Ethereum (ETH/USD) Analysis - Aug 01, 2025ETH is showing a strong uptrend on the 1D chart, recently hitting $3,639.37 after a -1.59% dip. A key support zone around $3,500 is in sight, which I’m eyeing as a potential buy opportunity. The chart suggests a solid base here, with historical price action holding firm.
Watch for a bounce or consolidation around $3,500-$3,600 before the next leg up.
Target: $4,000+ if momentum holds.
Risk: A break below $3,300 could invalidate this setup.
Trend Analysis
ETHFI Bullish DivergenceBINANCE:ETHFIUSDT
Trade Setup:
Target 1: 1.054 (0.786 Fibonnaci Golden Zone).
Target 2: 1.130 (0.618 Fibonnaci Golden Zone).
Target 3: 1.184 (0.786 Fibonnaci Golden Zone).
Target 4: 1.410 (0 Fibonnaci).
Stop Loss: 0.835 (1.272 Fibonnaci).
RSI Analysis: The RSI is showing a bullish divergence, suggesting potential bullish momentum. The current RSI is around 22.36, approaching oversold territory, so caution is advised.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts) BTCUSD Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts)
Market Structure Overview:
Break of Structure (BOS) observed multiple times confirms a strong bearish trend.
Change of Character (CHoCH) around 30th July indicated initial shift from bullish to bearish intent.
Price has been forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting the bearish structure.
Key Zones:
🔴 Previous Resistance Zone (119,000 - 120,500)
Strong supply area from where price sharply reversed.
Also aligned with a Strong High marked at ~$120,000 – key for any future bullish invalidation.
🟫 Current Target Zone – 116,000
Acts as an immediate imbalance fill/FVG retracement zone.
Target highlighted as potential retracement point before continuing lower.
🟦 Liquidity / Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone
Located between ~115,800 and 114,500.
Price may aim to revisit this zone on pullback, filling inefficiencies.
🟩 Support Zone (~113,000)
Price currently reacting near this zone.
This area has acted as a demand zone in the past and is expected to provide short-term support.
Volume Profile & Order Flow:
Visible Range Volume Profile shows heavy activity near the resistance cluster, indicating strong distribution by institutional players.
Low volume in the FVG area further confirms inefficiency and potential for a retracement move.
Smart Money Perspective:
The current structure reflects distribution at highs, followed by markdown phase.
Price swept liquidity below local lows and may now seek to mitigate previous supply or FVG around 116,000 before resuming bearish trend.
📌 Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish until 116K is tested and rejected.
Next Move Expectation: Possible liquidity sweep → bounce to 116K → short continuation.
Invalidation Level: Break and close above 117K would signal strength returning.
✅ Educational Note:
This is a classic Smart Money trap setup — liquidity grab near lows, fakeout pump to FVG, and potential short continuation. Traders should be cautious of fake rallies into known supply zones.
US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span.
This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders:
Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond?
🔻 Key Observations:
Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure.
Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines.
Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior.
Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle
Xrp - The final bullish breakout!💰Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) will create new all time highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
After a consolidation of an incredible seven years, Xrp is finally about to create new all time highs. With this monthly candle of +40%, bulls are totally taking over control, which means that an altcoin season is likely to happen. And the major winner will simply be our lovely coin of Xrp.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.0
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
CHFJPY: The Logic Behind the Inevitable CorrectionCHFJPY recently bounced from what seemed like a perfect support level. Many likely saw this as a buy signal. But when the price failed to make a new high, it sent a clear warning: the correction isn't over yet.
This analysis dives into why that first bounce was a trap and where the next institutional levels are waiting below—the ones with the real fuel for the next major move up.
The CHFJPY pair continues its long and strong global uptrend . However, the market cannot move in one direction indefinitely without pullbacks; sooner or later, corrections occur. Large capital, or "Whales," who are the most important market participants, need to refuel with liquidity to continue their advance and to shake off piggybacking competitors. Right now, CHFJPY is in a 4H structure correction .
The first target for this correction was the 61.8% Fib level and a daily order block. The price did show a reversal reaction from them, but it lacked enough liquidity to create a new ATH, and the price continued its corrective movement. The next target for the correction will be the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at ~183.909, in conjunction with a 4H order block . This move will also sweep liquidity from the low of July 16th.
Two Potential Long Scenarios
SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 78.6% Fib Level & 4H Order Block
The first long entry scenario will be triggered by a clear reversal reaction from this support confluence.
► Setup Condition: Price must reach this zone, mitigate the order block, and close decisively above the 78.6% level, showing strength. An entry will require LTF confirmation (a BOS or the beginning of LTF order flow).
► Invalidation: If the 78.6% level is broken and the price closes below it, this scenario is invalid. In this case, the 4H order block itself will act as liquidity, and an attack on the 4H structure's break level (BOS 4) will likely occur.
SCENARIO 2: Entry After a Deeper Liquidity Sweep
This path becomes active if the first scenario fails.
