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Trend Analysis

Gold operation suggestionsOvernight, gold prices encountered resistance near $3,150 and then fell back as traders took some profits near the all-time high. The current gold price is $3,123.39/oz, up 0.31%, with a high of $3,135.60/oz and a low of $3,107.29/oz. If gold falls below $3,100, it will move toward the nearest support level of $3,050-3,060. If gold stays above $3,100, bulls will remain in control. If the rally continues, the first resistance will be the all-time high of $3,149, followed by the $3,200 mark. From the daily chart of gold, the high and low of gold on Tuesday moved up from the previous trading day, which limits the bearish potential of gold. All moving averages are still far below the current gold price level and continue to rise. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is currently around $3001.00/ounce. Although the daily line has pulled back, the trend has not changed. There is a certain peak pullback pressure in the short term. The current trend has not fallen below the 5-day moving average support. The bulls still have expectations of strengthening again. Therefore, before closing below the 5-day moving average, it is still bullish. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the technical indicators are steadily falling, but they are still above the midline. There is a repair trend today, and the main focus is on whether 3150 can be broken. From the trend of the past two days, we can get several signals. Although the bulls are strong, the gold price has exceeded dozens of points when it has a wave of pullbacks at high levels. Another is that the low point of the pullback on Tuesday did not fall below the low point on Monday, and even the low point of the pullback in the US market has just been touched. Therefore, today's thinking is to treat it as a bull first. Gold prices rose again at the opening today, mainly affected by the tariff news. As of press time, gold prices were trading around 3125. At the hourly level, although it is bullish, we need to pay attention to whether yesterday's high of 3148 can be broken. Only after breaking through can we continue to look at 3173, followed by the extreme extension of 3218. For specific operation ideas, I suggest waiting for a pullback near 3115 to intervene in long orders, with the primary target at 3148 and the secondary target at 3173-3178.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JosephChristian
Gold trend analysisGold prices strengthened again, with spot gold prices rising by more than 1.5% during the week. This upward trend was mainly affected by the tariff policy that the United States is about to implement. Trump will announce reciprocal tariff measures against all countries. The cautious market sentiment has driven funds to flow to safe-haven assets. At the same time, the market will usher in the release of a number of important economic data. Before the release of the non-farm payrolls report, market traders are paying close attention to various economic indicators. Richmond Federal Reserve Barkin said that the current economic situation is shrouded in thick fog, and it is difficult for policymakers to clearly judge the trend of interest rates, while concerns about economic recession have not dissipated. From the daily level, the daily line closed with a small cross Yin line after three consecutive positive lines. There is selling pressure on the upper side, and it is necessary to pay attention to the continuity of the bulls. If the daily line closes another real Yin line, gold will further expand the adjustment in the short term, and the support near 3060-57 may be tested on the lower side. From the current form, yesterday's small Yin line is temporarily regarded as a bull's stepping back. Investors are currently waiting for Wednesday's ADP and detailed tariff plans. The market avoids the cautious mentality of uncertainty. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback. Short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position. If it goes up, it is around 3150. According to the recent market trend, it is all rising. Therefore, today we continue to buy more at a low level and look at the cycle of rising, and then combine the strength and weakness layout. US market and other data. Gold strategy: It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by GladysEmily
