Trend Analysis
a massive drop is comingThis cycle has been very different from previous ones—it's been relatively smooth and easy, but it doesn't really feel like a typical crypto bull run. Despite Bitcoin hitting an all-time high, social interest remains at an all-time low.
Unlike previous cycles, this one hasn’t experienced a massive, sudden drop dramatic enough to capture public attention and reignite interest in crypto. A 50% correction from current levels would likely create enough tension and visibility to trigger the real bull market.
DXY Risk Reversal Blueprint: Monthly Chart Analysis
The DXY is currently 6.5% above the midpoint of a critical confluence zone ("the box") on the monthly chart, where multiple trendlines and a key 50%/61.8% Fibonacci retracement level align to form a powerful support/resistance area. The monthly timeframe amplifies this zone’s strength, with price repeatedly respecting these trendlines (marked with arrows), confirming their reliability. The recent large retracement in the DXY signals a potential major move as it approaches this mega support. In 2017 and 2020, the DXY entered the box, consolidated for ~300 days, and then reclaimed higher, resuming an upward trend. I expect a similar pattern this time: a 6.5% drop to the box’s midpoint (aligned with the 50%/61.8% Fib zone), followed by ~300 days of consolidation and an upside breakout, potentially signaling a market top for risk assets. This high-conviction setup serves as a blueprint to de-risk and guide portfolio decisions, such as trimming or adding to positions in stocks and crypto. Given the DXY’s inverse correlation with risk assets, a move into the box could favor accumulating risk asset positions, while an upside reclamation could prompt trimming to reduce exposure. Once the DXY nears this mega support, I’ll analyze lower timeframes (e.g., weekly, daily) for bottoming signals to confirm the reversal. Monitoring price action, volume, and candlestick patterns near the box is crucial for precise timing.
#DXY #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Stocks #Crypto #HighConviction
RIOT / 3hAccording to the adjusted wave count in this 3h-frame, the continuous advance in NASDAQ:RIOT may be considered as an ending diagonal in the 5th wave of the one larger degree leading diagonal as wave (1), which could have remained in the late stages!
Wave Analysis >> The Minor degree wave 5 might continue to advance just to 7.7% >> 12.12 as an extreme high of the entire leading diagonal pattern as wave (1).
Trend Analysis >> The entire pattern in a leading diagonal as wave (1) quite well indicates a bullish view in the medium term, at the beginning of an ongoing UPTrend!
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
OVERALL BEARISH TREND ON GOLD FOR THE WEEK There is an overall bearish Trend on Gold, but the Price will retrace upwards to take out a level of inducement, which is the pullback after the break of the structure and also clear the liquidity at the previous high that was created last week on the high timeframe. So you can still get a retacement to buy on h1 to clear those levels/areas. Although the main trend is bearish
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base.
2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential.
3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout.
4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter.
5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDNGN Weekly Chart Analysis – May 28, 2025
The likelihood of price retracing into this level is high before any significant move higher.
Retest Anticipation: The chart shows a projected retracement towards the key level around ₦1,549.48, which lies within the MSS zone. This level is now acting as potential support.
Bullish Scenario: Look for long entries upon clear bullish confirmation at the ₦1,549.48 level, with a potential target back toward ₦1,600–₦1,630.
Bearish Invalidator: A strong break below ₦1,540 could invalidate this setup and shift bias to a deeper correction.
Congratulations everyone all targets done__ June-30,2025
CONGRATULATIONS EVERYONE
✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – June 30, 2025
Bias: Long (Buy Position)
Result: ✅ Take-Profit Hit
📌 Entry Zone: Around $3,363 – $3,370
🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Hit at $3,302 (273 pips)
🎯 Target 2 (TP2): Hit at $3,308 (336 pips)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): $3,259 (Not triggered)
📈 Outcome:
The price moved strongly in favor of the long trade after entry, reaching both profit targets successfully.
The setup was executed with high precision, and the bullish momentum carried price past TP2, confirming the trade idea.
