GLD Swing Trade Setup – 6/18 $320 Call for 5–10 Day Breakout Mov🟡 GLD Swing Trade Setup – 6/18 $320 Call for 5–10 Day Breakout Move
📅 Trade Date: June 4, 2025 | 📈 Timeframe: 5–10 Day Swing
🎯 Playing a bullish continuation with defined risk & strong confidence
🧠 Multi-Model Consensus
Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry PT SL Confidence
Composite Mod. Bullish Long Call 320 1.68 2.52 0.84 75%
🔎 Technical & Sentiment Overview
Weekly Chart: Price > EMAs, clean bullish MACD crossover
15-min Chart: Consolidating near $311–$313 support, breakout forming
Sentiment: Bullish news tailwinds (gold demand, USD weakening)
Max Pain: $308 = short-term pullback risk
Implied Volatility: Stable with limited crush risk
Options Flow: Moderate OI build in $313–$325 calls, upward bias
🎯 Trade Setup – Long GLD Call
Instrument: GLD
Direction: CALL (LONG)
Strike: $320.00
Expiry: 2025-06-18
Entry Price: $1.68
Profit Target: $2.52 (50% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.84 (50% loss)
Size: 1 contract
Entry Timing: Market open
Confidence: 75%
⚠️ Risk Management & Considerations
🛑 SL Discipline: Exit if premium drops to $0.84
🕒 Time Stop: Exit within 7–10 days if trade stagnates
🔁 News Risk: Watch for economic releases and dollar strength reversals
⚖️ Support Check: Must hold $310.50 zone on M15 chart
✅ Trade Thesis Summary
With GLD holding bullish structure on higher timeframes, models show strong agreement on upside continuation. We're targeting the $320 breakout with a controlled-risk weekly option.
Trend Analysis
Broadcom (AVGO) – Pre-Earnings Analysis: Bearish Setup Amid MarkBroadcom (AVGO) – Pre-Earnings Analysis: Bearish Setup Amid Market Euphoria | PUT June 21
Broadcom (AVGO) is set to report its quarterly earnings on Thursday, June 6th, after the market closes. This analysis outlines a potential short-term correction based on a confluence of technical signals, overextended sentiment, and sector precedent.
1. Market Context
AVGO has benefited heavily from the AI-driven semiconductor rally, particularly following NVIDIA’s recent surge. However, the current price seems to reflect not just strong earnings expectations, but extraordinary ones. This sets up a scenario where anything short of a blowout report could trigger a sell-off.
2. Technical Signals
RSI (1D and 3D) is in extreme overbought territory, with no new bullish divergence.
Bollinger Bands: Price has breached the upper band, signaling potential exhaustion.
Rising channel pattern (on 15m and 1H) suggests a potential liquidity grab at resistance.
MACD divergence is emerging.
Buyer volume is fading, indicating momentum loss near highs.
3. Fundamental Setup
AVGO has beaten earnings in 57 of its last 68 reports — but this is already priced in.
AI and VMware-related growth have been widely publicized.
Market rumors of stock splits or buybacks add speculative pressure without confirmation.
Peers like ARCW recently underperformed despite high expectations, reinforcing risk.
4. Sentiment Risk – Criterion #26
Social media, analysts, and news sentiment are overly bullish. There is a consensus that Broadcom will “crush it,” which ironically increases the risk of a negative reaction if the numbers come in as just “strong,” rather than spectacular.
This aligns perfectly with our Criterion #26: unrealistic earnings hype as a bearish trigger.
5. Trade Setup
Contract: PUT, $260 strike, expiring June 21
Entry cost: ~$7.50 per contract
Target: $245
Risk: Total loss if price breaks $270+ with strong IV crush post-earnings
6. Conclusion
AVGO shows a short-term bearish opportunity due to technical overextension, saturated sentiment, and a high bar for earnings. Even a positive report might not be enough if the results fail to exceed already aggressive expectations.
This trade uses only one PUT contract, maintaining controlled risk without additional leverage.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis is shared for educational and strategic insight purposes only. Risk management and discipline are essential.
GBPUSD(20250605)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. economic data-① ADP employment increased by 37,000 in May, far below the expected 110,000 and the previous value of 62,000. ② The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index in May fell to 49.9, shrinking for the first time in nearly a year, and the expected increase was from 51.6 to 52.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3543
Support and resistance levels:
1.3622
1.3593
1.3574
1.3513
1.3494
1.3465
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3574, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3593
If the price breaks through 1.3543, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3513
A lesson in DOGEDoge vs btc is one of my favorite altcoin charts. it has done well for me.
I ignored it this cycle to my detriment and forgot the significance of alt/bitcoin charts like a fool.
Already have seen good swings in doge we might get back to $0.70 but expecting anything more is greedy. we likely will not see the level of speculation we saw last cycle when Elon Musk performed a DOGE skit on SNL... lets try to be as reasonable as we can with our magical internet money.
to be clear. short term underperformance to BTC then DOGE rips like it does every cycle for like a month.
Get in near the -90% discount vs btc (sell your btc to buy some doge)
If you just look at the usd chart then it should be up only from here.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SUTUP FOR TODAY📊 Gold is currently showing bullish strength with a break above key structure levels and multiple CHoCH confirmations. Price is approaching a weak high near 3,392, which may act as a liquidity target before potential reversal. 🔄 After sweeping this high, a bearish move could unfold, aiming for the demand zones between 3,350–3,333 where buyers may step back in. 🧠 Traders should prepare for a liquidity grab scenario, with bullish continuation likely invalidated if price closes below the strong demand. ⚠️ Watch price action closely near the weak high and key imbalance zones. 🚀🔁📉
RIOT / 2hNASDAQ:RIOT continued to advance 5.2% today and exceeded the May high at 9.52
>> suggesting an alternative in which the rising leading diagonal may have been thoroughly corrected in an abc zigzag. But it did not reach the expected target.
Based on this alternate analysis, an impulsive third wave may have begun its way up.
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Tia bearish short term.To me the view is pretty clear.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Ascending triangle on gold: $3,280 or $3,560 next? Gold has climbed following softer-than-expected US economic data, which has strengthened speculation for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. ADP employment figures showed just 37K new jobs, well below the 111K forecast.
President Donald Trump, posting on Truth Social, called on “too slow” Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates immediately.
The repeated tests of the $3,400 level suggest that selling pressure at this zone could be weakening. Lower interest rates tend to support gold prices, as the metal offers no yield. However, a daily close below the recent swing low of $3,280 would undermine the pattern.
Technical Analysis: TRB/USDT – 1D Timeframe📌 Technical Analysis: TRB/USDT – 1D Timeframe
🟢 Reversal Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
A classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is clearly visible on the chart, which typically signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a strong upward movement.
Head: Formed near the strong support level at 19.47 USDT.
Left and Right Shoulders: Built on both sides of the head, bouncing off the 24.47 USDT support area.
Neckline: Located at the resistance zone around 34 USDT.
A confirmed breakout above the 34 USDT neckline, followed by solid price action above this level, could lead to a significant bullish rally.
🎯 Potential Targets
🎯 First Target after breaking 34 USDT resistance:
Price level: around 48.95 USDT
Gain: +14.95 USDT, approximately +78.19%
🎯 Second Target if uptrend continues:
Price level: around 60 USDT, a major daily resistance
Gain: +27.01 USDT, approximately +78% from current price
🛑 Key Support Levels
🟩 Strong Daily Support: 19.47 USDT (dark green)
🟩 Intermediate Support: 24.47 USDT (medium green) – if a correction occurs, this zone may trigger a bullish reaction.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario
If the price fails to break above 34 USDT and gets rejected, a correction down to 24.47 USDT (around −14%) is likely. This could act as a right shoulder retest, potentially offering a good entry point.
🧠 Summary
The "Inverse Head and Shoulders" pattern, supported by strong horizontal support levels, suggests the possibility of a medium-term bullish trend. However, confirmation depends on breaking and holding above the 34 USDT resistance.
First target is around 48.95 USDT, and the second major target lies at 60 USDT.
FCEL FuelCell Energy Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FCEL FuelCell Energy prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-7-3,
for a premium of approximately $1.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Upstart Holdings – Cup Bottom and Ascending Channel Setup📊 General Overview
- The stock is currently trading at $50.07 , showing a -1.79% daily loss.
- The price is moving within an ascending channel (orange dotted lines), suggesting a long-term uptrend.
- A strong rebound since the April 2025 bottom stands out, with a 76.37% rise from lows.
🔍 Chart Patterns & Indicators
🟥 Resistance Zones and Price Targets
- The $55 range (pink zone) is acting as a strong resistance.
- A breakout above this zone may repeat the previous move upward ( $23.84 gain / +41.97% ), targeting the $80 level.
🔻 Reverse Head and Shoulders Recovery Pattern
- The sharp drop and rapid rebound formed a V-bottom, often signaling strong reversals and bullish momentum.
- This is reinforced by increasing higher lows since April.
📈 Ascending Channel
- The price is clearly respecting the ascending channel boundaries.
- The lower orange dotted line acts as dynamic support, while the upper line may - define the next ceiling near $95–100 .
📊 MACD Indicator (Momentum)
- The MACD lines are about to cross upward in the positive region—an early bullish momentum signal.
- However, a yellow warning symbol indicates possible caution due to increased volatility or overbought conditions.
🎯 Strategy & Expectations
- The $50–55 area is a critical resistance zone to watch.
- A successful breakout above $55 could technically extend the move toward $80 .
- Confirmation from MACD and volume spikes would strengthen the bullish case.
- A stop-loss below $45 can be considered if the price gets rejected again at resistance.