Oil – Shorts Getting Squeezed But How Far Can it Run?After trading between $65-70 for much of March as fears of a slowdown in the global economy would lead to reduced demand, Oil prices popped 3% yesterday to close at 71.50 and have initially nudged higher again today. The catalyst for the recent move that led to this spike, unsurprisingly, were comments from President Trump. Yes, he seems to be moving all markets right now! His weekend comments which suggested he was getting fed up with Putin dragging his feet on a Ukraine ceasefire, adding the US may work to restrict Russian crude shipments and consider secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian Oil, were enough for traders to reduce weak short positions, as this could impact Oil supplies, if it were to become a reality. Add to that, yesterday’s positive news from China, the world’s biggest Oil importer, that showed manufacturing activity in the country expanded at a faster pace for the year to March, and you can see why prices have bounced in the short term. However, can this move continue? It could all depend on how aggressive President Trump and his team are tomorrow when they unveil the next wave of reciprocal tariffs on trading partners, in what President Trump has labelled ‘Liberation Day’. Current expectations are for these new tariffs to impact all countries, but the size of the penalties is unclear, as are the size of retaliatory measures from China, Canada, EU and the rest of the world for that measure. The worst ‘Liberation Day’ outcome could see Oil traders focus on a global recession and a potential drop in Oil demand, which could see prices fall from current levels, while anything else could see Oil prices continue to fluctuate depending on what it means for global trade and for the economies of specific Oil importing nations like China. Technical Picture: It was an extended phase of weakness in Oil prices from the January 15th, 2025, high at 81.01 into the March 5th, 2025, low at 65.25, a decline of 19.45%, which took prices to levels last seen in May 2023. Subsequently, while a price recovery has materialised, it is only until recently that a more sustained period of strength looks to be developing, and only yesterday the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of January/March weakness, which stood at 71.29, was challenged. In fact, with signs emerging that traders with short positions are reverting to the sidelines and ‘covering positions’ ahead whatever tomorrow’s tariff announcements bring, this 71.29 resistance level gave way on a closing basis. A close above a Fibonacci retracement resistance is not a guarantee of a more prolonged phase of recovery in price, especially when we have such significant news about to hit traders’ screens, but it does suggest scope to higher levels in price are still possible. Next Resistance: A break above a 38.2% retracement resistance level can open potential for a more extended phase of price strength and traders may now be focusing on 73.15/16 as the next resistance within current strength. This represents the February 20th 2025 high in price, from which fresh selling was recently seen to post new price lows and the higher 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Next Support: Of course, it is equally possible any reaction to the up-and-coming tariff announcement could be negative for Oil, in which case it is important to consider what are the levels that if broken to the downside within any extended phase of weakness, might again suggest increasing downside pressure in the price of Oil. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest March strength stands at 70.36, with possibilities that if any fresh weakness sees this level give way on a closing basis, might indicate it is the oil bears are gaining a foothold once more, to expose a deeper price decline and retracement of March strength. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
3100 Danger？ Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier! Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend. In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100 Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Altcoin Recovery Depends on This USDT Dominance BreakAltcoins have taken a heavy hit — many are down 60–80% from their highs. As seen in the USDT Dominance chart, we're still respecting the rising trendline. Until this trend breaks to the downside, pressure on altcoins may continue. Key Zone to Watch: Once USDT.D breaks below that rising support line and sustains a move lower, we could witness a strong recovery phase across the altcoin market. That shift will likely signal renewed confidence and capital rotation into risk-on assets. Stay patient: The breakout is brewing. When that trendline cracks, altseason could ignite fast. Keep your watchlists ready. The reversal will reward the prepared. 🚀 Like and drop a comment if you found our analysis helpful — your support keeps us going!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by unichartz
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CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
GBP/USD Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting 1.30This chart represents a GBP/USD trading setup on the 45-minute timeframe. The price was previously moving within a descending channel (marked in blue and red). A breakout above the channel has occurred, signaling a potential bullish move. Entry is placed at 1.292, indicating the expected start of the upward movement. Stop-loss (SL) is set at 1.289, just below the breakout zone, to minimize risk. Target is set at 1.30, aligning with potential resistance and the projected bullish momentum. The green highlighted area represents the profit target, while the red zone indicates the risk area. The projected path (blue line) suggests a wave-like movement towards the 1.30 target.
