Trend Analysis
TON DAILY ANALYSISHi friends,
Today, we analyzed the TON chart in the Daily time frame. As marked on the chart, we had an important support level at the price of $4.63, which was broken two months ago.
It had a short squeeze and later, with the news of Paul Dorov, it had a good recovery, which failed to activate the daily V pattern.
Also, we have a daily resistance trend line that has rejected the price multiple times.
With current price action, we have a good level for shorting it below $3.33.
Guess?, Inc. Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Fourth Quarter ResultsGuess?, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:GES ) a company that designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children- operating through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing, reports fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter results.
Reports Highlights
Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results:
Revenues Increased to $932 Million, Up 5% in U.S. Dollars and 9% in Constant Currency
Delivered Operating Margin of 11.1%; Adjusted Operating Margin of 11.4%
GAAP EPS of $1.16 and Adjusted EPS of $1.48.
Full Fiscal Year 2025 Results:
Revenues Increased to $3.0 Billion, Up 8% in U.S. Dollars and 10% in Constant Currency
Delivered Operating Margin of 5.8%; Adjusted Operating Margin of 6.0%
GAAP EPS of $0.77 and Adjusted EPS of $1.96
Full Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook:
Expects Revenue Increase between 3.9% and 6.2% in U.S. Dollars
Expects GAAP and Adjusted Operating Margins between 4.3% and 5.2% and 4.5% and 5.4%, Respectively
Expects GAAP EPS between $1.03 and $1.37 and Adjusted EPS between $1.32 and $1.76
Plans to Execute Business and Portfolio Optimization Expected to Unlock Approximately $30 Million in Operating Profit in Fiscal Year 2027
Financial Performance
In 2024, Guess?'s revenue was $3.00 billion, an increase of 7.88% compared to the previous year's $2.78 billion. Earnings were $60.42 million, a decrease of -69.15%.
Analyst Forecast
According to 5 analysts, the average rating for GES stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $21.6, which is an increase of 115.14% from the latest price.
As of the time of writing, NYSE:GES shares closed Thursday's session down 11.78% extending the loss to Friday's premarket trading down by 2.38%. With a weaker RSI of 38, should trades open, NYSE:GES shares might break the 1-month low pivot and dip to the $7 support point. About $2.85 trillion was wiped out from the US stock market yesterday.
Gj outlook Gj never reached my zone and it sold 200 pips.
Won't trade it again till next week.
Will be watching it to see how the structure will form
ATOMUSDT UPDATEATOMUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $4.700, with a target price of $7.500. This represents a potential gain of over 60%. The technical pattern observed is a Bullish Falling Wedge, indicating a possible trend reversal. This pattern suggests that the downward trend may be coming to an end. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a significant upward movement in price. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive indicator, signaling a potential price surge. Investors are showing optimism about ATOMUSDT's future performance. The current price may present a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in substantial returns for investors. ATOMUSDT is positioned for a potential breakout and significant gains.
QTUM May Surprise You All (3D Analysis)Qtum has formed a rectangle in weekly time period. Whenever it reachs the bottom, always turned back to gather upside liquidty till now.
The other interesting thing is, when Qtum first went upwards for liquidty, it took over 2 years to gather all remaining short liqudations. When it did again, it took less than a year. So the scale of time for gathering liquidty is squezing.
If Qtum can stay above the bottom of the rectangle, I believe there is a chance for %160 profit in long term. There is not even need for a leverage.
-%20 down here means that this coin is set for going hell and no way for recover.
But, there is %160 profit chance. The question is, are you willing to take that risk?
Cause I will.
Thanks for reading.
FTSE trend change capped at 8460The FTSE 100 continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, in line with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action confirms a breakdown below the previous consolidation zone, reinforcing downside pressure.
Key Level: 8460
This level marks the former intraday consolidation area and now acts as critical resistance. A near-term oversold bounce toward this level is possible.
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from 8460 would confirm resistance and likely resume the downtrend. Downside targets include 8200 as the first support, followed by 8090 and 8000 over the medium to long term.
Bullish Alternative:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 8460 would shift the outlook to neutral-to-bullish. In that case, upside targets include 8550 and 8600.
Conclusion:
The technical bias remains bearish below 8460. Price action around this level will be key in determining the next directional move. A failure to reclaim 8460 keeps the downside in focus, while a breakout above it would challenge the bearish view.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Euro Strengthens as Dollar Weakens !The Euro rose significantly against the US dollar during yesterday's session, Thursday, April 3, 2025, successfully breaching the resistance level at 1.09547 and establishing a new high above it. This upward movement followed the decision by the US president to impose tariffs on approximately 180 countries, significantly impacting the performance of the US dollar negatively.
Currently, EUR/USD is experiencing a corrective downward movement that could extend towards the support level at 1.08211, considered an ideal point for resuming the bullish trend targeting the next level at 1.10490. The positive outlook remains valid unless the pair breaks below the critical support at 1.07331 with a daily candle closure beneath it. Such a scenario would invalidate the bullish scenario and strengthen bearish possibilities.
