WAITING FOR A TRIANGLE BREAKOUT Monitoring a 4H time frame on GBPJPY, we're nearing on a breakout only that we need to keep an eye whether it will be at the top or bottom.
If it happens at top, we shall have a bullish trend and if bottom, bearish.
Any idea concerning what have written hear is highly welcome.
Trend Analysis
ETH Hits $2,600 Target! Is a Massive Pullback or Breakout Next? ETH
The price targets of $2,500–$2,600 have been achieved.
At this moment, I would not rush into making trading decisions. We have reached a Premium Price level, where the price is likely to encounter selling pressure from market participants. Consequently, there is a high probability of consolidation around these price levels. Given the broader market conditions, I anticipate even higher price targets in the future, but not from the current levels.
A pullback to the $2,100–$2,200 range would be an optimal zone for initiating buy positions, pending the emergence of new market variables.
BTCUSD BUY ALERT Entry Point: 104,900BTCUSD BUY ALERT
Entry Point: 104,900
🎯 Target 1: 106,000
🎯 Target 2: 107,000
🎯 Final Target: 109,000
🛡 Risk Management First!
– Always use a stop-loss
– Never risk more than you can afford to lose
– Stick to your trading plan
📊 Trade Rationale:
– Bullish momentum building
– Key support holding near 104,900
– Potential breakout in progress
💡 Tips for Traders:
✔ Secure profits at each level
✔ Don’t let FOMO take over
✔ Scale in wisely, don’t overleverage
📌 Stay focused, stay disciplined
📌 Trust the process, not the noise
📌 Risk small, think big!
📢 For educational purposes only – trade safe!
USOIL SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 62.60USOIL SELL SIGNAL
Entry Point: 62.60
🎯 Target 1: 62.00
🎯 Target 2: 61.00
🎯 Final Target: 60.00
⚠️ Risk Management Matters!
– Always set a stop-loss
– Never risk more than 1–2% per trade
– Stick to your strategy, not emotions
📊 Technical Outlook:
– Resistance zone near 62.60
– Bearish pressure increasing
– Potential trend reversal forming
✅ Lock profits step by step
✅ Use trailing stops when in profit
✅ Avoid overtrading or revenge trading
📌 Stay consistent and patient
📌 The goal is longevity, not luck
📌 Trust your analysis – not the noise
📢 For educational purposes only – trade responsibly!
EURUSD(20250605) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. economic data-① ADP employment increased by 37,000 in May, far below the expected 110,000 and the previous value of 62,000. ② The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index in May fell to 49.9, shrinking for the first time in nearly a year, and the expected increase was from 51.6 to 52.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1401
Support and resistance levels:
1.1478
1.1449
1.1431
1.1372
1.1353
1.1324
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1431, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1449
If the price breaks through 1.1401, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1372
Crude oil pullback bullish trend
💡Message Strategy
Saudi price cuts and OPEC+ supply adjustments affect market sentiment
Crude oil came under pressure in the middle of the week after Saudi Arabia cut its July sales price to Asia to the lowest level in nearly two months. This follows OPEC+'s decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, indicating that major oil producers are still prioritizing market share even amid volatile demand signals. This coordinated move by Saudi Arabia and Russia is seen as an attempt to constrain overproducers and strengthen control over global supply dynamics.
Refineries drive crude stock draw, but fuel demand lacks
Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) delivered mixed messages. U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 4.3 million barrels to 436.1 million barrels, driven by a sharp increase in refinery runs, exceeding expectations. Utilization rose to 93.4%, indicating that refineries are preparing for a seasonal peak in demand. Adding to the bullish signal from the crude stock draw.
📊Technical aspects
On the technical side, the daily chart of WTI crude oil shows that oil prices have been under pressure for three consecutive trading days and are currently trading above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting the dominance of short-term bullish sentiment. The MACD indicator shows a dead cross and the momentum column is enlarged, indicating that the upward trend is still continuing.
In the previous post, we have pointed out that the upward target and trend of crude oil have been reached. The main theme of crude oil in the future will still be a bullish correction.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 62.50-63.00
EURJPY: Waiting For ConfirmationEURJPY is currently in a bullish trend. Following a new higher high and close on the 4-hour chart, the pair started to consolidate within a horizontal range.