Long
by Michael-trades-
Gold fluctuates sideways at high levelsGold is still fluctuating in a large range. Gold still needs to wait for news or data to lead it to a new direction. Gold has not broken through the intraday high, so we will continue to focus on high-altitude trading. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Short position strategy: short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks; Long position strategy: long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, and look at the 3130 line if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDLong
by TimConrad
GBPAUD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 GBP/AUD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: April 2, 2025 🔖 Plan Type Main Swing Plan 📈 Bias & Trade Type Bullish Reversal Setup – Long-term trend continuation after pullback 🔰 Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) Reasons: – D1 bullish BOS structure – H4 OB + Liquidity sweep alignment – Rejection wicks and EMA defense – AUD weakness and GBP relative strength – Macro sentiment moderately Risk-On 📌 Status ✅ Waiting for first tap into zone (Zone not touched – fresh institutional entry opportunity) 📍 Entry Zones Primary Buy Zone: 2.0490 – 2.0515 (H4 OB + FVG + EQ lows liquidity sweep) Secondary Buy Zone: 2.0445 – 2.0465 (Deeper liquidity + refined OB with inducement) ❗ Stop Loss SL: 2.0390 (Under all key structural lows and invalidation wick) 🎯 Take Profits 🥉 TP1: 2.0625 – Partials & SL to BE 🥈 TP2: 2.0700 – Swing liquidity pocket 🏆 TP3: 2.0785 – D1 premium zone target 📏 Risk:Reward Minimum R:R = 1:3.4 Optimized for swing precision setups 🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY – Enter only after confirmation in zone – Move SL to BE after TP1 – Scale partials at TP2 – Let final position run with trailing SL toward TP3 – If missed: wait for rejection candle + consider refined re-entry ⚠️ Confirmation Criteria – H1 bullish engulfing or pin bar in zone – MACD or RSI momentum shift on M30+ – Volume spike near OB or FVG – Rejection during London or NY open for best fill ⏳ Trade Validity Valid for 1–3 days (H4 swing bias) ❌ Invalidation if H4 closes below 2.0390 🌐 Fundamental Alignment ✅ GBP remains resilient on wage/inflation expectations ✅ AUD pressured by weak commodities + dovish RBA ✅ Risk-On tilt mildly favors GBP flows 📋 Final Summary We are looking to buy GBP/AUD from 2.0490–2.0515 zone, with deeper buffer at 2.0445–2.0465. Structure, liquidity, OB + momentum all align for a clean bullish swing continuation. Only execute after proper zone confirmation. Smart Money model fully supports this setup.
Long
by jibkhan111
Continue to short gold after the rebound!Although gold did not fall due to the negative impact of ADP data, this does not mean that the risk of gold falling has been eliminated. As long as gold does not break through the recent highs, and in the fluctuations in recent days, the resistance strength of the 3135-3145 zone has been strengthened, gold still has a considerable risk of falling before breaking through the resistance area, and once gold falls below the 3110-3100 zone, it is bound to retreat to the 3095-3085 zone! The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold market trend analysisGold risk aversion pushed up gold prices, but the bulls failed to continue, and gold prices fell after rising. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour gold price remained above the moving average, and the bullish trend remained unchanged. Structurally, the rise in gold prices was symmetrical in time and space, and the early decline was in line with expectations. The hourly chart showed a weak bearish signal and diverged. The upper resistance is currently at 3137-3141, and the lower support is at 3111-3106. In terms of operation, I suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high short. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3092, and the target is 3130-3150. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3139-3144, stop loss at 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaSaxton
NCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionNCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.9 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 212.70 Entry limit range ~ 212.50 to 209.50 (Avg. - 211) on April 02, 2025 at 12:53 PM. 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 223 (+5.69%; +12 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 233 (+10.43%; +22 points) Stop order limit ~ 206.5 (-2.13%; -4.5 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:NCCLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD. Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_Scalper
NSDQ100 INTRADAY ahead of tariff announcement Donald Trump’s team is finalizing options for a reciprocal tariff plan, with proposals including a tiered system and a customized approach. Markets await clarity from the president’s 4 p.m. Rose Garden announcement, which could impact trade and financial markets. Resistance Level 1: 19579 Resistance Level 2: 19962 Resistance Level 3: 20345 Support Level 1: 19077 Support Level 2: 18815 Support Level 3: 18434 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation