Bitcoin Bearish On -50% Fibonacci sequence - Not Bottom Yet!Bitcoin Bearish On -50% Fibonacci sequence - Not Bottom Yet!
This is mostly for BTC swing traders, but has a global view value as well.
Money goes into gold and Silver when fearful, and cash when panic hits.
Money isn't sure were to go, and is selling speculations. How can the charts be interpreted at the moment? "WE Dumping" is the only certainty.
Zooming out to a daily chart, and looking at a -50% Fibonacci sequence. Above that is bullish and below bearish. We are flirting with a -50% downside and have already lost the daily 200ma. The 314ma can be a powerful MA to watch, and it's right about 50%. It's a possible bounce spot if the markets turn up (but be careful, fake outs to rekt retail traders might happen for days/weeks).
I think that until cash flows back into the market into Gold/Silver first, BTC will continue down to a 618 or 786 Fibonacci support and bounce. Or maybe just really dump...
Play this safe for a BTC Long Swing, I will keep updating.
Trend Analysis
GBPUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.2800
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.2936
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NQ sell explaining Hi traders
as u see in the chart we have to LQ one higher and one lower .
- The higher one should be internal LQ that were gonna target it after we took the lower
- The lower is to close and we should focus to take it first
1-1 We observe on the last week huge fall on market and trump decision who affect on the market to move down down
1-2 I'm not sure but 100% the market well open on Gap and if that true we should be patience not take any trade until we got confirmation remember being patience
1-3 the analysis will be 100% if the market not open on huge gap we must wait London session probably were gonna see a Juda swing on London or new York session to move down and took the LQ
this trade for short term not for long term to hold
Good luck any question i would like to answer
Understand Trump tariff war, Assess if market rebound is likelyIf you want to better understand Trump’s strategy for the tariff war and the underlying intentions—especially to assess whether a rapid market rebound is likely—you may refer to a paper by Trump’s economic advisor Stephen Miran, titled “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System.”
Here’s a brief summary of the key points from the paper regarding the trade war:
1. Market Volatility Is Anticipated
The paper acknowledges that sharply raising tariffs may trigger financial market turbulence, increase uncertainty, lead to rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and a stronger U.S. dollar—all of which could cause broader ripple effects. (In other words, the Trump administration is aware that such moves will shake the markets.)
2. Second Term: Focus Shifts to Legacy
While Trump and his team prioritized stock market performance during the first term, in a second term—when re-election is no longer a concern—he may focus more on leaving a political legacy. This includes reshoring manufacturing, tax reform, reducing national debt, and shrinking the trade deficit.
3. Tariffs as a Strategic and Fiscal Tool
This new round of tariffs serves not only as a pressure tactic , but also as a potential revenue source to fund Trump’s desired tax cuts. As such, the Trump administration may not rush to finalize new trade deals. Instead, tariff reductions would likely occur gradually, and only after securing substantial economic benefits.
4. Trade and Security Will Be Linked
Future trade negotiations will likely tie economic cooperation to national security. The U.S. could use a dual standard—“tariffs + security”—to compel other nations to follow U.S.-defined trade and geopolitical rules.
For example: Countries might be forced to join a tariff alliance against China. In exchange for market access, they would either have to tax Chinese goods or accept high U.S. tariffs and reduced security cooperation. For the EU, if it does not meet U.S. demands, tariffs would become a key revenue stream for the U.S., while freeing up American resources to focus on China’s rise rather than spending time and money on European security.
5. Big Picture Strategy: Build a Global “Tariff Wall”
This paper lays out a grand strategy to use tariff warfare to pressure countries into forming a global “tariff wall” encircling China, aimed at constraining China’s economic influence.
Strategic Implications
Based on this approach, the U.S. goal in trade negotiations is not merely tariff reductions or market access, but achieving:
1. Market access for U.S. goods via lowered barriers abroad.
2. Adoption of U.S.-led trade and geopolitical rules, including encircling China and sidelining nations like Iran and Russia.
3. Increased U.S. government revenue— meaning tariffs might persist throughout Trump’s term and not be eliminated outright!
Market Outlook
If the U.S. follows this roadmap, it’s unlikely that a consensus with China or other China-dependent economies (like the EU) will be reached quickly. This suggests that market volatility could persist for some time if these strategies are enacted.
Given the current asset declines showing signs of a liquidity crunch, without a clear positive catalyst (e.g., successful trade deals, tax cuts, or rate cuts), it may be difficult for equities, crypto, or even gold to see a meaningful rebound in the short term.
As markets remain highly sensitive to news, it’s crucial to focus on risk control in trading and consider reducing position sizes when needed.
Let’s keep the discussion going—what do you think about the future direction of U.S. trade policy under Trump?
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (103.300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (101.700) Day / Scalping trade basis.
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🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Gold: Focus Remains on Buy-the-Dip Strategy
Gold witnessed another round of extreme volatility today, plunging below the 3000 level before quickly rebounding. Since then, the price has repeatedly tested support in the 3030–3018 range. So far, this support zone has held up well, suggesting buyers remain active at lower levels.
However, traders should keep a close eye on the 3047 resistance area, which may temporarily cap upward momentum. In the short term, the overall strategy remains focused on buying at lower levels, with the potential for prices to revisit the 3080 region in the coming days.
That said, due to the sharp price swings recently, caution is advised for those looking to chase the rally above 3040. Unless your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance to withstand a potential pullback toward the 3000 level, it is not recommended to enter aggressively at higher prices.
