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Trend Analysis

XRP/USD Short Trade Setup Analysis (9H Timeframe - Bitstamp)🔹 Current Setup: - 📈 XRP experienced a strong move upward following ETF news but is now approaching major resistance. - 🔹 Price is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.66 , aligning with the descending channel's resistance. - 📉 Given the broader bearish trend , a rejection from this level could trigger a strong downside move. - 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones): - 🎯 $2.87 (0.764 Fibonacci retracement & upper channel resistance) - 🎯 $3.21 (Full Fibonacci retracement, invalidation level for bears) - 📍 Key Support Levels: - ❗ $2.48 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement) - 🔻 $2.36 (0.382 Fib retracement) - 📉 Deeper Target: $1.36 - $1.40 XRP (Projected based on Fibonacci extensions & channel breakdown) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) - 🟢 Entry: Above $2.87 (If price breaks above 0.764 Fib) - 🎯 Take Profit 1: $3.21 (Full retracement level) - 🎯 Take Profit 2: $3.50+ (Potential bullish expansion) - 🔴 Stop Loss: Below $2.66 ✅ Justification: - 🔹 If price breaks and holds above $2.87 , the bearish structure could be invalidated. - 🔹 Momentum from the ETF-driven rally might fuel another leg up beyond $3.00. - 🔹 A strong breakout above $3.21 would confirm a bullish reversal. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation) - ❌ Invalidation Level: Above $3.21 - 🔻 Downside Targets: - $2.48: 0.5 Fibonacci retracement - $2.36: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement - $1.76: Key structure support - $1.36 - $1.40 XRP : Final bearish target (0.272 Fib extension & channel bottom) ✅ Justification: - ❗ Price remains within a descending channel , signaling a continuation of the downtrend. - ❗ The ETF-driven pump appears to be a liquidity grab , leading to a likely reversal. - ❗ A rejection from $2.66 - $2.87 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting the lower support zones. ⚡ Key Takeaways: - 🔹 XRP is facing strong resistance at $2.66 - $2.87 , a likely rejection zone. - 🔹 A breakdown below $2.48 increases bearish pressure , targeting $1.40 XRP. - 🔹 Bearish bias remains unless price breaks & holds above $3.21. - 🔹 Expect price to follow the descending channel structure toward $1.36 - $1.40.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
LONG AUD/TRY 4H Investment Opportunity Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to show you a LONG investment opportunity on AUD/TRY. We are currently on a 4-hour chart (4H), and the "WaveTrend + Multi-Timeframe Alerts" indicator signals an oversold situation both at 4H and 8H. Furthermore, we are observing signs of a possible bullish recovery, which makes this configuration particularly intriguing. Here is the Investment Setup: The current price is around 22,814. There is a BUY signal with a target price set at 23,435, corresponding to a TP of 2.72%. The stop loss is set at 22,625, corresponding to a SL of 0.83%. The suggested long position offers a highly favorable risk/reward ratio. These combined signals indicate a potential reversal of the uptrend, making this an interesting setup for investors looking for buying opportunities on AUD/TRY. As always, I encourage you to monitor this setup closely and apply conscious and strategic risk management to your trading plan. Happy trading! 📈
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday AnalysisGold is currently trading within a narrow range between 3018 and 3040, reflecting clear indecision in the market. This sideways consolidation suggests neither buyers nor sellers are fully in control, with price temporarily caught in a holding pattern. Key levels to watch: • Potential buys above 3042: A confirmed break and hold above this level could open the door toward 3052 and beyond, especially if momentum kicks in. This area may attract breakout traders eyeing continuation toward previous highs. • Potential sells below 3018: A clean breakdown under this support could trigger sharp downside, targeting levels around 3010 or even 3000 depending on follow-through volume and sentiment. For now, price is respecting both edges of the range. Be cautious of fakeouts near the boundaries—wait for confirmation and clean structure before jumping in. Ranging conditions like this often precede significant moves, so staying patient could pay off big.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
Bitcoin Technicals Flash Warning – Smart Money Watching!Bitcoin has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows since its all-time high (ATH) of $109,568, indicating a potential downtrend. The support level, which previously held strong, has now been broken and is acting as resistance. The recent price movement suggests a retest of this broken support, which could confirm further downside if rejected. The 100 EMA is positioned above the price, reinforcing bearish pressure. If BTC fails to reclaim this level, the price may continue to decline. RSI is hovering around 41.51, indicating weak momentum, with no strong bullish signals yet. Bullish Scenario: A reclaim of the broken support and a move above $90,000 could invalidate the bearish setup. Bearish Scenario: A rejection from this level could lead to further downside, potentially targeting $75,000-$72,000.
Short
by unichartz
4.7 Gold short-term operation technical strategyLast week, gold and Dow Jones started to plummet across the board, and the short-selling of the band was a carnival. First of all, our initial short-selling target of 38,500 under the Dow Jones 45,000 has been completed. The only key support is the 36,300 line, and gold has also fallen to the 2970 line. There is no bottom at present, but there is a rebound in the key support level, so don't chase the low in the morning! From the closing point of view, the weekly line finally closed with a long upper shadow line and a quasi-inverted hammer pattern. After the end of this pattern, the market has been in the short stage this week. The intraday rebound is still mainly high-altitude. The market has a large amplitude, and the small stop loss has lost its meaning. At this time, the entry position is very important. In terms of points, the intraday rebound 3045-55 area continues to be high-altitude. Short-term support: 3038, 3018, 2980, 2960 Do a good job of pushing the position protection! ! !