Today, markets await the release of the US employment data, where the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are expected to decline from 151K to 137K. A reading higher than expected could positively impact the dollar and negatively affect the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.1%, and any decrease below this level would support the dollar, adding further downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
INJUSDT Short Opportunity – Bearish Rejection at Key ResistanceI’m currently short on INJUSDT after a clear rejection from the major resistance zone around this price area. The price failed to break above this level and showed signs of weak momentum on lower timeframes (15min).
This setup offers a clean risk-to-reward ratio, and I’ll be managing the trade actively based on price action.
FXAN & Heikin Ashi TradeOANDA:AUDCHF
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of AUDCHF, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3108.1
My Stop Loss - 3083.4
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDX/NQ1Good Morning,
We did it - We sat patiently waiting for this beauty to drop. I am still holding my SSSQ but will exit shortly. Currently I am waiting for confirmation off the support to start accumulating more stocks from across various sectors.
This in theory is motive wave two. We will have to revisit at the next resistance area.
Thank you !
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?
In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability.
Markets across the board took a hit:
📉 US, European, and Asian equities
📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red.
🔍 So, What Actually Happened?
Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell.
Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time?
➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos.
📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes.
🧨 The Start of Something Bigger?
Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings.
Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain.
If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off.
📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either
While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating:
ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected)
Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9)
New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell
👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy.
🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic
At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become.
Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous.
🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire.
🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?
Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations:
A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025
Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2)
There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected
If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control.
⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action
Right now, your best position might be… no position.
"Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take."
This isn’t the time to chase wild price action.
It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion.
📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD
🔺 Resistance:
3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167
🔻 Support:
3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054
SL: 3050
TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
💬 Final Thoughts
The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm.
Gold is in the eye of that storm.
Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control.
📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades.
Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital.
🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
CADJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 103.448.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 102.631 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Ethereum (ETH): Most Important Zone For EthereumWe are in one of the most important zones for Ethereum, where we are looking for 2 possible scenarios currently.
1) Ideally we should see a buying volume to build from here, which would give us a good buying opportunity once we see an MSB to form on smaller timeframes.
2) If sellers keep this kind of dominance, we will fall to a lower size of our zone, which is $1,500.
Currently, Monday has been pretty weak so we might have to wait more for a proper support zone to form but keep your eyes on EMAs; they are way too far from the market price, which usually means a possible quick movement can happen!
Swallow Team
PEPEUSDT SELL LIMIT ORDERPEPEUSD made a breakouts off the sellside liquidity and price created new lows right now price is heading for a retest and rejections off the buy side liquidity am gonna position for sell from 0.00000750 then sell till price visits 0.00000500
OptionsMastery: Monthly and Weekly Zone on FSLR!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
stage analysis of KEIStage Analysis is a technical analysis method developed by Stan Weinstein, which categorizes a stock's lifecycle into four distinct phases
USOIL:Continue to move downwardAfter U.S. President Donald Trump announced tariffs and the OPEC+ decided to increase oil production, concerns about the demand outlook intensified, leading to a significant decline in crude oil prices on Thursday.
The short-term trend of crude oil has dropped sharply, with all the gains since mid-March being given back. The oil price has touched a low near 66. The moving average system diverges downward, and objectively, the short-term trend direction is downward. The bearish momentum is abundant. It is expected that after a minor adjustment at a low level in the intraday trading, the short-term trend of crude oil will mainly continue to move downward.
Trading Strategy:
buy@67.5-68
TP:66-65.5
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Is this the perfect time to buy Bitcoin? Hello,
While the significant market correction since January 2025 has left many feeling fearful, we believe this presents a perfect opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon. The recent pullback in asset prices, particularly in the cryptocurrency space and equities, has created an attractive entry point for seasoned investors.
President Trump's ongoing commitment to positioning the United States as the global capital for cryptocurrency, with Bitcoin as a key component of the nation's reserves, reinforces the enduring fundamental strength of this digital asset. Despite the short-term volatility, Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain robust, supported by this high-level governmental endorsement .
Since its peak in January, Bitcoin has experienced a correction exceeding 25%, bringing it to levels that we view as an ideal accumulation zone. Our technical analysis further confirms this perspective, as the cryptocurrency approaches a critical upward trendline, suggesting that buyers may soon step in to drive a resurgence. Additionally, the MACD indicator is on the cusp of a bullish zero crossover, providing additional confirmation of an impending rebound.
For patient, forward-thinking investors, we strongly recommend initiating or increasing Bitcoin positions at these current prices. By adopting a disciplined, long-term approach and weathering the near-term fluctuations, you can position yourself to capitalize on the substantial upside potential as Bitcoin's trajectory aligns with the supportive stance of the U.S. government.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