► Setup Condition: A liquidity sweep with a candle wick below the 4H BOS level (183.333), with the price then closing back above this level. The final confirmation would be the start of a new order flow on a lower timeframe.
► Invalidation: A decisive close below the 4H BOS level will invalidate all long scenarios and will signal that the correction is shifting to a higher timeframe structure.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown.
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$BTC CME Gap + Bad Bart = Easiest Short EverCME Gap + Bad Bart is like taking candy from a baby 👨🏻🍼
Look at that textbook bounce off the .382 Fib 🤓
Pain ain’t over folks.
RSI still shows room on the downside 📉
Global Liquidity drain on the 4th.
Looking like the 50% Gann Level is next ~$111k
Get those bids in 😎
And never forget the BullTards who were telling you about the “Bollinger Band Squeeze” and UpOnly season 🫠
Dow Jones Triple Top & Critical Trendline Break - Buy The Dip?Potential Tripple Top formation spotted on the Dow. This would represent a full fibonacci retracement, which leads me to believe a 38.2 retest is likely. If this 23.6 level can hold support and price does not close below the fib band (orange channel), then the bullish continuation to new all time highs can still happen in Q3/Q4 of this year. The clear trendline break dating back to April is very concerning (white line), leading me to believe more downside in the coming weeks.
Let me know what you think in the comments!
Thanks
$UVXY Signaling Trouble — $SPY Could Drop 10%+ In this video, I discuss why August/September could bring serious downside for the market, despite my long-term bullish stance.
Right now, SPY is trading around $632, but I have a downside target of $573 in the short term. If we get volume beneath $573 — especially a break below the daily EMA — SPY could drop quickly, with a potential fall all the way to $480 in the coming weeks/months.
At the same time, UVXY is signaling a correction for the overall market after rallying from the low's of April. I have a target of $30 and when UVXY starts to move, it often reflects sharp market corrections — and the setup is beginning to mirror that now.
Despite this short-term bearish outlook, I want to make it clear: I am very bullish long term. Any 10–20% correction will be a major buying opportunity for me. I'm watching key levels closely and preparing to take advantage when the market overreacts.
XAUUSD – Demand Zone Reaction & Potential Markup (VSA Analysis)💡 Idea:
Gold is testing a major 4H demand zone with early signs of smart money accumulation. VSA signals show supply exhaustion and potential for a bullish reversal toward upper resistance.
📍 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 3,265 – 3,285 (current demand zone)
Target 1: 3,380 – 3,400 (mid supply zone)
Target 2: 3,440 – 3,460 (major supply zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,240 (to avoid false breakouts)
R:R Potential: ~3:1
📊 Technical Reasoning (VSA)
Stopping Volume Detected
On the recent drop into the demand zone, a wide spread down-bar on ultra-high volume appeared, followed by no further downside progress.
This is a classic stopping volume pattern where professional money absorbs selling pressure.
No Supply Confirmation
Subsequent candles inside the zone show narrow spreads on decreasing volume, indicating a lack of genuine selling interest.
Demand vs Supply Shift
Multiple attempts to break below 3,265 have failed, showing absorption of supply and positioning for markup.
If price rallies from here on increasing volume and wider spreads up, it would confirm demand dominance.
Structure Context
This demand zone has historically produced strong rallies.
Break above the minor resistance inside the zone could trigger a swift move toward Target 1, with momentum possibly extending to Target 2.
📌 Trading Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation bars with high volume before entry.
If price breaks below 3,240 on high volume, invalidate the long setup and watch for the next demand level around 3,140.
Partial profits can be taken at Target 1, and the remainder trailed toward Target 2.
ETHUSD previous resistance new support The ETHSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3,667 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3,667 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,020 – initial resistance
4,105 – psychological and structural level
4,190 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3,667 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,584 – minor support
3,482 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 3,667. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
OP Long Position Hi traders,
Turning our attention to OceanPal Inc. (OP), we can observe an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern forming over the past few weeks, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
OceanPal Inc. is a maritime transportation company, specializing in the transportation of dry bulk cargoes worldwide. The company operates a modern fleet
and has a strong presence in the global shipping industry. Despite recent market fluctuations, OceanPal's operational efficiency and strategic positioning suggest robust fundamentals.
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is characterized by three troughs, with the middle trough being the lowest, and the two outer troughs being higher and approximately equal in depth. This pattern often indicates a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
As the stock approaches the neckline of this pattern, a breakout above this level could confirm the bullish reversal. Traders should consider entering a long position
upon confirmation of a break above the neckline, anticipating further upward movement in the stock.
Take Profit: 3.82
Final Target: 4.31
Ethereum Rejected from Supply - Bearish Shift in ProgressHello everybody!
Price has been rejected from a supply area.
The bullish trend has slowed down, and the market structure is slightly shifting bearish.
A polished upward trendline has been broken on the 1H timeframe.
We’re aiming for a target around the first untouched demand zone: 3437.