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Breakdown Accelerates: Key Support at 2950The daily chart for gold shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pulling back from near 80 (hit on Thursday) toward 50, suggesting that the recent drop is more than just a technical correction. Today’s opening saw gold gap down and extend Friday’s decline, raising the question: Will the daily chart see consecutive down days? The lower highs in the price structure indicate that after hitting the three-point resistance zone, a secondary bearish reversal could easily form, leading to further downside. On the daily timeframe, gold has seen a sharp decline, with price now breaking below the short-term moving averages (MAs). These MAs are also starting to turn downward, signaling weakening momentum. Key support to watch is around 2950. On the 4-hour chart, price has broken below the previous consolidation support zone, with candles consistently suppressed by short-term MAs, maintaining a strong bearish bias. Intraday, we’ll watch for any corrective rebound followed by a secondary decline. Short-term resistance sits near 3015. After an early dip and minor rebound, lower timeframes show slight short-term strength, but the broader 4-hour downtrend resistance remains intact. Any bounce is merely a retest—if resistance holds, the downtrend will resume.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Oxtradegpt
Bitcoin: Breaking Below $80K Soon,10% Correction on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders, Bitcoin is consistently hitting new lower lows. Could this signal that the bear market is here to stay? Let’s dive in....... On the H4 chart, Bitcoin is clearly in a bearish phase. It consistently trades below both the trendline and the EMA 200, reinforcing the downtrend. Additionally, a rising wedge pattern has formed and broken out, and the MACD has shown a bearish crossover. This crossover is a key indicator, signaling that momentum is shifting from buyers to sellers. Together, these signals suggest that Bitcoin may drop toward our first target at 79,081. After reaching this level, a short pullback is expected as traders take profits before the price continues its descent toward a new low at 73,633. This outlook remains valid as long as the price moves below the stop-loss level at 89,557 Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Bitcoin.
Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
Resistance Levels in altcoins Concurrent with the indices being at major inflection points crypto has broadly also filled major inflection points. Let's look at the different setups. First we have SOL in the main chart. Inset is the BTC high before the 2022 bear market. Different in a few ways but both the same general idea of a nominal spike above the previous high that fits inside of a harmonic pattern. Most of the things we're going to be looking at have extreme bullish momentum at time of writing but the patterns we're going to be looking at all forecast extreme momentum into their fills. For example, in SOL we are using a harmonic. If this was the end of a harmonic, we'd have just seen the D leg. It is a hard set rule of all harmonics that the most aggressive part of the move is the D leg. Always. The defining characteristic of a D leg is exceptional momentum that builds to the point of looking unstoppable. So anything based on momentum, breaks of anything that's not the actionable fib levels, candle patterns etc - these are all annulled. The D leg is defined by being exceptional by all momentum metrics. I'm sure the other recurring point made against my ideas here will be the halving cycle break out and it's not being enough days yet etc etc. I still have my doubts about the efficacy of the halving thing. I need longer to determine 4 year cycles. Breakout did come right when predicted through. Well done to those who benefited from that. My stance on the halving theory hasn't changed because when people brought it up before I always just told them I don't care. I'm trading TA patterns. They'll get me out early if I am wrong. I'm going to make 1,000s of trades in my life - lots of them will be wrong. It's fine. Everything you can explain with the halving I can explain with fib breaks. And it's still conspicuous to me that BTC and indices continue to move in tandem. Meaning we'd have to class the halving as coincidence or a driver of indices moves. But none of that matters to me. The TA implications if the reversal patterns fail here are quite similar to the bulls halving forecasts. If we break we may end up agreeing on the same thing for different reasons. Or if this is just stop gaming / FOMO inducing, we should be at or very near the end of it now. I like the fibs. Here's some other patterns;
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by holeyprofit
4
Merck & Co. (NYSE: $MRK) Sets Up Q125 Earnings Call for April 24Merck & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:MRK ) will hold its Q1 2025 earnings call on April 24 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Company executives will present financial results and performance updates during the call. As of April 4th, 2025, MRK closed at $81.47, down $4.92 (5.70%). The stock has declined steadily since peaking at $134 in June 2024. In Q4 2024, Merck posted global sales of $15.6 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year. Sales growth stood at 9% when excluding foreign exchange effects. Full-year 2024 revenue reached $64.2 billion, a 7% increase over 2023. Human health sales grew 8%, driven mainly by oncology treatments. KEYTRUDA remained the company’s top product with sales of $7.8 billion in Q4, rising 21%. WINREVAIR generated $200 million in sales, while new vaccine CAPVAXIVE added $50 million. The Animal Health division showed strong momentum, growing 13% year-over-year. Merck’s global reach extended to nearly 500 million people in 2024. However, GARDASIL vaccine sales dropped 18% in Q4 due to lower demand in China. This led Merck to pause GARDASIL shipments to the region temporarily. Operating expenses for the quarter totaled $7.4 billion. The company reported a gross margin of 80.8%, up by 3.6 percentage points. Earnings per share came in at $1.72. For 2025, Merck expects revenue between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion. EPS guidance is set at $8.88 to $9.03, excluding foreign exchange impact. The Medicare Part D redesign could reduce revenue by about $400 million in 2025. This would affect WINREVAIR and other small molecule oncology drugs. Technical Analysis MRK stock is currently testing a major support level at $81.A confirmed breakdown at this critical level could push the stock lower. Price momentum and volume suggest a likely continuation of the bearish trend unless support holds. With the bearish pressure in place, the next support level lies at $70. The weekly chart shows consistent lower highs and lower lows since June 2024. MRK has fallen nearly 65% from its peak of $134. If the $81 current support holds, a short-term rebound is possible, with an immediate resistance target around $95. Reclaiming this level may signal early signs of a trend reversal. If a strong break at the $81 level is witnessed, the next target remains the $70 support. The current trend favors sellers. One thing to watch closely is the April 24th, 2025, earnings call as performance updates may provide clarity on near-term price direction.
