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Trend Analysis

Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.4328 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.4283 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.4375 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis: Bullish Setup with Key SGold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis Key Technical Indicators: Current Price: $3,122.28 30 EMA (Red Line): $3,115.90 (Short-term trend indicator) 200 EMA (Blue Line): $3,081.17 (Long-term trend indicator) Support Zone: Around $3,106.62 Target Point: $3,154.02 Analysis: Trend: The price is in an uptrend, as it is trading above both the 30 EMA and 200 EMA. The 30 EMA is acting as dynamic support, showing strong buying interest at pullbacks. Key Levels: Support: $3,106.62 (marked in blue) is expected to hold as a key support level. Resistance Zone (Previous Supply Area): Around $3,090-$3,100 (shaded purple) was previously a resistance zone but has now turned into support. Target Level: $3,154.02 is the expected bullish target if the price respects the support zone. Trade Setup: Bullish Scenario: The price may pull back to the support zone (~$3,106.62) before bouncing higher towards the target. Stop Loss: Below $3,106.62 to minimize risk. Entry Point: A retest of the support area with bullish confirmation could provide an optimal entry for a long trade. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Set just below the support zone. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable if targeting $3,154.02 with a stop at $3,106.62. Conclusion: The chart suggests a bullish outlook, with price expected to continue its upward momentum if support holds. A breakout above $3,123 could further confirm bullish strength. Caution: If the price breaks below $3,106, further downside movement toward the 200 EMA ($3,081.17) is possible.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
BITCOIN Update: What We Can Expect Next???According to current price action we can expect 3 scenarios: Scenario 1: BTC is currently at it mid range resistance. If it breaks above this resistance then we may probably see price approaching range high and even beyond. Scenario 2: If it fails to break and rejects, then most probably we can expect reversal from range low demand zone, which aligns with cypher harmonic pattern's PRZ. Scenario 3: In worst case, we may see BTC dumping upto 74-70K region, and from there we will most probably see trend reversal. Most crucial level to watch in all scenarios is 95k region, if it breaks successfully above it, then we will see BTC slamming new ATH.
Long
by CryptoNether
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over. 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
XAUUSD-GOLD can still break upward ? read captionGold (XAU/USD) has just soared to a new all-time high, reflecting heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties. The surge comes as global markets react to inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, further strengthening gold’s position as a premier store of value. With central banks increasing their reserves and investors seeking stability, the precious metal continues to shine, marking a historic moment in the financial markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
NZDJPY💡Chart Analysis of the NZD/JPY currency pair (daily time frame). The pair is moving in a downward trend, as evidenced by the downtrend line that has been tested several times. Break of Structure (BOS): A previous low has been broken, confirming the continuation of the downtrend. The broken area is now a potential resistance zone, and the price may retest it before continuing the decline. The MACD indicator shows clear bearish momentum. ⛔️Not investment advice. For educational purposes only.