Manage your risk and trade safe!
SHORT | Gold | 4H Chart Direction: Bearish
Moving Average: Blue < Red
Pattern Impulse: Impulse correction
Fib Retracement: 38.2
MACD > 0
1st Target = 3302
2nd Target = 3290
Lots: 0.02
RISK: Economic instability still begs the question around whether commodities continue higher over the coming months.
Trade 1/20
0721 Impact of Japanese Senate Elections on Yen Exchange Rate Hello traders,
1. I spent the entire weekend following the Japanese Senate elections, as they will determine the fluctuations of the world's largest financing currency—the yen exchange rate.
★ The results are out, and we are currently in scenario two— the ruling coalition suffered a crushing defeat + Shigeru Ishiba refuses to resign. However, senior figures within the Liberal Democratic Party, such as Taro Aso, have publicly stated that they intend to demand Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation for accountability, increasing the pressure on Ishiba to step down. This means we might see "scenario three"—the USD/JPY exchange rate could potentially break through the 151-155 range.
★ Is this the worst-case scenario? Of course not. The worst-case scenario would be if the "far-right party" that campaigned on the slogan "Japan First" achieved a landslide victory in this election. The most notable winner is a marginal far-right party known as the "Reform Party."
The Reform Party originated from a YouTube channel during the pandemic, which spread conspiracy theories about vaccines and "global elite conspiracies." NHK estimates that the Reform Party will win up to 22 seats, whereas three years ago, they had only 1 seat in the Senate and currently have only 3 seats in the House of Representatives.
✔ Let's take a look at this big winner's political proposals—stricter immigration restrictions + opposition to globalism + opposition to radical gender policies + reassessment of decarbonization and vaccine policies + massive tax cuts + increased social welfare spending. This means Japan may implement more "radical tax cuts" combined with aggressive economic stimulus through quantitative easing, leading to a more severe depreciation of the yen, increasing the likelihood of the USD/JPY exchange rate rising to the 160 range.
★ What are the risks of a sharp depreciation of the yen?
For Asia, the depreciation of the yen typically drags down other Asian currencies collectively, especially under U.S. tariff pressures, where Asian currencies are already under devaluation pressure. A strong depreciation of the yen would mean Japan is taking other Asian countries along with it off a cliff. We need to pay attention to the "passive" depreciation of the renminbi.
Asia will feel the pain, but Europe and the U.S. will also suffer. Theoretically, if the USD/JPY exchange rate surges (indicating a sharp depreciation of the yen), it is very advantageous for arbitrage trading with leverage (because the yen becomes cheaper). However, when the yen experiences a severe depreciation, the situation changes.
Let me give you a classic example: After Shinzo Abe returned to power at the end of 2012, he launched the "three arrows" economic policy: unlimited quantitative easing monetary policy + fiscal stimulus + structural reform = artificially lowering the yen exchange rate to stimulate exports (the clear goal was to increase the USD/JPY exchange rate) = rapid depreciation of the yen (from 80 in 2012 to 125 in 2015).
So what happened then? — A large number of Japanese institutions sold off U.S. bonds, European bonds, and REITs to cash out. The reason is simple:
✔ Japanese financial institutions (such as GPIF, insurance companies, and banks) hold a large amount of dollar/euro assets. When the yen depreciates, the yen-denominated market value of these foreign currency assets skyrockets. Selling off overseas assets is equivalent to cashing out foreign exchange gains in advance.
✔ The proportion of foreign currency assets is too high → must rebalance. Due to the yen depreciation, a large institution that originally allocated 20% of its total assets to foreign currency assets might see that proportion swell to 30% or 40%. This triggers asset allocation restrictions within pension and insurance funds (ALM principles), necessitating the sale of overseas assets and reallocation to yen-denominated assets.
✔ The yen depreciation phase is usually accompanied by an expansion of the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential. If Japanese institutions hedge their dollar assets, the hedging costs become very high (the costs of hedging through FX swaps and forwards rise), so they must also sell off some assets to reduce exposure. Therefore, in 2013, there was a collective sell-off of U.S. and European bonds.
Technically:
Daily chart, there is a possible Crab Harmonic Pattern.
The Crab Harmonic Pattern
From the chart, we can see:
The upward move from A to B is labeled as 0.762, which falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.618-0.786 for the A-B leg of the Crab pattern.
The downward move from B to C is labeled as 0.668, which also falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.382-0.886 for the B-C leg of the Crab pattern.
The upward move from C to D is labeled as 1.112, which corresponds to the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.13-1.272 for the C-D leg of the Crab pattern.
Based on these Fibonacci ratio relationships, we can identify this price action pattern as a typical Crab harmonic pattern. This type of pattern often suggests that the price may be about to reverse.
On the left 4H chart, the broken trendline is suggesting a new possible downtrend to begin .
Make a good use of those support positions, sellers of UJ could find a great trade deal.
Follow me to get more update on UJ.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!