NYSE:MRKShort
by DEXWireNews
XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis📌 Gold prices have experienced volatility following the announcement and implementation of President Trump's new tariff policies. Initially, gold surged to a record high of $3,148.88 per ounce as investors sought safe-haven assets amid escalating trade tensions. However, subsequent market reactions, including stock market sell-offs and profit-taking activities, have led to a retreat in gold prices. 🔑 Key Levels: -Resistance: $3,056.09 ❌ -Support: $3,002.63 ✅ (if broken, next support at $2,954.46) 📈 Market Scenarios: Bullish: If gold holds above $3,002.63 and breaks through $3,056.09, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. 🚀 Bearish: A sustained move below $3,002.63 may indicate further downside towards $2,954.46. 📉 📘 This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by juniormoseki1
S&P 500 Records Largest Weekly Decline Since 2020The S&P 500 Index has suffered its steepest two-day drop since the pandemic crash in March 2020. On April 4th, 2025, the benchmark index closed at 5,074.08, down 322.44 points (5.97%). This marks a loss of $5.4 trillion in market value across just two sessions. The sell-off followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He warned that President Donald Trump’s new tariffs could lead to persistently higher inflation. All 11 sectors in the S&P 500 closed in the red. Only 14 stocks remained positive as Nvidia and Apple fell more than 7%, while Tesla dropped 10%. The Nasdaq 100 Index plunged 6.1%, confirming a bear market after losing over 20% from its February peak. The rapid decline mirrors the speed seen during the 2020 COVID crash and the 2000 dot-com bust. President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on U.S. imports on Wednesday. These include a 10% general tariff and higher rates on dozens of countries. China responded by imposing a 34% levy on American goods. The tit-for-tat measures triggered fears of a full-scale global trade war. Global markets reacted sharply. Investors pulled out of stocks and moved into safer assets like government bonds. The two-day loss of $5 trillion on the S&P 500 set a new record, surpassing the $3.3 trillion loss during March 2020. Rick Meckler, of Cherry Lane Investments, said the escalation is now deeper than many investors expected. The initial belief that tariffs were a negotiation tactic has now given way to serious market concerns. Technical Analysis: Price Approaching Key Support Zones. Will They Hold? The S&P 500 has shown a bearish trend since early 2025. Several weekly candles have closed bearish, confirming a strong downtrend. Currently, the index is trading lower toward a key ascending trendline near $4,930. The $4,930 support level may offer short-term support. A bounce from here could see a brief recovery. However, the sentiment remains bearish without strong economic data or policy changes. Further Downside Risk If Support Fails Another horizontal support sits at $4,780. If both support levels fail, the index may fall toward the $4,500 psychological zone. This level is crucial as it marks a long-term support and potential reversal point. At present, bearish momentum dominates, with much strength coming from trade war fears. Unless data shifts investor sentiment, the downtrend may persist.
SP:SPXShort
by DEXWireNews
#202514 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. #btcusd - bitcoin comment: The move I was writing and have been expecting for multiple weeks started today and 75k is the target. I won’t repeat all of it. Chart is clear and now it’s on bears to make meaningful lower lows. Below 70k you will likely see some panic. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 90k bull case: Bulls tried and failed under 90000. Now their last hope is to keep it above 75000 or risk going down to 70000 or below. I absolutely have nothing for them besides praying that 75000 holds. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears have all the arguments now and the chart is clear as day. Would not be the first time a market would do the opposite of what’s expected but you will not make money in the long run if you only bet on the low probability things happen. Maybe you can but you have to be S-Tier trader amongst traders. Much easier to follow the trend here. 75000 was my big target and I hope we crash to 69000. Invalidation is above 90k. short term: Full bear for 75000 or lower. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon. current swing trade: Short since 85000. Stop is 89000 no matter where you go short. chart update: Removed one minor broken bear trend line.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by priceactiontds