Will Lithium go up?Why Are Lithium Prices at Multi-Year Lows?
1. Oversupply: Between 2022 and 2024, global lithium production surged by over 35%, outpacing demand growth of approximately 30%. This imbalance led to a surplus of around 154,000 tonnes in 2024.
2. Slower EV Adoption: The anticipated rapid growth in EV sales, especially in China, did not materialize as expected. Factors such as reduced government subsidies and economic uncertainties contributed to this slowdown.
3. Inventory Build-Up: Battery manufacturers and cathode producers accumulated significant inventories, reducing immediate demand for new lithium supplies.
4. Increased Production Capacity: New lithium projects, particularly in Australia and Africa, added to the global supply, exacerbating the oversupply situation.
5. Cheap but not yet proven Sodium batteries.
Potential for Price Recovery
Despite the current downturn, several factors suggest a potential rebound in lithium prices:
1. Projected Supply Deficit: Analysts forecast that the lithium market could shift from a surplus to a deficit as early as 2026, driven by sustained demand growth and potential supply constraints.
2. Ongoing Demand from EVs and Energy Storage: The global push for electrification and renewable energy storage continues to underpin long-term lithium demand.
3. Industry Consolidation: Major players like Rio Tinto are investing heavily in lithium assets, indicating confidence in the metal's long-term value.
Lithium Price Forecast
According to projections:
2025: Approximately $11,000 per tonne
2026: Around $13,250 per tonne
2027: Approximately $15,646 per tonne
2028: Around $17,077 per tonne
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
The Yen the cause of the next decline?The yen strengthening is what preceded the last market selloff and it looks like it could also be the cause of the next one.
If we look at the chart, it seems like we've now formed a massive top.
If USDJPY breaks through support at 141.33 that should be the initial trigger for a short. Below $139, under the wicks would be the safer play.
I could see the move going all the way down to the lower support levels.
Let's see how it plays out.
HolderStat┆BNBUSD coil at 655CRYPTOCAP:BNB compresses in a tight two-hour symmetrical triangle atop the 655 floor. Multiple consolidation shelves plus an intact rising trendline load energy for a burst toward the 700 – 730 supply band. Horizontal support dominance keeps the new-high narrative alive.
eur/usd 15mThe chart you've shared is for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 15-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what’s being depicted:
Key Zones & Levels:
1. Register Zone (Red Box near 1.14600):
This is likely a strong resistance zone where sellers may enter aggressively.
The chart suggests a potential reversal could happen here.
2. Spot Level (around 1.14300):
This might be a significant supply or resistance level.
Price reaching this area is highlighted as a potential short entry point.
3. 1st Level (Green line around 1.14105):
Possibly the first support level or a take-profit zone for short positions.
Acts as an initial reaction area.
4. Target Successful (Black line at 1.13745):
Final take-profit target for the short trade setup.
Market has touched this level before, marking it as a key support zone.
Visual Indicators:
Red and white arrows imply a projected bearish movement from the spot level down to the target level.
The large white arrow especially emphasizes a strong downward move.
Interpretation:
This chart suggests a short setup if the price reaches the “spot level” or “register zone,” targeting
EURCHF Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.9375 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.9356
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GODREJ AGROVET (Weekly Chart)* **Structure Insight:**
* **Price:** ₹814.95
* **All-Time High Zone:** \~₹900
* **Current Setup:** Tight **consolidation** near ATH — a **classic bullish base-building pattern**, indicating absorption of supply.
* **Moving Averages:**
* **20 MA (Blue)**: Rising and hugging the price, showing short-term momentum.
* **200 MA (Red)**: Strong uptrend — long-term trend confirmed.
* **Volume:** Noticeable spike during breakout attempts and base formation. **Volume supports accumulation.**
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🔍 **Multi-Timeframe Confirmation (Daily Chart)**
* **Golden Crossover:** 20 MA > 200 MA
* **Price Action:** Holding above MAs after shakeout – tight range = potential **volatility contraction**.
* **Volume Trend:** Rising on green candles, declining on red = bullish bias.
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### 🎯 **Trading Plan (Swing / Positional)**
| Element | Details |
| ---------------- | -------------------------------------------- |
| **Buy Zone** | ₹810–₹825 (on breakout or small dip) |
| **Stop Loss** | ₹740 (below consolidation base + MA cluster) |
| **Target 1** | ₹900 (previous ATH) |
| **Target 2** | ₹1,050 (measured move from base) |
| **Risk\:Reward** | \~1:2.5 minimum |
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### 🛡️ **Risk Management:**
* **Position Size:** Based on 1–2% of capital at risk.
* Avoid chasing — wait for breakout **with volume** or dip near MA confluence.
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**Pro Trader Insight:**
> “Consolidation near ATH with rising MAs and strong volume = a sign of strength, not exhaustion. Let the market show its hand — enter with precision, not prediction.”