Trading Strategy Summary:
Bias: Short-term bullish (buy-the-dip)
Support zone: 3030–3018
Resistance: 3047 (short-term), 3080 (medium-term target)
Risk warning: Avoid chasing above 3040 unless risk control is well in place
Stay agile, and adjust your positions according to intraday price action. I will continue to provide real-time updates as the situation evolves.
Silver Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 30.75
Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the strong support level 28.80 (which formed Double Bottom at the end of December) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous sharp downward correction (2) from the end of March.
Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 30.75 (the former monthly low from February, acting as the resistance after it was broken at the start of April).
Some stocks do +1,650% verticals while the rest of market dropsNot all stocks follow overall market direction, just 80% of them. NASDAQ:AREB wasn't one of them.
We focus on the other 20% which are having massive verticals no matter the overall market or economy situation.
TOTAL Week: +121.4% realized profit from alerts posted in chat 💯
To good to be true?
Been doing it for 20+ years.
When should one beat the market with perfected strategy if not after 2 decades and nearly 100k hours invested?
Ever heard of 10,000 hours invested to master something.
Then what does 100k make you?
Master Jedi?
Sure feels like it if your 2 stocks are doing +70% +300% in a day while the world is crashing 🤷🏻♂️
All fully verified with timestamps, feel free to check and verify.
EURUSD: Struggling to maintain the 1.115 peak amid USD pressureHello dear friends!
Recently, EURUSD has faced difficulties in maintaining the peak of 1.115. The bullish momentum of EURUSD has been hindered by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which again shows that the strength of the U.S. economy has recovered, leading to an increase in the USD, putting significant pressure on EUR/USD.
As mentioned on the 4-hour chart, although the bullish trend on the fundamental basis is still technically supported, there are signs indicating a potential peak forming at 1.115. The current support level is around 1.095. If this level is broken, EURUSD may continue to decline, potentially reaching the 1.083 mark, coinciding with the EMA test of EURUSD.
If you find this information useful, please leave a like and follow Toro for the latest updates!
CADJPY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 102.695.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 106.707.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BankNifty levels - Apr 08, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Bitcoin - Bearsih DivergenceIf this hourly candle closes as it’s shaping up right now, we’re about to see a clear bearish divergence on CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) on Bitcoin.
This means while the price is pushing higher, buying pressure (actual aggressive buyers) isn’t supporting the move—a classic sign that the move may not be sustainable.
What This Means for Us:
• Bearish divergence = early warning that smart money might already be offloading.
• If we combine this with a breakdown on lower time frames, this becomes a textbook short setup.
• Always remember: we don’t act on divergences alone, but they’re a powerful signal when paired with structure.
Stay patient. Wait for confirmation.
Let the amateurs long blindly—we’ll wait for the trap to spring and strike with precision.
Bitcoin at a Time Crossroads — Technical & Temporal ConfluenceAccording to the current cycle-based chart structure, Bitcoin has reached a key temporal bottom, aligning with previous cycle lows. Technically, we are entering the final phase of this bull run, where timing outweighs sentiment.
While global headlines grow increasingly bearish — from aggressive trade policies under Trump, to overextended U.S. markets breaking above all expected tops — Bitcoin now faces a crucial test:
Can it prove itself as a resilient, time-bound asset like gold?
History tells us: news creates noise, but cycles guide price. What happens next could redefine Bitcoin's narrative as a macro-hedge and cyclical leader.
📉 Watch closely — this is not just about charts, it’s about conviction.
#Bitcoin #CryptoCycles #MarketTiming #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroView #TradingView
DeGRAM | DXY continues to growDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
During the momentum corrections, the chart successfully maintained the structure and held the 50% retracement level.
We expect the upward movement in the channel to continue.
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BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $82173.4
Take Profit; $86027.4
Stop Loss; $80926.7
EUR CAD #0005 Short Position Trading - The hunt of liquidity is in process.
- Monthly Chart indicating an order block beneath the last Monthly HIGH
- The order block price to be fulfilled - making the basis of this position trading.
- The TP is subjective, however we emphasized pragmatism and work with the closest Liquidity Pool (LP) area - LP = closest HIGHS and LOWS.
-Weekly latest HIGHs previously penetrated the order Monthly Order Block.
- Position Trading limit order is in place.
- We're going for a long ride, comrade!
30% Bitcoin correction to circa $72kOn the above 2 day chart price action has printed 100% gain since September. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook in the near term. They include:
1) Price action failed support.
2) RSI and MFI failed support.
3) Strong bearish divergence with price action. 10 oscillators price negative divergence with price action at this time.
4) The $72k forecast is the 50% Fibonacci level.
5) What will happen to overbought alt tokens? Nothing good.
Is it possible price action continues to print higher highs like most Youtube shills are calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
USD/CHF H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8575 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.8640 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8449 which is a swing-low support.
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The Case for $XLMA laggard compared to its sister, XRP.
XLM showing potential for a breakout. XRP & XLM once traded together almost systematically, XRP was able to break out of its wedge repeating its performance of 2017. Although past performance does not indicate future performance its important to reference.
XLM seems ready to sweep sell side liquidity one last time before its next leg up out of its wedge.
Ill continue to add to this thread as the days go on.
HBAR: Dare enough to long? #cleanchart #SnR #SnD#NFA
#mychartjournal
#amateursince2019
Analysed and boxed in W1 chart. D1 to check small candle and refined box's line.
In this analysis, it shows strong support and demand at the bottom box to go long (scalping?)
If you like my analysis, please "like". Thankyou and happy trading!