COST Daily Chart Analysis: Key Levels, and Price StructureCostco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
Historical Context and Trend Channel:
From September 2024 through early 2025, COST was observed trading within a well-defined upward channel (indicated by the grey shaded areas). This channel represented a consistent bullish trend during that period. However, the price subsequently broke below the lower boundary of this channel around March 2025, suggesting a shift in the established trend.
Key Price Levels Identified:
Strong Support Level (870 to 880): Marked by the light blue shaded zone, this level has historically acted as a robust floor for the price, demonstrating strong buying interest on multiple occasions.
Good Level (930 to 940): The orange shaded area indicates an intermediate support zone. Should the immediate support fail, this level could come into play as the next area of interest for potential buyers.
1st Support (970 to 980): This green shaded area represents the most immediate support level based on recent price action. The price has recently found support within this range.
Key Resistance (1010): The horizontal red line with circled points highlights a critical overhead resistance level. This level has seen prior rejections, making it a significant hurdle for any sustained upward movement. It also appears to act as a potential "neckline" for current price formations.
Target (1060 to 1070): The red shaded zone at the top represents a significant resistance area and a prior peak. If the "Key Resistance -1010" is overcome, this zone could become the next potential target.
Recent Price Action and Pattern Observations:
Following the break from the long-term uptrend channel, COST rallied to form a peak around the "Target 1060 to 1070" zone in May. The subsequent decline from this peak, followed by a bounce and another attempt at the "Key Resistance -1010" level, suggests the formation of a potential "M" top or double top pattern if 1010 holds. More recently, the price has pulled back to test the "1st Support 970 to 980" zone. The current price action around 988.07 indicates that COST is trading between this immediate support and the "Key Resistance -1010" level. The chart illustrates two potential paths (dotted blue lines):
1. A move upward, challenging and potentially breaking above the "Key Resistance -1010" to target the 1060-1070 zone. This would align with a potential bullish "W" pattern formation if the 1st support holds.
2. A decline to retest the "Good Level 930 to 940" before a potential rebound.
The "Key Resistance -1010" level remains pivotal. A sustained break above it could signal further upside, while rejection from this level could lead to a retest of lower support zones.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
BTCUSD H4 Potential DropHi there,
BTCUSD H4: As long as the 85,119.33 level holds, the overall trend remains bullish in a larger scope.
Currently, the price is trading below the diagonal dotted trendline. The further it stays below this trendline, the stronger the bears' position.
The level of 101,574.21 is open for a bias towards 93,511.35.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
$EU (EURUSD) 1H AnalysisEURUSD swept short-term sell-side liquidity and printed a strong displacement above the relative equal highs.
Price is now in premium territory and likely hunting liquidity before rebalancing.
Bias remains bearish if price fails to form higher-timeframe continuation. Ideal setup would be a short from signs of rejection toward 1.17163 FVG zone.
ETH: Deep Retrace or Shallow? Two Key Long Zones into Next Week✅ Two main long setups: Equal Lows @ $2,376, Untapped Demand $2,250–$2,314
✅ Best R/R from deeper demand zone, but will watch both levels
✅ Targets: $2,738 (range high), ~$3,000 (expansion)
✅ Shallow retrace may limit upside to a new local high, not full expansion
Setup 1:
Buy trigger on sweep and reclaim of $2,376 (equal lows)
Target: $2,508, then $2,738
Setup 2:
Preferred: Buy trigger into $2,250–$2,314 untapped demand
Target: $2,738, $3,000
Risk:
Wait for reaction/confirmation at both zones; no FOMO in between
🚨 Risk Warning:
If no strong bounce from these levels, stand aside — don't force the setup.
also looks a bit like inverted head and shouldersbitcoin wouldnt be bitcoin , if from time to time a more or less head and shoulders pattern comes along.
in this case it looks a bit like the right inverted shoulder is being made. but the bearish div is also present.
it might be possible , a sharp move up to new highs around 135 k , followed by a drop below 100k .
Snowflake Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set Up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Snowflake Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (A+ SIgnal)) - *Start On Uptrend | Completed Survey
* (2nd Entry Area)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) = a / Long Consecutive Range
* (TP2) = b / Short Consecutive Pullback | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 201.00 USD
* Entry At 216.00 USD
* Take Profit At 240.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,389.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take prpofit: 3,294.89
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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