I'm looking for a bullish breakout above the resistance level, with a close above 164.26 on the 4-hour candle signaling buyer strength.
This would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, with the next resistance target at 165.00.
ETHUSDETH is showing signs of a potential resistance retest, echoing previous price behavior. On the 4H chart, historical data suggests ETH typically revisits resistance zones within 6–9 days (±). The pair has been ranging between support and resistance, and a strong bullish hammer has just formed — signaling a potential shift in momentum.
📍 Entry: Market (Instant)
🛑 Stop Loss: 2312
🎯 Take Profit: 2913 (1:1 Risk-Reward)
📊 Plan: Trade aligned with historical timing and price structure. Entering on bullish confirmation.
⚠️ Note: Manage risk accordingly — structure looks promising, but always respect your stop.
Market next move 🔍 Disruptive Counter-Analysis
1. False Breakout Risk
The current breakout could be a bull trap. Price may break above the resistance level temporarily before reversing sharply.
Volume Analysis: The volume isn't significantly higher at the breakout candle, which may suggest a lack of strong momentum or institutional participation.
2. Resistance Zone Ahead
The 1.14500 to 1.15000 range is historically a supply zone, where sellers may aggressively enter the market.
This makes any upside move vulnerable to a reversal near that zone.
3. Macroeconomic Risk
A red-circled economic event icon appears on the chart (likely an ECB or Fed-related release). This adds uncertainty—news can invalidate technical patterns.
If the event is bearish for the euro (e.g., weak data or dovish ECB comments), the pair could reverse sharply.
4. Overbought Short-Term
A series of green candles without significant pullback suggests short-term overbought conditions.
RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) may confirm this. A correction to the previous base is possible.
EURNZD: Long Trading Opportunity
EURNZD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURNZD
Entry Point - 1.8875
Stop Loss - 1.8833
Take Profit - 1.8974
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?Predicting the market requires skill.
Most traders fail at one crucial point: they don’t see the market as a living, breathing organism—a structure where one move leads to another, like cause and effect in motion.
That’s what we often call reading the psychology of the market. When you begin to grasp the fundamental principles behind that, you step into the realm of elite traders.
And yes—Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a powerful tool, but only if you know how to read it properly.
I’m not a certified trader or financial advisor, and I don’t give signals, entries, or exits. I’m simply a solo observer, sharing a slice of what true technical and fundamental analysis looks like.
And yes—it takes time. It takes skills. Now, if we want to even attempt predicting the future of price action, we must understand something: A chart is not a single truth. It’s a battlefield of conflicting signals.
Patterns, marks, levels—some suggest bullish continuation, others hint at sharp reversals. Confusion is inevitable if you don’t learn to distinguish which signs matter.
In our current BTC chart, we’re witnessing this contradiction unfold clearly:
• A bullish flag formation...
• Yet within it, the emerging completion of a Head & Shoulders pattern!
How arrogant can the market be! 😄
A moment to laugh—but also a moment to observe how cleverly the crowd is misled.
This is classic manipulation, wrapped in a textbook setup.
But what’s most telling isn’t the pattern on the surface—it’s the volume beneath the structure.
It’s always the quiet details that speak the loudest.
Before price shows its true face, volume often leaves footprints. In our case, those footprints were already leading toward a bearish path—long before the structure began to shape itself clearly.
So while retail eyes focused on the bullish flag, the underlying volume had already begun withdrawing support.
Not aggressively—no. Subtly, almost elegantly, in that familiar way institutions mask intention:
• Spikes that don’t hold
• Buying that doesn’t follow through
• And a steady fade in commitment as price climbs into weakness
It’s in those quiet inconsistencies where VSA earns its value.
It tells us: the move isn’t about what’s obvious.
It’s about what never fully materialized.
So yes, the pattern may still remain incomplete. The Head & Shoulders may yet fail to validate.
But for those who were watching volume first—not structure—the script was already being written.
✒️ From now on, professionally speaking, we must still wait:
• For the Head & Shoulders to confirm or dissolve. So eyes targeted at the swing low level near 107k
• And for volume to either legitimize or invalidate the entire setup
Only then does the chart grant us permission to speak in certainties.
