end of the year at the top of the Channel Up, which is still marginally below the tolerance levels of a +39.36% rise.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long setup TiqGPT analysisAnalyzing the SOL/USDT across multiple timeframes, we observe a complex interplay of institutional activities. Starting from the 1D chart, the price action shows a recent recovery from a significant drop, suggesting a potential phase of accumulation or re-accumulation by institutions. The 4H and 1H charts display a series of higher lows, indicating a short-term bullish sentiment and possible preparation for an upward move.
The 15M, 5M, and 1M charts reveal more granular details of this bullish sentiment, with price action forming higher lows and testing previous highs, which could be indicative of a buildup of buying pressure. The presence of wicks on the lower side of candles in these lower timeframes suggests rejection of lower prices, a typical sign of institutional buying interest at those levels.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation, particularly noticeable on the 1D and 4H charts where the price has stabilized and started to curve upwards. The higher lows across the 1H, 15M, and 5M charts support this thesis, indicating an ongoing demand at higher price levels. This setup suggests a preparation for a potential upward breakout.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H and 4H higher lows formation amidst a broader 1D accumulation phase."
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: SOL/USDT
ENTRY PRICE: $148.93
STOP LOSS: $145.00
TARGET PRICE: $155.00
CONDITION: Buy limit order at $148.93 following a retest of the 1H higher low, confirming continued buying interest.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.5 (Risk=$3.93, Reward=$6.07) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum & Exhaustion: Rejection of lower prices on lower timeframes, indicating exhaustion of selling pressure.
Liquidity Behavior: Potential liquidity above recent highs around $150.00, likely target for institutional profit-taking.
Pressure Analysis: Institutional buying evident from wick rejections on lower timeframes.
Context Awareness: Price action moving from a discount (recent lows) towards a premium zone (above $150.00).
STRATEGIES USED:
1H Higher Low Retest
4H Accumulation Phase Buying
Targeting Liquidity above $150.00
Gold short-term trading strategy updateGold short-term trading strategy update
I. Analysis of key price ranges
Bull market attack path (need to break through to confirm)
First resistance level: 3355~3360 (yesterday's high, pressure zone in Asian session)
Breakthrough signal: three consecutive K lines on the hourly chart stand above 3360, and trading volume increases
Second resistance level: 3375~3380 (golden ratio 0.618 + weekly Bollinger band middle track)
Final goal: 3400 integer mark (breakthrough will trigger algorithmic trading buy, accelerate to 3425/3450)
Bear market counterattack defense line (break through and reverse the trend)
First support level: 3315 (5-day moving average + 4-hour chart EMA55)
Key observation point: Can this position be maintained before the European session?
Life and death line: 3300~3295 (psychological barrier + opening price of this week)
Breakthrough target: 3275 (low point on June 28) → 3255~3245 (200-day moving average + weekly level support)
II. Intraday long and short tactical deployment
▶ Long strategy (defensive counterattack type)
Entry conditions:
Appearance near 3315: ① 15-minute chart Pinbar reversal pattern ② RSI bottom divergence (30-minute cycle)
Stop loss setting: 3308 (invalid before breaking through the previous low)
Target ladder:
3340 (Asian session high)
3355 (reduce position 50%)
3375 (stop loss to cost price)
▶ Short strategy (trend-following strategy)
Entry time:
Appearance in the 3355~3360 area: ① Shooting star/evening star ② 4-hour TD sequence selling structure
Or 3302 effective breakthrough and callback confirmation (5-minute chart closed below 3300)
Stop loss rules:
High stop loss 3378 (break through yesterday's high 1.5 times ATR)
Break through short-term stop loss 3318 (pullback after support turns into resistance)
Target space:
3275 (profit and loss ratio 1:3)
3255 (medium-term holding requires cooperation with non-agricultural data)
III. Institutional order flow monitoring
CME futures data:
There is a large option barrier above 3350 (25,000 call options expire)
There is an accumulation of algorithmic trading buying in the 3300~3315 range (high-frequency trading support level)
London fixing price reminder:
This morning's fixing price is 3326. If the afternoon fixing price is lower than 3310, bearish sentiment will increase
IV. Emergency Warning
Today's US ADP employment data
Expected: +185,000 |
Data>200,000: bearish for gold (quick test of 3300)
Data<150,000: positive for breaking through 3355
Geo-risk time window
Iran nuclear negotiation deadline
★ Final conclusion:
Asia-Europe session: 3315~3355 range operation (sell high and buy low)
US session: wait for ADP data to trigger a breakthrough, strictly stop loss of $3 (leverage accounts need to reduce positions to one-third)
Breakthrough formula:
"Break through 3355 and chase more, don't guess the top before 3400;
3300 is lost and then pulled back, consider catching the flying knife at 3255"
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357📊 Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Near resistance: $3,357
• Key resistance: $3,370
• Near support: $3,330
• Major support: $3,318
• EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward → short-term weakness emerging.
• Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 → showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
📌 Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 – $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,354
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,359
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 – $3,332
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,318
USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
$MAV Setup Looks Juicy, Trend Reversal Ahead?NYSE:MAV is looking good here!
MAV is forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, but it hasn’t broken out yet.
A breakout is expected soon.
There’s also a bullish divergence on the RSI:
Price is making lower lows, but RSI is making higher lows 👀
This is often an early sign of a trend reversal.
If the breakout happens, we could see a strong rally toward $0.081 and $0.126 in the coming weeks.
DYOR, NFA
#mavi #Altseason2025