by Adhamcurrency
EURJPY Long Analysis Q2 W14 Tuesday 1st April 2025 EURJPY Long Analysis Q2 W14 Tuesday 1st April 2025 Currently in EJ longs and with majourity of profits removed, position set to breakeven and trade managed. It it important to remain open minded with the chart and not assume that the chart owes my money. It has done as expected in terms of the move of yesterday, therefore lets go again. As we stand, price could be in the Lower high area to drive to the downside and in this event, my current trade would be taken out for break even profits. Price will either make a high from its current position of as we speculate, a double bottom/ higher low. A 15' order block is identified from the initial long move yesterday and it would be around there, we expect to join the long party. The confluences around that areas are strong. The weekly 50 exponential moving average is their to support our long bias. To add to the validity of the trade, we hope that Tokyo remain unfilled. Our long position is targeting the fill. How would we look to enter the trade once price arrives into the 15' Order block. At this stage, we will have to see a lower time frame break of structure. Why? Essentially, the reasons why the trade could loose, therefore lets do our upmost to protect our capital from risk exposure. As we have identified the current area as potential lower high point in price action, there of course is an opportunity from price to create a lower low. This Lower low creation would likely crash into the Daily 50 ema which also pairs with a 4 hour 15' order block. in the immediate play, I would require a 5' break of structure, a creation of new order block on the lower time frame, followed by a buy limit from that new order block to look long. IF price does not respect that analysis above, FRGNT will execute a position based of a 1' break of structure. With price action in this hypothesis, after the Lower low into the point of interest, we will look to immediately grab the price in it rally of creating its lower high, allowing for FRGNT to move to break even and secure the position. What do you think? lets see how price actions plays. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2. Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025. This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DaveTradesLive
ONDO Falling Wedge + Bullish DivergenceBITGET:ONDOUSDT is compressing inside a falling wedge, now trading near key support. Signs of potential reversal are building. 🔹 Key Observations • Pattern: Falling wedge (bullish bias) • Support: Price is holding just above the ~$0.68–$0.75 demand zone • Volume: Declining throughout the wedge – typical pre-breakout behavior • RSI: Bullish divergence forming + compression under 50, often seen before breakouts 🔸 What to Watch • Breakout trigger: Daily close above wedge resistance (orange trendline), ideally with volume • Target zones: $1.30 to $1.60, then $1.90 to $2.10 (prior S/R levels) • Invalidation: Breakdown below the green demand zone ($0.68) ⚠️ As always, confirmation matters – no breakout yet. But the setup is clean and worth watching closely.
Long
by AliferCrypto
NSE: TRENT Bullish Reversal Start DTF/WTF TGT 7500 in 160days Stock Analysis Trade Plan: Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 5580 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 6200 DTF Close Price. Stop Loss: 5100 Target 1: 7500 Target 2: 8200 Hold for a period of 6 months to 1 year or until the target 2 is reached. Chart Pattern: The stock experienced a 24-month streak to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 8300 . Subsequently, it retraced in 4730 in 6M time. Technical Indicators: The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 20-day EMA below the 50D EMA. This indicates a transitional phase of alignment in the stock’s EMA indicators. A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. This current level could serve as a potential entry point for investors, depending on their risk tolerance. More cautious investors might consider entering above the retracement level. Volume Analysis: There has been a drying up of volumes on the sell side for a two quarter now. There is buying in the past four weeks but above the 20VMA. Prioritize Watch List: Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or When 9EMA crosses Below 21EMA in DTF. Earlier too basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions. Technical Analysis Concepts: Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA): Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends. Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation. Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis. All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart. Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses. Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months. Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly. CHART PATTERNS Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend. Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level. Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity. Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks. Fibonacci Retracement/Extension: Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements. Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
NSE:TRENTLong
by billpramod
Nifty levels - Apr 02, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
CHZ/BTC about to score a goal?Welcome back dearest reader, If you have been following me you're quite aware i'm very bullish on this project. Fundamentals aside the charts look amazing. And CHZ/BTC is no exception to this! Deeper dive: ~Trendlines --> As you can see at trendline ''1'' chz has found support going way back to 2021, you can see what happened next. The bars pattern from 2021 has been copied and shows a strong impulsive move going into june. Trendline ''2'' just shows the downtrend we've been in in relation to BTC, i don't expect this to fall below legacy support ''1''. ~MFI --> The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator used in financial analysis to measure the strength and momentum of money flowing in and out of a security, typically on a scale from 0 to 100. It combines price and volume data to help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, often signaling potential reversals in the market. As we can see it's massively oversold and yearning for a reversal ''3''. ~Stochastic RSI --> The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum oscillator that combines the Stochastic indicator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to measure the RSI's position relative to its recent high-low range. It ranges from 0 to 1 (or 0 to 100 when scaled), helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend shifts with greater sensitivity than the RSI alone. For CHZ also in a massive oversold condition ''4''. Summary: ~Trend has bottomed and could provide a strong move for CHZ ~MFI and stoch RSI are massively oversold. Note: This is the CHZ versus BTC chart, this means that even if BTC trades sideways or bottoms CHZ could do well. This would coincide with BTC.D dropping. Any questions? Ask. ~Rustle
Long
by Rustlingjimmies