🐾 But so far…
• The clues have favored the bears.
• Sell opportunities appeared early and often—for those who know what to look for.
• Bullish spikes in volume? They were met with silence.
• Momentum fizzled under a macro backdrop of fading demand.
If you were in the right mindset, and aligned even the lower timeframes to basic structural zones,
you already saw the path ahead wasn’t being carved by the bulls.
Let them finish the patterns.
Let the candles paint the story.
But for those trained in volume, the ink has already dried.
And if you're still reading, maybe you already sense it—
real insight doesn’t shout, and it never floats in abundance.
Value has never been about noise. It’s about what’s rare, quiet, and overlooked by the crowd.
Just like in the markets—the true signals aren’t loud, and they’re never free in the economic sense.
Just as price rises where supply thins, the same applies here:
what’s scarce... holds weight.
PS For last A little exercise, something to grasp on. Have you noticed how Volume & RSI behaves in lower time frames? 4Hour or 1Hour for example. Can you identify how volume confirms a bearish move. Do you discover the correct correlation and combined use between VSA & RSI. Remember my previous insight
See you next time!
BTC SHORT BTC SHORT
ENTRY : 106534.9
PROFIT : 104234.4
STOP : 107221.9
ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
SSVUSDT Forming a Bullish PennantSSVUSDT is currently forming a bullish pennant pattern, which is typically a continuation formation that appears after a strong upward impulse. The pair recently experienced a significant breakout to the upside, followed by a consolidation phase forming a symmetrical triangle or pennant structure. With good volume maintaining support and bulls defending key levels, this setup is signaling that a strong breakout could be imminent.
SSV Network (SSV) plays a vital role in the Ethereum ecosystem by enabling decentralized staking infrastructure. As Ethereum’s staking market continues to grow, projects like SSV are drawing significant interest from investors due to their utility and real-world staking applications. With more ETH validators looking for secure and decentralized staking solutions, SSV is well-positioned for organic growth in the coming months.
The technicals support the bullish bias, with the chart projecting a potential 40% to 50% gain once price breaks out from the current consolidation zone. The bullish momentum building over the last few weeks, combined with strong investor sentiment and healthy volume, adds confidence to this projection. The breakout target aligns with prior resistance zones, making this a high-conviction setup for swing traders.
This pattern, in conjunction with the underlying fundamental strength of the SSV protocol, presents a compelling opportunity for traders watching altcoins with real utility. A successful breakout could attract more retail and institutional attention, especially as staking continues to trend in the broader crypto narrative.
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SILVER – The Technicals Are Clear, The Fundamentals Are LoudEntry: $32.978
Current Price: $34.52
Target: Still in play, short-term and long-term upside remain
Technical Outlook:
Silver has maintained bullish structure after a clean breakout from the $32.9 zone.
- Higher lows continue
- Bullish momentum intact
- Watching $35 as next key psychological level
- Break & retest = next leg up
Short-term resistance at $35.20, if price holds above this zone, I expect continuation toward $38–40.
Long-Term Price Forecasts:
- Investing Heaven: $48–50 by 2025, up to $75 by 2027
- JPMorgan / Citi: $38–40
- Fixed supply vs. growing demand = long-term bullish imbalance
Why Silver Could Outperform (Fundamentals):
AI Boom → High silver usage in electronics
Green Energy → Critical in solar panels & EVs
Industrial Demand ⬆ while supply remains capped
This is more than a chart pattern, it’s a macro thesis with technical validation.
Trading Psychology Insight:
Most traders get shaken out before the move completes.
The real challenge isn’t spotting the setup, it’s holding through the noise.
Patience is a position.
Discipline is your edge.
I’m still holding not from hope, but from trust in my process.
Levels I’m Watching:
Break of $35 with volume = bullish confirmation
Failure to hold = possible retest near $33.8–34 zone
Long-term: Gradual climb with dips to accumulate
Agree? Disagree? Let’s talk in the comments.
If you want me to post the next phase of this trade with updates + psychology notes, drop a "Comment"
GBP/NZD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GBP/NZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 2.245
Target Level: 2.268
Stop Loss: 2.229
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCADAUD/CAD Analysis: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differentials, UIP, and Carry Trade
1. Current Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials
Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.28% (as of June 4, 2025) .
Canada 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.20% (as of May 30, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.28% (AUD)−3.20% (CAD)=+1.08%
Australia’s higher bond yield provides a carry advantage for AUD.
Policy Rate Differential:
RBA Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
BoC Rate: 2.75% (held steady in April 2025) .
Rate Spread:
3.85% (AUD)−2.75% (CAD)=+1.10%
2. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Theory: The AUD should depreciate against CAD to offset the +1.10% rate spread, eliminating arbitrage opportunities.
Reality: UIP often fails due to risk premiums and market dynamics. Despite Australia’s higher rates, AUD/CAD may remain supported if investors prioritize yield over currency depreciation risks.
3. Carry Trade Dynamics
Mechanics: Borrow CAD (lower rate) to invest in AUD assets (higher yield), profiting from the +1.08% yield spread.
Current Viability:
Opportunity: The yield spread and rate differential favor AUD, making the carry trade attractive.
Risks:
AUD Depreciation: If UIP holds, AUD could weaken, eroding carry profits.
Global Uncertainty: US tariff tensions (cited in RBA’s May 2025 decision ) may increase AUD volatility.
BoC Policy: Canada’s cautious stance on tariffs and stable rates supports CAD stability.
4. Key Economic Context
Australia: Recent RBA rate cuts (to 3.85%) reflect concerns over global trade risks but maintain a yield advantage over Canada.
Canada: BoC held rates at 2.75% in April 2025, citing tariff-related uncertainties but projecting stable inflation near 2% .
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) Canada (CAD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.28% 3.20%
Policy Rate 3.85% 2.75%
Yield/Rate Spread +1.08% (bond), +1.10% (policy) —
Carry Trade Bias Bullish for AUD Bearish for CAD
Key Risks Global trade tensions, RBA dovishness BoC tariff caution, stable inflation
Conclusion
AUD/CAD Outlook: Moderately bullish for AUD due to yield and rate advantages, but UIP suggests potential AUD depreciation.
Carry Trade: Profitable if AUD stability persists, but monitor tariff developments and BoC policy shifts.
Trade Strategy: Favor AUD longs on dips
#AUDCAD #CAD #AUD
XAUUSD Reversal Zone Hit? OB + 61.8% Fib Tap In Progress!Gold (XAUUSD) | 30-Min Buy Setup – Smart Money Discount Reversal in Motion
We’ve got price doing exactly what Smart Money traders expect:
Impulse up → Pullback → Tap into OB inside discount → Launch 🚀
🔍 Breakdown:
Market Context:
Strong bullish impulse leg broke previous highs — a confirmed market structure shift
Pullback is targeting the refined Order Block + multiple fib confluences
Eyeing continuation toward 3,384.285 as main target
Key Confluences:
✅ OB Zone (purple): ~3,362.857
✅ Fib Levels:
50% = 3,364.000
61.8% = 3,359.532
70.5% = 3,356.000
79% = 3,352.000
✅ Perfect Entry Reaction: Price is starting to show a wick & stall around OB top edge (3,362)
Smart Money Entry Logic:
Price dropped from a recent high into a clean imbalance + OB area
Liquidity sweep below recent lows is setting up the reversal
Discount levels = ideal entry zone for institutional re-accumulation
Execution Plan:
Watch for M5–M15 confirmation:
Bullish engulfing or BOS inside the OB zone
Entry: Limit in OB or aggressive confirmation candle
SL: Below 3,352 (beneath 79% + OB bottom)
TP: 3,384 = last swing high
✅ RRR = 1:3+ — sniper-approved 😎
🎯 Game Plan Summary:
🔹 Entry Area 3,362.857 (OB top) → 3,356.000 (deep fib)
🔻 SL Zone Below 3,352
📈 Target 3,384.285 (premium high)
🧠 RRR Potential 1:3+ with structure & fib backing it up
💬 Pro Tip:
Let the market tap liquidity + react. No entry? No FOMO.
You don’t chase — you snipe from the OB treehouse. 🥷🎯
✅ Drop “Gold Ninja Setup” in the comments if you’re planning to catch this
📥 Save this chart — entries like this don’t show up every day
🚨 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily Smart Money sniper plays on XAUUSD & FX pairs